Seattle proportional risk model in GISSI-HF: Estimated benefit of ICD in patients with EF less than 50.

BACKGROUND: The Seattle Proportional Risk Model (SPRM) estimates the proportion of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in heart failure (HF) patients, identifying those most likely to benefit from implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy (those with ≥50% estimated proportion of SCD). The GISSI-HF trial tested fish oil and rosuvastatin in HF patients. We used the SPRM to evaluate its accuracy in this cohort in predicting potential ICD benefit in patients with EF ≤50% and an SPRM-predicted proportion of SCD either ≥50% or <50%. METHODS: The SPRM was estimated in patients with EF ≤50% and in a logistic regression model comparing SCD with non-SCD. RESULTS: We evaluated 6,750 patients with EF ≤50%. There were 1,892 all-cause deaths, including 610 SCDs. Fifty percent of EF ≤35% patients and 43% with EF 36% to 50% had an SPRM of ≥50%. The SPRM (OR: 1.92, P < 0.0001) accurately predicted the risk of SCD vs non-SCD with an estimated proportion of SCD of 44% vs the observed proportion of 41% at 1 year. By traditional criteria for ICD implantation (EF ≤35%, NYHA class II or III), 64.5% of GISSI-HF patients would be eligible, with an estimated ICD benefit of 0.81. By SPRM >50%, 47.8% may be eligible, including 30.2% with EF >35%. GISSI-HF participants with EF ≤35% with SPRM ≥50% had an estimated ICD HR of 0.64, comparable to patients with EF 36% to 50% with SPRM ≥50% (HR: 0.65). CONCLUSIONS: The SPRM discriminated SCD vs non-SCD in GISSI-HF, both in patients with EF ≤35% and with EF 36% to 50%. The comparable estimated ICD benefit in patients with EF ≤35% and EF 36% to 50% supports the use of a proportional risk model for shared decision making with patients being considered for primary prevention ICD therapy.

Indoleamine 2,3-Dioxygenase Deletion to Modulate Kynurenine Pathway and to Prevent Brain Injury after Cardiac Arrest in Mice.

BACKGROUND: The catabolism of the essential amino acid tryptophan to kynurenine is emerging as a potential key pathway involved in post-cardiac arrest brain injury. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of the modulation of kynurenine pathway on cardiac arrest outcome through genetic deletion of the rate-limiting enzyme of the pathway, indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase. METHODS: Wild-type and indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase-deleted (IDO-/-) mice were subjected to 8-min cardiac arrest. Survival, neurologic outcome, and locomotor activity were evaluated after resuscitation. Brain magnetic resonance imaging with diffusion tensor and diffusion-weighted imaging sequences was performed, together with microglia and macrophage activation and neurofilament light chain measurements. RESULTS: IDO-/- mice showed higher survival compared to wild-type mice (IDO-/- 11 of 16, wild-type 6 of 16, log-rank P = 0.036). Neurologic function was higher in IDO-/- mice than in wild-type mice after cardiac arrest (IDO-/- 9 ± 1, wild-type 7 ± 1, P = 0.012, n = 16). Indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase deletion preserved locomotor function while maintaining physiologic circadian rhythm after cardiac arrest. Brain magnetic resonance imaging with diffusion tensor imaging showed an increase in mean fractional anisotropy in the corpus callosum (IDO-/- 0.68 ± 0.01, wild-type 0.65 ± 0.01, P = 0.010, n = 4 to 5) and in the external capsule (IDO-/- 0.47 ± 0.01, wild-type 0.45 ± 0.01, P = 0.006, n = 4 to 5) in IDO-/- mice compared with wild-type ones. Increased release of neurofilament light chain was observed in wild-type mice compared to IDO-/- (median concentrations [interquartile range], pg/mL: wild-type 1,138 [678 to 1,384]; IDO-/- 267 [157 to 550]; P < 0.001, n = 3 to 4). Brain magnetic resonance imaging with diffusion-weighted imaging revealed restriction of water diffusivity 24 h after cardiac arrest in wild-type mice; indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase deletion prevented water diffusion abnormalities, which was reverted in IDO-/- mice receiving l-kynurenine (apparent diffusion coefficient, µm2/ms: wild-type, 0.48 ± 0.07; IDO-/-, 0.59 ± 0.02; IDO-/- and l-kynurenine, 0.47 ± 0.08; P = 0.007, n = 6). CONCLUSIONS: The kynurenine pathway represents a novel target to prevent post-cardiac arrest brain injury. The neuroprotective effects of indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase deletion were associated with preservation of brain white matter microintegrity and with reduction of cerebral cytotoxic edema.

Magnetic susceptibility as a 1-year predictor of outcome in familial cerebral cavernous malformations: a pilot study.

OBJECTIVES: To test whether quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) of cerebral cavernous malformations (CCMs) assessed at baseline may predict the presence or absence of haemorrhagic signs at 1-year follow-up. METHODS: Familial CCM patients were enrolled in the longitudinal multicentre study Treat-CCM. The 3-T MRI scan allowed performing a semi-automatic segmentation of CCMs and computing the maximum susceptibility in each segmented CCM (QSMmax) at baseline. CCMs were classified as haemorrhagic and non-haemorrhagic at baseline and then subclassified according to the 1-year (t1) evolution. Between-group differences were tested, and the diagnostic accuracy of QSMmax in predicting the presence or absence of haemorrhagic signs in CCMs was calculated with ROC analyses. RESULTS: Thirty-three patients were included in the analysis, and a total of 1126 CCMs were segmented. QSMmax was higher in haemorrhagic CCMs than in non-haemorrhagic CCMs (p < 0.001). In haemorrhagic CCMs at baseline, the accuracy of QSMmax in differentiating CCMs that were still haemorrhagic from CCMs that recovered from haemorrhage at t1 calculated as area under the curve (AUC) was 0.78 with sensitivity 62.69%, specificity 82.35%, positive predictive value (PPV) 93.3% and negative predictive value (NPV) 35.9% (QSMmax cut-off ≥ 1462.95 ppb). In non-haemorrhagic CCMs at baseline, AUC was 0.91 in differentiating CCMs that bled at t1 from stable CCMs with sensitivity 100%, specificity 81.9%, PPV 5.1%, and NPV 100% (QSMmax cut-off ≥ 776.29 ppb). CONCLUSIONS: The QSMmax in CCMs at baseline showed high accuracy in predicting the presence or absence of haemorrhagic signs at 1-year follow-up. Further effort is required to test the role of QSM in follow-up assessment and therapeutic trials in multicentre CCM studies. KEY POINTS: • QSM in semi-automatically segmented CCM was feasible. • The maximum magnetic susceptibility in a single CCM at baseline may predict the presence or absence of haemorrhagic signs at 1-year follow-up. • Multicentric studies are needed to enforce the role of QSM in predicting the CCMs' haemorrhagic evolution in patients affected by familial and sporadic forms.

Markers of neutrophil mediated inflammation associate with disturbed continuous electroencephalogram after out of hospital cardiac arrest.

BACKGROUND: Achieving an acceptable neurological outcome in cardiac arrest survivors remains challenging. Ischemia-reperfusion injury induces inflammation, which may cause secondary neurological damage. We studied the association of ICU admission levels of inflammatory biomarkers with disturbed 48-hour continuous electroencephalogram (cEEG), and the association of the daily levels of these markers up to 72 h with poor 6-month neurological outcome. METHODS: This is an observational, post hoc sub-study of the COMACARE trial. We measured serum concentrations of procalcitonin (PCT), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), osteopontin (OPN), myeloperoxidase (MPO), resistin, and proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) in 112 unconscious, mechanically ventilated ICU-treated adult OHCA survivors with initial shockable rhythm. We used grading of 48-hour cEEG monitoring as a measure for the severity of the early neurological disturbance. We defined 6-month cerebral performance category (CPC) 1-2 as good and CPC 3-5 as poor long-term neurological outcome. We compared the prognostic value of biomarkers for 6-month neurological outcome to neurofilament light (NFL) measured at 48 h. RESULTS: Higher OPN (p = .03), MPO (p < .01), and resistin (p = .01) concentrations at ICU admission were associated with poor grade 48-hour cEEG. Higher levels of ICU admission OPN (OR 3.18; 95% CI 1.25-8.11 per ln[ng/ml]) and MPO (OR 2.34; 95% CI 1.30-4.21) were independently associated with poor 48-hour cEEG in a multivariable logistic regression model. Poor 6-month neurological outcome was more common in the poor cEEG group (63% vs. 19% p < .001, respectively). We found a significant fixed effect of poor 6-month neurological outcome on concentrations of PCT (F = 7.7, p < .01), hsCRP (F = 4.0, p < .05), and OPN (F = 5.6, p < .05) measured daily from ICU admission to 72 h. However, the biomarkers did not have independent predictive value for poor 6-month outcome in a multivariable logistic regression model with 48-hour NFL. CONCLUSION: Elevated ICU admission levels of OPN and MPO predicted disturbances in cEEG during the subsequent 48 h after cardiac arrest. Thus, they may provide early information about the risk of secondary neurological damage. However, the studied inflammatory markers had little value for long-term prognostication compared to 48-hour NFL.

Characterization of the Cardiac Structure and Function of Conscious D2.B10-Dmdmdx/J (D2-mdx) mice from 16-17 to 24-25 Weeks of Age.

Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) is the most common form of muscle degenerative hereditary disease. Muscular replacement by fibrosis and calcification are the principal causes of progressive and severe musculoskeletal, respiratory, and cardiac dysfunction. To date, the D2.B10-Dmdmdx/J (D2-mdx) model is proposed as the closest to DMD, but the results are controversial. In this study, the cardiac structure and function was characterized in D2-mdx mice from 16-17 up to 24-25 weeks of age. Echocardiographic assessment in conscious mice, gross pathology, and histological and cardiac biomarker analyses were performed. At 16-17 weeks of age, D2-mdx mice presented mild left ventricular function impairment and increased pulmonary vascular resistance. Cardiac fibrosis was more extended in the right ventricle, principally on the epicardium. In 24-25-week-old D2-mdx mice, functional and structural alterations increased but with large individual variation. High-sensitivity cardiac Troponin T, but not N-terminal pro-atrial natriuretic peptide, plasma levels were increased. In conclusion, left ventricle remodeling was mild to moderate in both young and adult mice. We confirmed that right ventricle epicardial fibrosis is the most outstanding finding in D2-mdx mice. Further long-term studies are needed to evaluate whether this mouse model can also be considered a model of DMD cardiomyopathy.

Optical coherence tomography, intravascular ultrasound or angiography guidance for distal left main coronary stenting. The ROCK cohort II study.

OBJECTIVES: to test the safety and efficacy of intravascular imaging and specifically optical coherence tomography (OCT) as a diagnostic tool for left main angioplasty and analyze the mid-term outcome accordingly. BACKGROUND: Clinical data and international guidelines recommend the use of intravascular imaging ultrasound (IVUS) to guide left main (LM) angioplasty. Despite early experience using OCT in this setting is encouraging, the evidence supporting its use is still limited. METHODS: ROCK II is a multicenter, investigator-driven, retrospective European study to compare the performance of IVUS and OCT versus angiography in patients undergoing distal-LM stenting. The primary study endpoint was target-lesion failure (TLF) including cardiac death, target-vessel myocardial infarction and target-lesion revascularization. We designed this study hypothesizing the superiority of intravascular imaging over angiographic guidance alone, and the non-inferiority of OCT versus IVUS. RESULTS: A total of 730 patients, 377 with intravascular-imaging guidance (162 OCT, 215 IVUS) and 353 with angiographic guidance, were analyzed. The one-year rate of TLF was 21.2% with angiography and 12.7% with intravascular-imaging (p = 0.039), with no difference between OCT and IVUS (p = 0.26). Intravascular-imaging was predictor of freedom from TLF (HR 0.46; 95% CI 0.23-0.93: p = 0.03). Propensity-score matching identified three groups of 100 patients each with no significant differences in baseline characteristics. The one-year rate of TLF was 16% in the angiographic, 7% in the OCT and 6% in the IVUS group, respectively (p = 0.03 for IVUS or OCT vs. angiography). No between-group significant differences in the rate of individual components of TLF were found. CONCLUSIONS: Intravascular imaging was superior to angiography for distal LM stenting, with no difference between OCT and IVUS.

Searching for Preclinical Models of Acute Decompensated Heart Failure: a Concise Narrative Overview and a Novel Swine Model.

PURPOSE: Available animal models of acute heart failure (AHF) and their limitations are discussed herein. A novel and preclinically relevant porcine model of decompensated AHF (ADHF) is then presented. METHODS: Myocardial infarction (MI) was induced by occlusion of left anterior descending coronary artery in 17 male pigs (34 ± 4 kg). Two weeks later, ADHF was induced in the survived animals (n = 15) by occlusion of the circumflex coronary artery, associated with acute volume overload and increases in arterial blood pressure by vasoconstrictor infusion. After onset of ADHF, animals received 48-h iv infusion of either serelaxin (n = 9) or placebo (n = 6). The pathophysiology and progression of ADHF were described by combining evaluation of hemodynamics, echocardiography, bioimpedance, blood gasses, circulating biomarkers, and histology. RESULTS: During ADHF, animals showed reduced left ventricle (LV) ejection fraction < 30%, increased thoracic fluid content > 35%, pulmonary edema, and high pulmonary capillary wedge pressure ~ 30 mmHg (p < 0.01 vs. baseline). Other ADHF-induced alterations in hemodynamics, i.e., increased central venous and pulmonary arterial pressures; respiratory gas exchanges, i.e., respiratory acidosis with low arterial PO2 and high PCO2; and LV dysfunction, i.e., increased LV end-diastolic/systolic volumes, were observed (p < 0.01 vs. baseline). Representative increases in circulating cardiac biomarkers, i.e., troponin T, natriuretic peptide, and bio-adrenomedullin, occurred (p < 0.01 vs. baseline). Finally, elevated renal and liver biomarkers were observed 48 h after onset of ADHF. Mortality was ~ 50%. Serelaxin showed beneficial effects on congestion, but none on mortality. CONCLUSION: This new model, resulting from a combination of chronic and acute MI, and volume and pressure overload, was able to reproduce all the typical clinical signs occurring during ADHF in a consistent and reproducible manner.

Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation-associated Lung Edema (CRALE). A Translational Study.

Rationale: Cardiopulmonary resuscitation is the cornerstone of cardiac arrest (CA) treatment. However, lung injuries associated with it have been reported.Objectives: To assess 1) the presence and characteristics of lung abnormalities induced by cardiopulmonary resuscitation and 2) the role of mechanical and manual chest compression (CC) in its development.Methods: This translational study included 1) a porcine model of CA and cardiopulmonary resuscitation (n = 12) and 2) a multicenter cohort of patients with out-of-hospital CA undergoing mechanical or manual CC (n = 52). Lung computed tomography performed after resuscitation was assessed qualitatively and quantitatively along with respiratory mechanics and gas exchanges.Measurements and Main Results: The lung weight in the mechanical CC group was higher compared with the manual CC group in the experimental (431 ± 127 vs. 273 ± 66, P = 0.022) and clinical study (1,208 ± 630 vs. 837 ± 306, P = 0.006). The mechanical CC group showed significantly lower oxygenation (P = 0.043) and respiratory system compliance (P < 0.001) compared with the manual CC group in the experimental study. The variation of right atrial pressure was significantly higher in the mechanical compared with the manual CC group (54 ± 11 vs. 31 ± 6 mm Hg, P = 0.001) and significantly correlated with lung weight (r = 0.686, P = 0.026) and respiratory system compliance (r = -0.634, P = 0.027). Incidence of abnormal lung density was higher in patients treated with mechanical compared with manual CC (37% vs. 8%, P = 0.018).Conclusions: This study demonstrated the presence of cardiopulmonary resuscitation-associated lung edema in animals and in patients with out-of-hospital CA, which is more pronounced after mechanical as opposed to manual CC and correlates with higher swings of right atrial pressure during CC.

The effect of spironolactone on cardiovascular function and markers of fibrosis in people at increased risk of developing heart failure: the heart 'OMics' in AGEing (HOMAGE) randomized clinical trial.

AIMS: To investigate the effects of spironolactone on fibrosis and cardiac function in people at increased risk of developing heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: Randomized, open-label, blinded-endpoint trial comparing spironolactone (50 mg/day) or control for up to 9 months in people with, or at high risk of, coronary disease and raised plasma B-type natriuretic peptides. The primary endpoint was the interaction between baseline serum galectin-3 and changes in serum procollagen type-III N-terminal pro-peptide (PIIINP) in participants assigned to spironolactone or control. Procollagen type-I C-terminal pro-peptide (PICP) and collagen type-1 C-terminal telopeptide (CITP), reflecting synthesis and degradation of type-I collagen, were also measured. In 527 participants (median age 73 years, 26% women), changes in PIIINP were similar for spironolactone and control [mean difference (mdiff): -0.15; 95% confidence interval (CI) -0.44 to 0.15 µg/L; P = 0.32] but those receiving spironolactone had greater reductions in PICP (mdiff: -8.1; 95% CI -11.9 to -4.3 µg/L; P < 0.0001) and PICP/CITP ratio (mdiff: -2.9; 95% CI -4.3 to -1.5; <0.0001). No interactions with serum galectin were observed. Systolic blood pressure (mdiff: -10; 95% CI -13 to -7 mmHg; P < 0.0001), left atrial volume (mdiff: -1; 95% CI -2 to 0 mL/m2; P = 0.010), and NT-proBNP (mdiff: -57; 95% CI -81 to -33 ng/L; P < 0.0001) were reduced in those assigned spironolactone. CONCLUSIONS: Galectin-3 did not identify greater reductions in serum concentrations of collagen biomarkers in response to spironolactone. However, spironolactone may influence type-I collagen metabolism. Whether spironolactone can delay or prevent progression to symptomatic heart failure should be investigated.

LIPCAR Is Increased in Chronic Symptomatic HF Patients. A Sub-Study of the GISSI-HF Trial.

BACKGROUND: The long noncoding RNA LIPCAR (Long Intergenic noncoding RNA Predicting CARdiac remodeling) has emerged as a promising biomarker in cardiac disease and cardiac remodeling. To determine whether LIPCAR levels help for a molecular phenotyping of chronic heart failure (HF) patients, this study assessed the association of LIPCAR with severity of the disease and its progression, and with risk of death or hospitalization in HF patients. METHODS: LIPCAR was measured in plasma of 967 HF patients with symptomatic heart failure participating in the Gruppo Italiano per lo Studio della Sopravvivenza nell'Insufficienza Cardiaca - Heart Failure (GISSI-HF) biohumoral sub-study. RESULTS: Plasma levels of LIPCAR were significantly associated with functional impairment as assessed by the New York Heart Association (NYHA) class, kidney function as reflected by estimated glomerular filtration rate, and creatinine, hemoglobin and mitral insufficiency. In females, these associations were more marked as compared to males. LIPCAR plasma levels were significantly related to the two cardiac markers, N-terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, but not to inflammatory markers such as high sensitivity C-reactive protein and pentraxin-3, nor to patient reported outcomes such as depression and quality of life. HF patients with high LIPCAR levels univariately showed significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular hospitalizations but not of death; after adjusting for covariates, no significant effects of LIPCAR were found for cardiovascular hospitalizations. CONCLUSION: The circulating long noncoding RNA LIPCAR was increased in HF patients with higher NYHA class, impaired kidney function, and lower hemoglobin, which are indicators of patients' overall state.

Endothelial damage in septic shock patients as evidenced by circulating syndecan-1, sphingosine-1-phosphate and soluble VE-cadherin: a substudy of ALBIOS.

BACKGROUND: Septic shock is characterized by breakdown of the endothelial glycocalyx and endothelial damage, contributing to fluid extravasation, organ failure and death. Albumin has shown benefit in septic shock patients. Our aims were: (1) to identify the relations between circulating levels of syndecan-1 (SYN-1), sphingosine-1-phosphate (S1P) (endothelial glycocalyx), and VE-cadherin (endothelial cell junctions), severity of the disease, and survival; (2) to evaluate the effects of albumin supplementation on endothelial dysfunction in patients with septic shock. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of a multicenter randomized clinical trial on albumin replacement in severe sepsis or septic shock (the Albumin Italian Outcome Sepsis Trial, ALBIOS). Concentrations of SYN-1, S1P, soluble VE-cadherin and other biomarkers were measured on days 1, 2 and 7 in 375 patients with septic shock surviving up to 7 days after randomization. RESULTS: Plasma concentrations of SYN-1 and VE-cadherin rose significantly over 7 days. SYN-1 and VE-cadherin were elevated in patients with organ failure, and S1P levels were lower. SYN-1 and VE-cadherin were independently associated with renal replacement therapy requirement during ICU stay, but only SYN-1 predicted its new occurrence. Both SYN-1 and S1P, but not VE-cadherin, predicted incident coagulation failure. Only SYN-1 independently predicted 90-day mortality. Albumin significantly reduced VE-cadherin, by 9.5% (p = 0.003) at all three time points. CONCLUSION: Circulating components of the endothelial glycocalyx and of the endothelial cell junctions provide insights into severity and progression of septic shock, with special focus on incident coagulation and renal failure. Albumin supplementation lowered circulating VE-cadherin consistently over time. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ALBIOS ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT00707122.

Efficacy of acute administration of inhaled argon on traumatic brain injury in mice.

BACKGROUND: Whilst there has been progress in supportive treatment for traumatic brain injury (TBI), specific neuroprotective interventions are lacking. Models of ischaemic heart and brain injury show the therapeutic potential of argon gas, but it is still not known whether inhaled argon (iAr) is protective in TBI. We tested the effects of acute administration of iAr on brain oedema, tissue micro-environmental changes, neurological functions, and structural outcome in a mouse model of TBI. METHODS: Anaesthetised adult C57BL/6J mice were subjected to severe TBI by controlled cortical impact. Ten minutes after TBI, the mice were randomised to 24 h treatments with iAr 70%/O2 30% or air (iCtr). Sensorimotor deficits were evaluated up to 6 weeks post-TBI by three independent tests. Cognitive function was evaluated by Barnes maze test at 4 weeks. MRI was done to examine brain oedema at 3 days and white matter damage at 5 weeks. Microglia/macrophages activation and functional commitment were evaluated at 1 week after TBI by immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: iAr significantly accelerated sensorimotor recovery and improved cognitive deficits 1 month after TBI, with less white matter damage in the ipsilateral fimbria and body of the corpus callosum. Early changes underpinning protection included a reduction of pericontusional vasogenic oedema and of the inflammatory response. iAr significantly reduced microglial activation with increases in ramified cells and the M2-like marker YM1. CONCLUSIONS: iAr accelerates recovery of sensorimotor function and improves cognitive and structural outcome 1 month after severe TBI in adult mice. Early effects include a reduction of brain oedema and neuroinflammation in the contused tissue.

Total NT-proBNP, a novel biomarker related to recurrent atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Novel circulating biomarkers may help in understanding the underlying mechanisms of atrial fibrillation (AF), a challenge for AF management and prevention of cardiovascular (CV) events. Whether glycosylation affects the prognostic value of N-terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in AF is still unknown. OBJECTIVES: To test how deglycosylated total NT-proBNP, NT-proBNP and a panel of biomarkers are associated with: (1) recurrent AF, (2) first hospitalization for CV reasons. METHODS: A total of 382 patients of the GISSI-AF trial in sinus rhythm with a history of AF, echocardiographic variables, total NT-proBNP, NT-proBNP and nine additional biomarkers [Total N-terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide (Total NT proBNP), N-terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP), Angiopoietin 2 (Ang2), Bone morphogenic protein-10 (BMP10), Dickkopf-related protein-3 (DKK3), Endothelial cell specific molecule-1 (ESM1), Fatty acid-binding protein 3 (FABP3), Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23), Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF15), Insulin-like growth factor-binding protein-7 (IGFBP7) and Myosin binding protein C3 (MYPBC3)]. were assayed at baseline, 6 and 12 months under blind conditions in a laboratory at Roche Diagnostics, Penzberg, Germany. The associations between circulating biomarkers and AF at the 6- and 12-month visits, and their predictive value, were assessed in multivariable models with logistic regression analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Biomarkers associations were modelled for 1SD increase in their level. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 365 days, 203/382 patients (53.1%) had at least one recurrence of AF and 16.3% were hospitalized for CV reasons. Total NT-proBNP, NT-proBNP, Ang2 and BMP10 showed the strongest associations with ongoing AF. Natriuretic peptides also predicted recurrent AF (total NT-proBNP: HR:1.19[1.04-1.36], p = 0.026; NT-proBNP: HR:1.19[1.06-1.35], p = 0.016; Ang2: HR:1.07[0.95-1.20], p = 0.283; BMP10: HR:1.09[0.96-1.25], p = 0.249) and CV hospitalization (total NT-proBNP: HR:1.57[1.29-1.90], p < 0.001 1.63], p = 0.097). CONCLUSIONS: The association of total NT-proBNP with the risk of AF first recurrence was similar to that of NT-proBNP, suggesting no influence of glycosylation. Analogous results were obtained for the risk of first hospitalization for CV reasons. Natriuretic peptides, Ang2 and BMP10 were associated with ongoing AF. Findings from the last two biomarkers point to a pathogenic role of cardiac extracellular matrix and cardiomyocyte growth in the myocardium of the right atrium and ventricle.

IGFBP7 and GDF-15, but not P1NP, are associated with cardiac alterations and 10-year outcome in an elderly community-based study.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the clinical value of Insulin-like growth factor-binding protein-7 (IGFBP7), a cellular senescence marker, in an elderly general population with multiple co-morbidities and high prevalence of asymptomatic cardiovascular ventricular dysfunction. Inflammation and fibrosis are hallmarks of cardiac aging and remodelling. Therefore, we assessed the clinical performance of IGFBP7 and two other biomarkers reflecting these pathogenic pathways, the growth differentiation factor-15 (GFD-15) and amino-terminal propeptide of type I procollagen (P1NP), for their association with cardiac phenotypes and outcomes in the PREDICTOR study. METHODS: 2001 community-dwelling subjects aged 65-84 years who had undergone centrally-read echocardiography, were selected through administrative registries. Atrial fibrillation (AF) and 4 echocardiographic patterns were assessed: E/e' (> 8), enlarged left atrial area, left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) and reduced midwall circumference shortening (MFS). All-cause and cardiovascular mortality and hospitalization were recorded over a median follow-up of 10.6 years. RESULTS: IGFBP7 and GDF-15, but not P1NP, were independently associated with prevalent AF and echocardiographic variables after adjusting for age and sex. After adjustment for clinical risk factors and cardiac patterns or NT-proBNP and hsTnT, both IGFBP7 and GDF-15 independently predicted all-cause mortality, hazard ratios 2.13[1.08-4.22] and 2.03[1.62-2.56] per unit increase of Ln-transformed markers, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In a community-based elderly cohort, IGFBP7 and GDF-15 appear associated to cardiac alterations as well as to 10-year risk of all-cause mortality.

Sex differences in factors associated with heart failure and diastolic left ventricular dysfunction: a cross-sectional population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Although sex differences in cardiovascular diseases are recognised, including differences in incidence, clinical presentation, response to treatments, and outcomes, most of the practice guidelines are not sex-specific. Heart failure (HF) is a major public health challenge, with high health care expenditures, high prevalence, and poor clinical outcomes. The objective was to analyse the sex-specific association of socio-demographics, life-style factors and health characteristics with the prevalence of HF and diastolic left ventricular dysfunction (DLVD) in a cross-sectional population-based study. METHODS: A random sample of 2001 65-84 year-olds underwent physical examination, laboratory measurements, including N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), electrocardiography, and echocardiography. We selected the subjects with no missing values in covariates and echocardiographic parameters and performed a complete case analysis. Sex-specific multivariable logistic regression models were used to identify the factors associated with the prevalence of the diseases, multinomial logistic regression was used to investigate the factors associated to asymptomatic and symptomatic LVD, and spline curves to display the relationship between the conditions and both age and NT-proBNP. RESULTS: In 857 men included, there were 66 cases of HF and 408 cases of DLVD (77% not reporting symptoms). In 819 women, there were 51 cases of HF and 382 of DLVD (79% not reporting symptoms). In men, the factors associated with prevalence of HF were age, ischemic heart disease (IHD), and suffering from three or more comorbid conditions. In women, the factors associated with HF were age, lifestyles (smoking and alcohol), BMI, hypertension, and atrial fibrillation. Age and diabetes were associated to asymptomatic DLVD in both genders. NT-proBNP levels were more strongly associated with HF in men than in women. CONCLUSIONS: There were sex differences in the factors associated with HF. The results suggest that prevention policies should consider the sex-specific impact on cardiac function of modifiable cardiovascular risk factors.

Declining Risk of Sudden Death in Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: The risk of sudden death has changed over time among patients with symptomatic heart failure and reduced ejection fraction with the sequential introduction of medications including angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin-receptor blockers, beta-blockers, and mineralocorticoid-receptor antagonists. We sought to examine this trend in detail. METHODS: We analyzed data from 40,195 patients who had heart failure with reduced ejection fraction and were enrolled in any of 12 clinical trials spanning the period from 1995 through 2014. Patients who had an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator at the time of trial enrollment were excluded. Weighted multivariable regression was used to examine trends in rates of sudden death over time. Adjusted hazard ratios for sudden death in each trial group were calculated with the use of Cox regression models. The cumulative incidence rates of sudden death were assessed at different time points after randomization and according to the length of time between the diagnosis of heart failure and randomization. RESULTS: Sudden death was reported in 3583 patients. Such patients were older and were more often male, with an ischemic cause of heart failure and worse cardiac function, than those in whom sudden death did not occur. There was a 44% decline in the rate of sudden death across the trials (P=0.03). The cumulative incidence of sudden death at 90 days after randomization was 2.4% in the earliest trial and 1.0% in the most recent trial. The rate of sudden death was not higher among patients with a recent diagnosis of heart failure than among those with a longer-standing diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Rates of sudden death declined substantially over time among ambulatory patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction who were enrolled in clinical trials, a finding that is consistent with a cumulative benefit of evidence-based medications on this cause of death. (Funded by the China Scholarship Council and the University of Glasgow.).

Cardiovascular mortality and morbidity burden in successive and age pre-stratified case-control cohorts of breast cancer women. A population-based study.

AIMS: To assess the existence, components and clinical relevance of cardiac causes of death and cardiovascular (CV) hospitalizations in a population-wide database of patients with breast cancer (BC). METHODS AND RESULTS: A population-wide database of the Puglia Region, Italy was analyzed, with a prospective comparative design. Three successive closely matched case/control cohorts representing current care in the period 2007-2014 were also stratified according to age to focus specifically on the potential interaction of treatment-related cardiac toxicity and the expected different baseline CV risk profiles. RESULTS: At 3-year follow-up, in the successive cohorts the incidence of BC-related (7.7, 7.0, 6.5%) and cardiac causes of death, specifically attributed to heart failure (HF, 1.3, 0.5, 0.5%), decreased. Significant mortality hazard ratio (HR) for HF was found in the total population (1.47, 95% CI 1.14-1.90), in particular in the 2007-2009 cohort (1.71, 95% CI 1.19-2.46) and in the 50-69 age group (7.96, 95% CI 2.81-22.55). Results at 5 years confirm the mortality findings, and a significant HR for hospitalizations for HF, non-atrial arrhythmias and ischemic heart disease in the younger than 50 subpopulation pointed to a late expression of toxicity in the youngest BC population. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of CV causes of death 3 and 5 years after BC diagnosis was very low, even if an excess in risk of death for HF as compared with the control cohort was observed. While younger patients seems to tolerate BC and BC therapy better in the short term, HF mortality and morbidity resulted significantly increased at 5-year follow-up. As the risk for hospitalization for CV reasons increased at 5-year follow-up in particular in women aged less than 50 years, CV monitoring in this subgroup of patients seems mandatory.

Cancer in chronic heart failure patients in the GISSI-HF trial.

BACKGROUND: Cancer complicating heart failure (HF) is an emerging issue. We investigated it in the GISSI-HF trial, which uniquely included patients with malignancies if deemed likely to allow follow-up. METHODS AND RESULTS: At enrolment, 256 of 6913 participants in GISSI-HF (3.7%) had a tumour diagnosis, which was malignant (cancer) in 145 (2.1%). Patients with cancer were older and more often former smokers, had lower body mass index, lower left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), less implanted devices, lower glucose and haemoglobin and higher uric acid levels than those without cancer. During a median 4-year follow-up, cardiovascular (CV), non-CV non-cancer and cancer death occurred in 1477, 272 and 220 subjects (75%, 13.8% and 11.2% of total mortality, respectively). Cancer at trial entry portended an increased risk of all-cause mortality after accounting for age and confounders (HR 1.33, 95%CI 1.02-1.73), which was attributable to cancer-specific mortality. Among the 6657 patients without any tumour at enrolment, 1879 subsequently died. CV, non-CV non-cancer and cancer causes accounted for 1422 (75.7%), 261 (13.9%) and 196 (10.4%) of these deaths, respectively, median time to specific death being 22, 25 and 30 months (P < .0001). Patients facing cancer vs CV death had lower NYHA class, slower heart rate, higher blood pressure, higher LVEF, shorter HF history, less diuretic use, lower creatinine and uric acid and higher haemoglobin and cholesterol. CONCLUSIONS: Even when considered not aggressive, concomitant cancer worsens HF prognosis. The inverse relationship between HF severity and cancer death in the absence of prior tumour warrants further study.

The role of resistin and myeloperoxidase in severe sepsis and septic shock: Results from the ALBIOS trial.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory biomarkers are useful in detecting patients with sepsis. The prognostic role of resistin and myeloperoxidase (MPO) has been investigated in sepsis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Plasma resistin and MPO were measured on days 1, 2 and 7 in 957 patients enrolled in the Albumin Italian Outcome Sepsis (ALBIOS) trial. The association between resistin and MPO levels on day 1, 2 and 7 and 90-day mortality was assessed. RESULTS: Plasma resistin and MPO concentrations were higher at day 1 and decreased until day 7. Both biomarkers were positively correlated with each other and with physiological parameters. Higher levels of resistin and MPO on day 1 were associated with the development of new organ failures. Patients experiencing death at 90 days showed higher levels of resistin and MPO compared with survivors. At day 1, only MPO in the 4th quartile (Q4), but not resistin, was found to predict 90-day death (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.55 vs Q1). At day 2, resistin in the Q3 and Q4 predicted a > 40% increase in mortality as also did MPO in the Q4. On day 7, Q4 resistin was able to predict 90-day mortality, while all quartiles of MPO were not. CONCLUSIONS: High levels of MPO, but not of resistin, on day 1 were able to predict 90-day mortality. These findings may either suggest that early hyper-activation of neutrophils is detrimental in patients with sepsis or reflect the burden of the inflammatory process caused by sepsis. Further studies are warranted to deepen these aspects (ALBIOS ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00707122).

Real-world reasons and outcomes for 1-month versus longer dual antiplatelet therapy strategies with a polymer-free BIOLIMUS A9-coated stent.

BACKGROUND: A large trial established the favorable profile of a new polymer-free biolimus A9-eluting stent (PF-BES) with a 1-month dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) in high bleeding risk (HBR) patients. This is the first study comparing outcomes for a 1-month versus longer DAPT strategies following PF-BES-percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS: All patients undergoing PF-BES-PCI (January 2016 to July 2018) were included in the multicenter CHANCE registry. Patients were stratified according to DAPT strategy at discharge (planned 1-month vs. planned >1-month). Primary outcomes were the 390-day estimates of a patient-oriented and of a device-oriented composite endpoints (POCE: death, myocardial infarction [MI] or target vessel revascularization; DOCE: cardiac death, target vessel-MI or ischemia-driven target lesion revascularization). Landmark analyses from 1-month post-PCI were carried. RESULTS: Following PF-BES-PCI, 328(40.3%) and 485(59.6%) patients were discharged with 1-month and longer DAPT (12 months [6-12]), respectively. Patients with a previous or index MI were less likely to be discharged on 1-month DAPT. Patients prescribed with 1-month DAPT were more likely to be at HBR than those with longer DAPT (90.2% vs. 69.9%, p = .001). No between-groups differences in the primary outcomes (planned 1-month vs. planned >1-month DAPT: POCE 11.9% vs. 13.2%, p = .747; DOCE: 4.8% vs. 8.1%, p = .500) were observed, also after adjusting for confoundings (POCE: adjusted-hazard ratio [adj-HR] 1.26, 95%CI 0.74-2.13; DOCE: adj-HR 1.00, 95%CI 0.49-1.99). Landmark analyses showed similar results. CONCLUSIONS: In a large all-comers registry of PF-BES PCI, no interaction of planned DAPT strategy (1-month vs. >1-month) with outcomes was found. This observation warrants investigation in adequately powered randomized studies (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03622203).