The Epidemiology of Herpes Zoster in Immunocompetent, Unvaccinated Adults ≥50 Years Old: Incidence, Complications, Hospitalization, Mortality, and Recurrence.

BACKGROUND: Data on the epidemiology of herpes zoster (HZ), particularly in the unvaccinated immunocompetent population, are needed to assess disease burden and the potential impact of vaccination. METHODS: The study at a large health care organization comprised: (1) incidence estimated from immunocompetent adults aged ≥50 years unvaccinated with zoster vaccine live who had incident HZ in 2011-2015; (2) proportion of HZ-related nonpain complications assessed by double abstraction of electronic health records (EHRs) of 600 incident patients 2011-2015; (3) HZ-related hospitalizations among HZ patients diagnosed in 2015; (4) HZ-related death determined from automated data and EHRs; and (5) recurrent HZ identified from a cohort initially diagnosed with HZ in 2007-2008 and followed through 2016. RESULTS: HZ incidence rate was 9.92/1000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI], 9.82-10.01). Proportions of cutaneous, neurologic, and other complications were 6.40% (95% CI,1.73%-11.07%), 0.77% (95% CI, .00%-2.36%), and 1.01% (95% CI, .00%-2.93%), respectively. Only 0.86% of patients had an HZ-related hospitalization. The case-fatality rate was 0.04%. Recurrence rate was 10.96/1000 person-years (95% CI, 10.18-11.79) with 10-year recurrence risk of 10.26% (95% CI, 9.36%-11.23%). CONCLUSIONS: These recent HZ epidemiology data among an immunocompetent, unvaccinated population measure real-world disease burden.

Impact of childhood parent-child relationships on cardiovascular risks in adolescence.

This study aims to determine prospective effects of the childhood parent-child relationships on the development of cardiovascular risks in adolescence. Using available 917 parent-child dyads from the Study of Early Child Care and Youth Development (1991 to 2006), we analyzed the prospective effects of childhood parent-child relationships of Conflict and Closeness, as well as their categorized combinations (Harmonic, Dramatic, Hostile, and Indifferent) on the development of subscapular and triceps skinfold thickness (SST/TST), body mass index (BMI), systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP/DBP), and heart rate (HR) during adolescence. We found that higher levels of Conflict in the relationship with mothers (slope=0.05, P<0.001) and fathers (slope=0.04, P=0.03) increased the growth rate of TST among girls during adolescence, but not among boys. The maternal-girl dyadic with higher Conflict scores also increased girl's growth rate of BMI percentile (slope=0.10, P=0.02), though the paternal-boy dyadic with higher Conflict scores decreased boy's growth rate of BMI percentile (slope=-0.13, P=0.04). A Hostile maternal-son relationship lowered boy's growth rate of SBP (slope=-3.15, P<0.001) and DBP (slope=-4.42, P<0.001). A Dramatic maternal-son relationship increased boy's growth rate of SST (slope=0.89, P<0.001) and TST (slope=0.64, P=0.03). Hostile paternal-daughter relationships were positively associated with the growth rate of TST (slope=0.28, P=0.03). Overall, there was a significant influence of childhood parent-child relationships on the development of cardiovascular risks during adolescence, and the effect was further modified by both parents' and child's gender.

Associations between psychological characteristics and indicators of metabolic syndrome among Chinese adults.

Current knowledge about the relationship between psychological characteristics and metabolic syndrome (MetS) components is limited in Asian populations. The purpose of this study is to investigate linkages between physiological markers of MetS and life satisfaction, hostility, and depression in Chinese adults. Secondary analyses were conducted using cross-sectional data from parents of randomly selected middle school students participating in a pilot study in Qingdao, China. Among 440 parents who consented to participate (237 women, 203 men), 368 provided valid responses in all three categories of psychological characteristics, and only those subjects were included in these analyses. General linear models and logistic regressions were run separately by gender, controlling for covariates. Among women, life satisfaction was inversely associated with triglyceride levels (p = .04), LDL-C (p < .01), risk of hypertriglyceridemia (OR[.53], p < .01), HDL-C (OR[.78], p = .03), and MetS (OR[.52], p = .03). No associations were found between life satisfaction and any psychological characteristics among men. Among women, hostility was positively associated with triglyceride level (p = .04) and risk of hypertriglyceridemia (OR[2.12], p < .05). Among men, hostility was positively associated with waist circumference (p = .04), waist-hip ratio (p < .05), and fasting plasma insulin (p < .01). Depression was not associated with any physiological measurement in either gender. These findings indicate that relationships exist between certain psychological characteristics and physiological indicators of MetS among Chinese adults, although there may be important differences between genders.

Identifying monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance from electronic health records.

BACKGROUND: Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) precedes multiple myeloma (MM). Use of electronic health records may facilitate large-scale epidemiologic research to elucidate risk factors for the progression of MGUS to MM or other lymphoid malignancies. AIMS: We evaluated the accuracy of an electronic health records-based approach for identifying clinically diagnosed MGUS cases for inclusion in studies of patient outcomes/ progression risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were retrieved from Kaiser Permanente Southern California's comprehensive electronic health records, which contain documentation of all outpatient and inpatient visits, laboratory tests, diagnosis codes and a cancer registry. We ascertained potential MGUS cases diagnosed between 2008 and 2014 using the presence of an MGUS ICD-9 diagnosis code (273.1). We initially excluded those diagnosed with MM within 6 months after MGUS diagnosis, then subsequently those with any lymphoid malignancy diagnosis from 2007 to 2014. We reviewed medical charts for 100 randomly selected potential cases for evidence of a physician diagnosis of MGUS, which served as our gold standard for case confirmation. To assess sensitivity, we also investigated the presence of the ICD-9 code in the records of 40 randomly selected and chart review-confirmed MGUS cases among patients with a laboratory report of elevated circulating monoclonal (M-) protein (a key test for MGUS diagnosis) and no subsequent lymphoid malignancy (as described above). The positive predictive value (PPV) for the ICD-9 code was 98%. All MGUS cases confirmed by chart review also had confirmatory laboratory test results. Of the confirmed cases first identified via M-protein test results, 88% also had the ICD-9 diagnosis code. CONCLUSION: The diagnosis code-based approach has excellent PPV and likely high sensitivity for detecting clinically diagnosed MGUS. The generalizability of this approach outside an integrated healthcare system warrants further evaluation.

Text-Based Identification of Herpes Zoster Ophthalmicus With Ocular Involvement in the Electronic Health Record: A Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: Diagnosis codes are inadequate for accurately identifying herpes zoster ophthalmicus (HZO). Manual review of medical records is expensive and time-consuming, resulting in a lack of population-based data on HZO. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study, including 87 673 patients aged ≥50 years who had a new HZ diagnosis and associated antiviral prescription between 2010 and 2018. We developed and validated an automated natural language processing (NLP) algorithm to identify HZO with ocular involvement (ocular HZO). We compared the characteristics of NLP-identified ocular HZO, nonocular HZO, and non-HZO cases among HZ patients and identified the factors associated with ocular HZO among HZ patients. RESULTS: The NLP algorithm achieved 94.9% sensitivity and 94.2% specificity in identifying ocular HZO cases. Among 87 673 incident HZ cases, the proportion identified as ocular HZO was 9.0% (n = 7853) by NLP and 2.3% (n = 1988) by International Classification of Diseases codes. In adjusted analyses, older age and male sex were associated with an increased risk of ocular HZO; Hispanic and black race/ethnicity each were associated with a lower risk of ocular HZO compared with non-Hispanic white. CONCLUSIONS: The NLP algorithm achieved high accuracy and can be used in large population-based studies to identify ocular HZO, avoiding labor-intensive chart review. Age, sex, and race were strongly associated with ocular HZO among HZ patients. We should consider these risk factors when planning for zoster vaccination.

Trends in Influenza Vaccine Uptake and Severe Influenza-Related Outcomes at Kaiser Permanente Southern California, 2007-2017.

INTRODUCTION: Major efforts to increase influenza vaccine uptake among Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC) members have been undertaken in recent years. However, whether these improvements translate to a decline in severe influenza-related outcomes has not been examined. We aimed to understand the impact of the influenza vaccination program at KPSC by examining influenza vaccine uptake and 3 severe influenza-related outcomes. METHODS: We conducted an ecologic trend analysis to understand influenza vaccine uptake and influenza-related hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and mortality for each influenza season (2007-2017). The same cohort was followed from the influenza season to the noninfluenza season immediately afterward while using the noninfluenza season as the comparison group. We also assessed the within-season correlation between influenza vaccine uptake and influenza-related outcomes. RESULTS: Influenza vaccine uptake rose from 23.9% to 45.5%, and all 3 influenza-related outcome rates declined (hospitalization: 35.4-26.8/10,000 patients; ICU: 5.9-5.2/10,000 patients; and mortality: 3.4-2.3/10,000 patients). Influenza vaccine uptake was negatively correlated with hospitalization (-0.32, p < 0.001) and mortality (-0.29, p = 0.001). However, once we adjusted for the noninfluenza season, the results of the correlation analysis were no longer statistically significant. CONCLUSION: Although we could not establish a statistically significant inverse relationship between influenza vaccination and severe influenza-related outcomes over the study period, our findings indicate an overall decline in influenza-related outcomes over the study period, suggesting improvements in both preventive and acute care quality at KPSC.

Adherence to cardiomyopathy screening guidelines among adolescent and young adult cancer survivors exposed to chest radiation and/or anthracyclines.

PURPOSE: Cancer survivors are at risk for late effects from therapeutic exposures, including cardiovascular complications. To improve outcomes among adolescents and young adults (AYA) with cancer, the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) released guidelines for screening services (based on the Children's Oncology Group Long-Term Follow-Up [LTFU] guidelines) for survivors of AYA cancer. To better understand survivorship care gaps, we conducted a baseline evaluation of cardiomyopathy screening among survivors of AYA cancers. METHODS: Members of Kaiser Permanente Southern California diagnosed with cancer between ages 15 and 39 from 2000 to 2010 with at least 5-year survival after diagnosis who were exposed to chest radiation and/or anthracyclines were included. We calculated the Prevention Index ([PI], proportion of person-time covered by receipt of preventive services relative to the total person-time eligible) to evaluate adherence to recommended cardiomyopathy screenings based on the LTFU through 2016. Predictors for screening were evaluated in multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 479 survivors recommended for cardiomyopathy screening, 28 received at least one screening, and the mean PI was 2.38% (SD = 13.05%, median = 0.00%). Compared to stage I, survivors of stage II (odds ratio [OR] = 5.56 [1.05-29.46]) and stage III/IV cancer (OR = 6.08 [1.10-33.54]) were more likely to receive cardiomyopathy screening. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiomyopathy screening among survivors was low around the time when NCCN AYA oncology guidelines were released. IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS: Our study highlights significant room for improvement for adherence to cardiomyopathy screening recommendations among survivors of AYA cancer. Attention is needed to ensure that recommended cardiomyopathy screenings are met for better management of cardiomyopathy late effects.

Differences in Estimates of Post-Herpetic Neuralgia Between Medical Chart Review and Self-Report.

PURPOSE: Post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN) is a common herpes zoster (HZ) complication, where pain persists 90 days after the initial HZ diagnosis. Evaluating PHN risk is essential for determining the burden on patients and health-care systems, but research shows variable estimates. The extent to which these differences are related to the assessment method has not been examined. The purpose of this study is to compare the proportion of PHN among HZ patients measured by medical chart review and self-report surveys. METHODS: PHN risk was assessed among a sample of Kaiser Permanente Southern California members with HZ. Chart reviews identified lingering pain 90-180 days post-HZ diagnosis and the Zoster Brief Pain Inventory was administered 90 days post-HZ diagnosis by telephone. Frequencies of PHN identified with each approach were cross-tabulated and stratified by sex, age group, and zoster vaccine live vaccination status. RESULTS: Chart review and self-report were largely concordant (n=875, 89.20%); however, chart review yielded lower PHN risk overall and for the stratified subgroups. PHN from self-report was substantially higher (6.30-8.33%) among patients who were male, ≥70 years, or unvaccinated. Among those who typically seek care more often (female, younger, vaccinated), the discrepancy between each method was notably lower (1.60-2.92%). CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that chart review underestimates cases among those less likely to seek health care, including males, the elderly, and unvaccinated individuals. The agreement between the methods indicates that each can provide a reasonable approximation of PHN, but analyses should carefully control for health-care utilization.

Preventive health service use among survivors of adolescent and young adult cancer.

Preventive health screenings are essential for survivors of adolescent and young adult (AYA) cancer survivors, who are at greater risk for non-cancer related death compared to individuals without a history of cancer. However, little research exists examining their use of screening services. In order to identify potential areas for targeted improvements in AYA survivorship care, we examined adherence to United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) screening recommendations among members of Kaiser Permanente Southern California. The study population included individuals diagnosed with cancer between ages 15-39 from 2000 to 2012 who survived at least two years post-diagnosis (n = 6779) and a matched cohort of non-cancer comparisons (n = 25640). To assess adherence to screening services, we calculated a Prevention Index (PI, proportion of person-time covered by receipt of recommended clinical preventive services relative to the time eligible) for every individual and the distributions for each service. We also evaluated predictors for adherence using logistic regression. Adherence was significantly (p-value < 0.05) higher among survivors than non-cancer subjects for screenings for dyslipidemia (71.16% and 65.94, respectively), hypertension (97.43% and 89.11%), cervical cancer (87.36% and 84.45%), colorectal cancer (83.23% and 58.27%), and influenza vaccination (36.79% and 33.21%). The logistic regression showed that survivors were significantly more likely to adhere to guidelines compared to non-cancer peers for all screenings except breast cancer, with the greatest difference found for colorectal cancer (odds ratio: 5.04, p-value: <0.01). While AYA survivors appear to use preventive screenings more than comparisons, there is room for improvement for certain services, most notably for influenza vaccination.

Comparison of vaccine effectiveness against influenza hospitalization of cell-based and egg-based influenza vaccines, 2017-2018.

Egg-based influenza vaccines could be less effective than cell-based vaccine due to adaptive mutations acquired for growth. We conducted a test-negative case-control study at Kaiser Permanente Southern California to assess vaccine effectiveness (VE) against hospitalization for laboratory-confirmed influenza during 2017-2018. Among the 1186 cases and 6946 controls, 74% and 59%, respectively, were ages ≥ 65 years. For any influenza, the adjusted relative VE of cell-based vaccine versus egg-based vaccines was 43% (95% CI: -45% to 77%) for patients ages < 65 years and 6% (95% CI: -46% to 39%) for patients ages ≥ 65 years. For influenza A(H3N2), the adjusted relative VE was 61% (95% CI: -63% to 91%) for patients ages < 65 years and -4% (95% CI: -70% to 37%) for patients ages ≥ 65 years. Statistically significant protection against influenza hospitalization of cell-based vaccine compared to egg-based vaccines was not observed, but further studies in additional influenza seasons are warranted.

Overweight Perception: Associations with Weight Control Goals, Attempts, and Practices among Chinese Female College Students.

BACKGROUND: Concurrent with the dramatic cultural and economic shifts occurring as mainland China becomes increasingly "Westernized," the weight perceptions, ideal body weight, and weight management goals and practices of Chinese females have also undergone significant changes. OBJECTIVE: To investigate relationships between overweight status, weight perception patterns, and weight management goals and practices in Chinese female college students. DESIGN/PARTICIPANTS/SETTING: A cross-sectional analysis was conducted with data from 902 female subjects aged 18 to 25 years participating in the China Seven Cities Study, a health promotion and smoking prevention study conducted in mainland China in 2003. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES/STATISTICAL ANALYSES: Logistic regression models were used to explore associations between overweight status, weight perception, specific weight management goals and practices, and current levels of vigorous-intensity physical activity and food consumption. RESULTS: Based on World Health Organization standards for Asian adults, 16.7% of college females were overweight or obese, although 50.8% considered themselves to be "too heavy." Among participants perceiving themselves as overweight (n=458), 69.2% (n=371) were inaccurate and did not meet criteria for overweight or obese. The percentage of participants attempting weight loss was 48.2%, and 33.1% wanted to maintain their current weight. Attempts to lose or maintain weight were related to actual and perceived weight status, but not to increased vigorous-intensity physical activity or fruit and vegetable intake, nor to decreased consumption of sweets, soda, Western fast foods, and fried foods. Only 21.5% of participants desiring weight loss or maintenance reported using a combination of vigorous-intensity physical activity and a reduced-fat and -calorie diet, whereas 20.2% tried extreme methods such as fasting, using diet pills, vomiting, or smoking. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings underscore the need to promote healthy weight management practices among Chinese female college students, with an emphasis on diet and physical activity strategies that encourage balance rather than extremes.

A Longitudinal Analysis of the Effects of Socioeconomic Factors, Foreign Media, and Attitude toward Appearance on General and Central Adiposity in Chinese Adolescents.

OBJECTIVE: This paper explores the longitudinal effects of socioeconomic factors (i.e., parent education and family income level), foreign media, and attitude toward appearance on general and central adiposity among Chinese adolescents. METHOD: A longitudinal analysis was performed using data from the China Seven Cities Study, a health promotion and smoking prevention study conducted in seven cities across Mainland China between 2002 and 2005. Participants included 5,020 middle and high school students and their parents. Explanatory variables included foreign media exposure, attitude toward appearance, parent education, and family income. Three-level, random-effect models were used to predict general adiposity (i.e., body mass index) and central adiposity (i.e., waist circumference). The Generalized Estimating Equation approach was utilized to determine the effect of explanatory variables on overweight status. RESULTS: Among girls, foreign media exposure was significantly negatively associated with general adiposity over time (ß=-0.06, p=0.01 for middle school girls; ß=-0.06, p=0.03 for high school girls). Attitude toward appearance was associated with lesser odds of being overweight, particularly among high school girls (OR=0.86, p<0.01). Among boys, parental education was significantly positively associated with general adiposity (ß=0.62, p<0.01 for middle school boys; ß=0.37, p=0.02 for high school boys) and associated with greater odds of being overweight (OR=1.55, p<0.01 for middle school boys; OR=1.26, p=0.04 for high school boys). Across all gender and grade levels, family income was significantly negatively associated with central adiposity over time. CONCLUSION: Interventions addressing Chinese adolescent overweight/obesity should consider these factors as potential focus areas.

Cigarette smoking is associated with unhealthy patterns of food consumption, physical activity, sleep impairment, and alcohol drinking in Chinese male adults.

OBJECTIVES: According to a recent national survey, tobacco use is a critical public health issue in China, with more than two-thirds of Chinese males smoking. Findings in Western populations suggest that smoking may cluster with other health-risk behaviors. To explore these relationships in Chinese male adults, we utilized baseline data from the China Seven Cities Study (CSCS). METHODS: Male adults (n = 12,122) were included. Smoking status was defined as never smokers, ex-smokers, current smokers, and current heavy smokers. Logistic regression was employed to investigate the association of cigarette smoking and patterns of food consumption, physical activity, and alcohol drinking. RESULTS: After controlling for age, socioeconomic status, and city residence, heavy smokers consumed significantly less vegetables, fruits, milk and other dairy products, spent significantly more time watching television, slept and exercised less, and got drunk or engaged in binge drinking more frequently compared to never, ex-, or current smokers (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Findings suggest significant associations of heavy cigarette smoking with other health-risk behaviors in Chinese male adults, underscoring the need for tobacco control interventions for Chinese males.