Quasi-experimental evaluation of a nationwide diabetes prevention programme.

Diabetes is a leading cause of morbidity, mortality and cost of illness1,2. Health behaviours, particularly those related to nutrition and physical activity, play a key role in the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus3. Whereas behaviour change programmes (also known as lifestyle interventions or similar) have been found efficacious in controlled clinical trials4,5, there remains controversy about whether targeting health behaviours at the individual level is an effective preventive strategy for type 2 diabetes mellitus6 and doubt among clinicians that lifestyle advice and counselling provided in the routine health system can achieve improvements in health7-9. Here we show that being referred to the largest behaviour change programme for prediabetes globally (the English Diabetes Prevention Programme) is effective in improving key cardiovascular risk factors, including glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c), excess body weight and serum lipid levels. We do so by using a regression discontinuity design10, which uses the eligibility threshold in HbA1c for referral to the behaviour change programme, in electronic health data from about one-fifth of all primary care practices in England. We confirm our main finding, the improvement of HbA1c, using two other quasi-experimental approaches: difference-in-differences analysis exploiting the phased roll-out of the programme and instrumental variable estimation exploiting regional variation in programme coverage. This analysis provides causal, rather than associational, evidence that lifestyle advice and counselling implemented at scale in a national health system can achieve important health improvements.

Discovery and validation of plasma, saliva and multi-fluid plasma-saliva metabolomic scores predicting insulin resistance and diabetes progression or regression among Puerto Rican adults.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Many studies have examined the relationship between plasma metabolites and type 2 diabetes progression, but few have explored saliva and multi-fluid metabolites. METHODS: We used LC/MS to measure plasma (n=1051) and saliva (n=635) metabolites among Puerto Rican adults from the San Juan Overweight Adults Longitudinal Study. We used elastic net regression to identify plasma, saliva and multi-fluid plasma-saliva metabolomic scores predicting baseline HOMA-IR in a training set (n=509) and validated these scores in a testing set (n=340). We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to estimate HRs for the association of baseline metabolomic scores predicting insulin resistance with incident type 2 diabetes (n=54) and prediabetes (characterised by impaired glucose tolerance, impaired fasting glucose and/or high HbA1c) (n=130) at 3 years, along with regression from prediabetes to normoglycaemia (n=122), adjusting for traditional diabetes-related risk factors. RESULTS: Plasma, saliva and multi-fluid plasma-saliva metabolomic scores predicting insulin resistance included highly weighted metabolites from fructose, tyrosine, lipid and amino acid metabolism. Each SD increase in the plasma (HR 1.99 [95% CI 1.18, 3.38]; p=0.01) and multi-fluid (1.80 [1.06, 3.07]; p=0.03) metabolomic scores was associated with higher risk of type 2 diabetes. The saliva metabolomic score was associated with incident prediabetes (1.48 [1.17, 1.86]; p=0.001). All three metabolomic scores were significantly associated with lower likelihood of regressing from prediabetes to normoglycaemia in models adjusting for adiposity (HRs 0.72 for plasma, 0.78 for saliva and 0.72 for multi-fluid), but associations were attenuated when adjusting for lipid and glycaemic measures. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: The plasma metabolomic score predicting insulin resistance was more strongly associated with incident type 2 diabetes than the saliva metabolomic score. Only the saliva metabolomic score was associated with incident prediabetes.

The non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (NHHR) as a predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in US adults with diabetes or prediabetes: NHANES 1999-2018.

BACKGROUND: The non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (NHHR) serves as a novel composite lipid indicator for atherosclerosis. However, the association between NHHR and mortality in patients with diabetes or prediabetes remains unclear. Consequently, the objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between NHHR and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in US adults with diabetes or prediabetes. METHODS: This study included 12,578 adult participants with diabetes or prediabetes from the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999-2018). Mortality outcomes were ascertained by linking to the National Death Index (NDI) record up to December 31, 2019. We employed a weighted multivariate Cox proportional hazards model and restricted cubic splines to assess the associations between NHHR and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. A segmented Cox proportional hazards model was used for evaluating threshold effects. Furthermore, a competing risks analysis was performed to explore the relationship between NHHR and cardiovascular mortality. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 8.08 years, 2403 participants encountered all-cause mortality, with 662 of them specifically succumbing to cardiovascular mortality. The restricted cubic splines revealed a U-shaped association between NHHR and all-cause mortality, while an L-shaped association was observed for cardiovascular mortality. The analysis of threshold effects revealed that the inflection points for NHHR and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were 2.72 and 2.83, respectively. Specifically, when the baseline NHHR was below the inflection points, a negative correlation was observed between NHHR and both all-cause mortality (HR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.68-0.85) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.57-0.85). Conversely, when the baseline NHHR exceeded the inflection points, a positive correlation was observed between NHHR and both all-cause mortality (HR: 1.11, 95% CI: 1.06-1.16) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.00-1.16). CONCLUSIONS: Among US adults with diabetes or prediabetes, a U-shaped association was observed between NHHR and all-cause mortality, whereas an L-shaped association was identified with cardiovascular mortality. The inflection points for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were 2.72 and 2.83, respectively.

Exposure of cumulative atherogenic index of plasma and the development of prediabetes in middle-aged and elderly individuals: evidence from the CHARLS cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The impact of dynamic changes in the degree of atherosclerosis on the development of prediabetes remains unclear. This study aims to investigate the association between cumulative atherogenic index of plasma (CumAIP) exposure during follow-up and the development of prediabetes in middle-aged and elderly individuals. METHODS: A total of 2,939 prediabetic participants from the first wave of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) were included. The outcomes for these patients, including progression to diabetes and regression to normal fasting glucose (NFG), were determined using data from the third wave. CumAIP was calculated as the ratio of the average AIP values measured during the first and third waves to the total exposure duration. The association between CumAIP and the development of prediabetes was analyzed using multivariable Cox regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 3 years, 15.21% of prediabetic patients progressed to diabetes, and 22.12% regressed to NFG. Among the groups categorized by CumAIP quartiles, the proportion of prediabetes progressing to diabetes gradually increased (Q1: 10.61%, Q2: 13.62%, Q3: 15.65%, Q4: 20.95%), while the proportion regressing to NFG gradually decreased (Q1: 23.54%, Q2: 23.71%, Q3: 22.18%, Q4: 19.05%). Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression showed a significant positive linear correlation between high CumAIP exposure and prediabetes progression, and a significant negative linear correlation with prediabetes regression. Furthermore, in a stratified analysis, it was found that compared to married individuals, those who were unmarried (including separated, divorced, widowed, or never married) had a relatively higher risk of CumAIP-related diabetes. CONCLUSION: CumAIP is closely associated with the development of prediabetes. High CumAIP exposure not only increases the risk of prediabetes progression but also hinders its regression within a certain range. These findings suggest that monitoring and maintaining appropriate AIP levels may help prevent the deterioration of blood glucose levels.

Evidence of a bi-directional relationship between heart failure and diabetes: a strategy for the detection of glucose abnormalities and diabetes prevention in patients with heart failure.

Prevalence of heart failure (HF) and diabetes are markedly increasing globally. In a population of HF patients, approximately 40% have diabetes which is associated with a more severe HF, poorer cardiovascular outcomes and higher hospitalization rates for HF than HF patients without diabetes. Similar trends were shown in HF patients with prediabetes. In addition, the association between HF and renal function decline was demonstrated in patients with or without diabetes. However, the exact prevalence of dysglycemia in HF patients requires further investigation aiming to clarify the most accurate test to detect dysglycemia in this population. The relationship between HF and diabetes is complex and probably bidirectional. In one way, patients with diabetes have a more than two-fold risk of developing incident HF with reduced or preserved ejection fraction than those without diabetes. In the other way, patients with HF, when compared with those without HF, show an increased risk for the onset of diabetes due to several mechanisms including insulin resistance (IR), which makes HF emerging as a precursor for diabetes development. This article provides epidemiological evidence of undetected dysglycemia (prediabetes or diabetes) in HF patients and reviews the pathophysiological mechanisms which favor the development of IR and the risks associated with these disorders in HF patients. This review also offers a discussion of various strategies for the prevention of diabetes in HF patients, based first on fasting plasma glucose and HbA1c measurement and if normal on an oral glucose tolerance test as diagnostic tools for prediabetes and unknown diabetes that should be performed more extensively in those patients. It discusses the implementation of diabetes prevention measures and well-structured management programs for HF patients who are generally overweight or obese, as well as current pharmacotherapeutic options for prediabetes, including sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors which are among the pillars of HF treatment and which recently showed a benefit in the reduction of incident diabetes in HF patients. Thus, there is an urgent need of routine screening for dysglycemia in all HF patients, which should contribute to reduce the incidence of diabetes and to treat earlier diabetes when already present.

Compromised cardiac autonomic function in non-diabetic subjects with 1 h post-load hyperglycemia: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: A compromised cardiac autonomic function has been found in subjects with insulin resistance related disorders such as obesity, impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and type 2 diabetes and confers an increased risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Growing evidence indicate that 1 h plasma glucose levels (1hPG) during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) ≥ 155 mg/dl identify amongst subjects with normal glucose tolerance (NGT) a new category of prediabetes (NGT 1 h-high), harboring an increased risk of cardiovascular organ damage. In this study we explored the relationship between 1 h post-load hyperglycemia and cardiac autonomic dysfunction. METHODS: Presence of cardiac autonomic neuropathy (CAN) defined by cardiovascular autonomic reflex tests (CARTs) and heart rate variability (HRV), assessed by 24-h electrocardiography were evaluated in 88 non-diabetic subjects subdivided on the basis of OGTT data in: NGT with 1 h PG < 155 mg/dl (NGT 1 h-low), NGT 1 h-high and IGT. RESULTS: As compared to subjects with NGT 1 h-low, those with NGT 1 h-high and IGT were more likely to have CARTs defined CAN and reduced values of the 24 h time domain HVR parameters including standard deviation of all normal heart cycles (SDNN), standard deviation of the average RR interval for each 5 min segment (SDANN), square root of the differences between adjacent RR intervals (RMSSD), percentage of beats with a consecutive RR interval difference > 50 ms (PNN50) and Triangular index. Univariate analyses showed that 1hPG, but not fasting and 2hPG, was inversely associated with all the explored HVR parameters and positively with CARTs determined presence of CAN. In multivariate regression analysis models including several confounders we found that 1hPG was an independent contributor of HRV and presence of CAN. CONCLUSION: Subjects with 1hPG ≥ 155 mg/dl have an impaired cardiac autonomic function.

Association of prediabetes with clinical outcomes in patients with chronic coronary syndrome: a post hoc analysis of the ISCHEMIA and ISCHEMIA-CKD trials.

BACKGROUND: There is conflicting evidence whether prediabetes is associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with chronic coronary syndrome. We aimed to assess the effect of prediabetes in patients with chronic coronary syndrome on clinical outcomes. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of data from the ISCHEMIA and ISCHEMIA-CKD trials, including patients with chronic coronary syndrome determined by coronary computed tomography angiography or exercise-stress testing. Participants were assigned to the normoglycemia group (HbA1c < 5.7% [< 39 mmol/mol]), prediabetes group (HbA1c 5.7-6.4% [40-47 mmol/mol]), or diabetes group (HbA1c ≥ 6.5% [≥ 48 mmol/mol]). The primary end point of this study was all-cause mortality. Secondary endpoints included major adverse cardiovascular events and composites thereof. RESULTS: Overall, the primary endpoint all-cause mortality occurred in 330 (8.4%) of 3910 patients over a median follow-up time of 3.1 years (IQR 2.1-4.1). The primary endpoint all-cause mortality occurred in 37 (5.2%) of 716 patients in the normoglycemia group, in 63 (6.9%) of 911 in the prediabetes group, and in 230 (10.1%) of 2283 in the diabetes group. In the covariate-adjusted Cox model analysis, the estimated adjusted HR (aHR) in the prediabetes group as compared with the normoglycemia group was 1.45 (95%CI, 0.95-2.20). The aHR in the diabetes group as compared with the normoglycemia group was 1.84 (95%CI, 1.29-2.65). Prediabetes, compared with normoglycemia, was associated with an increased risk of stroke (aHR, 3.44, 95%CI, 1.15-10.25). Subgroup analyses suggested an increased risk of all-cause death associated with prediabetes in males and patients under 65 years. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with chronic coronary syndrome, diabetes but not prediabetes was associated with significantly increased risk of all-cause death within a median follow-up period of 3.1 years. Trial Registration NCT01471522, BioLINCC ID 13936.

Comprehensive analysis of the association between triglyceride-glucose index and coronary artery disease severity across different glucose metabolism states: a large-scale cross-sectional study from an Asian cohort.

BACKGROUND: The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is associated with the development and prognosis of coronary artery disease (CAD). However, the impact of the TyG index on CAD severity across different glucose metabolism states exhibits significant disparities in previous research. METHODS: This cross-sectional study comprised 10,433 participants from a prospective cohort. Participants were categorized into four groups based on glucose metabolism state: normal glucose regulation (NGR), prediabetes (pre-DM), diabetes mellitus (DM) without insulin prescribed (Rx), and DM with insulin Rx. The TyG index was determined by the following formula: Ln [TG (mg/dL) × FPG (mg/dL) / 2], where TG is triglycerides and FPG is fasting plasm glucose. Statistical methods such as binary logistic regression, interaction analysis, restricted cubic spline (RCS), and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) were employed to analyze the relationship between the TyG index and CAD severity across the entire population and glucose metabolism subgroups. Mediation analysis was conducted to examine the mediating effects of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) on these relationships. Sensitivity analysis was performed to ensure the robustness of the findings. RESULTS: Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed a significant positive association between the TyG index and multi-vessel CAD in the entire population (OR: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.22-1.47 per 1-unit increment). Subgroup analysis demonstrated consistent positive associations in the NGR, pre-DM, and DM non-insulin Rx groups, with the highest OR observed in the NGR group (OR: 1.67; 95% CI: 1.3-2.14 per 1-unit increment). No correlation was found in the DM with insulin Rx subgroup. RCS analyses indicated the distinct dose-response relationships across different glucose metabolism subgroups. Including the TyG index in the established model slightly improved the predictive accuracy, particularly in the NGR group. Mediation analyses showed varying mediating effects of HbA1c among different glucose metabolism subgroups. Sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of the aforementioned relationships in the new-onset CAD population and in individuals not using antilipidemic medications. CONCLUSIONS: The TyG index positively associated with CAD severity across all glucose metabolism states, except for individuals receiving insulin treatment. Moreover, it might serve as a supplementary noninvasive predictor of CAD severity in addition to established factors, especially in NGR patients.

Impaired glucose metabolism and the risk of vascular events and mortality after ischemic stroke: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus (DM), prediabetes, and insulin resistance are highly prevalent in patients with ischemic stroke (IS). DM is associated with higher risk for poor outcomes after IS. OBJECTIVE: Investigate the risk of recurrent vascular events and mortality associated with impaired glucose metabolism compared to normoglycemia in patients with IS and transient ischemic attack (TIA). METHODS: Systematic literature search was performed in PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library on 21st March 2024 and via citation searching. Studies that comprised IS or TIA patients and exposures of impaired glucose metabolism were eligible. Study Quality Assessment Tool was used for risk of bias assessment. Covariate adjusted outcomes were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. MAIN OUTCOMES: Recurrent stroke, cardiac events, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality and composite of vascular outcomes. RESULTS: Of 10,974 identified studies 159 were eligible. 67% had low risk of bias. DM was associated with an increased risk for composite events (pooled HR (pHR) including 445,808 patients: 1.58, 95% CI 1.34-1.85, I2 = 88%), recurrent stroke (pHR including 1.161.527 patients: 1.42 (1.29-1.56, I2 = 92%), cardiac events (pHR including 443,863 patients: 1.55, 1.50-1.61, I2 = 0%), and all-cause mortality (pHR including 1.031.472 patients: 1.56, 1.34-1.82, I2 = 99%). Prediabetes was associated with an increased risk for composite events (pHR including 8,262 patients: 1.50, 1.15-1.96, I2 = 0%) and recurrent stroke (pHR including 10,429 patients: 1.50, 1.18-1.91, I2 = 0), however, not with mortality (pHR including 9,378 patients, 1.82, 0.73-4.57, I2 = 78%). Insulin resistance was associated with recurrent stroke (pHR including 21,363 patients: 1.56, 1.19-2.05, I2 = 55%), but not with mortality (pHR including 21,363 patients: 1.31, 0.66-2.59, I2 = 85%). DISCUSSION: DM is associated with a 56% increased relative risk of death after IS and TIA. Risk estimates regarding recurrent events are similarly high between prediabetes and DM, indicating high cardiovascular risk burden already in precursor stages of DM. There was a high heterogeneity across most outcomes.

Blood coagulation in Prediabetes clusters-impact on all-cause mortality in individuals undergoing coronary angiography.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic clusters can stratify subgroups of individuals at risk for type 2 diabetes mellitus and related complications. Since obesity and insulin resistance are closely linked to alterations in hemostasis, we investigated the association between plasmatic coagulation and metabolic clusters including the impact on survival. METHODS: Utilizing data from the Ludwigshafen Risk and Cardiovascular Health (LURIC) study, we assigned 917 participants without diabetes to prediabetes clusters, using oGTT-derived glucose and insulin, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, and anthropometric data. We performed a comprehensive analysis of plasmatic coagulation parameters and analyzed their associations with mortality using proportional hazards models. Mediation analysis was performed to assess the effect of coagulation factors on all-cause mortality in prediabetes clusters. RESULTS: Prediabetes clusters were assigned using published tools, and grouped into low-risk (clusters 1,2,4; n = 643) and high-risk (clusters 3,5,6; n = 274) clusters. Individuals in the high-risk clusters had a significantly increased risk of death (HR = 1.30; CI: 1.01 to 1.67) and showed significantly elevated levels of procoagulant factors (fibrinogen, FVII/VIII/IX), D-dimers, von-Willebrand factor, and PAI-1, compared to individuals in the low-risk clusters. In proportional hazards models adjusted for relevant confounders, elevated levels of fibrinogen, D-dimers, FVIII, and vWF were found to be associated with an increased risk of death. Multiple mediation analysis indicated that vWF significantly mediates the cluster-specific risk of death. CONCLUSIONS: High-risk prediabetes clusters are associated with prothrombotic changes in the coagulation system that likely contribute to the increased mortality in those individuals at cardiometabolic risk. The hypercoagulable state observed in the high-risk clusters indicates an increased risk for cardiovascular and thrombotic diseases that should be considered in future risk stratification and therapeutic strategies.

Adiposity modifies the association between heart failure risk and glucose metabolic disorder in older individuals: a community-based prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Glucose metabolic disorder is associated with the risk of heart failure (HF). Adiposity is a comorbidity that is inextricably linked with abnormal glucose metabolism in older individuals. However, the effect of adiposity on the association between glucose metabolic disorder and HF risk, and the underlying mechanism remain unclear. METHODS: A total of 13,251 participants aged ≥ 60 years from a cohort study were categorized into euglycemia, prediabetes, uncontrolled diabetes, and well-controlled diabetes. Adiposity was assessed using body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and visceral fat area (VFA). Adiposity-associated metabolic activities were evaluated using adiponectin-to-leptin ratio (ALR), homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), and triglyceride-glucose index (TyG). The first occurrence of HF served as the outcome during the follow-up period. RESULTS: A total of 1,138 participants developed HF over the course of an average follow-up period of 10.9 years. The rate of incident HF occurrence was higher in prediabetes, uncontrolled diabetes, and well-controlled diabetes participants compared to that in euglycemia participants. However, the high rates were significantly attenuated by BMI, VFA, and WHR. For WHR in particular, the hazard ratio for incident HF was 1.18 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03, 1.35, Padj.=0.017) in prediabetes, 1.59 (95% CI: 1.34, 1.90, Padj.<0.001) in uncontrolled diabetes, and 1.10 (95% CI: 0.85, 1.43, Padj.=0.466) in well-controlled diabetes. The population attributable risk percentage for central obesity classified by WHR for incident HF was 30.3% in euglycemia, 50.0% in prediabetes, 48.5% in uncontrolled diabetes, and 54.4% in well-controlled diabetes. Adiposity measures, especially WHR, showed a significant interaction with glucose metabolic disorder in incident HF (all Padj.<0.001). ALR was negatively associated and HOMA-IR and TyG were positively associated with BMI, WHR, VFA, and incident HF (all Padj.<0.05). ALR, HOMA-IR, and TyG mediated the associations for BMI, WHR and VFA with incident HF (all Padj.<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Adiposity attenuated the association of glucose metabolic disorder with incident HF. The results also showed that WHR may be an appropriate indicator for evaluating adiposity in older individuals. Adiposity-associated metabolic activities may have a bridging role in the process of adiposity attenuating the association between glucose metabolic disorder and incident HF. TRIAL REGISTRATION: retrospectively registered number: ChiCTR-EOC-17,013,598.

The association between the triglyceride-glucose index and the risk of cardiovascular disease in US population aged ≤ 65 years with prediabetes or diabetes: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the U.S. population under 65 years of age with diabetes or prediabetes is unknown. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between baseline TyG index and CVD risk in U.S. patients under 65 years of age with diabetes or prediabetes. METHODS: We used data from the 2003-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Multivariate regression analysis models were constructed to explore the relationship between baseline TyG index and CVD risk. Nonlinear correlations were explored using restricted cubic splines. Subgroup analysis and interaction tests were also conducted. RESULTS: The study enrolled a total of 4340 participants with diabetes or pre-diabetes, with a mean TyG index of 9.02 ± 0.02. The overall average prevalence of CVD was 10.38%. Participants in the higher TyG quartiles showed high rates of CVD (Quartile 1: 7.35%; Quartile 2: 10.04%; Quartile 3: 10.71%; Quartile 4: 13.65%). For CVD, a possible association between the TyG index and the risk of CVD was observed. Our findings suggested a linear association between the TyG index and the risk of CVD. The results revealed a U-shaped relationship between the TyG index and both the risk of CVD (P nonlinear = 0.02583) and CHF (P nonlinear = 0.0208) in individuals with diabetes. Subgroup analysis and the interaction term indicated that there was no significant difference among different stratifications. Our study also revealed a positive association between the TyG index and comorbid MetS in the U.S. population under 65 years of age with prediabetes or diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: A higher TyG index was linked to an increased likelihood of CVD in the U.S. population aged ≤ 65 years with prediabetes and diabetes. Besides, TyG index assessment will contribute to more convenient and effective screening of high-risk individuals in patients with MetS. Future studies should explore whether interventions targeting the TyG index may improve clinical outcomes in these patients.

Liraglutide and not lifestyle intervention reduces soluble CD163 after comparable weight loss in obese participants with prediabetes or type 2 diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND: The GLP-1 receptor agonist liraglutide is used to treat hyperglycemia in type 2 diabetes but is also known to induce weight loss, preserve the beta cell and reduce cardiovascular risk. The mechanisms underlying these effects are however still not completely known. Herein we explore the effect of liraglutide on markers of immune cell activity in a population of obese individuals with prediabetes or newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus. METHOD: Plasma levels of the monocyte/macrophage markers, soluble (s)CD163 and sCD14, the neutrophil markers myeloperoxidase (MPO) and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL),the T-cell markers sCD25 and T-cell immunoglobulin mucin domain-3 (sTIM-3) and the inflammatory marker TNF superfamily (TNFSF) member 14 (LIGHT/TNFSF14) were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays in obese individuals with prediabetes or diabetes diagnosed within the last 12 months, prior to and after comparable weight loss achieved with lifestyle changes (n = 20) or liraglutide treatment (n = 20), and in healthy subjects (n = 13). RESULTS: At baseline, plasma levels of the macrophage marker sCD163, and the inflammatory marker LIGHT were higher in cases as compared to controls. Plasma levels of sCD14, NGAL, sTIM-3 and sCD25 did not differ at baseline between patients and controls. After weight reduction following lifestyle intervention or liraglutide treatment, sCD163 decreased significantly in the liraglutide group vs. lifestyle (between-group difference p = 0.023, adjusted for visceral adipose tissue and triglycerides basal values). MPO and LIGHT decreased significantly only in the liraglutide group (between group difference not significant). Plasma levels of MPO and in particular sCD163 correlated with markers of metabolic dysfunction and inflammation. After weight loss, only sCD163 showed a trend for decreased levels during OGTT, both in the whole cohort as in those of liraglutide vs lifestyle group. CONCLUSION: Weight loss following treatment with liraglutide was associated with reduced circulating levels of sCD163 when compared to the same extent of weight loss after lifestyle changes. This might contribute to reduced cardiometabolic risk in individuals receiving treatment with liraglutide.

Prediabetes and insulin resistance: effect of vitamin D.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The impact of vitamin D on improving insulin resistance in prediabetes remains controversial. The purpose of this review is to examine whether vitamin D supplementation improves insulin resistance in adults with prediabetes, and if so, to identify the mechanisms and the specific populations. RECENT FINDINGS: Global prevalence of prediabetes is increasing, and prevention is a critical issue because these people with prediabetes will develop type 2 diabetes soon, which will put pressure on healthcare costs. Recent evidence on the effectiveness of vitamin D administration in improving insulin resistance and preventing the onset of type 2 diabetes in adults with prediabetes has been accumulating. The 2024 updated clinical practice guideline of the American Diabetes Association states that vitamin D administration to patients with prediabetes potentially benefits type 2 diabetes incidence in specific populations. There are also reports that vitamin D administration improves insulin resistance via increased serum osteocalcin levels, a marker of bone turnover. SUMMARY: Vitamin D is likely to improve insulin resistance, which is already present at the time of prediabetes. However, the effectiveness may vary depending on ethnic differences and blood vitamin D levels at the start of administration.

The effects of intermittent fasting on body composition and cardiometabolic health in adults with prediabetes or type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIM: To perform a meta-analysis to investigate the effects of intermittent fasting (IF), as compared with either a control diet (CON) and/or calorie restriction (CR), on body composition and cardiometabolic health in individuals with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (T2D). METHODS: PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus were searched from their inception to March 2024 to identify original randomized trials with parallel or crossover designs that studied the effects of IF on body composition and cardiometabolic health. Weighted mean differences (WMDs) or standardized mean differences with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using random-effects models. RESULTS: Overall, 14 studies involving 1101 adults with prediabetes or T2D were included in the meta-analysis. IF decreased body weight (WMD -4.56 kg [95% CI -6.23 to -2.83]; p = 0.001), body mass index (BMI; WMD -1.99 kg.m2 [95% CI -2.74 to -1.23]; p = 0.001), glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c; WMD -0.81% [95% CI -1.24 to -0.38]; p = 0.001), fasting glucose (WMD -0.36 mmol/L [95% CI -0.63 to -0.09]; p = 0.008), total cholesterol (WMD -0.31 mmol/L [95% CI -0.60 to -0.02]; p = 0.03) and triglycerides (WMD -0.14 mmol/L [95% CI -0.27 to -0.01]; p = 0.02), but did not significantly decrease fat mass, insulin, low-densitiy lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein, or blood pressure as compared with CON. Furthermore, IF decreased body weight (WMD -1.14 kg [95% CI -1.69 to -0.60]; p = 0.001) and BMI (WMD -0.43 kg.m2 [95% CI -0.58 to -0.27]; p = 0.001), but did not significantly affect fat mass, lean body mass, visceral fat, insulin, HbA1c, lipid profiles or blood pressure. CONCLUSION: Intermittent fasting is effective for weight loss and specific cardiometabolic health markers in individuals with prediabetes or T2D. Additionally, IF is associated with a reduction in body weight and BMI compared to CR, without effects on glycaemic markers, lipid profiles or blood pressure.

Ingesting probiotic yogurt containing Lactiplantibacillus plantarum OLL2712 improves glycaemic control in adults with prediabetes in a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.

AIM: The ingestion of Lactiplantibacillus plantarum OLL2712 (OLL2712) cells has been shown to improve glucose metabolism by suppressing chronic inflammation in murine models and clinical studies. This study aimed to clarify the effect of OLL2712 on glycaemic control in healthy adults with prediabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group design. Adult participants with prediabetes [n = 148, glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) range: 5.6%-6.4%, age range: 20-64 years] were assigned randomly to placebo or OLL2712 groups (n = 74/group) and administered daily for 12 weeks either conventional yogurt or yogurt containing >5 × 109 heat-treated OLL2712 cells, respectively. In addition, the participants were followed for 8 weeks after the discontinuation of either yogurt. The primary outcome was the changes in HbA1c levels at weeks 12 and 16 by analysis of covariance. RESULTS: The levels of HbA1c and glycoalbumin decreased significantly in both groups at week 12 in comparison with those at week 0, but only in the OLL2712 group at week 16. HbA1c levels decreased significantly at weeks 12 and 16 in the OLL2712 group in comparison with the placebo group (p = .014 and p = .006, respectively). No significant inter- and intragroup differences in HbA1c levels were observed at week 20. CONCLUSIONS: The ingestion of OLL2712 prevents the deterioration of glycaemic control and maintains the HbA1c levels within the normal range in adults with prediabetes; yogurt probably exhibits similar effects, which may contribute to reducing the risk of developing type 2 diabetes.

Sex-specific associations between haemoglobin glycation index and the risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in individuals with pre-diabetes and diabetes: A large prospective cohort study.

AIM: The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between the haemoglobin glycation index (HGI), and cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in adults with pre-diabetes and diabetes. METHODS: This study included 10 267 adults with pre-diabetes and diabetes from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2018. Sex-differentiated relationships between HGI and mortality were elucidated using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, restricted cubic splines and a two-piecewise Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: During the median follow-up time of 103.5 months, a total of 535 CVD deaths and 1918 all-cause deaths were recorded. After multivariate adjustment, in males with pre-diabetes and diabetes, there was a U-shaped relationship between HGI and CVD mortality and all-cause mortality, with threshold points of -0.68 and -0.63, respectively. Before the threshold point, HGI was negatively associated with CVD mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 0.60; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.41, 0.89] and all-cause mortality (HR 0.56; 95% CI 0.43, 0.74), and after the threshold point, HGI was positively associated with CVD mortality (HR 1.46; 95% CI 1.23, 1.73) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.40; 95% CI 1.23, 1.59). In contrast, HGI had an L-shaped relationship with all-cause mortality and no significant association with CVD mortality in females. To the left of the threshold points, the risk of all-cause mortality decreased (HR 0.50; 95% CI 0.35, 0.71) progressively with increasing HGI. CONCLUSIONS: In the cohort study, HGI in pre-diabetic and diabetic populations was found to have a U-shaped association with CVD mortality and all-cause mortality in males and an L-shaped association with all-cause mortality only in females. Further prospective and mechanistic studies are warranted.

Frequency of prediabetes in individuals with increased adiposity and metabolically healthy or unhealthy phenotypes.

AIMS: To utilize the estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR) index of insulin sensitivity, which is based on readily available clinical variables, namely, waist circumference, hypertension and glycated haemoglobin, to discriminate between metabolically healthy and unhealthy phenotypes, and to determine the prevalence of prediabetic conditions. METHODS: Non-diabetic individuals (n = 2201) were stratified into quartiles of insulin sensitivity based on eGDR index. Individuals in the upper quartiles of eGDR were defined as having metabolically healthy normal weight (MHNW), metabolically healthy overweight (MHOW) or metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) according to their body mass index, while those in the lower quartiles were classified as having metabolically unhealthy normal weight (MUNW), metabolically unhealthy overweight (MUOW) and metabolically unhealthy obesity (MUO), respectively. RESULTS: The frequency of impaired fasting glucose (IFG), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), and IFG + IGT status was comparable among the MHNW, MHOW and MHO groups, while it increased from those with MUNW status towards those with MUOW and MUO status. As compared with participants with MHNW, the odds ratio of having IFG, IGT, or IFG + IGT was significantly higher in participants with MUOW and MUO but not in those with MUNW, MHOW and MHO, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A metabolically healthy phenotype is associated with lower frequency of IFG, IGT, and IFG + IGT status across all body weight categories.

Determinants of serious health outcome-free status in middle-aged and older people with dysglycaemia: Exploratory analysis of the ORIGIN trial.

AIM: To assess clinical and biochemical measurements that can identify people with dysglycaemia (i.e. diabetes or pre-diabetes) who remain free of serious outcomes during follow-up. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted exploratory analyses using data from the Outcomes Reduction with an Initial Glargine Intervention (ORIGIN) study to identify independent determinants of outcome-free status in 12 537 middle-aged and older adults with prediabetes and early type 2 diabetes from 40 countries. Serious outcome-free status was defined as the absence of major cardiovascular outcomes, kidney or retinal outcomes, peripheral artery disease, dementia, cancer, any hospitalization, or death during follow-up. RESULTS: In total, 3328 (26.6%) participants remained free of serious outcomes during a median follow-up of 6.2 years (IQR 5.8, 6.7). Independent clinical determinants of outcome-free status included younger age, female sex, non-White ethnicity, shorter diabetes duration, absence of previous cardiovascular disease, current or former smokers, higher grip strength, Mini-Mental State Examination score, and ankle-brachial index, lower body mass index and kidney disease index, and non-use of renin-angiotensin system drugs and beta-blockers. In a subset of 8401 people with baseline measurements of 238 biomarkers, growth differentiation factor 15, kidney injury molecule-1, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, uromodulin, C-reactive protein, factor VII and ferritin were independent determinants. The combination of clinical determinants and biomarkers best identified participants who remained outcome-free (C-statistics 0.71, 95% confidence interval 0.70-0.73; net reclassification improvement 0.55, 95% confidence interval 0.48-0.58). CONCLUSIONS: A set of routinely measured clinical characteristics and seven protein biomarkers identify middle-aged and older people with prediabetes or early type 2 diabetes as least likely to experience serious outcomes during follow-up.

Association patterns of ketone bodies with the risk of adverse outcomes according to diabetes status.

AIM: To investigate the associations between ketone bodies (KB) and multiple adverse outcomes including cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic kidney disease (CKD) and all-cause mortality according to diabetes status. METHODS: This prospective study included 222 824 participants free from CVD and CKD at baseline from the UK Biobank. Total KB including ß-hydroxybutyrate, acetoacetate and acetone were measured by nuclear magnetic resonance. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between KB and adverse outcomes among participants with normoglycaemia, prediabetes and type 2 diabetes, respectively. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 14.1 years, 24 088 incident CVD events (including 17 303 coronary heart disease events, 5172 stroke events and 5881 heart failure [HF] events), 8605 CKD events and 15 813 deaths, were documented. Higher total KB significantly increased the risk of HF among participants with normoglycaemia (HR, 1.32 [95% CI, 1.17-1.49], per 10-fold increase in total KB) and prediabetes (1.35 [1.04-1.76]), and increased the risk of CKD among those with normoglycaemia (1.20 [1.09-1.33]). Elevated KB levels were associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality across the glycaemic spectrum (1.32 [1.23-1.42] for normoglycaemia, 1.45 [1.24-1.71] for prediabetes and 1.47 [1.11-1.94] for diabetes). Moreover, a significant additive interaction between KB and diabetes status was observed on the risk of death (P = .009), with 4.9% of deaths attributed to the interactive effects. CONCLUSIONS: Our study underscored the variation in association patterns between KB and adverse outcomes according to diabetes status and suggested that KB could interact with diabetes status in an additive manner to increase the risk of mortality.