RESUMO
Rationale: Airway occlusion pressure at 100 ms (P0.1) reflects central respiratory drive. Objectives: We aimed to assess factors associated with P0.1 and whether an abnormally low or high P0.1 value is associated with higher mortality and longer duration of mechanical ventilation (MV). Methods: We performed a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study conducted in 10 ICUs in France to evaluate dyspnea in communicative MV patients. In patients intubated for more than 24 hours, P0.1 was measured with dyspnea as soon as patients could communicate and the next day. Measurements and Main Results: Among 260 patients assessed after a median time of ventilation of 4 days, P0.1 was 1.9 (1-3.5) cm H2O at enrollment, 24% had P0.1 values >3.5 cm H2O, 37% had P0.1 values between 1.5 and 3.5 cm H2O, and 39% had P0.1 values <1.5 cm H2O. In multivariable linear regression, independent factors associated with P0.1 were the presence of dyspnea (P = 0.037), respiratory rate (P < 0.001), and PaO2 (P = 0.008). Ninety-day mortality was 33% in patients with P0.1 > 3.5 cm H2O versus 19% in those with P0.1 between 1.5 and 3.5 cm H2O and 17% in those with P0.1 < 1.5 cm H2O (P = 0.046). After adjustment for the main risk factors, P0.1 was associated with 90-day mortality (hazard ratio per 1 cm H2O, 1.19 [95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.37]; P = 0.011). P0.1 was also independently associated with a longer duration of MV (hazard ratio per 1 cm H2O, 1.10 [95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.19]; P = 0.016). Conclusions: In patients receiving invasive MV, abnormally high P0.1 values may suggest dyspnea and are associated with higher mortality and prolonged duration of MV.
Assuntos
Estado Terminal , Dispneia , Respiração Artificial , Humanos , Masculino , Dispneia/mortalidade , Dispneia/etiologia , Feminino , Estudos Prospectivos , Estado Terminal/mortalidade , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , França/epidemiologia , Obstrução das Vias Respiratórias/mortalidade , Obstrução das Vias Respiratórias/terapia , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos de CoortesRESUMO
Propensity score methods, such as inverse probability-of-treatment weighting (IPTW), have been increasingly used for covariate balancing in both observational studies and randomized trials, allowing the control of both systematic and chance imbalances. Approaches using IPTW are based on two steps: (i) estimation of the individual propensity scores (PS), and (ii) estimation of the treatment effect by applying PS weights. Thus, a variance estimator that accounts for both steps is crucial for correct inference. Using a variance estimator which ignores the first step leads to overestimated variance when the estimand is the average treatment effect (ATE), and to under or overestimated estimates when targeting the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT). In this article, we emphasize the importance of using an IPTW variance estimator that correctly considers the uncertainty in PS estimation. We present a comprehensive tutorial to obtain unbiased variance estimates, by proposing and applying a unifying formula for different types of PS weights (ATE, ATT, matching and overlap weights). This can be derived either via the linearization approach or M-estimation. Extensive R code is provided along with the corresponding large-sample theory. We perform simulation studies to illustrate the behavior of the estimators under different treatment and outcome prevalences and demonstrate appropriate behavior of the analytical variance estimator. We also use a reproducible analysis of observational lung cancer data as an illustrative example, estimating the effect of receiving a PET-CT scan on the receipt of surgery.
Assuntos
Pontuação de Propensão , Humanos , Estudos Observacionais como Assunto , Simulação por Computador , Probabilidade , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Modelos Estatísticos , Neoplasias PulmonaresRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: The aim was to evaluate the ability of baseline multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) score to discriminate between patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in remission who are at high risk versus low risk of relapse after TNF-inhibitor (TNFi) tapering. METHODS: The study is a post-hoc analysis of patients who completed the Spacing of TNFi injections in Rheumatoid ArthritiS Study (STRASS), a multicentre 18-month equivalence randomised controlled study, of TNFi tapering in RA patients in remission, and had baseline serum samples available for MBDA testing. The primary endpoint of this study was the ability of the baseline MBDA score to predict relapse at any time during the 18 months following initiation of TNFi tapering. Secondary endpoints were the ability of baseline MBDA score to predict TNFi discontinuation at Month 18, and structural damage progression on x-rays assessed by the change in total van der Heijde-modified Sharp score from baseline to month 18. RESULTS: 64 and 73 patients were included in the spacing (S)-arm and maintenance (M)-arm, respectively. In the M-arm, the mean MBDA score at baseline was higher among patients who relapsed during the 18-month follow-up than those who did not relapse: 32.5 compared to 27.2 (p=0.053) whereas no difference in the MBDA score was observed in the S-arm between patients who relapsed or not 27 compared to 26.2 (p=0.57) 13 patients (21.3%) of the S-arm were able to discontinue TNFi, for which the predictive value of the MBDA score was low (AUC=0.560). Radiographic progression in both arms, although low (n=9) was not correlated with the MBDA score at baseline with a poor discriminative value in both arms (AUC=0.558). CONCLUSIONS: In our study MBDA score in baseline was not predictive of relapse, discontinuation of TNFi in patients with long-standing RA patients tapering TNFi.
Assuntos
Antirreumáticos , Artrite Reumatoide , Humanos , Antirreumáticos/efeitos adversos , Inibidores do Fator de Necrose Tumoral/uso terapêutico , Artrite Reumatoide/diagnóstico por imagem , Artrite Reumatoide/tratamento farmacológico , Biomarcadores , Doença Crônica , Recidiva , Índice de Gravidade de DoençaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Vascular leakage is a major feature of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of FX06, a drug under development that stabilizes interendothelial cell junctions, at reducing vascular leakage during SARS-CoV-2-induced ARDS. METHODS: This multicenter, double-blinded, randomized trial included adults with COVID-19-associated ARDS who had received invasive mechanical ventilation for < 5 days and were randomized to receive either intravenous FX06 (400 mg/d, for 5 days) or its vehicle as placebo. The primary endpoint was the lowering-from day 1 to day 7-of the transpulmonary thermodilution-derived extravascular lung-water index (EVLWi). RESULTS: Twenty-five patients were randomized to receive FX06 and 24 the placebo. Although EVLWi was elevated at baseline (median [IQR] 15.6 mL/kg [13.5; 18.5]), its declines from day 1 to day 7 were comparable for FX06 recipients and controls (respectively, - 1.9 [- 3.3; - 0.5] vs. - 0.8 [- 5.5; - 1.1] mL/kg; estimated effect - 0.8 [- 3.1; + 2.4], p = 0.51). Cardiac indexes, pulmonary vascular permeability indexes, and fluid balances were also comparable, as were PaO2/FiO2 ratios and durations of mechanical ventilation. Adverse event rates were similar for the 2 groups, although more FX06 recipients developed ventilator-associated pneumonia (16/25 (64%) vs. 6/24 (24%), p = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: In this unique-dosing-regimen study, FX06 did not lower SARS-CoV-2-induced pulmonary vascular leakage. Future investigations will need to evaluate its efficacy at earlier times during the disease or using other regimens. Trial registration NCT04618042. Registered 5 November 2020.
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COVID-19 , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório , Adulto , Humanos , COVID-19/complicações , SARS-CoV-2 , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/terapia , Administração Intravenosa , Permeabilidade CapilarRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Retrospective cohorts have suggested that levosimendan may facilitate the weaning of veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO). We therefore studied this clinical question by emulating a randomized trial with observational data. METHODS: All patients with refractory postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock and assisted with VA-ECMO, admitted to a surgical intensive care unit at La Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital between 2016 and 2019, were eligible. To avoid immortal-time bias, we emulated a target trial sequentially comparing levosimendan administration versus no levosimendan administration in patients treated with VA-ECMO. The primary outcome was time to successful ECMO weaning. The secondary outcomes were 30-day and 1-year mortality. We performed a multivariable analysis to adjust for confounding at baseline. RESULTS: Two hundred and thirty-nine patients were included in the study allowing building a nested trials cohort of 1434 copies of patients. No association of levosimendan treatment and VA-ECMO weaning was found (HR = 0.91, [0.57; 1.45], p = 0.659 in multivariable analysis), or 30-day mortality (OR = 1.03, [0.52; 2.03], p = 0.940) and 1-year mortality (OR = 1.00, [0.53; 1.89], p = 0.999). CONCLUSIONS: Using the emulated target trial framework, this study did not find any association of levosimendan treatment and ECMO weaning success after postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock. However, the population of interest remains heterogeneous and subgroups might benefit from levosimendan.
Assuntos
Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos , Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea , Humanos , Simendana , Choque Cardiogênico/terapia , Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea/efeitos adversos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/efeitos adversos , Mortalidade HospitalarRESUMO
Rationale: Dyspnea is a traumatic experience. Only limited information is available on dyspnea in intubated critically ill patients. Objectives: Our objectives were 1) to quantify the prevalence and severity of dyspnea; and 2) to evaluate the impact of dyspnea on ICU length of stay and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) 90 days after ICU discharge. Methods: This was a prospective cohort study in 10 ICUs in France. In patients intubated for more than 24 hours, dyspnea was quantified with a visual analog scale (from 0 to 10) as soon as they were able to communicate, the following day, and before spontaneous breathing trials. PTSD was defined by an Impact of Event Scale-Revised score of at least 22. Measurements and Main Results: Among the 612 patients assessed, 34% reported dyspnea, with a median dyspnea rating of 5 (interquartile range, 4-7). ICU length of stay was not significantly different between patients with versus without dyspnea (6 [3-12] and 6 [3-13] days, respectively; P = 0.781). Mortality was not different between groups. Of the 153 patients interviewed on Day 90, a higher proportion of individuals with probable PTSD was observed among patients who were dyspneic on enrollment (29% vs. 13%; P = 0.017). The density of dyspnea (number of dyspneic episodes divided by time from enrollment to extubation) was independently associated with PTSD (odds ratio, 1.07; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.13; P = 0.031). Conclusions: Dyspnea was frequent and intense in intubated critically ill patients. ICU length of stay was not significantly different among patients reporting dyspnea, but PTSD was more frequent at Day 90. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02336464).
Assuntos
Estado Terminal , Ventilação não Invasiva , Estado Terminal/epidemiologia , Estado Terminal/terapia , Dispneia/epidemiologia , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Prevalência , Estudos Prospectivos , Respiração , Respiração ArtificialRESUMO
Rationale: Whether patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) may benefit from extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) compared with conventional invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) remains unknown. Objectives: To estimate the effect of ECMO on 90-day mortality versus IMV only. Methods: Among 4,244 critically ill adult patients with COVID-19 included in a multicenter cohort study, we emulated a target trial comparing the treatment strategies of initiating ECMO versus no ECMO within 7 days of IMV in patients with severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (PaO2/FiO2 < 80 or PaCO2 ⩾ 60 mm Hg). We controlled for confounding using a multivariable Cox model on the basis of predefined variables. Measurements and Main Results: A total of 1,235 patients met the full eligibility criteria for the emulated trial, among whom 164 patients initiated ECMO. The ECMO strategy had a higher survival probability on Day 7 from the onset of eligibility criteria (87% vs. 83%; risk difference, 4%; 95% confidence interval, 0-9%), which decreased during follow-up (survival on Day 90: 63% vs. 65%; risk difference, -2%; 95% confidence interval, -10 to 5%). However, ECMO was associated with higher survival when performed in high-volume ECMO centers or in regions where a specific ECMO network organization was set up to handle high demand and when initiated within the first 4 days of IMV and in patients who are profoundly hypoxemic. Conclusions: In an emulated trial on the basis of a nationwide COVID-19 cohort, we found differential survival over time of an ECMO compared with a no-ECMO strategy. However, ECMO was consistently associated with better outcomes when performed in high-volume centers and regions with ECMO capacities specifically organized to handle high demand.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório , Adulto , COVID-19/complicações , COVID-19/terapia , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/etiologia , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/terapia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
Importance: Prone positioning may improve outcomes in patients with severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), but it is unknown whether prone positioning improves clinical outcomes among patients with ARDS who are undergoing venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV-ECMO) compared with supine positioning. Objective: To test whether prone positioning vs supine positioning decreases the time to successful ECMO weaning in patients with severe ARDS supported by VV-ECMO. Design, Setting, and Participants: Randomized clinical trial of patients with severe ARDS undergoing VV-ECMO for less than 48 hours at 14 intensive care units (ICUs) in France between March 3, 2021, and December 7, 2021. Interventions: Patients were randomized 1:1 to prone positioning (at least 4 sessions of 16 hours) (n = 86) or to supine positioning (n = 84). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was time to successful ECMO weaning within 60 days following randomization. Secondary outcomes included ECMO and mechanical ventilation-free days, ICU and hospital length of stay, skin pressure injury, serious adverse events, and all-cause mortality at 90-day follow-up. Results: Among 170 randomized patients (median age, 51 [IQR, 43-59] years; n = 60 women [35%]), median respiratory system compliance was 15.0 (IQR, 10.7-20.6) mL/cm H2O; 159 patients (94%) had COVID-19-related ARDS; and 164 (96%) were in prone position before ECMO initiation. Within 60 days of enrollment, 38 of 86 patients (44%) had successful ECMO weaning in the prone ECMO group compared with 37 of 84 (44%) in the supine ECMO group (risk difference, 0.1% [95% CI, -14.9% to 15.2%]; subdistribution hazard ratio, 1.11 [95% CI, 0.71-1.75]; P = .64). Within 90 days, no significant difference was observed in ECMO duration (28 vs 32 days; difference, -4.9 [95% CI, -11.2 to 1.5] days; P = .13), ICU length of stay, or 90-day mortality (51% vs 48%; risk difference, 2.4% [95% CI, -13.9% to 18.6%]; P = .62). No serious adverse events were reported during the prone position procedure. Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients with severe ARDS supported by VV-ECMO, prone positioning compared with supine positioning did not significantly reduce time to successful weaning of ECMO. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04607551.
Assuntos
Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório , Humanos , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea/métodos , Decúbito Ventral , Respiração Artificial/métodos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/terapia , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/mortalidadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Delaying renal replacement therapy (RRT) for some time in critically ill patients with severe acute kidney injury and no severe complication is safe and allows optimisation of the use of medical devices. Major uncertainty remains concerning the duration for which RRT can be postponed without risk. Our aim was to test the hypothesis that a more-delayed initiation strategy would result in more RRT-free days, compared with a delayed strategy. METHODS: This was an unmasked, multicentre, prospective, open-label, randomised, controlled trial done in 39 intensive care units in France. We monitored critically ill patients with severe acute kidney injury (defined as Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes stage 3) until they had oliguria for more than 72 h or a blood urea nitrogen concentration higher than 112 mg/dL. Patients were then randomly assigned (1:1) to either a strategy (delayed strategy) in which RRT was started just after randomisation or to a more-delayed strategy. With the more-delayed strategy, RRT initiation was postponed until mandatory indication (noticeable hyperkalaemia or metabolic acidosis or pulmonary oedema) or until blood urea nitrogen concentration reached 140 mg/dL. The primary outcome was the number of days alive and free of RRT between randomisation and day 28 and was done in the intention-to-treat population. The study is registered with ClinicalTrial.gov, NCT03396757 and is completed. FINDINGS: Between May 7, 2018, and Oct 11, 2019, of 5336 patients assessed, 278 patients underwent randomisation; 137 were assigned to the delayed strategy and 141 to the more-delayed strategy. The number of complications potentially related to acute kidney injury or to RRT were similar between groups. The median number of RRT-free days was 12 days (IQR 0-25) in the delayed strategy and 10 days (IQR 0-24) in the more-delayed strategy (p=0·93). In a multivariable analysis, the hazard ratio for death at 60 days was 1·65 (95% CI 1·09-2·50, p=0·018) with the more-delayed versus the delayed strategy. The number of complications potentially related to acute kidney injury or renal replacement therapy did not differ between groups. INTERPRETATION: In severe acute kidney injury patients with oliguria for more than 72 h or blood urea nitrogen concentration higher than 112 mg/dL and no severe complication that would mandate immediate RRT, longer postponing of RRT initiation did not confer additional benefit and was associated with potential harm. FUNDING: Programme Hospitalier de Recherche Clinique.
Assuntos
Injúria Renal Aguda/terapia , Terapia de Substituição Renal/métodos , Tempo para o Tratamento , Injúria Renal Aguda/mortalidade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , França , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/organização & administração , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Terapia de Substituição Renal/estatística & dados numéricos , Índice de Gravidade de DoençaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Osteoporosis is underdiagnosed and undertreated, although severe complications of osteoporotic fractures, including vertebral fractures, are well known. This study sought to assess the feasibility and results of an opportunistic screening of vertebral fractures and osteoporosis in a large database of lumbar or abdominal CT scans. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data were analysed from CT scans obtained in 35 hospitals from patients aged 60 years or older and stored in a Picture Archiving and Communication System in Assistance-Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, from 2007 to 2013. Dedicated software was used to analyse the presence or absence of at least 1 vertebral fracture (VF), and the radiodensity of the lumbar vertebrae was measured Hounsfield Units (HUs). A simulated T-score was calculated. RESULTS: Data were analysed from 152 268 patients [mean age (S.D.) = 73.2 (9.07) years]. Success rates for VF assessment and HUs measurements were 82 and 87%, respectively. The prevalence of VFs was 24.5% and increased with age. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves for the detection of VFs were 0.61 and 0.62 for the mean HUs of the lumbar vertebrae and the L1 HUs, respectively. In patients without VFs, HUs decreased with age, similarly in males and females. The prevalence of osteoporosis (sT-score ≤ -2.5) was 23.8% and 36.5% in patients without and with VFs, respectively. CONCLUSION: It is feasible on a large scale to screen for VFs and osteoporosis during opportunistic screening in patients 60 years or older having lumbar or abdominal CT.
Assuntos
Osteoporose , Fraturas por Osteoporose , Fraturas da Coluna Vertebral , Absorciometria de Fóton/métodos , Idoso , Densidade Óssea , Feminino , Humanos , Vértebras Lombares/diagnóstico por imagem , Masculino , Osteoporose/complicações , Osteoporose/diagnóstico por imagem , Osteoporose/epidemiologia , Fraturas por Osteoporose/diagnóstico por imagem , Fraturas por Osteoporose/epidemiologia , Fraturas por Osteoporose/etiologia , Fraturas da Coluna Vertebral/diagnóstico por imagem , Fraturas da Coluna Vertebral/epidemiologia , Fraturas da Coluna Vertebral/etiologia , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/métodosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Trials comparing early and delayed strategies of renal replacement therapy in patients with severe acute kidney injury may have missed differences in survival as a result of mixing together patients at heterogeneous levels of risks. Our aim was to evaluate the heterogeneity of treatment effect on 60-day mortality from an early vs a delayed strategy across levels of risk for renal replacement therapy initiation under a delayed strategy. METHODS: We used data from the AKIKI, and IDEAL-ICU randomized controlled trials to develop a multivariable logistic regression model for renal replacement therapy initiation within 48 h after allocation to a delayed strategy. We then used an interaction with spline terms in a Cox model to estimate treatment effects across the predicted risks of RRT initiation. RESULTS: We analyzed data from 1107 patients (619 and 488 in the AKIKI and IDEAL-ICU trial respectively). In the pooled sample, we found evidence for heterogeneous treatment effects (P = 0.023). Patients at an intermediate-high risk of renal replacement therapy initiation within 48 h may have benefited from an early strategy (absolute risk difference, - 14%; 95% confidence interval, - 27% to - 1%). For other patients, we found no evidence of benefit from an early strategy of renal replacement therapy initiation but a trend for harm (absolute risk difference, 8%; 95% confidence interval, - 5% to 21% in patients at intermediate-low risk). CONCLUSIONS: We have identified a clinically sound heterogeneity of treatment effect of an early vs a delayed strategy of renal replacement therapy initiation that may reflect varying degrees of kidney demand-capacity mismatch.
Assuntos
Injúria Renal Aguda , Tempo para o Tratamento , Injúria Renal Aguda/etiologia , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Rim , Terapia de Substituição Renal/efeitos adversosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Delaying time to prone positioning (PP) may be associated with higher mortality in acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) due to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We evaluated the use and the impact of early PP on clinical outcomes in intubated patients hospitalized in intensive care units (ICUs) for COVID-19. METHODS: All intubated patients with ARDS due to COVID-19 were involved in a secondary analysis from a prospective multicenter cohort study of COVID-ICU network including 149 ICUs across France, Belgium and Switzerland. Patients were followed-up until Day-90. The primary outcome was survival at Day-60. Analysis used a Cox proportional hazard model including a propensity score. RESULTS: Among 2137 intubated patients, 1504 (70.4%) were placed in PP during their ICU stay and 491 (23%) during the first 24 h following ICU admission. One hundred and eighty-one patients (36.9%) of the early PP group had a PaO2/FiO2 ratio > 150 mmHg when prone positioning was initiated. Among non-early PP group patients, 1013 (47.4%) patients had finally been placed in PP within a median delay of 3 days after ICU admission. Day-60 mortality in non-early PP group was 34.2% versus 39.3% in the early PP group (p = 0.038). Day-28 and Day-90 mortality as well as the need for adjunctive therapies was more important in patients with early PP. After propensity score adjustment, no significant difference in survival at Day-60 was found between the two study groups (HR 1.34 [0.96-1.68], p = 0.09 and HR 1.19 [0.998-1.412], p = 0.053 in complete case analysis or in multiple imputation analysis, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: In a large multicentric international cohort of intubated ICU patients with ARDS due to COVID-19, PP has been used frequently as a main treatment. In this study, our data failed to show a survival benefit associated with early PP started within 24 h after ICU admission compared to PP after day-1 for all COVID-19 patients requiring invasive mechanical ventilation regardless of their severity.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório , COVID-19/terapia , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Decúbito Ventral , Pontuação de Propensão , Estudos Prospectivos , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/terapiaRESUMO
Propensity score methods are widely used in observational studies for evaluating marginal treatment effects. The generalized propensity score (GPS) is an extension of the propensity score framework, historically developed in the case of binary exposures, for use with quantitative or continuous exposures. In this paper, we proposed variance estimators for treatment effect estimators on continuous outcomes. Dose-response functions (DRFs) were estimated through weighting on the inverse of the GPS, or using stratification. Variance estimators were evaluated using Monte Carlo simulations. Despite the use of stabilized weights, the variability of the weighted estimator of the DRF was particularly high, and none of the variance estimators (a bootstrap-based estimator, a closed-form estimator especially developed to take into account the estimation step of the GPS, and a sandwich estimator) were able to adequately capture this variability, resulting in coverages below the nominal value, particularly when the proportion of the variation in the quantitative exposure explained by the covariates was large. The stratified estimator was more stable, and variance estimators (a bootstrap-based estimator, a pooled linearized estimator, and a pooled model-based estimator) more efficient at capturing the empirical variability of the parameters of the DRF. The pooled variance estimators tended to overestimate the variance, whereas the bootstrap estimator, which intrinsically takes into account the estimation step of the GPS, resulted in correct variance estimations and coverage rates. These methods were applied to a real data set with the aim of assessing the effect of maternal body mass index on newborn birth weight.
Assuntos
Pontuação de Propensão , Simulação por Computador , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Método de Monte CarloRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Data from nonrandomized studies have suggested that hydroxychloroquine could be an effective therapeutic agent against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS: We conducted an observational, retrospective cohort study involving hospitalized adult patients with confirmed, mild to severe COVID-19 in a French university hospital. Patients who received hydroxychloroquine (200 mg 3 times daily dosage for 10 days) on a compassionate basis in addition to standard of care (SOC) were compared with patients without contraindications to hydroxychloroquine who received SOC alone. A propensity score-weighted analysis was performed to control for confounders: age, sex, time between symptom onset and admissionâ ≤â 7 days, Charlson comorbidity index, medical history of arterial hypertension, obesity, National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) score at admission, and pneumonia severity. The primary endpoint was time to unfavorable outcome, defined as: death, admission to an intensive care unit, or decision to withdraw or withhold life-sustaining treatments, whichever came first. RESULTS: Data from 89 patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 were analyzed, 84 of whom were considered in the primary analysis; 38 patients treated with hydroxychloroquine and 46 patients treated with SOC alone. At admission, the mean age of patients was 66 years, the median Charlson comorbidity index was 3, and the median NEWS2 severity score was 3. After propensity score weighting, treatment with hydroxychloroquine was not associated with a significantly reduced risk of unfavorable outcome (hazard ratio, 0.90 [95% confidence interval, .38-2.1], Pâ =â .81). Overall survival was not significantly different between the 2 groups (hazard ratio, 0.89 [0.23; 3.47], Pâ =â 1). CONCLUSION: In hospitalized adults with COVID-19, no significant reduction of the risk of unfavorable outcomes was observed with hydroxychloroquine in comparison to SOC. Unmeasured confounders may have persisted however, despite careful propensity-weighted analysis and the study might be underpowered. Ongoing controlled trials in patients with varying degrees of initial severity on a larger scale will help determine whether there is a place for hydroxychloroquine in the treatment of COVID-19. In hospitalized adults with COVID-19, no significant reduction of the risk of unfavorable outcomes was observed with hydroxychloroquine in comparison to SOC.
Assuntos
Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Hidroxicloroquina , Adulto , Idoso , Ensaios de Uso Compassivo , Hospitais Universitários , Humanos , Hidroxicloroquina/uso terapêutico , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Patients with sepsis-induced cardiomyopathy with cardiogenic shock have a high mortality. This study assessed venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) support for sepsis-induced cardiogenic shock refractory to conventional treatments. METHODS: In this retrospective, multicentre, international cohort study, we compared outcomes of 82 patients (aged ≥18 years) with septic shock who received VA-ECMO at five academic ECMO centres, with 130 controls (not receiving ECMO) obtained from three large databases of septic shock. All patients had severe myocardial dysfunction (cardiac index 3 L/min per m2 or less or left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] 35% or less) and severe haemodynamic compromise (inotrope score at least 75 µg/kg per min or lactic acidaemia at least 4 mmol/L) at time of inclusion. The primary endpoint was survival at 90 days. A propensity score-weighted analysis was done to control for confounders. FINDINGS: At baseline, patients treated with VA-ECMO had more severe myocardial dysfunction (mean cardiac index 1·5 L/min per m2vs 2·2 L/min per m2, LVEF 17% vs 27%), more severe haemodynamic impairment (inotrope score 279 µg/kg per min vs 145 µg/kg per min, lactataemia 8·9 mmol/L vs 6·5 mmol/L), and more severe organ failure (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score 17 vs 13) than did controls, with p<0·0001 for each comparison. Survival at 90 days for patients treated with VA-ECMO was significantly higher than for controls (60% vs 25%, risk ratio [RR] for mortality 0·54, 95% CI [0·40-0·70]; p<0·0001). After propensity score weighting, ECMO remained associated with improved survival (51% vs 14%, adjusted RR for mortality 0·57, 95% CI [0·35-0·93]; p=0·0029). Lactate and catecholamine clearance were also significantly enhanced in patients treated with ECMO. Among the 49 survivors treated with ECMO, 32 who had been treated at the largest centre reported satisfactory Short Form-36 evaluated health-related quality of life at 1-year follow-up. INTERPRETATION: Patients with severe sepsis-induced cardiogenic shock treated with VA-ECMO had a large and significant improvement in survival compared with controls not receiving ECMO. However, despite the careful propensity-weighted analysis, we cannot rule out unmeasured confounders. FUNDING: None.
Assuntos
Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea/métodos , Choque Cardiogênico/terapia , Choque Séptico/complicações , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Bases de Dados Factuais , Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Escores de Disfunção Orgânica , Qualidade de Vida , Estudos Retrospectivos , Choque Cardiogênico/etiologia , Choque Cardiogênico/mortalidade , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The timing of renal replacement therapy (RRT) for severe acute kidney injury is highly debated when no life-threatening complications are present. We assessed whether a strategy of delayed versus early RRT initiation affects 28-day survival in critically ill adults with severe acute kidney injury. METHODS: In this systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE (via PubMed), Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials for randomised trials published from April 1, 2008, to Dec 20, 2019, that compared delayed and early RRT initiation strategies in patients with severe acute kidney injury. Trials were eligible for inclusion if they included critically ill patients aged 18 years or older with acute kidney injury (defined as a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes [KDIGO] acute kidney injury stage 2 or 3, or, where KDIGO was unavailable, a renal Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score of 3 or higher). We contacted the principal investigator of each eligible trial to request individual patient data. From the included trials, any patients without acute kidney injury or who were not randomly allocated were not included in the individual patient data meta-analysis. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality at day 28 after randomisation. This study is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42019125025). FINDINGS: Among the 1031 studies identified, one study that met the eligibility criteria was excluded because the recruitment period was not recent enough, and ten (including 2143 patients) were included in the analysis. Individual patient data were available for nine studies (2083 patients), from which 1879 patients had severe acute kidney injury and were randomly allocated: 946 (50%) to the delayed RRT group and 933 (50%) to the early RRT group. 390 (42%) of 929 patients allocated to the delayed RRT group and who had available data did not receive RRT. The proportion of patients who died by day 28 did not significantly differ between the delayed RRT group (366 [44%] of 837) and the early RRT group (355 [43%] of 827; risk ratio 1·01 [95% CI 0·91 to 1·13], p=0·80), corresponding to an overall risk difference of 0·01 (95% CI -0·04 to 0·06). There was no heterogeneity across studies (I2=0%; τ2=0), and most studies had a low risk of bias. INTERPRETATION: The timing of RRT initiation does not affect survival in critically ill patients with severe acute kidney injury in the absence of urgent indications for RRT. Delaying RRT initiation, with close patient monitoring, might lead to a reduced use of RRT, thereby saving health resources. FUNDING: None.
Assuntos
Injúria Renal Aguda/terapia , Estado Terminal/terapia , Terapia de Substituição Renal/métodos , Prevenção Secundária/estatística & dados numéricos , Tempo para o Tratamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Injúria Renal Aguda/classificação , Injúria Renal Aguda/mortalidade , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estado Terminal/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mortalidade , Escores de Disfunção Orgânica , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Análise de Sobrevida , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The efficacy of venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) in patients with severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) remains controversial. METHODS: In an international clinical trial, we randomly assigned patients with very severe ARDS, as indicated by one of three criteria - a ratio of partial pressure of arterial oxygen (Pao2) to the fraction of inspired oxygen (Fio2) of less than 50 mm Hg for more than 3 hours; a Pao2:Fio2 of less than 80 mm Hg for more than 6 hours; or an arterial blood pH of less than 7.25 with a partial pressure of arterial carbon dioxide of at least 60 mm Hg for more than 6 hours - to receive immediate venovenous ECMO (ECMO group) or continued conventional treatment (control group). Crossover to ECMO was possible for patients in the control group who had refractory hypoxemia. The primary end point was mortality at 60 days. RESULTS: At 60 days, 44 of 124 patients (35%) in the ECMO group and 57 of 125 (46%) in the control group had died (relative risk, 0.76; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.55 to 1.04; P=0.09). Crossover to ECMO occurred a mean (±SD) of 6.5±9.7 days after randomization in 35 patients (28%) in the control group, with 20 of these patients (57%) dying. The frequency of complications did not differ significantly between groups, except that there were more bleeding events leading to transfusion in the ECMO group than in the control group (in 46% vs. 28% of patients; absolute risk difference, 18 percentage points; 95% CI, 6 to 30) as well as more cases of severe thrombocytopenia (in 27% vs. 16%; absolute risk difference, 11 percentage points; 95% CI, 0 to 21) and fewer cases of ischemic stroke (in no patients vs. 5%; absolute risk difference, -5 percentage points; 95% CI, -10 to -2). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with very severe ARDS, 60-day mortality was not significantly lower with ECMO than with a strategy of conventional mechanical ventilation that included ECMO as rescue therapy. (Funded by the Direction de la Recherche Clinique et du Développement and the French Ministry of Health; EOLIA ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01470703 .).
Assuntos
Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea , Respiração Artificial , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/terapia , Adulto , Idoso , Estudos Cross-Over , Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Hemorragia/etiologia , Humanos , Hipóxia , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Respiração Artificial/efeitos adversos , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/mortalidade , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Trombocitopenia/etiologia , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether intervention effect estimates for mortality differ between blinded and nonblinded randomized controlled trials conducted in critical care. We used a meta-epidemiological approach, comparing effect estimates between blinded and nonblinded randomized controlled trials for the same research question. DATA SOURCES: Systematic reviews and meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials evaluating a therapeutic intervention on mortality in critical care, published between January 2009 and March 2019 in high impact factor general medical or critical care journals and by Cochrane. DATA EXTRACTION: For each randomized controlled trial included in eligible meta-analyses, we evaluated whether the trial was blinded (i.e., double-blinded and/or reporting adequate methods) or not (i.e., open-label, single-blinded, or unclear). We collected risk of bias evaluated by the review authors and extracted trial results. DATA SYNTHESIS: Within each meta-analysis, we compared intervention effect estimates between blinded and nonblinded randomized controlled trials by using a ratio of odds ratio (< 1 indicates larger estimates in nonblinded than blinded randomized controlled trials). We then combined ratio of odds ratios across meta-analyses to obtain the average relative difference between nonblinded and blinded trials. Among 467 randomized controlled trials included in 36 meta-analyses, 267 (57%) were considered blinded and 200 (43%) nonblinded. Intervention effect estimates were statistically significantly larger in nonblinded than blinded trials (combined ratio of odds ratio, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.84-0.99). We found no heterogeneity across meta-analyses (p = 0.72; I2 = 0%; τ2 = 0). Sensitivity analyses adjusting the main analysis on risk of bias items yielded consistent results. CONCLUSIONS: Intervention effect estimates of mortality were slightly larger in nonblinded than blinded randomized controlled trials conducted in critical care, but confounding cannot be excluded. Blinding of both patients and personnel is important to consider when possible in critical care trials, even when evaluating mortality.
Assuntos
Viés , Método Duplo-Cego , Mortalidade Hospitalar/tendências , Projetos de Pesquisa/normas , Método Simples-Cego , Estudos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto/estatística & dados numéricos , Projetos de Pesquisa/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
AIMS: Periodic breathing is frequent in patients with severe heart failure. Apart from being an indicator of severity, periodic breathing has its own deleterious consequences (sleep-related oxygen desaturations, sleep fragmentation), which justifies attempts to correct it irrespective of the underlying disease. Animal models and human data suggest that baclofen can reconfigure respiratory central pattern generators. We hypothesised that baclofen, a GABAB agonist, may thus be able to correct periodic breathing in humans. METHODS: Healthy volunteers were exposed to hypoxia during sleep. Participants who developed periodic breathing (n = 14 [53 screened]) were randomly assigned to double-blind oral baclofen (progressively increased to 60 mg/d) or placebo. The primary outcome was the coefficient of variation (CoVar) of respiratory cycle total time considered as an indicator of breathing irregularity. Secondary outcomes included the CoVar of tidal volume, apnoea-hypopnoea index, sleep fragmentation index and ventilatory complexity (noise limit). RESULTS: The analysis was conducted in 9 subjects after exclusion of incomplete datasets. CoVar of respiratory cycle total time significantly increased with baclofen during non-rapid eye movement sleep (median with placebo 56.00% [37.63-78.95]; baclofen 85.42% [68.37-86.40], P = .020; significant difference during the N1-N2 phases of sleep but not during the N3 phase). CoVar of tidal volume significantly increased during N1-N2 sleep. The apnoea-hypopnoea index, sleep fragmentation index and ventilatory complexity were not significantly different between placebo and baclofen. CONCLUSION: Baclofen did not stabilise breathing in our model. On the contrary, it increased respiratory variability. Baclofen should probably not be used in patients with or at risk of periodic breathing.
Assuntos
Baclofeno , Apneia Obstrutiva do Sono , Baclofeno/efeitos adversos , Estudos Cross-Over , Humanos , Respiração , SonoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) was frequently used to treat patients with severe coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19)-associated acute respiratory distress (ARDS) during the initial outbreak. Care of COVID-19 patients evolved markedly during the second part of 2020. Our objective was to compare the characteristics and outcomes of patients who received ECMO for severe COVID-19 ARDS before or after July 1, 2020. METHODS: We included consecutive adults diagnosed with COVID-19 in Paris-Sorbonne University Hospital Network ICUs, who received ECMO for severe ARDS until January 28, 2021. Characteristics and survival probabilities over time were estimated during the first and second waves. Pre-ECMO risk factors predicting 90-day mortality were assessed using multivariate Cox regression. RESULTS: Characteristics of the 88 and 71 patients admitted, respectively, before and after July 1, 2020, were comparable except for older age, more frequent use of dexamethasone (18% vs. 82%), high-flow nasal oxygenation (19% vs. 82%) and/or non-invasive ventilation (7% vs. 37%) after July 1. Respective estimated probabilities (95% confidence intervals) of 90-day mortality were 36% (27-47%) and 48% (37-60%) during the first and the second periods. After adjusting for confounders, probability of 90-day mortality was significantly higher for patients treated after July 1 (HR 2.27, 95% CI 1.02-5.07). ECMO-related complications did not differ between study periods. CONCLUSIONS: 90-day mortality of ECMO-supported COVID-19-ARDS patients increased significantly after July 1, 2020, and was no longer comparable to that of non-COVID ECMO-treated patients. Failure of prolonged non-invasive oxygenation strategies before intubation and increased lung damage may partly explain this outcome.