International Validation of the Canadian Syncope Risk Score : A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The Canadian Syncope Risk Score (CSRS) was developed to predict 30-day serious outcomes not evident during emergency department (ED) evaluation. OBJECTIVE: To externally validate the CSRS and compare it with another validated score, the Osservatorio Epidemiologico della Sincope nel Lazio (OESIL) score. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Large, international, multicenter study recruiting patients in EDs in 8 countries on 3 continents. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with syncope aged 40 years or older presenting to the ED within 12 hours of syncope. MEASUREMENTS: Composite outcome of serious clinical plus procedural events (primary outcome) and the primary composite outcome excluding procedural interventions (secondary outcome). RESULTS: Among 2283 patients with a mean age of 68 years, the primary composite outcome occurred in 7.2%, and the composite outcome excluding procedural interventions occurred in 3.1% at 30 days. Prognostic performance of the CSRS was good for both 30-day composite outcomes and better compared with the OESIL score (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.85 [95% CI, 0.83 to 0.88] vs. 0.74 [CI, 0.71 to 0.78] and 0.80 [CI, 0.75 to 0.84] vs. 0.69 [CI, 0.64 to 0.75], respectively). Safety of triage, as measured by the frequency of the primary composite outcome in the low-risk group, was higher using the CSRS (19 of 1388 [0.6%]) versus the OESIL score (17 of 1104 [1.5%]). A simplified model including only the clinician classification of syncope (cardiac syncope, vasovagal syncope, or other) variable at ED discharge-a component of the CSRS-achieved similar discrimination as the CSRS (AUC, 0.83 [CI, 0.80 to 0.87] for the primary composite outcome). LIMITATION: Unable to disentangle the influence of other CSRS components on clinician classification of syncope at ED discharge. CONCLUSION: This international external validation of the CSRS showed good performance in identifying patients at low risk for serious outcomes outside of Canada and superior performance compared with the OESIL score. However, clinician classification of syncope at ED discharge seems to explain much of the performance of the CSRS in this study. The clinical utility of the CSRS remains uncertain. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Swiss National Science Foundation & Swiss Heart Foundation.

Effect of Bedside Compared With Outside the Room Patient Case Presentation on Patients' Knowledge About Their Medical Care : A Randomized, Controlled, Multicenter Trial.

BACKGROUND: Although bedside case presentation contributes to patient-centered care through active patient participation in medical discussions, the complexity of medical information and jargon-induced confusion may cause misunderstandings and patient discomfort. OBJECTIVE: To compare bedside versus outside the room patient case presentation regarding patients' knowledge about their medical care. DESIGN: Randomized, controlled, parallel-group trial. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03210987). SETTING: 3 Swiss teaching hospitals. PATIENTS: Adult medical patients who were hospitalized. INTERVENTION: Patients were randomly assigned to bedside or outside the room case presentation. MEASUREMENTS: The primary endpoint was patients' average knowledge of 3 dimensions of their medical care (each rated on a visual analogue scale from 0 to 100): understanding their disease, the therapeutic approach being used, and further plans for care. RESULTS: Compared with patients in the outside the room group (n = 443), those in the bedside presentation group (n = 476) reported similar knowledge about their medical care (mean, 79.5 points [SD, 21.6] vs. 79.4 points [SD, 19.8]; adjusted difference, 0.09 points [95% CI, -2.58 to 2.76 points]; P = 0.95). Also, an objective rating of patient knowledge by the study team was similar for the 2 groups, but the bedside presentation group had higher ratings of confusion about medical jargon and uncertainty caused by team discussions. Bedside ward rounds were more efficient (mean, 11.89 minutes per patient [SD, 4.92] vs. 14.14 minutes per patient [SD, 5.65]; adjusted difference, -2.31 minutes [CI, -2.98 to -1.63 minutes]; P < 0.001). LIMITATION: Only Swiss hospitals and medical patients were included. CONCLUSION: Compared with outside the room case presentation, bedside case presentation was shorter and resulted in similar patient knowledge, but sensitive topics were more often avoided and patient confusion was higher. Physicians presenting at the bedside need to be skilled in the use of medical language to avoid confusion and misunderstandings. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Swiss National Foundation (10531C_ 182422).

Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin Measured on Clinical Laboratory Platforms for the Prediction of Acute Kidney Injury and the Associated Need for Dialysis Therapy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The usefulness of measures of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) in urine or plasma obtained on clinical laboratory platforms for predicting acute kidney injury (AKI) and AKI requiring dialysis (AKI-D) has not been fully evaluated. We sought to quantitatively summarize published data to evaluate the value of urinary and plasma NGAL for kidney risk prediction. STUDY DESIGN: Literature-based meta-analysis and individual-study-data meta-analysis of diagnostic studies following PRISMA-IPD guidelines. SETTING & STUDY POPULATIONS: Studies of adults investigating AKI, severe AKI, and AKI-D in the setting of cardiac surgery, intensive care, or emergency department care using either urinary or plasma NGAL measured on clinical laboratory platforms. SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES: PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and congress abstracts ever published through February 2020 reporting diagnostic test studies of NGAL measured on clinical laboratory platforms to predict AKI. DATA EXTRACTION: Individual-study-data meta-analysis was accomplished by giving authors data specifications tailored to their studies and requesting standardized patient-level data analysis. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Individual-study-data meta-analysis used a bivariate time-to-event model for interval-censored data from which discriminative ability (AUC) was characterized. NGAL cutoff concentrations at 95% sensitivity, 95% specificity, and optimal sensitivity and specificity were also estimated. Models incorporated as confounders the clinical setting and use versus nonuse of urine output as a criterion for AKI. A literature-based meta-analysis was also performed for all published studies including those for which the authors were unable to provide individual-study data analyses. RESULTS: We included 52 observational studies involving 13,040 patients. We analyzed 30 data sets for the individual-study-data meta-analysis. For AKI, severe AKI, and AKI-D, numbers of events were 837, 304, and 103 for analyses of urinary NGAL, respectively; these values were 705, 271, and 178 for analyses of plasma NGAL. Discriminative performance was similar in both meta-analyses. Individual-study-data meta-analysis AUCs for urinary NGAL were 0.75 (95% CI, 0.73-0.76) and 0.80 (95% CI, 0.79-0.81) for severe AKI and AKI-D, respectively; for plasma NGAL, the corresponding AUCs were 0.80 (95% CI, 0.79-0.81) and 0.86 (95% CI, 0.84-0.86). Cutoff concentrations at 95% specificity for urinary NGAL were>580ng/mL with 27% sensitivity for severe AKI and>589ng/mL with 24% sensitivity for AKI-D. Corresponding cutoffs for plasma NGAL were>364ng/mL with 44% sensitivity and>546ng/mL with 26% sensitivity, respectively. LIMITATIONS: Practice variability in initiation of dialysis. Imperfect harmonization of data across studies. CONCLUSIONS: Urinary and plasma NGAL concentrations may identify patients at high risk for AKI in clinical research and practice. The cutoff concentrations reported in this study require prospective evaluation.

External Validation of the MEESSI Acute Heart Failure Risk Score: A Cohort Study.

Background: The MEESSI-AHF (Multiple Estimation of risk based on the Emergency department Spanish Score In patients with AHF) score was developed to predict 30-day mortality in patients presenting with acute heart failure (AHF) to emergency departments (EDs) in Spain. Whether it performs well in other countries is unknown. Objective: To externally validate the MEESSI-AHF score in another country. Design: Prospective cohort study. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01831115). Setting: Multicenter recruitment of dyspneic patients presenting to the ED. Participants: The external validation cohort included 1572 patients with AHF. Measurements: Calculation of the MEESSI-AHF score using an established model containing 12 independent risk factors. Results: Among 1572 patients with adjudicated AHF, 1247 had complete data that allowed calculation of the MEESSI-AHF score. Of these, 102 (8.2%) died within 30 days. The score predicted 30-day mortality with excellent discrimination (c-statistic, 0.80). Assessment of cumulative mortality showed a steep gradient in 30-day mortality over 6 predefined risk groups (0 patients in the lowest-risk group vs. 35 [28.5%] in the highest-risk group). Risk was overestimated in the high-risk groups, resulting in a Hosmer-Lemeshow P value of 0.022. However, after adjustment of the intercept, the model showed good concordance between predicted risks and observed outcomes (P = 0.23). Findings were confirmed in sensitivity analyses that used multiple imputation for missing values in the overall cohort of 1572 patients. Limitations: External validation was done using a reduced model. Findings are specific to patients with AHF who present to the ED and are clinically stable enough to provide informed consent. Performance in patients with terminal kidney failure who are receiving long-term dialysis cannot be commented on. Conclusion: External validation of the MEESSI-AHF risk score showed excellent discrimination. Recalibration may be needed when the score is introduced to new populations. Primary Funding Source: The European Union, the Swiss National Science Foundation, the Swiss Heart Foundation, the Cardiovascular Research Foundation Basel, the University of Basel, and University Hospital Basel.

Perioperative Myocardial Injury After Noncardiac Surgery: Incidence, Mortality, and Characterization.

BACKGROUND: Perioperative myocardial injury (PMI) seems to be a contributor to mortality after noncardiac surgery. Because the vast majority of PMIs are asymptomatic, PMI usually is missed in the absence of systematic screening. METHODS: We performed a prospective diagnostic study enrolling consecutive patients undergoing noncardiac surgery who had a planned postoperative stay of ≥24 hours and were considered at increased cardiovascular risk. All patients received a systematic screening using serial measurements of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T in clinical routine. PMI was defined as an absolute high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T increase of ≥14 ng/L from preoperative to postoperative measurements. Furthermore, mortality was compared among patients with PMI not fulfilling additional criteria (ischemic symptoms, new ECG changes, or imaging evidence of loss of viable myocardium) required for the diagnosis of spontaneous acute myocardial infarction versus those that did. RESULTS: From 2014 to 2015 we included 2018 consecutive patients undergoing 2546 surgeries. Patients had a median age of 74 years and 42% were women. PMI occurred after 397 of 2546 surgeries (16%; 95% confidence interval, 14%-17%) and was accompanied by typical chest pain in 24 of 397 patients (6%) and any ischemic symptoms in 72 of 397 (18%). Crude 30-day mortality was 8.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.7-12.0) in patients with PMI versus 1.5% (95% CI, 0.9-2.0) in patients without PMI (P<0.001). Multivariable regression analysis showed an adjusted hazard ratio of 2.7 (95% CI, 1.5-4.8) for 30-day mortality. The difference was retained at 1 year with mortality rates of 22.5% (95% CI, 17.6-27.4) versus 9.3% (95% CI, 7.9-10.7). Thirty-day mortality was comparable among patients with PMI not fulfilling any other of the additional criteria required for spontaneous acute myocardial infarction (280/397, 71%) versus those with at least 1 additional criterion (10.4%; 95% CI, 6.7-15.7, versus 8.7%; 95% CI, 4.2-16.7; P=0.684). CONCLUSIONS: PMI is a common complication after noncardiac surgery and, despite early detection during routine clinical screening, is associated with substantial short- and long-term mortality. Mortality seems comparable in patients with PMI not fulfilling any other of the additional criteria required for spontaneous acute myocardial infarction versus those patients who do. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT02573532.

0/1-Hour Triage Algorithm for Myocardial Infarction in Patients With Renal Dysfunction.

BACKGROUND: The European Society of Cardiology recommends a 0/1-hour algorithm for rapid rule-out and rule-in of non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) concentrations irrespective of renal function. Because patients with renal dysfunction (RD) frequently present with increased hs-cTn concentrations even in the absence of non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction, concern has been raised regarding the performance of the 0/1-hour algorithm in RD. METHODS: In a prospective multicenter diagnostic study enrolling unselected patients presenting with suspected non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction to the emergency department, we assessed the diagnostic performance of the European Society of Cardiology 0/1-hour algorithm using hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI in patients with RD, defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and compared it to patients with normal renal function. The final diagnosis was centrally adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists using all available information, including cardiac imaging. Safety was quantified as sensitivity in the rule-out zone, accuracy as the specificity in the rule-in zone, and efficacy as the proportion of the overall cohort assigned to either rule-out or rule-in based on the 0- and 1-hour sample. RESULTS: Among 3254 patients, RD was present in 487 patients (15%). The prevalence of non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction was substantially higher in patients with RD compared with patients with normal renal function (31% versus 13%, P<0.001). Using hs-cTnT, patients with RD had comparable sensitivity of rule-out (100.0% [95% confidence interval {CI}, 97.6-100.0] versus 99.2% [95% CI, 97.6-99.8]; P=0.559), lower specificity of rule-in (88.7% [95% CI, 84.8-91.9] versus 96.5% [95% CI, 95.7-97.2]; P<0.001), and lower overall efficacy (51% versus 81%, P<0.001), mainly driven by a much lower percentage of patients eligible for rule-out (18% versus 68%, P<0.001) compared with patients with normal renal function. Using hs-cTnI, patients with RD had comparable sensitivity of rule-out (98.6% [95% CI, 95.0-99.8] versus 98.5% [95% CI, 96.5-99.5]; P=1.0), lower specificity of rule-in (84.4% [95% CI, 79.9-88.3] versus 91.7% [95% CI, 90.5-92.9]; P<0.001), and lower overall efficacy (54% versus 76%, P<0.001; proportion ruled out, 18% versus 58%, P<0.001) compared with patients with normal renal function. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with RD, the safety of the European Society of Cardiology 0/1-hour algorithm is high, but specificity of rule-in and overall efficacy are decreased. Modifications of the rule-in and rule-out thresholds did not improve the safety or overall efficacy of the 0/1-hour algorithm. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00470587.

Clinical Utility of Procalcitonin in the Diagnosis of Pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: The clinical utility of procalcitonin in the diagnosis and management of pneumonia remains controversial. METHODS: We assessed the clinical utility of procalcitonin in 2 prospective studies: first, a multicenter diagnostic study in patients presenting to the emergency department with acute dyspnea to directly compare the diagnostic accuracy of procalcitonin with that of interleukin 6 and C-reactive protein (CRP) in the diagnosis of pneumonia; second, a randomized management study of procalcitonin guidance in patients with acute heart failure and suspected pneumonia. Diagnostic accuracy for pneumonia as centrally adjudicated by 2 independent experts was quantified with the area under the ROC curve (AUC). RESULTS: Among 690 patients in the diagnostic study, 178 (25.8%) had an adjudicated final diagnosis of pneumonia. Procalcitonin, interleukin 6, and CRP were significantly higher in patients with pneumonia than in those without. When compared to procalcitonin (AUC = 0.75; 95% CI, 0.71-0.78), interleukin 6 (AUC = 0.80; 95% CI, 0.77-0.83) and CRP (AUC = 0.82; 95% CI, 0.79-0.85) had significantly higher diagnostic accuracy (P = 0.010 and P < 0.001, respectively). The management study was stopped early owing to the unexpectedly low AUC of procalcitonin in the diagnostic study. Among 45 randomized patients, the number of days on antibiotic therapy and the length of hospital stay were similar (both P = 0.39) in patients randomized to the procalcitonin-guided group (n = 25) and usual-care group (n = 20). CONCLUSIONS: In patients presenting with dyspnea, diagnostic accuracy of procalcitonin for pneumonia is only moderate and lower than that of interleukin 6 and CRP. The clinical utility of procalcitonin was lower than expected. SUMMARY: Pneumonia has diverse and often unspecific symptoms. As the role of biomarkers in the diagnosis of pneumonia remains controversial, it is often difficult to distinguish pneumonia from other illnesses causing shortness of breath. The current study prospectively enrolled unselected patients presenting with acute dyspnea and directly compared the diagnostic accuracy of procalcitonin, interleukin 6, and CRP for the diagnosis of pneumonia. In this setting, diagnostic accuracy of procalcitonin for pneumonia was lower as compared to interleukin 6 and CRP. The clinical utility of procalcitonin was lower than expected. CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFIER: NCT01831115.

Inflammatory Biomarkers and Clinical Judgment in the Emergency Diagnosis of Urgent Abdominal Pain.

BACKGROUND: The early diagnosis of urgent abdominal pain (UAP) is challenging. Most causes of UAP are associated with extensive inflammation. Therefore, we hypothesized that quantifying inflammation using interleukin-6 and/or procalcitonin would provide incremental value in the emergency diagnosis of UAP. METHODS: This was an investigator-initiated prospective, multicenter diagnostic study enrolling patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with acute abdominal pain. Clinical judgment of the treating physician regarding the presence of UAP was quantified using a visual analog scale after initial clinical and physician-directed laboratory assessment, and again after imaging. Two independent specialists adjudicated the final diagnosis and the classification as UAP (life-threatening, needing urgent surgery and/or hospitalization for acute medical reasons) using all information including histology and follow-up. Interleukin-6 and procalcitonin were measured blinded in a central laboratory. RESULTS: UAP was adjudicated in 376 of 1038 (36%) patients. Diagnostic accuracy for UAP was higher for interleukin-6 [area under the ROC curve (AUC), 0.80; 95% CI, 0.77-0.82] vs procalcitonin (AUC, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.62-0.68) and clinical judgment (AUC, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.65-0.72; both P < 0.001). Combined assessment of interleukin-6 and clinical judgment increased the AUC at presentation to 0.83 (95% CI, 0.80-0.85) and after imaging to 0.87 (95% CI, 0.84-0.89) and improved the correct identification of patients with and without UAP (net improvement in mean predicted probability: presentation, +19%; after imaging, +15%; P < 0.001). Decision curve analysis documented incremental value across the full range of pretest probabilities. A clinical judgment/interleukin-6 algorithm ruled out UAP with a sensitivity of 97% and ruled in UAP with a specificity of 93%. CONCLUSIONS: Interleukin-6 significantly improves the early diagnosis of UAP in the ED.

Effect of a Strategy of Comprehensive Vasodilation vs Usual Care on Mortality and Heart Failure Rehospitalization Among Patients With Acute Heart Failure: The GALACTIC Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Short-term infusions of single vasodilators, usually given in a fixed dose, have not improved outcomes in patients with acute heart failure (AHF). Objective: To evaluate the effect of a strategy that emphasized early intensive and sustained vasodilation using individualized up-titrated doses of established vasodilators in patients with AHF. Design, Setting, and Participants: Randomized, open-label blinded-end-point trial enrolling 788 patients hospitalized for AHF with dyspnea, increased plasma concentrations of natriuretic peptides, systolic blood pressure of at least 100 mm Hg, and plan for treatment in a general ward in 10 tertiary and secondary hospitals in Switzerland, Bulgaria, Germany, Brazil, and Spain. Enrollment began in December 2007 and follow-up was completed in February 2019. Interventions: Patients were randomized 1:1 to a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilation throughout the hospitalization (n = 386) or usual care (n = 402). Early intensive and sustained vasodilation was a comprehensive pragmatic approach of maximal and sustained vasodilation combining individualized doses of sublingual and transdermal nitrates, low-dose oral hydralazine for 48 hours, and rapid up-titration of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, or sacubitril-valsartan. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days. Results: Among 788 patients randomized, 781 (99.1%; median age, 78 years; 36.9% women) completed the trial and were eligible for primary end point analysis. Follow-up at 180 days was completed for 779 patients (99.7%). The primary end point, a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days, occurred in 117 patients (30.6%) in the intervention group (including 55 deaths [14.4%]) and in 111 patients (27.8%) in the usual care group (including 61 deaths [15.3%]) (absolute difference for the primary end point, 2.8% [95% CI, -3.7% to 9.3%]; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.07 [95% CI, 0.83-1.39]; P = .59). The most common clinically significant adverse events with early intensive and sustained vasodilation vs usual care were hypokalemia (23% vs 25%), worsening renal function (21% vs 20%), headache (26% vs 10%), dizziness (15% vs 10%), and hypotension (8% vs 2%). Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients with AHF, a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilation, compared with usual care, did not significantly improve a composite outcome of all-cause mortality and AHF rehospitalization at 180 days. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00512759.

Proenkephalin for the early detection of acute kidney injury in hospitalized patients with chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: The early detection of acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an unmet clinical need. Proenkephalin (PENK) might improve the early detection of AKI. METHODS: One hundred and eleven hospitalized CKD patients undergoing radiographic contrast procedures were enrolled. PENK was measured in a blinded fashion at baseline (before contrast media administration) and on day 1 (after contrast media administration). The potential of PENK levels to predict contrast-induced AKI was the primary endpoint. RESULTS: Baseline creatinine and baseline PENK were similar in AKI and no-AKI patients. In AKI patients, day 1 PENK (198 pmol/L vs 121 pmol/L, P < 0.01) was significantly higher compared to no-AKI patients. The area under the curve (AUC) for the prediction of AKI by day 1 PENK was 0.79, 95% CI: 0.70-0.87, similar to serum creatinine: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.61-0.95. Delta PENK was significantly higher in AKI compared to no-AKI patients (53 pmol/L vs 1 pmol/L, P < 0.01). The AUC for the prediction of AKI by delta PENK was high (0.92, 95%CI 0.82-1.00) and remained high for creatinine-blind AKI (0.94, 95% CI: 0.87-0.97). CONCLUSION: Delta PENK levels improve the early detection of contrast-induced AKI in CKD patients over serial creatinine sampling. Delta PENK accelerates the detection of creatinine-blind AKI by 24 hours.

Characterisation of cardiomyopathy by cardiac and aortic magnetic resonance in patients new to hemodialysis.

OBJECTIVES: Cardiomyopathy is a key factor in accelerated cardiovascular mortality in haemodialysis (HD) patients. We aimed to phenotype cardiac and vascular dysfunction by tagged cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging in patients recently commencing HD. METHODS: Fifty-four HD patients and 29 age and sex-matched controls without kidney disease were studied. Left ventricular (LV) mass, volumes, ejection fraction (EF), concentric remodelling, peak-systolic circumferential strain (PSS), peak diastolic strain rate (PDSR), LV dyssynchrony, aortic distensibility and aortic pulse wave velocity were determined. RESULTS: Global systolic function was reduced (EF 51 ± 10%, HD versus 59 ± 5%, controls, p < 0.001; PSS 15.9 ± 3.7% versus 19.5 ± 3.3%, p < 0.001). Diastolic function was decreased (PDSR 1.07 ± 0.33s(-1) versus 1.31 ± 0.38s(-1), p = 0.003). LV mass index was increased (63[54,79]g/m(2) versus 46[42,53]g/m(2), p < 0.001). Anteroseptal reductions in PSS were apparent. These abnormalities remained prevalent in the subset of HD patients with preserved EF >50% (n = 35) and the subset of HD patients without diabetes (n = 40). LV dyssynchrony was inversely correlated to diastolic function, EF and aortic distensibility. Diastolic function was inversely correlated to LV dyssynchrony, concentric remodelling, age and aortic pulse wave velocity. CONCLUSION: Patients new to HD have multiple cardiac and aortic abnormalities as characterised by tagged CMR. Cardio-protective interventions are required from initiation of therapy. KEY POINTS: • First characterisation of cardiomyopathy by tagged CMR in haemodialysis patients. • Diastolic function was correlated to LV dyssynchrony, concentric remodelling and aortic PWV. • Reductions in strain localised to the septal and anterior wall. • Bioimpedance measures were unrelated to LV strain, suggesting volume-independent pathogenetic mechanisms. • Multiple abnormalities persisted in the HD patient subset with preserved EF or without diabetes.

The pathophysiology of the chronic cardiorenal syndrome: a magnetic resonance imaging study.

OBJECTIVE: To study the association of renal function with renal perfusion and renal parenchymal structure (T1 relaxation) in patients with chronic heart failure (HF). METHODS: After IRB approval, 40 participants were enrolled according to HF and renal function status [10 healthy volunteers < 40 years; 10 healthy age-matched volunteers; 10 HF patients eGFR > 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2); 10 HF patients eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2)] and assessed by MRI. To be eligible for enrolment all HF patients with renal dysfunction (RD) needed to be diagnosed as having chronic cardiorenal syndrome based on current guidelines. Patients with primary kidney disease were excluded. RESULTS: Renal cortical perfusion correlated with eGFR values (r = 0.52;p < 0.01) and was similar between HF patients with and without RD (p = 0.27). T1 relaxation correlated negatively with eGFR values (r = -0.41;p > 0.01) and was higher in HF patients compared to volunteers (1121 ± 102 ms vs. 1054 ± 65 ms;p = 0.03). T1 relaxation was selectively prolonged in HF patients with RD (1169 ms ± 100 vs. HF without RD 1067 ms ± 79;p = 0.047). In linear regression analyses coronary artery disease (p = 0.01), hypertension (p = 0.04), and diabetes mellitus (p < 0.01) were associated with T1 relaxation. CONCLUSION: RD in HF is not primarily mediated by decreased renal perfusion. Instead, chronic reno-parenchymal damage, as indicated by prolonged T1 relaxation, appears to underly chronic cardiorenal syndrome. KEY POINTS: • The pathophysiology underlying chronic cardiorenal syndrome is not completely understood. • Chronic cardiorenal syndrome is independent of cardiac output or renal perfusion. • Renal T 1 relaxation appears to be prolonged in HF with renal impairment. • Renal T 1 relaxation is associated with classic cardiovascular risk factors. • Association of renal T 1 relaxation with parenchymal damage should be validated further.

External validation of the myocardial-ischaemic-injury-index machine learning algorithm for the early diagnosis of myocardial infarction: a multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The myocardial-ischaemic-injury-index (MI3) is a novel machine learning algorithm for the early diagnosis of type 1 non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). The performance of MI3, both when using early serial blood draws (eg, at 1 h or 2 h) and in direct comparison with guideline-recommended algorithms, remains unknown. Our aim was to externally validate MI3 and compare its performance with that of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) 0/1h-algorithm. METHODS: In this secondary analysis of a multicentre international diagnostic cohort study, adult patients (age >18 years) presenting to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of myocardial infarction were prospectively enrolled from April 21, 2006, to Feb 27, 2019 in 12 centres from five European countries (Switzerland, Spain, Italy, Poland, and Czech Republic). Patients were excluded if they presented with ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, did not have at least two serial high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) measurements, or if the final diagnosis remained unclear. The final diagnosis was centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists using all available medical records, including serial hs-cTnI measurements and cardiac imaging. The primary outcome was type 1 NSTEMI. The performance of MI3 was directly compared with that of the ESC 0/1h-algorithm. FINDINGS: Among 6487 patients, (median age 61·0 years [IQR 49·0-73·0]; 2122 [33%] female and 4365 [67%] male), 882 (13·6%) patients had type 1 NSTEMI. The median time difference between the first and second hs-cTnI measurement was 60·0 mins (IQR 57·0-70·0). MI3 performance was very good, with an area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve of 0·961 (95% CI 0·957 to 0·965) and a good overall calibration (intercept -0·09 [-0·2 to 0·02]; slope 1·02 [0·97 to 1·08]). The originally defined MI3 score of less than 1·6 identified 4186 (64·5%) patients as low probability of having a type 1 NSTEMI (sensitivity 99·1% [95% CI 98·2 to 99·5]; negative predictive value [NPV] 99·8% [95% CI 99·6 to 99·9]) and an MI3 score of 49·7 or more identified 915 (14·1%) patients as high probability of having a type 1 NSTEMI (specificity 95·0% [94·3 to 95·5]; positive predictive value [PPV] 69·1% [66·0-72·0]). The sensitivity and NPV of the ESC 0/1h-algorithm were higher than that of MI3 (difference for sensitivity 0·88% [0·19 to 1·60], p=0·0082; difference for NPV 0·18% [0·05 to 0·32], p=0·016), and the rule-out efficacy was higher for MI3 (11% difference, p<0·0001). Specificity and PPV for MI3 were superior (difference for specificity 3·80% [3·24 to 4·36], p<0·0001; difference for PPV 7·84% [5·86 to 9·97], p<0·0001), and the rule-in efficacy was higher for the ESC 0/1h-algorithm (5·4% difference, p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION: MI3 performs very well in diagnosing type 1 NSTEMI, demonstrating comparability to the ESC 0/1h-algorithm in an emergency department setting when using early serial blood draws. FUNDING: Swiss National Science Foundation, Swiss Heart Foundation, the EU, the University Hospital Basel, the University of Basel, Abbott, Beckman Coulter, Roche, Idorsia, Ortho Clinical Diagnostics, Quidel, Siemens, and Singulex.

Incremental value of C-reactive protein to the MEESSI acute heart failure risk score.

AIMS: We hypothesized that the current gold standard for risk stratification of patients with acute heart failure (AHF), the Multiple Estimation of risk based on the Emergency department Spanish Score In patients with AHF (MEESSI-AHF) risk score, can be further improved by adding systemic inflammation as quantified by C-reactive protein (CRP). METHODS AND RESULTS: In a prospective multicentre diagnostic study (BASEL V), AHF was centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists. The MEESSI-AHF risk score was calculated using an established reduced and recalibrated model containing 12 independent risk factors. Model extension was performed by refitting and adding CRP in the logistic regression model with 30-day mortality as binary outcome. Discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness were used to assess the performance of the extended Multiple Estimation of risk based on the Emergency department Spanish Score In patients (MEESSI) model. Validation was performed in an independent, retrospective and single-centre AHF cohort. Among 1208 AHF patients with complete data allowing calculation of the recalibrated MEESSI and the extended MEESSI models, the prognostic accuracy for 30-day mortality of the extended MEESSI model (c-statistic 0.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.79-0.87) was significantly higher compared to the recalibrated model (c-statistic 0.79, 95% CI 0.75-0.83, p = 0.013). The extended model allowed to stratify a higher percentage of patients into the lowest risk group compared to the recalibrated model (33.1% vs. 20.3%). Demonstrating a calibration plot's slope of 1.00 (95% CI 0.81-1.19) and an intercept of 0.0 (95% CI -0.22 to 0.22), the extended MEESSI model achieved excellent and improved calibration. Results were confirmed in the independent validation cohort (n = 575). CONCLUSIONS: Quantifying inflammation using CRP concentration provided incremental value in AHF risk stratification using the established MEESSI model.

Quantifying Hemodynamic Cardiac Stress and Cardiomyocyte Injury in Normotensive and Hypertensive Acute Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: The characterization of the different pathophysiological mechanisms involved in normotensive versus hypertensive acute heart failure (AHF) might help to develop individualized treatments. METHODS: The extent of hemodynamic cardiac stress and cardiomyocyte injury was quantified by measuring the B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), N-terminal proBNP (NT-proBNP), and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) concentrations in 1152 patients presenting with centrally adjudicated AHF to the emergency department (ED) (derivation cohort). AHF was classified as normotensive with a systolic blood pressure (SBP) of 90-140 mmHg and hypertensive with SBP > 140 mmHg at presentation to the ED. Findings were externally validated in an independent AHF cohort (n = 324). RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, with a median age of 79 years, 43% being women, 667 (58%) patients had normotensive and 485 (42%) patients hypertensive AHF. Hemodynamic cardiac stress, as quantified by the BNP and NT-proBNP, was significantly higher in normotensive as compared to hypertensive AHF [1105 (611-1956) versus 827 (448-1419) pg/mL, and 5890 (2959-12,162) versus 4068 (1986-8118) pg/mL, both p < 0.001, respectively]. Similarly, the extent of cardiomyocyte injury, as quantified by hs-cTnT, was significantly higher in normotensive AHF as compared to hypertensive AHF [41 (24-71) versus 33 (19-59) ng/L, p < 0.001]. A total of 313 (28%) patients died during 360 days of follow-up. All-cause mortality was higher in patients with normotensive AHF vs. patients with hypertensive AHF (hazard ratio 1.66, 95%CI 1.31-2.10; p < 0.001). Normotensive patients with a high BNP, NT-proBNP, or hs-cTnT had the highest mortality. The findings were confirmed in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION: Biomarker profiling revealed a higher extent of hemodynamic stress and cardiomyocyte injury in patients with normotensive versus hypertensive AHF.

Heart failure therapy-induced early ST2 changes may offer long-term therapy guidance.

BACKGROUND: Biomarkers may help to monitor and tailor treatment in patients with acute heart failure (AHF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Levels of ST2, a novel biomarker integrating hypervolemic cardiac strain and proinflammatory signals, were measured at presentation to the emergency department (ED) and after 48 hours in 207 patients with AHF. Patients were stratified according to their early ST2 response (responders: ST2 decrease ≥25%; nonresponders: ST2 decrease <25%) and beta-blocker, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) blockade, or diuretic treatment status at hospital discharge. We assessed the utility of ST2 levels and its changes to predict long-term mortality and the interaction between ST2 levels, treatment at discharge, and 1-year mortality. ST2 levels were higher in nonsurvivors than in survivors (median 108 vs 69 ng/mL; P < .01) and decreased significantly during the 1st 48 hours (median decrease 33%). ST2 decrease was less in nonsurvivors compared with survivors (median -25% vs -42%; P < .01). In Cox regression, early ST2 changes independently predicted 1-year mortality (hazard ratio 1.07 for every increase of 10%; P = .02). RAAS blockers at discharge were associated with survival independently from ST2 response, whereas the association of beta-blockers with survival differed markedly according to ST2 response, with beneficial effects restricted to ST2 nonresponders (P interaction = .04). A similar, albeit nonsignificant, trend was observed for diuretics (P interaction = .11). CONCLUSIONS: ED and serial ST2 measurements are independent predictors of 1-year mortality in AHF.

N-terminal Pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and its correlation to haemodialysis-induced myocardial stunning.

BACKGROUND: Haemodialysis (HD) is able to induce recurrent myocardial ischemia and segmental left-ventricular dysfunction (myocardial stunning). The association of N-terminal Pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NTpro-BNP) with HD-induced myocardial stunning is unclear. METHODS: In 70 prevalent HD patients, HD-induced myocardial stunning was assessed echocardiographically at baseline and after 12 months. The extent to which pre-dialysis NTpro-BNP was associated with the occurrence of HD-induced myocardial stunning was assessed as the primary endpoint. RESULTS: The median Ntpro-BNP concentration in this cohort was 2,154 pg/ml (IQR 1,224-3,014). Patients experiencing HD-induced myocardial stunning at either time point displayed elevated NTpro-BNP values (2,418 pg/ml, IQR, 1,583-3,474 vs. 1,751 pg/ml, IQR (536-2,029), p = 0.02). NTpro-BNP levels did not differ between patients showing HD-induced stunning at baseline and those developing stunning during the observational period (p = 0.8). NTpro-BNP levels drawn at the beginning of the dialysis session achieved a poor diagnostic accuracy for the detection of myocardial stunning (area under the ROC curve 0.61, 95% CI 0.45-0.77), but provided an accurate rule out for myocardial stunning during the subsequent year (AUC 0.85, 95% CI 0.70-0.99). The calculated cut-off of 1,570 pg/ml achieved a sensitivity of 66% and a specificity of 78% for the exclusion of myocardial stunning at any time point. In logistic regression analysis, only low NTpro-BNP levels (OR 0.92 for every additional 100 pg/ml, 95% CI 0.85-0.99, p = 0.03) were significantly associated with absence of myocardial stunning at any time point. CONCLUSION: Predialytic NTpro-BNP levels fail to adequately diagnose current dialysis-induced myocardial stunning, but help to identify patients with a propensity to develop dialysis-induced myocardial stunning at any time during the next 12 months.