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1.
Epidemiol Infect ; 144(10): 2077-86, 2016 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26931351

RESUMO

We conducted prospective, community-wide surveillance for acute respiratory illnesses (ARIs) in Rochester, NY and Marshfield, WI during a 3-month period in winter 2011. We estimated the incidence of ARIs in each community, tested for viruses, and determined the proportion of ARIs associated with healthcare visits. We used a rolling cross-sectional design to sample participants, conducted telephone interviews to assess ARI symptoms (defined as a current illness with feverishness or cough within the past 7 days), collected nasal/throat swabs to identify viruses, and extracted healthcare utilization from outpatient/inpatient records. Of 6492 individuals, 321 reported an ARI within 7 days (4·9% total, 5·7% in Rochester, 4·4% in Marshfield); swabs were collected from 208 subjects. The cumulative ARI incidence for the entire 3-month period was 52% in Rochester [95% confidence interval (CI) 42-63] and 35% in Marshfield (95% CI 28-42). A specific virus was identified in 39% of specimens: human coronavirus (13% of samples), rhinovirus (12%), RSV (7%), influenza virus (4%), human metapneumovirus (4%), and adenovirus (1%). Only 39/200 (20%) had a healthcare visit (2/9 individuals with influenza). ARI incidence was ~5% per week during winter.


Assuntos
Infecções Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Viroses/epidemiologia , Doença Aguda , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , New York/epidemiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Infecções Respiratórias/virologia , Estações do Ano , Viroses/virologia , Wisconsin/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
2.
Epidemiol Infect ; 143(7): 1417-26, 2015 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25147970

RESUMO

As influenza vaccination is now widely recommended, randomized clinical trials are no longer ethical in many populations. Therefore, observational studies on patients seeking medical care for acute respiratory illnesses (ARIs) are a popular option for estimating influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE). We developed a probability model for evaluating and comparing bias and precision of estimates of VE against symptomatic influenza from two commonly used case-control study designs: the test-negative design and the traditional case-control design. We show that when vaccination does not affect the probability of developing non-influenza ARI then VE estimates from test-negative design studies are unbiased even if vaccinees and non-vaccinees have different probabilities of seeking medical care against ARI, as long as the ratio of these probabilities is the same for illnesses resulting from influenza and non-influenza infections. Our numerical results suggest that in general, estimates from the test-negative design have smaller bias compared to estimates from the traditional case-control design as long as the probability of non-influenza ARI is similar among vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals. We did not find consistent differences between the standard errors of the estimates from the two study designs.


Assuntos
Vírus da Influenza A/imunologia , Vacinas contra Influenza/normas , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Modelos Teóricos , Probabilidade , Vacinação/normas , Viés , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Humanos , Vacinas contra Influenza/imunologia , Influenza Humana/virologia , Projetos de Pesquisa
3.
Epidemiol Infect ; 141(8): 1731-40, 2013 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23040669

RESUMO

In order to estimate influenza-associated excess mortality in southern Brazil, we applied Serfling regression models to monthly mortality data from 1980 to 2008 for pneumonia/influenza- and respiratory/circulatory-coded deaths for all ages and for those aged ≥60 years. According to viral data, 73∙5% of influenza viruses were detected between April and August in southern Brazil. There was no clear influenza season for northern Brazil. In southern Brazil, influenza-associated excess mortality was 1∙4/100,000 for all ages and 9∙2/100,000 person-years for persons aged ≥60 years using underlying pneumonia/influenza-coded deaths and 10∙0/100,000 for all ages and 86∙6/100,000 person-years for persons aged ≥60 years using underlying respiratory/circulatory-coded deaths. Influenza-associated excess mortality rates for southern Brazil are similar to those published for other countries. Our data support the need for continued influenza surveillance to guide vaccination campaigns to age groups most affected by this virus in Brazil.


Assuntos
Influenza Humana/complicações , Influenza Humana/mortalidade , Modelos Biológicos , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Brasil/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Epidemias , Humanos , Lactente , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pneumonia/complicações , Pneumonia/epidemiologia , Pneumonia/mortalidade , Análise de Regressão , Doenças Respiratórias/complicações , Doenças Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Doenças Respiratórias/mortalidade , Adulto Jovem
4.
Arch Intern Med ; 156(13): 1458-62, 1996 Jul 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8678715

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To describe the population in whom bloodstream infections with vancomycin-resistant enterococci occur and the clinical and microbiologic features of infection. METHODS: From June 1, 1991, to January 31, 1994, 73 patients with bloodstream infections with vancomycin-resistant enterococci were identified by retrospective review of hospital charts and microbiology records. RESULTS: Fifty-two (73%) of 71 patients with evaluable data were hospitalized in an intensive care, unit, the adult oncology unit, or the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome unit. Before the development of the bloodstream infection with vancomycin-resistant enterococci, patients were hospitalized and received antibiotics for a median of 26 and 25.5 days, respectively. A hematologic malignancy, respiratory failure, or renal failure requiring dialysis was present in 59 patients (83%). Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores of the patients ranged from 6 to 35 (median, 17). Forty-five (63%) of the patients died. Compared with 37 patients who had only a single positive blood culture, the 34 patients with 2 or more blood cultures positive for vancomycin-resistant enterococci more often were neutropenic or had acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (74% vs 35%; P = .002). CONCLUSIONS: Bloodstream infections with vancomycin-resistant enterococci predominantly affect severely ill patients who have received extensive antibiotic treatment during a prolonged hospitalization. Immunocompromised patients are more likely to have a persistent blood-stream infection with vancomycin-resistant enterococci.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Bacteriemia/microbiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/microbiologia , Enterococcus/efeitos dos fármacos , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Positivas/microbiologia , Vancomicina/farmacologia , Bacteriemia/tratamento farmacológico , Bacteriemia/epidemiologia , Bacteriemia/imunologia , Infecção Hospitalar/tratamento farmacológico , Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/imunologia , Resistência Microbiana a Medicamentos , Enterococcus/isolamento & purificação , Enterococcus faecium/efeitos dos fármacos , Enterococcus faecium/isolamento & purificação , Feminino , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Positivas/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Positivas/epidemiologia , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Positivas/imunologia , Hospitais Universitários , Humanos , Hospedeiro Imunocomprometido/imunologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos
5.
Pediatr Infect Dis J ; 20(7): 646-53, 2001 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11465835

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Human parainfluenza viruses 1 through 3 (HPIV-1-3) are important causes of respiratory tract infections in young children. This study sought to provide current estimates of HPIV-1-3-associated hospitalizations among US children. METHODS: Hospitalizations for bronchiolitis, bronchitis, croup and pneumonia among children age <5 years were determined for the years 1979 through 1997 using the National Hospital Discharge Survey. Average annual hospitalizations during the last 4 years of the study for each of these four diseases were multiplied by the proportions of each disease associated with HPIV-1-3 infection (as previously reported in hospital-based studies) to estimate hospitalizations potentially associated with HPIV-1-3 infections. Seasonal trends in HPIV-1-3-associated hospitalizations were compared with HPIV detections in the National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System, which prospectively monitors respiratory viral detections throughout the United States. RESULTS: The proportions of hospitalizations associated with HPIV infection for each disease varied widely in the 6 hospital-based studies we selected. Consequently our annual estimated rates of hospitalization were broad: HPIV-1, 0.32 to 1.59 per 1,000 children; HPIV-2, 0.10 to 0.86 per 1,000 children; and HPIV-3, 0.48 to 2.6 per 1,000 children. Based on these data HPIV-1 may account for 5,800 to 28,900 annual hospitalizations; HPIV-2 for 1,800 to 15,600 hospitalizations; and HPIV-3 for 8,700 to 52,000 hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: We provide broad, serotype-specific estimates of US childhood hospitalizations associated with HPIV infections. More precise estimates of HPIV-associated hospitalizations would require large prospective studies of HPIV-associated diseases by more sensitive viral testing methods, such as polymerase chain reaction techniques.


Assuntos
Bronquiolite Viral/epidemiologia , Crupe/epidemiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Infecções por Respirovirus/epidemiologia , Bronquiolite Viral/diagnóstico , Pré-Escolar , Crupe/diagnóstico , Humanos , Lactente , Vírus da Parainfluenza 1 Humana/isolamento & purificação , Vírus da Parainfluenza 2 Humana/isolamento & purificação , Vírus da Parainfluenza 3 Humana/isolamento & purificação , Pneumonia Viral/diagnóstico , Infecções por Respirovirus/diagnóstico , Fatores de Risco , Estações do Ano , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
6.
Pediatr Infect Dis J ; 19(1): 11-7, 2000 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10643844

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of lower respiratory tract illness among infants and young children. Respiratory system diseases account for a large proportion of hospitalizations in American Indian and Alaska Native (AI/AN) children; however, aggregate estimates of RSV-associated hospitalizations among AI/AN children have not been made. METHODS: We used Indian Health Service hospitalization data from 1990 through 1995 to describe hospitalizations associated with bronchiolitis, the most characteristic clinical manifestation of RSV infection, among AI/AN children <5 years old. RESULTS: The overall bronchiolitis-associated hospitalization rate among AI/AN infants < 1 year old was considerably higher (61.8 per 1,000) than the 1995 estimated bronchiolitis hospitalization rate among all US infants (34.2 per 1,000). Hospitalization rates were higher among male infants (72.2 per 1,000) than among females infants (51.1 per 1,000). The highest infant hospitalization rate was noted in the Navajo Area (96.3 per 1,000). Hospitalizations peaked annually in January or February, consistent with national peaks for RSV detection. Bronchiolitis hospitalizations accounted for an increasing proportion of hospitalizations for lower respiratory tract illnesses. CONCLUSIONS: Bronchiolitis-associated hospitalization rates are substantially greater for AI/AN infants than those for all US infants. This difference may reflect an increased likelihood of severe RSV-associated disease or a decreased threshold for hospitalization among AI/AN infants with bronchiolitis compared with all US infants. AI/AN children would receive considerable benefit from lower respiratory tract illness prevention programs, including an RSV vaccine, if and when one becomes available.


Assuntos
Bronquiolite/etnologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Indígenas Norte-Americanos/estatística & dados numéricos , Inuíte/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/etnologia , Distribuição por Idade , Alaska/epidemiologia , Bronquiolite/virologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Masculino , Sistema de Registros , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/diagnóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Distribuição por Sexo , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , United States Indian Health Service
7.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 18(12): 814-7, 1997 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9442405

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To detect respiratory adverse reactions potentially related to receipt of peripheral parenteral nutrition (PPN) in hospitalized patients and to determine risk factors for their occurrence. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Federal tertiary-care hospital. PATIENTS: Medical and pharmacy records of all patients who received PPN from October 1992 to February 1994 were abstracted for demographics, diagnoses, medications received, indications for and formulation of PPN, and severity of illness as measured by Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores. RESULTS: A case-patient was defined as any patient who, while receiving PPN, had unexplained chest pain, dyspnea, cardiopulmonary arrest, or new interstitial infiltrates on chest radiograph. Patients who received PPN in which FreAmine was the amino acid source were more likely than those who received PPN made with Travasol to meet the case definition (5/11 vs 0/39; relative risk, > 18; 95% confidence interval, 3.3->136; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: A change in the amino acid source of a PPN admixture was associated with respiratory adverse events that ranged from interstitial infiltrates to sudden death. These events apparently resulted from the infusion of a calcium phosphate precipitate in an opaque admixture. Each new PPN admixture should be tested for stability before clinical use and infused into patients through an appropriate filter.


Assuntos
Aminoácidos/administração & dosagem , Alimentos Formulados/efeitos adversos , Nutrição Parenteral/efeitos adversos , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/etiologia , APACHE , Adulto , Fosfatos de Cálcio/efeitos adversos , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Infusões Intravenosas , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/mortalidade , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/patologia , Estudos Retrospectivos
8.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 22(7): 437-42, 2001 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11583213

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To determine the costs and savings of a 15-component infection control program that reduced transmission of vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE) in an endemic setting. DESIGN: Evaluation of costs and savings, using historical control data. SETTING: Adult oncology unit of a 650-bed hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with leukemia, lymphoma, and solid tumors, excluding bone marrow transplant recipients. METHODS: Costs and savings with estimated ranges were calculated. Excess length of stay (LOS) associated with VRE bloodstream infection (BSI) was determined by matching VRE BSI patients with VRE-negative patients by oncology diagnosis. Differences in LOS between the matched groups were evaluated using a mixed-effect analysis of variance linear-regression model. RESULTS: The cost of enhanced infection control strategies for 1 year was $116,515. VRE BSI was associated with an increased LOS of 13.7 days. The savings associated with fewer VRE BSI ($123,081), fewer patients with VRE colonization ($2,755), and reductions in antimicrobial use ($179,997) totaled $305,833. Estimated ranges of costs and savings for enhanced infection control strategies were $97,939 to $148,883 for costs and $271,531 to $421,461 for savings. CONCLUSION: The net savings due to enhanced infection control strategies for 1 year was $189,318. Estimates suggest that these strategies would be cost-beneficial for hospital units where the number of patients with VRE BSI is at least six to nine patients per year or if the savings from fewer VRE BSI patients in combination with decreased antimicrobial use equalled $100,000 to $150,000 per year.


Assuntos
Bacteriemia/prevenção & controle , Infecção Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Enterococcus/efeitos dos fármacos , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Positivas/prevenção & controle , Custos Hospitalares/estatística & dados numéricos , Controle de Infecções/economia , Serviço Hospitalar de Oncologia/economia , Resistência a Vancomicina , Adulto , Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Bacteriemia/tratamento farmacológico , Bacteriemia/economia , Controle de Custos , Redução de Custos , Infecção Hospitalar/tratamento farmacológico , Infecção Hospitalar/economia , Enterococcus/isolamento & purificação , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Positivas/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Positivas/economia , Hospitais com mais de 500 Leitos , Humanos , Controle de Infecções/métodos , Tempo de Internação/economia , New York , Vancomicina/farmacologia , Vancomicina/uso terapêutico
9.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 20(5): 306-11, 1999 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10349945

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To assess possible transmission modes of, and risk factors for, gastroenteritis associated with Norwalk-like viruses (NLVs) in a geriatric long-term-care facility. METHODS: During a prolonged outbreak of acute gastroenteritis, epidemiological data on illness among residents and employees were collected in conjunction with stool, vomitus, and environmental specimens for viral testing. NLVs were identified by electron microscopy in stool and vomitus specimens, and further characterized by reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction and nucleotide sequencing. Potential risk factors were examined through medical-record review, personal interview, and a self-administered questionnaire sent to all employees. RESULTS: During the outbreak period, 52 (57%) of 91 residents and 34 (35%) of 90 employees developed acute gastroenteritis. Four case-residents were hospitalized; three residents died at the facility shortly after onset of illness. A point source was not identified; no association between food or water consumption and gastroenteritis was identified. A single NLV strain genetically related to Toronto virus was the only pathogen identified. Residents were at significantly higher risk of gastroenteritis if they were physically debilitated (relative risk [RR], 3.5; 95% confidence interval [CI95], 1.0-12.9), as were employees exposed to residents with acute gastroenteritis (RR, 2.6; CI95, 1.1-6.5) or ill household members (RR, 2.3; CI95, 1.4-3.6). Adherence to infection control measures among the nursing staff may have reduced the risk of gastroenteritis, but the reduction did not reach statistical significance. CONCLUSIONS: In the absence of evidence for food-borne or waterborne transmission, NLVs likely spread among residents and employees of a long-term-care facility through person-to-person or airborne droplet transmission. Rapid notification of local health officials, collection of clinical specimens, and institution of infection control measures are necessary if viral gastroenteritis transmission is to be limited in institutional settings.


Assuntos
Infecções por Caliciviridae/epidemiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Gastroenterite/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Infecções por Caliciviridae/prevenção & controle , Infecções por Caliciviridae/transmissão , Infecções por Caliciviridae/virologia , Busca de Comunicante , Infecção Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Infecção Hospitalar/transmissão , Infecção Hospitalar/virologia , Feminino , Gastroenterite/prevenção & controle , Gastroenterite/virologia , Instituição de Longa Permanência para Idosos , Humanos , Controle de Infecções/métodos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vírus Norwalk/isolamento & purificação , Casas de Saúde , Fatores de Risco , Estatística como Assunto , Washington/epidemiologia
10.
Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med ; 154(10): 991-6, 2000 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11030850

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To compare asthma and bronchiolitis hospitalization rates in American Indian and Alaskan native (AI/AN) children and all children in Washington State. METHODS: A retrospective data analysis using Washington State hospitalization data for 1987 through 1996. Patients were included if asthma or bronchiolitis was the first-listed diagnosis. American Indian and Alaskan native children were identified by linking state hospitalization data with Indian Health Service enrollment data. RESULTS: Similar rates of asthma hospitalization were found for AI/AN children older than 1 year compared with all children. In AI/AN children younger than 1 year, hospitalization rates for asthma (528 per 100,000 population; 95% confidence interval [CI], 346-761) and bronchiolitis (2954 per 100,000 population; 95% CI, 2501-3456) were 2 to 3 times higher than the rates in all children (232 per 100,000 population [95% CI, 215-251] and 1190 per 100,000 population [95% CI, 1149-1232], respectively). Hospitalization rates for asthma and bronchiolitis increased 50% between 1987 and 1996 for all children younger than 1 year and almost doubled for AI/AN children younger than 1 year. CONCLUSIONS: American Indian and Alaskan native children have significantly higher rates of hospitalization for wheezing illnesses during the first year of life compared with children of other age groups and races. Furthermore, the disparities in rates have increased significantly over time. Future public health measures directed at managing asthma and bronchiolitis should target AI/AN infants.


Assuntos
Asma/etnologia , Bronquiolite/etnologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Indígenas Norte-Americanos/estatística & dados numéricos , Inuíte/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Distribuição por Idade , Asma/epidemiologia , Asma/prevenção & controle , Bronquiolite/epidemiologia , Bronquiolite/prevenção & controle , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Hospitalização/tendências , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Registro Médico Coordenado , Pobreza/estatística & dados numéricos , Características de Residência/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos , United States Indian Health Service , Washington/epidemiologia
11.
Pediatr Clin North Am ; 42(3): 703-16, 1995 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-7761148

RESUMO

Strategies to reduce the spread of hospital-acquired microorganisms resistant to multiple antimicrobial agents are discussed. Because hospitals have experienced a rapid increase in the incidence of infection and colonization with vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE) in the past 5 years, the Hospital Infection Control Practices Advisory Committee of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has issued recommendations for preventing the spread of vancomycin resistance. Controlling VRE dissemination in pediatric patients requires prompt detection of VRE by microbiology laboratories, education of staff and families about VRE, use of infection control measures to prevent person-to-person VRE transmission, and prudent vancomycin use.


Assuntos
Infecção Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Enterococcus/efeitos dos fármacos , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Positivas/prevenção & controle , Vancomicina/farmacologia , Criança , Resistência a Múltiplos Medicamentos , Humanos , Controle de Infecções/organização & administração , Pediatria , Vancomicina/uso terapêutico
12.
Vaccine ; 30(26): 3937-3943, 2012 Jun 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22484350

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Serologic response to influenza vaccination declines with age. Few other host factors are known to be associated with serologic response. Our objective was to determine whether obesity and vulnerability independently predicted serologic response to influenza vaccination. METHODS: Adults ≥ 50 years were recruited during the 2008-2009 influenza season. Subjects provided pre- and post-vaccination sera for measuring antibody titers to 2008-2009 vaccine components. Body mass index (BMI) was calculated as weight (kg)/height (m(2)). Data were collected on vulnerability using the vulnerable elders survey (VES13). Logistic regression evaluated the associations between obesity and vulnerability and the serologic response to vaccination (both seroprotection and seroconversion), adjusting for gender, age, comorbidities, pre-vaccination titer, and site. RESULTS: Mean (± standard deviation) age of 415 study subjects was 65 ± 10 years; 40% were obese. Mean BMI was 29 ± 5.6 kg/m(2); mean VES13 was 1.6 ± 1.8. The proportions of subjects who seroconverted and had seroprotective titers were 40% and 49%, respectively, for A/Brisbane/59 (H1N1); 73% and 80% for A/Brisbane/10 (H3N2); and 34% and 94% for B/Florida. Modified VES-13 (score 0-10, with 10 being most vulnerable) was not associated with seroprotection against H1N1 or H3N2, and VES-13 was directly associated with seroconversion to H1N1 but not H3N2 or B. Obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m(2) vs. BMI 18.5-30 kg/m(2)) was not associated with seroprotection for H1N1 or H3N2; obesity was directly associated with seroconversion to H3N2 but not H1N1 or B. Age was inversely associated with seroprotection and seroconversion against H1N1 and with seroconversion to influenza B. CONCLUSION: Based on this sample of older healthy subjects, there were no consistent relationships between VES 13 or obesity and either seroprotection or seroconversion to three influenza vaccine antigens.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra Influenza/administração & dosagem , Vacinas contra Influenza/imunologia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Obesidade/imunologia , Vacinação/métodos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Anticorpos Antivirais/sangue , Índice de Massa Corporal , Feminino , Florida , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inquéritos e Questionários , Populações Vulneráveis
14.
Med Care ; 37(9): 874-83, 1999 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10493466

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Although risk assessment models for specific adult populations such as the elderly have been developed, little work has focused on developing pediatric-specific models. The lack of pediatric models may result in incorrect estimates of relative disease severity among children, in reduced reimbursement for health plans and providers, and in inadequate health care for chronically ill children. OBJECTIVES: To develop and to evaluate a pediatric risk assessment model using automated pharmacy data. DESIGN: Retrospective, case-cohort study using automated data. SUBJECTS: All children continuously enrolled in Group Health Cooperative of Puget Sound during 1992 and 1993. MEASURES: The Pediatric Chronic Disease Score (PCDS), an algorithm that classified children into chronic disease categories by prescription drug fills, was compared with the ICD-9-CM-based Ambulatory Care Groups (ACG) model and a demographic model for prediction of total, ambulatory, or primary care costs and primary care visits. Forecast models were estimated using linear regression and they were evaluated with R2, mean prediction error, mean squared prediction error, and Mincer-Zarnowitz tests. RESULTS: The pharmacy-based PCDS performed significantly better on each of the four forecasting accuracy tests than did a demographic model (eg, R2s averaging fourfold higher). Compared with the ACG model, the PCDS model performed similarly on mean squared prediction error tests; however, the ACG generally had higher validation R2 values. CONCLUSIONS: A pharmacy-based pediatric risk assessment model performs better than a demographic model and represents a viable alternative to ICD-9-CM-based models. Further research is necessary to determine if children must be considered separately from adults when conducting population-based risk assessments.


Assuntos
Doença Crônica/classificação , Doença Crônica/tratamento farmacológico , Sistemas de Informação em Farmácia Clínica/estatística & dados numéricos , Prescrições de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Adolescente , Algoritmos , Viés , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Doença Crônica/economia , Grupos Diagnósticos Relacionados/classificação , Prescrições de Medicamentos/economia , Feminino , Previsões , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/economia , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/tendências , Humanos , Lactente , Modelos Lineares , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Risco Ajustado , Washington
15.
Am J Epidemiol ; 139(2): 184-92, 1994 Jan 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8296785

RESUMO

Although Hispanics are a poorly educated and medically underserved minority, the incidence of low birth weight (less than 2,500 g) Hispanic infants is similar to that of non-Hispanic whites. The authors used 1982-1983 Illinois vital records and 1980 US census income data to determine the contribution of maternal nativity and place of residence to this epidemiologic paradox. The proportion of low birth weight Hispanic (n = 22,892) infants ranged from 4.3% for Mexicans to 9.1% for Puerto Ricans. Maternal age, education, trimester of prenatal care initiation, and place of residence were associated with the prevalence of low birth weight infants among Puerto Rican but not foreign-born Mexican or Central-South American mothers. In very low-income (less than $10,000/year) census tracts, Mexican and other Hispanic infants with US-born mothers had low birth weight rates of 14 and 15%, respectively. In contrast, Mexican and other Hispanic infants with foreign-born mothers who resided in these areas had low birth weight rates of 3 and 7%, respectively. In a logistic model that included only impoverished infants, the adjusted odds ratio of low birth weight for those with US-born mothers equalled 6.3 (95 percent confidence interval 2.3-16.9). The authors conclude that urban poverty is negatively associated with Hispanic birth weight only when the mother is Puerto Rican or a US-born member of another subgroup.


Assuntos
Hispânico ou Latino , Recém-Nascido de Baixo Peso , Pobreza , Saúde da População Urbana , Adulto , Chicago/epidemiologia , Cuba/etnologia , Escolaridade , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Idade Materna , México/etnologia , Paridade , Cuidado Pré-Natal , Prevalência , Porto Rico/etnologia , Fatores de Risco , América do Sul/etnologia
16.
N Engl J Med ; 342(19): 1399-407, 2000 May 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10805825

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND METHODS: Pneumonia remains an important cause of childhood deaths throughout the world, but in developed countries, the mortality rate is decreasing. We reviewed death records for children in the United States from 1939 through 1996. A plot of the annual rates of change in the number of deaths from pneumonia was used to generate hypotheses about the influence of various events and interventions. We used data from the National Hospital Discharge Survey, the Medicaid program, and published reports to test these hypotheses. RESULTS: During the 58-year study period, the number of children who died from pneumonia declined by 97 percent, from 24,637 in 1939 to 800 in 1996. During the same period, the rate of mortality from other causes declined by 82 percent. There were steep declines in the mortality rates for pneumonia from 1944 to 1950, although the rate increased among older children in 1957, and there were sustained declines in all age groups from 1966 to 1982. From 1966 to 1982, the mortality declined by an average of 13.0 percent annually, and these decreases coincided with increases in the proportion of poor children covered by Medicaid, increases in rates of hospitalization for pneumonia, a narrowing of the gap between the mortality rate for black children and the rate for white children, and a convergence between the mortality rate in the South and the rates in the other three census regions. CONCLUSIONS: Since 1939, the rate of mortality from pneumonia in children in the United States has declined markedly. We hypothesize that the steep declines in the late 1940s are attributable to the use of penicillin, that the peak in 1957 was due to the influenza A pandemic, and that the sustained decline from 1966 through 1982 may be attributable in part to improved access to medical care for poor children.


Assuntos
Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/tendências , Pneumonia/mortalidade , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/tendências , Humanos , Lactente , Influenza Humana/complicações , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Cobertura do Seguro/estatística & dados numéricos , Cobertura do Seguro/tendências , Medicaid/estatística & dados numéricos , Medicaid/tendências , Mortalidade/tendências , Penicilinas/uso terapêutico , Pneumonia/tratamento farmacológico , Pneumonia/etiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
17.
Pediatrics ; 103(1): E3, 1999 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9917483

RESUMO

CONTEXT: A tetravalent vaccine against rotavirus, the most commonly identified etiologic agent of viral gastroenteritis (GE), has recently been licensed for use in the United States. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether specific groups of infants might be at sufficiently high risk to warrant a focused rotavirus vaccine policy, we investigated perinatal risk factors for hospitalization with viral GE and rotavirus in the first year of life. DESIGN: Population-based, case-control study. SETTING: Washington State linked birth certificate and hospital discharge abstracts from 1987 through 1995. PATIENTS: Infants, 1 through 11 months of age, hospitalized for viral GE (N = 1606) were patients in this study. Control subjects were 8084 nonhospitalized infants, frequency-matched to patients on year of birth. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Maternal and infant characteristics associated with infant hospitalization for viral GE. RESULTS: We found a significant association between birth weight and the risk for hospitalization. Very low birth weight infants (<1500 g) were at the highest risk (odds ratio [OR] 2.6; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.6,4.1);, low birth weight infants (1500-2499 g), at intermediate risk (OR 1.6; 95% CI: 1.3,2.1); and large infants (>4000 g), at reduced risk (OR 0.8; 95% CI: 0.6,0.9). Other characteristics associated with GE hospitalization were male gender (OR 1.4; 95% CI: 1.3,1.6); maternal smoking (OR 1.2; 95% CI: 1.1,1. 4); unmarried mother (OR 1.2; 95% CI: 1.1,1.4); Medicaid insurance (OR 1.4; 95% CI: 1.3,1.7); and maternal age <20 years (OR 1.2; 95% CI: 1.0,1.5). Infants born October through December were at decreased risk for hospitalization (OR 0.8; 95% CI: 0.7,0.9), as were infants born to Asian mothers (OR 0.5; 95% CI: 0.3,0.7), and infants born to mothers >34 years of age (OR 0.7; 95% CI: 0.6,0.9). Using these factors, the area under a receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.63. Therefore, to achieve a sensitivity of 90% in identifying high-risk infants, specificity would fall to 10%. Subanalyses of children admitted for viral GE during the peak of the Northwest rotavirus season (January to March) and children with confirmed rotavirus infection demonstrated similar risk factors and receiver operating characteristic curves. CONCLUSION: We conclude that a focused rotavirus vaccination policy using readily identifiable potential high-risk groups would be unlikely to prevent most infant hospitalizations associated with rotavirus infection. However, the safety of rotavirus vaccine in low birth weight and premature infants must be established, because these children appear to be at greater risk for hospitalization with viral GE and rotavirus.


Assuntos
Diarreia Infantil/epidemiologia , Gastroenterite/epidemiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por Rotavirus/epidemiologia , Análise de Variância , Peso ao Nascer , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Diarreia Infantil/etnologia , Diarreia Infantil/virologia , Feminino , Gastroenterite/virologia , Humanos , Lactente , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Idade Materna , Curva ROC , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Infecções por Rotavirus/etnologia , Estações do Ano , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Washington/epidemiologia
18.
J Infect Dis ; 183(1): 16-22, 2001 Jan 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11076709

RESUMO

A 1985 estimate that 4500 respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-associated deaths occur annually among US children has not been updated using nationally representative data. Thus, 1979-1997 multiple cause-of-death records for children <5 years old listing bronchiolitis, pneumonia, or any respiratory tract disease were examined. Deaths among children associated with any respiratory disease declined from 4631 in 1979 to 2502 in 1997. During the 19-year study period, 1806 bronchiolitis-associated deaths occurred (annual mean, 95 deaths; range, 66-127 deaths). Of these deaths, 1435 (79%) occurred among infants <1 year old. Congenital heart disease, lung disease, or prematurity was listed in death records of 179 (9.9%), 99 (5.5%), and 76 (4.2%) children dying with bronchiolitis, respectively. By applying published proportions of children hospitalized for bronchiolitis or pneumonia who were RSV-infected to bronchiolitis and pneumonia deaths, it was estimated that < or =510 RSV-associated deaths occurred annually during the study period, fewer than previously estimated.


Assuntos
Bronquiolite/mortalidade , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/mortalidade , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Cardiopatias Congênitas/mortalidade , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Masculino , Estações do Ano , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
19.
JAMA ; 278(4): 293-8, 1997.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9228434

RESUMO

CONTEXT: While early discharge of newborns following routine vaginal delivery has become common practice, its safety has not been firmly established. OBJECTIVE: To assess the risk for rehospitalization following newborn early discharge. DESIGN: Population-based, case-control study. SETTING: Washington State linked birth certificate and hospital discharge abstracts covering 310578 live births from 1991 through 1994. PATIENTS: Case patients were 2029 newborns rehospitalized in the first month of life. Control subjects were 8657 randomly selected newborns not rehospitalized and frequency matched to case patients on year of birth. Cesarean deliveries, multiple births, and births at less than 36 weeks' gestation were not included. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Stratified analyses and logistic regression were performed to assess the risk for rehospitalization within a month of birth after early discharge (<30 hours after birth) compared with later discharge (30-78 hours after birth). RESULTS: Seventeen percent of newborns were discharged early. Newborns discharged early were more likely to be rehospitalized within 7 days (odds ratio [OR], 1.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11-1.47), 14 days (OR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.03-1.32), and 28 days (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.00-1.25) of discharge than newborns sent home later. Subgroups at increased risk for rehospitalization following early discharge included newborns born to primigravidas (OR,1.25; 95% CI, 1.07-1.45), mothers younger than 18 years (OR, 1.22; 95% CI, 0.79-1.91), and mothers with premature rupture of membranes (OR, 1.41; 95% CI, 0.85-2.36). Early discharge was also associated with an increased risk of readmission for jaundice, dehydration, and sepsis. CONCLUSION: Newborns discharged home early (<30 hours after birth) are at increased risk for rehospitalization during the first month of life.


Assuntos
Neonatologia/normas , Berçários Hospitalares/estatística & dados numéricos , Alta do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Cuidado Pós-Natal/normas , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Desidratação , Parto Obstétrico , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Icterícia Neonatal , Tempo de Internação , Funções Verossimilhança , Modelos Logísticos , Neonatologia/estatística & dados numéricos , Berçários Hospitalares/normas , Readmissão do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Gravidez , Medição de Risco , Sepse , Washington/epidemiologia
20.
JAMA ; 282(15): 1440-6, 1999 Oct 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10535434

RESUMO

CONTEXT: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes more lower respiratory tract infections, often manifested as bronchiolitis, among young children than any other pathogen. Few national estimates exist of the hospitalizations attributable to RSV, and recent advances in prophylaxis warrant an update of these estimates. OBJECTIVES: To describe rates of bronchiolitis-associated hospitalizations and to estimate current hospitalizations associated with RSV infection. DESIGN AND SETTING: Descriptive analysis of US National Hospital Discharge Survey data from 1980 through 1996. PARTICIPANTS: Children younger than 5 years who were hospitalized in short-stay, non-federal hospitals for bronchiolitis. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Bronchiolitis-associated hospitalization rates by age and year. RESULTS: During the 17-year study period, an estimated 1.65 million hospitalizations for bronchiolitis occurred among children younger than 5 years, accounting for 7.0 million inpatient days. Fifty-seven percent of these hospitalizations occurred among children younger than 6 months and 81 % among those younger than 1 year. Among children younger than 1 year, annual bronchiolitis hospitalization rates increased 2.4-fold, from 12.9 per 1000 in 1980 to 31.2 per 1000 in 1996. During 1988-1996, infant hospitalization rates for bronchiolitis increased significantly (P for trend <.001), while hospitalization rates for lower respiratory tract diseases excluding bronchiolitis did not vary significantly (P for trend = .20). The proportion of hospitalizations for lower respiratory tract illnesses among children younger than 1 year associated with bronchiolitis increased from 22.2% in 1980 to 47.4% in 1996; among total hospitalizations, this proportion increased from 5.4% to 16.4%. Averaging bronchiolitis hospitalizations during 1994-1996 and assuming that RSV was the etiologic agent in 50% to 80% of November through April hospitalizations, an estimated 51, 240 to 81, 985 annual bronchiolitis hospitalizations among children younger than 1 year were related to RSV infection. CONCLUSIONS: During 1980-1996, rates of hospitalization of infants with bronchiolitis increased substantially, as did the proportion of total and lower respiratory tract hospitalizations associated with bronchiolitis. Annual bronchiolitis hospitalizations associated with RSV infection among infants may be greater than previous estimates for RSV bronchiolitis and pneumonia hospitalizations combined.


Assuntos
Bronquiolite/epidemiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/epidemiologia , Bronquiolite/microbiologia , Bronquiolite/terapia , Pré-Escolar , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Lactente , Morbidade , National Center for Health Statistics, U.S. , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/terapia , Infecções Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Infecções Respiratórias/terapia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
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