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BACKGROUND: In May 2018, the Scottish Government set a minimum unit price (MUP) of £0·50 per unit of alcohol sold in Scotland to reduce alcohol-related health harms. We synthesised evidence to establish the effects of MUP on alcohol-related health and social harms, at population level and within specific societal groups. METHODS: We did a theory-based synthesis of academic and grey research evidence about impacts of MUP in Scotland, including compliance, price, consumption, health outcomes, social outcomes, public attitudes, and the alcoholic drinks industry. We searched the Public Health Scotland's MUP evaluation portfolio and relevant grey and academic literature for studies published between Jan 1, 2018, and Jan 31, 2023. We conducted systematic searches and screening of bibliographic databases (Scopus, Public Health Database, EconLit, MEDLINE, ProQuest Public Health, Social Policy and Practice, NHS Scotland Knowledge Network Library Search, medRxiv, bioRxiv, SSRN, Idox Knowledge Exchange, Social Policy & Practice, and Google Search). Search terms were tailored to specific databases but included variants of the terms "minimum unit pricing", "alcohol", and "policy". Eligibility literature included English-language research into impacts of MUP on either the population of Scotland or a specific subpopulation. We excluded conference abstracts, literature reviews, articles that did not report research, and research based solely on data from before the introduction of MUP. FINDINGS: We included 40 reports in our analysis. On the balance of evidence, MUP improved population-level health outcomes, demonstrated most starkly by a 13·4% reduction in alcohol-attributable deaths in Scotland compared with England. There was no evidence of substantial negative effects on the alcoholic drinks industry or social harms at the population level. While population-level outcomes were predominantly positive, some qualitative evidence suggests that MUP might have exacerbated health and social harms for some individuals or groups, especially those with alcohol dependence who were financially vulnerable. INTERPRETATION: MUP in Scotland has been effective in reducing alcohol-related health harms, with little evidence of any effect on social harms. If MUP continues, policymakers should consider raising the £0·50 per unit threshold and supplementing the intervention with policies or services to address any unintended negative effects experienced by specific groups. The synthesis is persuasive due to the prospective, theory-based design of the evaluation portfolio and the quality and comprehensiveness of the evidence. FUNDING: Scottish Government.
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Bebidas Alcoólicas , Etanol , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Custos e Análise de Custo , Escócia/epidemiologia , Política Pública , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/epidemiologia , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/prevenção & controle , ComércioRESUMO
Unemployment is more common among people living with HIV (PLWH) compared to the general population. PLWH who are employed have better physical and mental health outcomes compared to unemployed PLWH. The main objective of this mixed-methods study was to conduct a program evaluation of Employment Action (EACT), a community-based program that assists PLWH in Toronto, Ontario, Canada to maintain meaningful employment. We extracted quantitative data from two HIV services databases used by EACT, and collected qualitative data from 12 individuals who had been placed into paid employment through EACT. From 131 clients included in the analysis, 38.1% (n = 50) maintained their job for at least 6 weeks within the first year of enrollment in the EACT program. Gender, ethnicity, age, and first language did not predict employment maintenance. Our interviews highlighted the barriers and facilitators to effective service delivery. Key recommendations include implementing skills training, embedding PLWH as EACT staff, and following up with clients once they gain employment. Investment in social programs such as EACT are essential for strengthening their data collection capacity, active outreach to service users, and sufficient planning for the evaluation phase prior to program implementation.
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Benzamidas , Infecções por HIV , Tiazóis , Humanos , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/psicologia , Emprego , Ontário/epidemiologia , Desemprego , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de SaúdeRESUMO
Importance: Development of myocardial fibrosis in patients with aortic stenosis precedes left ventricular decompensation and is associated with an adverse long-term prognosis. Objective: To investigate whether early valve intervention reduced the incidence of all-cause death or unplanned aortic stenosis-related hospitalization in asymptomatic patients with severe aortic stenosis and myocardial fibrosis. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective, randomized, open-label, masked end point trial was conducted between August 2017 and October 2022 at 24 cardiac centers across the UK and Australia. Asymptomatic patients with severe aortic stenosis and myocardial fibrosis were included. The final date of follow-up was July 26, 2024. Intervention: Early valve intervention with transcatheter or surgical aortic valve replacement or guideline-directed conservative management. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death or unplanned aortic stenosis-related hospitalization in a time-to-first-event intention-to-treat analysis. There were 9 secondary outcomes, including the components of the primary outcome and symptom status at 12 months. Results: The trial enrolled 224 eligible patients (mean [SD] age, 73 [9] years; 63 women [28%]; mean [SD] aortic valve peak velocity of 4.3 [0.5] m/s) of the originally planned sample size of 356 patients. The primary end point occurred in 20 of 113 patients (18%) in the early intervention group and 25 of 111 patients (23%) in the guideline-directed conservative management group (hazard ratio, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.44-1.43]; P = .44; between-group difference, -4.82% [95% CI, -15.31% to 5.66%]). Of 9 prespecified secondary end points, 7 showed no significant difference. All-cause death occurred in 16 of 113 patients (14%) in the early intervention group and 14 of 111 (13%) in the guideline-directed group (hazard ratio, 1.22 [95% CI, 0.59-2.51]) and unplanned aortic stenosis hospitalization occurred in 7 of 113 patients (6%) and 19 of 111 patients (17%), respectively (hazard ratio, 0.37 [95% CI, 0.16-0.88]). Early intervention was associated with a lower 12-month rate of New York Heart Association class II-IV symptoms than guideline-directed conservative management (21 [19.7%] vs 39 [37.9%]; odds ratio, 0.37 [95% CI, 0.20-0.70]). Conclusions and Relevance: In asymptomatic patients with severe aortic stenosis and myocardial fibrosis, early aortic valve intervention had no demonstrable effect on all-cause death or unplanned aortic stenosis-related hospitalization. The trial had a wide 95% CI around the primary end point, with further research needed to confirm these findings. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03094143.
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BACKGROUND: Effective treatment has extended the life expectancy and reduced disability in people living with HIV (PLWH). However, previous research has found 45-65% of working-age PLWH were unemployed compared to 5-10% in the general public of North America and Europe. We examined the barriers to gaining employment among PLWH. METHODS: Thirty-five in-depth interviews were conducted in person or over the phone with PLWH living in Toronto or Ottawa. This included PLWH who were unemployed but actively seeking employment, as well as PLWH who had successfully gained employment through an agency that specifically supported PLWH funded by the AIDS Committee of Toronto. Interviews were conducted between February 2019 and March 2020. All interviews were audio-recorded, transcribed and analyzed using thematic analysis. RESULTS: The majority of participants were between the ages of 40-55 and identified as male. Participants shared many common barriers when describing their attempts to attain or maintain employment. Although varying in employment status at the time of the study, consistent barriers included experiencing HIV stigma in workplaces, challenges overcoming mental health illnesses, and difficulties in navigating social assistance and unemployment insurance programs when pursuing a return to work. CONCLUSIONS: PLWH face significant barriers when attempting to engage with employment opportunities. Health providers and organizations can do more to support campaigns to end HIV stigma, to support individuals in pursuing employment, and to advocate for policy change that supports reentry into the workforce for PLHA.
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Emprego/psicologia , Infecções por HIV/psicologia , Preconceito/psicologia , Estigma Social , Desemprego/psicologia , Adulto , Pessoas com Deficiência/estatística & dados numéricos , Emprego/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Nível de Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Transtornos Mentais , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Preconceito/estatística & dados numéricos , Pesquisa Qualitativa , Inquéritos e Questionários , Desemprego/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Financial strain is a key social determinant of health. As primary care organizations begin to explore ways to address social determinants, peer-to-peer interventions hold promise. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to evaluate a peer-to-peer intervention focussed on financial empowerment delivered in primary care, in partnership with a social enterprise. METHODS: This intervention was hosted by a large primary care organization in Toronto, Canada. Participants were recruited within the organization and from local services. We organized three separate groups who met over 10 weekly in-person, facilitated sessions: millennials (age 19-29) no longer in school, precariously employed adults (age 30-55) and older adults near retirement (age 55-64). We applied principles of adult education and peer-to-peer learning. We administered surveys at intake, at exit and at 3 months after the intervention, and conducted three focus groups. RESULTS: Fifty-nine people took part. At 3 months, participants had sustained higher rates of optimism about their financial situation (54% improved from baseline), their degree of control (55% improved) and stress around finances (50% improved). In focus groups, participants reported greater understanding of their finances, that they were not alone in struggling with finances, and that it was useful to meet with others. One group continued to meet for several months after the intervention. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, a peer-to-peer intervention helped address a key social determinant of health, likely through reducing stigma, providing group support and creating a space to discuss solutions. Primary care can host these interventions and help engage potential participants.
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Atenção Primária à Saúde , Instituições Acadêmicas , Adulto , Idoso , Canadá , Grupos Focais , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inquéritos e Questionários , Adulto JovemRESUMO
PURPOSE: Employment is a key social determinant of health. People who are unemployed typically have worse health than those employed. Illness and disability can result in unemployment and be a barrier to regaining employment. We combined a systematic review and knowledge synthesis to identify both studies of employment interventions in health care settings and common characteristics of successful interventions. METHODS: We searched the peer-reviewed literature (1995-2017), and titles and abstracts were screened for inclusion and exclusion criteria by 2 independent reviewers. We extracted data on the study setting, participants, intervention, methods, and findings. We also conducted a narrative synthesis and iteratively developed a conceptual model to inform future primary care interventions. RESULTS: Of 6,729 unique citations, 88 articles met our criteria. Most articles (89%) focused on people with mental illness. The majority of articles (74%) tested interventions that succeeded in helping participants gain employment. We identified 5 key features of successful interventions: (1) a multidisciplinary team that communicates regularly and collaborates, (2) a comprehensive package of services, (3) one-on-one and tailored components, (4) a holistic view of health and social needs, and (5) prospective engagement with employers. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings can inform new interventions that focus on employment as a social determinant of health. Although hiring a dedicated employment specialist may not be feasible for most primary care organizations, pathways using existing resources with links to external agencies can be created. As precarious work becomes more common, helping patients engage in safe and productive employment could improve health, access to health care, and well-being.
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Emprego/métodos , Atenção Primária à Saúde/métodos , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde , HumanosRESUMO
In this editorial, we consider the vexing issue of 'unrelated future costs' (for example, the costs of caring for people with dementia or kidney failure after preventing their deaths from a heart attack). The National Institute of Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidance is not to take such costs into account in technology appraisals. However, standard appraisal practice involves modelling the benefits of those unrelated technologies. We argue that there is a sound principled reason for including both the costs and benefits of unrelated care. Changing this practice would have material consequences for decisions about reimbursing particular technologies, and we urge future research to understand this better. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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Análise Custo-Benefício , Avaliação da Tecnologia Biomédica/economia , Avaliação da Tecnologia Biomédica/métodos , Humanos , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Medicina Estatal/economiaRESUMO
This invited discussion paper highlights key updates in the MRC/NIHR's revised framework for the development and evaluation of complex nursing interventions and reflects on the implications for nursing research.
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Pesquisa em Enfermagem , Reino UnidoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: A fairer economy is increasingly recognised as crucial for tackling widening social, economic and health inequalities within society. However, which actions have been evaluated for their impact on inclusive economy outcomes is yet unknown. OBJECTIVE: Identify the effects of political, economic and social exposures, interventions and policies on inclusive economy (IE) outcomes in high-income countries, by systematically reviewing the review-level evidence. METHODS: We conducted a review of reviews; searching databases (May 2020) EconLit, Web of Science, Sociological Abstracts, ASSIA, International Bibliography of the Social Sciences, Public Health Database, Embase and MEDLINE; and registries PROSPERO, Campbell Collaboration and EPPI Centre (February 2021) and grey literature (August/September 2020). We aimed to identify reviews which examined social, political and/or economic exposures, interventions and policies in relation to two IE outcome domains: (i) equitable distribution of the benefits of the economy and (ii) equitable access to the resources needed to participate in the economy. Reviews had to include primary studies which compared IE outcomes within or between groups. Quality was assessed using a modified version of AMSTAR-2 and data synthesised informed by SWiM principles. RESULTS: We identified 19 reviews for inclusion, most of which were low quality, as was the underlying primary evidence. Most reviews (n = 14) had outcomes relating to the benefits of the economy (rather than access to resources) and examined a limited set of interventions, primarily active labour market programmes and social security. There was limited high-quality review evidence to draw upon to identify effects on IE outcomes. Most reviews focused on disadvantaged groups and did not consider equity impacts. CONCLUSIONS: Review-level evidence is sparse and focuses on 'corrective' approaches. Future reviews should examine a diverse set of 'upstream' actions intended to be inclusive 'by design' and consider a wider range of outcomes, with particular attention to socioeconomic inequalities.
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Países Desenvolvidos , Equidade em Saúde , Humanos , Política , Política de Saúde , Fatores SocioeconômicosRESUMO
The UK Medical Research Council's widely used guidance for developing and evaluating complex interventions has been replaced by a new framework, commissioned jointly by the Medical Research Council and the National Institute for Health Research, which takes account of recent developments in theory and methods and the need to maximise the efficiency, use, and impact of research.
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Guias como Assunto , Reino Unido , Humanos , Pesquisa BiomédicaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The development and progression of aortic stenosis (AS) from aortic valve (AV) sclerosis is highly variable and difficult to predict. OBJECTIVES: The authors investigated whether a previously validated echocardiography-based deep learning (DL) model assessing diastolic dysfunction (DD) could identify the latent risk associated with the development and progression of AS. METHODS: The authors evaluated 898 participants with AV sclerosis from the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) cohort study and associated the DL-predicted probability of DD with 2 endpoints: 1) the new diagnosis of AS; and 2) the composite of subsequent mortality or AV interventions. Validation was performed in 2 additional cohorts: 1) in 50 patients with mild-to-moderate AS undergoing cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging and serial echocardiographic assessments; and 2) in 18 patients with AV sclerosis undergoing 18F-sodium fluoride (NaF) and 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (PET) combined with computed tomography (CT) to assess valvular inflammation and calcification. RESULTS: In the ARIC cohort, a higher DL-predicted probability of DD was associated with the development of AS (adjusted HR: 3.482 [95% CI: 2.061-5.884]; P < 0.001) and subsequent mortality or AV interventions (adjusted HR: 7.033 [95% CI: 3.036-16.290]; P < 0.001). The multivariable Cox model (incorporating the DL-predicted probability of DD) derived from the ARIC cohort efficiently predicted the progression of AS (C-index: 0.798 [95% CI: 0.648-0.948]) in the CMR cohort. Moreover, the predictions of this multivariable Cox model correlated positively with valvular 18F-NaF mean standardized uptake values in the PET/CT cohort (r = 0.62; P = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: Assessment of DD using DL can stratify the latent risk associated with the progression of early-stage AS.
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BACKGROUND: Patients with moderate or asymptomatic severe aortic stenosis (AS) are at risk of cardiovascular events. OBJECTIVES: The authors investigated the utility of cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) to identify drivers of outcome in patients with moderate or asymptomatic severe AS. METHODS: A prospective, international, multicenter cohort (n = 457) of patients with moderate (aortic valve area [AVA]: 1.0-1.5 cm2) or asymptomatic severe AS (AVA ≤1.0 cm2 and NYHA functional class I-II) patients underwent CMR. Diffuse interstitial fibrosis and scar in the myocardium were analyzed with extracellular volume fraction (ECV%) and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE). The outcome was a composite of mortality and heart failure admission. RESULTS: Median ECV% was 26.6% (IQR: 24.4%-29.9%), and LGE was present in 31.5% (median 0.8%; IQR: 0.1%-1.7%). Greater AS severity was associated with greater left ventricular mass and diastolic dysfunction, but not with ECV% or LGE. During a median 5.7 years of follow-up, 83 events occurred. Patients with events had higher ECV% (median ECV% 26.3% vs 28.2%; P = 0.003). Patients in the highest ECV% tertiles (ECV% >28.6%) had worse outcomes both in the entire cohort and in those with NYHA functional class I moderate or severe AS, and ECV% was independently associated with outcome (adjusted HR: 1.05; P = 0.039). The ECV% had significant incremental prognostic value when added to parameters of AS severity and cardiac function, comorbidities, aortic valve replacement, and LGE (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Increased diffuse interstitial fibrosis of the myocardium is associated with poor outcomes in patients with moderate and asymptomatic severe AS and can help identify those who require closer surveillance for adverse outcomes.
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Importance: There are currently no pharmacological treatments available to slow hemodynamic progression of aortic stenosis. Plasma lipoprotein(a) concentrations predict incident aortic stenosis but its association with hemodynamic progression is controversial. Objective: To determine the association between plasma lipoprotein(a) concentrations and hemodynamic progression in patients with aortic stenosis. Design, Settings and Participants: The study included patients with aortic stenosis from 5 longitudinal clinical studies conducted from March 2001 to March 2023 in Canada and the UK. Of 757 total patients, data on plasma lipoprotein(a) concentrations and rates of hemodynamic progression assessed by echocardiography were available for 710, who were included in this analysis. Data were analyzed from March 2023 to April 2024. Exposure: Cohort-specific plasma lipoprotein(a) concentration tertiles. Main Outcomes and Measures: Hemodynamic aortic stenosis progression on echocardiography as assessed by annualized change in peak aortic jet velocity, mean transvalvular gradient, and aortic valve area. Results: Among the included patients, 497 (70%) were male and 213 (30%) were female. The mean (SD) age was 65.2 (13.1) years. Patients in the top lipoprotein(a) tertile demonstrated 41% (estimate, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.13-1.75) faster progression of peak aortic jet velocity and 57% (estimate, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.18-2.10) faster progression of mean transvalvular gradient than patients in the bottom tertile. There was no evidence of heterogeneity across the individual cohorts. Progression of aortic valve area was comparable between groups (estimate, 1.23; 95% CI, 0.71-2.12). Similar results were observed when plasma lipoprotein(a) concentrations were treated as a continuous variable. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, higher plasma lipoprotein(a) concentrations were associated with faster rates of hemodynamic progression in patients with aortic stenosis. Lowering plasma lipoprotein(a) concentrations warrants further investigation in the prevention and treatment of aortic stenosis.
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Estenose da Valva Aórtica , Valva Aórtica , Calcinose , Progressão da Doença , Lipoproteína(a) , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Valva Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Valva Aórtica/patologia , Estenose da Valva Aórtica/sangue , Estenose da Valva Aórtica/diagnóstico , Estenose da Valva Aórtica/fisiopatologia , Calcinose/sangue , Calcinose/diagnóstico , Calcinose/fisiopatologia , Ecocardiografia , Hemodinâmica/fisiologia , Lipoproteína(a)/sangueRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Social isolation is associated with increased all-cause and premature mortality, poor chronic disease management, and mental health concerns. Limited research exists on interventions addressing social isolation among individuals under 65 despite its increasing prevalence among young and middle-aged adults. AIM: To identify interventions from the extant literature that address social isolation and loneliness in ambulatory healthcare settings in adults aged 18-64, and to identify elements of successful studies for future intervention design. DESIGN & SETTING: Systematic review of interventions targeting social isolation in community-dwelling adults aged 18-64 within ambulatory healthcare settings. METHOD: A search strategy was developed to identify relevant articles in the following databases: Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, EBM Reviews, Scopus, CINAHL and PsychInfo. Data were extracted on study design and setting, intervention type, outcome related to social isolation/loneliness and scale of measure used. RESULTS: 25,078 citations were identified and underwent title and abstract screening. 75 articles met our inclusion criteria and were synthesised, including an assessment of bias. Effective interventions were delivered in community health settings, incorporated a group component, and used digital technologies. They also addressed the association between mental health and social isolation using CBT approaches and enhanced self-management and coping strategies for chronic conditions through psycho-educational interventions. CONCLUSION: Future research should prioritise adults living in low- and middle-income countries, racialized individuals, as well as those with fewer educational opportunities. There is also a need to advance research in primary care settings, where longitudinal patient-provider relationships would facilitate the success of interventions.
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BACKGROUND: Total coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity across the entire coronary arterial tree is associated with patient-level clinical outcomes. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to investigate whether vessel-level coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity is associated with vessel-level myocardial infarction. METHODS: In this secondary analysis of an international multicenter study of patients with recent myocardial infarction and multivessel coronary artery disease, we assessed vessel-level coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity using coronary 18F-sodium fluoride positron emission tomography to identify vessel-level myocardial infarction. RESULTS: Increased 18F-sodium fluoride uptake was found in 679 of 2,094 coronary arteries and 414 of 691 patients. Myocardial infarction occurred in 24 (4%) vessels with increased coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity and in 25 (2%) vessels without increased coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity (HR: 2.08; 95% CI: 1.16-3.72; P = 0.013). This association was not demonstrable in those treated with coronary revascularization (HR: 1.02; 95% CI: 0.47-2.25) but was notable in untreated vessels (HR: 3.86; 95% CI: 1.63-9.10; Pinteraction = 0.024). Increased coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity in multiple coronary arteries was associated with heightened patient-level risk of cardiac death or myocardial infarction (HR: 2.43; 95% CI: 1.37-4.30; P = 0.002) as well as first (HR: 2.19; 95% CI: 1.18-4.06; P = 0.013) and total (HR: 2.50; 95% CI: 1.42-4.39; P = 0.002) myocardial infarctions. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with recent myocardial infarction and multivessel coronary artery disease, coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity prognosticates individual coronary arteries and patients at risk for myocardial infarction.
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Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Infarto do Miocárdio , Placa Aterosclerótica , Humanos , Placa Aterosclerótica/diagnóstico por imagem , Placa Aterosclerótica/complicações , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/etiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/epidemiologia , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/diagnóstico por imagem , Idoso , Tomografia por Emissão de Pósitrons , Vasos Coronários/diagnóstico por imagem , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Aortic stenosis (AS) is characterized by calcification and fibrosis. The ability to quantify these processes simultaneously has been limited with previous imaging methods. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the aortic valve fibrocalcific volume by computed tomography (CT) angiography in patients with AS, in particular, to assess its reproducibility, association with histology and disease severity, and ability to predict/track progression. METHODS: In 136 patients with AS, fibrocalcific volume was calculated on CT angiograms at baseline and after 1 year. CT attenuation distributions were analyzed using Gaussian-mixture-modeling to derive thresholds for tissue types enabling the quantification of calcific, noncalcific, and fibrocalcific volumes. Scan-rescan reproducibility was assessed and validation provided against histology and in an external cohort. RESULTS: Fibrocalcific volume measurements took 5.8 ± 1.0 min/scan, demonstrating good correlation with ex vivo valve weight (r = 0.51; P < 0.001) and excellent scan-rescan reproducibility (mean difference -1%, limits of agreement -4.5% to 2.8%). Baseline fibrocalcific volumes correlated with mean gradient on echocardiography in both male and female participants (rho = 0.64 and 0.69, respectively; both P < 0.001) and in the external validation cohort (n = 66, rho = 0.58; P < 0.001). The relationship was driven principally by calcific volume in men and fibrotic volume in women. After 1 year, fibrocalcific volume increased by 17% and correlated with progression in mean gradient (rho = 0.32; P = 0.003). Baseline fibrocalcific volume was the strongest predictor of subsequent mean gradient progression, with a particularly strong association in female patients (rho = 0.75; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The aortic valve fibrocalcific volume provides an anatomic assessment of AS severity that can track disease progression precisely. It correlates with disease severity and hemodynamic progression in both male and female patients.
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BACKGROUND: It has been suggested that to meet information needs of multiple stakeholders, evaluation of public health interventions should specify a broader range of outcomes, evaluate a wider range of interventions and use more varied methods, in particular for dealing with complexity. Current outcomes approaches in public policy are potentially fertile ground for addressing these challenges and embedding evaluation in processes for reporting on public health outcomes. This paper describes work by NHS Health Scotland to realize this potential. METHODS: Development of outcomes frameworks containing logic models which link actions to outcomes and specify outcome indicators for monitoring progress. Group processes to inform and help create shared ownership of models across key stakeholders. Creation of web-based resources to host outcomes frameworks with hyperlinks connecting logic models to evidence and outcome indicators. RESULTS: The outcomes frameworks have been used in various ways by policy-makers and practitioners to shape policy, planning and monitoring and evaluation. A range of additional challenges that need to be overcome in developing and using the outcomes frameworks has been identified. CONCLUSIONS: Logic model-based outcomes frameworks are useful tools for supporting outcome-based planning and evaluation of public health interventions.