RESUMO
Estimating the size of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and the infection severity of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is made challenging by inconsistencies in the available data. The number of deaths associated with COVID-19 is often used as a key indicator for the size of the epidemic, but the observed number of deaths represents only a minority of all infections1,2. In addition, the heterogeneous burdens in nursing homes and the variable reporting of deaths of older individuals can hinder direct comparisons of mortality rates and the underlying levels of transmission across countries3. Here we use age-specific COVID-19-associated death data from 45 countries and the results of 22 seroprevalence studies to investigate the consistency of infection and fatality patterns across multiple countries. We find that the age distribution of deaths in younger age groups (less than 65 years of age) is very consistent across different settings and demonstrate how these data can provide robust estimates of the share of the population that has been infected. We estimate that the infection fatality ratio is lowest among 5-9-year-old children, with a log-linear increase by age among individuals older than 30 years. Population age structures and heterogeneous burdens in nursing homes explain some but not all of the heterogeneity between countries in infection fatality ratios. Among the 45 countries included in our analysis, we estimate that approximately 5% of these populations had been infected by 1 September 2020, and that much higher transmission rates have probably occurred in a number of Latin American countries. This simple modelling framework can help countries to assess the progression of the pandemic and can be applied in any scenario for which reliable age-specific death data are available.
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Envelhecimento/imunologia , Teste Sorológico para COVID-19/estatística & dados numéricos , COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/mortalidade , Internacionalidade , Pandemias/estatística & dados numéricos , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , COVID-19/virologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Despite widespread adoption of surveillance testing for coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) among staff members in skilled nursing facilities, evidence is limited regarding its relationship with outcomes among facility residents. METHODS: Using data obtained from 2020 to 2022, we performed a retrospective cohort study of testing for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) among staff members in 13,424 skilled nursing facilities during three pandemic periods: before vaccine approval, before the B.1.1.529 (omicron) variant wave, and during the omicron wave. We assessed staff testing volumes during weeks without Covid-19 cases relative to other skilled nursing facilities in the same county, along with Covid-19 cases and deaths among residents during potential outbreaks (defined as the occurrence of a case after 2 weeks with no cases). We reported adjusted differences in outcomes between high-testing facilities (90th percentile of test volume) and low-testing facilities (10th percentile). The two primary outcomes were the weekly cumulative number of Covid-19 cases and related deaths among residents during potential outbreaks. RESULTS: During the overall study period, 519.7 cases of Covid-19 per 100 potential outbreaks were reported among residents of high-testing facilities as compared with 591.2 cases among residents of low-testing facilities (adjusted difference, -71.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], -91.3 to -51.6). During the same period, 42.7 deaths per 100 potential outbreaks occurred in high-testing facilities as compared with 49.8 deaths in low-testing facilities (adjusted difference, -7.1; 95% CI, -11.0 to -3.2). Before vaccine availability, high- and low-testing facilities had 759.9 cases and 1060.2 cases, respectively, per 100 potential outbreaks (adjusted difference, -300.3; 95% CI, -377.1 to -223.5), along with 125.2 and 166.8 deaths (adjusted difference, -41.6; 95% CI, -57.8 to -25.5). Before the omicron wave, the numbers of cases and deaths were similar in high- and low-testing facilities; during the omicron wave, high-testing facilities had fewer cases among residents, but deaths were similar in the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Greater surveillance testing of staff members at skilled nursing facilities was associated with clinically meaningful reductions in Covid-19 cases and deaths among residents, particularly before vaccine availability.
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COVID-19 , Surtos de Doenças , Pessoal de Saúde , Vigilância da População , Instituições de Cuidados Especializados de Enfermagem , Humanos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Instituições de Cuidados Especializados de Enfermagem/normas , Instituições de Cuidados Especializados de Enfermagem/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoal de Saúde/normas , Pessoal de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Vigilância da População/métodos , Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Pandemias/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Interest in home-based care is increasing among Medicare Advantage (MA) plans. The epidemiology of homebound MA beneficiaries is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence, characteristics, predictors, health service use, and mortality outcomes of homebound beneficiaries of a large national MA plan. DESIGN: Cross-sectional. SETTING: National MA plan. PARTICIPANTS: Humana MA beneficiaries in 2022 (n = 2 435 519). MEASUREMENTS: Homebound status was assessed via in-home assessment using previously defined categories: homebound (never or rarely left home in the past month), semihomebound (left home with assistance, had difficulty, or needed help leaving home), and not homebound. Demographic, clinical, health service use, and mortality outcomes were compared by homebound status. RESULTS: In 2022, the overall prevalence of homebound beneficiaries was 22.0% (8.4% of beneficiaries were homebound, and 13.6% were semihomebound). In adjusted models, female sex (odds ratio [OR], 1.36 [95% CI, 1.35 to 1.37), low-income status or dual eligibility for Medicare and Medicaid (OR, 1.56 [CI, 1.55 to 1.57]), dementia (OR, 2.36 [CI, 2.33 to 2.39]), and moderate to severe frailty (OR, 4.32 [CI, 4.19 to 4.45]) were predictive of homebound status. In multivariable logistic regression, homebound status was associated with increased odds of any emergency department visit (OR, 1.14 [ CI, 1.14 to 1.15]), any inpatient hospital admission (OR, 1.44 [CI, 1.42 to 1.46]), any skilled-nursing facility admission (OR, 2.18 [CI, 2.13 to 2.23]), and death (OR, 2.55 [CI, 2.52 to 2.58]). LIMITATION: The study period overlapped the tail end of the COVID-19 pandemic, and data were derived from a single national MA plan, which limits generalizability. CONCLUSION: Overall homebound prevalence in a national MA plan was 22.0% and was independently associated with increased health service use and mortality. Study findings can inform strategic initiatives to identify and manage care for homebound beneficiaries. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Humana, under a collaborative research agreement with Johns Hopkins University.
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Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar , Pacientes Domiciliares , Medicare Part C , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Feminino , Pacientes Domiciliares/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Medicare Part C/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Estudos Transversais , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar/estatística & dados numéricos , Prevalência , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Vaccines and vaccine boosting have blunted excess morbidity and mortality from severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in older nursing home residents (NHR). However, the impact of repeated vaccination on the T-cell response based on biological sex and prior infection of NHR remain understudied. METHODS: We examined T-cell responses to SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccines in a cohort of NHR and healthcare workers (HCW) over 2 years. We used interferon-γ ELIspot and flow cytometry to assess T-cell response before, 2 weeks, and 6 months after the initial series and each of 2 booster vaccines. We analyzed these data longitudinally with mixed-effect modeling and also examined subsets of our cohorts for additional changes in T-cell effector function. RESULTS: Prior SARS-CoV-2 infection and female sex contributed to higher T-cell response in NHR but not HCW. When looking across time points, NHR but not HCW with prior infection had significantly higher T-cell responses than infection-naive subjects. These patterns of response were maintained across multiple booster vaccinations. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that the age, multimorbidity, and/or frailty of the NHR cohort may accentuate sex and infection status differences in T-cell response to mRNA vaccination.
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Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Casas de Saúde , SARS-CoV-2 , Linfócitos T , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Estudos Longitudinais , Idoso , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Linfócitos T/imunologia , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Vacinas contra COVID-19/imunologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores Sexuais , Vacinação , Imunização Secundária , Adulto , Pessoal de SaúdeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Acute neurological manifestation is a common complication of acute Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) disease. This retrospective cohort study investigated the 3-year outcomes of patients with and without significant neurological manifestations during initial COVID-19 hospitalization. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Patients hospitalized for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection between 03/01/2020 and 4/16/2020 in the Montefiore Health System in the Bronx, an epicenter of the early pandemic, were included. Follow-up data was captured up to 01/23/2023 (3 years post-COVID-19). This cohort consisted of 414 patients with COVID-19 with significant neurological manifestations and 1,199 propensity-matched patients (for age and COVID-19 severity score) with COVID-19 without neurological manifestations. Neurological involvement during the acute phase included acute stroke, new or recrudescent seizures, anatomic brain lesions, presence of altered mentation with evidence for impaired cognition or arousal, and neuro-COVID-19 complex (headache, anosmia, ageusia, chemesthesis, vertigo, presyncope, paresthesias, cranial nerve abnormalities, ataxia, dysautonomia, and skeletal muscle injury with normal orientation and arousal signs). There were no significant group differences in female sex composition (44.93% versus 48.21%, p = 0.249), ICU and IMV status, white, not Hispanic (6.52% versus 7.84%, p = 0.380), and Hispanic (33.57% versus 38.20%, p = 0.093), except black non-Hispanic (42.51% versus 36.03%, p = 0.019). Primary outcomes were mortality, stroke, heart attack, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), reinfection, and hospital readmission post-discharge. Secondary outcomes were neuroimaging findings (hemorrhage, active and prior stroke, mass effect, microhemorrhages, white matter changes, microvascular disease (MVD), and volume loss). More patients in the neurological cohort were discharged to acute rehabilitation (10.39% versus 3.34%, p < 0.001) or skilled nursing facilities (35.75% versus 25.35%, p < 0.001) and fewer to home (50.24% versus 66.64%, p < 0.001) than matched controls. Incidence of readmission for any reason (65.70% versus 60.72%, p = 0.036), stroke (6.28% versus 2.34%, p < 0.001), and MACE (20.53% versus 16.51%, p = 0.032) was higher in the neurological cohort post-discharge. Per Kaplan-Meier univariate survival curve analysis, such patients in the neurological cohort were more likely to die post-discharge compared to controls (hazard ratio: 2.346, (95% confidence interval (CI) [1.586, 3.470]; p < 0.001)). Across both cohorts, the major causes of death post-discharge were heart disease (13.79% neurological, 15.38% control), sepsis (8.63%, 17.58%), influenza and pneumonia (13.79%, 9.89%), COVID-19 (10.34%, 7.69%), and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (10.34%, 6.59%). Factors associated with mortality after leaving the hospital involved the neurological cohort (odds ratio (OR): 1.802 (95% CI [1.237, 2.608]; p = 0.002)), discharge disposition (OR: 1.508 (95% CI [1.276, 1.775]; p < 0.001)), congestive heart failure (OR: 2.281 (95% CI [1.429, 3.593]; p < 0.001)), higher COVID-19 severity score (OR: 1.177 (95% CI [1.062, 1.304]; p = 0.002)), and older age (OR: 1.027 (95% CI [1.010, 1.044]; p = 0.002)). There were no group differences in radiological findings, except that the neurological cohort showed significantly more age-adjusted brain volume loss (p = 0.045) than controls. The study's patient cohort was limited to patients infected with COVID-19 during the first wave of the pandemic, when hospitals were overburdened, vaccines were not yet available, and treatments were limited. Patient profiles might differ when interrogating subsequent waves. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with COVID-19 with neurological manifestations had worse long-term outcomes compared to matched controls. These findings raise awareness and the need for closer monitoring and timely interventions for patients with COVID-19 with neurological manifestations, as their disease course involving initial neurological manifestations is associated with enhanced morbidity and mortality.
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COVID-19 , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Feminino , COVID-19/complicações , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/terapia , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudos Retrospectivos , Seguimentos , Assistência ao Convalescente , Alta do Paciente , Convulsões , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Estimates of excess mortality can provide insight into direct and indirect impacts of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic beyond deaths specifically attributed to COVID-19. We analyzed death certificate data from Baltimore City, Maryland, from March 1, 2020, to March 31, 2021, and found that 1,725 individuals (95% confidence interval: 1,495, 1,954) died in excess of what was expected from all-cause mortality trends in 2016-2019; 1,050 (61%) excess deaths were attributed to COVID-19. Observed mortality was 23%-32% higher than expected among individuals aged 50 years and older. Non-White residents of Baltimore City also experienced 2 to 3 times higher rates of excess mortality than White residents (e.g., 37.4 vs. 10.7 excess deaths per 10,000 population among Black residents vs. White residents). There was little to no observed excess mortality among residents of hospice, long-term care, and nursing home facilities, despite accounting for nearly 30% (312/1,050) of recorded COVID-19 deaths. There was significant geographic variation in excess mortality within the city, largely following racial population distributions. These results demonstrate the substantial and unequal impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Baltimore City residents and the importance of building robust, timely surveillance systems to track disparities and inform targeted strategies to remediate the impact of future epidemics.
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COVID-19 , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Pandemias , Baltimore/epidemiologia , População Negra , Demografia , Mortalidade , Negro ou Afro-AmericanoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Provider and institutional practices have been shown to have a large impact on cancer clinical trial enrollment. Understanding provider perspectives on screening for trial eligibility is necessary to improve enrollment. METHODS: A questionnaire about incentives, barriers, process tools, and infrastructure related to opening trials and referring patients to onsite and offsite trials was administered to diverse stakeholders, including professional societies, advocacy organizations, and industry networks. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize findings. RESULTS: Overall, 693 responses were received, primarily from physicians (42.7%) and nurses (35.6%) employed at hospital health systems (43.7%) and academic centers (36.5%). Approximately half (49.2%) screened all patients for onsite clinical trials with screening typically done by manual chart review (81.9%). The greatest incentive reported for offering trials was providing the best treatment options for patients (67.7%). Contracting and paperwork (48.5%) were the greatest barriers to opening more onsite trials. Offsite referrals were rare. CONCLUSIONS: Screening for trial eligibility is a largely manual and ad hoc process, with screening and referral to offsite trials occurring infrequently. Administrative and infrastructure barriers commonly prevent sites from opening more onsite trials. These findings suggest that automated trial screening tools built into workflows that screen in a site-agnostic manner could result in more frequent trial eligibility screening, especially for offsite trials. With recent momentum, in part in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, to improve clinical trial efficiencies and broaden access and participant diversity, implementing tools to improve screening and referral processes is timely and essential. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: There are many factors that contribute to low adult enrollment in cancer clinical trials, but previous research has indicated that provider and institutional barriers are the largest contributors to low cancer clinical trial enrollment. In this survey, we sought to gain insight into cancer clinical trial enrollment practices from the perspective of health care providers such as physicians and nurses. We found that only approximately half of respondents indicated their institution systematically screens their patients for clinical trials and this process is manual and time consuming. Furthermore, we found that providers infrequently search for and refer patients to clinical trials at other sites. Creating better screening methods could improve enrollment in clinical trials.
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Motivação , Neoplasias , Adulto , Humanos , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Neoplasias/diagnóstico , Neoplasias/terapia , Pandemias , Encaminhamento e Consulta , Inquéritos e Questionários , Ensaios Clínicos como AssuntoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The long-term health consequences of COVID-19 remain largely unclear. The aim of this study was to describe the long-term health consequences of patients with COVID-19 who have been discharged from hospital and investigate the associated risk factors, in particular disease severity. METHODS: We did an ambidirectional cohort study of patients with confirmed COVID-19 who had been discharged from Jin Yin-tan Hospital (Wuhan, China) between Jan 7 and May 29, 2020. Patients who died before follow-up; patients for whom follow-up would be difficult because of psychotic disorders, dementia, or readmission to hospital; those who were unable to move freely due to concomitant osteoarthropathy or immobile before or after discharge due to diseases such as stroke or pulmonary embolism; those who declined to participate; those who could not be contacted; and those living outside of Wuhan or in nursing or welfare homes were all excluded. All patients were interviewed with a series of questionnaires for evaluation of symptoms and health-related quality of life, underwent physical examinations and a 6-min walking test, and received blood tests. A stratified sampling procedure was used to sample patients according to their highest seven-category scale during their hospital stay as 3, 4, and 5-6, to receive pulmonary function test, high resolution CT of the chest, and ultrasonography. Enrolled patients who had participated in the Lopinavir Trial for Suppression of SARS-CoV-2 in China received SARS-CoV-2 antibody tests. Multivariable adjusted linear or logistic regression models were used to evaluate the association between disease severity and long-term health consequences. FINDINGS: In total, 1733 of 2469 discharged patients with COVID-19 were enrolled after 736 were excluded. Patients had a median age of 57·0 years (IQR 47·0-65·0) and 897 (52%) were male and 836 (48%) were female. The follow-up study was done from June 16 to Sept 3, 2020, and the median follow-up time after symptom onset was 186·0 days (175·0-199·0). Fatigue or muscle weakness (52%, 855 of 1654) and sleep difficulties (26%, 437 of 1655) were the most common symptoms. Anxiety or depression was reported among 23% (367 of 1616) of patients. The proportions of 6-min walking distance less than the lower limit of the normal range were 17% for those at severity scale 3, 13% for severity scale 4, and 28% for severity scale 5-6. The corresponding proportions of patients with diffusion impairment were 22% for severity scale 3, 29% for scale 4, and 56% for scale 5-6, and median CT scores were 3·0 (IQR 2·0-5·0) for severity scale 3, 4·0 (3·0-5·0) for scale 4, and 5·0 (4·0-6·0) for scale 5-6. After multivariable adjustment, patients showed an odds ratio (OR) of 1·61 (95% CI 0·80-3·25) for scale 4 versus scale 3 and 4·60 (1·85-11·48) for scale 5-6 versus scale 3 for diffusion impairment; OR 0·88 (0·66-1·17) for scale 4 versus scale 3 and OR 1·76 (1·05-2·96) for scale 5-6 versus scale 3 for anxiety or depression, and OR 0·87 (0·68-1·11) for scale 4 versus scale 3 and 2·75 (1·61-4·69) for scale 5-6 versus scale 3 for fatigue or muscle weakness. Of 94 patients with blood antibodies tested at follow-up, the seropositivity (96·2% vs 58·5%) and median titres (19·0 vs 10·0) of the neutralising antibodies were significantly lower compared with at the acute phase. 107 of 822 participants without acute kidney injury and with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 or more at acute phase had eGFR less than 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 at follow-up. INTERPRETATION: At 6 months after acute infection, COVID-19 survivors were mainly troubled with fatigue or muscle weakness, sleep difficulties, and anxiety or depression. Patients who were more severely ill during their hospital stay had more severe impaired pulmonary diffusion capacities and abnormal chest imaging manifestations, and are the main target population for intervention of long-term recovery. FUNDING: National Natural Science Foundation of China, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences, National Key Research and Development Program of China, Major Projects of National Science and Technology on New Drug Creation and Development of Pulmonary Tuberculosis, and Peking Union Medical College Foundation.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Distúrbios do Início e da Manutenção do Sono , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , COVID-19/complicações , SARS-CoV-2 , Alta do Paciente , Estudos de Coortes , Seguimentos , Qualidade de Vida , FadigaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The number of children and young people (CYP) diagnosed with mental health problems has increased over the past decade. The COVID-19 pandemic also has accelerated this increase, raising significant concerns about adolescent emotional wellbeing. Research suggests that adolescents who live in more deprived areas are more likely to experience poor emotional wellbeing. Children in the northwest of England are among those with the poorest outcomes in the UK. We aimed to investigate the association between deprivation and mental health outcomes from 2019 to 2022. The aim was to support local authorities with targeted provision of public health services as well as predicting service need for 2022 onwards. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, we analysed routinely collected Schools Health Needs Assessment (SHNA) data. The School Health Needs Assessment dataset contained 32 676 responses from Year 6 (ages 10-11 years) and Year 9 (ages 13-14 years) who completed the annual survey in 2019-22. The questionnaire was offered to all mainstream schools, delivered by the public health school nursing service. Index of multiple deprivation (IMD) data were provided for household postcodes. Data were analysed using IBM SPSS. Factor analysis created a composite emotional wellbeing scale (EWS) and estimates generated by school year (Years 6 and 9) and three academic years (2019-22). We calculated correlations between IMD and EWS overall and within school and academic year samples. FINDINGS: The final total sample across the three consecutive survey years and the two school years was 32â659. The sample consisted of 15â932 (49%) female students and 5066 (16%) students who registered at school as from an ethnic minority. Of the total sample, 9209 (28%) lived in a postcode in the most deprived IMD quintile in England. There was an overall decrease in EWS from Year 6 to Year 9 and from 2019 to 2022. The Year 6 students in 2022 reported mean levels of EWS equivalent to Year 9 students in 2019 indicating a shift toward poorer mental health in younger children. The correlational analyses showed no significant associations between IMD and EWS scores within the school or academic year cohorts. A follow-up analysis of children in receipt or not in receipt of free school meals also showed no significant association with EWS scores. INTERPRETATION: Findings showed that the emotional wellbeing of children and young people in the northwest of England has deteriorated since 2019, with greatest changes observed in the younger cohort of children in Year 6. This was not explained by postcode-based indices of multiple deprivation. Although it is recognised that deprivation is both a cause and a result of poor mental health, policy decisions on service provision for children and young people should not be based solely on IMD or receipt of free school meals. A rapid response is required to address the decline in emotional wellbeing currently observed in younger children of the northwest of England. FUNDING: None.
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COVID-19 , Etnicidade , Criança , Humanos , Adolescente , Feminino , Masculino , Estudos Transversais , Pandemias , Grupos Minoritários/psicologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de SaúdeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: This paper investigates the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality and hospitalization among nursing home residents in Norway. While existing evidence shows that nursing home residents were overrepresented among COVID-19-related deaths, suggesting inadequate protection measures, this study argues that the observed overrepresentation in mortality and hospitalization may partly stem from the inherent frailty of this demographic. Using nationwide administrative data, we assessed excess deaths and hospitalization by comparing pandemic-era rates to those of a pre-pandemic cohort. METHODS: We compared mortality and hospitalization rates between a pandemic cohort of nursing home residents as of September 2019 (N = 30,052), and a pre-pandemic cohort as of September 2017 (N = 30,429). Both cohorts were followed monthly for two years, beginning in September 2019 and 2017, respectively. This analysis was conducted at the national level and separately for nursing home residents in areas with low, medium, and high SARS-CoV-2 community transmission. Event studies and difference-in-difference models allowed us to separate the impact of the pandemic on mortality and hospitalization from secular and seasonal changes. RESULTS: The pandemic cohort experienced a non-significant 0.07 percentage points (95% confidence interval (CI): - 0.081 to 0.221) increase in all-cause mortality during the 18 months following pandemic onset, compared to the pre-pandemic cohort. Moreover, our findings indicate a substantial reduction in hospitalizations of 0.27 percentage points (95% CI: - 0.464 to - 0.135) and a non-significant decrease of 0.80 percentage points (95% CI: - 2.529 to 0.929) in the proportion of nursing home residents hospitalized before death. The effect on mortality remained consistent across regions with both high and low levels of SARS-CoV-2 community transmission. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate no clear evidence of excess all-cause mortality in Norway during the pandemic, neither nationally nor in areas with high infection rates. This suggests that early implementation of nationwide and nursing home-specific infection control measures during the pandemic effectively protected nursing home residents. Furthermore, our results revealed a decrease in hospitalizations, both overall and prior to death, suggesting that nursing homes adhered to national guidelines promoting on-site treatment for residents.
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COVID-19 , Hospitalização , Casas de Saúde , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Casas de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Noruega/epidemiologia , Masculino , Idoso , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , SARS-CoV-2 , Sistema de Registros , PandemiasRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Long-term deterioration in the mental health of healthcare workers (HCWs) has been reported during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Determining the impact of COVID-19 incidence and mortality rates on the mental health of HCWs is essential to prepare for potential new pandemics. This study aimed to investigate the association of COVID-19 incidence and mortality rates with depressive symptoms over 2 years among HCWs in 20 countries during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: This was a multi-country serial cross-sectional study using data from the first and second survey waves of the COVID-19 HEalth caRe wOrkErS (HEROES) global study. The HEROES study prospectively collected data from HCWs at various health facilities. The target population included HCWs with both clinical and non-clinical roles. In most countries, healthcare centers were recruited based on convenience sampling. As an independent variable, daily COVID-19 incidence and mortality rates were calculated using confirmed cases and deaths reported by Johns Hopkins University. These rates represent the average for the 7 days preceding the participants' response date. The primary outcome was depressive symptoms, assessed by the Patient Health Questionnaire-9. A multilevel linear mixed model (LMM) was conducted to investigate the association of depressive symptoms with the average incidence and mortality rates. RESULTS: A total of 32,223 responses from the participants who responded to all measures used in this study on either the first or second survey, and on both the first and second surveys in 20 countries were included in the analysis. The mean age was 40.1 (SD = 11.1), and 23,619 responses (73.3%) were from females. The 9323 responses (28.9%) were nurses and 9119 (28.3%) were physicians. LMM showed that the incidence rate was significantly and positively associated with depressive symptoms (coefficient = 0.008, standard error 0.003, p = 0.003). The mortality rate was significantly and positively associated with depressive symptoms (coefficient = 0.049, se = 0.020, p = 0.017). CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to show an association between COVID-19 incidence and mortality rates with depressive symptoms among HCWs during the first 2 years of the outbreak in multiple countries. This study's findings indicate that additional mental health support for HCWs was needed when the COVID-19 incidence and mortality rates increase during and after the early phase of the pandemic, and these findings may apply to future pandemics. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT04352634.
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COVID-19 , Depressão , Pessoal de Saúde , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/psicologia , Estudos Transversais , Pessoal de Saúde/psicologia , Depressão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Incidência , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To assess COVID-19 vaccination rates in ICU-healthcare providers (HCPs) in France and to identify the typology of those who delayed or declined vaccination. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: Twenty-one ICUs in France. SUBJECTS: Members of the nursing and medical staff and other allied professionals. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Six hundred ninety-six of the 950 respondents (73.3%) had undergone a full vaccination schedule. Other HCPs either declined vaccination ( n = 112) or delayed vaccination until it became mandatory ( n = 142). Factors independently associated with full vaccination were age older than 50 years (odds ratio, 0.25 [95% CI, 0.12-0.51]), more than 5 years of ICU experience (0.66 [0.47-0.93]), increasing working time during the surge (0.94 [0.88-1.00]), and spending time with the family (0.92 [0.85-0.99]). Conversely, being a nurse (1.94 [1.25-2.99]) or a nurse assistant (2.77 [1.62-4.73]), and feeling not supported by hospital and ICU directors (1.49 [1.01-2.20]) was independently associated with not being vaccinated. CONCLUSIONS: These results are important to take into account to better implement vaccination strategies in HCPs for existing or future pandemics.
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Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Transversais , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Pessoal de Saúde , Vacinação , Unidades de Terapia IntensivaRESUMO
IMPORTANCE: SARS-CoV-2 is a new virus responsible for the Covid-19 pandemic. Although SARS-CoV-2 primarily affects the lungs, other organs are infected. Alterations of testosteronemia and spermatozoa motility in infected men have raised questions about testicular infection, along with high level in the testis of ACE2, the main receptor used by SARS-CoV-2 to enter host cells. Using an organotypic culture of human testis, we found that SARS-CoV-2 replicated with slow kinetics in the testis. The virus first targeted testosterone-producing Leydig cells and then germ-cell nursing Sertoli cells. After a peak followed by the upregulation of antiviral effectors, viral replication in the testis decreased and did not induce any major damage to the tissue. Altogether, our data show that SARS-CoV-2 replicates in the human testis to a limited extent and suggest that testicular damages in infected patients are more likely to result from systemic infection and inflammation than from viral replication in the testis.
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SARS-CoV-2 , Testículo , Replicação Viral , Humanos , Masculino , SARS-CoV-2/fisiologia , Testículo/virologia , Células Intersticiais do Testículo/virologia , Células de Sertoli/virologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Over the last two decades, inherited cardiac conditions (ICC) centres have emerged with the aim of improving outcomes for patients and their families, through early diagnosis, genetic testing, risk assessment and specialist treatment. SOURCES OF DATA: A literature search was performed using PubMed (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/). Commissioned ICC service reviews from NHS England, NHS Improvement and PHG Foundation were evaluated. AREAS OF AGREEMENT: ICC patient management requires a multi-disciplinary approach. ICC services are predominantly based within tertiary centres. Despite expansion, provision of care remains inadequate to meet rising demands. Access to services is inconsistent, partly due to geographic variation and lack of standardized pathways. AREAS OF CONTROVERSY: The optimal ICC care model remains undecided, although there is growing interest in 'hub-and-spoke' networks, which could aid secondary and tertiary service integration and repatriation of care. GROWING POINTS: Genetic mainstreaming is a priority for the Genomic Medicine Service Alliance. The benefits of telehealth and virtual clinics have been validated by their use during the COVID-19 pandemic. Other innovations to improve resource efficiency, such as clinical scientist-led and nurse-led clinics, show promise. AREAS TIMELY FOR DEVELOPING RESEARCH: An update for the NHS ICC service specifications is planned that appears well timed given the rapid evolution of the ICC landscape in the decade since last review. This has the potential to address needs including national audit, standardized pathways and ICC networks to improve governance and equity of care. Delegation of commissioning for specialist services to integrated care systems may also provide opportunity for increased regional direction.
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COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Medicina Estatal/organização & administração , SARS-CoV-2 , Cardiopatias/terapia , Testes Genéticos , Reino Unido , Telemedicina/organização & administraçãoRESUMO
Human norovirus is a major cause of viral gastroenteritis in all age groups. The virus is constantly and rapidly changing, allowing mutations and recombination events to create great diversity of circulating viruses. With the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, a wide range of public health measures were introduced worldwide to control human-to-human transmission of SARS-CoV-2. In Germany, control measures such as distance rules, contact restrictions, personal protection equipment as well as intensive hand hygiene were introduced. To better understand the effect of the measures to control the COVID-19 pandemic on incidence and the molecular epidemiological dynamics of norovirus outbreaks in Germany, we analyzed national notification data between July 2017 and December 2022 and characterized norovirus sequences circulating between January 2018 and December 2022. Compared to a reference period before the pandemic, the incidence of notified norovirus gastroenteritis decreased by 89.7% to 9.6 per 100,000 during the 2020/2021 norovirus season, corresponding to an incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 0.10. Samples from 539 outbreaks were genotyped in two regions of the viral genome from pre-pandemic (January 2018 to February 2020) and samples from 208 outbreaks during pandemic time period (March 2020 to December 2022). As expected, norovirus outbreaks were mainly found in child care facilities and nursing homes. In total, 36 genotypes were detected in the study period. A high proportion of recombinant strains (86%) was found in patients, the proportion of detected recombinant viruses did not vary between the pre-pandemic and pandemic phase. The proportion of the predominant recombinant strain GII.4 Sydney[P16] was unchanged before pandemic and during pandemic at 37.5%. The diversity of most common genotypes in nursing homes and child care facilities showed a different proportion of genotypes causing outbreaks. In nursing homes as well as in child care facilities GII.4 Sydney[P16] was predominant during the whole study period. Compared to the nursing homes, a greater variety of genotypes at the expense of GII.4 Sydney[P16] was detected in child care facilities. Furthermore, the overall proportion of recombinant strain GII.3[P12] increased during the pandemic, due to outbreaks in child care facilities. The COVID-19 pandemic had a high impact on the occurrence of sporadic cases and norovirus outbreaks in Germany, leading to a near suppression of the typical norovirus winter season following the start of the pandemic. The number of norovirus-associated outbreak samples sent to the Consultant Laboratory dropped by 63% during the pandemic. We could not identify a clear influence on circulating norovirus genotypes. The dominance of GII.4 Sydney recombinant strains was independent from the pandemic. Further studies are needed to follow up on the diversity of less predominant genotypes to see if the pandemic could have acted as a bottleneck to the spread of previously minoritized genotypes like GII.3[P12].
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COVID-19 , Infecções por Caliciviridae , Gastroenterite , Norovirus , Humanos , Gastroenterite/epidemiologia , Norovirus/genética , Pandemias , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Infecções por Caliciviridae/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Genótipo , Surtos de Doenças , FilogeniaRESUMO
The aim of this study was to evaluate whether community-level monitoring of respiratory and enteric viruses in wastewater can provide a comprehensive picture of local virus circulation. Wastewater samples were collected weekly at the wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) inlet and at the outlet of a nearby nursing home (NH) in Burgundy, France, during the winter period of 2022/2023. We searched for the pepper mild mottle virus as an indicator of fecal content as well as for the main respiratory viruses [severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), influenza, and respiratory syncytial virus] and enteric viruses (rotavirus, sapovirus, norovirus, astrovirus, and adenovirus). Samples were analyzed using real-time reverse transcription PCR-based methods. SARS-CoV-2 was the most frequently detected respiratory virus, with 66.7% of positive samples from the WWTP and 28.6% from the NH. Peaks of SARS-CoV-2 were consistent with the chronological incidence of infections recorded in the sentinel surveillance and the nearby hospital databases. The number of positive samples was lower in the NH than in WWTP for the three respiratory viruses. Enteric viruses were frequently detected, most often sapovirus and norovirus genogroup II, accounting both for 77.8% of positive samples in the WWTP and 57.1% and 37%, respectively, in the NH. The large circulation of sapovirus was unexpected in particular in the NH. Combined wastewater surveillance using simple optimized methods can be a valuable tool for monitoring viral circulation and may serve as a suitable early warning system for identifying both local outbreaks and the onset of epidemics. These results encourage the application of wastewater-based surveillance (WBS) to SARS-CoV2, norovirus, and sapovirus.IMPORTANCEWBS provides valuable information on the spread of epidemic viruses in the environment using appropriate and sensitive detection methods. By monitoring the circulation of viruses using reverse transcription PCR methods in wastewater from the inlet of a wastewater treatment plant and the outlet of a nearby retirement home (connected to the same collective sewer network), we aimed to demonstrate that implementing combined WBS at key community sites allows effective detection of the occurrence of respiratory (influenza, respiratory syncytial virus, and SARS-CoV-2) and enteric (norovirus, rotavirus, and sapovirus) virus infections within a given population. This analysis on a localized scale provided new information on the viral circulation in the two different sites. Implementing WBS to monitor the circulation or the emergence of infectious diseases is an important means of alerting the authorities and improving public health management. WBS could participate actively to the health of humans, animals, and the environment.
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Casas de Saúde , SARS-CoV-2 , Águas Residuárias , Águas Residuárias/virologia , SARS-CoV-2/genética , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , França , Humanos , Norovirus/isolamento & purificação , Norovirus/genética , COVID-19/virologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Enterovirus/isolamento & purificação , Enterovirus/genética , Sapovirus/isolamento & purificação , Sapovirus/genética , Tobamovirus/isolamento & purificação , Tobamovirus/genética , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Vírus/isolamento & purificação , Vírus/classificação , Vírus/genéticaRESUMO
The effect of COVID-19 booster vaccination on SARS-CoV-2 T-cell mediated immune responses in elderly nursing home residents has not been explored in depth. Thirty-nine elderly nursing home residents (median age, 91 years) were included, all fully vaccinated with mRNA vaccines. The frequency of and the integrated mean fluorescence (iMFI) for peripheral blood SARS-CoV-2-Spike reactive IFN-γ-producing CD4+ or CD8+ T cells before and after the first (Pre-3D and Post-3D) and second (Pre-4D and Post-4D) vaccine booster doses was determined using flow cytometry for an intracellular staining method. 3D increased significantly (p = 0.01) the percentage of participants displaying detectable SARS-CoV-2-T-cell responses compared with pre-3D (97% vs. 74%). The magnitude of the increase was statistically significant for CD8+ T cells (p = 0.007) but not for CD4+ T cells (p = 0.77). A trend towards higher frequencies of peripheral blood SARS-CoV-2-CD8+ T cells was observed post-3D compared with pre-3D (p = 0.06). The percentage of participants with detectable SARS-S-CoV-2 CD4+ T-cell responses decreased post-4D (p = 0.035). Following 4D, a nonsignificant decrease in the frequencies of both T cell subsets was noticed (p = 0.94 for CD8+ T cells and p = 0.06 for CD4+ T cells). iMFI data mirrored that of T-cell frequencies. The kinetics of SARS-CoV-2 CD8+ and CD4+ T cells following receipt of 3D and 4D were comparable across SARS-CoV-2-experienced and -naïve participants and between individuals receiving a homologous or heterologous vaccine booster. 3D increased the percentage of elderly nursing home residents displaying detectable SARS-CoV-2 T-cell responses but had a marginal effect on T-cell frequencies. The impact of 4D on SARS-CoV-2 T-cell responses was negligible; whether this was due to suboptimal priming or rapid waning could not be ascertained.
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Linfócitos T CD4-Positivos , Linfócitos T CD8-Positivos , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Imunização Secundária , Casas de Saúde , SARS-CoV-2 , Glicoproteína da Espícula de Coronavírus , Humanos , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Masculino , Glicoproteína da Espícula de Coronavírus/imunologia , Feminino , Linfócitos T CD8-Positivos/imunologia , COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Linfócitos T CD4-Positivos/imunologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/imunologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Idoso , Interferon gama , Vacinas de mRNARESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the feasibility of conducting a cohort randomized controlled trial (RCT) of a nurse-led package of care for knee pain and determining a treatment sequence for use in a future trial. METHODS: This study was an open-label, three-arm, single-centre, mixed-methods, feasibility cohort RCT. Adults aged ≥40 years with moderate-to-severe knee pain for ≥3 months were eligible. Participants were randomized into group A (non-pharmacological treatment first), group B (pharmacological treatment first), or group C (usual care). The intervention was delivered over 26 weeks. Outcomes were dropout rate, recruitment rate, intervention fidelity, ability to collect outcome data, and treatment acceptability. RESULTS: Seventeen participants were randomized and enrolled into each of groups A and B (5.2% recruitment rate), and 174 participants were randomized to group C. The participant characteristics at randomization were comparable across the three arms. Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) paused the study from March-November 2020. Participants enrolled in groups A and B before March 2020 were withdrawn at the restart. Of the 20 participants enrolled after the restart, 18 completed the study (10% dropout). The nurse reported delivering most aspects of the intervention with high fidelity. The participants viewed the package of care as structured, supportive and holistic, they learnt about self-managing knee pain, and they could engage with and follow the non-pharmacological treatment. Most found the non-pharmacological treatment more useful than the pharmacological treatment, preferring to receive it before or alongside analgesia. Many self-report questionnaires were not fully completed. CONCLUSION: The nurse-led package of care for knee pain was acceptable, with low dropout, although the cohort RCT design may not be feasible for a definitive trial. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, https://clinicaltrials.gov, NCT03670706.
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Estudos de Viabilidade , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Articulação do Joelho , Artralgia/terapia , Artralgia/enfermagem , COVID-19/enfermagem , Adulto , Estudos de Coortes , Manejo da Dor/métodos , SARS-CoV-2 , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Prior work suggests that psychological resilience to trauma may protect not only mental but also physical health. This study examined the relationship of prepandemic psychological resilience to lifetime trauma with self-reported COVID-19 infection and symptoms during the early years of the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: Data are from 18,670 longitudinal cohort participants in the Nurses' Health Study II. Based on prior evidence that trauma and subsequent distress can increase infection risk and severity, and that psychological assets may offset this risk, we hypothesized higher versus lower psychological resilience to prior trauma would be associated with lower risk for COVID-19 infection. Prepandemic resilience was assessed via self-report between 2017 and 2019 based on self-reported lifetime trauma exposure and psychological health. COVID-19 infection and symptoms were self-reported on seven questionnaires administered between May 2020 and October 2021, from which we derived a composite outcome measure of probable COVID-19 infection, defined as having 3+ COVID-19 symptoms (out of 9) and/or a positive COVID-19 test result at any single assessment. RESULTS: Multivariable regression revealed significant associations between higher prepandemic resilience scores and lower risk for probable COVID-19 infection, adjusting for sociodemographic and COVID-19-related risk factors (risk ratio [RR] = 0.90 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 0.87-0.93]). Considering subcomponents of the composite COVID-19 infection measure separately, prepandemic resilience was significantly associated with lower risk of reported symptoms (RR = 0.83 [95% CI, 0.79-0.88]), but not with a positive test result alone (RR = 0.96 [95% CI, 0.91-1.01]). CONCLUSION: Identifying protective factors for infection risk may help inform psychosocial interventions to improve health outcomes.