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Global modeling of nature's contributions to people.
Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca; Sharp, Richard P; Weil, Charlotte; Bennett, Elena M; Pascual, Unai; Arkema, Katie K; Brauman, Kate A; Bryant, Benjamin P; Guerry, Anne D; Haddad, Nick M; Hamann, Maike; Hamel, Perrine; Johnson, Justin A; Mandle, Lisa; Pereira, Henrique M; Polasky, Stephen; Ruckelshaus, Mary; Shaw, M Rebecca; Silver, Jessica M; Vogl, Adrian L; Daily, Gretchen C.
Afiliação
  • Chaplin-Kramer R; Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA. bchaplin@stanford.edu.
  • Sharp RP; Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA.
  • Weil C; Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
  • Bennett EM; Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
  • Pascual U; Department of Natural Resource Sciences, McGill University, Sainte-Anne-de-Bellevue, Québec H9X 3V9, Canada.
  • Arkema KK; Basque Centre for Climate Change, Scientific Campus of the University of the Basque Country, 48940 Leioa, Bilbao, Spain.
  • Brauman KA; Basque Foundation for Science, Ikerbasque, 48013 Bilbao, Spain.
  • Bryant BP; Centre for Development and Environment, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland.
  • Guerry AD; Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
  • Haddad NM; School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
  • Hamann M; Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA.
  • Hamel P; Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
  • Johnson JA; Water in the West, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
  • Mandle L; Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
  • Pereira HM; School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
  • Polasky S; Kellogg Biological Station, Department of Integrative Biology, Hickory Corners, MI 49060, USA.
  • Ruckelshaus M; Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA.
  • Shaw MR; Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA.
  • Silver JM; Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
  • Vogl AL; Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA.
  • Daily GC; Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
Science ; 366(6462): 255-258, 2019 10 11.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31601772
ABSTRACT
The magnitude and pace of global change demand rapid assessment of nature and its contributions to people. We present a fine-scale global modeling of current status and future scenarios for several contributions water quality regulation, coastal risk reduction, and crop pollination. We find that where people's needs for nature are now greatest, nature's ability to meet those needs is declining. Up to 5 billion people face higher water pollution and insufficient pollination for nutrition under future scenarios of land use and climate change, particularly in Africa and South Asia. Hundreds of millions of people face heightened coastal risk across Africa, Eurasia, and the Americas. Continued loss of nature poses severe threats, yet these can be reduced 3- to 10-fold under a sustainable development scenario.
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Texto completo: 1 Bases de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Qualidade da Água / Produtos Agrícolas / Natureza / Polinização / Modelos Teóricos Limite: Humans País/Região como assunto: Africa / Asia / Europa Idioma: En Revista: Science Ano de publicação: 2019 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Estados Unidos
Texto completo
Adicionar na Minha BVS
Imprimir
XML
PubMed Links
Buscar no Google

Texto completo: 1 Bases de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Qualidade da Água / Produtos Agrícolas / Natureza / Polinização / Modelos Teóricos Limite: Humans País/Região como assunto: Africa / Asia / Europa Idioma: En Revista: Science Ano de publicação: 2019 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Estados Unidos