Artificial intelligence may help in predicting the need for additional surgery after endoscopic resection of T1 colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Decisions concerning additional surgery after endoscopic resection of T1 colorectal cancer (CRC) are difficult because preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis (LNM) is problematic. We investigated whether artificial intelligence can predict LNM presence, thus minimizing the need for additional surgery. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data on 690 consecutive patients with T1 CRCs that were surgically resected in 2001 - 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. We divided patients into two groups according to date: data from 590 patients were used for machine learning for the artificial intelligence model, and the remaining 100 patients were included for model validation. The artificial intelligence model analyzed 45 clinicopathological factors and then predicted positivity or negativity for LNM. Operative specimens were used as the gold standard for the presence of LNM. The artificial intelligence model was validated by calculating the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for predicting LNM, and comparing these data with those of the American, European, and Japanese guidelines. RESULTS: Sensitivity was 100 % (95 % confidence interval [CI] 72 % to 100 %) in all models. Specificity of the artificial intelligence model and the American, European, and Japanese guidelines was 66 % (95 %CI 56 % to 76 %), 44 % (95 %CI 34 % to 55 %), 0 % (95 %CI 0 % to 3 %), and 0 % (95 %CI 0 % to 3 %), respectively; and accuracy was 69 % (95 %CI 59 % to 78 %), 49 % (95 %CI 39 % to 59 %), 9 % (95 %CI 4 % to 16 %), and 9 % (95 %CI 4 % - 16 %), respectively. The rates of unnecessary additional surgery attributable to misdiagnosing LNM-negative patients as having LNM were: 77 % (95 %CI 62 % to 89 %) for the artificial intelligence model, and 85 % (95 %CI 73 % to 93 %; P < 0.001), 91 % (95 %CI 84 % to 96 %; P < 0.001), and 91 % (95 %CI 84 % to 96 %; P < 0.001) for the American, European, and Japanese guidelines, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with current guidelines, artificial intelligence significantly reduced unnecessary additional surgery after endoscopic resection of T1 CRC without missing LNM positivity.

Management and risk factor of stenosis after endoscopic submucosal dissection for colorectal neoplasms.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Although endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) enables en bloc removal of large colorectal neoplasms, the incidence of stenosis after ESD and its risk factors have not been well described. This study aimed to determine the risk factors of stenosis and verify the surveillance and treatment of stenosis. METHODS: This retrospective study included 822 patients, with a total of 912 consecutive colorectal lesions, who underwent ESD from September 2003 to May 2015. The main outcome measures were incidence of stenosis and its relationship with the clinicopathologic factors in surveillance. RESULTS: Surveillance endoscopy was performed 6 months after ESD. Four of the 822 patients (0.49%) developed stenosis and required unanticipated endoscopy. The other 908 cases in 818 patients showed no symptoms or only slight abdominal discomfort (that was controlled with medication) and did not require any dilation or steroid therapies. Post-ESD stenosis was observed in 11.1% (2/18) of patients with circumferential resection between ≥90% and <100% and in 50% (2/4) of patients with circumferential resection of 100%. Among the 50 cases with a circumferential mucosal defect ≥75%, a circumferential mucosal defect ≥90% was a significant risk factor (P = .005). Four patients with stenosis were treated successfully by endoscopic dilation. CONCLUSIONS: Circumferential mucosal defect of more than 90% is a significant risk factor for stenosis after colorectal ESD. Surveillance endoscopy 6 months after ESD is recommended to assess for development of stenosis. Defects smaller than 90% do not require close endoscopic follow-up or prophylactic measures for prevention of post-ESD stenosis. (UMIN clinical trial registration number: UMIN000015754.).

Short- and long-term outcomes of self-expanding metallic stent placement vs. emergency surgery for malignant colorectal obstruction.

The European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy does not recommend self-expanding metal stent (SEMS) placement as a bridge to surgery (BTS) for malignant colorectal obstruction (MCRO). However, no universally accepted consensus has been determined. The present study aimed to evaluate the short- and long-term outcomes of SEMS placement vs. emergency surgery (ES) for MCRO. Surgical resection of colorectal cancer was performed in 3,840 patients between April 2001 and June 2016. Of these, 93 patients had MCRO requiring emergency decompression. Only patients in whom the colorectal lesion was ultimately resected were included; thus, the present study included 62 patients treated with MCRO via SEMS placement as a BTS (n=25) or via ES (n=37). The rates of laparoscopic surgery, primary anastomosis, stoma formation, lymph node dissection, adverse events, 30-day mortality and disease-free survival were evaluated. The clinical success rate of SEMS placement was 92.0% (23/25). Compared with the ES group, the SEMS group had higher rates of laparoscopic surgery (68.0 vs. 2.7%; P<0.001) and primary anastomosis (88.0 vs. 51.4%; P=0.003), a greater number of dissected lymph nodes (30 vs. 18; P=0.001), and lower incidences of stoma formation (24.0 vs. 67.6%; P=0.002) and overall adverse events (24.0 vs. 62.2%; P=0.004). The 30-day mortality and disease-free survival of the SEMS group were not significantly different to that of the ES group (0 vs. 2.7%; P=1.000; log-rank test; P=0.10). In conclusion, as long as adverse events such as perforation are minimized, SEMS placement as a BTS could be a first treatment option for MCRO. The present study is registered in the University Hospital Medical Network Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN R000034868).

Clinicopathological features of T1 colorectal carcinomas with skip lymphovascular invasion.

With recent advances in endoscopic treatment, many T1 colorectal carcinomas (CRCs) are resected endoscopically with a negative margin. However, some lesions exhibit skip lymphovascular invasion (SLVI), which is defined as the discontinuous foci of the tumor cells within the colon wall. The aim of the present study was to reveal the clinicopathological features of T1 CRCs with SLVI and validate the Japanese guidelines regarding SLVI. A total of 741 patients with T1 CRCs that were resected surgically between April 2001 and October 2016 in our hospital were divided into two groups: With SLVI and without SLVI. Clinicopathological features compared between the two groups were patient's gender, age, tumor size, location, morphology, lymphovascular invasion, tumor differentiation, tumor budding and lymph node metastasis. The incidence of T1 CRCs with SLVI was 0.9% (7/741). All cases with SLVI were found in the sigmoid colon or rectum. T1 CRCs with SLVI showed significantly higher rates of lymphovascular invasion than those without SLVI (P<0.01). In conclusion, lymphovascular invasion was a significant risk factor for SLVI in T1 CRCs, and for which surgical colectomy was necessary. The Japanese guidelines are appropriate regarding SLVI. Registered in the University Hospital Medical Network Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN000027097).