Predicting critical transitions in multiscale dynamical systems using reservoir computing.
Chaos
; 30(12): 123126, 2020 Dec.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-33380032
ABSTRACT
We study the problem of predicting rare critical transition events for a class of slow-fast nonlinear dynamical systems. The state of the system of interest is described by a slow process, whereas a faster process drives its evolution and induces critical transitions. By taking advantage of recent advances in reservoir computing, we present a data-driven method to predict the future evolution of the state. We show that our method is capable of predicting a critical transition event at least several numerical time steps in advance. We demonstrate the success as well as the limitations of our method using numerical experiments on three examples of systems, ranging from low dimensional to high dimensional. We discuss the mathematical and broader implications of our results.
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Bases de datos:
MEDLINE
Tipo de estudio:
Prognostic_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Chaos
Asunto de la revista:
CIENCIA
Año:
2020
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
Suecia