Multifractional Brownian motion characterization based on Hurst exponent estimation and statistical learning.

This paper proposes an approach for the estimation of a time-varying Hurst exponent to allow accurate identification of multifractional Brownian motion (MFBM). The contribution provides a prescription for how to deal with the MFBM measurement data to solve regression and classification problems. Theoretical studies are supplemented with computer simulations and real-world examples. Those prove that the procedure proposed in this paper outperforms the best-in-class algorithm.

Time-averaged mean squared displacement ratio test for Gaussian processes with unknown diffusion coefficient.

The time-averaged mean squared displacement (TAMSD) is one of the most common statistics used for the analysis of anomalous diffusion processes. Anomalous diffusion is manifested by non-linear (mostly power-law) characteristics of the process in contrast to normal diffusion where linear characteristics are expected. One can distinguish between sub- and super-diffusive processes. We consider Gaussian anomalous diffusion models and propose a new approach used for their testing. This approach is based on the TAMSD ratio statistic for different time lags. Similar to the TAMSD, this statistic exhibits a specific behavior in the anomalous diffusion regime. Through its structure, it is independent of the diffusion coefficient, which, in general, does not influence anomalous diffusion behavior. Thus, the TAMSD ratio-based approach does not require preliminary knowledge of the diffusion coefficient's value, in contrast to the TAMSD-approach, where this value is crucial in the testing procedure. Based on the quadratic form representation of the TAMSD ratio, we calculate its main characteristics and propose a step-by-step testing procedure that can be applied for any Gaussian process. For the anomalous diffusion model used here, namely, the fractional Brownian motion, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology. We show that the new approach outperforms the TAMSD-based one, especially for small sample sizes. Finally, the methodology is applied to the real data from the financial market.

Fractional Dynamics Identification via Intelligent Unpacking of the Sample Autocovariance Function by Neural Networks.

Many single-particle tracking data related to the motion in crowded environments exhibit anomalous diffusion behavior. This phenomenon can be described by different theoretical models. In this paper, fractional Brownian motion (FBM) was examined as the exemplary Gaussian process with fractional dynamics. The autocovariance function (ACVF) is a function that determines completely the Gaussian process. In the case of experimental data with anomalous dynamics, the main problem is first to recognize the type of anomaly and then to reconstruct properly the physical rules governing such a phenomenon. The challenge is to identify the process from short trajectory inputs. Various approaches to address this problem can be found in the literature, e.g., theoretical properties of the sample ACVF for a given process. This method is effective; however, it does not utilize all of the information contained in the sample ACVF for a given trajectory, i.e., only values of statistics for selected lags are used for identification. An evolution of this approach is proposed in this paper, where the process is determined based on the knowledge extracted from the ACVF. The designed method is intuitive and it uses information directly available in a new fashion. Moreover, the knowledge retrieval from the sample ACVF vector is enhanced with a learning-based scheme operating on the most informative subset of available lags, which is proven to be an effective encoder of the properties inherited in complex data. Finally, the robustness of the proposed algorithm for FBM is demonstrated with the use of Monte Carlo simulations.