Albuminuria improves R2CHA2DS2-VASc score in predicting mortality in high cardiovascular risk population.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The CHA2DS2-VASc score estimates the risk of cardioembolism in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). It also predicts vascular events and death in different clinical settings, even in the absence of AF. The R2CHA2DS2-VASc score, obtained by adding the glomerular filtration rate to CHA2DS2-VASc, shows a higher prediction ability for new events and all-cause mortality. The present study aims to assess whether the addition of albuminuria to R2CHA2DS2-VASc score further improves its discrimination ability in predicting all-cause mortality in a sample of high cardiovascular risk population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Prospective, monocentric, observational study, evaluating a subset of 737 subjects consecutively undergoing to coronary angiography at Coronary Unit of Scientific Institute "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza" from June 2016 to December 2018. The presence of albuminuria was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (p < 0.0001). Any one-point increase of Alb-R2CHA2DS2-VASc score increased mortality of about 1.5-fold (adjusted HR 1.49; 95%CI 1.37-1.63; p < 0.0001). Considering tertiles of Alb-R2CHA2DS2-VASc, the third tertile showed a 9.5-fold increased risk of mortality (HR 9.52; 95% CI 5.15-17.60, p < 0.001). Comparing the two scores, the Alb-R2CHA2DS2-VASc score (C-statistic = 0.751; 95%CI 0.69-0.81) outperformed the R2-CHA2DS2-VASc score (C-statistic = 0.736; 95%CI 0.68-0.961) in predicting mortality (delta C-statistic = 0.015; 95%CI 0.001-0.029). The better prediction ability of the Alb-R2CHA2DS2-VASc score was also proven by an IDI of 0.024 (p < 0.0001) and a relative IDI of 24.11% (p < 0.0001), with an NRI = 0.608 (p < 0.00001). CONCLUSIONS: The addition of albuminuria to R2CHA2DS2-VASc significantly and independently predicts the risk of all-cause mortality in a sample of high CV risk patients. Moreover, Alb-R2CHA2DS2-VASc outperforms R2CHA2DS2-VASc.