A transformer-based approach for early prediction of soybean yield using time-series images.

Crop yield prediction which provides critical information for management decision-making is of significant importance in precision agriculture. Traditional manual inspection and calculation are often laborious and time-consuming. For yield prediction using high-resolution images, existing methods, e.g., convolutional neural network, are challenging to model long range multi-level dependencies across image regions. This paper proposes a transformer-based approach for yield prediction using early-stage images and seed information. First, each original image is segmented into plant and soil categories. Two vision transformer (ViT) modules are designed to extract features from each category. Then a transformer module is established to deal with the time-series features. Finally, the image features and seed features are combined to estimate the yield. A case study has been conducted using a dataset that was collected during the 2020 soybean-growing seasons in Canadian fields. Compared with other baseline models, the proposed method can reduce the prediction error by more than 40%. The impact of seed information on predictions is studied both between models and within a single model. The results show that the influence of seed information varies among different plots but it is particularly important for the prediction of low yields.

COVID-19 forecasting and intervention planning using gated recurrent unit and evolutionary algorithm.

The rapid spread of COVID-19, caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, has had and continues to pose a significant threat to global health. We propose a predictive model based on the gated recurrent unit (GRU) that investigates the influence of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on the progression of COVID-19. The proposed model is validated by case studies for multiple states in the United States. It should be noted that the proposed model can be generalized to other regions of interest. The results show that the predictive model can achieve accurate forecasts across the US. The forecast is then utilized to identify the optimal mitigation policies. The goal is to identify the best stringency level for each policy that can minimize the total number of new COVID-19 cases while minimizing the mitigation costs. A meta-heuristics method, named multi-population evolutionary algorithm with differential evolution (MPEA-DE), has been developed to identify optimal mitigation strategies that minimize COVID-19 infection cases while reducing economic and other negative implications. We compared the optimal mitigation strategies identified by the MPEA-DE model with three baseline search strategies. The results show that MPEA-DE performs better than other baseline models based on prescription dominance.

Improving Image-Based Plant Disease Classification With Generative Adversarial Network Under Limited Training Set.

Traditionally, plant disease recognition has mainly been done visually by human. It is often biased, time-consuming, and laborious. Machine learning methods based on plant leave images have been proposed to improve the disease recognition process. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been adopted and proven to be very effective. Despite the good classification accuracy achieved by CNNs, the issue of limited training data remains. In most cases, the training dataset is often small due to significant effort in data collection and annotation. In this case, CNN methods tend to have the overfitting problem. In this paper, Wasserstein generative adversarial network with gradient penalty (WGAN-GP) is combined with label smoothing regularization (LSR) to improve the prediction accuracy and address the overfitting problem under limited training data. Experiments show that the proposed WGAN-GP enhanced classification method can improve the overall classification accuracy of plant diseases by 24.4% as compared to 20.2% using classic data augmentation and 22% using synthetic samples without LSR.