Changes in prognosis of the Danish multiple sclerosis population over time.

BACKGROUND: The course of multiple sclerosis (MS) appears to be milder in recent decades. OBJECTIVE: To investigate how time from onset to disability milestones and how demographic and clinical characteristics have changed through subsequent onset cohorts of patients with MS. METHODS: In the nationwide Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry, we have registered all 13,562 Danish patients with onset of MS or clinically isolated syndrome from 1996 through 2020. For the analyses of prognosis, we used all cases with relapsing onset (N = 11,669). After stratification into 5-year onset cohorts, we computed the hazard ratios for disability endpoints for all cohorts having at least 10 years of follow-up and the oldest 1996-2000 onset cohort as reference. RESULTS: Patients in more recent MS onset cohorts have a shorter diagnostic delay and more of them start disease-modifying treatment within 1 year since diagnosis. The prognosis was better for later onset cohorts. For the 2001-2005 cohort, the hazard ratio for confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 4 was 0.85 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.76-0.95) and for confirmed EDSS 6: 0.76 (95% CI, 0.65-0.88). For the more recent 2006-2010 cohort, the corresponding hazard ratios were 0.70 (95% CI, 0.62-0.79) and 0.60 (95% CI, 0.50-0.71). CONCLUSION: We observed a considerable improvement of the prognosis in recent onset cohorts of relapsing-onset MS.

Ocrelizumab treatment in multiple sclerosis: A Danish population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Real-world evidence regarding the effectiveness and safety of ocrelizumab for the treatment of multiple sclerosis (MS) is limited. The aim was to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of ocrelizumab treatment for MS in a real-world setting. METHODS: A nationwide population-based cohort study was conducted where clinical and magnetic resonance imaging data of MS patients enrolled prospectively in the Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry who initiated ocrelizumab treatment between January 2018 and November 2020 were analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 1104 patients (85.7% relapsing-remitting MS [RRMS], 8.8% secondary progressive MS [SPMS], 5.5% primary progressive MS [PPMS]) were included, with a median follow-up period of 1.3 years. At baseline, the mean age was 41.4 years in the RRMS group, 44.5 years in the PPMS group and 50.3 years in the SPMS group. Median Expanded Disability Status Scale score was 2.5, 3.5 and 5.5, respectively. Most RRMS and SPMS patients had received previous disease-modifying therapies (87.5% and 91.8%, respectively), whereas PPMS patients were mostly treatment naïve (78.7%). After ocrelizumab initiation, 9.3% of the patients experienced a relapse and 8.7% a 24 weeks confirmed disability worsening. Conversely, 16.7% showed a 24 weeks confirmed disability improvement. After ~1 year of treatment, most patients (94.5%) were free of magnetic resonance imaging activity. Ocrelizumab was generally well tolerated, as side effects were only reported for 10% of patients, mostly consisting of infusion-related reactions and infections. CONCLUSIONS: It is shown that most MS patients treated with ocrelizumab are clinically stabilized and with an adverse event profile consistent with the experience from the pivotal clinical trials.

Big Multiple Sclerosis Data network: an international registry research network.

BACKGROUND: The Big Multiple Sclerosis Data (BMSD) network ( https://bigmsdata.org ) was initiated in 2014 and includes the national multiple sclerosis (MS) registries of the Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Italy, and Sweden as well as the international MSBase registry. BMSD has addressed the ethical, legal, technical, and governance-related challenges for data sharing and so far, published three scientific papers on pooled datasets as proof of concept for its collaborative design. DATA COLLECTION: Although BMSD registries operate independently on different platforms, similarities in variables, definitions and data structure allow joint analysis of data. Certain coordinated modifications in how the registries collect adverse event data have been implemented after BMSD consensus decisions, showing the ability to develop together. DATA MANAGEMENT: Scientific projects can be proposed by external sponsors via the coordinating centre and each registry decides independently on participation, respecting its governance structure. Research datasets are established in a project-to-project fashion and a project-specific data model is developed, based on a unifying core data model. To overcome challenges in data sharing, BMSD has developed procedures for federated data analysis. FUTURE PERSPECTIVES: Presently, BMSD is seeking a qualification opinion from the European Medicines Agency (EMA) to conduct post-authorization safety studies (PASS) and aims to pursue a qualification opinion also for post-authorization effectiveness studies (PAES). BMSD aspires to promote the advancement of real-world evidence research in the MS field.

Real-world experience of cladribine treatment in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: A Danish nationwide study.

BACKGROUND: Cladribine is a nucleoside analogue interfering with synthesis and repair of DNA. Treatment with cladribine leads to a preferential reduction in lymphocytes, resulting in profound depletion of B-cells with a rapid recovery of naïve B-cells, while T-cell show a lesser but long-lasting depletion It is approved for treatment of relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS). Cladribine tablets 3.5 mg/kg bodyweight are administered in two yearly treatment courses, each including two treatment series lasting 4 or 5 days, one at the start of the first month and the other at the start of the second month. OBJECTIVE: To describe treatment patterns of cladribine in a real-world setting. METHODS: Registry based observational cohort study with prospectively enrolled cases from December 2017 through June 2021. The data source is The Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry, which is a near complete nationwide population-based registry. Outcomes were length of the treatment, preceding and following treatments, treatment response, and safety data. RESULTS: In total 268 patients had started therapy with cladribine tablets, 89 men and 179 women, with a median age of 40 years (interquartile range (IQR) 32-48. The disease course was relapsing-remitting MS in 97.8% of the patients, and at treatment start the median time from disease onset was 8.1 years (IQR 4.2-14.5) and EDSS 2.5 (IQR 1.5-3.5). Thirty-four patients (12.7%) were treatment naïve while 56 (20.9%) had received one previous disease-modifying therapy (DMT), 67 (25.0%) two, and 111 (41.4%) three or more previous DMTs. In total, 214 (80.0%) patients had completed the full treatment of two courses of cladribine, while 54 (20.0%) had received only one course of cladribine tablets. The median follow-up time after cladribine initiation was 34.7 months (IQR 23.3-43.7). Compared with an annualized relapse rate (ARR) of 0.67 (95% CI [0.56, 0.79]) in the year prior to start of cladribine, ARR was reduced to 0.11 (95% CI [0.08, 0.15]) in year 0-2 after 3-month re-baseline with cladribine (84.8% reduction). Adverse events, reported in 44 (16.4%) of the patients, were mild or moderate, and herpes zoster was only reported in 2 patients. In total, 30 (11.2%) patients discontinued cladribine treatment, of whom 7 (2.6%) discontinued because of adverse effects and 12 (4.5%) discontinued because of disease activity. CONCLUSION: In this nationwide review of all Danish patients starting therapy with cladribine tablets in a real-world setting, cladribine treatment was safe, and the therapeutic response was as expected from previous clinical trials. A prolonged observation period is necessary to assess the long-term benefit and risk of cladribine.

Natalizumab treatment of multiple sclerosis - a Danish nationwide study with 13 years of follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Natalizumab is a widely used high-efficacy treatment in multiple sclerosis (MS). Real-world evidence regarding long-term effectiveness and safety is warranted. We performed a nationwide study evaluating prescription patterns, effectiveness, and adverse events. METHODS: A nationwide cohort study using the Danish MS Registry. Patients initiating natalizumab between June 2006 and April 2020 were included. Patient characteristics, annualized relapse rates (ARRs), confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score worsening, MRI activity (new/enlarging T2- or gadolinium-enhancing lesions), and reported adverse events were evaluated. Further, prescription patterns and outcomes across different time periods ("epochs") were analysed. RESULTS: In total, 2424 patients were enrolled, with a median follow-up time of 2.7 years (interquartile range (IQR) 1.2-5.1). In recent epochs, patients were younger, had lower EDSS scores, had fewer pre-treatment relapses and were more often treatment naïve. At 13 years of follow-up, 36% had a confirmed EDSS worsening. On-treatment ARR was 0.30, corresponding to a 72% reduction from pre-initiation. MRI activity was rare, 6.8% had activity within 2-14 months from treatment start, 3.4% within 14-26 months, and 2.7% within 26-38 months. Approximately 14% of patients reported adverse events, with cephalalgia constituting the majority. During the study, 62.3% discontinued treatment. Of these, the main cause (41%) was due to JCV antibodies, while discontinuations due to disease activity (9%) or adverse events (9%) were less frequent. CONCLUSION: Natalizumab is increasingly used earlier in the disease course. Most patients treated with natalizumab are clinically stable with few adverse events. JCV antibodies constitute the main cause for discontinuation.

Proportion and characteristics of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in five European registries using objective classifiers.

Background: To assign a course of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) (SPMS) may be difficult and the proportion of persons with SPMS varies between reports. An objective method for disease course classification may give a better estimation of the relative proportions of relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and SPMS and may identify situations where SPMS is under reported. Materials and methods: Data were obtained for 61,900 MS patients from MS registries in the Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany, Sweden, and the United Kingdom (UK), including date of birth, sex, SP conversion year, visits with an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score, MS onset and diagnosis date, relapses, and disease-modifying treatment (DMT) use. We included RRMS or SPMS patients with at least one visit between January 2017 and December 2019 if ≥ 18 years of age. We applied three objective methods: A set of SPMS clinical trial inclusion criteria ("EXPAND criteria") modified for a real-world evidence setting, a modified version of the MSBase algorithm, and a decision tree-based algorithm recently published. Results: The clinically assigned proportion of SPMS varied from 8.7% (Czechia) to 34.3% (UK). Objective classifiers estimated the proportion of SPMS from 15.1% (Germany by the EXPAND criteria) to 58.0% (UK by the decision tree method). Due to different requirements of number of EDSS scores, classifiers varied in the proportion they were able to classify; from 18% (UK by the MSBase algorithm) to 100% (the decision tree algorithm for all registries). Objectively classified SPMS patients were older, converted to SPMS later, had higher EDSS at index date and higher EDSS at conversion. More objectively classified SPMS were on DMTs compared to the clinically assigned. Conclusion: SPMS appears to be systematically underdiagnosed in MS registries. Reclassified patients were more commonly on DMTs.

The impact of healthcare systems on the clinical diagnosis and disease-modifying treatment usage in relapse-onset multiple sclerosis: a real-world perspective in five registries across Europe.

Introduction: Prescribing guidance for disease-modifying treatment (DMT) in multiple sclerosis (MS) is centred on a clinical diagnosis of relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS). DMT prescription guidelines and monitoring vary across countries. Standardising the approach to diagnosis of disease course, for example, assigning RRMS or secondary progressive MS (SPMS) diagnoses, allows examination of the impact of health system characteristics on the stated clinical diagnosis and treatment access. Methods: We analysed registry data from six cohorts in five countries (Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany, Sweden and United Kingdom) on patients with an initial diagnosis of RRMS. We standardised our approach utilising a pre-existing algorithm (DecisionTree, DT) to determine patient diagnoses of RRMS or secondary progressive MS (SPMS). We identified five global drivers of DMT prescribing: Provision, Availability, Funding, Monitoring and Audit, data were analysed against these concepts using meta-analysis and univariate meta-regression. Results: In 64,235 patients, we found variations in DMT use between countries, with higher usage in RRMS and lower usage in SPMS, with correspondingly lower usage in the UK compared to other registers. Factors such as female gender (p = 0.041), increasing disability via Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score (p = 0.004), and the presence of monitoring (p = 0.029) in SPMS influenced the likelihood of receiving DMTs. Standardising the diagnosis revealed differences in reclassification rates from clinical RRMS to DT-SPMS, with Sweden having the lowest rate Sweden (Sweden 0.009, range: Denmark 0.103 - UK portal 0.311). Those with higher EDSS at index (p < 0.03) and female gender (p < 0.049) were more likely to be reclassified from RRMS to DT-SPMS. The study also explored the impact of diagnosis on DMT usage in clinical SPMS, finding that the prescribing environment and auditing practices affected access to treatment. Discussion: This highlights the importance of a healthcare system's approach to verifying the clinical label of MS course in facilitating appropriate prescribing, with some flexibility allowed in uncertain cases to ensure continued access to treatment.

Predictors of treatment switching in the Big Multiple Sclerosis Data Network.

Background: Treatment switching is a common challenge and opportunity in real-world clinical practice. Increasing diversity in disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) has generated interest in the identification of reliable and robust predictors of treatment switching across different countries, DMTs, and time periods. Objective: The objective of this retrospective, observational study was to identify independent predictors of treatment switching in a population of relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients in the Big Multiple Sclerosis Data Network of national clinical registries, including the Italian MS registry, the OFSEP of France, the Danish MS registry, the Swedish national MS registry, and the international MSBase Registry. Methods: In this cohort study, we merged information on 269,822 treatment episodes in 110,326 patients from 1997 to 2018 from five clinical registries. Patients were included in the final pooled analysis set if they had initiated at least one DMT during the relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) stage. Patients not diagnosed with RRMS or RRMS patients not initiating DMT therapy during the RRMS phase were excluded from the analysis. The primary study outcome was treatment switching. A multilevel mixed-effects shared frailty time-to-event model was used to identify independent predictors of treatment switching. The contributing MS registry was included in the pooled analysis as a random effect. Results: Every one-point increase in the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score at treatment start was associated with 1.08 times the rate of subsequent switching, adjusting for age, sex, and calendar year (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.08; 95% CI 1.07-1.08). Women were associated with 1.11 times the rate of switching relative to men (95% CI 1.08-1.14), whilst older age was also associated with an increased rate of treatment switching. DMTs started between 2007 and 2012 were associated with 2.48 times the rate of switching relative to DMTs that began between 1996 and 2006 (aHR 2.48; 95% CI 2.48-2.56). DMTs started from 2013 onwards were more likely to switch relative to the earlier treatment epoch (aHR 8.09; 95% CI 7.79-8.41; reference = 1996-2006). Conclusion: Switching between DMTs is associated with female sex, age, and disability at baseline and has increased in frequency considerably in recent years as more treatment options have become available. Consideration of a patient's individual risk and tolerance profile needs to be taken into account when selecting the most appropriate switch therapy from an expanding array of treatment choices.

The Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry.

OBJECTIVES: The Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry is the oldest operative and nationwide MS registry. We present The Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry with its history, data collection, scientific contribution, and national and international research collaboration. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Detailed description of data collection, completeness, quality optimizing procedures, funding, and legal, ethical and data protection issues are provided. RESULTS: The total number of registered cases with clinical isolated syndrome and multiple sclerosis since 1956 was by start of May 2020 30,023 of whom 16,515 cases were alive and residing in Denmark, giving a prevalence rate of about 284 per 100,000 population. The mean annual number of new cases receiving an MS diagnosis was 649 per year in the period 2010 to 2019. In total, 7,945 patients (48.1%) are receiving disease modifying therapy at the start of May 2020. CONCLUSIONS: Multiple Sclerosis registers are becoming increasingly important, not only for epidemiological research but also by quantifying the burden of the disease for the patients and society and helping health care providers and regulators in their decisions. The Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry has served as data source for a number of scientific publications including epidemiological studies on changes in incidence and mortality, cohort studies investigating risk factors for developing MS, comorbidities and socioeconomic outcomes in the MS population, and observational studies on effectiveness of disease modifying treatments outside the narrow realms of randomized clinical trials.

Age and sex as determinants of treatment decisions in patients with relapsing-remitting MS.

BACKGROUND: . Most patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) are initially treated with moderate efficacy disease-modifying therapies (meDMTs), and only a smaller group of highly active patients are initiated on a high efficacy disease-modifying therapy (heDMT). Real-world data have shown that choosing a heDMT as the initial therapy in highly active RRMS patients is more effective than using a meDMT, and that in patients with breakthrough disease on a meDMT escalation of treatment to a heDMT is more effective than staying on the same or switching to another meDMT. The role of age and sex as determinants for selection of the initial treatment intensity, and for using escalation of treatment intensity in patients with relapse activity on treatment with meDMTs, is only partially known. METHODS: . We included all Danish patients with RRMS registered in The Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry who began a DMT since 2014 and stratified the cohort according to sex and age < 40 and ≥ 40 years at first DMT treatment. We studied determinants, with emphasis on age and sex, for the primary choice of therapy, for adherence to the initial therapy and for treatment escalation. Based on existing literature and clinical relevance, we included the following potential confounders in the analyses: DMT efficacy, pre-treatment relapse activity, disease duration, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score, and, in a subgroup, MRI activity. RESULTS: . With all covariates mutually adjusted, patient age was a strong decisive factor for choosing a heDMT with odds ratio 1.69 for starting a heDMT in patients < 40 years compared with patients ≥ 40 years. Men had odds ratio 1.53 for starting with a heDMT compared with women. The odds ratio of heDMT in patients with EDSS > 3 vs ≤ 3 was 3.49, and every additional relapse was associated with increased odds ratio 2.33 for heDMT. Patients were more adherent to the initial heDMTs than to the initial meDMTs. Patients above 40 years were more prone to stay on the initial treatment compared to patients below 40, regardless of whether the initial treatment was meDMT (p<0.001) or heDMT (p=0.008) (covariates mutually adjusted). Relapse activity resulted in escalation of therapy to a heDMT in 67% of patients aged < 40 years (N=273) and in 56% patients aged 40 years or above (N=159) (p=0.008), and younger patients had odds ratio 1.46 of escalating therapy compared to older patients. Male patients were more likely to have treatment escalation to heDMTs than female patients (odds ratio 2.03). CONCLUSION: . Age and sex appear to be independent determinants for the choice of the initial DMT and for the decision of treatment escalation in patients with breakthrough disease on a meDMT. It is unfortunate, if older age is a factor that make choice of a heDMT more unlikely, as many DMTs seems to be less efficacious in older patients.

Treatment Escalation vs Immediate Initiation of Highly Effective Treatment for Patients With Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis: Data From 2 Different National Strategies.

Importance: Treatment strategies for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) vary markedly between Denmark and Sweden. The difference in the association of these national strategies with clinical outcomes is unknown. Objective: To investigate the association of national differences in disease-modifying treatment (DMT) strategies for RRMS with disability outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used data on 4861 patients from the Danish and Swedish national multiple sclerosis (MS) registries from the date of index DMT initiation (between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2016) until the last recorded visit at time of data extraction (October 2, 2019). Exposures: All MS-specific DMTs initiated during the observation period were included in the analysis. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary study outcome was time to 24-week confirmed disability worsening. Secondary outcomes were 24-week confirmed disability improvement, milestone Expanded Disability Status Scale scores of 3 and 4, annualized relapse rate, time to first relapse, and treatment switching. Data were analyzed using inverse probability of treatment weighting-based models using a propensity score to weight and correct the comparison for the imbalance of confounders observed at baseline between the 2 countries. Results: A total of 2700 patients from the Swedish MS registry (1867 women [69.2%]; mean [SD] age, 36.1 [9.5] years) and 2161 patients from the Danish MS registry (1472 women [68.1%]; mean [SD] age, 37.3 [9.4 years]) started a first DMT between 2013 and 2016, were included in the analysis, and were observed for a mean (SD) of 4.1 (1.5) years. A total of 1994 Danish patients (92.3%) initiated a low to moderately effective DMT (teriflunomide, 907 [42.0%]) and 165 (7.6%) initiated a highly effective DMT, whereas a total of 1769 Swedish patients (65.5%) initiated a low to moderately effective DMT (teriflunomide, 64 [2.4%]) and 931 (34.5%) initiated a highly effective DMT. The Swedish treatment strategy was associated with a 29% reduction in the rate of postbaseline 24-week confirmed disability worsening relative to the Danish treatment strategy (hazard ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.57-0.90; P = .004). The Swedish treatment strategy was also associated with a 24% reduction in the rate of reaching an expanded disability status scale score of 3 (hazard ratio, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.60-0.97; P = .03) and a 25% reduction in the rate of reaching an expanded disability status scale score of 4 (hazard ratio, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.61-0.96; P = .01) relative to Danish patients. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study suggest that there is an association between differences in treatment strategies for RRMS and disability outcomes at a national level. Escalation of treatment efficacy was inferior to using more efficacious DMT as initial treatment.