Development of antifibrotic therapy for stricturing Crohn's disease: lessons from randomized trials in other fibrotic diseases.

Intestinal fibrosis is considered an inevitable complication of Crohn's disease (CD) that results in symptoms of obstruction and stricture formation. Endoscopic or surgical treatment is required to treat the majority of patients. Progress in the management of stricturing CD is hampered by the lack of effective antifibrotic therapy; however, this situation is likely to change because of recent advances in other fibrotic diseases of the lung, liver, and skin. In this review, we summarize data from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of antifibrotic therapies in these conditions. Multiple compounds have been tested for antifibrotic effects in other organs. According to their mechanisms, they were categorized into growth factor modulators, inflammation modulators, 5-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-coenzyme A (HMG-CoA) reductase inhibitors, intracellular enzymes and kinases, renin-angiotensin system (RAS) modulators, and others. From our review of the results from the clinical trials and discussion of their implications in the gastrointestinal tract, we have identified several molecular candidates that could serve as potential therapies for intestinal fibrosis in CD.

Vedolizumab for the Treatment of Chronic Pouchitis.

BACKGROUND: Approximately half the patients with ulcerative colitis who undergo restorative proctocolectomy with ileal pouch-anal anastomosis (IPAA) will subsequently have pouchitis, and among those patients, one fifth will have chronic pouchitis. METHODS: We conducted a phase 4, double-blind, randomized trial to evaluate vedolizumab in adult patients in whom chronic pouchitis had developed after undergoing IPAA for ulcerative colitis. Patients were assigned (in a 1:1 ratio) to receive vedolizumab intravenously at a dose of 300 mg or placebo on day 1 and at weeks 2, 6, 14, 22, and 30. All the patients received concomitant ciprofloxacin from weeks 1 to 4. The primary end point was modified Pouchitis Disease Activity Index (mPDAI)-defined remission (an mPDAI score of ≤4 and a reduction from baseline of ≥2 points in the mPDAI total score; scores range from 0 to 12, with higher scores indicating more severe pouchitis) at week 14. The mPDAI is based on clinical symptoms and endoscopic findings. Other efficacy end points included mPDAI-defined remission at week 34, mPDAI-defined response (a reduction from baseline of ≥2 points in the mPDAI score) at weeks 14 and 34, and PDAI-defined remission (a PDAI score of ≤6 and a reduction from baseline of ≥3 points; scores range from 0 to 18, with higher scores indicating more severe pouchitis) at weeks 14 and 34. The PDAI is based on clinical symptoms, endoscopic findings, and histologic findings. RESULTS: Among the 102 patients who underwent randomization, the incidence of mPDAI-defined remission at week 14 was 31% (16 of 51 patients) with vedolizumab and 10% (5 of 51 patients) with placebo (difference, 21 percentage points; 95% confidence interval [CI], 5 to 38; P = 0.01). Differences in favor of vedolizumab over placebo were also seen with respect to mPDAI-defined remission at week 34 (difference, 17 percentage points; 95% CI, 0 to 35), mPDAI-defined response at week 14 (difference, 30 percentage points; 95% CI, 8 to 48) and at week 34 (difference, 22 percentage points; 95% CI, 2 to 40), and PDAI-defined remission at week 14 (difference, 25 percentage points; 95% CI, 8 to 41) and at week 34 (difference, 19 percentage points; 95% CI, 2 to 37). Serious adverse events occurred in 3 of 51 patients (6%) in the vedolizumab group and in 4 of 51 patients (8%) in the placebo group. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with vedolizumab was more effective than placebo in inducing remission in patients who had chronic pouchitis after undergoing IPAA for ulcerative colitis. (Funded by Takeda; EARNEST ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02790138; EudraCT number, 2015-003472-78.).

IL-23 inhibition for chronic inflammatory disease.

Biological monoclonal antibody drugs inhibit overactive cytokine signalling that drives chronic inflammatory disease in different organ systems. In the last 10 years, interleukin (IL)-23 inhibitors have attained an important position in the treatment of psoriatic skin and joint disease as well as inflammatory bowel diseases. Addressing an upstream pathological mechanism shared between these disorders, this drug class has high efficacy rates and a durable response that extends dosing intervals up to 3 months. Pooled clinical trial data show objective disease improvement for more than 70% of patients with psoriasis and up to 50% of patients with inflammatory bowel disease. The first antibody inhibitor for IL-23A targeted a p40 subunit shared with IL-12. Subsequently, even greater improvement was established for inhibitors of the p19 protein unique to IL-23A. IL-23 p19 inhibitors elicit clinical response in both bio-naive and bio-exposed patients and show superiority to tumour necrosis factor α inhibitors in plaque psoriasis. Reported differences in efficacy between p19 inhibitors suggest that individual drug action might be modulated by antibody affinity. Although long-term safety data are accumulating, rates of serious adverse events and infections for interleukin (IL)-23 inhibitors are similar to the rates for placebo across approved indications.

Integrating Evidence to Guide Use of Biologics and Small Molecules for Inflammatory Bowel Diseases.

Advances in science have led to the development of multiple biologics and small molecules for the treatment of inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs). This growth in advanced medical therapies has been accompanied by an increase in methodological innovation to study and compare therapies. Guidelines provide an evidence-based approach to integrating therapies into routine practice, but they are often unable to provide timely recommendations as new therapies come to market, and they have limited incorporation of real-world evidence when making recommendations. This limits the scope and usability of guidelines, and a gap remains in defining how best to position and integrate advanced medical therapies for IBD. In this review, we provide a framework for clinicians and researchers to understand key differences in sources of evidence, how different methodologies are applied to study the comparative effectiveness of advanced medical therapies in IBD, and considerations for how these sources of evidence can be used to better integrate current guideline recommendations. Over time, we anticipate this framework will allow for a transition to living guidelines and/or practice recommendations.

Placebo rates in Crohn's disease randomized clinical trials: An individual patient data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Understanding placebo rates is critical for efficient clinical trial design. We assessed placebo rates and associated factors using individual patient data (IPD) from Crohn's disease (CD) trials. METHODS: We conducted a meta-analysis of phase 2/3 placebo-controlled trials evaluating advanced therapies in moderate-to-severe CD (2010-2021). Deidentified IPD were obtained through Vivli Inc. and Yale University Open Data Access Project. Primary outcomes were clinical response and remission. Pooled placebo rates and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using one- and two-stage meta-analytical approaches. Regression analyses identified patient-level factors associated with placebo rates. RESULTS: Using IPD from eight induction (n=1147) and four maintenance (n=524) trials, overall placebo clinical response and remission rates for induction were 27% (95%CI=23-32%) and 10% (95%CI=8-14%) respectively, and 32% (95%CI=23-42%) and 22% (95%CI=14-33%) for maintenance, respectively. Among bio-naïve patients, placebo response and remission rates during induction were 29% (95%CI=24-35%) and 11% (95%CI=8-15%) respectively, and 26% (95% CI=20-33%) and 10% (95% CI=8-14%) for bio-exposed, respectively. During maintenance, bio-naïve response and remission rates were 41% (95%CI=34-48%) and 32% (95%CI=24-40%), respectively, and 29% (95%CI=24-34%) and 16% (95%CI=13-21%) for bio-exposed, respectively. Higher baseline C-reactive protein concentration predicted lower placebo rates, while higher baseline albumin levels and body mass index increased the odds of placebo outcomes. Increased baseline Crohn's Disease Activity Index and 2-item patient-reported outcome scores predicted higher response rates in induction, lower response rates in maintenance, and lower remission rates in induction and maintenance. CONCLUSION: Patient- and trial-level characteristics influence placebo rates in CD trials. Careful implementation of eligibility criteria, outcome definitions, and patient stratification may reduce placebo rates.

Standardizing Randomized Controlled Trials in Celiac Disease: An International Multidisciplinary Appropriateness Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There is a need to develop safe and effective pharmacologic options for the treatment of celiac disease (CeD); however, consensus on the appropriate design and configuration of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in this population is lacking. METHODS: A 2-round modified Research and Development/University of California Los Angeles Appropriateness Method study was conducted. Eighteen gastroenterologists (adult and pediatric) and gastrointestinal pathologists voted on statements pertaining to the configuration of CeD RCTs, inclusion and exclusion criteria, gluten challenge, and trial outcomes. Two RCT designs were considered, representing the following distinct clinical scenarios for which pharmacotherapy may be used: trials incorporating a gluten challenge to simulate exposure; and trials evaluating reversal of histologic changes, despite attempted adherence to a gluten-free diet. Each statement was rated as appropriate, uncertain, or inappropriate, using a 9-point Likert scale. RESULTS: For trials evaluating prevention of relapse after gluten challenge, participants adherent to a gluten-free diet for 12 months or more with normal or near-normal-sized villi should be enrolled. Gluten challenge should be FODMAPS (fermentable oligosaccharides, disaccharides, monosaccharides, and polyols) free, and efficacy evaluated using histology with a secondary patient-reported outcome measure. For trials evaluating reversal of villus atrophy, the panel voted it appropriate to enroll participants with a baseline villus height to crypt depth ratio ≤2 and measure efficacy using a primary histologic end point. Guidance for measuring histologic, endoscopic, and patient-reported outcomes in adult and pediatric patients with CeD are provided, along with recommendations regarding the merits and limitations of different end points. CONCLUSIONS: We developed standardized recommendations for clinical trial design, eligibility criteria, outcome measures, gluten challenge, and disease evaluations for RCTs in patients with CeD.

Acute severe ulcerative colitis trials: the past, the present and the future.

Acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC), characterised by bloody diarrhoea and systemic inflammation, is associated with a significant risk of colectomy and a small risk of mortality. The landmark trial of cortisone in 1955 was pivotal for two reasons: first, for establishing the efficacy of a drug that remains a first-line therapy today and, second, for producing the first set of disease severity criteria and clinical trial endpoints that shaped the subsequent ASUC trial landscape. Trials in the 1990s and at the turn of the millennium established the efficacy of infliximab and ciclosporin, but since then, there has been little progress in drug development for this high-risk population. This systematic review evaluates all interventional randomised controlled trials (RCTs) conducted in patients hospitalised with severe UC. It provides an overview of the efficacy of treatments from past to present and assesses the evolution of trial characteristics with respect to study populations, eligibility criteria and study designs over time. This review details ongoing RCTs in this field and provides a perspective on the challenges for future clinical trial programmes and how these can be overcome to help deliver novel ASUC therapies.

The Future of Clinical Trials in Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

The medical management of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has been transformed over the past few decades by the approval of multiple classes of advanced therapies and the integration of more targeted treatment strategies for Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis. These changes have been driven by an increasing number of pivotal randomized controlled trials, which have grown in size and complexity over time. Several landmark studies that are anticipated to change current IBD management paradigms have recently been completed or are on-going, including the first head-to-head biologic trials, advanced combination treatment trials, therapeutic strategy and treatment target trials, and multiple phase 3 registrational programs of novel compounds. Despite these advances, the future of IBD trials also faces major challenges with respect to cost, feasibility, and recruitment. Accordingly, innovative methods for early and late phase randomized controlled trials must be adopted. In this review, we provide a comprehensive overview of the evolution of modern IBD trials, discuss methods for improving trial efficiency in early and late phase development, and provide insights into the interpretation and implications of these data for clinical care.

Washout Periods in Inflammatory Bowel Disease Trials: A Systematic Literature Review and Proposed Solutions.

Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD), encompassing ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn's disease (CD), impose a substantial burden. Despite many effective molecules, significant numbers of patients do not achieve clinical remission at 1 year1 and undergo surgery during their lives, revealing an important unmet need and therapeutic gap. Multiple randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are ongoing or planned to develop more effective and tolerable therapies. In parallel, a dramatic decline in recruitment rates has been observed. A multitude of factors have contributed to poor recruitment rates, including a long washout period between the investigational drug and prior advanced therapies (ie, biologic or small molecule drug).2,3 This study aims to review the different washout periods with prior advanced therapies or immunosuppressants in phase 3 RCTs for UC and CD and to propose potential solutions to ultimately improve the design of clinical studies and patient enrollment in future trials.

Personalized (N-of-1) Clinical Trials for Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Opportunities and Challenges.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Heterogeneity of treatment effects in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) means that many individuals or patient subgroups depart from the average for whom the outcomes from traditional randomized trials may not be applicable. The N-of-1 trial is a design in which a single patient is followed over time with the treatments being randomized from period to period with the intention of finding the most effective treatment for that patient. The aim was to investigate the utility of N-of-1 trials in IBD. METHODS: To identify relevant articles for this scoping review, a MEDLINE literature search was conducted through the PubMed platform for articles published in the English language using the search terms "inflammatory bowel disease," "Crohn's disease," "ulcerative colitis," "N-of-1 trials," "single case designs," and "personalized trials." RESULTS: N-of-1 trials have seen a resurgence across several medical disciplines, driven by a need for more personalized medicine and patient-centered health care; their use in IBD is scarce with only 3 trials identified. Studies involving multiple N-of-1 trials can generate robust evidence for each participant and average effect estimates. The N-of-1 trial may hold potential for studying patients with IBD that are excluded from or underrepresented by randomized trials, such as those with extraintestinal manifestations, pouchitis, and proctitis. Although methodologically sound and akin to the rigor of a randomized controlled trial, the crossover periods inherent to the study design can be perceived as burdensome by patients and researchers. CONCLUSIONS: The N-of-1 trial design provides a patient-centered means of objectively determining individual response to therapy.

No Impact of Concomitant Medications on Efficacy and Safety of Biologics and Small Molecules for Ulcerative Colitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: While participants with inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) in clinical trials of biologics and small molecule drugs (henceforth, advanced therapies) frequently receive several medications concomitantly, it is unclear how they modify treatment effect. METHODS: Through an individual patient data pooled analysis of ten clinical trials of advanced therapies for moderate-to-severe ulcerative colitis (UC), we assessed whether concomitant exposure to corticosteroids, immunomodulators, 5-aminosalicylates, proton pump inhibitors (PPIs), histamine receptor antagonists (H2RA), opiates, antidepressants, and antibiotics modified the effect of the intervention on treatment efficacy and safety outcomes, using modified Poisson regression model. RESULTS: Of 6044 patients (4280 receiving intervention, 1764 receiving placebo), several received concomitant corticosteroids (47%), immunomodulators (28%), 5-aminosalicylates (68%), PPIs (14%), H2RAs (2%), opiates (7%), antidepressants (6%), and/or antibiotics (5%). After adjusting for confounders and examining treatment efficacy of intervention vs. placebo, we observed no impact of concomitant exposure to corticosteroids (ratio of relative risk of drug vs. placebo with vs. without concomitant exposure: RRR, 0.81 [95% CI,0.63-1.06], 5-aminosalicylates (RRR, 1.04[0.78-1.39]), PPIs (RRR, 0.87 [0.61-1.22]), H2RAs (RRR, 1.72[0.97-14.29]), opiates (RRR, 0.90[0.54-1.49]), antidepressants (RRR, 1.02[0.57-1.83]), and antibiotics (RRR, 0.72[0.44-1.16]) on likelihood of clinical remission. Concomitant exposure to immunomodulators was associated with lower likelihood of achieving clinical remission (RRR, 0.73[0.55-0.97]), particularly with non-TNF antagonists. CONCLUSIONS: In clinical trials of advanced therapies for UC, baseline concomitant exposure to multiple commonly used class of medications does not impact treatment efficacy or safety. These findings directly inform design of regulatory clinical trials with respect to managing concomitant medications at baseline.

Comparative Efficacy of Biologics and Small Molecule in Ulcerative Colitis: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Treatment options for moderate to severe ulcerative colitis (UC) are increasing rapidly, but the lack of comparative efficacy trials makes treatment choices a clinical challenge. This network-meta-analysis aimed to compare the relative efficacy of biologics and small molecules in achieving remission in patients with moderate to severe UC. METHODS: The literature was searched up to May 2024. Phase 3 placebo or active comparator randomized controlled trials were included. The primary outcome was induction and maintenance of endoscopic improvement (Mayo Endoscopic Score [MES] ≤1). Secondary outcomes were the induction and maintenance of clinical remission, endoscopic (MES = 0) and histological remission. A sub-analysis was performed based on the randomized controlled trial design and previous exposure to biologic therapy. RESULTS: We identified 36 studies that met our inclusion criteria, with 14,270 patients with UC. Upadacitinib ranked highest in inducing clinical remission (99.6%), and endoscopic improvement (99.2%), followed by risankizumab (91.4%) and (82.3%), respectively. In maintenance of endoscopic improvement, upadacitinib ranked first (98.6%) followed by filgotinib 200 mg (79.2%). Risankizumab ranked first in the induction of histological remission (89.4%), followed by guselkumab (88.3%). Upadacitinib ranked first (93.1%) in maintaining histological remission, followed by guselkumab (89.5%). CONCLUSION: Upadacitinib appears to be superior to other therapies in achieving clinical remission, endoscopic improvement and remission, and histological remission. Furthermore, novel biologics such as risankizumab and guselkumab ranked high in achieving these outcomes. This study highlights the efficacy of small molecule drugs and novel selective interleukin-23s as alternatives to other biologics.

Interim Analysis of a Trial Evaluating the Utility of Non-Targeted Biopsies for Colorectal Neoplasia Detection in Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

Persons with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) affecting the colorectum (cIBD) have a 1.5- to 2-fold higher risk of developing colorectal cancer (CRC) relative to age- and sex-matched members of the general population.1 Intensive surveillance colonoscopy is recommended in this population to detect and treat early neoplastic lesions before they evolve to incurable cancers.2 Some societies advocate for widespread non-targeted ("random") biopsies throughout the colorectum to screen for "invisible" neoplastic lesions, in addition to targeted biopsies and/or resection of visible lesions.2 Despite the theoretical value of non-targeted biopsies in this setting, there are no high-quality, controlled data to support this practice. In addition to adding significant time and costs to colonoscopy screening, extensive biopsy sampling may also increase the risk of colorectal bleeding and bowel perforation, particularly in elderly patients and those receiving anticoagulant/antiplatelet therapies. With the widespread adoption of disease-modifying biologic and small molecule therapies,3 mucosal healing as a treatment end point,4 high-definition endoscopes,5 and endoscopy quality standards,6 as well as reports of very low neoplasia yield for non-targeted biopsies (0.1%-0.2% of biopsies),7 many experts have started to question the value of non-targeted biopsies as an adjunct for neoplasia surveillance in persons with cIBD.8 However, a recent large French cohort study reported that non-targeted biopsies still identify up to 20% of all neoplastic foci in persons with cIBD,9 albeit primarily in individuals with other major CRC risk factors.

Endoscopic, Histologic, and Composite Endpoints in Patients With Ulcerative Colitis Treated With Etrasimod.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Histologic remission, a potentially important treatment target in ulcerative colitis (UC), is associated with favorable long-term outcomes. Etrasimod is an oral, once-daily, selective sphingosine 1-phosphate (S1P)1,4,5 receptor modulator for the treatment of moderately to severely active UC. This post-hoc analysis of the ELEVATE UC program evaluated the efficacy of etrasimod according to histologic and composite (histologic/endoscopic/symptomatic) endpoints and examined their prognostic value. METHODS: Patients with moderately to severely active UC were randomized 2:1 to once-daily oral etrasimod 2 mg or placebo. Histologic and composite endpoints, including disease clearance (endoscopic/histologic/symptomatic remission), were assessed at Weeks 12 (ELEVATE UC 52; ELEVATE UC 12) and 52 (ELEVATE UC 52). Logistic regressions examined associations between baseline and Week 12 histologic/composite endpoints and Week 52 outcomes. RESULTS: At Weeks 12 and 52, significant improvements with etrasimod vs placebo were observed in histologic/composite outcomes, including endoscopic improvement-histologic remission and disease clearance. The proportion of patients treated with etrasimod achieving clinical remission at Week 52 was higher among those with disease clearance at Week 12 vs those without disease clearance (73.9% [17/23] vs 28.3% [71/251]). Histologic improvement and endoscopic improvement at Week 12 were moderately and strongly associated with clinical remission at Week 52 (odds ratio [OR], 2.37; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27-4.41; and OR, 6.36; 95% CI, 3.47-11.64, respectively). Histologic remission and endoscopic improvement at Week 12 were strongly associated with endoscopic improvement-histologic remission at Week 52 (OR, 3.21; 95% CI, 1.70-6.06 and OR, 5.47; 95% CI, 2.89-10.36, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Etrasimod was superior to placebo for achievement of stringent histologic and composite endpoints. CLINICALTRIALS: gov, Number: NCT03945188; ClinicalTrials.gov, Number: NCT03996369.

Impact of Treatment Response on Risk of Serious Infections in Patients With Crohn's Disease: Secondary Analysis of the PYRAMID Registry.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Traditional risk factors for serious infections with advanced therapies in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) have been assessed at baseline before starting therapy. We evaluated the impact of treatment response on the risk of serious infections in adalimumab-treated patients with CD through secondary analysis of the PYRAMID registry (NCT00524537). METHODS: We included patients with CD who initiated adalimumab and classified them as treatment responders (achieved steroid-free clinical remission based on patient-reported outcomes) vs nonresponders (not in steroid-free clinical remission) at 6 months after treatment initiation (landmark). We compared the risk of serious infections between responders vs nonresponders between 6 and 36 months after treatment initiation through stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Of 1515 adalimumab-treated patients, 763 (50.4%) were classified as responders at 6 months (37 ± 13 y; 56% female; disease duration, 9.5 ± 8.5 y). Compared with nonresponders, responders were less likely to have moderate to severe symptoms (55.6% vs 33%), or require steroids (45.5% vs 17.3%) or opiates (6.6% vs 1.3%) at baseline, without any differences in disease location, perianal disease, and prior CD complications. During follow-up evaluation, using stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting, responders were 34% less likely to experience serious infections compared with nonresponders (hazard ratio, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.46-0.96). Risk of gastrointestinal and extraintestinal infections was lower in responders vs nonresponders. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with CD who respond to adalimumab have a lower risk of developing serious infections compared with nonresponders. These findings underscore that initiation of advanced therapy for CD may lower the risk of serious infections through effective disease control and avoidance of corticosteroids.

Defining Endoscopic Remission in Crohn's Disease: MM-SES-CD and SES-CD Thresholds Associated With Low Risk of Disease Progression.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We assessed Modified Multiplier Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease (MM-SES-CD) and Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease (SES-CD) thresholds that are best associated with low likelihood of long-term disease progression. METHODS: Data from 61 patients with early Crohn's disease (CD) who participated in the CALM long-term extension study were used as the derivation cohort and validated using the McMaster inflammatory bowel disease database (n = 99). The primary outcome was disease progression (new internal fistula/abscess, stricture, perianal fistula or abscess, CD-related hospitalization or surgery) since the end of the CALM trial. Optimal MM-SES-CD and SES-CD thresholds were determined using the maximum Youden index. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses compared threshold scores of remission definitions on disease progression. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, based on the maximum Youden index, the optimal thresholds associated with a low likelihood of disease progression were MM-SES-CD <22.5 and SES-CD <4. A significantly greater proportion of patients with a MM-SES-CD ≥22.5 had disease progression as compared with patients in the derivation cohort with MM-SES-CD <22.5 (10/17 [58.8%] vs 3/44 [6.8%]; P < .001). Similarly, a significantly greater number of patients with SES-CD ≥ 4 had disease progression compared with those with a SES-CD <4 (11/25 [44.0%] vs 2/36 [5.6%]; P < .001). Compared with other clinical or endoscopic remission definitions, which demonstrated poor to fair accuracy, MM-SES-CD <22.5 performed the best for predicting disease progression (area under the curve = 0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.68-0.94; P < .001). These thresholds were confirmed in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION: Achievement of MM-SES-CD <22.5 or SES-CD <4 in patients with ileocolonic or colonic CD is associated with low risk of disease progression and may be suitable targets in clinical trials and practice for endoscopic healing.

Withdrawal of Immunomodulators or TNF Antagonists in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Diseases in Remission on Combination Therapy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Withdrawal of immunomodulators (IMMs) or tumor necrosis factor (TNF) antagonists in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs) in remission on combination therapy is attractive. We evaluated the efficacy and safety of (1) IMM, or (2) TNF antagonist withdrawal in patients with IBD in sustained remission on combination therapy. METHODS: Through a systematic review till March 31, 2023, we identified randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that compared the efficacy and safety of IMM or TNF antagonist withdrawal vs continued combination therapy, in patients with IBD in sustained corticosteroid-free clinical remission for >6 months on combination therapy. Primary outcome was risk of relapse and serious adverse events at 12 months. We conducted meta-analysis to calculate relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) and used Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) to appraise certainty of evidence. RESULTS: We identified 8 RCTs with 733 patients (77% with Crohn's disease, 91% on infliximab-based combination therapy). On meta-analysis of 5 RCTs, there was no difference in the risk of relapse between patients with IMM withdrawal (continued TNF antagonist monotherapy) vs continued combination therapy (16.8% vs 14.9%; RR, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.75-1.76) without heterogeneity (low certainty of evidence). TNF antagonist withdrawal (continued IMM monotherapy) was associated with 2.4-times higher risk of relapse compared with continuing combination therapy (31.5% vs 11.2%; RR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.38-4.01), with minimal heterogeneity (low certainty of evidence). There was no difference in the risk of serious adverse events with IMM or TNF antagonist withdrawal vs continued combination therapy. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with IBD in sustained corticosteroid-free clinical remission for >6 months on combination therapy, de-escalation with TNF antagonist withdrawal, but not IMM withdrawal, was associated with an increased risk of relapse.

Comparative Efficacy of Advanced Therapies for Achieving Endoscopic Outcomes in Crohn's Disease: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We conducted a network meta-analysis to compare the efficacy of advanced therapies for achieving endoscopic outcomes in patients with moderate-to-severely active Crohn's disease. METHODS: MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane CENTRAL databases were searched from inception to August 2, 2023 to identify phase II and III randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in adults (≥18 years) with moderate-to-severe Crohn's disease treated with tumor necrosis factor (TNF) antagonists, etrolizumab, vedolizumab, anti-interleukin (IL)12/23p40, anti-IL23p19, or Janus kinase-1 (JAK1) inhibitors, compared with placebo/active comparator, for induction and/or maintenance of remission and reported endoscopic outcomes. Primary outcome was endoscopic response after induction therapy, and endoscopic remission after maintenance therapy. We performed a random-effects network meta-analysis using a frequentist approach, and estimated relative risk (RRs), 95% confidence interval (CI) values, and P score for ranking agents. We used GRADE to ascertain certainty of evidence. RESULTS: A total of 20 RCTs (19 placebo-controlled and 1 head-to-head trial; 5592 patients) were included out of which 12 RCTs reported endoscopic outcomes for the induction phase, 5 reported for the maintenance phase, and 3 reported for both induction and maintenance phases. JAK1 inhibitors (RR, 3·49 [95% CI, 1·48-8·26]) and anti-IL23p19 (RR, 2·30 [95% CI, 1·02-5·18]) agents were more efficacious than etrolizumab (moderate certainty of evidence), and JAK1 inhibitors (RR, 2·34 [95% CI, 1·14-4·80]) were more efficacious than anti-IL12/23p40 agents for inducing endoscopic response (moderate certainty of evidence). JAK1 inhibitors and anti-IL23p19 ranked highest for induction of endoscopic response. There was paucity of RCTs of TNF antagonists reporting endoscopic outcomes with induction therapy. On network meta-analysis of 6 RCTs, all agents except vedolizumab (RR, 1.89 [95% CI, 0.61-5.92]) were effective in maintaining endoscopic remission compared with placebo. TNF antagonists, IL12/23p40, and JAK1 inhibitors were ranked highest. CONCLUSIONS: On network meta-analysis, JAK1 inhibitors and anti-IL23p19 agents may be the most effective among non-TNF-targeting advanced therapies for inducing endoscopic response. Future head-to-head trials will further inform positioning of different therapies for the management of Crohn's disease.

Mucosal Healing with Vedolizumab in Patients with Chronic Pouchitis: EARNEST, a Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Vedolizumab is indicated for the treatment of chronic pouchitis in the European Union. We assessed whether vedolizumab induced mucosal healing (MH) and if MH was associated with clinical improvements. METHODS: EARNEST, a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study, evaluated vedolizumab efficacy and safety in adults with chronic pouchitis. Centrally read endoscopic and histologic evaluation was performed at baseline, Week (W)14, and W34. Ulcer count, adapted Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease in the pouch, and Pouchitis Disease Activity Index histologic component were evaluated. Pouchitis Disease Activity Index and Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire remission at W14 and W34 were compared by MH status at W14. RESULTS: Following treatment, mean (standard deviation) number of ulcers in vedolizumab-treated patients reduced from 15.1 (16.4) to 5.0 (4.9) at W14 and 2.7 (3.2) at W34 versus placebo-treated patients with corresponding values of 11.8 (11.3), 13.4 (18.4), and 9.7 (13.8) (vedolizumab vs placebo difference [95% confidence interval]: W14: -8.4 [-14.3 to -2.6]; W34: -7.0 [-12.0 to -2.0]). More patients receiving vedolizumab versus placebo achieved reduction in ulcerated pouch surface area (W14: 52.4% vs 20.0%; difference, 32.4 percentage points [p.p] [9.7, 51.4]; W34: 52.1% vs 12.9%; difference, 40.2p.p [15.6, 60.3]), absence of ulceration (W14: 23.8% vs 7.5%; difference, 16.3p.p [1.1, 31.6]; W34: 34.4% vs 15.6%; difference, 18.8p.p [-2.0, 39.5]), Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease remission (W14: 23.8% vs 7.5%; difference, 16.3p.p [1.1, 31.6]; W34: 34.4% vs 15.6%; difference, 18.8p.p [-2.0, 39.5]), and MH (W14: 16.7% vs 2.5%; difference, 14.2p.p [1.9, 26.4]). Patients with MH at W14 had higher rates of Pouchitis Disease Activity Index and Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire remission at W14 and W34 than those without. CONCLUSIONS: Vedolizumab induced endoscopic improvements in patients with chronic pouchitis, which was associated with improved outcomes at W34, particularly in patients achieving MH at W14. (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02790138.).

Development of an MRI-Based Prediction Model for Anti-TNF Treatment Failure in Perianal Crohn's Disease: A Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Clinical and radiologic variables associated with perianal fistula (PAF) outcomes are poorly understood. We developed prediction models for anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) treatment failure in patients with Crohn's disease-related PAF. METHODS: In a multicenter retrospective study between 2005 and 2022 we included biologic-naive adults (>17 years) who initiated their first anti-TNF therapy for PAF after pelvic magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Pretreatment MRI studies were prospectively reread centrally by blinded radiologists. We developed and internally validated a prediction model based on clinical and radiologic parameters to predict the likelihood of anti-TNF treatment failure, clinically, at 6 months. We compared our model and a simplified version of MRI parameters alone with existing imaging-based PAF activity indices (MAGNIFI-CD and modified Van Assche MRI scores) by De Long statistical test. RESULTS: We included 221 patients: 32 ± 14 years, 60% males, 76% complex fistulas; 68% treated with infliximab and 32% treated with adalimumab. Treatment failure occurred in 102 (46%) patients. Our prediction model included age at PAF diagnosis, time to initiate anti-TNF treatment, and smoking and 8 MRI characteristics (supra/extrasphincteric anatomy, fistula length >4.3 cm, primary tracts >1, secondary tracts >1, external openings >1, tract hyperintensity on T1-weighted imaging, horseshoe anatomy, and collections >1.3 cm). Our full and simplified MRI models had fair discriminatory capacity for anti-TNF treatment failure (concordance statistic, 0.67 and 0.65, respectively) and outperformed MAGNIFI-CD (P = .002 and < .0005) and modified Van Assche MRI scores (P < .0001 and < .0001), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our risk prediction models consisting of clinical and/or radiologic variables accurately predict treatment failure in patients with PAF.