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With the increasing availability of rich, longitudinal, real-world clinical data recorded in electronic health records (EHRs) for millions of patients, there is a growing interest in leveraging these records to improve the understanding of human health and disease and translate these insights into clinical applications. However, there is also a need to consider the limitations of these data due to various biases and to understand the impact of missing information. Recognizing and addressing these limitations can inform the design and interpretation of EHR-based informatics studies that avoid confusing or incorrect conclusions, particularly when applied to population or precision medicine. Here we discuss key considerations in the design, implementation and interpretation of EHR-based informatics studies, drawing from examples in the literature across hypothesis generation, hypothesis testing and machine learning applications. We outline the growing opportunities for EHR-based informatics studies, including association studies and predictive modeling, enabled by evolving AI capabilities-while addressing limitations and potential pitfalls to avoid.
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Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Humanos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Pesquisa Biomédica , Medicina de Precisão/métodos , Informática Médica/métodosRESUMO
Existing medical treatments for endometriosis-related pain are often ineffective, underscoring the need for new therapeutic strategies. In this study, we applied a computational drug repurposing pipeline to stratified and unstratified disease signatures based on endometrial gene expression data to identify potential therapeutics from existing drugs, based on expression reversal. Of 3,131 unique genes differentially expressed by at least one of six endometriosis signatures, only 308 (9.8%) were in common; however, 221 out of 299 drugs identified, (73.9%) were shared. We selected fenoprofen, an uncommonly prescribed NSAID that was the top therapeutic candidate for further investigation. When testing fenoprofen in an established rat model of endometriosis, fenoprofen successfully alleviated endometriosis-associated vaginal hyperalgesia, a surrogate marker for endometriosis-related pain. These findings validate fenoprofen as a therapeutic that could be utilized more frequently for endometriosis and suggest the utility of the aforementioned computational drug repurposing approach for endometriosis.
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Identification of Alzheimer's disease (AD) onset risk can facilitate interventions before irreversible disease progression. We demonstrate that electronic health records from the University of California, San Francisco, followed by knowledge networks (for example, SPOKE) allow for (1) prediction of AD onset and (2) prioritization of biological hypotheses, and (3) contextualization of sex dimorphism. We trained random forest models and predicted AD onset on a cohort of 749 individuals with AD and 250,545 controls with a mean area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.72 (7 years prior) to 0.81 (1 day prior). We further harnessed matched cohort models to identify conditions with predictive power before AD onset. Knowledge networks highlight shared genes between multiple top predictors and AD (for example, APOE, ACTB, IL6 and INS). Genetic colocalization analysis supports AD association with hyperlipidemia at the APOE locus, as well as a stronger female AD association with osteoporosis at a locus near MS4A6A. We therefore show how clinical data can be utilized for early AD prediction and identification of personalized biological hypotheses.
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Doença de Alzheimer , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Doença de Alzheimer/diagnóstico , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Apolipoproteínas E/genética , São FranciscoRESUMO
Every year, 11% of infants are born preterm with significant health consequences, with the vaginal microbiome a risk factor for preterm birth. We crowdsource models to predict (1) preterm birth (PTB; <37 weeks) or (2) early preterm birth (ePTB; <32 weeks) from 9 vaginal microbiome studies representing 3,578 samples from 1,268 pregnant individuals, aggregated from public raw data via phylogenetic harmonization. The predictive models are validated on two independent unpublished datasets representing 331 samples from 148 pregnant individuals. The top-performing models (among 148 and 121 submissions from 318 teams) achieve area under the receiver operator characteristic (AUROC) curve scores of 0.69 and 0.87 predicting PTB and ePTB, respectively. Alpha diversity, VALENCIA community state types, and composition are important features in the top-performing models, most of which are tree-based methods. This work is a model for translation of microbiome data into clinically relevant predictive models and to better understand preterm birth.
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Crowdsourcing , Microbiota , Nascimento Prematuro , Gravidez , Feminino , Recém-Nascido , Humanos , Filogenia , Vagina , Microbiota/genéticaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Alzheimer's dementia (AD) is a neurodegenerative disease that is disproportionately prevalent in racially marginalized individuals. However, due to research underrepresentation, the spectrum of AD-associated comorbidities that increase AD risk or suggest AD treatment disparities in these individuals is not completely understood. We leveraged electronic medical records (EMR) to explore AD-associated comorbidities and disease networks in racialized individuals identified as Asian, Non-Latine Black, Latine, or Non-Latine White. METHODS: We performed low-dimensional embedding, differential analysis, and disease network-based analyses of 5664 patients with AD and 11,328 demographically matched controls across two EMR systems and five medical centers, with equal representation of Asian-, Non-Latine Black-, Latine-, and Non-Latine White-identified individuals. For low-dimensional embedding and disease network comparisons, Mann-Whitney U tests or Kruskal-Wallis tests followed by Dunn's tests were used to compare categories. Fisher's exact or chi-squared tests were used for differential analysis. Spearman's rank correlation coefficients were used to compare results between the two EMR systems. RESULTS: Here we show that primarily established AD-associated comorbidities, such as essential hypertension and major depressive disorder, are generally similar across racialized populations. However, a few comorbidities, including respiratory diseases, may be significantly associated with AD in Black- and Latine- identified individuals. CONCLUSIONS: Our study revealed similarities and differences in AD-associated comorbidities and disease networks between racialized populations. Our approach could be a starting point for hypothesis-driven studies that can further explore the relationship between these comorbidities and AD in racialized populations, potentially identifying interventions that can reduce AD health disparities.
Black- and Latine- identified individuals in the United States are more likely to have Alzheimer's dementia (AD) relative to Asian- and White- identified individuals. Despite this, Black- and Latine- identified individuals are less likely to be included in studies that attempt to understand and treat AD. Patients' medical information, electronically recorded by healthcare providers, was used to explore whether patients with AD were more likely to have different conditions relative to patients who do not have AD. We did this analysis separately for Asian-, Non-Latine Black-, Latine- and Non-Latine White- identified individuals for a total of four analyses. While we found many conditions that were shared by all individuals, a few, such as lung-related diseases, may be more common in specific identified race and ethnicity categories.
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For studies using microbiome data, the ability to robustly combine data from technically and biologically distinct microbiome studies is a crucial means of supporting more robust and clinically relevant inferences. Formidable technical challenges arise when attempting to combine data from technically diverse 16S rRNA gene variable region amplicon sequencing (16S) studies. Closed operational taxonomic units and taxonomy are criticized as being heavily dependent upon reference sets and with limited precision relative to the underlying biology. Phylogenetic placement has been demonstrated to be a promising taxonomy-free manner of harmonizing microbiome data, but it has lacked a validated count-based feature suitable for use in machine learning and association studies. Here we introduce a phylogenetic-placement-based, taxonomy-independent, compositional feature of microbiota: phylotypes. Phylotypes were predictive of clinical outcomes such as obesity or pre-term birth on technically diverse independent validation sets harmonized post hoc. Thus, phylotypes enable the rigorous cross-validation of 16S-based clinical prognostic models and associative microbiome studies.
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Microbiota , Filogenia , RNA Ribossômico 16S/genética , Microbiota/genética , Aprendizado de MáquinaRESUMO
Although prematurity is the single largest cause of death in children under 5 years of age, the current definition of prematurity, based on gestational age, lacks the precision needed for guiding care decisions. Here, we propose a longitudinal risk assessment for adverse neonatal outcomes in newborns based on a deep learning model that uses electronic health records (EHRs) to predict a wide range of outcomes over a period starting shortly before conception and ending months after birth. By linking the EHRs of the Lucile Packard Children's Hospital and the Stanford Healthcare Adult Hospital, we developed a cohort of 22,104 mother-newborn dyads delivered between 2014 and 2018. Maternal and newborn EHRs were extracted and used to train a multi-input multitask deep learning model, featuring a long short-term memory neural network, to predict 24 different neonatal outcomes. An additional cohort of 10,250 mother-newborn dyads delivered at the same Stanford Hospitals from 2019 to September 2020 was used to validate the model. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve at delivery exceeded 0.9 for 10 of the 24 neonatal outcomes considered and were between 0.8 and 0.9 for 7 additional outcomes. Moreover, comprehensive association analysis identified multiple known associations between various maternal and neonatal features and specific neonatal outcomes. This study used linked EHRs from more than 30,000 mother-newborn dyads and would serve as a resource for the investigation and prediction of neonatal outcomes. An interactive website is available for independent investigators to leverage this unique dataset: https://maternal-child-health-associations.shinyapps.io/shiny_app/.
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Saúde do Lactente , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Adulto , Criança , Recém-Nascido , Humanos , Pré-Escolar , Idade Gestacional , Morbidade , Medição de RiscoRESUMO
Globally, every year about 11% of infants are born preterm, defined as a birth prior to 37 weeks of gestation, with significant and lingering health consequences. Multiple studies have related the vaginal microbiome to preterm birth. We present a crowdsourcing approach to predict: (a) preterm or (b) early preterm birth from 9 publicly available vaginal microbiome studies representing 3,578 samples from 1,268 pregnant individuals, aggregated from raw sequences via an open-source tool, MaLiAmPi. We validated the crowdsourced models on novel datasets representing 331 samples from 148 pregnant individuals. From 318 DREAM challenge participants we received 148 and 121 submissions for our two separate prediction sub-challenges with top-ranking submissions achieving bootstrapped AUROC scores of 0.69 and 0.87, respectively. Alpha diversity, VALENCIA community state types, and composition (via phylotype relative abundance) were important features in the top performing models, most of which were tree based methods. This work serves as the foundation for subsequent efforts to translate predictive tests into clinical practice, and to better understand and prevent preterm birth.
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Alzheimer's Disease (AD) is a neurodegenerative disorder that is still not fully understood. Sex modifies AD vulnerability, but the reasons for this are largely unknown. We utilize two independent electronic medical record (EMR) systems across 44,288 patients to perform deep clinical phenotyping and network analysis to gain insight into clinical characteristics and sex-specific clinical associations in AD. Embeddings and network representation of patient diagnoses demonstrate greater comorbidity interactions in AD in comparison to matched controls. Enrichment analysis identifies multiple known and new diagnostic, medication, and lab result associations across the whole cohort and in a sex-stratified analysis. With this data-driven method of phenotyping, we can represent AD complexity and generate hypotheses of clinical factors that can be followed-up for further diagnostic and predictive analyses, mechanistic understanding, or drug repurposing and therapeutic approaches.