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BACKGROUND & AIMS: Several studies have investigated the association between diverticular disease (DD) and colorectal cancer. However, whether there is an association between DD and malignancies other than those in the colorectum remains uncertain. METHODS: For the 1978-2019 period, we conducted a nationwide, population-based cohort study using national Danish health care data. We followed patients with DD for up to 20 years, beginning 1 year after the date of DD diagnosis until the first occurrence of incident cancer, emigration, death, 20 years of follow-up, or December 31, 2019. We calculated cumulative incidence proportions of cancer and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) comparing cancer incidence among patients with DD with that in the general population. RESULTS: We identified 200,639 patients with DD, of whom 20,498 were diagnosed with cancer during the 1-20 years after their DD diagnosis. The SIRs were increased for most cancer sites except for those in the colorectum (SIR, 0.75; 95% confidence interval, 0.72-0.78). The highest SIRs were observed for cancers of the lung, bronchi, and trachea (SIR, 1.20; 95% confidence interval, 1.15-1.24) and kidney (SIR, 1.27; 95% confidence interval, 1.16-1.39). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show an increased long-term relative risk of cancer following a diagnosis of DD. These findings are likely caused by prevalence of numerous risk factors in patients with DD that confer an increased risk of cancer. The decreased relative risk of colorectal cancer might be explained by an increased likelihood of patients with DD undergoing colonoscopy with polypectomy.
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PURPOSE: To study the association between meat intake (predominantly red and processed meats) and the risk of hip fracture, as well as the association between meat intake and biomarkers of inflammation, oxidative stress, bone turnover, body composition, and bone mineral density (BMD). METHODS: Data from the Swedish Mammography Cohort and the Cohort of Swedish men (n = 83,603, 54% men) with repeated investigations and their respective clinical sub-cohorts was utilised. Incident hip fractures were ascertained through individual linkage to registers. Associations were investigated using multivariable Cox and linear regression analyses. RESULTS: During up to 23 years of follow-up (mean 18.2 years) and 1,538,627 person-years at risk, 7345 participants (2840 men) experienced a hip fracture. Each daily serving of meat intake conferred a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.03 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00; 1.06) for hip fracture. In quintile 5, compared to quintile 2, the HR was 1.11 (95% CI 1.01; 1.21) among all participants. In the sub-cohorts, meat intake was directly associated with circulating levels of interleukin-6, C-reactive protein, leptin, ferritin, parathyroid hormone, and calcium. CONCLUSION: A modest linear association was found between a higher meat intake and the risk of hip fractures. Our results from the sub-cohorts further suggest that possible mechanisms linking meat intake and hip fracture risk may be related to the regulation of bone turnover, subclinical inflammation, and oxidative stress. Although estimates are modest, limiting red and processed meat intake in a healthy diet is advisable to prevent hip fractures.
Assuntos
Biomarcadores , Fraturas do Quadril , Carne , Humanos , Fraturas do Quadril/epidemiologia , Fraturas do Quadril/etiologia , Suécia/epidemiologia , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Idoso , Biomarcadores/sangue , Dieta/métodos , Dieta/estatística & dados numéricos , Dieta/efeitos adversos , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Seguimentos , Densidade Óssea , Estudos de Coortes , Estresse Oxidativo , Proteína C-Reativa/metabolismo , Proteína C-Reativa/análise , Incidência , Composição CorporalRESUMO
We aimed to estimate the absolute and age-standardized number of hip fractures in Sweden during the past two decades to produce time trends and future projections. We used nationwide register data from 1998 to 2019 and a validated algorithm to calculate the annual absolute and age-standardized number of incident hip fractures over time. The total hip fracture burden was 335,399 incident events over the 22 years, with a change from 16,180 in 1998 to 13,929 in 2019, a 14% decrease. One decade after the index hip fracture event, 80% of the patients had died, and 11% had a new hip fracture. After considering the steady growth of the older population, the decline in the age-standardized number of hip fractures from 1998 through 2019 was 29.2% (95% CI 28.1-30.2%) in women and 29.3% (95% CI 27.5-30.7%) in men. With a continued similar reduction in hip fracture incidence, we can predict that 14,800 hip fractures will occur in 2034 and 12,000 in 2050 despite doubling the oldest old (≥ 80 years). Without an algorithm, a naïve estimate of the total number of hip fractures over the study period was 539,947, with a second 10-year hip fracture risk of 35%. We note an ongoing decline in the absolute and age-standardized actual number of hip fractures in Sweden, with consequences for future projections.