Impact of a prospective feedback loop aimed at reducing non-beneficial treatments in older people admitted to hospital and potentially nearing the end of life. A cluster stepped-wedge randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate if a prospective feedback loop that flags older patients at risk of death can reduce non-beneficial treatment at end of life. DESIGN: Prospective stepped-wedge cluster randomised trial with usual care and intervention phases. SETTING: Three large tertiary public hospitals in south-east Queensland, Australia. PARTICIPANTS: 14 clinical teams were recruited across the three hospitals. Teams were recruited based on a consistent history of admitting patients aged 75+ years, and needed a nominated lead specialist consultant. Under the care of these teams, there were 4,268 patients (median age 84 years) who were potentially near the end of life and flagged at risk of non-beneficial treatment. INTERVENTION: The intervention notified clinicians of patients under their care determined as at-risk of non-beneficial treatment. There were two notification flags: a real-time notification and an email sent to clinicians about the at-risk patients at the end of each screening day. The nudge intervention ran for 16-35 weeks across the three hospitals. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with one or more intensive care unit (ICU) admissions. The secondary outcomes examined times from patients being flagged at-risk. RESULTS: There was no improvement in the primary outcome of reduced ICU admissions (mean probability difference [intervention minus usual care] = -0.01, 95% confidence interval -0.08 to 0.01). There were no differences for the times to death, discharge, or medical emergency call. There was a reduction in the probability of re-admission to hospital during the intervention phase (mean probability difference -0.08, 95% confidence interval -0.13 to -0.03). CONCLUSIONS: This nudge intervention was not sufficient to reduce the trial's non-beneficial treatment outcomes in older hospital patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australia New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry, ACTRN12619000675123 (registered 6 May 2019).

Process evaluation of a tailored nudge intervention to promote appropriate care and treatment of older patients at the end-of-life.

BACKGROUND: Non-beneficial treatment affects a considerable proportion of older people in hospital, and some will choose to decline invasive treatments when they are approaching the end of their life. The Intervention for Appropriate Care and Treatment (InterACT) intervention was a 12-month stepped wedge randomised controlled trial with an embedded process evaluation in three hospitals in Brisbane, Australia. The aim was to increase appropriate care and treatment decisions for older people at the end-of-life, through implementing a nudge intervention in the form of a prospective feedback loop. However, the trial results indicated that the expected practice change did not occur. The process evaluation aimed to assess implementation using the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research, identify barriers and enablers to implementation and provide insights into the lack of effect of the InterACT intervention. METHODS: Qualitative data collection involved 38 semi-structured interviews with participating clinicians, members of the executive advisory groups overseeing the intervention at a site level, clinical auditors, and project leads. Online interviews were conducted at two times: implementation onset and completion. Data were coded to the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research and deductively analysed. RESULTS: Overall, clinicians felt the premise and clinical reasoning behind InterACT were strong and could improve patient management. However, several prominent barriers affected implementation. These related to the potency of the nudge intervention and its integration into routine clinical practice, clinician beliefs and perceived self-efficacy, and wider contextual factors at the health system level. CONCLUSIONS: An intervention designed to change clinical practice for patients at or near to end-of-life did not have the intended effect. Future interventions targeting this area of care should consider using multi-component strategies that address the identified barriers to implementation and clinician change of practice. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australia New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry (ANZCTR), ACTRN12619000675123p (approved 06/05/2019).

Feasibility and safety of a surgical training program in total laparoscopic hysterectomy: Results of a pilot trial.

BACKGROUND: It is widely accepted total laparoscopic hysterectomy (TLH) and vaginal hysterectomy are less invasive procedures compared to total abdominal hysterectomy (TAH). However, rates of TAH remain unreasonably high. AIM: To pilot-test a model of training for practising obstetricians and gynaecologists (O&Gs) in TLH. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Training of participating O&Gs was conducted across four hospitals in Queensland, Australia, while other O&Gs were observed as contemporary controls. Type of hysterectomy, details of the surgery, including adverse events, were collected from hospital medical records. RESULTS: Eleven O&Gs completed the pre-intervention and intervention training periods, and nine completed the post-intervention follow-up. TLH rates increased from 24% prior to 75% during and 68% after intervention. Overall, the uptake rate of TLH showed a two-fold increase during the intervention period (2.08, 95% CI: 1.16-8.56, P < 0.001) and a 12% increase was retained during the follow-up period (1.12, 95% CI: 0.54-4.02, P = 0.427). Pre-intervention, across all sites, 24% of hysterectomies were performed via TAH by the participating specialist trainees, which decreased to 13% during the intervention and 14% during follow-up. The rate of adverse events decreased from 13.5% at pre-intervention, to 6.4% during and 4.2% post-intervention. By comparison, no change in surgical approach or rate of adverse events was observed in the control group. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of a formal and structured surgical training program teaching TLH resulted in important benefits to trainees, patients and society in the four trial hospitals.

Improvements in work productivity among patients with inflammatory arthritis and osteoarthritis in the first six months after diagnosis: an inception cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Reduced work productivity (WP), measured by work productivity loss (WPL) and work disability (WD), is common in patients with inflammatory arthritis (IA) and osteoarthritis (OA) but is not well characterised. We aimed to assess if there were any improvements in WP (WPL and WD) from diagnosis (T1) to six months later (T2) and to explore associations between WP at T2 and health status at T1 among these patients. METHODS: Patients were surveyed for work characteristics, work ability, WP and health status including physical functioning and vitality at T1 and T2. Associations between WP at T2 and health status at T1 were explored using regression models. RESULTS: Patients with IA (n=109) were younger than those with OA (n=70) (mean age: 50.5 vs. 57.7 years). The median WPL score decreased from 30.0 to 10.0 in patients with IA and from 20.0 to 0.0 in patients with OA, while the proportion reporting WD decreased from 52.3% to 45.3% in patients with IA and increased from 52.2% to 56.5% in patients with OA from T1 to T2. Physical functioning at T1 (coefficient = -0.35) was significantly associated with WPL at T2. Vitality at T1 (coefficient = 0.03) was associated with WD at T2. CONCLUSIONS: Greater improvements in WP were observed among patients with IA than those with OA in the first six months after diagnosis. This provides a basis for healthcare professionals to aim for greater improvements in work and health status for patients with IA.

Implementation of Prediction Models in the Emergency Department from an Implementation Science Perspective-Determinants, Outcomes, and Real-World Impact: A Scoping Review.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Prediction models offer a promising form of clinical decision support in the complex and fast-paced environment of the emergency department (ED). Despite significant advancements in model development and validation, implementation of such models in routine clinical practice remains elusive. This scoping review aims to survey the current state of prediction model implementation in the ED and to provide insights on contributing factors and outcomes from an implementation science perspective. METHODS: We searched 4 databases from their inception to May 20, 2022: MEDLINE (through PubMed), Embase, Scopus, and CINAHL. Articles that reported implementation outcomes and/or contextual determinants under the Reach, Effectiveness, Adoption, Implementation Maintenance (RE-AIM)/Practical, Robust, Implementation, and Sustainability Model (PRISM) framework were included. Characteristics of studies, models, and results of the RE-AIM/PRISM domains were summarized narratively. RESULTS: Thirty-six reports on 31 implementations were included. The most common prediction models implemented were early warning scores. The most common implementation strategies used were training stakeholders, infrastructural changes, and using evaluative or iterative strategies. Only one report examined ED patients' perspectives, whereas the rest were focused on the experience of health care workers or organizational stakeholders. Key determinants of successful implementation include strong stakeholder engagement, codevelopment of workflows and implementation strategies, education, and usability. CONCLUSION: Examining ED prediction models from an implementation science perspective can provide valuable insights and help guide future implementations.

The cost-effectiveness of a real-time seizure detection application for people with epilepsy.

OBJECTIVES: Automated seizure detection modalities can increase safety among people with epilepsy (PWE) and reduce seizure-related anxiety. We evaluated the potential cost-effectiveness of a seizure detection mobile application for PWE in Singapore. METHODS: We used a Markov cohort model to estimate the expected changes to total costs and health outcomes from a decision to adopt the seizure detection application versus the current standard of care from the health provider perspective. The time horizon is ten years and cycle duration is one month. Parameter values were updated from national databases and published literature. As we do not know the application efficacy in reducing seizure-related injuries, a conservative estimate of 1% reduction was used. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis, scenario analyses, and value of information analysis were performed. RESULTS: At a willingness-to-pay of $45,000/ quality-adjusted life-years (QALY), the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $1,096/QALY, and the incremental net monetary benefit was $13,656. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses reported that the application had a 99.5% chance of being cost-effective. In a scenario analysis in which the reduction in risk of seizure-related injury was 20%, there was a 99.8% chance that the application was cost-effective. Value of information analysis revealed that health utilities was the most important parameter group contributing to model uncertainty. CONCLUSIONS: This early-stage modeling study reveals that the seizure detection application is likely to be cost-effective compared to current standard of care. Future prospective trials will be needed to demonstrate the real-world impact of the application. Changes in health-related quality of life should also be measured in future trials.

From pilot to a multi-site trial: refining the Early Detection of Deterioration in Elderly Residents (EDDIE +) intervention.

BACKGROUND: Early Detection of Deterioration in Elderly Residents (EDDIE +) is a multi-modal intervention focused on empowering nursing and personal care workers to identify and proactively manage deterioration of residents living in residential aged care (RAC) homes. Building on successful pilot trials conducted between 2014 and 2017, the intervention was refined for implementation in a stepped-wedge cluster randomised trial in 12 RAC homes from March 2021 to May 2022. We report the process used to transition from a small-scale pilot intervention to a multi-site intervention, detailing the intervention to enable future replication. METHODS: The EDDIE + intervention used the integrated Promoting Action on Research Implementation in Health Services (i-PARIHS) framework to guide the intervention development and refinement process. We conducted an environmental scan; multi-level context assessments; convened an intervention working group (IWG) to develop the program logic, conducted a sustainability assessment and deconstructed the intervention components into fixed and adaptable elements; and subsequently refined the intervention for trial. RESULTS: The original EDDIE pilot intervention included four components: nurse and personal care worker education; decision support tools; diagnostic equipment; and facilitation and clinical support. Deconstructing the intervention into core components and what could be flexibly tailored to context was essential for refining the intervention and informing future implementation across multiple sites. Intervention elements considered unsustainable were updated and refined to enable their scalability. Refinements included: an enhanced educational component with a greater focus on personal care workers and interactive learning; decision support tools that were based on updated evidence; equipment that aligned with recipient needs and available organisational support; and updated facilitation model with local and external facilitation. CONCLUSION: By using the i-PARIHS framework in the scale-up process, the EDDIE + intervention was tailored to fit the needs of intended recipients and contexts, enabling flexibility for local adaptation. The process of transitioning from a pilot to larger scale implementation in practice is vastly underreported yet vital for better development and implementation of multi-component interventions across multiple sites. We provide an example using an implementation framework and show it can be advantageous to researchers and health practitioners from pilot stage to refinement, through to larger scale implementation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The trial was prospectively registered with the Australia New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry (ACTRN12620000507987, registered 23/04/2020).

A decision-support tool for funding health innovations at a tertiary academic medical center.

OBJECTIVES: To report the processes used to design and implement an assessment tool to inform funding decisions for competing health innovations in a tertiary hospital. METHODS: We designed an assessment tool for health innovation proposals with three components: "value to the institution," "novelty," and "potential for adoption and scaling." The "value to the institution" component consisted of twelve weighted value attributes identified from the host institution's annual report; weights were allocated based on a survey of the hospital's leaders. The second and third components consisted of open-ended questions on "novelty" and "barriers to implementation" to support further dialogue. Purposive literature review was performed independently by two researchers for each assessment. The assessment tool was piloted during an institutional health innovation funding cycle. RESULTS: We used 17 days to evaluate ten proposals. The completed assessments were shared with an independent group of panellists, who selected five projects for funding. Proposals with the lowest scores for "value to the institution" had less perceived impact on the patient-related value attributes of "access," "patient centeredness," "health outcomes," "prevention," and "safety." Similar innovations were reported in literature in seven proposals; potential barriers to implementation were identified in six proposals. We included a worked example to illustrate the assessment process. CONCLUSIONS: We developed an assessment tool that is aligned with local institutional priorities. Our tool can augment the decision-making process when funding health innovation projects. The tool can be adapted by others facing similar challenges of trying to choose the best health innovations to fund.

The burden of costs on health services by patients with neuro-ischaemic ulcers in Singapore.

The economic burden of neuro-ischaemic ulcers (NIU) is expected to increase because of rising prevalence of comorbidities in an aging population. We aim to estimate healthcare resources consumed by NIU patients, and to quantify the extent to which factors explain variation in cost-related outcomes. We analysed retrospective patient-level cohort data for NIU patients from a tertiary hospital registry in Singapore, from 2013 to 2017, using generalised linear regression models. The outcome variables were the length of stay per admission; inpatient and outpatient bill per admission; and, if they had an Emergency Department visit. Cost outcomes were reported in Singapore dollars (S$). A total of 1682 patients were included, and the mean age was 69.9 years (±13.0). An average patient incurred a length of stay of 38.7 days, 7.9 inpatient dressing sessions, an inpatient bill of S$33 096, 11.3 outpatient dressing sessions, and an outpatient bill of S$8780. Inpatient services per patient cost 73.5% higher than outpatient services. NIU patients with multiple (>3) comorbid conditions, peripheral artery disease, or chronic kidney disease incurred longer hospitalisation and higher inpatient bill. Patients with diabetes mellitus and coronary artery disease had higher odds of incurring an ED visit. Patients with coronary artery disease, hyperlipidaemia, kidney complications, or obesity incurred higher outpatient bills. NIU treatment imposes a significant economic burden, especially with inpatient services.

The burden of costs on health services from patients with venous leg ulcers in Singapore.

Healthcare costs arising from venous leg ulcers (VLU) are expected to increase due to an aging population and increased prevalence of comorbidities. We aim to estimate the healthcare resources incurred by VLU patients, and to quantify the extent to which predictors explain variation in cost-related outcomes. Retrospective patient-level cohort data for VLU patients were analysed using generalised linear regression models. Data were extracted from a tertiary hospital registry in Singapore, between 2013 and 2017. The outcome variables were length of stay per admission; inpatient and outpatient bill per admission; whether a patient underwent a surgical treatment of the venous system; and, whether they visited the emergency department. Cost outcomes were reported in Singapore dollars (S$). A total of 162 VLU patients were included with a mean age of 67.5 (±14.4). For the inpatient setting the mean length of stay was 8.1 days and the mean inpatient bill was S$7886. For outpatients, the mean number of dressings was 29.4, and mean outpatient bill was S$6962. Heart disease patients incurred longer hospital stays and larger inpatient bills per admission and females had greater odds of undergoing a surgical procedure on the venous system. Certain VLU patient groups were found to be associated with larger cost outcomes.

A prospective study on the wound healing and quality of life outcomes of patients with venous leg ulcers in Singapore-Interim analysis at 6 month follow up.

Venous leg ulceration results in significant morbidity. However, the majority of studies conducted are on Western populations. This study aims to evaluate the wound healing and quality of life for patients with venous leg ulcers (VLUs) in a Southeast Asian population. This is a multi-centre prospective cohort study from Nov 2019 to Nov 2021. All patients were started on 2- or 4-layer compression bandage and were reviewed weekly or fortnightly. Our outcomes were wound healing, factors predictive of wound healing and the EuroQol 5-dimensional 5-level (EQ-5D-5L) health states. Within our cohort, there were 255 patients with VLU. Mean age was 65.2 ± 11.6 years. Incidence of diabetes mellitus was 42.0%. Median duration of ulcer at baseline was 0.30 years (interquartile range 0.136-0.834). Overall, the median time to wound healing was 4.5 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.77-5.43). The incidence of complete wound healing at 3- and 6-month was 47.0% and 60.9%, respectively. The duration of the wound at baseline was independently associated with worse wound healing (Hazard ratio 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89-0.99, P = .014). Patients with healed VLU had a significantly higher incidence of perfect EQ-5D-5L health states at 6 months (57.8% vs 13.8%, P < .001). We intend to present longer term results in subsequent publications.

Effect of infusion set replacement intervals on catheter-related bloodstream infections (RSVP): a randomised, controlled, equivalence (central venous access device)-non-inferiority (peripheral arterial catheter) trial.

BACKGROUND: The optimal duration of infusion set use to prevent life-threatening catheter-related bloodstream infection (CRBSI) is unclear. We aimed to compare the effectiveness and costs of 7-day (intervention) versus 4-day (control) infusion set replacement to prevent CRBSI in patients with central venous access devices (tunnelled cuffed, non-tunnelled, peripherally inserted, and totally implanted) and peripheral arterial catheters. METHODS: We did a randomised, controlled, assessor-masked trial at ten Australian hospitals. Our hypothesis was CRBSI equivalence for central venous access devices and non-inferiority for peripheral arterial catheters (both 2% margin). Adults and children with expected greater than 24 h central venous access device-peripheral arterial catheter use were randomly assigned (1:1; stratified by hospital, catheter type, and intensive care unit or ward) by a centralised, web-based service (concealed before allocation) to infusion set replacement every 7 days, or 4 days. This included crystalloids, non-lipid parenteral nutrition, and medication infusions. Patients and clinicians were not masked, but the primary outcome (CRBSI) was adjudicated by masked infectious diseases physicians. The analysis was modified intention to treat (mITT). This study is registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12610000505000 and is complete. FINDINGS: Between May 30, 2011, and Dec, 9, 2016, from 6007 patients assessed, we assigned 2944 patients to 7-day (n=1463) or 4-day (n=1481) infusion set replacement, with 2941 in the mITT analysis. For central venous access devices, 20 (1·78%) of 1124 patients (7-day group) and 16 (1·46%) of 1097 patients (4-day group) had CRBSI (absolute risk difference [ARD] 0·32%, 95% CI -0·73 to 1·37). For peripheral arterial catheters, one (0·28%) of 357 patients in the 7-day group and none of 363 patients in the 4-day group had CRBSI (ARD 0·28%, -0·27% to 0·83%). There were no treatment-related adverse events. INTERPRETATION: Infusion set use can be safely extended to 7 days with resultant cost and workload reductions. FUNDING: Australian National Health and Medical Research Council.

Reduced resource utilization with early use of next-generation sequencing in rare genetic diseases in an Asian cohort.

Children with genetic diseases endure a prolonged and costly "diagnostic odyssey." The use of whole exome sequencing (WES) and whole genome sequencing (WGS) has improved the diagnosis rate, ending the odyssey. However, the additional costs associated WES/WGS has impeded their adoption in Asian settings. We aim to estimate the expected change to the mean number of diagnostic tests used, and the associated costs from a decision to use WES early in the diagnostic pathways of pediatric phenotypes, as compared to Existing Practice. Retrospective data from a patient cohort recruited under the Singapore Undiagnosed Disease Program from a tertiary hospital in Singapore, for the period October 2004 to September 2020, was analyzed. Four phenotype-specific subgroups were used: multiple congenital anomalies (MCA) without developmental delay; global developmental delay (GDD); neuromuscular disorder (NMD) and primary immunodeficiency disorder (PID). Patients had undergone a traditional diagnostic pathway and received a diagnosis either through clinical exome or WES or WGS. A costs only analysis was performed, by tabulating the outcomes "test quantity" and "test costs" incurred by patients. The outcomes were compared with alternate diagnostic pathways which incorporates the early introduction of WES trio testing. To include uncertainty in cost outcomes, simulation studies were done on uncertain parameters. Cost outcomes are reported in Singapore dollars (S$). The 92 included patients had MCA (n = 48), GDD (n = 29), NMD (n = 10), or PID (n = 5). Patients were aged between 18 days and 26 years, 52.2% were males. The majority were of Chinese ethnicity (81.5%). If patients had access to WES directly, test quantity reduced by 97.38% for MCA, 96.98% for GDD, 96.56% for NMD, and 99.84% for PID. The expected cost savings per patient were $5940 for MCA (US$4433), $5342 for GDD (US$3986), $4622 for NMD (US$3449), and $58,497 for PID (US$43,654). Uncertainty assessment for MCA and GDD patients showed a respective likelihood of 86.9% and 97.4% for cost savings. Adoption of alternate diagnostic pathways with early WES in selected pediatric subgroups are likelt to reduce costs, when compared to Existing Practice. Benefits arising from earlier diagnosis, and the potential cost savings could mitigate the large initial cost of implementing WES in Asian settings.

Reducing waste in collection of quality-of-life data through better reporting: a case study.

PURPOSE: This study describes the reporting of the preference-based health-related quality-of-life (HRQOL) instrument, the EQ-5D, and proposes strategies to improve reporting and reduce research waste. The EQ-5D is a validated instrument widely used for health economic evaluation and is useful for informing health policy. METHODS: As part of a systematic review of papers reporting EQ-5D utility weights in patients with coronary artery disease, we noted the reasons data from some papers could not be reused in a meta-analysis, including whether health utility weights and sufficient statistical details were reported. Research waste was quantified using: (1) the percentage of papers and sample size excluded, and (2) researcher time and cost reviewing poorly reported papers. RESULTS: Our search strategy found 5942 papers. At title and abstract screening 93% were excluded. Of the 379 full text papers screened, 130 papers reported using EQ-5D. Only 46% (60/130) of those studies reported utility weights and/or statistical properties enabling meta-analysis. Only 67% of included papers had reported EQ-5D in the title or abstract. A total sample size of 133,298 was excluded because of poor reporting. The cost of researcher time wasted estimated to be between $3816 and $13,279 for our review. CONCLUSIONS: Poor reporting of EQ-5D data creates research waste where potentially useful data are excluded from meta-analyses and economic evaluations. Poor reporting of HRQOL instruments also creates waste due to additional time spent reviewing papers for systematic reviews that are subsequently excluded. RECOMMENDATIONS: Studies using the EQ-5D should report utility weights with appropriate summary statistics to enable reuse in meta-analysis and more robust evidence for health policy. We recommend authors report the HRQOL instrument in the title or abstract in line with current reporting guidelines (CONSORT-PRO and SPIRIT-PRO Extensions) to make it easier for other researchers to find. Validated instruments should also be listed in the Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) to improve cataloguing and retrieval of previous research.

Impact of a prospective feedback loop on care review activities in older patients at the end of life. A stepped-wedge randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Hospitalisation rates for older people are increasing, with end-of-life care becoming a more medicalised experience. Innovative approaches are warranted to support early identification of the end-of-life phase, communicate prognosis, provide care consistent with people's preferences, and improve the use of healthcare resources. The Intervention for Appropriate Care and Treatment (InterACT) trial aimed to increase appropriate care and treatment decisions for older people at the end of life, through implementation of a prospective feedback loop. This paper reports on the care review outcomes. METHODS: A stepped-wedge randomised controlled trial was conducted in three large acute hospitals in Queensland, Australia between May 2020 and June 2021. The trial identified older people nearing the end of life using two validated tools for detecting deterioration and short-term death. Admitting clinical teams were provided with details of patients identified as at-risk with the goal of increasing awareness that end of life was approaching to facilitate appropriate patient centred care and avoid non-beneficial treatment. We examined the time between when the patient was identified as 'at-risk' and three outcomes: clinician-led care review discussions, review of care directive measures and palliative care referrals. These were considered useful indicators of appropriate care at the end of life. RESULTS: In two hospitals there was a reduction in the review of care directive measures during the intervention compared with usual care at 21 days (reduced probability of - 0.08; 95% CI: - 0.12 to - 0.04 and - 0.14; 95% CI: - 0.21 to - 0.06). In one hospital there was a large reduction in clinician-led care review discussions at 21 days during the intervention (reduced probability of - 0.20; 95% CI: - 0.28 to - 0.13). There was little change in palliative care referrals in any hospital, with average probability differences at 21 days of - 0.01, 0.02 and 0.04. DISCUSSION: The results are disappointing as an intervention designed to improve care of hospitalised older people appeared to have the opposite effect on care review outcomes. The reasons for this may be a combination of the intervention design and health system challenges due to the pandemic that highlight the complexity of providing more appropriate care at the end of life. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australia New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry, ACTRN12619000675123 (registered 6 May 2019).

A systematic review defining non-beneficial and inappropriate end-of-life treatment in patients with non-cancer diagnoses: theoretical development for multi-stakeholder intervention design in acute care settings.

BACKGROUND: Non-beneficial treatment is closely tied to inappropriate treatment at the end-of-life. Understanding the interplay between how and why these situations arise in acute care settings according to the various stakeholders is pivotal to informing decision-making and best practice at end-of-life. AIM: To define and understand determinants of  non-beneficial and inappropriate treatments for patients with a non-cancer diagnosis, in acute care settings at the end-of-life. DESIGN: Systematic review of peer-reviewed studies focusing on the above and conducted in upper-middle- and high-income countries. A narrative synthesis was undertaken, guided by Realist principles. DATA SOURCES: Cochrane; PubMed; Scopus; Embase; CINAHL; and Web of Science. RESULTS: Sixty-six studies (32 qualitative, 28 quantitative, and 6 mixed-methods) were included after screening 4,754 papers. Non-beneficial treatment was largely defined as when the burden of treatment outweighs any benefit to the patient. Inappropriate treatment at the end-of-life was similar to this, but additionally accounted for patient and family preferences. Contexts in which outcomes related to non-beneficial treatment and/or inappropriate treatment occurred were described as veiled by uncertainty, driven by organizational culture, and limited by profiles and characteristics of involved stakeholders. Mechanisms relating to 'Motivation to Address Conflict & Seek Agreement' helped to lessen uncertainty around decision-making. Establishing agreement was reliant on 'Valuing Clear Communication and Sharing of Information'. Reaching consensus was dependent on 'Choices around Timing & Documenting of end-of-life Decisions'. CONCLUSION: A framework mapping determinants of non-beneficial and inappropriate end-of-life treatment is developed and proposed to be potentially transferable to diverse contexts. Future studies should test and update the framework as an implementation tool. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO Protocol  CRD42021214137 .

Emergency Department Assessment of Suspected Acute Coronary Syndrome Using the IMPACT Pathway in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander People.

OBJECTIVES: The Improved Assessment of Chest pain Trial (IMPACT) pathway is an accelerated strategy for the assessment of emergency patients presenting with suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS). The objective of this study was to report outcomes for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander patients deemed low-, intermediate-, or high-risk according to this pathway. DESIGN: This was a prospective observational trial conducted between November 2017 and December 2019. SETTING: Regional hospital in Far North Queensland. PARTICIPANTS: Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people presenting to the Emergency Department with suspected ACS were asked to participate. Participants were stratified as low-, intermediate- or high-risk of ACS according to the IMPACT pathway. High-and intermediate risk patients were managed according to the IMPACT pathway. Management of low-risk patients included additional inpatient cardiac testing, which was not part of the original IMPACT pathway. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was acute coronary syndrome within 30-days. Secondary outcomes included length of stay and prevalence of objective testing. RESULTS: A total of 155 participants were classified as either at low-risk (n=18 11.6%), intermediate-risk (n=87 56.1%), or high-risk (n=50 32.3%) of ACS. Thirty-day (30-day) ACS occurred in 29 (18.6%) patients, which included 26 (52.0%) high-risk patients and three (3.4%) intermediate-risk patients. No patients in the low-risk group were diagnosed with ACS during their index presentation or by 30-days. Median hospital length-of-stay was 11.9 hours (interquartile range [IQR] 5.3-20.2 hrs) for low- and 15.5 hours (IQR 5.9-29.2 hrs) for intermediate-risk patients. CONCLUSION: The IMPACT pathway, which has been associated with reduced LOS in other settings, could be safely implemented for patients of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander origin, classifying two-thirds as low- or intermediate risk. However, a clinically significant proportion of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander patients experience cardiac events, which supports the need to provide early objective testing for coronary artery disease.

Major limb amputation and mortality in patients with neuro-ischaemic lower extremity wounds managed in a tertiary hospital: Focus on the differences among patients with diabetes, peripheral arterial disease and both.

A majority of lower extremities neuro-ischaemic wounds (NIU) are related to: (a) only diabetes (DM); (b) only peripheral artery disease (PAD); (c) co-existing diabetes and peripheral artery disease (DM-PAD). This study aims to characterise the major clinical outcomes of forementioned three groups of lower extremity wound patients in Singapore. Patients hospitalised for lower extremity NIU between January 2014 and October 2017 in a tertiary hospital in Singapore were analysed. Patients' major limb amputation and mortality were assessed using Cox regression models. Cumulative survival and amputation-free survival among the three classified groups were calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Compared with patients with only DM, those in the PAD group and the DM-PAD group had higher risk of major limb amputation (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.47, 95% CI: 1.65-3.70; adjusted hazard ratio: 2.01, 95% CI: 1.53-2.65 respectively) and mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.36, 95% CI: 1.57-3.55; adjusted hazard ratio: 2.46, 95% CI: 1.86-3.26 respectively). The 3-year survival and amputation-free survival were lowest in the DM-PAD group (52.1% and 41.5% respectively), followed by the PAD group (53.3% and 44.6% respectively) and the DM group (74.2% and 68.5% respectively). Lower extremity NIU patients with PAD or DM-PAD were found to have poorer clinical prognosis than those with DM only.

Development and validation of a risk index to predict kidney graft survival: the kidney transplant risk index.

BACKGROUND: Kidney graft failure risk prediction models assist evidence-based medical decision-making in clinical practice. Our objective was to develop and validate statistical and machine learning predictive models to predict death-censored graft failure following deceased donor kidney transplant, using time-to-event (survival) data in a large national dataset from Australia. METHODS: Data included donor and recipient characteristics (n = 98) of 7,365 deceased donor transplants from January 1st, 2007 to December 31st, 2017 conducted in Australia. Seven variable selection methods were used to identify the most important independent variables included in the model. Predictive models were developed using: survival tree, random survival forest, survival support vector machine and Cox proportional regression. The models were trained using 70% of the data and validated using the rest of the data (30%). The model with best discriminatory power, assessed using concordance index (C-index) was chosen as the best model. RESULTS: Two models, developed using cox regression and random survival forest, had the highest C-index (0.67) in discriminating death-censored graft failure. The best fitting Cox model used seven independent variables and showed moderate level of prediction accuracy (calibration). CONCLUSION: This index displays sufficient robustness to be used in pre-transplant decision making and may perform better than currently available tools.

A phase III randomized clinical trial comparing sentinel node biopsy with no retroperitoneal node dissection in apparent early-stage endometrial cancer - ENDO-3: ANZGOG trial 1911/2020.

BACKGROUND: Sentinel node biopsy is a surgical technique to explore lymph nodes for surgical staging of endometrial cancer, which has replaced full retroperitoneal lymph node dissection. However, the effectiveness of sentinel node biopsy, its value to patients, and potential harms compared with no-node dissection have never been shown in a randomized trial. PRIMARY OBJECTIVES: Stage 1 will test recovery from surgery. Stage 2 will compare disease-free survival at 4.5 years between patients randomized to sentinel node biopsy versus no retroperitoneal node dissection. STUDY HYPOTHESIS: The primary hypothesis for stage 1 is that treatment with sentinel node biopsy will not cause detriment to patient outcomes (lymphedema, morbidity, loss of quality of life) and will not increase treatment-related morbidity or health services costs compared with patients treated without a retroperitoneal node dissection at 12 months after surgery. The primary hypothesis for stage 2 is that disease-free survival at 4.5 years after surgery in patients without retroperitoneal node dissection is not inferior to those receiving sentinel node biopsy. TRIAL DESIGN: This phase III, open-label, two-arm, multistage, randomized non-inferiority trial (ENDO-3) will determine the value of sentinel node biopsy for surgical management of endometrial cancer. Patients with endometrial cancer are randomized to receive: (1) laparoscopic/robotic hysterectomy, bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy with sentinel node biopsy or (2) laparoscopic/robotic hysterectomy, bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy without retroperitoneal node dissection. In stage 1, 444 patients will be enrolled to demonstrate feasibility and quality of life. If this is demonstrated, we will enroll another 316 patients in stage 2. MAJOR INCLUSION AND EXCLUSION CRITERIA: Inclusion criteria include women aged 18 years or older with histologically confirmed endometrial cancer; clinical stage 1, who meet the criteria for laparoscopic or robotic total hysterectomy and bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy. Patients with uterine mesenchymal tumors are excluded. PRIMARY ENDPOINTS: The endpoint for stage 1 is surgical recovery, with the proportion of patients returning to usual daily activities at 3 months post-surgery as measured with the EQ-5D. Stage 2 is disease-free survival at 4.5 years. SAMPLE SIZE: 760 participants (both stages). ESTIMATED DATES FOR COMPLETING ACCRUAL AND PRESENTING RESULTS: Stage 1 commenced in January 2021 and is planned to be completed in December 2024 when 444 participants have completed 12 months' follow-up. Stage 2 will enroll a further 316 participants for a total of 760 patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT04073706.