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BACKGROUND: Influenza illness burden is substantial, particularly among young children, older adults, and those with underlying conditions. Initiatives are underway to develop better global estimates for influenza-associated hospitalizations and deaths. Knowledge gaps remain regarding the role of influenza viruses in severe respiratory disease and hospitalizations among adults, particularly in lower-income settings. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We aggregated published data from a systematic review and unpublished data from surveillance platforms to generate global meta-analytic estimates for the proportion of acute respiratory hospitalizations associated with influenza viruses among adults. We searched 9 online databases (Medline, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, Scopus, Global Health, LILACS, WHOLIS, and CNKI; 1 January 1996-31 December 2016) to identify observational studies of influenza-associated hospitalizations in adults, and assessed eligible papers for bias using a simplified Newcastle-Ottawa scale for observational data. We applied meta-analytic proportions to global estimates of lower respiratory infections (LRIs) and hospitalizations from the Global Burden of Disease study in adults ≥20 years and by age groups (20-64 years and ≥65 years) to obtain the number of influenza-associated LRI episodes and hospitalizations for 2016. Data from 63 sources showed that influenza was associated with 14.1% (95% CI 12.1%-16.5%) of acute respiratory hospitalizations among all adults, with no significant differences by age group. The 63 data sources represent published observational studies (n = 28) and unpublished surveillance data (n = 35), from all World Health Organization regions (Africa, n = 8; Americas, n = 11; Eastern Mediterranean, n = 7; Europe, n = 8; Southeast Asia, n = 11; Western Pacific, n = 18). Data quality for published data sources was predominantly moderate or high (75%, n = 56/75). We estimate 32,126,000 (95% CI 20,484,000-46,129,000) influenza-associated LRI episodes and 5,678,000 (95% CI 3,205,000-9,432,000) LRI hospitalizations occur each year among adults. While adults <65 years contribute most influenza-associated LRI hospitalizations and episodes (3,464,000 [95% CI 1,885,000-5,978,000] LRI hospitalizations and 31,087,000 [95% CI 19,987,000-44,444,000] LRI episodes), hospitalization rates were highest in those ≥65 years (437/100,000 person-years [95% CI 265-612/100,000 person-years]). For this analysis, published articles were limited in their inclusion of stratified testing data by year and age group. Lack of information regarding influenza vaccination of the study population was also a limitation across both types of data sources. CONCLUSIONS: In this meta-analysis, we estimated that influenza viruses are associated with over 5 million hospitalizations worldwide per year. Inclusion of both published and unpublished findings allowed for increased power to generate stratified estimates, and improved representation from lower-income countries. Together, the available data demonstrate the importance of influenza viruses as a cause of severe disease and hospitalizations in younger and older adults worldwide.
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Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Influenza Humana/virologia , Orthomyxoviridae/fisiologia , Infecções Respiratórias/virologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Influenza Humana/economia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infecções Respiratórias/economia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The global burden of pediatric severe respiratory illness is substantial, and influenza viruses contribute to this burden. Systematic surveillance and testing for influenza among hospitalized children has expanded globally over the past decade. However, only a fraction of the data has been used to estimate influenza burden. In this analysis, we use surveillance data to provide an estimate of influenza-associated hospitalizations among children worldwide. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We aggregated data from a systematic review (n = 108) and surveillance platforms (n = 37) to calculate a pooled estimate of the proportion of samples collected from children hospitalized with respiratory illnesses and positive for influenza by age group (<6 mo, <1 y, <2 y, <5 y, 5-17 y, and <18 y). We applied this proportion to global estimates of acute lower respiratory infection hospitalizations among children aged <1 y and <5 y, to obtain the number and per capita rate of influenza-associated hospitalizations by geographic region and socio-economic status. Influenza was associated with 10% (95% CI 8%-11%) of respiratory hospitalizations in children <18 y worldwide, ranging from 5% (95% CI 3%-7%) among children <6 mo to 16% (95% CI 14%-20%) among children 5-17 y. On average, we estimated that influenza results in approximately 374,000 (95% CI 264,000 to 539,000) hospitalizations in children <1 y-of which 228,000 (95% CI 150,000 to 344,000) occur in children <6 mo-and 870,000 (95% CI 610,000 to 1,237,000) hospitalizations in children <5 y annually. Influenza-associated hospitalization rates were more than three times higher in developing countries than in industrialized countries (150/100,000 children/year versus 48/100,000). However, differences in hospitalization practices between settings are an important limitation in interpreting these findings. CONCLUSIONS: Influenza is an important contributor to respiratory hospitalizations among young children worldwide. Increasing influenza vaccination coverage among young children and pregnant women could reduce this burden and protect infants <6 mo.
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Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Doenças Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Feminino , Saúde Global , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Doenças Respiratórias/virologiaRESUMO
Cervical cancer is a global health concern and ranks fourth among the most prevalent cancers in women worldwide. Human papillomavirus (HPV) infection is a known precursor of cervical cancer and preventive measures include prophylactic vaccines. This study focused on sexually active Paraguayan women aged 18-25 years, exploring the intersection of HPV vaccination and sexual behavior. Among 254 participants, 40.9% received the Gardasil-4 vaccine, with no significant differences in sexual behavior between the vaccinated and unvaccinated sexually active groups. However, a notable decrease in the prevalence of HPV among the vaccinated women highlights the efficacy of this vaccine in reducing infections. The prevalence of any HPV type was 37.5% in vaccinated participants compared to 56.7% in unvaccinated participants (p = 0.0026). High-risk HPV types showed a significant difference, with a prevalence of 26.0% in vaccinated women compared with 52.7% in unvaccinated women (p < 0.001). Although a potential decline in genital warts was observed among the vaccinated individuals, statistical significance (p = 0.0564) was not reached. Despite the challenges in achieving high vaccination coverage, the observed reduction in HPV prevalence underscores the importance of ongoing monitoring, healthcare professional recommendations, and comprehensive risk management. These findings contribute to dispelling concerns about HPV vaccination influencing sexual behavior, advocating further large-scale research to explore the impact of vaccines on various HPV types and potential cross-protection.
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In 2019-2020, dengue virus (DENV) type 4 emerged to cause the largest DENV outbreak in Paraguay's history. This study sought to characterize dengue relative to other acute illness cases and use phylogenetic analysis to understand the outbreak's origin. Individuals with an acute illness (≤7 days) were enrolled and tested for DENV nonstructural protein 1 (NS1) and viral RNA by real-time RT-PCR. Near-complete genome sequences were obtained from 62 DENV-4 positive samples. From January 2019 to March 2020, 799 participants were enrolled: 253 dengue (14 severe dengue, 5.5%) and 546 other acute illness cases. DENV-4 was detected in 238 dengue cases (94.1%). NS1 detection by rapid test was 52.5% sensitive (53/101) and 96.5% specific (387/401) for dengue compared to rRT-PCR. DENV-4 sequences were grouped into two clades within genotype II. No clustering was observed based on dengue severity, location, or date. Sequences obtained here were most closely related to 2018 DENV-4 sequences from Paraguay, followed by a 2013 sequence from southern Brazil. DENV-4 can result in large outbreaks, including severe cases, and is poorly detected with available rapid diagnostics. Outbreak strains seem to have been circulating in Paraguay and Brazil prior to 2018, highlighting the importance of sustained DENV genomic surveillance.
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Vírus da Dengue , Dengue , Humanos , Vírus da Dengue/genética , Dengue/diagnóstico , Dengue/epidemiologia , Paraguai/epidemiologia , Filogenia , Doença Aguda , Genótipo , Surtos de DoençasRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates vary by population characteristics and circulating variants. North America and Europe have generated many COVID-19 VE estimates but relied heavily on mRNA vaccines. Fewer estimates are available for non-mRNA vaccines and from Latin America. We aimed to estimate the effectiveness of several COVID-19 vaccines in preventing SARS-CoV-2-associated severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) in Paraguay from May 2021 to April 2022. METHODS: Using sentinel surveillance data from four hospitals in Paraguay, we conducted a test-negative case-control study to estimate COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against SARI by vaccine type/brand and period of SARS-CoV-2 variant predominance (Gamma, Delta, Omicron). We used multivariable logistic regression adjusting for month of symptom onset, age group, and presence of ≥1 comorbidity to estimate the odds of COVID-19 vaccination in SARS-CoV-2 test-positive SARI case-patients compared to SARS-CoV-2 test-negative SARI control-patients. RESULTS: Of 4,229 SARI patients, 2,381 (56%) were SARS-CoV-2-positive case-patients and 1,848 (44%) were SARS-CoV-2-negative control-patients. A greater proportion of case-patients (73%; 95% CI: 71-75) than of control-patients (40%; 95% CI: 38-42) were unvaccinated. During the Gamma variant-predominant period, VE estimates for partial vaccination with mRNA vaccines and Oxford/AstraZeneca Vaxzevria were 90.4% (95% CI: 66.4-97.6) and 52.2% (95% CI: 25.0-69.0), respectively. During the Delta variant-predominant period, VE estimates for complete vaccination with mRNA vaccines, Oxford/AstraZeneca Vaxzevria, or Gamaleya Sputnik V were 90.4% (95% CI: 74.3-97.3), 83.2% (95% CI: 67.8-91.9), and 82.9% (95% CI: 53.0-95.2), respectively. The effectiveness of all vaccines declined substantially during the Omicron variant-predominant period. CONCLUSIONS: This study contributes to our understanding of COVID-19 VE in Latin America and to global understanding of vaccines that have not been widely used in North America and Europe. VE estimates from Paraguay can parameterize models to estimate the impact of the national COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Paraguay and similar settings.
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BACKGROUND: Dengue is the most common vector-borne viral disease worldwide. Most cases are mild, but some evolve into severe dengue (SD), with high lethality. Therefore, it is important to identify biomarkers of severe disease to improve outcomes and judiciously utilize resources. METHODS/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: One hundred forty-five confirmed dengue cases (median age, 42; range <1-91 years), enrolled from February 2018 to March 2020, were selected from an ongoing study of suspected arboviral infections in metropolitan Asunción, Paraguay. Cases included dengue virus types 1, 2, and 4, and severity was categorized according to the 2009 World Health Organization guidelines. Testing for anti-dengue virus IgM and IgG and serum biomarkers (lipopolysaccharide binding protein and chymase) was performed on acute-phase sera in plate-based ELISAs; in addition, a multiplex ELISA platform was used to measure anti-dengue virus and anti-Zika virus IgM and IgG. Complete blood counts and chemistries were performed at the discretion of the care team. Age, gender, and pre-existing comorbidities were associated with SD vs. dengue with/without warning signs in logistic regression with odds ratios (ORs) of 1.07 (per year; 95% confidence interval, 1.03, 1.11), 0.20 (female; 0.05,0.77), and 2.09 (presence; 1.26, 3.48) respectively. In binary logistic regression, for every unit increase in anti-DENV IgG in the multiplex platform, odds of SD increased by 2.54 (1.19-5.42). Platelet count, lymphocyte percent, and elevated chymase were associated with SD in a combined logistic regression model with ORs of 0.99 (1,000/µL; 0.98,0.999), 0.92 (%; 0.86,0.98), and 1.17 (mg/mL; 1.03,1.33) respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Multiple, readily available factors were associated with SD in this population. These findings will aid in the early detection of potentially severe dengue cases and inform the development of new prognostics for use in acute-phase and serial samples from dengue cases.
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Flavivirus , Dengue Grave , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Anticorpos Antivirais , Biomarcadores , Quimases , Ensaio de Imunoadsorção Enzimática , Imunoglobulina G , Imunoglobulina M , Dengue Grave/diagnóstico , MasculinoRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: This study estimated the 2022 end-of-season influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against severe acute respiratory illness (SARI) hospitalization in Chile, Paraguay, and Uruguay. METHODS: We pooled surveillance data from SARI cases in 18 sentinel surveillance hospitals in Chile (n = 9), Paraguay (n = 2), and Uruguay (n = 7) from March 16-November 30, 2022. VE was estimated using a test-negative design and logistic regression models adjusted for country, age, sex, presence of ≥1 comorbidity, and week of illness onset. VE estimates were stratified by influenza virus type and subtype (when available) and influenza vaccine target population, categorized as children, individuals with comorbidities, and older adults, defined per countries' national immunization policies. RESULTS: Among the 3147 SARI cases, there were 382 (12.1%) influenza test-positive case patients; 328 (85.9%) influenza case patients were in Chile, 33 (8.6%) were in Paraguay, and 21 (5.5%) were in Uruguay. In all countries, the predominant subtype was influenza A(H3N2) (92.6% of influenza cases). Adjusted VE against any influenza-associated SARI hospitalization was 33.8% (95% confidence interval: 15.3%, 48.2%); VE against influenza A(H3N2)-associated SARI hospitalization was 30.4% (95% confidence interval: 10.1%, 46.0%). VE estimates were similar across target populations. CONCLUSION: During the 2022 influenza season, influenza vaccination reduced the odds of hospitalization among those vaccinated by one-third. Health officials should encourage influenza vaccination in accordance with national recommendations.
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Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H1N1 , Vacinas contra Influenza , Influenza Humana , Criança , Humanos , Idoso , Recém-Nascido , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H3N2 , Estações do Ano , Paraguai/epidemiologia , Uruguai/epidemiologia , Chile/epidemiologia , Eficácia de Vacinas , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Vacinação , Vírus da Influenza BRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Although several studies have reported attenuated influenza illness following influenza vaccination, results have been inconsistent and have focused predominantly on adults in the USA. This study aimed to evaluate the severity of influenza illness by vaccination status in a broad range of influenza vaccine target groups across multiple South American countries. METHODS: We analysed data from four South American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Paraguay) participating in REVELAC-i, a multicentre, test-negative design, vaccine effectiveness network including 41 sentinel hospitals. Individuals hospitalised at one of these centres with severe acute respiratory infection were tested for influenza by real-time RT-PCR, and were included in the analysis if they had complete information about their vaccination status and outcomes of their hospital stay. We used multivariable logistic regression weighted by inverse probability of vaccination and adjusted for antiviral use, duration of illness before admission, and calendar week, to calculate the adjusted odds ratios (aORs) of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and in-hospital death (and combinations of these outcomes) among influenza-positive patients by vaccination status for three target groups: young children (aged 6-24 months), adults (aged 18-64 years) with pre-existing health conditions, and older adults (aged ≥65 years). Survival curves were used to compare length of hospital stay by vaccination status in each target group. FINDINGS: 2747 patients hospitalised with PCR-confirmed influenza virus infection between Jan 1, 2013, and Dec 8, 2019, were included in the study: 649 children (70 [10·8%] fully vaccinated, 193 [29·7%] partially vaccinated) of whom 87 (13·4%) were admitted to ICU and 12 (1·8%) died in hospital; 520 adults with pre-existing medical conditions (118 [22·7%] vaccinated), of whom 139 (26·7%) were admitted to ICU and 55 (10·6%) died in hospital; and 1578 older adults (609 [38·6%] vaccinated), of whom 271 (17·2%) were admitted to ICU and 220 (13·9%) died in hospital. We observed earlier discharge among partially vaccinated children (adjusted hazard ratio 1·14 [95% CI 1·01-1·29]), fully vaccinated children (1·24 [1·04-1·47]), and vaccinated adults with pre-existing medical conditions (1·78 [1·18-2·69]) compared with their unvaccinated counterparts, but not among vaccinated older adults (0·82 [0·65-1·04]). Compared with unvaccinated individuals, lower odds of ICU admission were found for partially vaccinated children (aOR 0·64 [95% CI 0·44-0·92]) and fully vaccinated children (0·52 [0·28-0·98]), but not for adults with pre-existing conditions (1·25 [0·93-1·67]) or older adults (0·88 [0·72-1·08]). Lower odds of in-hospital death (0·62 [0·50-0·78]) were found in vaccinated versus unvaccinated older adults, with or without ICU admission, but did not differ significantly in partially vaccinated (1·35 [0·57-3·20]) or fully vaccinated young children (0·88 [0·16-4·82]) or adults with pre-existing medical conditions (1·09 [0·73-1·63]) compared with the respective unvaccinated patient groups. INTERPRETATION: Influenza vaccination was associated with illness attenuation among those hospitalised with influenza, although results differed by vaccine target group. These findings might suggest that attenuation of disease severity might be specific to certain target groups, seasons, or settings. FUNDING: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. TRANSLATIONS: For the Spanish and Portuguese translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.
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Vacinas contra Influenza , Influenza Humana , Criança , Humanos , Pré-Escolar , Idoso , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Estações do Ano , Estudos de Coortes , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Hospitalização , Vacinação , Brasil/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Passive surveillance data are often the only available source of data that can be used to evaluate the population-level impact of vaccination, but such data often suffer from important limitations such as changes in surveillance efforts. This study provides an example of how to identify important signatures of rotavirus vaccine impact, including evaluating the overall effectiveness and changes in rotavirus seasonal dynamics. METHODS: We used data from a standardized sentinel rotavirus surveillance network in six Latin American countries (Bolivia, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Paraguay, and Venezuela) from 2004 to 2017. A random-effects model was used to evaluate changes in the proportion of rotavirus-associated hospitalizations following vaccine introduction. Harmonic regression models were used to estimate vaccine impact on the number of rotavirus hospitalizations, controlling for trends in rotavirus-negative cases. Changes to rotavirus seasonality were evaluated using center of gravity analysis, wavelet analysis, and harmonic regression. RESULTS: All countries observed declines in the proportion of rotavirus-positive acute diarrhea samples with a mean reduction of 16% (95% confidence interval: 10-22%). We estimate that each 10% increase in vaccine coverage was associated with declines in the number of rotavirus-positive cases, ranging from 4.3% (1.3-7.2%) in Honduras to 21.4% (16.8-25.9%) in Venezuela. The strength of the seasonal peak in rotavirus incidence became smaller after vaccine introduction in Guatemala, Honduras, and Venezuela. Seasonal peaks also shifted later in the surveillance year, especially in higher-mortality countries. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of methods we applied have different strengths that allow us to identify common signatures of rotavirus vaccine impact.
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Diarreia/epidemiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por Rotavirus/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/administração & dosagem , Pré-Escolar , Diarreia/virologia , Humanos , Programas de Imunização , Incidência , América Latina/epidemiologia , Infecções por Rotavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Rotavirus/imunologia , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/imunologia , Estações do Ano , Vigilância de Evento Sentinela , Vacinação/métodosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: There are limited published data about the circulation of influenza B/Victoria and B/Yamagata in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) and most countries have a vaccine policy that includes the use of the trivalent influenza vaccine. We analyzed influenza surveillance data to inform decision-making in LAC about prevention strategies, such as the use of the quadrivalent influenza vaccine. METHODS: There are a total of 28 reference laboratories and National Influenza Centers in LAC that conduct influenza virologic surveillance according to global standards, and on a weekly basis upload their surveillance data to the open-access World Health Organization (WHO) platform FluNet. These data include the number of specimens tested for influenza and the number of specimens positive for influenza by type, subtype and lineage, all by the epidemiologic week of specimen collection. We invited these laboratories to provide additional epidemiologic data about the hospitalized influenza B cases. We conducted descriptive analyses of patterns of influenza circulation and characteristics of hospitalized cases. We compared the predominant B lineage each season to the lineage in the vaccine applied, to determine vaccine mismatch. A Chi-square and Wilcoxan statistic were used to assess the statistical significance of differences in proportions and medians at the P<0.05 level. FINDINGS: During 2010-2017, the annual number of influenza B cases in LAC was ~4500 to 7000 cases. Since 2011, among the LAC-laboratories reporting influenza B lineage using molecular methods, both B/Victoria and B/Yamagata were detected annually. Among the hospitalized influenza B cases, there were statistically significant differences observed between B/Victoria and B/Yamagata cases when comparing age and the proportion with underlying co-morbid conditions and with history of oseltamivir treatment (P<0.001). The proportion deceased among B/Victoria and B/Yamagata hospitalized cases did not differ significantly. When comparing the predominant influenza B lineage detected, as part of surveillance activities during 63 seasons among 19 countries, to the lineage of the influenza B virus included in the trivalent influenza vaccine used during that season, there was a vaccine mismatch noted during 32% of the seasons analyzed. CONCLUSIONS: Influenza B is important in LAC with both B/Victoria and B/Yamagata circulating annually in all sub regions. During approximately one-third of the seasons, an influenza B vaccine mismatch was identified. Further analyses are needed to better characterize the medical and economic burden of each influenza B lineage, to examine the potential cross-protection of one vaccine lineage against the other circulating virus lineage, and to determine the potential impact and cost-effectiveness of using the quadrivalent vaccine rather than the trivalent influenza vaccine.
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Vírus da Influenza B/imunologia , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Região do Caribe/epidemiologia , Proteção Cruzada/imunologia , Humanos , Vírus da Influenza B/patogenicidade , América Latina/epidemiologia , Estações do Ano , Vacinação/métodosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Despite having influenza vaccination policies and programs, countries in the Americas underutilize seasonal influenza vaccine, in part because of insufficient evidence about severe influenza burden. We aimed to estimate the annual burden of influenza-associated respiratory hospitalizations in the Americas. METHODS: Thirty-five countries in the Americas with national influenza surveillance were invited to provide monthly laboratory data and hospital discharges for respiratory illness (International Classification of Diseases 10th edition J codes 0-99) during 2010-2015. In three age-strata (<5, 5-64, and ≥65 years), we estimated the influenza-associated hospitalizations rate by multiplying the monthly number of respiratory hospitalizations by the monthly proportion of influenza-positive samples and dividing by the census population. We used random effects meta-analyses to pool age-group specific rates and extrapolated to countries that did not contribute data, using pooled rates stratified by age group and country characteristics found to be associated with rates. RESULTS: Sixteen of 35 countries (46%) contributed primary data to the analyses, representing 79% of the America's population. The average pooled rate of influenza-associated respiratory hospitalization was 90/100,000 population (95% confidence interval 61-132) among children aged <5 years, 21/100,000 population (13-32) among persons aged 5-64 years, and 141/100,000 population (95-211) among persons aged ≥65 years. We estimated the average annual number of influenza-associated respiratory hospitalizations in the Americas to be 772,000 (95% credible interval 716,000-829,000). CONCLUSIONS: Influenza-associated respiratory hospitalizations impose a heavy burden on health systems in the Americas. Countries in the Americas should use this information to justify investments in seasonal influenza vaccination-especially among young children and the elderly.
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Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Influenza Humana/complicações , Infecções Respiratórias/complicações , Infecções Respiratórias/terapia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , América/epidemiologia , Análise de Variância , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Custos e Análise de Custo , Feminino , Humanos , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infecções Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Infecções Respiratórias/virologia , Estações do Ano , Cobertura Vacinal/economia , Cobertura Vacinal/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto JovemRESUMO
La influenza (FLU) causa morbilidad grave y mortalidad. El objetivo del estudio fue evaluar la incidencia, la etiología y el uso de recursos para la gripe en un barrio de bajos ingresos de Asunción, Paraguay mediante un estudio de cohorte prospectiva de base poblacional con muestreo aleatorio estratificado de viviendas de julio a Octubre de 2013. El monitoreo de los hogares para la identificación de los casos de enfermedad tipo influenza (ETI) fue telefónico. En aquellos pacientes con ETI, se tomaron hisopados nasofaríngeos para RT-PCR e IFI. Se establecieron los factores de riesgo para ETI por la prueba de chi cuadrado considerándose significativa p<0,05; además se calculó RR con IC95%. De 8.279 viviendas, 401 familias (2.065 personas) fueron monitoreadas; se identificaron 141 casos de ETI que representa una incidencia de 6,8% (IC95%: 5,5-7,6%); el 56% de los casos buscaron atención médica, en su mayoría (80%) en servicios públicos. Se testaron 84% de los hisopados nasofaríngeos, siendo positivo en el 22% para virus respiratorios; 86% FLU (63% FLU A, 37% FLU B). Se encontró asociación (p< 0,001) entre enfermar de ETI y tener edad menor de 5 años (RR: 2,43 (1,68-3,49). Este es el primer estudio que da información sobre la carga de Influenza en Paraguay. El monitoreo telefónico resultó ser una buena estrategia para monitoreo de los hogares para la identificación de los casos de ETI. El virus de la Influenza fue el patógeno más común identificado, con una alta demanda de asistencia médica, lo que resulta una carga sustancial para los servicios de salud.
Influenza (FLU) causes severe morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence, etiology and use of resources for influenza in a low-income neighborhood in Asunción, Paraguay through a prospective population base cohort with stratified random sampling of houses from July to October 2013. Monitoring of cases of influenza-like illness (ILI) was by telephone. In ETI cases, nasopharyngeal swabs were collected for RT-PCR and IFI. Risk factors for ETI were established using chi square test at p≤0.05; RR with CI 95% was also calculated. Of 8,279 homes, 401 families (2,065 people) were monitored; 141 ILI cases were identified, yielding an incidence of 6.8% (95% CI 5.5-7.6), 56% of cases sought medical attention, mostly (80%) in public health services. Among the ILIs, 84% of nasopharyngeal swabs were tested, 22% positive for respiratory viruses; 86% FLU (63% FLU A, 37% FLU B). An association (p<0.001) between ILI disease and aged less than 5 years (RR: 2.43 (1.68-3.49) was found. This is the first study that gives information on Influenza burden in Paraguay. Telephone monitoring was a good strategy for house monitoring in order to identify cases of ILI. Influenza virus was the most common pathogen identified, with a high demand for medical assistance, which results in a substantial burden for health services.
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Influenza Humana , Saúde PúblicaRESUMO
Objetivo: Describir las características clínicas y epidemiológicas de los casos pediátricos (0 a 18 años) reportados a la Dirección General de Vigilancia de la Salud (DGVS) durante la pandemia del 2009. Metodología: El estudio es observacional, descriptivo con componentes analíticos, incluyéndose todos los casos sospechosos de infección por Influenza A (H1N1) menores de 19 años que fueron notificados a la DGVS a partir del 28 de abril de 2009 hasta el 30 de enero del 2010.Los centros notificadores fueron públicos y privados. Para la recolección de los datos se utilizó una ficha clínico- epidemiológica que incluía: edad, sexo, procedencia, signos y síntomas, co-morbilidades, antecedentes de vacunación, resultado laboratorial para influenza A (H1N1) y evolución clínica. Resultados: Fueron notificados a la DGVS, 3233 casos sospechosos de Influenza A (H1N1), de los cuales el 50,6% era del sexo masculino. El grupo etareo predominante fue de 15 a 18 años (43,9%), seguido del grupo de 1 a 4 años (31,7%). La mayoría de los casos provenía del Departamento Central 38,4%, seguido de Asunción 23%, y Alto Paraná 10,2%. El 90% de los casos se reportó entre junio y agosto. Entre los signos y síntomas más frecuentemente hallados se encuentran la tos (90%), fiebre (77%) y dolor de garganta (61%). El 4,7% de los casos tenía por lo menos un factor de riesgo de complicaciones, citándose entre las más frecuentes el asma (n=91), embarazo (n=26), enfermedad cardiovascular (n=19). El 6,6% de los que presentaron algún factor de riesgo de co-morbilidad, falleció. La tasa de mortalidad fue de 1,6% y fue significativamente mayor en los menores de 1 año (5,6%, p<0,001). En 476 casos (14,7%), se confirmó la infección por Influenza A (H1N1). Conclusión: Las características clínicas observadas fueron similares a las reportadas a nivel internacional. La necesidad de hospitalización y la mortalidad fueron significativamente mayores en los menores de 1 año.
Introduction: In April 2009 the first cases were reported of a new influenza subtype, H1N1 Influenza A, which showed different clinical behavior in different age groups. Objective: To describe the clinical and epidemiological characteristics of pediatric cases (ages 0 to 18 years) reported to the general directorate for health surveillance (DGVS) during the pandemic of 2009.Methodology: The study was observational and descriptive with analytical components, and included all suspected cases of infection by H1N1 influenza A in patients under age 19 reported to the DGVS between April 28, 2009 and January 30, 2010. Reporting centers included both public and private facilities. To collect data we used a clinical-epidemiological form that included: age, sex, place of origin, signs and symptoms, comorbidities, vaccination history, laboratory results for influenza A H1N1, and clinical outcome. Results: The DGVS received 3233 reports of suspected cases of influenza A H1N1, of which 50.6% were in male patients. Incidence was highest in the age 15 to 18 group (43.9%), followed by the age 1 to 4 group (31.7%). Most cases came from the Central Department (38.4%), followed by Asuncion(23%) and Alto Parana 10.2%). Fully 90% of cases were reported between June and August. Signs and symptoms most frequently found were cough (90%), fever (77%) and sore throat (61%). At least one risk factor for complications was present in 4.7% of cases, with the most common being asthma (n=91), pregnancy (n=26), and cardiovascular disease (n=19). Of those that presented any comorbidity risk factor, 6.6% died. The mortality rate was 1.6% and was significantly higher in children under age 1 year (5.6%, p<0.001). In 476 cases (14.7%) infection by H1N1 influenza A was confirmed. Conclusion: The clinical features observed were similar to those reported internationally. The need for hospitalization and mortality were significantly higher in children under age 1 year.