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A round Earth for climate models.
Prather, Michael J; Hsu, Juno C.
Afiliação
  • Prather MJ; Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697-3100 mprather@uci.edu.
  • Hsu JC; Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697-3100.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 116(39): 19330-19335, 2019 09 24.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31501341
ABSTRACT
Sunlight drives the Earth's weather, climate, chemistry, and biosphere. Recent efforts to improve solar heating codes in climate models focused on more accurate treatment of the absorption spectrum or fractional clouds. A mostly forgotten assumption in climate models is that of a flat Earth atmosphere. Spherical atmospheres intercept 2.5 W⋅m-2 more sunlight and heat the climate by an additional 1.5 W⋅m-2 globally. Such a systematic shift, being comparable to the radiative forcing change from preindustrial to present, is likely to produce a discernible climate shift that would alter a model's skill in simulating current climate. Regional heating errors, particularly at high latitudes, are several times larger. Unlike flat atmospheres, constituents in a spherical atmosphere, such as clouds and aerosols, alter the total amount of energy received by the Earth. To calculate the net cooling of aerosols in a spherical framework, one must count the increases in both incident and reflected sunlight, thus reducing the aerosol effect by 10 to 14% relative to using just the increase in reflected. Simple fixes to the current flat Earth climate models can correct much of this oversight, although some inconsistencies will remain.
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Texto completo: 1 Bases de dados: MEDLINE Idioma: En Revista: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Ano de publicação: 2019 Tipo de documento: Article

Texto completo: 1 Bases de dados: MEDLINE Idioma: En Revista: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Ano de publicação: 2019 Tipo de documento: Article