Novel Irritable Bowel Syndrome Subgroups are Reproducible in the Global Adult Population.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Current classification systems for irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) based on bowel habit do not consider psychological impact. We validated a classification model in a UK population with confirmed IBS, using latent class analysis, incorporating psychological factors. We applied this model in the Rome Foundation Global Epidemiological Survey (RFGES), assessing impact of IBS on the individual and the healthcare system, as well as examining reproducibility. METHODS: We applied our model to 2195 individuals in the RFGES with Rome IV-defined IBS. As described previously, we identified seven clusters, based on gastrointestinal symptom severity and psychological burden. We assessed demographics, healthcare-seeking, symptom severity, and quality of life in each. We also used the RFGES to derive a new model, examining whether the broader concepts of our original model were replicated, in terms of breakdown and characteristics of identified clusters. RESULTS: All seven clusters were identified. Those in clusters with highest psychological burden, and particularly cluster 6 with high overall gastrointestinal symptom severity, were more often female, exhibited higher levels of healthcare-seeking, were more likely to have undergone previous abdominal surgeries, and had higher symptom severity and lower quality of life (p<0.001 for trend for all). When deriving a new model, the best solution consisted of 10 clusters, although at least two appeared to be duplicates, and almost all mapped on to the previous clusters. CONCLUSIONS: Even in the community, our original clusters derived from patients with physician-confirmed IBS identified groups of individuals with significantly higher rates of healthcare-seeking and abdominal surgery, more severe symptoms, and impairments in quality of life.

Demographic and clinical characteristics associated with advanced stage colorectal cancer: a registry-based cohort study in Saudi Arabia.

BACKGROUND: In Saudi Arabia, approximately one-third of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients are diagnosed at an advanced stage. Late diagnosis is often associated with a worse prognosis. Understanding the risk factors for late-stage presentation of CRC is crucial for developing targeted interventions enabling earlier detection and improved patient outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study on 17,541 CRC patients from the Saudi Cancer Registry (1997-2017). We defined distant CRCs as late-stage and localized and regional CRCs as early-stage. To assess risk factors for late-stage CRC, we first used multivariable logistic regression, then developed a decision tree to segment regions by late-stage CRC risk, and finally used stratified logistic regression models to examine geographical and sex variations in risk factors. RESULTS: Of all cases, 29% had a late-stage diagnosis, and 71% had early-stage CRC. Young (< 50 years) and unmarried women had an increased risk of late-stage CRC, overall and in some regions. Regional risk variations by sex were observed. Sex-related differences in late-stage rectosigmoid cancer risk were observed in specific regions but not in the overall population. Patients diagnosed after 2001 had increased risks of late-stage presentation. CONCLUSION: Our study identified risk factors for late-stage CRC that can guide targeted early detection efforts. Further research is warranted to fully understand these relationships and develop and evaluate effective prevention strategies.

Trends in incidence of recorded diagnosis of osteoporosis, osteopenia, and fragility fractures in people aged 50 years and above: retrospective cohort study using UK primary care data.

This study used primary care data to estimate the incidence of recorded diagnosis of osteoporosis, osteopenia, and fragility fracture in the UK during 2000-2018 accounting for age, sex, calendar year and social deprivation. More than 3 million people aged 50-99 years were included. We found that men living in the most deprived areas had a 45% higher risk of being diagnosed with osteoporosis and 50% higher risk of fragility fracture compared to men living in the least deprived areas. PURPOSE: a) To estimate the incidence trends of a recorded diagnosis of osteoporosis, osteopenia, and fragility fracture in the UK over time; b) to describe differences according to age, sex, and social deprivation. METHODS: This is a longitudinal population-based cohort study using routinely collected primary care data obtained via IQVIA Medical Research Database (IMRD). All patients aged 50-99 years registered with a practice participating in THIN (The Health Improvement Network) between 2000-2018 were included. The first recorded diagnosis of osteoporosis, osteopenia, or fragility fracture was used to estimate incidence rates (IR) per 10,000 person-years at risk. Poisson regression was used to provide Incidence Rate Ratios (IRR) adjusted by age, sex, social deprivation, calendar year, and practice effect. RESULTS: The year-specific adjusted IRR of recorded osteoporosis was highest in 2009 in women [IRR 1.44(95%CI 1.38-1.50)], whereas in men it was highest in 2013-2014 [IRR 1.94(95%CI 1.72-2.18)] compared to 2000. The year-specific adjusted IRR of fragility fracture was highest in 2012 in women [IRR 1.77(95%CI 1.69-1.85)], whereas in men it was highest in 2013 [IRR 1.64(95%CI 1.51-1.78)] compared to 2000. Men in the most deprived areas had a higher risk of being diagnosed with osteoporosis [IRR 1.45(95%CI 1.38-1.53)], osteopenia [IRR 1.17(95%CI 1.09-1.26)], and fragility fracture [IRR 1.50(95%CI 1.44-1.56)] compared to those living in the least deprived areas, but smaller differences were seen in women. CONCLUSION: Use of fracture risk assessment tools may enhance the detection of osteoporosis cases in primary care. Further research is needed on the effect of social deprivation on diagnosis of osteoporosis and fractures.

Blood loss and transfusion risk in intramedullary nailing for subtrochanteric fractures.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of hip fractures and subtrochanteric fractures in particular is increasing, along with the globally expanding aging population. Intramedullary nailing remains the 'gold standard' of their treatment. Blood loss can be a result of the original trauma, but also secondary to the subsequent surgical insult, especially during the reaming of the intramedullary canal. OBJECTIVES: The aim of our study was to report on the blood loss and incidence of blood transfusion in patients presenting with a subtrochanteric fracture treated with intramedullary nailing. Most importantly, we aim to identify factors associated with the need for transfusion within the first 48 h post-operatively. METHODS: Following institutional board approval, 431 consecutive patients (131 males; age: 79.03 years old, SD 13.68 years) presenting in a Level 1 Trauma Centre with a subtrochanteric fracture treated with an intramedullary nail were retrospectively identified, over an 8-year period. Exclusion criteria included patients with high energy injuries, pathological fractures, primary operations at other institutions and patients lost to follow-up. To identify risk factors leading to increased risk of transfusion, we first compared patients requiring intra-operative transfusion or transfusion during the first 48 h post-operatively against those who did not require transfusion. This was then followed by multivariate regression analysis adjusted for confounding factors to identify the most important risk factors associated with need for transfusion within the first 48 h post-operatively. RESULTS: Incidence of blood transfusion was 6.0% pre-operatively, compared to 62.7% post-operatively. A total of 230 patients (52.3%) required either intra-operative transfusion or transfusion during the first 48 h following surgery. Patients having a transfusion within the first 48 h post-operatively had a higher incidence of escalation in their care (p = 0.050), LOS (p = 0.015), 30-day (p = 0.033) and one-year mortality (p = 0.004). Multivariate regression analysis adjusted for confounding factors identified that the most important association of a need for transfusion within the first 48 post-operative hours was a pre-operative Hb <100 g/L (OR 6.64); a nail/canal ratio <70% (OR 3.92), followed by need for open reduction (OR 2.66). Fracture involving the lesser trochanter was also implicated with an increased risk (OR 2.08). Additionally, pre-operative moderate/severe renal impairment (OR 4.56), as well as hypoalbuminaemia on admission (OR 2.10) were biochemical predictors of an increased risk of transfusion. Most importantly, the need for transfusion was associated with an increase in 30-day mortality (OR 12.07). CONCLUSION: Several patient, fracture and surgery related factors are implicated with an increased risk for transfusion within the first 48-h post-operatively. Early identification, and where possible correction of these factors can potentially reduce blood loss and risk of transfusion, along with all the associated sequelae and mortality risk. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

Associations with Non-Persistence with Intra-Vitreal Therapy for Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration at 24 Months.

AIMS: The aim of the study was to investigate non-persistence with treatment for neovascular age-related macular degeneration (NvAMD) before day 720 (24 months) after initiation, explore associations with baseline characteristics and variation between sites. METHODS: Anonymised demographic and clinical data were extracted from electronic medical records at treating National Health Service (NHS) Trusts for NvAMD eyes starting intra-vitreal therapy from 2017 to 2018. Time to non-persistence with treatment, defined as no recorded attendance for either monitoring or treatment for a period ≥6 months, was visualised with a Kaplan-Meier survival plot. Associations with treatment non-persistence were investigated using a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Analysis included 7,970 eyes of 7,112 patients treated at 13 NHS trusts. Censoring deaths and those eyes in which treatment was stopped permanently, the Kaplan-Meier analyses demonstrated survival figures of 77.7% for persistence with treatment to day 360 and 71.8% to day 720. Hazard ratios for non-persistence with treatment were reduced at 10 sites, relative to the reference, with first-treated eye status and with baseline acuity worse than or equal to LogMAR 1.0. Hazard ratios increased with younger age, in the presence of other ocular co-morbidities and with baseline acuity better than or equal to LogMAR 0.5. After an episode of non-persistence, visual acuity decreased by at least 0.1 and 0.3 LogMAR in 39% and 18% of eyes, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Non-persistence with treatment was common, especially in the first year of treatment, and was often associated with a decrease in visual acuity. Treatment site, baseline visual acuity, and age were the strongest predictors of treatment non-persistence before day 720. Understanding and addressing reasons for non-persistence are important to ensure that effective but expensive treatments are used cost-effectively and to maintain acuity. Variation in non-persistence between sites, even after adjustment for other variables, suggests that local factors in treatment provision may be particularly important.

Should Radiation Exposure be an Issue of Concern in Children With Multiple Trauma?

OBJECTIVE: The aims of this study were 3-fold: first, establish the level of radiation exposure experienced by the pediatric trauma patients; second, model the level of risk of developing fatal carcinogenesis; and third, test whether pattern of injury was predictive of the level of exposure. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: There are certain conditions that cause children to be exposed to increased radiation, that is, scoliosis, where level of radiation exposure is known. The extent that children are exposed to radiation in the context of multiple traumas remains unclear. METHODS: Patients below the age of 16 years and with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) ≥10, treated by a Major Trauma Center for the period January 2008 to December 2018 were identified. The following data were extracted for the year following the patient's injury: number, doses, and type of radiological examination.The sex and age of the patient was taken into account in the calculation of the risk of developing a carcinogenesis. RESULTS: The median radiation dose of the 425 patients identified in the 12 months following injury, through both CT and radiographs, was 24.3 mSv. Modeling the predictive value of pattern of injury and other relevant clinical values, ISS was proportionately predictive of cumulative dose received. CONCLUSION: A proportion of younger polytrauma patients were exposed to high levels of radiation that in turn mean an increased risk of carcinogenesis. However, the ISS, age, injury pattern, and length of hospital stay are predictive of both risks, enabling monitoring and patient advisement of the risks.

Impact of introducing procalcitonin testing on antibiotic usage in acute NHS hospitals during the first wave of COVID-19 in the UK: a controlled interrupted time series analysis of organization-level data.

BACKGROUND: Blood biomarkers have the potential to help identify COVID-19 patients with bacterial coinfection in whom antibiotics are indicated. During the COVID-19 pandemic, procalcitonin testing was widely introduced at hospitals in the UK to guide antibiotic prescribing. We have determined the impact of this on hospital-level antibiotic consumption. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, controlled interrupted time series analysis of organization-level data describing antibiotic dispensing, hospital activity and procalcitonin testing for acute hospitals/hospital trusts in England and Wales during the first wave of COVID-19 (24 February to 5 July 2020). RESULTS: In the main analysis of 105 hospitals in England, introduction of procalcitonin testing in emergency departments/acute medical admission units was associated with a statistically significant decrease in total antibiotic use of -1.08 (95% CI: -1.81 to -0.36) DDDs of antibiotic per admission per week per trust. This effect was then lost at a rate of 0.05 (95% CI: 0.02-0.08) DDDs per admission per week. Similar results were found specifically for first-line antibiotics for community-acquired pneumonia and for COVID-19 admissions rather than all admissions. Introduction of procalcitonin in the ICU setting was not associated with any significant change in antibiotic use. CONCLUSIONS: At hospitals where procalcitonin testing was introduced in emergency departments/acute medical units this was associated with an initial, but unsustained, reduction in antibiotic use. Further research should establish the patient-level impact of procalcitonin testing in this population and understand its potential for clinical effectiveness.

Burden of allergic disease among ethnic minority groups in high-income countries.

The COVID-19 pandemic raised acute awareness regarding inequities and inequalities and poor clinical outcomes amongst ethnic minority groups. Studies carried out in North America, the UK and Australia have shown a relatively high burden of asthma and allergies amongst ethnic minority groups. The precise reasons underpinning the high disease burden are not well understood, but it is likely that this involves complex gene-environment interaction, behavioural and cultural elements. Poor clinical outcomes have been related to multiple factors including access to health care, engagement with healthcare professionals and concordance with advice which are affected by deprivation, literacy, cultural norms and health beliefs. It is unclear at present if allergic conditions are intrinsically more severe amongst patients from ethnic minority groups. Most evidence shaping our understanding of disease pathogenesis and clinical management is biased towards data generated from white population resident in high-income countries. In conjunction with standards of care, it is prudent that a multi-pronged approach towards provision of composite, culturally tailored, supportive interventions targeting demographic variables at the individual level is needed, but this requires further research and validation. In this narrative review, we provide an overview of epidemiology, sensitization patterns, poor clinical outcomes and possible factors underpinning these observations and highlight priority areas for research.

A systematic review of methods to estimate colorectal cancer incidence using population-based cancer registries.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiological studies of incidence play an essential role in quantifying disease burden, resource planning, and informing public health policies. A variety of measures for estimating cancer incidence have been used. Appropriate reporting of incidence calculations is essential to enable clear interpretation. This review uses colorectal cancer (CRC) as an exemplar to summarize and describe variation in commonly employed incidence measures and evaluate the quality of reporting incidence methods. METHODS: We searched four databases for CRC incidence studies published between January 2010 and May 2020. Two independent reviewers screened all titles and abstracts. Eligible studies were population-based cancer registry studies evaluating CRC incidence. We extracted data on study characteristics and author-defined criteria for assessing the quality of reporting incidence. We used descriptive statistics to summarize the information. RESULTS: This review retrieved 165 relevant articles. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) (80%) was the most commonly reported incidence measure, and the 2000 U.S. standard population the most commonly used reference population (39%). Slightly more than half (54%) of the studies reported CRC incidence stratified by anatomical site. The quality of reporting incidence methods was suboptimal. Of all included studies: 45 (27%) failed to report the classification system used to define CRC; 63 (38%) did not report CRC codes; and only 20 (12%) documented excluding certain CRC cases from the numerator. Concerning the denominator estimation: 61% of studies failed to state the source of population data; 24 (15%) indicated census years; 10 (6%) reported the method used to estimate yearly population counts; and only 5 (3%) explicitly explained the population size estimation procedure to calculate the overall average incidence rate. Thirty-three (20%) studies reported the confidence interval for incidence, and only 7 (4%) documented methods for dealing with missing data. CONCLUSION: This review identified variations in incidence calculation and inadequate reporting of methods. We outlined recommendations to optimize incidence estimation and reporting practices. There is a need to establish clear guidelines for incidence reporting to facilitate assessment of the validity and interpretation of reported incidence.

Subtrochanteric femoral fractures and intramedullary nailing complications: a comparison of two implants.

INTRODUCTION: Intramedullary (IM) nails are considered the 'gold' standard treatment for subtrochanteric femoral fractures. The incidence and risk factors for re-operation in subtrochanteric fractures remain unclear. Furthermore, no studies have compared the outcomes of different nailing systems used to treat subtrochanteric fractures in the same study population. AIMS/OBJECTIVES: Our study aimed to (i) investigate the cumulative incidence and factors associated with an increased risk of re-operation in subtrochanteric fractures treated with a long intramedullary (IM) nail, (ii) compare the outcomes of subtrochanteric fractures treated with long Affixus and Gamma nails, and (iii) establish whether the addition of a proximal anti-rotation screw in the Affixus nail confers any clinical benefit. METHODS: A retrospective review of all adult patients admitted to a level 1 trauma centre with a subtrochanteric femur fracture treated with a long cephalomedullary IM nail over an 8-year period was conducted. Exclusion criteria were primary surgery performed at another institution, prophylactic nailing because of tumours, incomplete fractures, and patients who were lost to follow-up or died before fracture healing. Data variables were assessed for normality prior to determining the use of either parametric or non-parametric tests. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify potential factors associated with re-operation. For the comparison between the two nail types, patients were matched into two groups of 119 each by age (10-year intervals), gender and mechanism of injury (low energy, high energy and pathological fractures). A p-value < 0.05 was considered significant. The Kaplan-Meier nail survival curve was used to demonstrate the survival of each nail. Data were analysed using the statistical package R (R version 3.6.0). RESULTS: A total of 309 subtrochanteric fractures were treated with a distally locked long IM nail (re-operation rate: 22.33%) over an 8-year period. Logistic regression identified six factors associated with an increased risk of re-operation, including age < 75 years old, use of a long Gamma nail, pre-injury coxa-vara femoral neck shaft angles, an immediate post-operative reduction angle of > 10° varus, deep wound infection and non-union. Following matching, we compared the two long cephalomedullary nailing systems used (Gamma versus Affixus nail). The only differences identified from the unadjusted analysis were a higher overall incidence of nail failure in Gamma nails due to any cause, re-operation, and impingement of the nail tip distally against the anterior femoral cortex. When we corrected for covariates, no significant differences remained evident between the two nails. From the Kaplan-Meier nail survival curves, however, the Affixus nail demonstrated better survivorship up to 5 years post-implantation in terms of nail failure and re-operation for all causes. Finally, the addition of a proximal anti-rotation screw in the Affixus nail did not seem to confer any benefit. CONCLUSION: We reported a 22.3% re-operation rate in our cohort of subtrochanteric fractures treated with a long IM nail. We have identified six risk factors associated with re-operation: age < 75 years old, pre-injury femoral neck shaft angle, choice of nail, varus reduction angle, fracture-related infection and non-union. The addition of a proximal anti-rotation screw in the Affixus nail did not confer any benefit.

"Strong Teeth": the acceptability of an early-phase feasibility trial of an oral health intervention delivered by dental teams to parents of young children.

BACKGROUND: Dental caries (tooth decay) in children is a worldwide public health problem. The leading cause of caries is poor oral hygiene behaviours and the frequent consumption of sugary foods and drinks. Changing oral health habits requires effective behaviour change conversations. The dental practice provides an opportunity for dental teams to explore with parents the oral health behaviours they undertake for their young children (0-5 years old). However, evidence suggests that dental teams need further support, training and resources. Therefore, "Strong Teeth" (an oral health intervention) was co-developed to help dental teams undertake these behaviour change conversations. The current paper will explore the acceptability of the "Strong Teeth" intervention with dental teams and parents of children aged 0-5 years old using multiple datasets (interviews, focus groups and dental team member diaries) METHODS: Following the delivery of the "Strong Teeth" intervention, qualitative interviews with parents and focus groups with dental team members were undertaken. Interviews were audio-recorded, transcribed and analysed using a theoretical framework of acceptability. The self-reported dental team diaries supplemented the interviews and focus groups and were analysed using framework analysis. RESULTS: Four themes were developed: (1) integration within the dental practice; (2) incorporating the Oral-B electric toothbrush; (3) facilitating discussions and demonstrations; and (4) the practicality of the Disney Magic Timer app. Overall, the "Strong Teeth" intervention was acceptable to parents and dental teams. Parents felt the Oral-B electric toothbrush was a good motivator; however, the Disney Magic Timer app received mixed feedback on how well it could be used effectively in the home setting. Findings suggest that the intervention was more acceptable as a "whole team approach" when all members of the dental practice willingly participated. CONCLUSIONS: There are limited studies that use a robust process evaluation to measure the acceptability of an intervention. The use of the theoretical framework of acceptability helped identify aspects of the intervention that were positive and helped identify the interventions areas for enhancement moving forwards. Future modifications include enhanced whole team approach training to optimise acceptability to all those involved. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN Register, (ISRCTN10709150).

Oral glucocorticoids and incidence of hypertension in people with chronic inflammatory diseases: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Only a few population-based studies have examined the association between glucocorticoids and hypertension, with inconsistent results. We aimed to investigate the effect of oral glucocorticoids on incidence of hypertension in adults with chronic inflammatory diseases. METHODS: We analyzed electronic health records from 389 practices in England during 1998-2017 of adults diagnosed with any of 6 chronic inflammatory diseases but with no previous diagnosis of hypertension. We used glucocorticoid prescription data to construct time-variant daily and cumulative variables of prednisolone-equivalent dose (cumulated from 1 year before the start of follow-up) and estimated incidence rates and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for hypertension using Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: Among 71 642 patients in the cohort, 24 896 (34.8%) developed hypertension during a median follow-up of 6.6 years. The incidence rate of hypertension was 46.7 (95% confidence interval [CI] 46.0-47.3) per 1000 person-years. Incidence rates increased with higher cumulative glucocorticoid prednisolone-equivalent dose, from 44.4 per 1000 person-years in periods of nonuse to 45.3 per 1000 person-years for periods with between > 0.0 and 959.9 mg (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.09-1.19), to 49.3 per 1000 person-years for periods with 960-3054.9 mg (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.14-1.27), and to 55.6 per 1000 person-years for periods with ≥ 3055 mg (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.25-1.35). Cumulative effects were seen for the 6 diseases studied, but dose-response effects were not found for daily dose. INTERPRETATION: Cumulative dose of oral glucocorticoids was associated with increased incidence of hypertension, suggesting that blood pressure should be monitored closely in patients routinely treated with these drugs. Given that glucocorticoids are widely prescribed, the associated health burden could be high. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials. gov, no. NCT03760562.

What predicts mortality in the elderly patient presenting as a trauma call? A report from a Major Trauma Centre.

PURPOSE: Within the UK there is a continued expansion of the population over the age of 65, this currently accounts for 17.8% of the British population. We review the impact that centralization of Major Trauma has had, as well as analysing for significant predictors of poor outcome. METHOD: All patients presenting to Leeds Major Trauma Centre as a 'Major Trauma' who were equal to or over the age of 65 were included in this study. Prospectively collected data from the Trauma Audit Research Network (TARN) was collated to include the above data set from the 1st April 2012 - 1st April 2016. The 1st April 2012 represents the commencement of the Major Trauma Network within Yorkshire. To allow more quantative assessment of patients' co-morbidities, they were coded as per Charlson Co-morbidity Index for analysis. RESULTS: 1167 patients presented within the above timeframe. Mean age was 79.5 (range 65-103.5). Mean ISS was 14.8 of the entire cohort. Mortality was 12.9% of the entire cohort. The leading mechanisms of injury were from low energy falls <2m-59.89%, Fall >2m-23.05% and Road Traffic Collision - 16.45%. CONCLUSION: Mortality rates since the commencement of the Major Trauma Network within this age group have reduced. This is likely secondary to centralization of major trauma. Variables found to be statistically significant with increased mortality were increasing age, head injury, presence of Chronic Lung Disease, presence of metastases, decreased GCS and increased ISS.

Leeds-Genoa Non-Union Index: a clinical tool for asessing the need for early intervention after long bone fracture fixation.

AIM OF THE STUDY: The aim of this case-control study was to develop a clinical decision rule to support assessment of the risk of long-bone non-union and plan for appropriate early intervention. METHODS: Two hundred patients (100 cases and 100 controls) were recruited. Risk factors identified to contribute to the development of non-union were recorded and analysed with a multivariable logistic regression model. Tabulation of the outcome (non-union/union) against each risk factor in turn (univariable analysis) was carried out. Odds ratios and confidence intervals were derived using Wald's method. A receiver-operator curve was calculated and the area under the curve was computed. Having established the eight most important risk factors, a non-union risk index was developed as the count of the risk factors present in each patient. RESULTS: The five risk factors for non-union with greater effect size were post-surgical fracture gap > 4 mm (odds ratio (OR) = 11.97 95% CI (4.27, 33.53)), infection superficial/deep (OR 10.16 (2.44, 42.36)), not optimum mechanical stability (OR 10.06 (3.75, 26.97)), displacement > 75% of shaft width (OR 6.81 (2.21, 20.95)), and site of fracture-tibia (OR 4.33 (1.32, 14.14)). The ROC curve for the non-union index was 0.924, sensitivity 91%, specificity 77%. CONCLUSIONS: The non-union index derived from counting risk factors predicts union for 0-4 risk factors and non-union for 5-8 risk factors. It can be readily applied and can guide clinicians about the risk of development of long-bone non-union. It can become a powerful aid for assessing fracture fixation outcome and to support early intervention.

A 10 year study of hospitalized atrial fibrillation-related stroke in England and its association with uptake of oral anticoagulation.

Aims: To determine whether changing patterns of anticoagulant use in atrial fibrillation (AF) have impacted on stroke rates in England. Methods and results: English national databases, 2006-2016, were interrogated to assess stroke admissions and oral anticoagulant use. The number of patients with known AF increased linearly from 692 054 to 983 254 (prevalence 1.29% vs. 1.71%). Hospital episodes of AF-related stroke/100 000 AF patients increased from 80/week in 2006 to 98/week in 2011 and declined to 86/week in 2016 (2006-2011 difference 18.0, 95% confidence interval (CI) 17.9-18.1, 2011-2016 difference -12.0, 95% CI -12.1 to -11.9). Anticoagulant use amongst patients with CHA2DS2-VASc ≥2 increased from 48.0% to 78.6% and anti-platelet use declined from 42.9% to 16.1%; the greatest rate of change occurred in the second 5 year period (for anticoagulants 2006-2011 difference 4.8%, 95% CI 4.5-5.1%, 2011-2016 difference 25.8%, 95% CI 25.5-26.1%). After adjustment for AF prevalence, a 1% increase in anticoagulant use was associated with a 0.8% decrease in the weekly rate of AF-related stroke (incidence rate ratio 0.992, 95% CI 0.989-0.994). Had the use of anticoagulants remained at 2009 levels, 4068 (95% CI 4046-4089) more strokes would have been predicted in 2015/2016. Conclusion: Between 2006 and 2016, AF prevalence and anticoagulant use in England increased. From 2011, hospitalized AF-related stroke rates declined and were significantly associated with increased anticoagulant uptake.

Risk Factors for Intraoperative Periprosthetic Femoral Fractures During Primary Total Hip Arthroplasty. An Analysis From the National Joint Registry for England and Wales and the Isle of Man.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study is to estimate risk factors for intraoperative periprosthetic femoral fractures (IOPFF) and each anatomic subtype (calcar crack, trochanteric fracture, femoral shaft fracture) during primary total hip arthroplasty. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 793,823 primary total hip arthroplasties between 2004 and 2016. Multivariable regression modeling was used to estimate relative risk of patient, surgical, and implant factors for any IOPFF and for all anatomic subtypes of IOPFF. Clinically important interactions were assessed using multivariable regression. RESULTS: Patient factors significantly increasing the risk of fracture were female gender, American Society of Anesthesiologists grade 3 to 5, and preoperative diagnosis including avascular necrosis of the hip, previous trauma, inflammatory disease, pediatric disease, and previous infection. Overall risk of IOPFF associated with age was greatest in patients below 50 years and above 80 years. Risk of any fracture reduced with computer-guided surgery and in non-National Health Service hospitals. Nonposterior approaches increased the risk of shaft and trochanteric fracture only. Cementless implants significantly increased the risk of only calcar cracks and shaft fractures and not trochanteric fractures. CONCLUSION: Fracture risk increases in patients younger than 50 and older than 80 years, females, American Society of Anesthesiologists grade 3 to 5, and indications other than primary osteoarthritis. Large cumulative reduction in IOPFF risk may occur with use of cemented implants, posterior approach, and computer-guided surgery. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level 3b (cohort study).

Fixation of periprosthetic or osteoporotic distal femoral fractures with locking plates: a pilot randomised controlled trial.

INTRODUCTION: We hypothesised that the use of a polyaxial locking plate design offers the same clinical benefits as a monoaxial locking plate system following distal femoral osteoporotic/periprosthetic fracture fixation. METHOD: A multicentre prospective randomised pilot trial was conducted. Inclusion criteria were patients over 60 years with a displaced osteoporotic or periprosthetic distal femoral fracture. Details documented included time to union, complications, reinterventions and functional outcomes according to the Oxford knee score and EuroQol EQ-5D. Analysis of factors influencing an early fracture healing response was performed between those with clear features of radiological callus formation at three months. Statistical analysis was performed using a logistic regression model with multiple covariates assessed for each plate system (1:1 ratio) over a follow-up period of one year. RESULTS: Forty patients (34 females) with a mean age of 77 (60-99) were recruited. Four patients deceased within the first six months. Twenty-five patients united by the six month follow-up. Six more patients progressed to union between six and nine months. Five patients developed non-union (two patients had implant failure; one in each group) and all underwent revision surgery. Malunion was evident in two cases, one with 15° of valgus (monoaxial plate), and one with 12° of recurvatum (polyaxial plate). Between the two plate systems, statistical analysis revealed no significant differences in most of the recorded parameters. Radiological features of early bone healing were present when the surgical approach was smaller (p = 0.015), and when a greater working length of the bridging plate was present (p = 0.016). CONCLUSION: Both plate systems demonstrated good union rates and limited implant related complications. Good reduction, mechanically sound construct and respect of the local fracture biology was more important than the particular plate design characteristics.

PROMs for Pain in Adult Cancer Patients: A Systematic Review of Measurement Properties.

CONTEXT: Pain is one of the most devastating symptoms for cancer patients. One third of patients who experience pain do not receive effective treatment. A key barrier to effective pain management is lack of routine measurement and monitoring of pain. Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) are recommended for measuring cancer pain. However, evidence to guide the selection of the most appropriate measure to identify and monitor cancer pain is limited. A systematic review of measurement properties of PROMs for pain in cancer patients is needed to identify the best validated measure for adoption to an electronic platform. OBJECTIVES: To systematically review measurement properties of PROMs used for adult cancer patients to measure pain and, as a secondary goal, to investigate the evidence of validated mobile health (mHealth) applications used to measure pain (registration number: CRD42017065575). METHODS: Medline, Embase, and the Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL) were systematically searched in March 2018 for studies examining measurement properties for PROMs for pain in adult cancer patients. The methodological quality of the studies and their results were appraised using the Consensus-based Standards for the Selection of Health Measurement Instruments (COSMIN) checklist and specific measurement properties criteria, respectively. RESULTS: Sixteen studies evaluating 8 instruments were included. No studies using a PROM in an mHealth application were identified. The methodological quality of the measurement properties ranged between poor and fair. No instrument showed strong positive evidence for all the evaluated measurement properties. Based on the available evidence, the Brief Pain Inventory-Short Form (BPI-SF) had the strongest evidence to support its selection for the measurement of cancer pain. CONCLUSION: The BPI-SF was the best performing measure across all properties evaluated through COSMIN. Better quality validation studies of PROMs for cancer pain are needed to explore the full range of measurement properties. Utilizing mHealth applications to measure pain in cancer patients is an innovative approach worthy of further investigation.

Older age is associated with less cancer treatment: a longitudinal study of English cancer patients.

Background: making informed decisions about cancer care provision for older cancer patients can be challenging and complex. Evidence suggests cancer care varies by age, however the relationship between age and care experiences from diagnosis to death for cancer patients within the UK has not previously been examined in detail. Patients and methods: retrospective cohort linking cancer registry and secondary care data for 13,499 adult cancer patients who died between January 2005 and December 2011. Cancer therapies (chemotherapy, radiotherapy, surgery), hospital palliative care referrals, hospital admissions and place of death were compared between age groups using multivariable regression models. Trends in cancer care over time, overall and within age groups were also assessed. Results: compared with adult patients under 60 years, patients aged 80 years and over were less likely to receive chemotherapy, radiotherapy, a hospital palliative care referral; or be admitted to hospital but were more likely to die in a care home. Overall, the percentage of patients receiving chemotherapy, surgery, hospital palliative care referrals and hospital admissions have increased while deaths in hospital have decreased. Deaths at home have increased for patients aged 80 years and over. Conclusion: older patients are less likely to receive cancer therapies or hospital palliative care before death. Further research is needed to identify the extent to which these results reflect unmet need.