Surveillance for donor-derived infections in Australia.

BACKGROUND: Systems for quality and safety assurance in organ donation and transplantation are vital, especially those that seek to minimize donor disease transmission. Australia has developed a national vigilance and surveillance system to identify, review, and analyze actual and potential donor-derived infections and other disease transmissions. METHODS: The system involves notification of incidents to the Australian Organ and Tissue Authority for review by a Vigilance and Surveillance Expert Advisory Committee (VSEAC). The VSEAC grades incidents, O makes recommendations, and issues communications both publicly and to the clinical donation and transplant sector. RESULTS: Annual notifications have increased since the inception of the system in 2012 until 2022. The vast majority relate to procedural aspects including donor assessment, information/data issues, and the recovery, offer, allocation, preservation and transportation of organs. Possible donor-derived disease accounted for 19% of all notifications, and those related to possible donor-derived infection only 12%. The VSEAC, as a result of reviewing these incidents, has made recommendations resulting in revisions to donor screening, organ allocation, packaging and transportation. The review of incidents has led to changes in clinical guidance for increased viral risk donor assessment, testing, and ensuing organ utilization and recipient surveillance. Guidance has also been reviewed for other infectious risks including strongyloides, human T-lymphotropic virus, and HEV. CONCLUSION: The Australian vigilance and surveillance system has enabled national retrospective reporting and evaluation of serious adverse events or reactions to identify trends and inform processes and guidelines, therefore improving the safety of donation and transplantation.

Factors Associated With Advanced Colorectal Neoplasia in Patients With CKD.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The risk of developing colorectal cancer in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is twice that of the general population, but the factors associated with colorectal cancer are poorly understood. The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with advanced colorectal neoplasia in patients with CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Patients with CKD stages 3-5, including those treated with maintenance dialysis or transplantation across 11 sites in Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and Spain, were screened for colorectal neoplasia using a fecal immunochemical test (FIT) as part of the Detecting Bowel Cancer in CKD (DETECT) Study. EXPOSURE: Baseline characteristics for patients at the time of study enrollment were ascertained, including duration of CKD, comorbidities, and medications. OUTCOME: Advanced colorectal neoplasia was identified through a 2-step verification process with colonoscopy following positive FIT and 2-year clinical follow-up for all patients. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Potential factors associated with advanced colorectal neoplasia were explored using multivariable logistic regression. Sensitivity analyses were performed using grouped LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 1,706 patients who received FIT-based screening-791 with CKD stages 3-5 not receiving kidney replacement therapy (KRT), 418 receiving dialysis, and 497 patients with a functioning kidney transplant-117 patients (6.9%) were detected to have advanced colorectal neoplasia (54 with CKD stages 3-5 without KRT, 34 receiving dialysis, and 29 transplant recipients), including 9 colorectal cancers. The factors found to be associated with advanced colorectal neoplasia included older age (OR per year older, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.03-1.07], P<0.001), male sex (OR, 2.27 [95% CI, 1.45-3.54], P<0.001), azathioprine use (OR, 2.99 [95% CI, 1.40-6.37], P=0.005), and erythropoiesis-stimulating agent use (OR, 1.92 [95% CI, 1.22-3.03], P=0.005). Grouped LASSO logistic regression revealed similar associations between these factors and advanced colorectal neoplasia. LIMITATIONS: Unmeasured confounding factors. CONCLUSIONS: Older age, male sex, erythropoiesis-stimulating agents, and azathioprine were found to be significantly associated with advanced colorectal neoplasia in patients with CKD.

The IDEAL trial in Australia and New Zealand: clinical and economic impact.

BACKGROUND: The impact of research findings on clinical practice usually remains uncertain and unmeasured. To address this problem, we examined the long-term clinical and economic impact of the Initiating Dialysis Early and Late (IDEAL) trial using data from the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry. METHODS: We performed a registry-based study including all incident adult dialysis patients in Australia and New Zealand from July 2000 to June 2018. A piecewise linear regression model was used to examine differences in mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at dialysis commencement for the years prior to (2000-2010) and following (2010-2018) publication of the IDEAL trial results. The return on investment (ROI) was calculated using the total cost of performing the IDEAL trial and the cost or savings accruing in Australia and New Zealand from changes in dialysis initiation practice. RESULTS: From July 2000 to June 2010, mean eGFR at dialysis commencement increased at a rate of 0.21 mL/min/1.73 m2/year [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.19-0.23]. After the IDEAL trial results were published, mean eGFR at dialysis commencement did not show any temporal change [-0.01 mL/min/1.73 m2/year (95% CI -0.03-0.01)]. The ROI of the IDEAL trial was AU$35.70/AU$1 spent, an estimated savings to the Australian and New Zealand health systems of up to AU$84 million/year. CONCLUSIONS: The previous trend to higher eGFR at dialysis commencement changed following publication of the IDEAL trial results to a steady eGFR that has continued for a decade, avoiding unnecessary dialysis treatments and accruing savings to the Australian and New Zealand health systems.

Principles and strategies for involving patients in research in chronic kidney disease: report from national workshops.

BACKGROUND: There is widespread recognition that research will be more impactful if it arises from partnerships between patients and researchers, but evidence on best practice for achieving this remains limited. METHODS: We convened workshops in three Australian cities involving 105 patients/caregivers and 43 clinicians/researchers. In facilitated breakout groups, participants discussed principles and strategies for effective patient involvement in chronic kidney disease research. Transcripts were analysed thematically. RESULTS: Five major themes emerged. 'Respecting consumer expertise and commitment' involved valuing unique and diverse experiential knowledge, clarifying expectations and responsibilities, equipping for meaningful involvement and keeping patients 'in the loop'. 'Attuning to individual context' required a preference-based multipronged approach to engagement, reducing the burden of involvement and being sensitive to the patient journey. 'Harnessing existing relationships and infrastructure' meant partnering with trusted clinicians, increasing research exposure in clinical settings, mentoring patient to patient and extending reach through established networks. 'Developing a coordinated approach' enabled power in the collective and united voice, a systematic approach for equitable inclusion and streamlining access to opportunities and trustworthy information. 'Fostering a patient-centred culture' encompassed building a community, facilitating knowledge exchange and translation, empowering health ownership, providing an opportunity to give back and cultivating trust through transparency. CONCLUSIONS: Partnering with patients in research requires respect and recognition of their unique, diverse and complementary experiential expertise. Establishing a supportive, respectful research culture, responding to their individual context, coordinating existing infrastructure and centralizing the flow of information may facilitate patient involvement as active partners in research.

Recruitment and retention in clinical trials in chronic kidney disease: report from national workshops with patients, caregivers and health professionals.

BACKGROUND: Slow recruitment and poor retention jeopardize the reliability and statistical power of clinical trials, delaying access to effective interventions and increasing costs, as commonly observed in nephrology trials. Involving patients in trial design, recruitment and retention is infrequent but potentially transformational. METHODS: We conducted three workshops involving 105 patients/caregivers and 43 health professionals discussing patient recruitment and retention in clinical trials in chronic kidney disease. RESULTS: We identified four themes. 'Navigating the unknown'-patients described being unaware of the research question, confused by technical terms, sceptical about findings and feared the risk of harm. 'Wary of added burden'-patients voiced reluctance to attend additional appointments, were unsure of the commitment required or at times felt too unwell and without capacity to participate. 'Disillusioned and disconnected'-some patients felt they were taken for granted, particularly if they did not receive trial results. Participants believed there was no culture of trial participation in kidney disease and an overall lack of awareness about opportunities to participate. To improve recruitment and retention, participants addressed 'Building motivation and interest'. CONCLUSIONS: Investigators should establish research consciousness from the time of diagnosis, consider optimal timing for approaching patients, provide comprehensive information in an accessible manner, emphasize current and future relevance to them and their illness, involve trusted clinicians in recruitment and minimize the burden of trial participation. Participation in clinical trials was seen as an opportunity for people to give back to the health system and for future people in their predicament.

Relative survival and quality of life benefits of pancreas-kidney transplantation, deceased kidney transplantation and dialysis in type 1 diabetes mellitus-a probabilistic simulation model.

For patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus who progress to the point of requiring renal replacement therapy, the relative benefits of simultaneous pancreas and kidney transplantation (SPK) and deceased donor kidney transplantation across different age categories compared to dialysis are uncertain. Using Australian and New Zealand registry data from 2006 to 2016, a probabilistic Markov model (n = 10 000) was built comparing patient survival between SPK and deceased donor kidney transplantation with dialysis. Compared to dialysis, the average life years saved (LYS) and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) for SPK and deceased donor kidney transplantation were 5.48 [95% CI 5.47, 5.49] LYS and 6.48 [6.47, 6.49] QALY, and 3.38 [3.36, 3.40] LYS and 2.46 [2.45, 2.47] QALY, respectively. For recipients aged 50 years or younger, receiving a deceased donor kidney, the average incremental gains compared to dialysis were 4.13 [4.10, 4.16] LYS and 2.99 [2.97, 3.01] QALY, and for recipients older than 50 years, 3.05 [3.02, 3.08] LYS and 2.25 [2.23, 2.27] QALY. Compared to dialysis, SPK transplantation incurs the greatest benefits in LYS and QALY for patients with type 1 diabetes requiring renal replacement therapy. Patients older than 50 years still experience survival benefits from deceased donor kidney transplantation compared to dialysis.

Perioperative antibiotics for preventing post-surgical site infections in solid organ transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Solid organ transplant recipients are at high risk for infections due to the complexity of surgical procedures combined with the impact of immunosuppression. No consensus exists on the role of antibiotics for surgical site infections in solid organ transplant recipients. OBJECTIVES: To assess the benefits and harms of prophylactic antimicrobial agents for preventing surgical site infections in solid organ transplant recipients. SEARCH METHODS: The Cochrane Kidney and Transplant Register of Studies was searched up to 21 April 2020 through contact with the Information Specialist using search terms relevant to this review. Studies in the Register are identified through searches of CENTRAL, MEDLINE, and EMBASE, conference proceedings, the International Clinical Trials Register (ICTRP) Search Portal, and ClinicalTrials.gov. SELECTION CRITERIA: All randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and quasi-RCTs in any language assessing prophylactic antibiotics in preventing surgical site infections in solid organ transplant recipients at any time point after transplantation. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two authors independently determined study eligibility, assessed quality, and extracted data. Primary outcomes were surgical site infections and antimicrobial resistance. Other outcomes included urinary tract infections, pneumonias and septicaemia, death (any cause), graft loss, graft rejection, graft function, adverse reactions to antimicrobial agents, and outcomes identified by the Standardised Outcomes of Nephrology Group (SONG), specifically graft health, cardiovascular disease, cancer and life participation. Summary effect estimates were obtained using a random-effects model and results were expressed as risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). The quality of the evidence was assessed using the risk of bias and the GRADE approach. MAIN RESULTS: We identified eight eligible studies (718 randomised participants). Overall, five studies (248 randomised participants) compared antibiotics versus no antibiotics, and three studies (470 randomised participants) compared extended duration versus short duration antibiotics. Risk of bias was assessed as high for performance bias (eight studies), detection bias (eight studies) and attrition bias (two studies). It is uncertain whether antibiotics reduce the incidence of surgical site infections as the certainty of the evidence has been assessed as very low (RR 0.42, 95% CI 0.21 to 0.85; 5 studies, 226 participants; I2 = 25%). The certainty of the evidence was very low for all other reported outcomes (death, graft loss, and other infections). It is uncertain whether extended duration antibiotics reduces the incidence of surgical site infections in either solid organ transplant recipients (RR 1.19, 95% CI 0.58 to 2.48; 2 studies, 302 participants; I2 = 0%) or kidney-only transplant recipients (RR 0.50, 95% CI 0.05 to 5.48; 1 study, 205 participants) as the certainty of the evidence has been assessed as very low. The certainty of the evidence was very low for all other reported outcomes (death, graft loss, and other infections). None of the eight included studies evaluated antimicrobial agent adverse reactions, graft health, cardiovascular disease, cancer, life participation, biochemical and haematological parameters, intervention cost, hospitalisation length, or overall hospitalisation costs. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Due to methodological limitations, risk of bias and significant heterogeneity, the current evidence for the use of prophylactic perioperative antibiotics in transplantation is of very low quality. Further high quality, adequately powered RCTs would help better inform clinical practice.

Overall and Site-Specific Cancer Mortality in Patients on Dialysis and after Kidney Transplant.

Background Patients with ESRD have a substantially increased cancer risk, but few studies have examined the patterns of cancer mortality along a patient's journey from dialysis to transplantation. METHODS: We identified all Australian patients on dialysis and patients with transplants from 1980 to 2014 from the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry. Using standardized mortality ratios (SMRs), we compared cancer mortality among patients on dialysis and patients with transplants versus the general population (overall and by age, sex, year, and site); we also performed a subgroup analysis excluding patients with preexisting cancers. RESULTS: We followed 52,936 patients on dialysis and 16,820 transplant recipients for 170,055 and 128,352 patient-years, respectively. There were 2739 cancer deaths among patients on dialysis and 923 cancer deaths among transplant recipients. Overall, cancer SMRs were 2.6 for patients on dialysis and 2.7 for transplant recipients. For patients on dialysis, SMRs were highest for multiple myeloma (30.5), testicular cancer (17.0), and kidney cancer (12.5); for transplant recipients, SMRs were highest for non-Hodgkin lymphoma (10.7), kidney cancer (7.8), and melanoma (5.8). Some 61.0% of patients on dialysis and 9.6% of transplant recipients who experienced cancer death had preexisting cancer. The SMRs for de novo cancer was 1.2 for patients on dialysis and 2.6 for transplant recipients. CONCLUSIONS: Patients on dialysis and transplant recipients experienced >2.5-fold increased risk of cancer death compared with the general population. This increased risk was largely driven by preexisting cancers in patients on dialysis and de novo cancers in patients with transplants.

One-Time Fecal Immunochemical Screening for Advanced Colorectal Neoplasia in Patients with CKD (DETECT Study).

BACKGROUND: In patients with CKD, the risk of developing colorectal cancer is high and outcomes are poor. Screening using fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) is effective in reducing mortality from colorectal cancer, but performance characteristics of FIT in CKD are unknown. METHODS: To determine the detection rates and performance characteristics of FIT for advanced colorectal neoplasia (ACN) in patients with CKD, we used FIT to prospectively screen patients aged 35-74 years with CKD (stages 3-5 CKD, dialysis, and renal transplant) from 11 sites in Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and Spain. All participants received clinical follow-up at 2 years. We used a two-step reference standard approach to estimate disease status. RESULTS: Overall, 369 out of 1706 patients who completed FIT (21.6%) tested positive; 323 (87.5%) underwent colonoscopies. A total of 1553 (91.0%) completed follow-up; 82 (4.8%) had died and 71 (4.2%) were lost. The detection rate of ACN using FIT was 6.0% (5.6%, 7.4%, and 5.6% for stages 3-5 CKD, dialysis, and transplant). Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of FIT for ACN were 0.90, 0.83, 0.30, and 0.99, respectively. Of participants who underwent colonoscopy, five (1.5%) experienced major colonoscopy-related complications, including bowel perforation and major bleeding. CONCLUSIONS: FIT appears to be an accurate screening test for patients with CKD, such that a negative test may rule out the diagnosis of colorectal cancer within 2 years. However, the risk of major complications from work-up colonoscopy are at least ten-fold higher than in the general population.

Does tubulitis without interstitial inflammation represent borderline acute T cell mediated rejection?

Tubulitis without interstitial inflammation (Banff i0), termed "isolated tubulitis" (ISO-T), has been controversially included within the Banff "borderline" category of acute T cell mediated rejection (TCMR). This single-center, retrospective, observational study of 2055 consecutive biopsies from 775 recipients, determined the clinical significance of ISO-T. ISO-T prevalence was 19.1%, comprising mild tubulitis (i0t1) in 97.2%. Independent clinical predictors of tubulitis were HLA mismatch, prior TCMR and antibody-mediated rejection, pulse corticosteroids, and BKVAN (P = .006 to P < .001 by multivariable analysis). Histological associations of tubulitis included interstitial inflammation, peritubular capillaritis, tubular atrophy, and SV40T (P = .005 to <.001). The dominant pathological diagnoses in ISO-T (n = 393) were interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy (IF/TA, 44.5%) or normal/minimal (31.8%). Subanalysis of ISO-T from indication biopsies (n = 107) found acute tubular injury (37.4%), IF/TA (28.0%), normal/minimal (12.1%), acute rejection (9.3%, vascular or antibody), chronic-active TCMR (2.8%), and BKVAN (5.6%). Allograft function of ISO-T frequently improved, affected by early biopsy timing and underlying disease diagnosis. Subsequent histology of 1197 ISO-T biopsy-pairs was generally benign. The 1- and 5-year death-censored graft survivals of ISO-T were 98.8% and 92.7%. In summary, tubulitis without inflammation does not represent borderline TCMR. We suggest its removal from the borderline category, and reinstatement of i1 as the diagnostic threshold.

The clinical and pathological significance of borderline T cell-mediated rejection.

The pathological diagnosis of borderline rejection (BL-R) denotes possible T cell-mediated rejection (TCMR), but its clinical significance is uncertain. This single-center, cross-sectional cohort study compared the functional and histological outcomes of consecutive BL-R diagnoses (n = 146) against normal controls (n = 826) and acute TCMR (n = 55) from 551 renal transplant recipients. BL-R was associated with the following: contemporaneous renal dysfunction, acute tubular necrosis, and chronic tubular atrophy (P < .001); progressive tubular injury with fibrosis by longitudinal sequential histology (45.3% at 1 year); increased subsequent acute rejection (39.4%), allograft failure (P < .001), and patient mortality (P = .007). BL-R detected by biopsy indicated for impaired function was followed by suboptimal functional recovery (46.3%), persistent inflammation (27.2%), and acute rejection episodes (50.0%) despite antirejection treatment in 83.3%. By 1 year after BL-R, the incidence of new-onset microvascular inflammation (9.3%), C4d staining (22.3%), transplant glomerulopathy (13.3%), and de novo donor-specific antibodies (31.5%) exceeded normal controls (P < .05-.001). BL-R inflammation in protocol biopsy persisted in 28.0% and progressed to acute rejection in 32.6%; however, it resolved in 61.6% of the untreated cases. In summary, BL-R is a heterogeneous diagnostic grouping, ranging from mild inconsequential inflammation to clinically significant TCMR, which is capable of immune-mediated tubular injury resulting in inferior functional, immunological, and histological consequences.

Weekend effect on early allograft outcome after kidney transplantation- a multi-centre cohort study.

Weekend surgery may be associated with a higher risk of early complications, but the effect of the timing of kidney transplant surgery on early allograft outcome remains uncertain. The aim of this study is to evaluate whether the association between weekend transplant surgery and allograft failure was modified by prevalent vascular disease. Using data from the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant registry, we examined the association between weekend status and 90-day and 1-year allograft failure in deceased donor transplant recipients between 1994-2012. Two-way interaction between vascular disease and weekend status was examined. Of 6622 recipients, 1868 (28.2%) received transplants during weekends. Compared with weekday transplants, weekend transplants were associated with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for 90-day and 1-year allograft failure of 0.99 (0.78-1.25; P = 0.917) and 0.93 (0.76-1.13, P = 0.468), respectively. There was a significant interaction between prevalent vascular disease and weekend status for 90-day allograft failure (Pinteraction = 0.008) but not at 1-year, such that patients with vascular disease were more likely to experience 90-day allograft failure if transplanted on weekend (versus weekdays), particularly failures secondary to vascular complications. Timing of transplantation does not impact on allograft outcome, although those with vascular disease may benefit from more intensive post-transplant follow-up for potential vascular complications.

Target of rapamycin inhibitors (TOR-I; sirolimus and everolimus) for primary immunosuppression in kidney transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Kidney transplantation is the therapy of choice for many patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) with an improvement in survival rates and satisfactory short term graft survival. However, there has been little improvement in long-term survival. The place of target of rapamycin inhibitors (TOR-I) (sirolimus, everolimus), which have different modes of action from other commonly used immunosuppressive agents, in kidney transplantation remains uncertain. This is an update of a review first published in 2006. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the short and long-term benefits and harms of TOR-I (sirolimus and everolimus) when used in primary immunosuppressive regimens for kidney transplant recipients. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Kidney and Transplant Register of Studies up to 20 September 2019 through contact with the Information Specialist using search terms relevant to this review. Studies in the Register were identified through searches of CENTRAL, MEDLINE and EMBASE, conference proceedings, the International Clinical Trials Register (ICTRP) Search Portal and ClinicalTrials.gov. SELECTION CRITERIA: All randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and quasi-RCTs in which drug regimens, containing TOR-I commenced within seven days of transplant, were compared to alternative drug regimens, were included without age restriction, dosage or language of report. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Three authors independently assessed study eligibility, risk of bias, and extracted data. Results were reported as risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for dichotomous outcomes and mean difference (MD) with 95% CI for continuous outcomes. Statistical analyses were performed using the random-effects model. The certainty of the evidence was assessed using GRADE MAIN RESULTS: Seventy studies (17,462 randomised participants) were included; eight studies included two comparisons to provide 78 comparisons. Outcomes were reported at six months to three years post transplant. Risk of bias was judged to be low for sequence generation in 25 studies, for allocation concealment in 23 studies, performance bias in four studies, detection bias in 65 studies, attrition bias in 45 studies, selective reporting bias in 48 studies, and for other potential bias in three studies. Risk of bias was judged to be at high risk of bias for sequence generation in two studies, allocation concealment in two studies, performance bias in 61 studies, detection bias in one study, attrition bias in four studies, for selective reporting bias in 11 studies and for other potential risk of bias in 46 studies. Compared with CNI and antimetabolite, TOR-I with antimetabolite probably makes little or no difference to death (RR 1.31, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.98; 19 studies) or malignancies (RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.50 to 1.48; 10 studies); probably increases graft loss censored for death (RR 1.32, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.81; 15 studies), biopsy-proven acute rejection (RR 1.60, 95% CI 1.25 to 2.04; 15 studies), need to change treatment (RR 2.42, 95% CI 1.88 to 3.11; 14 studies) and wound complications (RR 2.56, 95% CI 1.94 to 3.36; 12 studies) (moderate certainty evidence); but reduces CMV infection (RR 0.43, 95% CI 0.29 to 0.63; 13 studies) (high certainty evidence). Compared with antimetabolites and CNI, TOR-I with CNI probably makes little or no difference to death (RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.33; 31 studies), graft loss censored for death (RR 1.09, 95% CI 0.82 to 1.45; 26 studies), biopsy-proven acute rejection (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.12; 24 studies); and malignancies (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.64 to 1.07; 17 studies); probably increases the need to change treatment (RR 1.56, 95% CI 1.28 to 1.90; 25 studies), and wound complications (RR 1.56, 95% CI 1.28 to 1.91; 17 studies); but probably reduces CMV infection (RR 0.44, 95% CI 0.34 to 0.58; 25 studies) (moderate certainty evidence). Lower dose TOR-I and standard dose CNI compared with higher dose TOR-I and reduced dose CNI probably makes little or no difference to death (RR 1.07, 95% CI 0.64 to 1.78; 9 studies), graft loss censored for death (RR 1.09, 95% CI 0.54 to 2.20; 8 studies), biopsy-proven acute rejection (RR 0.87, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.13; 8 studies), and CMV infection (RR 1.42, 95% CI 0.78 to 2.60; 5 studies) (moderate certainty evidence); and may make little or no difference to wound complications (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.53 to 1.71; 3 studies), malignancies (RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.36 to 3.04; 7 studies), and the need to change treatments (RR 1.18, 95% CI 0.58 to 2.42; 5 studies) (low certainty evidence). Lower dose of TOR-I compared with higher doses probably makes little or no difference to death (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.06; 13 studies), graft loss censored for death (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.71 to 1.19; 12 studies), biopsy-proven acute rejection (RR 1.26, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.43; 11 studies), CMV infection (RR 0.87, 95% CI 0.63 to 1.21; 9 studies), wound complications (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.66 to 1.29; 7 studies), and malignancy (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.54 to 1.32; 10 studies) (moderate certainty evidence); and may make little or no difference to the need to change treatments (RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.05; 10 studies) (low certainty evidence). It is uncertain whether sirolimus and everolimus differ in their effects on kidney function and lipid levels because the certainty of the evidence is very low based on a single small study with only three months of follow-up. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: In studies with follow-up to three years, TOR-I with an antimetabolite increases the risk of graft loss and acute rejection compared with CNI and an antimetabolite. TOR-I with CNI potentially offers an alternative to an antimetabolite with CNI as rates of graft loss and acute rejection are similar between interventions and TOR-I regimens are associated with a reduced risk of CMV infections. Wound complications and the need to change immunosuppressive medications are higher with TOR-I regimens. While further new studies are not required, longer-term follow-up data from participants in existing methodologically robust RCTs are needed to determine how useful immunosuppressive regimens, which include TOR-I, are in maintaining kidney transplant function and survival beyond three years.

Clinicians' attitudes and approaches to evaluating the potential living kidney donor-recipient relationship: An interview study.

AIM: Careful assessment of the potential donor-recipient relationship is recommended by guidelines to prevent undue coercion, and to ensure realistic expectations and genuine motivations. However, relationships are complex, nuanced and value-laden, and can be challenging to evaluate in living kidney donation. We aimed to describe the attitudes and approaches of transplant clinicians towards assessing the relationship between potential living kidney donors and their recipients. METHODS: Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 54 transplant clinicians (nephrologists, surgeons, coordinators, social workers, psychiatrists and psychologists) from 32 transplant centres across nine countries including Australia, United States, Canada and New Zealand. Transcripts were analyzed thematically. RESULTS: Four themes were identified: protecting against vulnerability and premature decisions (ensuring genuine motivation, uncovering precarious dynamics and pre-empting conflict, shared accountability, relying on specialty psychosocial expertise, trusting intimate bonds, tempering emotional impulsivity); safeguarding against coercion (discerning power imbalance, justified inquiry, awareness of impression management); minimizing potential threat to relationships (preserving the bond, giving equitable attention to donors and recipients, ensuring realistic expectations); and ambiguities in making judgments (adjudicating appropriateness and authenticity of relationships, questioning professional intervening, uncertainties in subjective and emotional assessments). CONCLUSIONS: Clinicians felt ethically compelled to minimize the risk of undue coercion and to protect donors and recipients when evaluating the donor-recipient relationship. However, disentangling voluntariness and altruism from potential undisclosed pressures to enact societal and family duty, making decisions within this complex, multi-stakeholder context, and avoiding the imposition of undue paternalism and donor autonomy, were challenging. Multidisciplinary expertise and practical strategies for managing uncertainties are required.

The causes, significance and consequences of inflammatory fibrosis in kidney transplantation: The Banff i-IFTA lesion.

Inflammation within areas of interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (i-IFTA) is associated with adverse outcomes in kidney transplantation. We evaluated i-IFTA in 429 indication- and 2052 protocol-driven biopsy samples from a longitudinal cohort of 362 kidney-pancreas recipients to determine its prevalence, time course, and relationships with T cell-mediated rejection (TCMR), immunosuppression, and outcome. Sequential histology demonstrated that i-IFTA was preceded by cellular interstitial inflammation and followed by IF/TA. The prevalence and intensity of i-IFTA increased with developing chronic fibrosis and correlated with inflammation, tubulitis, and immunosuppression era (P < .001). Tacrolimus era-based immunosuppression was associated with reduced histologic inflammation in unscarred and scarred i-IFTA compartments, ameliorated progression of IF, and increased conversion to inactive IF/TA (compared with cyclosporine era, P < .001). Prior acute (including borderline) TCMR and subclinical TCMR were followed by greater 1-year i-IFTA, remaining predictive by multivariate analysis and independent of humoral markers. One-year i-IFTA was associated with accelerated IF/TA, arterial fibrointimal hyperplasia, and chronic glomerulopathy and with reduced renal function (P < .001 versus no i-IFTA). In summary, i-IFTA is the histologic consequence of active T cell-mediated alloimmunity, representing the interface between inflammation and tubular injury with fibrotic healing. Uncontrolled i-IFTA is associated with adverse structural and functional outcomes.

Renal transplant outcomes and de novo donor-specific anti-human leukocyte antigen antibodies: a systematic review.

Background: Pre-transplant donor-specific anti-human leukocyte antigen antibodies (DSAs) are known risk factors for acute rejection and reduced graft survival after kidney transplantation. DSAs may also develop de novo DSAs (dnDSAs) after transplantation but the clinical implications of these antibodies remain uncertain. Methods: We undertook a systematic review of observational studies that examined the association between dnDSAs and graft and patient outcomes (through August 2017) with the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) system of reporting used to assess the quality of evidence available. Results: Thirty-six studies involving 10 535 transplant recipients were eligible. There was moderate quality evidence that transplant recipients who developed dnDSAs had increased risks of acute antibody-mediated rejection (AMR) [relative risk (RR) 9.66; 95% confidence interval (CI) 6.79-13.73, 16 studies, n = 4174]. For all other outcomes, the evidence was low to very low due to moderate-high heterogeneity and low study quality (acute cellular rejection, RR 2.92; 95% CI 2.16-3.94, 22 studies, n = 4991, low-quality evidence; chronic AMR and transplant glomerulopathy RR 6.78; 95% CI 4.31-10.66, 3 studies, n = 1617, very low-quality evidence; and graft loss RR 4.95; 95% CI 3.81-6.43, 19 studies, n = 5473, low-quality evidence). Meta-regression indicated that deceased kidney donation (R2 = 1.00, P < 0.001) and region of study conduction (R2 = 0.50, P = 0.005) modified associations between dnDSAs and outcomes. Conclusions: dnDSAs are associated with increased risks of adverse graft and patient outcomes after kidney transplantation, but estimation uncertainty of the augmented risks exist due to limitations such as heterogeneity within the existing literature. Therapeutic interventions targeted to eliminate or prevent these antibodies evaluated in randomized controlled trials are needed to establish whether dnDSAs are causal to transplantation outcomes.

Setting the limit for living kidney donation-how big is too big?

Increasingly, obese and overweight but healthy individuals are being considered for living donation, but the consequences of obesity on long-term health outcomes, including the risk of progression to end-stage kidney disease after donor nephrectomy, are relatively unknown. In this issue, Locke et al. analyzed a large cohort of living kidney donors in the United States, including 26% who were obese, and estimated the attributable and relative risk of end-stage kidney disease over time. Findings from this study challenge the current recommended thresholds for obesity that usually preclude donation, and inform communication regarding risk between clinicians and prospective donors during the donor evaluation process.

Biopsy transcriptome expression profiling to identify kidney transplants at risk of chronic injury: a multicentre, prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic injury in kidney transplants remains a major cause of allograft loss. The aim of this study was to identify a gene set capable of predicting renal allografts at risk of progressive injury due to fibrosis. METHODS: This Genomics of Chronic Allograft Rejection (GoCAR) study is a prospective, multicentre study. We prospectively collected biopsies from renal allograft recipients (n=204) with stable renal function 3 months after transplantation. We used microarray analysis to investigate gene expression in 159 of these tissue samples. We aimed to identify genes that correlated with the Chronic Allograft Damage Index (CADI) score at 12 months, but not fibrosis at the time of the biopsy. We applied a penalised regression model in combination with permutation-based approach to derive an optimal gene set to predict allograft fibrosis. The GoCAR study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00611702. FINDINGS: We identified a set of 13 genes that was independently predictive for the development of fibrosis at 1 year (ie, CADI-12 ≥2). The gene set had high predictive capacity (area under the curve [AUC] 0·967), which was superior to that of baseline clinical variables (AUC 0·706) and clinical and pathological variables (AUC 0·806). Furthermore routine pathological variables were unable to identify which histologically normal allografts would progress to fibrosis (AUC 0·754), whereas the predictive gene set accurately discriminated between transplants at high and low risk of progression (AUC 0·916). The 13 genes also accurately predicted early allograft loss (AUC 0·842 at 2 years and 0·844 at 3 years). We validated the predictive value of this gene set in an independent cohort from the GoCAR study (n=45, AUC 0·866) and two independent, publically available expression datasets (n=282, AUC 0·831 and n=24, AUC 0·972). INTERPRETATION: Our results suggest that this set of 13 genes could be used to identify kidney transplant recipients at risk of allograft loss before the development of irreversible damage, thus allowing therapy to be modified to prevent progression to fibrosis. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health.

Progress in Transplantation: Will It Be Achieved in Big Steps or by Marginal Gains?

A wish for progress in transplantation assumes that there are needs not met by the currently available therapy and that the barriers to resolving the problems can be surmounted. There are 5 major unmet needs: the potential to avoid transplantation either by prevention of disease or provision of an alternative to natural biological organ replacement; geographic heterogeneity of access to, and quality of, transplantation; availability of transplantation to those in need of it; survival of the patient and the transplant; and the avoidance of adverse effects of immunosuppression. During the past 50 years, there have been advances on at least 4 of these 5 fronts that illustrate the interplay of "big steps" and "marginal gains" in the following areas: surgical technique, testing the immunologic barriers, introduction of chemical and biological immunosuppression, and prophylaxis for microbial infections. The potential for further improvement comes in 5 major areas: blood biomarkers for monitoring of rejection, drug-free transplantation through the development of stable tolerance, eliminating the impact of ischemia-reperfusion injury, xenotransplantation of porcine kidneys, and finally, the possibility of autologous regeneration of functioning kidney tissue to treat advanced kidney disease.