Comparative CKD risk prediction using homocitrulline and carbamylated albumin: two circulating markers of protein carbamylation.

BACKGROUND: Protein carbamylation, a post-translational protein modification primarily driven by urea, independently associates with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with CKD. Biomarkers used to quantify carbamylation burden have mainly included carbamylated albumin (C-Alb) and homocitrulline (HCit, carbamylated lysine). In this study, we aimed to compare the prognostic utility of these two markers in order to facilitate comparisons of existing studies employing either marker alone, and to inform future carbamylation studies. METHODS: Both serum C-Alb and free HCit levels were assayed from the same timepoint in 1632 individuals with CKD stages 2-4 enrolled in the prospective Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study. Adjusted Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess risks for the outcomes of death (primary) and end stage kidney disease (ESKD) using each marker. C-statistics, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination improvement were used to compare the prognostic value of each marker. RESULTS: Participant demographics included mean (SD) age 59 (11) years; 702 (43%) females; 700 (43%) white. C-Alb and HCit levels were positively correlated with one another (Pearson correlation coefficient 0.64). Higher C-Alb and HCit levels showed similar increased risk of death (e.g., the adjusted hazard ratio [HR] for death in the 4th carbamylation quartile compared to the 1st was 1.90 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.35-2.66) for C-Alb, and 1.89 [1.27-2.81] for HCit; and on a continuous scale, the adjusted HR for death using C-Alb was 1.24 [1.11 to 1.39] per standard deviation increase, and 1.27 [1.10-1.46] using HCit). Both biomarkers also had similar HRs for ESKD. The C-statistics were similar when adding each carbamylation biomarker to base models (e.g., for mortality models, the C-statistic was 0.725 [0.707-0.743] with C-Alb and 0.725 [0.707-0.743] with HCit, both compared to a base model 0.723). Similarities were also observed for the net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement metrics. CONCLUSIONS: C-Alb and HCit had similar performance across multiple prognostic assessments. The markers appear readily comparable in CKD epidemiological studies.

Risk for Chronic Kidney Disease Progression After Acute Kidney Injury: Findings From the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Prior studies associating acute kidney injury (AKI) with more rapid subsequent loss of kidney function had methodological limitations, including inadequate control for differences between patients who had AKI and those who did not. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether AKI is independently associated with subsequent kidney function trajectory among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). DESIGN: Multicenter prospective cohort study. SETTING: United States. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with CKD (n = 3150). MEASUREMENTS: Hospitalized AKI was defined by a 50% or greater increase in inpatient serum creatinine (SCr) level from nadir to peak. Kidney function trajectory was assessed using estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on SCr level (eGFRcr) or cystatin C level (eGFRcys) measured at annual study visits. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 3.9 years, 433 participants had at least 1 AKI episode. Most episodes (92%) had stage 1 or 2 severity. There were decreases in eGFRcr (-2.30 [95% CI, -3.70 to -0.86] mL/min/1.73 m2) and eGFRcys (-3.61 [CI, -6.39 to -0.82] mL/min/1.73 m2) after AKI. However, in fully adjusted models, the decreases were attenuated to -0.38 (CI, -1.35 to 0.59) mL/min/1.73 m2 for eGFRcr and -0.15 (CI, -2.16 to 1.86) mL/min/1.73 m2 for eGFRcys, and the CI bounds included the possibility of no effect. Estimates of changes in eGFR slope after AKI determined by either SCr level (0.04 [CI, -0.30 to 0.38] mL/min/1.73 m2 per year) or cystatin C level (-0.56 [CI, -1.28 to 0.17] mL/min/1.73 m2 per year) also had CI bounds that included the possibility of no effect. LIMITATIONS: Few cases of severe AKI, no adjudication of AKI cause, and lack of information about nephrotoxic exposures after hospital discharge. CONCLUSION: After pre-AKI eGFR, proteinuria, and other covariables were accounted for, the association between mild to moderate AKI and worsening subsequent kidney function in patients with CKD was small. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health.

Ultraprocessed Foods and Kidney Disease Progression, Mortality, and Cardiovascular Disease Risk in the CRIC Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Ultraprocessed foods are widely consumed in the United States and are associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD), mortality, and kidney function decline in the general population. We investigated associations between ultraprocessed food intake and chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression, all-cause mortality, and incident CVD in adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD). STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study participants who completed baseline dietary questionnaires. EXPOSURE: Ultraprocessed food intake (in servings per day) classified according to the NOVA system. OUTCOMES: CKD progression (≥50% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] or initiation of kidney replacement therapy), all-cause mortality, and incident CVD (myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, or stroke). ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographic, lifestyle, and health covariates. RESULTS: There were 1,047 CKD progression events observed during a median follow-up of 7 years. Greater ultraprocessed food intake was associated with higher risk of CKD progression (tertile 3 vs tertile 1, HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.04-1.42; P=0.01 for trend). The association differed by baseline kidney function, such that greater intake was associated with higher risk among people with CKD stages 1/2 (eGFR≥60mL/min/1.73m2; tertile 3 vs tertile 1, HR, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.32-5.18) but not stages 3a-5 (eGFR<60mL/min/1.73m2; P=0.003 for interaction). There were 1,104 deaths observed during a median follow-up of 14 years. Greater ultraprocessed food intake was associated with higher risk of mortality (tertile 3 vs tertile 1, HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.04-1.40; P=0.004 for trend). LIMITATIONS: Self-reported diet. CONCLUSIONS: Greater ultraprocessed food intake may be associated with CKD progression in earlier stages of CKD and is associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality in adults with CKD. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Ultraprocessed foods are industrial formulations produced using ingredients and processes that are not commonly used in culinary preparations and contain few, if any, intact unprocessed foods. Ultraprocessed foods are widely consumed in the United States, and high intakes of such foods have been linked to cardiovascular disease, kidney disease, and mortality in the general population. In this study, we found that greater intake of ultraprocessed foods was associated with higher risk of kidney disease progression and mortality in adults with chronic kidney disease. Our findings suggest that patients with kidney disease may benefit from greater consumption of fresh, whole, and homemade or hand-prepared foods and fewer highly processed foods.

Prospective associations of health literacy with clinical outcomes in adults with CKD: findings from the CRIC study.

BACKGROUND: Limited health literacy is associated with significant morbidity and mortality in the general population but the relation of health literacy with long-term clinical outcomes among adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is less clear. METHODS: Prospective data from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study (n = 3715) were used. Health literacy was assessed with the Short Test of Functional Health Literacy in Adults (dichotomized as limited/adequate). Cox proportional hazards models were used to separately examine the relations of health literacy with CKD progression, cardiovascular event (any of the following: myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, stroke or peripheral artery disease), and all-cause, cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality. Poisson regression was used to assess the health literacy-hospitalization association. Models were sequentially adjusted: Model 1 adjusted for potential confounders (sociodemographic factors), while Model 2 additionally adjusted for potential mediators (clinical and lifestyle factors) of the associations of interest. RESULTS: In confounder-adjusted models, participants with limited (vs adequate) health literacy [555 (15%)] had an increased risk of CKD progression [hazard ratio (HR) 1.34; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-1.71], cardiovascular event (HR 1.67; 95% CI 1.39-2.00), hospitalization (rate ratio 1.33; 95% CI 1.26-1.40), and all-cause (HR 1.54; 95% CI 1.27-1.86), cardiovascular (HR 2.39; 95% CI 1.69-3.38) and non-cardiovascular (HR 1.27; 95% CI 1.01-1.60) mortality. Additional adjustments for potential mediators (Model 2) showed similar results except that the relations of health literacy with CKD progression and non-cardiovascular mortality were no longer statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: In the CRIC Study, adults with limited (vs adequate) health literacy had a higher risk for CKD progression, cardiovascular event, hospitalization and mortality-regardless of adjustment for potential confounders.

Association of Proximal Tubular Secretory Clearance with Long-Term Decline in Cognitive Function.

BACKGROUND: People with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at high risk for cognitive impairment and progressive cognitive decline. Retention of protein-bound organic solutes that are normally removed by tubular secretion is hypothesized to contribute to cognitive impairment in CKD. METHODS: We followed 2362 participants who were initially free of cognitive impairment and stroke in the prospective Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. We estimated tubular secretory clearance by the 24-hour kidney clearances of eight endogenous solutes that are primarily eliminated by tubular secretion. CRIC study investigators assessed participants' cognitive function annually using the Modified Mini-Mental State (3MS) Examination. Cognitive decline was defined as a sustained decrease of more than five points in the 3MS score from baseline. Using Cox regression models adjusted for potential confounders, we analyzed associations between secretory solute clearances, serum solute concentrations, and cognitive decline. RESULTS: The median number of follow-up 3MS examinations was six per participant. There were 247 incident cognitive decline events over a median of 9.1 years of follow-up. Lower kidney clearances of five of the eight secretory solutes (cinnamoylglycine, isovalerylglycine, kynurenic acid, pyridoxic acid, and tiglylglycine) were associated with cognitive decline after adjustment for baseline eGFR, proteinuria, and other confounding variables. Effect sizes ranged from a 17% to a 34% higher risk of cognitive decline per 50% lower clearance. In contrast, serum concentrations of the solutes were not associated with cognitive decline. CONCLUSIONS: Lower kidney clearances of secreted solutes are associated with incident global cognitive decline in a prospective study of CKD, independent of eGFR. Further work is needed to determine the domains of cognition most affected by decreased secretory clearance and the mechanisms of these associations.

Risk of Potentially Inappropriate Medications in Adults With CKD: Findings From the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) may be at increased risk of adverse effects from use of potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs). Our objective was to assess whether PIM exposure has an independent association with CKD progression, hospitalizations, mortality, or falls. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective observational study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study; 3,929 adults with CKD enrolled 2003-2008 and followed prospectively until December 2011. EXPOSURE: PIM exposure was defined as prescriptions for any medications to be avoided in older adults as defined by the 2015 American Geriatrics Society Beers Criteria. OUTCOME: Hospitalization count, death, a composite kidney disease end point of CKD progression or initiation of kidney replacement therapy (KRT), KRT, and fall events assessed 1 year after PIM exposure. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Logistic regression and Poisson regression to estimate the associations of PIM exposure with each outcome. RESULTS: The most commonly prescribed PIMs were proton pump inhibitors and α-blockers. In unadjusted models, any PIM exposure (compared to none) was associated with hospitalizations, death, and fall events. After adjustment, exposure to 1, 2, or≥3 PIMs had a graded association with a higher hospitalization rate (rate ratios of 1.09 [95% CI, 1.01-1.17], 1.18 [95% CI, 1.07-1.30], and 1.35 [95% CI, 1.19-1.53], respectively) and higher odds of mortality (odds ratios of 1.19 [95% CI, 0.91-1.54], 1.62 [95% CI, 1.21-2.17], and 1.65 [95% CI, 1.14-2.41], respectively). In a cohort subset reporting falls (n=1,109), prescriptions for≥3 PIMs were associated with an increased risk of falls (adjusted OR, 2.85 [95% CI, 1.54-5.26]). PIMs were not associated with CKD progression or KRT. Age did not modify the association between PIM count and outcomes. LIMITATIONS: Measurement bias; confounding by indication. CONCLUSIONS: Adults of any age with CKD who are prescribed PIMs have an increased risk of hospitalization, mortality, and falls with the greatest risk occurring after more than 1 PIM prescription.

Novel Risk Factors for Progression of Diabetic and Nondiabetic CKD: Findings From the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Identification of novel risk factors for chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression may inform mechanistic investigations and improve identification of high-risk subgroups. The current study aimed to characterize CKD progression across levels of numerous risk factors and identify independent risk factors for CKD progression among those with and without diabetes. STUDY DESIGN: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study is a prospective cohort study of adults with CKD conducted at 7 US clinical centers. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Participants (N=3,379) had up to 12.3 years of follow-up; 47% had diabetes. PREDICTORS: 30 risk factors for CKD progression across sociodemographic, behavioral, clinical, and biochemical domains at baseline. OUTCOMES: Study outcomes were estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slope and the composite of halving of eGFR or initiation of kidney replacement therapy. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Stepwise selection of independent risk factors was performed stratified by diabetes status using linear mixed-effects and Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Among those without and with diabetes, respectively, mean eGFR slope was-1.4±3.3 and-2.7±4.7mL/min/1.73m2 per year. Among participants with diabetes, multivariable-adjusted hazard of the composite outcome was approximately 2-fold or greater with higher levels of the inflammatory chemokine CXCL12, the cardiac marker N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and the kidney injury marker urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL). Among those without diabetes, low serum bicarbonate and higher high-sensitivity troponin T, NT-proBNP, and urinary NGAL levels were all significantly associated with a 1.5-fold or greater rate of the composite outcome. LIMITATIONS: The observational study design precludes causal inference. CONCLUSIONS: Strong associations for cardiac markers, plasma CXCL12, and urinary NGAL are comparable to that of systolic blood pressure≥140mm Hg, a well-established risk factor for CKD progression. This warrants further investigation into the potential mechanisms that these markers indicate and opportunities to use them to improve risk stratification.

Clinical events and patient-reported outcome measures during CKD progression: findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) face risks of not only end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), cardiovascular disease (CVD) and death, but also decline in kidney function, quality of life (QOL) and mental and physical well-being. This study describes the multidimensional trajectories of CKD using clinical events, kidney function and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs). We hypothesized that more advanced CKD stages would associate with more rapid decline in each outcome. METHODS: Among 3939 participants enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study, we evaluated multidimensional disease trajectories by G- and A-stages of enrollment estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria, respectively. These trajectories included clinical events (ESKD, CVD, heart failure and death), eGFR decline and PROMs [kidney disease QOL (KDQOL) burden, effects and symptoms questionnaires, as well as the 12-item short form mental and physical component summaries]. We also evaluated a group-based multitrajectory model to group participants on the basis of longitudinal PROMs and compared group assignments by enrollment G- and A-stage. RESULTS: The mean participant age was 58 years, 45% were women, mean baseline eGFR was 44 mL/min/1.73 m2 and median urine albumin:creatinine ratio was 52 mg/g. The incidence of all clinical events was greater and eGFR decline was faster with more advanced G- and A-stages. While baseline KDQOL and physical component measures were lower with more advanced G- and A-stage of CKD, changes in PROMs were inconsistently related to the baseline CKD stage. Groups formed on PROM trajectories were fairly distinct from existing CKD staging (observed agreement 60.6%) and were associated with the risk of ESKD, CVD, heart failure and death. CONCLUSIONS: More advanced baseline CKD stage was associated with a higher risk of clinical events and faster eGFR decline, and was only weakly related to changes in patient-reported metrics over time.

Protein carbamylation and chronic kidney disease progression in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Protein carbamylation is a post-translational protein modification caused, in part, by exposure to urea's dissociation product cyanate. Carbamylation is linked to cardiovascular outcomes and mortality in dialysis-dependent end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), but its effects in earlier pre-dialysis stages of chronic kidney disease (CKD) are not established. METHODS: We conducted two nested case-control studies within the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study. First, we matched 75 cases demonstrating CKD progression [50% estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) reduction or reaching ESKD] to 75 controls (matched on baseline eGFR, 24-h proteinuria, age, sex and race). In the second study, we similarly matched 75 subjects who died during follow-up (cases) to 75 surviving controls. Baseline carbamylated albumin levels (C-Alb, a validated carbamylation assay) were compared between cases and controls in each study. RESULTS: At baseline, in the CKD progression study, other than blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and smoking status, there were no significant differences in any matched or other parameter. In the mortality group, the only baseline difference was smoking status. Adjusting for baseline differences, the top tertile of C-Alb was associated with an increased risk of CKD progression [odds ratio (OR) = 7.9; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.9-32.8; P = 0.004] and mortality (OR = 3.4; 95% CI 1.0-11.4; P = 0.05) when compared with the bottom tertile. C-Alb correlated with eGFR but was more strongly correlated with BUN. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that protein carbamylation is a predictor of CKD progression, beyond traditional risks including eGFR and proteinuria. Carbamylation's association with mortality was smaller in this limited sample size.

Slope of Kidney Function and Its Association with Longitudinal Mortality and Cardiovascular Disease among Individuals with CKD.

BACKGROUND: Slopes of eGFR have been associated with increased risks of death and cardiovascular events in a U-shaped fashion. Poor outcomes in individuals with rising eGFR are potentially attributable to sarcopenia, hemodilution, and other indicators of clinical deterioration. METHODS: To investigate the association between eGFR slopes and risks of death or cardiovascular events, accounting for multiple confounders, we studied 2738 individuals with moderate to severe CKD participating in the multicenter Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. We used linear, mixed-effects models to estimate slopes with up to four annual eGFR assessments, and Cox proportional hazards models to investigate the association between slopes and the risks of death and cardiovascular events. RESULTS: Slopes of eGFR had a bell-shaped distribution (mean [SD], -1.5 [-2] ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year). Declines of eGFR that were steeper than the average decline associated with progressively increasing risks of death (hazard ratio [HR], 1.23; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.09 to 1.39; for a slope 1 SD below the average) and cardiovascular events (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.03 to 1.38). Rises of eGFR or declines lower than the average decline were not associated with the risk of death or cardiovascular events. CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of individuals with moderate to severe CKD, we observed steep declines of eGFR were associated with progressively increasing risks of death and cardiovascular events; however, we found no increased risks associated with eGFR improvement. These findings support the potential value of eGFR slopes in clinical assessment of adults with CKD.

Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 and Risk of Hospitalization with Infection in Chronic Kidney Disease: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: Risk of infectious disease is increased among individuals with CKD. Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) is often elevated in CKD, and may impair immune function directly or indirectly through proinflammatory and vitamin D-suppressing pathways. Whether FGF23 is associated with risk of infection has not been evaluated in a CKD population. METHODS: In 3655 participants of the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort study, we evaluated the association of baseline plasma levels of C-terminal FGF23 with time to first hospitalization with major infection, defined by hospital discharge with a diagnosis code for urinary tract infection, pneumonia, cellulitis/osteomyelitis, or bacteremia/septicemia. Multivariable Cox models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and adjust for confounding. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 6.5 years, 1051 individuals (29%) were hospitalized with major infection. Multivariable Cox analysis indicated a graded increase in the risk of infection with higher levels of FGF23 (HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.23 to 1.85 with the highest quartile [≥235.9 RU/ml] versus lowest quartile [<95.3 RU/ml]; HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.18 to 1.35 per SD increment in log FGF23). The association was consistent across infection subtypes and demographic and clinical subgroups, and remained significant after additional adjustment for biomarkers of inflammation (IL-6, TNF-α, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, fibrinogen, and albumin), and bone mineral metabolism (25-hydroxyvitamin D, phosphorus, calcium, and parathyroid hormone). The association was consistent across infection subtypes of urinary tract infection (482 cases), cellulitis/osteomyelitis (422 cases), pneumonia (399 cases), and bacteremia/septicemia (280 cases). CONCLUSIONS: Among individuals with CKD, higher FGF23 levels were independently and monotonically associated with an increased risk of hospitalization with infection.

Inflammatory Markers and Incidence of Hospitalization With Infection in Chronic Kidney Disease.

Persons with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at high risk of infection. While low-grade inflammation could impair immune response, it is unknown whether inflammatory markers are associated with infection risk in this clinical population. Using 2003-2013 data from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study (3,597 participants with CKD), we assessed the association of baseline plasma levels of 4 inflammatory markers (interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1RA), and transforming growth factor-ß (TGF-ß)) with incident hospitalization with major infection (pneumonia, urinary tract infection, cellulitis and osteomyelitis, and bacteremia and sepsis). During follow-up (median 7.5 years), 36% (n = 1,290) had incident hospitalization with major infection. In multivariable Cox analyses with each inflammatory marker modeled as a restricted cubic spline, higher levels of IL-6 and TNF-α were monotonically associated with increased risk of hospitalization with major infection (for 95th vs. 5th percentile, hazard ratio = 2.11 (95% confidence interval: 1.68, 2.66) for IL-6 and 1.88 (95% confidence interval: 1.51, 2.33) for TNF-α), while corresponding associations for IL-1RA or TGF-ß were nonsignificant. Thus, higher plasma levels of IL-6 and TNF-α, but not IL-1RA or TGF-ß, were significantly associated with increased risk of hospitalization with major infection. Future studies should investigate whether inflammatory pathways that involve IL-6 and TNF-α increase susceptibility to infection among individuals with CKD.

Association of Opioids and Nonsteroidal Anti-inflammatory Drugs With Outcomes in CKD: Findings From the CRIC (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Safe analgesic choices are limited in chronic kidney disease (CKD). We conducted a comparative analysis of harm from opioids versus nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) in CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 3,939 patients with CKD in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. EXPOSURES: 30-day analgesic use reported at annual visits. OUTCOMES: A composite outcome of 50% glomerular filtration rate reduction and kidney failure requiring kidney replacement therapy (KRT), as well as the outcomes of kidney failure requiring KRT, hospitalization, and pre-kidney failure death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Marginal structural models with time-updated exposures. RESULTS: Participants were followed up for a median of 6.84 years, with 391 (9.9%) and 612 (15.5%) reporting baseline opioid and NSAID use, respectively. Time-updated opioid use was associated with the kidney disease composite outcome, kidney failure with KRT, death (HRs of 1.4 [95% CI, 1.2-1.7], 1.4 [95% CI, 1.1-1.7], and 1.5 [95% CI, 1.2-2.0], respectively), and hospitalization (rate ratio [RR], 1.7; 95% CI, 1.6-1.9) versus opioid nonusers. Similar results were found in an analysis restricted to a subcohort of participants reporting ever using other (nonopioid and non-NSAID) analgesics or tramadol. Time-updated NSAID use was associated with increased risk for the kidney disease composite (HR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.0-1.5) and hospitalization (RR, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.0-1.3); however, these associations were not significant in the subcohort. The association of NSAID use with the kidney disease composite outcome varied by race, with a significant risk in blacks (HR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.0-1.7). NSAID use was associated with lower risk for kidney failure with KRT in women and individuals with glomerular filtration rate<45mL/min/1.73m2 (HRs of 0.63 [95% CI, 0.45-0.88] and 0.77 [95% CI, 0.59-0.99], respectively). LIMITATIONS: Limited periods of recall of analgesic use and potential confounding by indication. CONCLUSIONS: Opioid use had a stronger association with adverse events than NSAIDs, with the latter's association with kidney disease outcomes limited to specific subgroups, notably those of black race.

Race and Mortality in CKD and Dialysis: Findings From the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVES: Few studies have investigated racial disparities in survival among dialysis patients in a manner that considers risk factors and mortality during the phase of kidney disease before maintenance dialysis. Our objective was to explore racial variations in survival among dialysis patients and relate them to racial differences in comorbid conditions and rates of death in the setting of kidney disease not yet requiring dialysis therapy. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTINGS & PARTICIPANTS: 3,288 black and white participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC), none of whom were receiving dialysis at enrollment. EXPOSURE: Race. OUTCOME: Mortality. ANALYTIC APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine the association between race and mortality starting at: (1) time of dialysis initiation and (2) entry into the CRIC. RESULTS: During 7.1 years of median follow-up, 678 CRIC participants started dialysis. Starting from the time of dialysis initiation, blacks had lower risk for death (unadjusted HR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.51-0.87) compared with whites. Starting from baseline CRIC enrollment, the strength of the association between some risk factors and dialysis was notably stronger for whites than blacks. For example, the HR for dialysis onset in the presence (vs absence) of heart failure at CRIC enrollment was 1.30 (95% CI, 1.01-1.68) for blacks versus 2.78 (95% CI, 1.90-4.50) for whites, suggesting differential severity of these risk factors by race. When we included deaths occurring both before and after dialysis, risk for death was higher among blacks (vs whites) starting from CRIC enrollment (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.22-1.64), but this finding was attenuated in adjusted models (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.91-1.28). LIMITATIONS: Residual confounding. CONCLUSIONS: The apparent survival advantage among blacks over whites treated with dialysis may be attributed to selected transition of a subset of whites with more severe comorbid conditions onto dialysis.

Impact of AKI on Urinary Protein Excretion: Analysis of Two Prospective Cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Prior studies of adverse renal consequences of AKI have almost exclusively focused on eGFR changes. Less is known about potential effects of AKI on proteinuria, although proteinuria is perhaps the strongest risk factor for future loss of renal function. METHODS: We studied enrollees from the Assessment, Serial Evaluation, and Subsequent Sequelae of AKI (ASSESS-AKI) study and the subset of the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study enrollees recruited from Kaiser Permanente Northern California. Both prospective cohort studies included annual ascertainment of urine protein-to-creatinine ratio, eGFR, BP, and medication use. For hospitalized participants, we used inpatient serum creatinine measurements obtained as part of clinical care to define an episode of AKI (i.e., peak/nadir inpatient serum creatinine ≥1.5). We performed mixed effects regression to examine change in log-transformed urine protein-to-creatinine ratio after AKI, controlling for time-updated covariates. RESULTS: At cohort entry, median eGFR was 62.9 ml/min per 1.73 m2 (interquartile range [IQR], 46.9-84.6) among 2048 eligible participants, and median urine protein-to-creatinine ratio was 0.12 g/g (IQR, 0.07-0.25). After enrollment, 324 participants experienced at least one episode of hospitalized AKI during 9271 person-years of follow-up; 50.3% of first AKI episodes were Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes stage 1 in severity, 23.8% were stage 2, and 25.9% were stage 3. In multivariable analysis, an episode of hospitalized AKI was independently associated with a 9% increase in the urine protein-to-creatinine ratio. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis of data from two prospective cohort studies found that hospitalization for an AKI episode was independently associated with subsequent worsening of proteinuria.

Predictors of Net Acid Excretion in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Higher urine net acid excretion (NAE) is associated with slower chronic kidney disease progression, particularly in patients with diabetes mellitus. To better understand potential mechanisms and assess modifiable components, we explored independent predictors of NAE in the CRIC (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort) Study. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: A randomly selected subcohort of adults with chronic kidney disease enrolled in the CRIC Study with NAE measurements. PREDICTORS: A comprehensive set of variables across prespecified domains including demographics, comorbid conditions, medications, laboratory values, diet, physical activity, and body composition. OUTCOME: 24-hour urine NAE. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: NAE was defined as the sum of urine ammonium and calculated titratable acidity in a subset of CRIC participants. 22 individuals were excluded for urine pH < 4 (n = 1) or ≥7.4 (n = 19) or extreme outliers of NAE values (n = 2). From an analytic sample of 978, we identified the association of individual variables with NAE in the selected domains using linear regression. We estimated the percent variance explained by each domain using the adjusted R2 from a domain-specific model. RESULTS: Mean NAE was 33.2 ± 17.4 (SD) mEq/d. Multiple variables were associated with NAE in models adjusted for age, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), race/ethnicity, and body surface area, including insulin resistance, dietary potential renal acid load, and a variety of metabolically active medications (eg, metformin, allopurinol, and nonstatin lipid agents). Body size, as indicated by body surface area, body mass index, or fat-free mass; race/ethnicity; and eGFR also were independently associated with NAE. By domains, more variance was explained by demographics, body composition, and laboratory values, which included eGFR and serum bicarbonate level. LIMITATIONS: Cross-sectional; use of stored biological samples. CONCLUSIONS: NAE relates to several clinical domains including body composition, kidney function, and diet, but also to metabolic factors such as insulin resistance and the use of metabolically active medications.

Hematuria as a risk factor for progression of chronic kidney disease and death: findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: Hematuria is associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD), but has rarely been examined as a risk factor for CKD progression. We explored whether individuals with hematuria had worse outcomes compared to those without hematuria in the CRIC Study. METHODS: Participants were a racially and ethnically diverse group of adults (21 to 74 years), with moderate CKD. Presence of hematuria (positive dipstick) from a single urine sample was the primary predictor. Outcomes included a 50% or greater reduction in eGFR from baseline, ESRD, and death, over a median follow-up of 7.3 years, analyzed using Cox Proportional Hazards models. Net reclassification indices (NRI) and C statistics were calculated to evaluate their predictive performance. RESULTS: Hematuria was observed in 1145 (29%) of a total of 3272 participants at baseline. Individuals with hematuria were more likely to be Hispanic (22% vs. 9.5%, respectively), have diabetes (56% vs. 48%), lower mean eGFR (40.2 vs. 45.3 ml/min/1.73 m2), and higher levels of urinary albumin > 1.0 g/day (36% vs. 10%). In multivariable-adjusted analysis, individuals with hematuria had a greater risk for all outcomes during the first 2 years of follow-up: Halving of eGFR or ESRD (HR Year 1: 1.68, Year 2: 1.36), ESRD (Year 1: 1.71, Year 2: 1.39) and death (Year 1:1.92, Year 2: 1.77), and these associations were attenuated, thereafter. Based on NRIs and C-statistics, no clear improvement in the ability to improve prediction of study outcomes was observed when hematuria was included in multivariable models. CONCLUSION: In a large adult cohort with CKD, hematuria was associated with a significantly higher risk of CKD progression and death in the first 2 years of follow-up but did not improve risk prediction.

Risks of Adverse Events in Advanced CKD: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: People with advanced chronic kidney disease are at risk for the development of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), but also many other adverse outcomes, including cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and death. Determination of risk factors that explain the variability in prognosis and timing of these adverse outcomes can aid patient counseling and medical decision making. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective research cohort. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 1,798 participants with estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs)<30mL/min/1.73m2 in the CRIC Study were followed up for a median of 5.5 years. PREDICTORS: Age, race, sex, eGFR, proteinuria, diabetes mellitus, body mass index, ejection fraction, systolic blood pressure, history of CVD, and smoking history. OUTCOMES: ESRD, CVD (congestive heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, and peripheral artery disease), and death. RESULTS: Baseline age of the cohort was 60 years, 46% were women, and 46% were African American. Although 52.3% of participants progressed to ESRD during follow-up, the path by which this occurred was variable. For example, predicted 1-year probabilities for a hypothetical 60-year-old white woman with eGFR of 30mL/min/1.73m2, urine protein excretion of 1.8g/d, and no diabetes or CVD (risk characteristics similar to the average participant) were 3.3%, 4.1%, and 0.3%, for first developing CVD, ESRD, and death, respectively. For a 40-year-old African American man with similar characteristics but higher systolic blood pressure, the corresponding 1-year probabilities were 2.4%, 13.2%, and 0.1%. For all participants, the development of ESRD or CVD increased the risk for subsequent mortality, with no differences by patient race or body mass index. LIMITATIONS: The CRIC population was specifically recruited for kidney disease, and the vast majority had seen a nephrologist. CONCLUSIONS: The prognosis and timing of adverse outcomes in chronic kidney disease vary by patient characteristics. These results may help guide the development of personalized approaches for managing patients with advanced CKD.

Change in Measured GFR Versus eGFR and CKD Outcomes.

Measured GFR (mGFR) has long been considered the gold standard measure of kidney function, but recent studies have shown that mGFR is not consistently superior to eGFR in explaining CKD-related comorbidities. The associations between longitudinal changes in mGFR versus eGFR and adverse outcomes have not been examined. We analyzed a subset of 942 participants with CKD in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study who had at least two mGFRs and two eGFRs determined concurrently by iothalamate and creatinine (eGFRcr) or cystatin C, respectively. We compared the associations between longitudinal changes in each measure of kidney function over 2 years and risks of ESRD, nonfatal cardiovascular events, and all-cause mortality using univariate Cox proportional hazards models. The associations for all outcomes except all-cause mortality associated most strongly with longitudinal decline in eGFRcr. Every 5-ml/min per 1.73 m(2) decline in eGFRcr over 2 years associated with 1.54 (95% confidence interval, 1.44 to 1.66; P<0.001) times higher risk of ESRD and 1.23 (95% confidence interval, 1.12 to 1.34; P<0.001) times higher risk for cardiovascular events. All-cause mortality did not associate with longitudinal decline in mGFR or eGFR. When analyzed by tertiles of renal function decline, mGFR did not outperform eGFRcr in the association with any outcome. In conclusion, compared with declines in eGFR, declines in mGFR over a 2-year period, analyzed either as a continuous variable or in tertiles, did not consistently show enhanced association with risk of ESRD, cardiovascular events, or death.