[Prediction of the potential distribution of Tibetan medicinal Lycium ruthenicum in context of climate change].
Zhongguo Zhong Yao Za Zhi
; 42(14): 2659-2669, 2017 Jul.
Article
em Zh
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-29098819
ABSTRACT
To predict the suitable distribution patterns of Lycium ruthenicum in the present and future under the background of climate change, and provide reference for the resources sustainable utilization and GAP standardized planting. The software of Maxent and ArcGis was used to predict the potential suitable regions and grades of L. ruthenicum in China based on the 149 distribution information, climate data of contemporary (1950-2000) and future (20-80 decade of 21 century), and considering of three greenhouse gaseous emission scenario. The results showed thatï¼the suitable distribution regions of L. ruthenicum are mainly concentrated in Xinjiang, Qinghai, Gansu, Neimenggu, and Ningxia province in present. In addition, Shaanxi, Shanxi and Xizang are also distribution regions.The suitable distribution area of L. ruthenicum is 284.506 949×104 km2, accounted for 29.6% of the land area of China.The relatively stable area of the suitable regions accounted for 25.2% of the total suitable region area.Under the background of climate change, compared with contemporary, the total area of suitable region is reducing and moderately suitable area is increasing at different degree at the 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80 decade of 21 century. Climate change both can change the total area of suitable regions and habitat suitability of L. ruthenicum. It could provide a strategic guidance for protection, development and utilization of L. ruthenicum though the prediction of potential suitable regions distribution of L. ruthenicum based on the mainly factor of climate change.
Palavras-chave
Texto completo:
1
Bases de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Plantas Medicinais
/
Mudança Climática
/
Lycium
Tipo de estudo:
Prognostic_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
País/Região como assunto:
Asia
Idioma:
Zh
Revista:
Zhongguo Zhong Yao Za Zhi
Assunto da revista:
FARMACOLOGIA
/
TERAPIAS COMPLEMENTARES
Ano de publicação:
2017
Tipo de documento:
Article
País de afiliação:
China