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1.
World J Urol ; 42(1): 393, 2024 Jul 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38985325

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To validate the Barcelona-magnetic resonance imaging predictive model (BCN-MRI PM) for clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) in Catalonia, a Spanish region with 7.9 million inhabitants. Additionally, the BCN-MRI PM is validated in men receiving 5-alpha reductase inhibitors (5-ARI). MATERIALS AND METHODS: A population of 2,212 men with prostate-specific antigen serum level > 3.0 ng/ml and/or a suspicious digital rectal examination who underwent multiparametric MRI and targeted and/or systematic biopsies in the year 2022, at ten participant centers of the Catalonian csPCa early detection program, were selected. 120 individuals (5.7%) were identified as receiving 5-ARI treatment for longer than a year. The risk of csPCa was retrospectively assessed with the Barcelona-risk calculator 2 (BCN-RC 2). Men undergoing 5-ARI treatment for less than a year were excluded. CsPCa was defined when the grade group was ≥ 2. RESULTS: The area under the curve of the BCN-MRI PM in 5-ARI naïve men was 0.824 (95% CI 0.783-0.842) and 0.849 (0.806-0.916) in those receiving 5-ARI treatment, p 0.475. Specificities at 100, 97.5, and 95% sensitivity thresholds were to 2.7, 29.3, and 39% in 5-ARI naïve men, while 43.5, 46.4, and 47.8%, respectively in 5-ARI users. The application of BCN-MRI PM would result in a reduction of 23.8% of prostate biopsies missing 5% of csPCa in 5-ARI naïve men, while reducing 25% of prostate biopsies without missing csPCa in 5-ARI users. CONCLUSIONS: The BCN-MRI PM has achieved successful validation in Catalonia and, notably, for the first time, in men undergoing 5-ARI treatment.


Assuntos
Inibidores de 5-alfa Redutase , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Neoplasias da Próstata , Humanos , Masculino , Neoplasias da Próstata/patologia , Neoplasias da Próstata/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias da Próstata/sangue , Neoplasias da Próstata/tratamento farmacológico , Inibidores de 5-alfa Redutase/uso terapêutico , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Espanha , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética Multiparamétrica
2.
Transpl Int ; 35: 10263, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35615539

RESUMO

In the last few years, several studies have analyzed sex and gender differences in liver transplantation (LT), but none have performed a disaggregated analysis of both mortality and causes of death. Data from 15,998 patients, 11,914 (74.5%) males and 4,069 (25.5%) females, transplanted between 2000 and 2016 were obtained from the Liver Transplantation Spanish Registry. Survival analysis was applied to explore recipient sex as a risk factor for death. The causes of death at different follow-up duration were disaggregated by recipient sex for analysis. Short-term survival was higher in males, whereas long-term survival was higher in females. Survival at 1, 5 and 10 years post-transplant was 87.43%, 73.83%, and 61.23%, respectively, in males and 86.28%, 74.19%, and 65.10%, respectively, in females (p = 0.05). Post-LT mortality related to previous liver disease also presented sex differences. Males had 37% increased overall mortality from acute liver failure (p = 0.035) and 37% from HCV-negative cirrhosis (p < 0.001). Females had approximately 16% increased mortality when the liver disease was HCV-positive cirrhosis (p = 0.003). Regarding causes of death, non-malignancy HCV+ recurrence (6.3% vs. 3.9% of patients; p < 0.001), was more frequently reported in females. By contrast, death because of malignancy recurrence (3.9% vs. 2.2% of patients; p = 0.003) and de novo malignancy (4.8% vs. 2.5% of patients; p < 0.001) were significantly more frequent in male recipients. Cardiovascular disease, renal failure, and surgical complications were similar in both. In summary, male patients have lower short-term mortality than females but higher long-term and overall mortality. In addition, the post-LT mortality risk related to previous liver disease and the causes of mortality differ between males and females.


Assuntos
Hepatite C , Hepatopatias , Transplante de Fígado , Causas de Morte , Feminino , Hepatite C/complicações , Humanos , Cirrose Hepática , Hepatopatias/cirurgia , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Masculino , Recidiva , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Caracteres Sexuais , Fatores Sexuais
3.
Dig Dis Sci ; 67(8): 4049-4058, 2022 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34387810

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Unlike colorectal cancer (CRC), few studies have explored the predictive value of genetic risk scores (GRS) in the development of colorectal adenomas (CRA), either alone or in combination with other demographic and clinical factors. METHODS: In this study, genomic DNA from 613 Spanish Caucasian patients with CRA and 829 polyp-free individuals was genotyped for 88 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with CRC risk using the MassArray™ (Sequenom) platform. After applying a multivariate logistic regression model, five SNPs were selected to calculate the GRS. Regression models adjusted by sex, age, family history of CRC, chronic use of NSAIDs, low-dose ASA, and consumption of tobacco were built in order to study the association between GRS and CRA risk. We evaluated the discriminatory capacity using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The interactions between demographic information and GRS were also analyzed. RESULTS: Significant associations between high GRS values and risk of CRA for analyzed models were observed. In particular, patients with higher GRS values had 2.3-2.6-fold increase in risk of CRA compared to patients with middle values. Combining sex and age with the GRS significantly increased the discriminatory accuracy of the univariate model with GRS alone. The best model achieved an AUC value of 0.665 (95% CI: 0.63-0.69). The GRS showed a different behavior depending on sex and age. CONCLUSION: Our findings showed that, besides sex and age, GRS is an important risk factor for development of CRA and may be useful for CRC risk stratification and adaptation of screening programs.


Assuntos
Adenoma , Neoplasias Colorretais , Adenoma/diagnóstico , Adenoma/epidemiologia , Adenoma/genética , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/genética , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Humanos , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Fatores de Risco
4.
Fetal Diagn Ther ; 48(11-12): 768-777, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34727547

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess reduced fetal growth between 35 weeks of gestation and birth in non-small for gestational age fetuses associated with adverse perinatal outcomes (APOs). MATERIAL AND METHOD: It is a retrospective cohort study of 9,164 non-small for gestational age fetuses estimated by ultrasound at 35 weeks. The difference between the birth weight percentile and the estimated percentile weight (EPW) at 35 weeks of gestation was calculated, and we studied the relationship of this difference with the appearance of APO. APOs were defined as cesarean or instrumental delivery rates for nonreassuring fetal status, 5-min Apgar score <7, arterial cord blood pH <7.10, and stillbirth. Fetuses that exhibited a percentile decrease between both moments were classified into 6 categories according to the amount of percentile decrease (0.01-10.0, 10.01-20.0, 20.01-30.0, 30.01-40.0, 40.01-50.0, and >50.0 percentiles). It was evaluated whether the appearance of APO was related to the amount of this percentile decrease. Relative risk (RR) was calculated in these subgroups to predict APOs in general and for each APO in particular. Receiver operating characteristic and area under curves (AUC) for the difference in the percentile was calculated, used as a continuous parameter in the entire study population. RESULTS: The median gestational age at delivery in uncomplicated pregnancies was 40.0 (39.1-40.7) and in pregnancies with APOs 40.3 (49.4-41.0), p < 0.001. The prevalence of APOs was greater in the group of fetuses with a decrease in percentile (7.6%) compared to those with increased percentile (4.8%) (p < 0.001). The RR was 1.63 (95% CI: 1.365-1.944, p < 0.001). Although the differences were significant in all decreased percentile groups, RRs were significantly higher when decreased growth values were >40 points (RR: 2.036, 95% CI: 1.581-2.623, p < 0.001). The estimated value of the AUC for percentile decrease was 0.58 (0.56-0.61, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Fetuses with a decrease in the EPW between the ultrasound at 35 weeks of gestation and birth have a higher risk of APOs, being double in fetuses with a decrease of >40 percentile points.


Assuntos
Peso Fetal , Recém-Nascido Pequeno para a Idade Gestacional , Feminino , Feto/diagnóstico por imagem , Idade Gestacional , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Gravidez , Estudos Retrospectivos , Ultrassonografia Pré-Natal
5.
Fetal Diagn Ther ; 48(1): 15-23, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32898848

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to assess the predictive ability of the ultrasound estimated percentile weight (EPW) at 35 weeks to predict large for gestational age (LGA) at term delivery according to 6 growth standards, including population, population-customized, and international references. The secondary objectives were to determine its predictive ability to detect adverse perinatal outcomes (APOs) and whether the ultrasound-delivery interval influences the detection rate of LGA newborns. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 9,585 singleton pregnancies. Maternal clinical characteristics, fetal ultrasound data obtained at 35 weeks, and pregnancy and perinatal outcomes were used to calculate EPWs to predict LGAs at delivery according to the customized and the non-customized (NC) Miguel Servet University Hospital (MSUH), the customized Figueras, the NC Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF), the NC INTERGROWTH-21st, and the NC World Health Organization (WHO) standards. RESULTS: For a 10% false-positive rate, detection rates for total LGAs at delivery ranged from 31.2% with the WHO (area under the curve [AUC] 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.76-0.79) to 56.5% with the FMF standard (AUC 0.85; 95% CI, 0.84-0.86). Detection rates and values of AUCs to predict LGAs by ultrasound-delivery interval (range 1-6 weeks) show higher detection rates as the interval decreases. APO detection rates ranged from 2.5% with the WHO to 12.6% with the Figueras standard. CONCLUSION: The predictive ability of ultrasound estimated fetal weight at 35 weeks to detect LGA infants is significantly greater for FMF and MSUH NC standards. In contrast, the APO detection rate is significantly greater for customized standards. The shorter ultrasound-delivery interval relates to better prediction rates.


Assuntos
Retardo do Crescimento Fetal , Recém-Nascido Pequeno para a Idade Gestacional , Peso ao Nascer , Feminino , Idade Gestacional , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Gravidez , Estudos Retrospectivos
6.
Int J Mol Sci ; 22(12)2021 Jun 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34200878

RESUMO

Prostate cancer (PCa) is the most commonly diagnosed cancer in men. The diagnosis is currently based on PSA levels, which are associated with overdiagnosis and overtreatment. Moreover, most PCas are localized tumours; hence, many patients with low-/very low-risk PCa could benefit from active surveillance (AS) programs instead of more aggressive, active treatments. Heterogeneity within inclusion criteria and follow-up strategies are the main controversial issues that AS presently faces. Many biomarkers are currently under investigation in this setting; however, none has yet demonstrated enough diagnostic ability as an independent predictor of pathological or clinical progression. This work aims to review the currently available literature on tissue, blood and urine biomarkers validated in clinical practice for the management of AS patients.


Assuntos
Biomarcadores/análise , Neoplasias da Próstata/diagnóstico , Conduta Expectante/estatística & dados numéricos , Progressão da Doença , Humanos , Masculino , Neoplasias da Próstata/prevenção & controle , Conduta Expectante/métodos
7.
Prostate ; 80(6): 500-507, 2020 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32077525

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: A 2-gene urine-based molecular test that targets messenger RNAs known to be overexpressed in aggressive prostate cancer (PCa) has been described as a helpful method for detecting clinically significant prostate cancer (grade group [GG] ≥2). We performed an external validation of this test in men undergoing initial prostate biopsy (Bx) within a Spanish opportunistic screening scenario. METHODS: We analyzed archived samples from 492 men who underwent prostate Bx in an opportunistic screening scenario, with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) 3 to 10 ng/mL and/or suspicious digital rectal exploration (DRE) and without previous multi-parametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI). Urinary biomarker measurements were combined with clinical risk factors to determine a risk score, and accuracy for GG ≥ 2 PCa detection was compared with PCA3, European randomized screening in prostate cancer (ERSPC), and prostate biopsy collaborative group (PBCG) risk calculators in a validation workup that included calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility analysis. RESULTS: In our cohort, the detection rates for GG1 and GG ≥ 2 PCa were 20.3% and 14.0%, respectively. The median PSA level was 3.9 ng/mL and 13.4% of subjects had suspicious DRE findings. The median risk score for men with GG ≥ 2 PCa was 21 (interquartile range: 14-28), significantly higher than benign+GG1 PCa (10, 6-18), P < .001, achieving the highest area under the curve among the models tested, 0.749 (95% confidence interval: 0.690-0.807). The urine test was well-calibrated, while ERSPC showed a slight underestimation and PBCG a slight overestimation of risk. Assuming a GG2 non-detection rate of 11% without using mpMRI, use of the urinary biomarker-based clinical model could have helped avoid 37.2% of excess biopsies while delaying the diagnosis of eight patients (1.6% of the entire cohort) with GG ≥ 2 PCa. CONCLUSIONS: In this first evaluation in an opportunistic screening population, the urinary biomarker-based test improved the detection of clinically significant PCa. Facing men with elevated PSA and/or suspicious DRE, it could be a useful tool to help avoid excess initial Bx and to identify patients most likely to benefit from Bx.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Próstata/urina , RNA Mensageiro/urina , Idoso , Antígenos de Neoplasias/urina , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Gradação de Tumores , Neoplasias da Próstata/genética , Neoplasias da Próstata/patologia , RNA Mensageiro/biossíntese , RNA Mensageiro/genética , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes
8.
Fetal Diagn Ther ; 47(2): 104-114, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31212273

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To assess the predictive ability of the ultrasound estimated percentile weight (EPW) at 35 weeks of pregnancy to predict adverse perinatal outcomes (APOs) at term delivery according to 5 fetal growth standards, including population, population-customized, and international references. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 9,585 singleton pregnancies. Maternal clinical characteristics, fetal ultrasound data obtained at 35 weeks and pregnancy and perinatal outcomes were used to calculate EPWs to predict APOs according to: the customized and noncustomized (NC) Miguel Servet University Hospital (MSUH), the customized Figueras, the NC INTERGROWTH-21st, and the NC World Health Organization (WHO) international standards. APOs were defined as the occurrence of cesarean or instrumental delivery for nonreassuring fetal status, 5-min Apgar score < 7, arterial cord blood pH <7.10, or stillbirth. The predictive ability of EPW for APOs was analyzed using the area under the curve (AUC), and sensitivities were calculated for different false-positive rates (FPRs). RESULTS: For a 10% FPR, detection rates for total APOs ranged between 12.7% with the customized MSUH (AUC 0.52; 95% CI 0.50-0.55) and 14.4% with the NC MSUH standard (AUC 0.55; 95% CI 0.53-0.57) for EPW by ultrasound; and from 22.0% with the customized MSUH standard (AUC 0.60; 95% CI 0.58-0.63) to 27.8% with the NC WHO (AUC 0.65; 95% CI 0.63-0.68) for EPW at delivery. CONCLUSIONS: The predictive capacity of the EPW for APOS is limited and similar, by both ultrasound and at delivery, for the 5 growth standards, without significant differences between customized and NC standards.


Assuntos
Retardo do Crescimento Fetal/diagnóstico por imagem , Peso Fetal , Nascimento a Termo , Ultrassonografia Pré-Natal , Índice de Apgar , Peso ao Nascer , Cesárea , Extração Obstétrica , Feminino , Retardo do Crescimento Fetal/fisiopatologia , Idade Gestacional , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Recém-Nascido Pequeno para a Idade Gestacional , Masculino , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Gravidez , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Natimorto
9.
Strahlenther Onkol ; 191(10): 792-800, 2015 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26156249

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Nomograms were established to predict biochemical recurrence (BCR) after radiotherapy (RT) with a low weight of the characteristic variables of RT and androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). Our aim is to provide a new stratified tool for predicting BCR at 4 and 7 years in patients treated using RT with radical intent. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective, nonrandomized analysis was performed on 5044 prostate cancer (PCa) patients with median age 70 years, who received RT-with or without ADT-between November 1992 and May 2007. Median follow-up was 5.5 years. BCR was defined as a rise in serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) of 2 ng/ml over the post-treatment PSA nadir. Univariate association between predictor variables and BCR was assessed by the log-rank test, and three linked nomograms were created for multivariate prognosis of BCR-free survival. Each nomogram corresponds to a category of the Gleason score-either 6,7, or 8-10-and all of them were created from a single proportional hazards regression model stratified also by months of ADT (0, 1-6, 7-12, 13-24, 25-36, 36-60). The performance of this model was analyzed by calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility. RESULTS: Initial PSA, clinical stage, and RT dose were significant variables (p < 0.01). The model showed a good calibration. The concordance probability was 0.779, improving those obtained with other nomograms (0.587, 0.571, 0.554) in the database. Survival curves showed best clinical utility in a comparison with National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk groups. CONCLUSION: For each Gleason score category, the nomogram provides information on the benefit of adding ADT to a specific RT dose.


Assuntos
Antagonistas de Androgênios/uso terapêutico , Biomarcadores Tumorais/sangue , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/sangue , Nomogramas , Antígeno Prostático Específico/sangue , Neoplasias da Próstata/sangue , Neoplasias da Próstata/radioterapia , Idoso , Quimioterapia Adjuvante , Intervalo Livre de Doença , Humanos , Masculino , Gradação de Tumores , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/diagnóstico , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Neoplasias da Próstata/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias da Próstata/patologia , Dosagem Radioterapêutica , Estudos Retrospectivos
10.
BMC Cancer ; 15: 633, 2015 Sep 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26362197

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: PCA3 has been included in a nomogram outperforming previous clinical models for the prediction of any prostate cancer (PCa) and high grade PCa (HGPCa) at the initial prostate biopsy (IBx). Our objective is to validate such IBx-specific PCA3-based nomogram. We also aim to optimize the use of this nomogram in clinical practice through the definition of risk groups. METHODS: Independent external validation. Clinical and biopsy data from a contemporary cohort of 401 men with the same inclusion criteria to those used to build up the reference's nomogram in IBx. The predictive value of the nomogram was assessed by means of calibration curves and discrimination ability through the area under the curve (AUC). Clinical utility of the nomogram was analyzed by choosing thresholds points that minimize the overlapping between probability density functions (PDF) in PCa and no PCa and HGPCa and no HGPCa groups, and net benefit was assessed by decision curves. RESULTS: We detect 28% of PCa and 11 % of HGPCa in IBx, contrasting to the 46 and 20% at the reference series. Due to this, there is an overestimation of the nomogram probabilities shown in the calibration curve for PCa. The AUC values are 0.736 for PCa (C.I.95%:0.68-0.79) and 0.786 for HGPCa (C.I.95%:0.71-0.87) showing an adequate discrimination ability. PDF show differences in the distributions of nomogram probabilities in PCa and not PCa patient groups. A minimization of the overlapping between these curves confirms the threshold probability of harboring PCa >30 % proposed by Hansen is useful to indicate a IBx, but a cut-off > 40% could be better in series of opportunistic screening like ours. Similar results appear in HGPCa analysis. The decision curve also shows a net benefit of 6.31% for the threshold probability of 40%. CONCLUSIONS: PCA3 is an useful tool to select patients for IBx. Patients with a calculated probability of having PCa over 40% should be counseled to undergo an IBx if opportunistic screening is required.


Assuntos
Antígenos de Neoplasias/metabolismo , Neoplasias da Próstata/diagnóstico , Neoplasias da Próstata/metabolismo , Idoso , Biomarcadores/urina , Biomarcadores Tumorais , Biópsia , Estudos de Coortes , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Nomogramas , Tamanho do Órgão , Medição de Risco/métodos , Fatores de Risco
11.
EMBO J ; 29(6): 1091-104, 2010 Mar 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20150892

RESUMO

We have used mouse embryonic fibroblasts (MEFs) devoid of Ras proteins to illustrate that they are essential for proliferation and migration, but not for survival, at least in these cells. These properties are unique to the Ras subfamily of proteins because ectopic expression of other Ras-like small GTPases, even when constitutively active, could not compensate for the absence of Ras proteins. Only constitutive activation of components of the Raf/Mek/Erk pathway was sufficient to sustain normal proliferation and migration of MEFs devoid of Ras proteins. Activation of the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K)/PTEN/Akt and Ral guanine exchange factor (RalGEF)/Ral pathways, either alone or in combination, failed to induce proliferation or migration of Rasless cells, although they cooperated with Raf/Mek/Erk signalling to reproduce the full response mediated by Ras signalling. In contrast to current hypotheses, Ras signalling did not induce proliferation by inducing expression of D-type Cyclins. Rasless MEFs had normal levels of Cyclin D1/Cdk4 and Cyclin E/Cdk2. However, these complexes were inactive. Inactivation of the pocket proteins or knock down of pRb relieved MEFs from their dependence on Ras signalling to proliferate.


Assuntos
Proliferação de Células , Transdução de Sinais/genética , Proteínas ras/genética , Proteínas ras/metabolismo , Animais , Movimento Celular , Sobrevivência Celular , MAP Quinases Reguladas por Sinal Extracelular/genética , MAP Quinases Reguladas por Sinal Extracelular/metabolismo , Fibroblastos/citologia , Fibroblastos/metabolismo , Camundongos , Fosfatidilinositol 3-Quinases/genética , Fosfatidilinositol 3-Quinases/metabolismo , Quinases raf/genética , Quinases raf/metabolismo
12.
BJU Int ; 113(6): 878-86, 2014 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24529282

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To implement the use of nomograms in clinical practice showing how to choose thresholds in nomograms' predictions to select risk groups. To validate and compare the predictive ability and clinical utility of the Hospital Universitario 'Miguel Servet' (HUMS) and the updated Partin Tables 2012 (PT-2012) nomograms to predict organ-confined disease (OCD) after radical prostatectomy (RP). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Cohort of 1285 patients with prostate cancer treated with RP at Instituto Valenciano de Oncología (IVO) between 1986 and 2011. The predictive value of the nomograms was assessed by means of calibration curves, discrimination ability (area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and probability density functions). The clinical utility was evaluated through Vickers' decision curves and thresholds were chosen through probability density functions. RESULTS: The calibration curves showed a minimal underestimation in low probabilities (<20%), a minimal overestimation in high probabilities (>50%) in the HUMS nomogram and a regular minimal overestimation in the PT-2012. Their AUC of 0.7285 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.7010-0.7559) and 0.7288 (95%CI 0.7013-0.7562) respectively, show an adequate discrimination ability for both predictive models in the IVO cohort. The decision curves show similar net benefits for both models. In this study we advocate for a threshold of 53% for the identification of OCD. CONCLUSIONS: The HUMS-nomogram and the PT-2012 predictions of OCD confirm their utility in a contemporary cohort of patients. Patients with a probability of OCD >53% should be classified as OCD, helping physicians to better counsel their patients. A selection of adequate thresholds, as presented in this paper, makes nomograms more accessible tools.


Assuntos
Modelos Estatísticos , Nomogramas , Neoplasias da Próstata/patologia , Humanos , Masculino , Gradação de Tumores , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Prognóstico , Antígeno Prostático Específico/sangue , Prostatectomia , Neoplasias da Próstata/sangue , Neoplasias da Próstata/cirurgia
13.
Arch Esp Urol ; 67(5): 419-30, 2014 Jun.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24914841

RESUMO

In the present review we detail the more universally accepted selection criteria in the various protocols of active surveillance in prostate cancer; we also identify and classify twenty nomograms/predictive models useful for decision making in active surveillance for prostate cancer. These models are classified in accordance to their prediction (High grade prostate cancer in radical prostatectomy specimen [Gleason grade > 7], understaging on biopsy compared to prostatectomy specimen, pathological stage, indolent cancer or progression after expectant therapy). We also detail the predictive variables used in each model for estimations, their internal validation parameters, the samples used to generate them, and the external validations if they were done. Many of them are presented with their URL address, where they may be consulted on line, this making easier their implementation. Finally we expose our thoughts about the use of probability density functions as a useful tool for validation of these predictive models that help in the definition of cut points facilitating their clinical use and credibility.


Assuntos
Seleção de Pacientes , Neoplasias da Próstata/diagnóstico , Humanos , Masculino , Períneo , Neoplasias da Próstata/classificação , Neoplasias da Próstata/patologia , Conduta Expectante
14.
J Pers Med ; 14(2)2024 Jan 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38392564

RESUMO

Risk-stratified pathways (RSPs) are recommended by the European Association of Uro-logy (EAU) to improve the early detection of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa). RSPs can reduce magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) demand, prostate biopsies, and the over-detection of insignificant PCa (iPCa). Our goal is to analyze the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of several RSPs by using sequential stratifications from the serum prostate-specific antigen level and digital rectal examination, the Barcelona risk calculators (BCN-RCs), MRI, and Proclarix™. In a cohort of 567 men with a serum PSA level above 3.0 ng/mL who underwent multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) and targeted and/or systematic biopsies, the risk of csPCa was retrospectively assessed using Proclarix™ and BCN-RCs 1 and 2. Six RSPs were compared with those recommended by the EAU that, stratifying men from MRI, avoided 16.7% of prostate biopsies with a prostate imaging-reporting and data system score of <3, with 2.6% of csPCa cases remaining undetected. The most effective RSP avoided mpMRI exams in men with a serum PSA level of >10 ng/mL and suspicious DRE, following stratifications from BCN-RC 1, mpMRI, and Proclarix™. The demand for mpMRI decreased by 19.9%, prostate biopsies by 19.8%, and over-detection of iPCa by 22.7%, while 2.6% of csPCa remained undetected as in the recommended RSP. Cost-effectiveness remained when the Proclarix™ price was assumed to be below EUR 200.

15.
BJU Int ; 111(4): 549-58, 2013 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22759231

RESUMO

UNLABELLED: WHAT'S KNOWN ON THE SUBJECT? AND WHAT DOES THE STUDY ADD?: Currently available nomograms to predict preoperative risk of early biochemical recurrence (EBCR) after radical prostatectomy are solely based on classic clinicopathological variables. Despite providing useful predictions, these models are not perfect. Indeed, most researchers agree that nomograms can be improved by incorporating novel biomarkers. In the last few years, several single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) have been associated with prostate cancer, but little is known about their impact on disease recurrence. We have identified four SNPs associated with EBCR. The addition of SNPs to classic nomograms resulted in a significant improvement in terms of discrimination and calibration. The new nomogram, which combines clinicopathological and genetic variables, will help to improve prediction of prostate cancer recurrence. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate genetic susceptibility to early biochemical recurrence (EBCR) after radical prostatectomy (RP), as a prognostic factor for early systemic dissemination. To build a preoperative nomogram to predict EBCR combining genetic and clinicopathological factors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We evaluated 670 patients from six University Hospitals who underwent RP for clinically localized prostate cancer (PCa), and were followed-up for at least 5 years or until biochemical recurrence. EBCR was defined as a level prostate-specific antigen >0.4 ng/mL within 1 year of RP; preoperative variables studied were: age, prostate-specific antigen, clinical stage, biopsy Gleason score, and the genotype of 83 PCa-related single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Univariate allele association tests and multivariate logistic regression were used to generate predictive models for EBCR, with clinicopathological factors and adding SNPs. We internally validated the models by bootstrapping and compared their accuracy using the area under the curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement, integrated discrimination improvement, calibration plots and Vickers' decision curves. RESULTS: Four common SNPs at KLK3, KLK2, SULT1A1 and BGLAP genes were independently associated with EBCR. A significant increase in AUC was observed when SNPs were added to the model: AUC (95% confidence interval) 0.728 (0.674-0.784) vs 0.763 (0.708-0.817). Net reclassification improvement showed a significant increase in probability for events of 60.7% and a decrease for non-events of 63.5%. Integrated discrimination improvement and decision curves confirmed the superiority of the new model. CONCLUSIONS: Four SNPs associated with EBCR significantly improved the accuracy of clinicopathological factors. We present a nomogram for preoperative prediction of EBCR after RP.


Assuntos
Predisposição Genética para Doença/epidemiologia , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Neoplasias da Próstata/genética , Neoplasias da Próstata/patologia , Idoso , Análise de Variância , Biópsia por Agulha , Distribuição de Qui-Quadrado , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Imuno-Histoquímica , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Gradação de Tumores , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/epidemiologia , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/patologia , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Nomogramas , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Cuidados Pré-Operatórios/métodos , Prognóstico , Prostatectomia/métodos , Neoplasias da Próstata/mortalidade , Neoplasias da Próstata/cirurgia , Medição de Risco , Espanha , Estatísticas não Paramétricas , Taxa de Sobrevida , Fatores de Tempo
16.
Eur Urol Open Sci ; 53: 46-54, 2023 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37441350

RESUMO

Background: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based risk calculators (MRI-RCs) individualise the likelihood of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) and improve candidate selection for prostate biopsy beyond the Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS). Objective: To compare the Barcelona (BCN) and Rotterdam (ROT) MRI-RCs in an entire population and according to the PI-RADS categories. Design setting and participants: A prospective comparison of BCN- and ROT-RC in 946 men with suspected prostate cancer in whom systematic biopsy was performed, as well as target biopsies of PI-RADS ≥3 lesions. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: Saved biopsies and undetected csPCa (grade group ≥2) were determined. Results and limitations: The csPCa detection was 40.8%. The median risks of csPCa from BCN- and ROT-RC were, respectively, 67.1% and 25% in men with csPCa, whereas 10.5% and 3% in those without csPCa (p < 0.001). The areas under the curve were 0.856 and 0.844, respectively (p = 0.116). BCN-RC showed a higher net benefit and clinical utility over ROT-RC. Using appropriate thresholds, respectively, 75% and 80% of biopsies were needed to identify 50% of csPCa detected in men with PI-RADS <3, whereas 35% and 21% of biopsies were saved, missing 10% of csPCa detected in men with PI-RADS 3. BCN-RC saved 15% of biopsies, missing 2% of csPCa in men with PI-RADS 4, whereas ROT-RC saved 10%, missing 6%. No RC saved biopsies without missing csPCa in men with PI-RADS 5. Conclusions: ROT-RC provided a lower and narrower range of csPCa probabilities than BCN-RC. BCN-RC showed a net benefit over ROT-RC in the entire population. However, BCN-RC was useful in men with PI-RADS 3 and 4, whereas ROT-RC was useful only in those with PI-RADS 3. No RC seemed to be helpful in men with negative MRI and PI-RADS 5. Patient summary: Barcelona risk calculator was more helpful than Rotterdam risk calculator to select candidates for prostate biopsy.

17.
Materials (Basel) ; 15(16)2022 Aug 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36013850

RESUMO

The construction industry must meet current environmental requirements, mostly those pertaining to the reduction in construction and demolition waste and the consumption of raw materials. The use of recycled concrete aggregates can be part of the solution, but one question that arises is how many times recyclables can be recycled. This unknown involves other related queries regarding the properties and possible uses of repeated recycled concrete aggregates. This research is derived from the precast concrete industry, where multi-recycling is a pressing need. From good-quality parent concretes, three cycles of recycled concrete aggregates were produced and analysed. The final results are promising due to the good quality of the recycled and multi-recycled concrete aggregates obtained. Not only can they be used in low-level applications (backfilling) as usual, but they can also be used for more demanding purposes, such as graded aggregates, cement-treated road bases and concrete pavements. Their use in structural concrete is feasible, but it will be dependent on the water absorption level and the amount of recycled aggregate substitution. This research proves the viability of multi-recycled concrete aggregates with all of the associated environmental benefits.

18.
Cancers (Basel) ; 14(10)2022 May 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35625978

RESUMO

This study is a head-to-head comparison between mPSAD and MRI-PMbdex. The MRI-PMbdex was created from 2432 men with suspected PCa; this cohort comprised the development and external validation cohorts of the Barcelona MRI predictive model. Pre-biopsy 3-Tesla multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) and 2 to 4-core transrectal ultrasound (TRUS)-guided biopsies for suspicious lesions and/or 12-core TRUS systematic biopsies were scheduled. Clinically significant PCa (csPCa), defined as Gleason-based Grade Group 2 or higher, was detected in 934 men (38.4%). The area under the curve was 0.893 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.880−0.906) for MRI-PMbdex and 0.764 (95% CI: 0.774−0.783) for mPSAD, with p < 0.001. MRI-PMbdex showed net benefit over biopsy in all men when the probability of csPCa was greater than 2%, while mPSAD did the same when the probability of csPCa was greater than 18%. Thresholds of 13.5% for MRI-PMbdex and 0.628 ng/mL2 for mPSAD had 95% sensitivity for csPCa and presented 51.1% specificity for MRI-PMbdex and 19.6% specificity for mPSAD, with p < 0.001. MRI-PMbdex exhibited net benefit over mPSAD in men with prostate imaging report and data system (PI-RADS) <4, while neither exhibited any benefit in men with PI-RADS 5. Hence, we can conclude that MRI-PMbdex is more accurate than mPSAD for the proper selection of candidates for prostate biopsy among men with suspected PCa, with the exception of men with a PI-RAD S 5 score, for whom neither tool exhibited clinical guidance to determine the need for biopsy.

19.
Cancers (Basel) ; 14(7)2022 Apr 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35406600

RESUMO

We sought to find further evidence showing the increase in PCa aggressiveness as PI-RADS score increases from four surrogates of PCa aggressiveness: i. prostate biopsy GG (≤3 vs. >3), ii. type of pathology in surgical specimens (favourable vs. unfavourable), iii. clinical stage (localised vs. advanced), and risk of recurrence of localised PCa after primary treatment (low-intermediate vs. high). A group of 692 PCa patients were diagnosed after 3-T multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) and guided and/or systematic biopsies, showing csPCa (GG ≥ 2) in 547 patients (79%) and insignificant PCa (iPCa) in 145 (21%). The csPCa rate increased from 32.4% in PI-RADS < 3 to 95.5% in PI-RADS 5 (p < 0.001). GG ≥ 3 was observed in 7.6% of PCa with PI-RADS < 3 and 32.6% in those with PI-RADS > 3 (p < 0.001). Unfavourable pathology was observed in 38.9% of PCa with PI-RAD < 3 and 68.3% in those with PI-RADS > 3 (p = 0.030). Advanced disease was not observed in PCa with PI-RADS ≤ 3, while it existed in 12.7% of those with PI-RADS > 3 (p < 0.001). High-risk recurrence localised PCa was observed in 9.5% of PCa with PI-RADS < 3 and 35% in those with PI-RADS > 3 (p = 0.001). The PI-RADS score was an independent predictor of all surrogates of PCa aggressiveness as PSA density. We confirmed that mpMRI grades PCa aggressiveness.

20.
Cancers (Basel) ; 14(20)2022 Oct 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36291883

RESUMO

A predictive model including age, PCa family history, biopsy status (initial vs repeat), DRE (normal vs abnormal), serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA), and DRE prostate volume ca-tegory was developed to stratify initial PCa suspicion in 1486 men with PSA > 3 ng/mL and/or abnormal DRE, in whom mpMRI followed; 2- to 4-core TRUS-guided biopsies where Prostate Imaging Report and Data System (PI-RADS) > 3 lesions and/or 12-core TRUS systematic biopsies were performed in one academic institution between 1 January 2016−31 December 2019. The csPCa detection rate, defined as International Society of Uro-Pathology grade group 2 or higher, was 36.9%. An external validation of designed BCN-RC 1 was carried out on 946 men from two other institutions in the same metropolitan area, using the same criteria of PCa suspicion and diagnostic approach, yielded a csPCa detection rate of 40.8%. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of BCN-RC 1 were 0.823 (95% CI: 0.800−0.846) in the development cohort and 0.837 (95% CI: 0.811−0.863) in the validation cohort (p = 0.447). In both cohorts, BCN-RC 1 exhibited net benefit over performing mpMRI in all men from 8 and 12% risk thresholds, respectively. At 0.95 sensitivity of csPCa, the specificities of BCN-RC 1 were 0.24 (95% CI: 0.22−0.26) in the development cohort and 0.34 (95% CI: 0.31−0.37) in the validation cohort (p < 0.001). The percentages of avoided mpMRI scans were 17.2% in the development cohort and 22.3% in the validation cohort, missing between 1.8% and 2% of csPCa among men at risk of PCa. In summary, BCN-RC 1 can stratify initial PCa suspicion, reducing the demand of mpMRI, with an acceptable loss of csPCa.

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