Artificial intelligence for the optimal management of community-acquired pneumonia.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: This timely review explores the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) management, emphasizing its relevance in predicting the risk of hospitalization. With CAP remaining a global public health concern, the review highlights the need for efficient and reliable AI tools to optimize resource allocation and improve patient outcomes. RECENT FINDINGS: Challenges in CAP management delve into the application of AI in predicting CAP-related hospitalization risks, and complications, and mortality. The integration of AI-based risk scores in managing CAP has the potential to enhance the accuracy of predicting patients at higher risk, facilitating timely intervention and resource allocation. Moreover, AI algorithms reduce variability associated with subjective clinical judgment, promoting consistency in decision-making, and provide real-time risk assessments, aiding in the dynamic management of patients with CAP. SUMMARY: The development and implementation of AI-tools for hospitalization in CAP represent a transformative approach to improving patient outcomes. The integration of AI into healthcare has the potential to revolutionize the way we identify and manage individuals at risk of severe outcomes, ultimately leading to more efficient resource utilization and better overall patient care.

Impact of the early COVID-19 pandemic on adult mental health-related dispensed medications, hospitalizations and specialist outpatient visits in Norway and Sweden: Interrupted time series analysis.

AIMS: Norway and Sweden had different early pandemic responses that may have impacted mental health management. The aim was to assess the impact of the early COVID-19 pandemic on mental health-related care. METHODS: We used national registries in Norway and Sweden (1 January 2018-31 December 2020) to define 2 cohorts: (i) general adult population; and (ii) mental health adult population. Interrupted times series regression analyses evaluated step and slope changes compared to prepandemic levels for monthly rates of medications (antidepressants, antipsychotics, anxiolytics, hypnotics/sedatives, lithium, opioid analgesics, psychostimulants), hospitalizations (for anxiety, bipolar, depressive/mood, eating and schizophrenia/delusional disorders) and specialist outpatient visits. RESULTS: In Norway, immediate reductions occurred in the general population for medications (-12% antidepressants to -7% hypnotics/sedatives) except for antipsychotics; and hospitalizations (-33% anxiety disorders to -17% bipolar disorders). Increasing slope change occurred for all medications except psychostimulants (+1.1%/month hypnotics/sedatives to +1.7%/month antidepressants); and hospitalization for anxiety disorders (+5.5%/month), depressive/mood disorders (+1.7%/month) and schizophrenia/delusional disorders (+2%/month). In Sweden, immediate reductions occurred for antidepressants (-7%) and opioids (-10%) and depressive/mood disorder hospitalizations (-11%) only with increasing slope change in psychostimulant prescribing of (0.9%/month). In contrast to Norway, increasing slope changes occurred in specialist outpatient visits for depressive/mood disorders, eating disorders and schizophrenia/delusional disorders (+1.5, +1.9 and +2.3%/month, respectively). Similar changes occurred in the pre-existing mental health cohorts. CONCLUSION: Differences in early COVID-19 policy response may have contributed to differences in adult mental healthcare provision in Norway and Sweden.

A novel approach for pharmacological substantiation of safety signals using plasma concentrations of medication and administrative/healthcare databases: A case study using Danish registries for an FDA warning on lamotrigine.

PHARMACOM-EPI is a novel framework to predict plasma concentrations of drugs at the time of occurrence of clinical outcomes. In early 2021, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued a warning on the antiseizure drug lamotrigine claiming that it has the potential to increase the risk of arrhythmias and related sudden cardiac death due to a pharmacological sodium channel-blocking effect. We hypothesized that the risk of arrhythmias and related death is due to toxicity. We used the PHARMACOM-EPI framework to investigate the relationship between lamotrigine's plasma concentrations and the risk of death in older patients using real-world data. Danish nationwide administrative and healthcare registers were used as data sources and individuals aged 65 years or older during the period 1996 - 2018 were included in the study. According to the PHARMACOM-EPI framework, plasma concentrations of lamotrigine were predicted at the time of death and patients were categorized into non-toxic and toxic groups based on the therapeutic range of lamotrigine (3-15 mg/L). Over 1 year of treatment, the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of all-cause mortality was calculated between the propensities score matched toxic and non-toxic groups. In total, 7286 individuals were diagnosed with epilepsy and were exposed to lamotrigine, 432 of which had at least one plasma concentration measurement The pharmacometric model by Chavez et al. was used to predict lamotrigine's plasma concentrations considering the lowest absolute percentage error among identified models (14.25 %, 95 % CI: 11.68-16.23). The majority of lamotrigine associated deaths were cardiovascular-related and occurred among individuals with plasma concentrations in the toxic range. The IRR of mortality between the toxic group and non-toxic group was 3.37 [95 % CI: 1.44-8.32] and the cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality exponentially increased in the toxic range. Application of our novel framework PHARMACOM-EPI provided strong evidence to support our hypothesis that the increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death was associated with a toxic plasma concentration level of lamotrigine among older lamotrigine users.

Hypothermic oxygenated perfusion in extended criteria donor liver transplantation-A randomized clinical trial.

Hypothermic Oxygenated Perfusion (HOPE) of the liver can reduce the incidence of early allograft dysfunction (EAD) and failure in extended criteria donors (ECD) grafts, although data from prospective studies are very limited. In this monocentric, open-label study, from December 2018 to January 2021, 110 patients undergoing transplantation of an ECD liver graft were randomized to receive a liver after HOPE or after static cold storage (SCS) alone. The primary endpoint was the incidence of EAD. The secondary endpoints included graft and patient survival, the EASE risk score, and the rate of graft or other graft-related complications. Patients in the HOPE group had a significantly lower rate of EAD (13% vs. 35%, p = .007) and were more frequently allocated to the intermediate or higher risk group according to the EASE score (2% vs. 11%, p = .05). The survival analysis confirmed that patients in the HOPE group were associated with higher graft survival one year after LT (p = .03, log-rank test). In addition, patients in the SCS group had a higher re-admission and overall complication rate at six months, in particular cardio-vascular adverse events (p = .04 and p = .03, respectively). HOPE of ECD grafts compared to the traditional SCS preservation method is associated with lower dysfunction rates and better graft survival.

Impact of MELD 30-allocation policy on liver transplant outcomes in Italy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: In Italy, since August 2014, liver transplant (LT) candidates with model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores ≥30 receive national allocation priority. This multicenter cohort study aims to evaluate time on the waiting list, dropout rate, and graft survival before and after introducing the macro-area sharing policy. METHODS: A total of 4,238 patients registered from 2010 to 2018 were enrolled and categorized into an ERA-1 Group (n = 2,013; before August 2014) and an ERA-2 Group (n = 2,225; during and after August 2014). A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of receiving a LT or death between the two eras. The Fine-Gray model was used to estimate the HR for dropout from the waiting list and graft loss, considering death as a competing risk event. A Fine-Gray model was also used to estimate risk factors of graft loss. RESULTS: Patients with MELD ≥30 had a lower median time on the waiting list (4 vs.12 days, p <0.001) and a higher probability of being transplanted (HR 2.27; 95% CI 1.78-2.90; p = 0.001) in ERA-2 compared to ERA-1. The subgroup analysis on 3,515 LTs confirmed ERA-2 (odds ratio 0.56; 95% CI 0.46-0.68; p = 0.001) as a protective factor for better graft survival rate. The protective variables for lower dropouts on the waiting list were: ERA-2, high-volume centers, no competition centers, male recipients, and hepatocellular carcinoma. The protective variables for graft loss were high-volume center and ERA-2, while MELD ≥30 remained related to a higher risk of graft loss. CONCLUSIONS: The national MELD ≥30 priority allocation was associated with improved patient outcomes, although MELD ≥30 was associated with a higher risk of graft loss. Transplant center volumes and competition among centers may have a role in recipient prioritization and outcomes. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: NCT04530240 LAY SUMMARY: Italy introduced a new policy in 2014 to give national allocation priority to patients with a model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score ≥30 (i.e. very sick patients). This policy has led to more liver transplants, fewer dropouts, and shorter waiting times for patients with MELD ≥30. However, a higher risk of graft loss still burdens these cases. Transplant center volumes and competition among centers may have a role in recipient prioritization and outcomes.

The Relationship Between Valproate and Lamotrigine/Levetiracetam Use and Prognosis in Patients With Epilepsy and Heart Failure: A Danish Register-Based Study.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the hazard for all-cause mortality and mortality due to heart failure (HF) between valproate (VPA) and levetiracetam (LEV)/lamotrigine (LTG) users in patients aged ≥ 65 with comorbidities of epilepsy and HF. METHODS: This was a cohort study using Danish registers during the period from January 1996 to July 2018. The study population included new users of LTG, LEV or VPA. A Cox regression model was used to compute crude and adjusted hazard ratios for the outcome, using an intention-to-treat approach. Average treatment effects (eg, 1-year absolute risks), risk differences and the ratio of risks were computed using the G-formula based on a Cox regression model for the outcomes at the end of the follow-up period. RESULTS: We included 1345 subjects in the study population. VPA users (n = 696), when compared to LTG/LEV users (n = 649), had an increased hazard of mortality due to HF (hazard ratio [HR] 2.39; 95% CI 1.02-5.60) and to all-cause mortality (HR 1.37; 95% CI 1.01-1.85) in both crude and adjusted analyses. The 1-year absolute risks for all-cause mortality were 29% (95% CI 25%-33%) and 22% (95% CI 18%-26%) for VPA and LTG/LEV users. For mortality due to HF, 1-year absolute risks were 5% (95% CI 3%-7%) and 2% (95% CI 1%-4%) for VPA and LTG/LEV users. The average risk ratio, with LTG/LEV as the reference group, was 1.31 (95% CI 1.02-1.71) for all-cause mortality and 2.35 (95% CI 1.11-5.76) for HF mortality. CONCLUSION: In older people with HF and epilepsy, treatment with VPA was associated with a higher risk of all-cause and HF mortality compared to treatment with LTG and LEV.

Pharmacological and epidemiological considerations while constructing treatment episodes using observational data: A simulation study.

BACKGROUND: The permissible gap method is an extensively used approach for defining episodes of continuous treatment use in pharmacoepidemiology. This method uses the amount of drug redeemed, when available, and researcher-defined temporal gaps to fill the interval between the calculated end of coverage of a redeemed prescription and the date of redemption of the next prescription in the same treatment episode. The final scope is defining periods of continuous use of medications. There are strong pharmacological and epidemiological arguments for adding the gap at the end of each treatment episode. However, the evidence is scarce on the impact that such a practice has on measures of association. This study aims to compare the impact of adding or not adding the researcher-defined gap time to the end of a treatment episode on the incidence of drug discontinuation and the incidence rate for a simulated outcome that occurred during an observational window. Additionally, the study aims at assessing the magnitude of misclassification of exposure time between the two methods. METHODS: A simulated dataset of 100 patients available in the R package AdhereR that contains 1080 redeemed prescriptions was used. A gap time of 90 days was used for constructing treatment episodes in an observational window of 365 days following the first redeemed prescription. Two approaches were used for defining treatment episodes that were named "gap+" and "gap-" and that respectively add and did not add the gap time at the end of a treatment episode. An outcome was simulated by using an exponential baseline hazard function with scale parameter λ = 0.5 and censoring at time t = 365 days. The incidence rate ratio for the simulated outcome between the two approaches was computed. RESULTS: The 100 patients were followed for a median time of 183 days (interquartile range, IQR 50-365 days) and a median time of 273 days (IQR 140-365 days), respectively using "gap-" and "gap+". During the first 100 days of the follow-up period, none of the patients was found to discontinue the treatment with the method "gap+" while 38 patients discontinued using the method "gap-". The approach "gap+" exerted a higher incidence rate for the simulated outcome among the exposed (0.98 events/person-years) when compared to the "gap-" (0.82 events/person-years) during defined periods of continuous treatment use. When comparing the two approaches and using the method "gap-" as the reference group, the incidence rate ratio for the simulated outcome was 1.20 (95% confidence interval: CI 0.72-2.02) among the exposed. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that not adding the gap at the end of the treatment episodes leads to an overestimation of drug discontinuation, particularly at the beginning of the observational window, and an underestimation of the incidence rate of a hypothetical outcome during the period of exposure to the medication.

Pharmacoepidemiological methods for computing the duration of pharmacological prescriptions using secondary data sources.

PURPOSE: In pharmacoepidemiology, correctly defining the exposure period of pharmacological treatment is a challenging step when information on the time in treatment is missing or incomplete. METHODS: In this review, we describe several methods for defining exposure to pharmacological treatments using secondary data sources that lack such information. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: Several methods for assessing the duration of redeemed prescriptions and combining them into temporal sequences are available. We present a set of considerations to make researchers aware of the potentials and pitfalls of these methods that may aid in minimizing biases in research using these methods. Additionally, we highlight that, to date, there is no one-size-fits-all solution. Thus, the choice of method should be based on their area of applicability combined with a careful mapping to the research scenario under investigation.

Detecting deviations from the efficacy and safety results of single-arm trials using real-world data: The case of a CAR-T cell therapy in B-cell lymphoma.

PURPOSE: Personalized therapies are leading to an increasing number of marketing authorizations based on single-arm trials, which increases the demand for better post-authorization monitoring strategies. The aim of the present study was to estimate the power over time as data accrue in population-based registries for detecting deviations from the expected efficacy/safety of chimeric antigen receptor T cell (CAR-T) therapy approved for relapsed/refractory large B-cell lymphoma (RR-LBCL). METHODS: The number of real-world RR-LBCL patients was projected over time in a general population of 5, 15, and 25 million citizens using lymphoma registry data. For each scenario, we computed the power over time for detecting significant deviations in efficacy (1-year overall survival [1yOS]) when comparing to historical controls (SCHOLAR-1 study; 1yOS, 28%) and RR-LBCL patients treated with CAR-T cell therapy in a single-arm trial (ZUMA-1; 1yOS, 59%) as well as deviations in selected adverse events (grade ≥3 aphasia) from the ZUMA-1 trial. We assumed a 10% absolute deviation in 1yOS (efficacy) and a relative increase of 50% in grade ≥3 aphasia (safety). RESULTS: Assuming a general population of 5, 15, and 25 million, the accrual time needed to achieve 80% power for detecting a significant increase over the 1yOS reported in SCHOLAR-1 was 9, 4, and 3 years, respectively, while 80% power for detecting a significant decrease in 1yOS compared to ZUMA-1 required 10.5, 4.5, and 3 years of data accrual, respectively. However, corresponding estimates for aphasia were >20, 8, and 5 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Projections of the statistical power for detecting important deviations in efficacy/safety from that reported in pivotal clinical trials(s) provide critical information about the expected performance of post-authorization monitoring programs.

Angiotensin II and angiotensin 1-7: which is their role in atrial fibrillation?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality as well as a public health burden considering the high costs of AF-related hospitalizations. Pre-clinical and clinical evidence showed a potential role of the renin angiotensin system (RAS) in the etiopathogenesis of AF. Among RAS mediators, angiotensin II (AII) and angiotensin 1-7 (A1-7) have been mostly investigated in AF. Specifically, the stimulation of the pathway mediated by AII or the inhibition of the pathway mediated by A1-7 may participate in inducing and sustaining AF. In this review, we summarize the evidence showing that both RAS pathways may balance the onset of AF through different biological mechanisms involving inflammation, epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) accumulation, and electrical cardiac remodeling. EAT is a predictor for AF as it may induce its onset through direct (infiltration of epicardial adipocytes into the underlying atrial myocardium) and indirect (release of inflammatory adipokines, the stimulation of oxidative stress, macrophage phenotype switching, and AF triggers) mechanisms. Classic RAS blockers such as angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (ACE-I) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB) may prevent AF by affecting the accumulation of the EAT, representing a useful therapeutic strategy for preventing AF especially in patients with heart failure and known left ventricular dysfunction. Further studies are necessary to prove this benefit in patients with other cardiovascular diseases. Finally, the possibility of using the A1-7 or ACE2 analogues, to enlarge current therapeutic options for AF, may represent an important field of research.

Correction to: Angiotensin II and angiotensin 1-7: which is their role in atrial fibrillation?

There was a mistake in Prof. Giuseppe Massimo Claudio Rosano's affiliation.

Predictors of quetiapine extended-release formulation add-on in older patients exposed to antidepressant drugs: A Danish register-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: This study investigated which comorbidities or comedications increased the probability of receiving quetiapine extended-release formulation (quetiapine XR) as an add-on treatment. METHODS: Danish administrative registers were used as data sources. The study period was from 01 January 2011 to 01 July 2017. New users of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRI), serotonin and norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors (SNRI), atypical antidepressants (AAD), and tricyclic antidepressants (TCA) aged ≥65 years were included in the study population. A multivariable Cox regression model was used to find predictors for receiving quetiapine XR add-on within the first year of antidepressant therapy. RESULTS: A total of 123 655 new users of SSRI, SNRI, TCA, and AAD were eligible. The study population was composed of 57.7% females and the mean age was 77.2 years (SD 7.9 years). SSRI users comprised 49.6% of the study population. Among users of antidepressants, 171 (0.14%) patients received quetiapine XR as add-on treatment. In the adjusted analyses, female patients (HR 0.70; 95%CI 0.52-0.95) and glucocorticoid users (HR 0.41; 95%CI 0.21-0.80) had a significantly lower hazard of receiving quetiapine XR. Patients with dementia (HR 2.43; 95%CI 1.52-3.87) had a significantly higher hazard of receiving quetiapine XR than patients without this condition. When compared with SSRI users, AAD (HR 1.80; 95%CI 1.31-2.46) and TCA users (HR 0.18; 95%CI 0.06-0.49) had an increased/reduced hazard of receiving quetiapine XR, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the choice of prescribing quetiapine add-on is driven by patient's differences in comorbidities, comedications and the type of antidepressant drug.

Segmental resection of distal ureter with termino-terminal ureteric anastomosis vs bladder cuff removal and ureteric re-implantation for upper tract urothelial carcinoma: results of a multicentre study.

OBJECTIVES: To compare overall (OS), cancer-specific (CSS), recurrence-free survival (RFS) and postoperative renal function amongst patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) of the distal (lower lumbar and pelvic) ureter, electively treated with segmental resection and termino-terminal anastomosis (TT) vs bladder cuff removal and ureteric re-implantation (RR). PATIENTS AND METHODS: A multicentre retrospective study, including 84 patients diagnosed with UTUC of the distal ureter and treated with TT or RR, is presented. The primary endpoint was to compare TT and RR in terms of OS, CSS and RFS. As a secondary outcome, we compared the postoperative creatinine values as an index of renal function in the two groups. RESULTS: Of 521 patients with UTUC, 65 (77.4%) and 19 (22.6%) patients underwent RR and TT, respectively. Pre- and postoperative characteristics were not statistically different between the two groups. The median follow-up period was 22.7 months. Patients treated with TT and those treated with RR did not have significantly different 5-year OS, CSS or RFS (73.7% vs 92.3%, P = 0.052; 94.7% vs 95.4%, P = 0.970: and 63.2% vs 53.9%, P = 0.489, respectively). No difference in postoperative creatinine variation emerged in association with the surgical technique (P = 0.411). CONCLUSION: Patients treated with TT or RR for UTUC showed comparable OS, CSS, RFS and postoperative renal function. Our data suggest that bladder cuff removal is not imperative in the treatment of distal ureteric UTUC, and TT can be a safe solution in selected cases.

Adverse drug reactions during hepatitis C treatment with direct-acting antivirals: The role of medication errors, their impact on treatment discontinuation and their preventability. New insights from the Campania Region (Italy) spontaneous reporting system.

WHAT IS KNOWN AND OBJECTIVE: Medication errors, such as unnecessary treatment discontinuation during treatment with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), can lead to imbalances in the benefit-to-risk ratio. This risk is especially high when the medication error leads to adverse drug reactions (ADRs). However, to date, evidence on the frequency of this phenomenon is scarce. This study aims to provide better insight into ADRs possibly due to medication errors leading to DAA discontinuation and their preventability. METHODS: The Italian Pharmacovigilance Network database was used to extract individual case safety reports (ICSRs) generated from July 2012 to March 2017 via the Campania Region (Italy) spontaneous reporting system. ICSRs that included ledipasvir/sofosbuvir, ombitasvir/paritaprevir/ritonavir, dasabuvir, daclatasvir, sofosbuvir, simeprevir or elbasvir/grazoprevir as suspected drugs were included in this study. A preventability assessment was then performed utilizing the "P-Method," an algorithm that evaluates known risk factors due to medication errors that can be detected in ICSRs. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Of the 355 cases included in this study, 6 (1.69%) were classified as preventable and 52 (14.6%) were classified as potentially preventable. The most frequently identified critical criteria (risk factor) for preventable or potentially preventable cases were drug-drug interactions and incorrect drug dosing as part of the antiviral treatment scheme. In total, 89 of the 355 cases (25.1%) discontinued use of the DAAs due to ADRs, of which 20 of the 89 cases (22.5%) were due to an unimportant medical event as classified by the European Medicine Agency important medical event list. WHAT IS NEW AND CONCLUSION: This study found a proportion of preventable/potentially preventable ADRs involving DAA, which could be improved in the Campania Region (Italy). Additionally, the study identified a high proportion of seemingly unnecessary DAA discontinuations among patients who experienced ADRs.

Can causality assessment fulfill the new European definition of adverse drug reaction? A review of methods used in spontaneous reporting.

Causality assessment is a fundamental biomedical technique for the signal detection performed by Pharmacovigilance centers in a Spontaneous reporting system. Moreover, it is a crucial and important practice for detecting preventable adverse drug reactions. Among different methods for causality assessment, algorithms (such as the Naranjo, or Begaud Methods) seem for their operational procedure and easier applicability one of the most commonly used methods. With the upcoming of the new European Pharmacovigilance legislation including in the definition of the adverse event also effects resulting from abuse, misuse and medication error, all well-known preventable causes of ADRs, there was an emerging need to evaluate whether algorithms could fulfill this new definition. In this review, twenty-two algorithmic methods were identified and none of them seemed to fulfill perfectly the new criteria of adverse event although some of them come close. In fact, several issues were arisen in applying causality assessment algorithms to these new definitions as for example the impossibility to answer the rechallenge question in case of medication error or AEFI (Adverse Event Following Immunization). Moreover, the exact conditions at which events occurred, as for example dosage or mode of administration should be considered to better assess causality in conditions of abuse/overdose, or misuse as well as in conditions of lack of expected efficacy reports for biotechnological drugs and adverse event occurring after mixing of vaccines. Therefore, this review highlights the need of updating algorithmic methods to allow a perfect applicability in all possible clinical scenarios accordingly or not with the terms of marketing authorization.

The indirect and direct pathways between physical fitness and academic achievement on commencement in post-compulsory education in a historical cohort of Danish school youth.

BACKGROUND: Some studies have found positive associations between physical fitness and academic achievements. Pupils' academic achievements should indicate scholastic abilities to commence a post-compulsory education. However, the effect magnitude of physical fitness and academic achievements on commencement in post-compulsory education is unknown. We examined the pathways between physical fitness and academic achievement on pupils' commencement in post-compulsory education. METHODS: This historical cohort study followed 530 girls and 554 boys from the Danish municipality of Aalborg in the period 2008-2014, 13 to 15 years old in 2010. Physical fitness was assessed through a watt-max cycle ergometer test represented as VO2max (mL·kg-1·min-1). Academic achievement, commencement status and information on covariates were obtained from Danish nationwide registers. Causal inference based mediation analysis was used to investigate the indirect and direct pathways by separating the total effect of physical fitness on post-compulsory education commencement. RESULTS: Adjusting for sex, age, ethnicity and socioeconomic status, the overall mediation analysis showed an odds ratio (OR) of 1.87 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.30; 2.73) for the total effect, corresponding to an increase in odds of post-compulsory education commencement when the physical fitness was increased by 10 units of VO2max. The separated total effect showed a natural direct OR of 1.36 (95% CI: 0.93; 1.98) and a natural indirect (i.e., through academic achievement) OR of 1.37 (95% CI: 1.20; 1.57). Thus, 51% (95% CI: 27%; 122%) of the effect of physical fitness on post-compulsory education commencement was mediated through academic achievement. CONCLUSION: Physical fitness had a positive effect on post-compulsory education commencement. A substantial part of this effect was mediated through academic achievement.

Risk of gastrointestinal complications associated to NSAIDs, low-dose aspirin and their combinations: Results of a pharmacovigilance reporting system.

Gastrointestinal (GI) complications are one of the most limiting cause of use of NSAIDs. Beyond others well defined factors, history of peptic ulcer, older age, Helicobacter pylori infection and use of gastrotoxic drugs may affect their GI safety profile. In particular, the risk of GI complications associated to the use of antiplatelet drugs, especially low-dose acetylsalicylic acid (LDA) should deserve much attention. However, only few studies have focused on the effect of combination LDA/NSAIDs on the GI tract compared with the monotherapy and much less studies assessed this effect with multiple NSAIDs use. We aimed to characterize the GI safety profile of NSAIDs and LDA as monotherapy or their combinations in real-life conditions by analysing spontaneous adverse drug reactions (ADRs) reporting system in a Southern Italy. We used the case/non-case method in the Italian Pharmacovigilance Network (RNF). Cases were reports of GI events in the RNF between January 2007 and December 2011. Non-cases were all other reports during the same period. The association between NSAID and suspected GI ADRs was calculated using the reporting odds ratio (ROR) with 95% confidence intervals as a measure of disproportionality while adjusting for age, and concomitant use of antineoplastic agents or drugs for cardiovascular diseases. Sub-analysis were performed within the NSAID class. Among the 2816 adverse drug reactions recorded, we identified 374 (13.3%) cases of GI complications. Upper GI complications were the most frequently reported type of events. The highest associations were found for the combined use of NSAIDs and/or LDA, whilst the lowest associations were for their respective monotherapy. Looking at individual NSAIDs the highest association with GI events was observed for ketorolac exposure followed by nimesulide, diclofenac, aspirin, ketoprofen, and ibuprofen. This study highlights the primary role of the national spontaneous reporting system to bring out potential signals, such as the inappropriate drug use pattern, which however, have to be furtherly studied in-depth with ad hoc population-based studies.

Persistence and adherence with Latanoprost: A Danish register-based cohort study in older patients with glaucoma.

PURPOSE: This study aims to assess the association between switching patterns and adherence/persistence in Danish patients over the age of 65, who started their first-ever glaucoma treatment with latanoprost eye drops. METHODS: Patients were assigned to three different cohorts: (1) switchers, (2) non-switchers, and (3) preservative-free latanoprost (Monoprost®) users. Patients were followed for 1 year until the end of data coverage or censoring. Study covariates were used to compute the propensity score. In the adjusted analysis, the propensity score was added to the model as an independent variable. The Cox regression model was used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) of discontinuation for the three cohorts (the non-switchers cohort was the reference level) in both adjusted and unadjusted analyses. RESULTS: Non-switchers had a statistically significant lower adherence (proportion of days covered, PDC 92%) than switchers (PDC 96%; p < 0.001) and users of Monoprost® (PDC 99%; p < 0.001). Switchers had a 53% lower risk of treatment discontinuation compared to the reference group within 1 year after the first redemption of latanoprost in both unadjusted (HR 0.47; 95% Confidence interval, 95% CI: 0.41-0.53; p < 0.001) and adjusted (HR 0.47; 95% CI: 0.42-0.53; p < 0.001) analyses. In comparison to the non-switchers, Monoprost® users had a 78% lower risk for the above result in both unadjusted (HR 0.22; 95% CI: 0.17-0.28; p < 0.001) and adjusted (HR 0.22; 95% CI: 0.17-0.29; p < 0.001) analyses. CONCLUSION: This study found increased adherence and persistence in latanoprost users among those who redeemed preservative-free latanoprost (Monoprost®) and among those who switched between different latanoprost formulations.