Optima TB: A tool to help optimally allocate tuberculosis spending.

Approximately 85% of tuberculosis (TB) related deaths occur in low- and middle-income countries where health resources are scarce. Effective priority setting is required to maximise the impact of limited budgets. The Optima TB tool has been developed to support analytical capacity and inform evidence-based priority setting processes for TB health benefits package design. This paper outlines the Optima TB framework and how it was applied in Belarus, an upper-middle income country in Eastern Europe with a relatively high burden of TB. Optima TB is a population-based disease transmission model, with programmatic cost functions and an optimisation algorithm. Modelled populations include age-differentiated general populations and higher-risk populations such as people living with HIV. Populations and prospective interventions are defined in consultation with local stakeholders. In partnership with the latter, demographic, epidemiological, programmatic, as well as cost and spending data for these populations and interventions are then collated. An optimisation analysis of TB spending was conducted in Belarus, using program objectives and constraints defined in collaboration with local stakeholders, which included experts, decision makers, funders and organisations involved in service delivery, support and technical assistance. These analyses show that it is possible to improve health impact by redistributing current TB spending in Belarus. Specifically, shifting funding from inpatient- to outpatient-focused care models, and from mass screening to active case finding strategies, could reduce TB prevalence and mortality by up to 45% and 50%, respectively, by 2035. In addition, an optimised allocation of TB spending could lead to a reduction in drug-resistant TB infections by 40% over this period. This would support progress towards national TB targets without additional financial resources. The case study in Belarus demonstrates how reallocations of spending across existing and new interventions could have a substantial impact on TB outcomes. This highlights the potential for Optima TB and similar modelling tools to support evidence-based priority setting.

Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in Belarus: the size of the problem and associated risk factors.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the problem of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) throughout Belarus and investigate the associated risk factors. METHODS: In a nationwide survey in 2010-2011, 1420 tuberculosis (TB) patients were screened and 934 new and 410 previously treated cases of TB were found to meet the inclusion criteria. Isolates of Mycobacterium tuberculosis from each eligible patient were tested for susceptibility to anti-TB drugs. Sociobehavioural information was gathered in interviews based on a structured questionnaire. FINDINGS: MDR-TB was found in 32.3% and 75.6% of the new and previously treated patients, respectively, and, 11.9% of the 612 patients found to have MDR-TB had extensively drug-resistant TB (XDR-TB). A history of previous treatment for TB was the strongest independent risk factor for MDR-TB (odds ratio, OR: 6.1; 95% confidence interval, CI: 4.8-7.7). The other independent risk factors were human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection (OR: 2.2; 95% CI: 1.4-3.5), age < 35 years (OR: 1.4; 95% CI: 1.0-1.8), history of imprisonment (OR: 1.5; 95% CI: 1.1-2.0), disability sufficient to prevent work (OR: 1.9; 95% CI: 1.2-3.0), alcohol abuse (OR: 1.3; 95% CI: 1.0-1.8) and smoking (OR: 1.5; 95% CI: 1.1-2.0). CONCLUSION: MDR-TB is very common among TB patients throughout Belarus. The numerous risk factors identified for MDR-TB and the convergence of the epidemics of MDR-TB and HIV infection call not only for stronger collaboration between TB and HIV control programmes, but also for the implementation of innovative measures to accelerate the detection of TB resistance and improve treatment adherence.

Résumé OBJECTIF: Évaluer le problème de la tuberculose multirésistante (TB-MR) sur le territoire biélorusse et explorer les facteurs de risque associés. MÉTHODES: Au cours d'une enquête nationale menée en 2010-2011, 1420 cas de tuberculose (TB) ont été dépistés et 934 cas nouveaux ainsi que 410 cas précédemment traités ont été jugés conformes aux critères d'inclusion. Des isolats de Mycobacterium tuberculosis provenant de chaque patient admissible ont été testés pour leur sensibilité envers les médicaments antituberculeux. Des informations sociocomportementales ont été recueillies lors d'entretiens basés sur un questionnaire structuré. RÉSULTATS: La TB-MR a été détectée dans respectivement 32,3% et 75,6% des cas nouveaux et des cas traités antérieurement, et 11,9% des 612 patients porteurs de la TB-MR présentaient une forme de tuberculose ultrarésistante (TB-UR). Un historique de traitement antérieur pour la TB représentait le principal facteur de risque indépendant pour la TB-MR (rapport des cotes, RC: 6,1; intervalle de confiance à 95%, IC: 4,8 à 7,7). Les autres facteurs de risque indépendants comprenaient l'infection par le virus d'immunodéficience humaine (VIH) (RC: 2,2; IC à 95%: 1,4 à 3,5), l'âge <35 ans (RC: 1,4 ; IC à 95%: 1,0 à 1,8), un historique d'emprisonnement (RC: 1,5; IC à 95%: 1,1 à 2,0), une invalidité suffisante pour empêcher le travail (RC: 1,9 ; IC à 95%: 1,2 à 3,0), l'alcoolisme (RC: 1,3; IC à 95%: 1,0 à 1,8) et le tabagisme (RC: 1,5; IC à 95%: 1,1 à 2,0). CONCLUSION: La TB-MR est très fréquente chez les patients atteints de tuberculose en Bélarus. Les nombreux facteurs de risque identifiés pour la TB-MR et la convergence entre l'épidémie de TB-MR et l'infection par le VIH exigent non seulement de renforcer la collaboration entre les programmes antituberculeux et de lutte contre le VIH, mais aussi la mise en œuvre de mesures innovantes pour accélérer la détection de la résistance à la tuberculose et améliorer l'observance du traitement.

Resumen OBJETIVO: Evaluar el problema de la tuberculosis multirresistente (TB-MR) en Bielorrusia e investigar los factores de riesgo asociados. MÉTODOS: En una encuesta a nivel nacional llevada a cabo entre 2010 y 2011, se evaluó a 1420 pacientes con tuberculosis (TB) y se consideró que 934 nuevos casos de TB y 410 casos de TB previamente tratados reunían los criterios de inclusión. Se analizaron cepas de Mycobacterium tuberculosis de cada paciente elegible con el fin de determinar la susceptibilidad a los fármacos antituberculosos. Se recopiló información socioconductual mediante entrevistas basadas en un cuestionario estructurado. RESULTADOS: Se detectó TB-MR en el 32,3% y el 75,6% de los pacientes de nuevo diagnóstico y tratados previamente, respectivamente, y se observó que el 11,9% de los 612 pacientes con TB-MR presentaba tuberculosis ultrarresistente (TB-XR). Los antecedentes de tratamiento previo de la TB resultaron ser el factor de riesgo independiente que más predispone a sufrir TB-MR (razón de posibilidades, OR: 6,1; intervalo de confianza del 95%, IC: 4,8­7,7). Los demás factores de riesgo independientes fueron el virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana (VIH) (OR: 2,2; IC del 95%: 1,4­3,5), edad < 35 años (OR: 1,4; IC del 95%: 1,0­1,8), antecedentes de encarcelamiento (OR: 1,5; IC del 95%: 1,1­2,0), incapacidad suficiente para impedir el trabajo (OR: 1,9; IC del 95%: 1,2­3,0), alcoholismo (OR: 1,3; IC del 95%: 1,0­1,8) y tabaquismo (OR: 1,5; IC del 95%: 1,1­2,0). CONCLUSIÓN: La TB.MR es muy frecuente entre los pacientes con tuberculosis en Bielorrusia. Los numerosos factores de riesgo identificados para la TB-MR, unidos a la convergencia de las epidemias de TB-MR y la infección por el VIH, exigen no solo una mayor colaboración entre los programas de control de la TB y del VIH, sino también la aplicación de medidas innovadoras destinadas a acelerar la detección de la resistencia a la TB y mejorar el cumplimiento terapéutico.

Alarming levels of drug-resistant tuberculosis in Belarus: results of a survey in Minsk.

Resistance to anti-tuberculosis (TB) medicines is a major public health threat in most countries of the former Soviet Union. As no representative and quality-assured information on the magnitude of this problem existed in Belarus, a survey was conducted in the capital city of Minsk. Between November 2009 and December 2010, 156 consecutively diagnosed new and 68 previously treated culture-positive TB patients residing in Minsk were enrolled in the survey. Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates were obtained from each patient and tested for susceptibility to first- and second-line anti-TB drugs. Multidrug-resistant (MDR)-TB was found in 35.3% (95% CI 27.7-42.8) of new patients and 76.5% (95% CI 66.1-86.8) of those previously treated. Overall, nearly one in two patients enrolled had MDR-TB. Extensively drug-resistant TB was reported in 15 of the 107 MDR-TB patients (14.0%, 95% CI 7.3-20.7). Patients <35 yrs of age have shown a two times higher odds ratio of multidrug-resistant TB than those aged >35 yrs. The findings of this survey in Minsk city are alarming and represent the highest proportions of MDR-TB ever recorded in the world. This study greatly contributes to the understanding of the burden of drug-resistant TB in urban areas of Belarus.

Tuberculosis Drug Susceptibility, Treatment, and Outcomes for Belarusian HIV-Positive Patients with Tuberculosis: Results from a National and International Laboratory.

BACKGROUND: To cure drug-resistant (DR) tuberculosis (TB), the antituberculous treatment should be guided by Mycobacterium tuberculosis drug-susceptibility testing (DST). In this study, we compared conventional DST performed in Minsk, Belarus, a TB DR high-burden country, with extensive geno- and phenotypic analyses performed at the WHO TB Supranational Reference Laboratory in Copenhagen, Denmark, for TB/HIV coinfected patients. Subsequently, DST results were related to treatment regimen and outcome. METHODS: Thirty TB/HIV coinfected patients from Minsk were included and descriptive statistics applied. RESULTS: Based on results from Minsk, 10 (33%) TB/HIV patients had drug-sensitive TB. Two (7%) had isoniazid monoresistant TB, 8 (27%) had multidrug-resistant (MDR) TB, 5 (17%) preextensive drug-resistant (preXDR) TB, and 5 (17%) had extensive drug-resistant (XDR) TB. For the first-line drugs rifampicin and isoniazid, there was DST agreement between Minsk and Copenhagen for 90% patients. For the second-line anti-TB drugs, discrepancies were more pronounced. For 14 (47%) patients, there were disagreements for at least one drug, and 4 (13%) patients were classified as having MDR-TB in Minsk but were classified as having preXDR-TB based on DST results in Copenhagen. Initially, all patients received standard anti-TB treatment with rifampicin, isoniazid, pyrazinamide, and ethambutol. However, this was only suitable for 40% of the patients based on DST. On average, DR-TB patients were changed to 4 (IQR 3-5) active drugs after 1.5 months (IQR 1-2). After treatment adjustment, the treatment duration was 8 months (IQR 2-11). Four (22%) patients with DR-TB received treatment for >18 months. In total, sixteen (53%) patients died during 24 months of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: We found high concordance for rifampicin and isoniazid DST between the Minsk and Copenhagen laboratories, whereas discrepancies for second-line drugs were more pronounced. For patients with DR-TB, treatment was often insufficient and relevant adjustments delayed. This example from Minsk, Belarus, underlines two crucial points in the management of DR-TB: the urgent need for implementation of rapid molecular DSTs and availability of second-line drugs in all DR-TB high-burden settings. Carefully designed individualized treatment regimens in accordance with DST patterns will likely improve patients' outcome and reduce transmission with drug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis strains.

Prospective evaluation of improving fluoroquinolone exposure using centralised therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) in patients with tuberculosis (PERFECT): a study protocol of a prospective multicentre cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Global multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) treatment success rates remain suboptimal. Highly active WHO group A drugs moxifloxacin and levofloxacin show intraindividual and interindividual pharmacokinetic variability which can cause low drug exposure. Therefore, therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) of fluoroquinolones is recommended to personalise the drug dosage, aiming to prevent the development of drug resistance and optimise treatment. However, TDM is considered laborious and expensive, and the clinical benefit in MDR-TB has not been extensively studied. This observational multicentre study aims to determine the feasibility of centralised TDM and to investigate the impact of fluoroquinolone TDM on sputum conversion rates in patients with MDR-TB compared with historical controls. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Patients aged 18 years or older with sputum smear and culture-positive pulmonary MDR-TB will be eligible for inclusion. Patients receiving TDM using a limited sampling strategy (t=0 and t=5 hours) will be matched to historical controls without TDM in a 1:2 ratio. Sample analysis and dosing advice will be performed in a centralised laboratory. Centralised TDM will be considered feasible if >80% of the dosing recommendations are returned within 7 days after sampling and 100% within 14 days. The number of patients who are sputum smear and culture-negative after 2 months of treatment will be determined in the prospective TDM group and will be compared with the control group without TDM to determine the impact of TDM. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical clearance was obtained by the ethical review committees of the 10 participating hospitals according to local procedures or is pending (online supplementary file 1). Patients will be included after obtaining written informed consent. We aim to publish the study results in a peer-reviewed journal. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov Registry (NCT03409315).

Effectiveness of a novel cellular therapy to treat multidrug-resistant tuberculosis.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: We urgently need novel treatments for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB). Autologous mesenchymal stromal cell (MSC) infusion is one such possibility due to its potential to repair damaged lung tissue and boost immune responses. We aimed to assess the safety and effectiveness of MSC to improve treatment outcomes among MDR-TB patients. METHODS: We analyzed treatment outcomes for 108 Belarusian MDR-TB patients receiving chemotherapy. Thirty-six patients (cases) also had MSCs collected, extracted, cultured, and reinfused (average time from chemotherapy start to infusion was 49days) in optimal dose; another 36 patients (without MSC treatment) were "study controls". We identified another control group: 36 patients from the Belarusian national surveillance database (surveillance controls) 1:1 matched to cases. RESULTS: Successful outcomes were observed in 81% of cases, 42% of surveillance controls, and 39% of study controls. After adjusting for age, odds of a successful outcome were 6.5 (95% confidence interval, 1.2-36.2, p=0.032) times greater for cases than surveillance controls. Adjusting for other potential confounders increased the effect estimate while maintaining statistical significance. Cases were less likely (p=0.01) to be culture negative at 2months than surveillance controls, indicating a poorer initial prognosis in cases before (or shortly after) infusion. Radiological improvement was more likely in cases than in study controls. CONCLUSION: MSC treatment could vastly improve treatment outcomes for MDR-TB patients. Our findings could revolutionize therapy options and have strong implications for future directions of MDR-TB therapy research.

Effectiveness of a novel cellular therapy to treat multidrug-resistant tuberculosis.

INTRODUCTION: We urgently need novel treatments for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB). Autologous mesenchymal stromal cell (MSC) infusion is one such possibility due to its potential to repair damaged lung tissue and boost immune responses. We aimed to assess the effectiveness of MSC to improve outcomes among MDR-TB patients. METHODS: We analyzed outcomes for 108 Belarussian MDR-TB patients receiving chemotherapy. Thirty-six patients ("cases") also had MSCs extracted, cultured and re-infused (average time from chemotherapy start to infusion was 49 days); another 36 patients were "study controls". We identified another control group: 36 patients from the Belarussian surveillance database ("surveillance controls") 1:1 matched to cases. RESULTS: Of the cases, 81% had successful outcomes versus 42% of surveillance controls and 39% of study controls. Successful outcome odds were 6.5 (95% Confidence Interval: 1.2-36.2, p=0.032) times greater for cases than surveillance controls (age-adjusted). Radiological improvement was more likely in cases than study controls. Culture analysis prior to infusion demonstrated a poorer initial prognosis in cases, yet despite this they had better outcomes than the control groups. CONCLUSION: MSC treatment could vastly improve outcomes for MDR-TB patients. Our findings could revolutionize therapy options and have strong implications for future directions of MDR-TB therapy research.