Outcomes of liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma in donation after circulatory death compared with donation after brain death: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Due to organ shortages, liver transplantation (LT) using donation-after-circulatory-death (DCD) grafts has become more common. There is limited and conflicting evidence on LT outcomes using DCD grafts compared to those using donation-after-brain death (DBD) grafts for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to summarize the current evidence on the outcomes of DCD-LT and DBD-LT in patients with HCC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Online databases were searched for studies comparing DCD-LT and DBD-LT outcomes in patients with HCC and a meta-analysis was conducted using fixed- or random-effects models. RESULTS: Five studies involving 487 (33.4%) HCC DCD-LT patients and 973 (66.6%) DBD-LT patients were included. The meta-analysis showed comparable 1-year [relative risk (RR)=0.99, 95%CI:0.95 to 1.03, p=0.53] and 3-year [RR=0.99, 95%CI:0.89 to 1.09, p=0.79] recurrence-free survival. The corresponding 1-year [RR=0.98, 95%CI:0.93 to 1.03, p=0.35] and 3-year [RR=0.94, 95%CI:0.87 to 1.01, p=0.08] patient survival and 1-year [RR=0.91, 95%CI:0.71 to 1.16, p=0.43] and 3-year [RR=0.92, 95%CI:0.67 to 1.26, p=0.59] graft survival were also comparable. There were no significant differences between the two cohorts regarding the tumor characteristics, donor/recipient risk factors and the incidence of post-operative complications, including acute rejection, primary non-function, biliary complications and retransplantation. CONCLUSIONS: Based on the current evidence, it has been found that comparable outcomes can be achieved in HCC patients using DCD-LT compared to DBD-LT, particularly when employing good quality graft, strict donor and recipient selection, and effective surgical management. The decision to utilize DCD-LT for HCC patients should be personalized, taking into consideration the risk of post-LT HCC recurrence. (PROSPERO ID: CRD42023445812).

Systematic review: risk prediction models for recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation.

Recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver transplantation (LT) is a significant clinical problem associated with poor surgical outcomes. This study aims to summarize the current evidence on risk prediction models of HCC recurrence after LT. PubMed and EMBASE were searched to May 25, 2019, for relevant articles. Studies originally designed to develop or validate a risk prediction model for HCC recurrence after LT were included. Two independent authors summarized the study characteristics and evaluated the risk of bias and applicability concerns in the included studies. From 26 included studies, 18 original risk prediction models were determined, but only five models were externally validated. The average number of predictors involved in the construction of risk models was three. The most frequently employed predictors were alpha-fetoprotein, tumor size, vascular invasion, tumor number, tumor differentiation, and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio. Most studies showed good discriminatory performance (AUC >0.75). The overall quality of the included studies was generally low. Most of the original models lacked the highly recommended external and prospective validation in diverse populations. The AFP model was the well-validated preoperative risk model that can stratify patients into high- and low-risk groups.

Preoperative risk stratification for early recurrence of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma after deceased donor liver transplantation: a five-eight model development and validation.

BACKGROUND: Early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver transplantation (LT) is associated with poor surgical outcomes. This study aims to construct a preoperative model to predict individual risk of post-LT HCC recurrence. METHODS: Data of 748 adult patients who underwent deceased donor LT for HCC between January 2015, and February 2019 were collected retrospectively from the China Liver Transplant Registry database and randomly divided into training (n = 486) and validation(n = 262) cohorts. A multivariate analysis was performed and the five-eight model was developed. RESULTS: A total of 748 patients were included in the study; of them, 96% had hepatitis B virus (HBV) and 84% had cirrhosis. Pre-LT serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), tumor number and largest tumor diameter were incorporated to construct the 5-8 model which can stratify patients accurately according to their risk of recurrence into three prognostic subgroups; low-(0-5 points), medium-(6-8 points) and high-risk (> 8 points) with 2-year post-LT recurrence rate of (5,20 and 51%,p <  0.001) respectively. The 5-8 model was better than Milan, Hangzhou, and AFP-model for prediction of HCC early recurrence. These findings were confirmed by the results of the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The 5-8 model is a simple validated and accurate tool for preoperative stratification of early recurrence of HCC after LT.

Comparative Analysis of Donor Liver Allograft Outcomes in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Who Underwent Liver Transplant.

OBJECTIVES: Liver transplant for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma involves 3 main types of donor allografts: donation after brain death, donation after cardiac death, and donation after brain and cardiac death. Data on this topic are limited, and controversies exist regarding liver transplant outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma patients who have received these allografts. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from 490 hepatocellular carcinoma patients who received liver transplant from 2015 to 2021 at the Shulan (Hangzhou) Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Participants were divided into 3 cohorts according to allograft type: donation after brain death, donation after cardiac death, and donation after brain and cardiac death. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression methods were used to evaluate patient survival, graft survival, and recurrence-free survival rates after liver transplant. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that 3-year patient survival rates were 69.2% for donations after brain death, 69.2% for donations after cardiac death, and 46.6% for donations after brain and cardiac death (P = .42); the 3-year graft survival rates were 53.3% for donations after brain death, 56.4% for donations after cardiac death, and 46.6% for donations after brain and cardiac death (P = .44); and 3-year recurrence-free survival rates were 55% for donations after brain death, 56.6% for donations after cardiac death, and 39.5% for donations after brain and cardiac death (P = .46). Complications were also similar across the 3 cohorts (P = .36). Multivariable analysis showed that intraoperative red blood cell transfusion (hazard ratio: 1.820; P = .042) and early allograft dysfunction (hazard ratio: 3.240; P = .041) were independent risk factors for graft survival. CONCLUSIONS: Similar outcomes can be achieved for hepatocellular carcinoma patients who undergo liver transplant with donations after brain death, donations after cardiac death, or donations after brain and cardiac death allografts, especially when strict donor selection criteria are applied.

Prediction of Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Cirrhosis Who Had Received Deceased Donor Liver Transplantation: A Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND Early recurrence after liver transplantation (LT) is still a clinical problem. This multicenter study evaluated the Milan, Hangzhou, and AFP model-based criteria for prediction of early recurrence of HCC in patients with cirrhosis who had undergone LT. MATERIAL AND METHODS From the China Liver Transplant Registry (CLTR) database, we analyzed data of 589 HCC patients who had undergone LT between Jan 2015 and Jan 2019. Imaging data and AFP levels were evaluated immediately before LT. Recurrence and overall survival rates at 2 years were tested using the Kaplan-Meier estimate. The Milan criteria, Hangzhou criteria, and AFP model-based criteria were evaluated. RESULTS We found that 62.0%, 91.2%, and 67.6% of patients were within the Milan criteria, Hangzhou criteria, and AFP model-based criteria, respectively. The 2-year recurrence rate was 8.9%, 15.8%, and 11.8% with corresponding overall survival of 85.3%, 82.7%, and 86.5%, respectively. The 2-year recurrence rate was different in patients fulfilling and exceeding the AFP model-based criteria among patients who met either the Milan criteria (7.9% vs. 18.8%, HR=3.83, p=0.006) or Hangzhou criteria (12.0% vs. 27.6%, HR=2.95, p<0.001). However, the 2-year recurrence rate was not significantly different among patients who were beyond either the Milan or Hangzhou criteria. CONCLUSIONS For the prediction of early recurrence of HCC in patients with cirrhosis after liver transplantation, Milan criteria, Hangzhou criteria, and AFP model-based criteria are effective predictive tools for stratification of patients into low- and high-risk groups of recurrence with different prognoses. The AFP model-based criteria can identify a subgroup of patients with high risk of recurrence among patients who met either Milan or Hangzhou criteria.