Effects of interactions between anthropogenic stressors and recurring perturbations on ecosystem resilience and collapse.

Insights into declines in ecosystem resilience and their causes and effects can inform preemptive action to avoid ecosystem collapse and loss of biodiversity, ecosystem services, and human well-being. Empirical studies of ecosystem collapse are rare and hampered by ecosystem complexity, nonlinear and lagged responses, and interactions across scales. We investigated how an anthropogenic stressor could diminish ecosystem resilience to a recurring perturbation by altering a critical ecosystem driver. We studied groundwater-dependent, peat-accumulating, fire-prone wetlands known as upland swamps in southeastern Australia. We hypothesized that underground mining (stressor) reduces resilience of these wetlands to landscape fires (perturbation) by diminishing groundwater, a key ecosystem driver. We monitored soil moisture as an indicator of ecosystem resilience during and after underground mining. After landscape fire, we compared responses of multiple state variables representing ecosystem structure, composition, and function in swamps within the mining footprint with unmined reference swamps. Soil moisture declined without recovery in swamps with mine subsidence (i.e., undermined), but was maintained in reference swamps over 8 years (effect size 1.8). Relative to burned reference swamps, burned undermined swamps showed greater loss of peat via substrate combustion; reduced cover, height, and biomass of regenerating vegetation; reduced postfire plant species richness and abundance; altered plant species composition; increased mortality rates of woody plants; reduced postfire seedling recruitment; and extirpation of a hydrophilic animal. Undermined swamps therefore showed strong symptoms of postfire ecosystem collapse, whereas reference swamps regenerated vigorously. We found that an anthropogenic stressor diminished the resilience of an ecosystem to recurring perturbations, predisposing it to collapse. Avoidance of ecosystem collapse hinges on early diagnosis of mechanisms and preventative risk reduction. It may be possible to delay or ameliorate symptoms of collapse or to restore resilience, but the latter appears unlikely in our study system due to fundamental alteration of a critical ecosystem driver. Efectos de las interacciones entre los estresantes antropogénicos y las perturbaciones recurrentes sobre la resiliencia y el colapso de los ecosistemas.

La comprensión de la declinación en la resiliencia de los ecosistemas y sus causas y efectos puede orientar las acciones preventivas para evitar el colapso ecosistémico y la pérdida de biodiversidad, servicios ambientales y bienestar humano. Los estudios empíricos del colapso ecosistémico son escasos y se enfrentan a obstáculos como la complejidad del ecosistema, respuestas rezagadas y no lineales e interacciones entre las escalas. Investigamos cómo un estresante antropogénico podría reducir la resiliencia del ecosistema a una perturbación recurrente mediante la alteración de un causante importante. Estudiamos los humedales dependientes de aguas subterráneas que acumulan turbas y son propicios a incendios conocidos como pantanos de tierras altas en el sureste de Australia. Nuestra hipótesis fue que la minería subterránea (estresante) reduce la resiliencia de estos humedales a incendios (perturbación) al disminuir el agua subterránea, un causante clave para el ecosistema. Monitoreamos la humedad del suelo como un indicador de la resiliencia del ecosistema durante y después de la minería subterránea. Después de los incendios, comparamos la respuesta de múltiples variables de estado que representaban la estructura, composición y función del ecosistema en los pantanos dentro de la huella minera con los pantanos referenciales sin minería. La humedad del suelo declinó sin recuperación en los pantanos con hundimientos mineros (es decir, socavones) pero se mantuvo en los pantanos referenciales durante ocho años (tamaño del efecto: 1.8). En relación a los pantanos referenciales incendiados, los pantanos con socavones e incendios mostraron una mayor pérdida de turba mediante la combustión del sustrato; reducción en la cobertura, altura y regeneración de biomasa de la vegetación; reducción en la riqueza y abundancia de especies vegetales post incendio; alteraciones en la composición de especies vegetales; incremento en la mortalidad de las plantas leñosas; reducción en el reclutamiento post incendio de plántulas; y la extirpación de un animal hidrofílico. Por lo tanto, los pantanos con socavones mostraron síntomas fuertes de un colapso ecosistémico post incendio, mientras que los pantanos referenciales se regeneraron vigorosamente. Descubrimos que los estresantes antropogénicos redujeron la resiliencia de un ecosistema a perturbaciones recurrentes, lo que lo predispone al colapso. La eliminación de este colapso depende de un diagnóstico temprano de mecanismos y reducción del riesgo preventivo. Puede ser posible retardar o mitigar los síntomas del colapso o restaurar la resiliencia, aunque lo último parece ser improbable en nuestro sistema de estudio debido a la alteración fundamental de un causante importante del ecosistema.

The risk of harmful algal blooms (HABs) in the oyster-growing estuaries of New South Wales, Australia.

The spatial and temporal variability of potentially harmful phytoplankton was examined in the oyster-growing estuaries of New South Wales. Forty-five taxa from 31 estuaries were identified from 2005 to 2009. Harmful species richness was latitudinally graded for rivers, with increasing number of taxa southward. There were significant differences (within an estuary) in harmful species abundance and richness for 11 of 21 estuaries tested. Where differences were observed, these were predominately due to species belonging to the Pseudo-nitzschia delicatissima group, Dinophysis acuminata, Dictyocha octonaria and Prorocentrum cordatum with a consistent upstream versus downstream pattern emerging. Temporal (seasonal or interannual) patterns in harmful phytoplankton within and among estuaries were highly variable. Examination of harmful phytoplankton in relation to recognised estuary disturbance measures revealed species abundance correlated to estuary modification levels and flushing time, with modified, slow flushing estuaries having higher abundance. Harmful species richness correlated with bioregion, estuary modification levels and estuary class, with southern, unmodified lakes demonstrating greater species density. Predicting how these risk taxa and risk zones may change with further estuary disturbance and projected climate warming will require more focused, smaller scale studies aimed at a deeper understanding of species-specific ecology and bloom mechanisms. Coupled with this consideration, there is an imperative for further taxonomic, ecological and toxicological investigations into poorly understood taxa (e.g. Pseudo-nitzschia).

Field scale quantification of microbial transport from bovine faeces under simulated rainfall events.

The dispersion and transport of Cryptosporidium parvum oocysts, Escherichia coli and PRD1 bacteriophage seeded into artificial bovine faecal pats was studied during simulated rainfall events. Experimental soil plots were divided in two, one sub-plot with bare soil and the other with natural vegetation. Simulated rainfall events of 55 mm.h(-1) for 30 min were then applied to the soil plots. Each experimental treatment was performed in duplicate and consisted of three sequential artificial rainfall events ('Runs'): a control run (no faecal pats); a fresh faecal pat run (fresh faecal pats); and an aged faecal pat run (one week aged faecal pats). Transportation efficiency increased with decreasing size of the microorganism studied; Cryptosporidium oocysts were the least mobile followed by E. coli and then PRD1 phage. Rainfall events mobilised 0.5 to 0.9% of the Cryptosporidium oocysts, 1.3-1.4% of E. coli bacteria, and 0.03-0.6% of PRD1 bacteriophages from the fresh faecal pats and transported them a distance of 10 m across the bare soil sub-plots. Subsequent rainfall events applied to aged faecal pats only mobilised 0.01-0.06% of the original Cryptosporidium oocyst load, between 0.04 and 15% of the E. coli load and 0.0006-0.06% of PRD1 bacteriophages, respectively.

Roles of land use resolution and unit-area load rates in assessment of diffuse nutrient emissions.

In contrast to its counterparts in Europe and North America, the Australian National Pollutant Inventory (NPI) includes estimates of aggregated emissions of nutrients (total nitrogen and total phosphorus) from catchments and facilities. Sparse or inadequate data limit the extent to which nutrient exports may be estimated from direct observations. The paucity of data for calibration and simulation limits the use of sophisticated models in most Australian catchments. Therefore, a simple unit-area load model-Catchment Management Support System (CMSS)-was selected to estimate aggregated catchment emissions for the NPI. Estimates from models like CMSS are sensitive to spatial and categorical resolution of land uses identified within the catchment and to nutrient generation rates selected for each land use category. Using three Hawkesbury-Nepean subcatchments, we show that while high spatial resolution of land use mapping is useful, only four or five major land use categories with carefully selected generation rates were required to estimate potential nutrient exports sufficiently well and to determine subcatchments contributing most. Nutrient emission estimates proved to be highly dependent on selection of generation rates so a bootstrap technique was adopted to reduce subjectivity and to improve estimates of confidence limits. This led to a specification of new generation rates for Natural, Unimproved pasture, Rural and Urban land uses and to establishment of uncertainty limits.

Comparison of methods for the concentration of Cryptosporidium oocysts and Giardia cysts from raw waters.

This study compared the recovery of Cryptosporidium oocysts and Giardia cysts ((oo)cysts) from raw waters using 4 different concentration-elution methods: flatbed membranes, FiltaMax foam, Envirochek HV capsules, and Hemoflow ultrafilters. The recovery efficiency of the combined immunomagnetic separation and staining steps was also determined. Analysis of variance of arcsine-transformed data demonstrated that recovery of Cryptosporidium oocysts by 2 of the methods was statistically equivalent (flatbed filtration 26.7% and Hemoflow 28.3%), with FiltaMax and Envirochek HV recoveries significantly lower (18.9% and 18.4%). Recovery of Giardia cysts was significantly higher using flatbed membrane filtration (42.2%) compared with the other 3 methods (Envirochek HV 29.3%, FiltaMax 29.0%, and Hemoflow 20.9%). All methods were generally acceptable and are suitable for laboratory use; 2 of the methods are also suitable for field use (FiltaMax and Envirochek HV). In conclusion, with recoveries generally being statistically equivalent or similar, practical considerations become important in determining which filters to use for particular circumstances. The results indicate that while low-turbidity or "finished" waters can be processed with consistently high recovery efficiencies, recoveries from raw water samples differ significantly with variations in raw water quality. The use of an internal control with each raw water sample is therefore highly recommended.

Dispersion and transport of Cryptosporidium Oocysts from fecal pats under simulated rainfall events.

The dispersion and initial transport of Cryptosporidium oocysts from fecal pats were investigated during artificial rainfall events on intact soil blocks (1,500 by 900 by 300 mm). Rainfall events of 55 mm h(-1) for 30 min and 25 mm h(-1) for 180 min were applied to soil plots with artificial fecal pats seeded with approximately 10(7) oocysts. The soil plots were divided in two, with one side devoid of vegetation and the other left with natural vegetation cover. Each combination of event intensity and duration, vegetation status, and degree of slope (5 degrees and 10 degrees ) was evaluated twice. Generally, a fivefold increase (P < 0.05) in runoff volume was generated on bare soil compared to vegetated soil, and significantly more infiltration, although highly variable, occurred through the vegetated soil blocks (P < 0.05). Runoff volume, event conditions (intensity and duration), vegetation status, degree of slope, and their interactions significantly affected the load of oocysts in the runoff. Surface runoff transported from 10(0.2) oocysts from vegetated loam soil (25-mm h(-1), 180-min event on 10 degrees slope) to up to 10(4.5) oocysts from unvegetated soil (55-mm h(-1), 30-min event on 10 degrees slope) over a 1-m distance. Surface soil samples downhill of the fecal pat contained significantly higher concentrations of oocysts on devegetated blocks than on vegetated blocks. Based on these results, there is a need to account for surface soil vegetation coverage as well as slope and rainfall runoff in future assessments of Cryptosporidium transport and when managing pathogen loads from stock grazing near streams within drinking water watersheds.