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BACKGROUND: Cerebral small vessel disease is a common cause of vascular cognitive impairment and dementia. There is an urgent need for preventative treatments for vascular cognitive impairment and dementia, and reducing vascular dysfunction may provide a therapeutic route. Here, we investigate whether the chronic administration of nimodipine, a central nervous system-selective dihydropyridine calcium channel blocking agent, protects vascular, metabolic, and cognitive function in an animal model of cerebral small vessel disease, the spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rat. METHODS: Male spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rats were randomly allocated to receive either a placebo (n=24) or nimodipine (n=24) diet between 3 and 6 months of age. Animals were examined daily for any neurological deficits, and vascular function was assessed in terms of neurovascular and neurometabolic coupling at 3 and 6 months of age, and cerebrovascular reactivity at 6 months of age. Cognitive function was evaluated using the novel object recognition test at 6 months of age. RESULTS: Six untreated control animals were terminated prematurely due to strokes, including one due to seizure, but no treated animals experienced strokes and so had a higher survival (P=0.0088). Vascular function was significantly impaired with disease progression, but nimodipine treatment partially preserved neurovascular coupling and neurometabolic coupling, indicated by larger (P<0.001) and more prompt responses (P<0.01), and less habituation upon repeated stimulation (P<0.01). Also, animals treated with nimodipine showed greater cerebrovascular reactivity, indicated by larger dilation of arterioles (P=0.015) and an increase in blood flow velocity (P=0.001). This protection of vascular and metabolic function achieved by nimodipine treatment was associated with better cognitive function (P<0.001) in the treated animals. CONCLUSIONS: Chronic treatment with nimodipine protects from strokes, and vascular and cognitive deficits in spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rat. Nimodipine may provide an effective preventive treatment for stroke and cognitive decline in cerebral small vessel disease.
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Bloqueadores dos Canais de Cálcio , Doenças de Pequenos Vasos Cerebrais , Cognição , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Nimodipina , Ratos Endogâmicos SHR , Animais , Nimodipina/farmacologia , Nimodipina/uso terapêutico , Masculino , Doenças de Pequenos Vasos Cerebrais/tratamento farmacológico , Ratos , Cognição/efeitos dos fármacos , Bloqueadores dos Canais de Cálcio/farmacologia , Bloqueadores dos Canais de Cálcio/uso terapêutico , Circulação Cerebrovascular/efeitos dos fármacos , Transtornos Cognitivos/etiologia , Transtornos Cognitivos/tratamento farmacológico , Transtornos Cognitivos/prevenção & controleRESUMO
The 2022 mpox outbreak predominantly impacted gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (gbMSM). Two models were developed to support situational awareness and management decisions in Canada. A compartmental model characterized epidemic drivers at national/provincial levels, while an agent-based model (ABM) assessed municipal-level impacts of vaccination. The models were parameterized and calibrated using empirical case and vaccination data between 2022 and 2023. The compartmental model explored: (1) the epidemic trajectory through community transmission, (2) the potential for transmission among non-gbMSM, and (3) impacts of vaccination and the proportion of gbMSM contributing to disease transmission. The ABM incorporated sexual-contact data and modeled: (1) effects of vaccine uptake on disease dynamics, and (2) impacts of case importation on outbreak resurgence. The calibrated, compartmental model followed the trajectory of the epidemic, which peaked in July 2022, and died out in December 2022. Most cases occurred among gbMSM, and epidemic trajectories were not consistent with sustained transmission among non-gbMSM. The ABM suggested that unprioritized vaccination strategies could increase the outbreak size by 47%, and that consistent importation (≥5 cases per 10 000) is necessary for outbreak resurgence. These models can inform time-sensitive situational awareness and policy decisions for similar future outbreaks.
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Mpox , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Masculino , Humanos , Homossexualidade Masculina , Canadá/epidemiologia , Surtos de DoençasRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Understanding inequalities in SARS-CoV-2 transmission associated with the social determinants of health could help the development of effective mitigation strategies that are responsive to local transmission dynamics. This study aims to quantify social determinants of geographic concentration of SARS-CoV-2 cases across 16 census metropolitan areas (hereafter, cities) in 4 Canadian provinces, British Columbia, Manitoba, Ontario and Quebec. METHODS: We used surveillance data on confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases and census data for social determinants at the level of the dissemination area (DA). We calculated Gini coefficients to determine the overall geographic heterogeneity of confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 in each city, and calculated Gini covariance coefficients to determine each city's heterogeneity by each social determinant (income, education, housing density and proportions of visible minorities, recent immigrants and essential workers). We visualized heterogeneity using Lorenz (concentration) curves. RESULTS: We observed geographic concentration of SARS-CoV-2 cases in cities, as half of the cumulative cases were concentrated in DAs containing 21%-35% of their population, with the greatest geographic heterogeneity in Ontario cities (Gini coefficients 0.32-0.47), followed by British Columbia (0.23-0.36), Manitoba (0.32) and Quebec (0.28-0.37). Cases were disproportionately concentrated in areas with lower income and educational attainment, and in areas with a higher proportion of visible minorities, recent immigrants, high-density housing and essential workers. Although a consistent feature across cities was concentration by the proportion of visible minorities, the magnitude of concentration by social determinant varied across cities. INTERPRETATION: Geographic concentration of SARS-CoV-2 cases was observed in all of the included cities, but the pattern by social determinants varied. Geographically prioritized allocation of resources and services should be tailored to the local drivers of inequalities in transmission in response to the resurgence of SARS-CoV-2.
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COVID-19/epidemiologia , Demografia/estatística & dados numéricos , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , COVID-19/economia , Canadá/epidemiologia , Cidades/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Demografia/economia , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/economia , Fatores SocioeconômicosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (gbMSM) experience disproportionate risks of HIV acquisition and transmission. In 2017, Montréal became the first Canadian Fast-Track City, setting the 2030 goal of zero new HIV infections. To inform local elimination efforts, we estimate the evolving role of prevention and sexual behaviours on HIV transmission dynamics among gbMSM in Montréal between 1975 and 2019. METHODS: Data from local bio-behavioural surveys were analyzed to develop, parameterize, and calibrate an agent-based model of sexual HIV transmission. Partnership dynamics, HIV's natural history, and treatment and prevention strategies were considered. The model simulations were analyzed to estimate the fraction of HIV acquisitions and transmissions attributable to specific groups, with a focus on age, sexual partnering level, and gaps in the HIV care-continuum. RESULTS: The model-estimated HIV incidence peaked in 1985 (2.3 per 100 person years (PY); 90% CrI: 1.4-2.9 per 100 PY) and decreased to 0.1 per 100 PY (90% CrI: 0.04-0.3 per 100 PY) in 2019. Between 2000-2017, the majority of HIV acquisitions and transmissions occurred among men aged 25-44 years, and men aged 35-44 thereafter. The unmet prevention needs of men with > 10 annual anal sex partners contributed 90-93% of transmissions and 67-73% of acquisitions annually. The primary stage of HIV played an increasing role over time, contributing to 11-22% of annual transmissions over 2000-2019. In 2019, approximately 70% of transmission events occurred from men who had discontinued, or never initiated antiretroviral therapy. CONCLUSIONS: The evolving HIV landscape has contributed to the declining HIV incidence among gbMSM in Montréal. The shifting dynamics identified in this study highlight the need for continued population-level surveillance to identify gaps in the HIV care continuum and core groups on which to prioritize elimination efforts.
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Infecções por HIV , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Adulto , Canadá/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Homossexualidade Masculina , Humanos , Masculino , Comportamento SexualRESUMO
The Corona Virus Disease reported in 2019 (COVID-19) poses a significant threat to human and public health. Its early and accurate detection can reduce the spread and recurrence of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Real-time reverse transcription fluorescent quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) is the "gold standard" for detecting the nucleic acid of SARS-CoV-2. This study developed and tested a dual-target (ORF1ab and N gene) one-step nested RT-qPCR (DTO-N-PCR) to detect SARS-CoV-2. Ten-fold serial dilutions of mixed synthetic DNA from SARS-CoV-2 ORF1ab and N gene were used as templates to test the sensitivity of DTO-N-PCR. Its specificity was subsequently tested using throat swab specimens from 10 COVID-19 patients and 35 healthy participants. DTO-N-PCR was more sensitive and specific than conventional RT-qPCR. It has unique features, including a dual-target (ORF1ab and N gene), rapid one-step operation of reverse transcription and PCR, four pairs of inner and outer primers, and specific probes. These features aid in its rapid, accurate, and efficient detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNA.
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COVID-19 , Ácidos Nucleicos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Humanos , RNA Viral/genética , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase em Tempo Real , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Sensibilidade e EspecificidadeRESUMO
The viscoelastic behavior and shear relaxation in supercooled [NaPO3]x[Zn(PO3)2]1-x metaphosphate liquids with 0.2 ≤ x ≤ 1.0 are investigated using a combination of small amplitude oscillatory and steady shear parallel plate rheometry, resonant ultrasound spectroscopy, and differential scanning calorimetry. The results demonstrate that these liquids are thermorheologically complex with the coexistence of a fast and a slow relaxation process, which could be attributed to the segmental motion of the phosphate chains and the Zn-O bond scission/renewal dynamics, respectively. The segmental motion of the phosphate chains is found to be the dominant process associated with the shear relaxation for all metaphosphate liquids. The compositional evolution of the calorimetric fragility of these liquids is shown to be related to the conformational entropy of the constituent phosphate chains, which is manifested by the width of the relaxation time distribution for the segmental chain motion. This entropy decreases and the temporal coupling between the chain dynamics and Zn-O bond scission-renewal increases with the increasing Zn content as the higher field strength Zn modifier ions provide more effective cross-linking between the phosphate chains.
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The dynamics of the phosphate chains and the attendant shear relaxation in a short-chain silver phosphate glass-forming liquid with the composition 51.5%Ag2O-48.5% P2O5 are studied using a combination of high-temperature 31P NMR spectroscopy and parallel plate rheometry. The temperature-dependent evolution of the 31P NMR spectral line shapes indicates that the constituent PO4 tetrahedral chains in this liquid undergo rapid rotational reorientation. The time scale of this dynamics is in complete agreement with that of shear relaxation and, thus, must be responsible for the viscous flow of this liquid. These results demonstrate for the first time that, although the shear relaxation of the network oxide glass-forming liquids is typically controlled by the scission and renewal of bonds between the network-forming cations and oxygen atoms, such a scenario may not always be tenable for liquids with low-dimensional structures consisting of chains.
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The viscoelastic properties of supercooled AsxSe100-x and GexSe100-x (0 ≤ x ≤ 30) liquids are studied using oscillatory parallel plate rheometry. The liquids with average selenium chain segment length L longer than â¼3 to 5 atoms or average coordination number ⟨r⟩ less than â¼2.2 are characterized by the coexistence of a low-frequency bond scission/renewal based relaxation process as well as high-frequency segmental chain dynamics. The latter process disappears for liquids with higher connectivity, thus implying a dynamical rigidity transition. The temporal decoupling of the high-frequency chain mode from that of the bond scission/renewal process and the shear modulus Gs associated with the low-frequency mode are shown to be unique functions of L or ⟨r⟩ and display strong similarity with the corresponding variation in the fragility m and the conformational entropy of the chain segments. When taken together, these results provide direct experimental support to the entropic rigidity argument originally proposed by Phillips but suggest a floppy-to-rigid transition of the structural network at ⟨r⟩ â¼ 2.2, instead of the conventional rigidity percolation threshold value of 2.4.
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Silver nanosheets with a nanogap smaller than 10 nm and high reproducibility were constructed through simple and environmentally friendly electrodeposition method on copper plate. The sizes of the nanogaps can be varied from around 7 to 150 nm by adjusting the deposition time and current density. The nanosheets with different nanogaps exhibited varied surface-enhanced Raman scattering (SERS) properties due to electromagnetic mechanism (EM). The optimized high density silver nanosheets with a nanogap smaller than 10 nm showed effective SERS ability with an enhanced factor as high as 2.0 × 10(5). Furthermore, the formation mechanism of the nanosheets during the electrodeposition process has been investigated by discussing the influence of boric acid and current density. This method has proved to be applicable on different metal substrates, which exhibits the potential to be widely used in different fields.
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Background: Canadian Arctic communities have experienced sustained syphilis transmission, with diagnoses rates 18-times higher than the national average. Remoteness from laboratory facilities leads to delays between syphilis screening and treatment, contributing to onward transmission. Rapid diagnostic tests can eliminate treatment delays via testing at the point-of-care. This study aims to describe syphilis diagnostic gaps and to estimate the impact of introducing rapid diagnostic tests at the point-of-care on syphilis transmission. Methods: To assess the population-level impact of deploying rapid diagnostic tests, an individual-based model was developed using detailed surveillance data, population surveys, and a prospective diagnostic accuracy field study. The model was calibrated to syphilis diagnoses (2017-2022) from a community of approximately 1,050 sexually active individuals. The impacts of implementing rapid diagnostic tests using whole blood (sensitivity: 92% for infectious and 81% for non-infectious syphilis; specificity: 99%) from 2023 onward was calculated using the annual median fraction of cumulative new syphilis infections averted over 2023-2032. Findings: The median modeled syphilis incidence among sexually active individuals was 44 per 1,000 in 2023. Males aged 16-30 years exhibited a 51% lower testing rate than that of their female counterparts. Maintaining all interventions constant at their 2022 levels, implementing rapid diagnostic tests could avert a cumulative 33% (90% credible intervals: 18-43%) and 37% (21-46%) of new syphilis infections over 5 and 10 years, respectively. Increasing testing rates and contact tracing may enhance the effect of rapid diagnostic tests. Interpretation: Implementing rapid diagnostic tests for syphilis in Arctic communities could reduce infections and enhance control of epidemics. Such effective diagnostic tools could enable rapid outbreak responses by providing same-day testing and treatment at the point-of-care. Funding: Canadian Institutes of Health Research.
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SETTING: Mathematical modelling played an important role in the public health response to COVID-19 in Canada. Variability in epidemic trajectories, modelling approaches, and data infrastructure across provinces provides a unique opportunity to understand the factors that shaped modelling strategies. INTERVENTION: Provinces implemented stringent pandemic interventions to mitigate SARS-CoV-2 transmission, considering evidence from epidemic models. This study aimed to summarize provincial COVID-19 modelling efforts. We identified modelling teams working with provincial decision-makers, through referrals and membership in Canadian modelling networks. Information on models, data sources, and knowledge translation were abstracted using standardized instruments. OUTCOMES: We obtained information from six provinces. For provinces with sustained community transmission, initial modelling efforts focused on projecting epidemic trajectories and healthcare demands, and evaluating impacts of proposed interventions. In provinces with low community transmission, models emphasized quantifying importation risks. Most of the models were compartmental and deterministic, with projection horizons of a few weeks. Models were updated regularly or replaced by new ones, adapting to changing local epidemic dynamics, pathogen characteristics, vaccines, and requests from public health. Surveillance datasets for cases, hospitalizations and deaths, and serological studies were the main data sources for model calibration. Access to data for modelling and the structure for knowledge translation differed markedly between provinces. IMPLICATION: Provincial modelling efforts during the COVID-19 pandemic were tailored to local contexts and modulated by available resources. Strengthening Canadian modelling capacity, developing and sustaining collaborations between modellers and governments, and ensuring earlier access to linked and timely surveillance data could help improve pandemic preparedness.
RéSUMé: CONTEXTE: La modélisation mathématique a joué un rôle de premier plan dans les ripostes sanitaires à la COVID-19 au Canada. Les différentes trajectoires épidémiques provinciales, leurs approches de modélisation et infrastructures de données représentent une occasion unique de comprendre les facteurs qui ont influencé les stratégies de modélisation provinciales. INTERVENTION: Les provinces ont mis en place des mesures de santé publique strictes afin d'atténuer la transmission du SRAS-CoV-2 en tenant compte des données probantes provenant des modèles épidémiques. Notre étude vise à décrire et résumer les efforts provinciaux de modélisation de la COVID-19. Nous avons identifié les équipes de modélisation travaillant avec les décideurs provinciaux parmi les réseaux Canadiens de modélisation et par référence. Les informations sur les modèles, leurs sources de données et les approches de mobilisation des connaissances ont été obtenues à l'aide d'instruments standardisés. RéSULTATS: Nous avons colligé les informations provenant de six provinces. Pour les provinces qui ont eu de la transmission communautaire soutenue, les efforts de modélisation initiaux se sont concentrés sur la projection des trajectoires épidémiques et des demandes de soins de santé et sur l'évaluation des impacts des interventions proposées. Dans les provinces où la transmission communautaire a été faible, les modèles visaient à quantifier les risques d'importation. La plupart des équipes ont développé des modèles à compartiments déterministes avec des horizons de projection de quelques semaines. Les modèles ont été régulièrement mis à jour ou remplacés par de nouveaux, s'adaptant aux dynamiques locales, à l'arrivée de nouveaux variants, aux vaccins et aux demandes des autorités de santé publique. Les données de surveillance des cas, des hospitalisations et des décès, ainsi que les études sérologiques, ont constitué les principales sources de données pour calibrer les modèles. L'accès aux données pour la modélisation et la structure de mobilisation des connaissances différaient considérablement d'une province à l'autre. IMPLICATION: Les efforts de modélisation provinciaux pendant la pandémie de la COVID-19 ont été adaptés aux contextes locaux et modulés par les ressources disponibles. Le renforcement de la capacité canadienne de modélisation, le développement et le maintien de collaborations entre les modélisateurs et les gouvernements, ainsi qu'un accès rapide et opportun aux données de surveillance individuelles et liées pourraient contribuer à améliorer la préparation aux futures pandémies.
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COVID-19 , Modelos Teóricos , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Canadá/epidemiologia , PandemiasRESUMO
Stroke, including ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke, causes massive cell death in the brain, which is followed by secondary inflammatory injury initiated by disease-associated molecular patterns released from dead cells. Phagocytosis, a cellular process of engulfment and digestion of dead cells, promotes the resolution of inflammation and repair following stroke. However, professional or non-professional phagocytes also phagocytose stressed but viable cells in the brain or excessively phagocytose myelin sheaths or prune synapses, consequently exacerbating brain injury and impairing repair following stroke. Phagocytosis includes the smell, eating and digestion phases. Notably, efficient phagocytosis critically depends on phagocyte capacity to take up dead cells continually due to the limited number of phagocytes vs. dead cells after injury. Moreover, phenotypic polarization of phagocytes occurring after phagocytosis is also essential to the proresolving and prorepair properties of phagocytosis. Much has been learned about the molecular signals and regulatory mechanisms governing the sense and recognition of dead cells by phagocytes during the smell and eating phase following stroke. However, some key areas remain extremely understudied, including the mechanisms involved in digestion regulation, continual phagocytosis and phagocytosis-induced phenotypic switching following stroke. Here, we summarize new discoveries related to the molecular mechanisms and multifaceted effects of phagocytosis on brain injury and repair following stroke and highlight the knowledge gaps in poststroke phagocytosis. We suggest that advancing the understanding of poststroke phagocytosis will help identify more biological targets for stroke treatment.
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OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the field diagnostic accuracy of a syphilis rapid test (RDT), using serum and whole blood by non-laboratorians in two Canadian Arctic communities. METHODS: We implemented a multisite prospective field evaluation wherein patients were screened by an RDT containing treponemal and non-treponemal components (Chembio DPP® Syphilis Screen & Confirm) between January 2020 and December 2021. Venous whole blood and serum were collected for rapid testing and compared with laboratory-based serology reference testing using a reverse sequence algorithm of treponemal and rapid plasma reagin (RPR) testing. RESULTS: Overall, 135 whole blood and 139 serum specimens were collected from 161 participants during clinical encounters. Treponemal-RDT sensitivity against a treponemal-reference standard (38/161 confirmed cases) was similar for serum (78% [95% CI: 61-90%]) and whole blood (81% [95% CI: 63-93%]). In those with RPR titres ≥1:8 (i.e. suggestive of recent/active infection), sensitivity increased to 93% (95% CI: 77-99%) for serum and 92% (95% CI: 73-99%) for whole blood. Treponemal-RDT specificity was excellent (99% [95% CI: 95-100%]) for both specimen types. Non-treponemal-RDT sensitivity against RPR was 94% (95% CI: 80-99%) for serum and 79% (95% CI: 60-92%) for whole blood. Sensitivity increased to 100% (95% CI: 88-100%) for serum and 92% (95% CI: 73-99%) for whole blood when RPR titres ≥1:8. RDT performance with whole blood was similar to that with serum. DISCUSSION: Non-laboratorians using the RDT accurately identified individuals with infectious syphilis under real-world conditions in an intended-use setting at the point of care. Implementing the RDT can eliminate treatment delays and may enhance disease control.
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Sífilis , Humanos , Testes de Diagnóstico Rápido , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Canadá , Sorodiagnóstico da Sífilis , Treponema pallidumRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In Canada, all provinces implemented vaccine passports in 2021 to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission in non-essential indoor spaces and increase vaccine uptake (policies active September 2021-March 2022 in Quebec and Ontario). We sought to evaluate the impact of vaccine passport policies on first-dose SARS-CoV-2 vaccination coverage by age, and area-level income and proportion of racialized residents. METHODS: We performed interrupted time series analyses using data from Quebec's and Ontario's vaccine registries linked to census information (population of 20.5 million people aged ≥ 12 yr; unit of analysis: dissemination area). We fit negative binomial regressions to first-dose vaccinations, using natural splines adjusting for baseline vaccination coverage (start: July 2021; end: October 2021 for Quebec, November 2021 for Ontario). We obtained counterfactual vaccination rates and coverage, and estimated the absolute and relative impacts of vaccine passports. RESULTS: In both provinces, first-dose vaccination coverage before the announcement of vaccine passports was 82% (age ≥ 12 yr). The announcement resulted in estimated increases in coverage of 0.9 percentage points (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.4-1.2) in Quebec and 0.7 percentage points (95% CI 0.5-0.8) in Ontario. This corresponds to 23% (95% CI 10%-36%) and 19% (95% CI 15%-22%) more vaccinations over 11 weeks. The impact was larger among people aged 12-39 years. Despite lower coverage in lower-income and more-racialized areas, there was little variability in the absolute impact by area-level income or proportion racialized in either province. INTERPRETATION: In the context of high vaccine coverage across 2 provinces, the announcement of vaccine passports had a small impact on first-dose coverage, with little impact on reducing economic and racial inequities in vaccine coverage. Findings suggest that other policies are needed to improve vaccination coverage among lower-income and racialized neighbourhoods and communities.
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INTRODUCTION: HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) has been recommended and partly subsidized in Québec, Canada, since 2013. We evaluated the population-level impact of PrEP on HIV transmission among men who have sex with men (MSM) in Montréal, Québec's largest city, over 2013-2021. METHODS: We used an agent-based mathematical model of sexual HIV transmission to estimate the fraction of HIV acquisitions averted by PrEP compared to a counterfactual scenario without PrEP. The model was calibrated to local MSM survey, surveillance, and cohort data and accounted for COVID-19 pandemic impacts on sexual activity, HIV prevention, and care. PrEP was modelled from 2013 onwards, assuming 86% individual-level effectiveness. The PrEP eligibility criteria were: any anal sex unprotected by condoms (past 6 months) and either multiple partnerships (past 6 months) or multiple uses of post-exposure prophylaxis (lifetime). To assess potential optimization strategies, we modelled hypothetical scenarios prioritizing PrEP to MSM with high sexual activity (≥11 anal sex partners annually) or aged ⩽45 years, increasing coverage to levels achieved in Vancouver, Canada (where PrEP is free-of-charge), and improving retention. RESULTS: Over 2013-2021, the estimated annual HIV incidence decreased from 0.4 (90% credible interval [CrI]: 0.3-0.6) to 0.2 (90% CrI: 0.1-0.2) per 100 person-years. PrEP coverage among HIV-negative MSM remained low until 2015 (<1%). Afterwards, coverage increased to a maximum of 10% of all HIV-negative MSM, or about 16% of the 62% PrEP-eligible HIV-negative MSM in 2020. Over 2015-2021, PrEP averted an estimated 20% (90% CrI: 11%-30%) of cumulative HIV acquisitions. The hypothetical scenarios modelled showed that, at the same coverage level, prioritizing PrEP to high sexual activity MSM could have averted 30% (90% CrI: 19%-42%) of HIV acquisitions from 2015-2021. Even larger impacts could have resulted from higher coverage. Under the provincial eligibility criteria, reaching 10% coverage among HIV-negative MSM in 2015 and 30% in 2019, like attained in Vancouver, could have averted up to 63% (90% CrI: 54%-70%) of HIV acquisitions from 2015 to 2021. CONCLUSIONS: PrEP reduced population-level HIV transmission among Montréal MSM. However, our study suggests missed prevention opportunities and adds support for public policies that reduce PrEP barriers, financial or otherwise, to MSM at risk of HIV acquisition.
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Fármacos Anti-HIV , Infecções por HIV , Profilaxia Pré-Exposição , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Masculino , Humanos , Idoso , Homossexualidade Masculina , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Profilaxia Pré-Exposição/métodos , Pandemias , Comportamento Sexual , Canadá/epidemiologia , Fármacos Anti-HIV/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Long-acting injectable cabotegravir (CAB-LA) demonstrated superiority to daily tenofovir disoproxil fumarate/emtricitabine (TDF/FTC) for HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in the HPTN 083/084 trials. We compared the potential impact of expanding PrEP coverage by offering CAB-LA to men who have sex with men (MSM) in Atlanta (US), Montreal (Canada) and the Netherlands, settings with different HIV epidemics. METHODS: Three risk-stratified HIV transmission models were independently parameterized and calibrated to local data. In Atlanta, Montreal and the Netherlands, the models, respectively, estimated mean TDF/FTC coverage starting at 29%, 7% and 4% in 2022, and projected HIV incidence per 100 person-years (PY), respectively, decreasing from 2.06 to 1.62, 0.08 to 0.03 and 0.07 to 0.001 by 2042. Expansion of PrEP coverage was simulated by recruiting new CAB-LA users and by switching different proportions of TDF/FTC users to CAB-LA. Population effectiveness and efficiency of PrEP expansions were evaluated over 20 years in comparison to baseline scenarios with TDF/FTC only. RESULTS: Increasing PrEP coverage by 11 percentage points (pp) from 29% to 40% by 2032 was expected to avert a median 36% of new HIV acquisitions in Atlanta. Substantially larger increases (by 33 or 26 pp) in PrEP coverage (to 40% or 30%) were needed to achieve comparable reductions in Montreal and the Netherlands, respectively. A median 17 additional PYs on PrEP were needed to prevent one acquisition in Atlanta with 40% PrEP coverage, compared to 1000+ in Montreal and 4000+ in the Netherlands. Reaching 50% PrEP coverage by 2032 by recruiting CAB-LA users among PrEP-eligible MSM could avert >45% of new HIV acquisitions in all settings. Achieving targeted coverage 5 years earlier increased the impact by 5-10 pp. In the Atlanta model, PrEP expansions achieving 40% and 50% coverage reduced differences in PrEP access between PrEP-indicated White and Black MSM from 23 to 9 pp and 4 pp, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Achieving high PrEP coverage by offering CAB-LA can impact the HIV epidemic substantially if rolled out without delays. These PrEP expansions may be efficient in settings with high HIV incidence (like Atlanta) but not in settings with low HIV incidence (like Montreal and the Netherlands).
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Infecções por HIV , Profilaxia Pré-Exposição , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Humanos , Masculino , População Negra , Canadá , Emtricitabina/uso terapêutico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Homossexualidade Masculina , Tenofovir/uso terapêutico , Brancos , Georgia , Países BaixosRESUMO
Hematoma clearance, which is achieved largely by phagocytosis of erythrocytes in the hemorrhagic brain, limits injury and facilitates recovery following intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Efficient phagocytosis critically depends on the capacity of a single phagocyte to phagocytize dead cells continually. However, the mechanism underlying continual phagocytosis following ICH remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the mechanism in this study. By using ICH models, we found that the gasotransmitter hydrogen sulfide (H2S) is an endogenous modulator of continual phagocytosis following ICH. The expression of the H2S synthase cystathionine ß-synthase (CBS) and CBS-derived H2S were elevated in brain-resident phagocytic microglia following ICH, which consequently promoted continual phagocytosis of erythrocytes by microglia. Microglia-specific deletion of CBS delayed spontaneous hematoma clearance via an H2S-mediated mechanism following ICH. Mechanistically, oxidation of CBS-derived endogenous H2S by sulfide-quinone oxidoreductase initiated reverse electron transfer at mitochondrial complex I, leading to superoxide production. Complex I-derived superoxide, in turn, activated uncoupling protein 2 (UCP2) to promote microglial phagocytosis of erythrocytes. Functionally, complex I and UCP2 were required for spontaneous hematoma clearance following ICH. Moreover, hyperhomocysteinemia, an established risk factor for stroke, impaired ICH-enhanced CBS expression and delayed hematoma resolution, while supplementing exogenous H2S accelerated hematoma clearance in mice with hyperhomocysteinemia. The results suggest that the microglial CBS-H2S-complex I axis is critical to continual phagocytosis following ICH and can be targeted to treat ICH.
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Gasotransmissores , Sulfeto de Hidrogênio , Hiper-Homocisteinemia , Animais , Hemorragia Cerebral/metabolismo , Cistationina beta-Sintase/genética , Cistationina beta-Sintase/metabolismo , Eritrócitos/metabolismo , Gasotransmissores/metabolismo , Hematoma/metabolismo , Sulfeto de Hidrogênio/metabolismo , Hiper-Homocisteinemia/metabolismo , Camundongos , Microglia/metabolismo , Mitocôndrias/metabolismo , Fagocitose , Superóxidos/metabolismo , Proteína Desacopladora 2/genética , Proteína Desacopladora 2/metabolismoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Epidemics of COVID-19 strained hospital resources. We describe temporal trends in mortality risk and length of stays in hospital and intensive care units (ICUs) among patients with COVID-19 hospitalized through the first three epidemic waves in Canada. METHODS: We used population-based provincial hospitalization data from the epicenters of Canada's epidemics (Ontario and Québec). Adjusted estimates were obtained using marginal standardization of logistic regression models, accounting for patient-level and hospital-level determinants. RESULTS: Using all hospitalizations from Ontario (N = 26,538) and Québec (N = 23,857), we found that unadjusted in-hospital mortality risks peaked at 31% in the first wave and was lowest at the end of the third wave at 6-7%. This general trend remained after adjustments. The odds of in-hospital mortality in the highest patient load quintile were 1.2-fold (95% CI: 1.0-1.4; Ontario) and 1.6-fold (95% CI: 1.3-1.9; Québec) that of the lowest quintile. Mean hospital and ICU length of stays decreased over time but ICU stays were consistently higher in Ontario than Québec. CONCLUSIONS: In-hospital mortality risks and length of ICU stays declined over time despite changing patient demographics. Continuous population-based monitoring of patient outcomes in an evolving epidemic is necessary for health system preparedness and response.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Epidemias , Estudos de Coortes , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Hospitalização , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Tempo de Internação , Ontário/epidemiologia , Quebeque/epidemiologia , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Intense transmission of syphilis has emerged in some Canadian Arctic communities despite screening and prevention efforts. The remoteness of most communities and limited diagnostic infrastructure yield long delays (≥14 days) between screening and treatment of cases. These hamper syphilis control efforts and may contribute to sustained transmission. Syphilis rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) have been developed to make screening more accessible and to inform clinical decision-making within the same clinical encounter. These RDTs have been successfully deployed in several countries, but not yet in Canada. METHODS AND DESIGN: We describe the methodology of the "Stopping Syphilis Transmission in Arctic Communities Through Rapid Diagnostic Testing" (STAR) study, wherein the clinical and epidemiological impact of deploying a dual syphilis RDT in the context of ongoing transmission in Nunavut and Nunavik will be evaluated. In this prospective multisite field evaluation, sexually active individuals aged ≥14 years at risk for syphilis will be offered screening by an RDT at the point-of-care by non-laboratory trained registered nurses. Whole blood and serum specimens will be concurrently collected, when feasible, for rapid testing with an RDT containing both treponemal and non-treponemal components (Chembio DPP® Syphilis Screen & Confirm) and compared to laboratory-based reference testing according to a reverse sequence algorithm. The diagnostic accuracy of the RDT, using both whole blood and centrifuged serum specimens, will be validated under real-world conditions in remote Northern settings, outside of specialized laboratories. Additionally, screening-to-treatment time, case detection rates, and the number of infectious contacts averted by using the RDT relative to reference testing will be estimated. The impact of both diagnostic approaches on syphilis transmission dynamics will also be modeled. DISCUSSION: This study will provide much needed evidence for strengthening rapid responses to emerging syphilis outbreaks in remote Arctic regions, by supplementing traditional diagnostic strategies with an RDT to rapidly triage patients likely in need of treatment. These results will also inform the development and tailoring of future diagnostic strategies and public health responses to emerging outbreaks in the North.
Assuntos
Sífilis , Regiões Árticas , Canadá/epidemiologia , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Sífilis/diagnóstico , Sífilis/epidemiologia , Sorodiagnóstico da Sífilis/métodosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Inequities in the burden of COVID-19 were observed early in Canada and around the world, suggesting economically marginalized communities faced disproportionate risks. However, there has been limited systematic assessment of how heterogeneity in risks has evolved in large urban centers over time. PURPOSE: To address this gap, we quantified the magnitude of risk heterogeneity in Toronto, Ontario from January to November 2020 using a retrospective, population-based observational study using surveillance data. METHODS: We generated epidemic curves by social determinants of health (SDOH) and crude Lorenz curves by neighbourhoods to visualize inequities in the distribution of COVID-19 and estimated Gini coefficients. We examined the correlation between SDOH using Pearson-correlation coefficients. RESULTS: Gini coefficient of cumulative cases by population size was 0.41 (95% confidence interval [CI]:0.36-0.47) and estimated for: household income (0.20, 95%CI: 0.14-0.28); visible minority (0.21, 95%CI:0.16-0.28); recent immigration (0.12, 95%CI:0.09-0.16); suitable housing (0.21, 95%CI:0.14-0.30); multigenerational households (0.19, 95%CI:0.15-0.23); and essential workers (0.28, 95%CI:0.23-0.34). CONCLUSIONS: There was rapid epidemiologic transition from higher- to lower-income neighborhoods with Lorenz curve transitioning from below to above the line of equality across SDOH. Moving forward necessitates integrating programs and policies addressing socioeconomic inequities and structural racism into COVID-19 prevention and vaccination programs.