Adherence during COVID-19: The role of aging and socio-economics status in shaping drug utilization.

Our study investigates the potential impact that COVID-19 and lockdown restrictions may have had on drug utilization and the role of patient age and education in reshaping it. We focused on patients affected by diabetes mellitus, who are likely to suffer a higher degree of morbidity and mortality due to COVID-19. We used a bi-monthly administrative panel dataset from January 2019 to December 2020 from Liguria (Italy), one of the regions with the highest number of individuals over the age of 65 in Europe. The results demonstrated that, after the initial shock, when patients tried to increase their personal stock of drugs to overcome the risk of possible additional barriers generated by the coronavirus, the hoarding effect almost disappeared. Adherence has drastically reduced during the COVID-19 pandemic and has never reached pre-COVID levels again. Older and poorly educated patients seem to have suffered more from the restrictions imposed by the lockdown and fear of contagion and they may be the ideal target group when considering possible policy interventions to improve adherence.

Frequent use of emergency departments and chronic conditions in ageing societies: a retrospective analysis based in Italy.

BACKGROUND: Most western countries are facing relevant demographic changes, and the percentage of older people is destined to rise in the next decades. This fact is likely to affect the sustainability of healthcare systems significantly, mainly due to the connected issue of chronicity. METHODS: In this paper, using an extensive and comprehensive administrative dataset, we analyse the phenomenon of frequent use of emergency departments (ED) in the oldest region in Europe (i.e. Liguria) over 4 years (2013-2016). Two alternative approaches are used to define categories of ED users based on the intensity and frequency of accesses and splitting patients into different age groups. RESULTS: Results allow identifying clinical and socio-demographic risk-factors connected to different levels of ED utilisation and highlight the influential role played by chronic conditions (particularly mental disorders, respiratory diseases) and by multiple chronic conditions. CONCLUSIONS: The study aims at representing an informative tool to support policy-makers in setting proper policies addressed, on the one side, towards the potentially preventable frequent users and, on the other, towards those accessing due to complex medical conditions. The results can help in building a warning system to help general practitioners in the identification of potential frequent users and to develop preventive policies.

Older patients and geographic barriers to pharmacy access: When nonadherence translates to an increased use of other components of health care.

This paper studies whether geographic barriers can influence nonadherence to prescription drugs and its effect on patients' health. We used a multivariate probit model estimated by maximum simulated likelihood that considers individual unobserved heterogeneity, which may characterize the relationship between adherence, medical care utilization, and health outcome. We used administrative data from Liguria, Italy, the region with the highest rate of individuals over the age of 65 in Europe. Our sample included older individuals affected by cardiovascular diseases, which remain one of the leading causes of death in most OECD countries. Our results showed that geographic barriers to pharmacies negatively influence patients' adherence. According to our results, patients' nonadherence to pharmacological therapy is responsible for an increased probability of patients' mortality and the overuse of other medical services, namely, hospitalizations and emergency department visits. Nonadherence may thus represent a potential source of waste for the health care system.

What should we expect from Switzerland's compulsory dental insurance reform?

BACKGROUND: A vast and heated debate is arising in Switzerland as a result of some recent citizens' initiatives aimed at introducing compulsory dental health care insurance. The Grand Conseils of the Vaud, Geneva, and Neuchâtel cantons recently approved three public initiatives and their citizens are expected to vote on the proposal in 2018. The process of collecting signatures has begun in several other cantons and the discussion has now moved to a national level. DISCUSSION: At present, there is no scientific research that can help policy-makers and citizens to understand the main economic implications of such reform. We attempt to fill this gap by analysing three critical issues: the level and determinants of unmet needs for dental care in Switzerland; the protection of vulnerable individuals; and the economic sustainability of reform. RESULTS AND SHORT CONCLUSIONS: The results show that income is not a unique determinant of barriers to access to dental care but rather, cultural and socio-demographic factors impact the perceived level of unmet dental care needs. The reform might only partially, if at all, improve the equity of the current system. In addition, the results show that the 1% wage-based contribution that the reform promoters suggest should finance the insurance is inadequate to provide full and free dental care to Swiss residents, but is merely sufficient to guarantee basic preventive care, whereas this could be provided by dental hygienists for less.

Is it still worthwhile to perform quarterly cd4+ t lymphocyte cell counts on hiv-1 infected stable patients?

BACKGROUND: In the last 20 years routine T CD4+ lymphocyte (CD4+) cell count has proved to be a key factor to determine the stage of HIV infection and start or discontinue of prophylaxis for opportunistic infections. However, several studies recently showed that in stable patients on cART a quarterly CD4+ cell count monitoring results in limited (or null) clinical relevance. The research is intended to investigate whether performing quarterly CD4+ cell counts in stable HIV-1 patients is still recommendable and to provide a forecast of the cost saving that could be achieved by reducing CD4+ monitoring in such a category of patients. METHODS: The study is based on data referring to all HIV-infected patients > 18 years of age being treated at two large infectious diseases units located in the metropolitan area of Genoa, Italy. The probability of CD4+ cell counts dropping below a threshold value set at 350 cells/mm3 is assessed using confidence intervals and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates, whereas multivariate Cox analysis and logistic regression are implemented in order to identify factors associated with CD4+ cell count falls below 350 cells/mm3. RESULTS: Statistical analysis reveals that among stable patients the probability of maintaining CD4+ >350 cell/mm3 is more than 98%. Econometric models indicate that HCV co-infection and HIV-RNA values >50 copies/mL in previous examinations are associated with CD4+ falls below 350 cells/mm3. Moreover, results suggest that the cost saving that could be obtained by reducing CD4+ examinations ranges from 33 to 67%. CONCLUSIONS: Empirical findings shows that patients defined as stable at enrollment are highly unlikely to experience a CD4+ value <350 cell/mm3 in the space/arc of a year. The research supports a recommendation for annual CD4+ monitoring in stable HIV-1 patients.

Quality competition and uncertainty in a horizontally differentiated hospital market.

The chapter studies hospital competition in a spatially differentiated market in which patient demand reflects the quality/distance mix that maximizes their utility. Treatment is free at the point of use and patients freely choose the provider which best fits their expectations. Hospitals might have asymmetric objectives and costs, however they are reimbursed using a uniform prospective payment. The chapter provides different equilibrium outcomes, under perfect and asymmetric information. The results show that asymmetric costs, in the case where hospitals are profit maximizers, allow for a social welfare and quality improvement. On the other hand, the presence of a publicly managed hospital which pursues the objective of quality maximization is able to ensure a higher level of quality, patient surplus and welfare. However, the extent of this outcome might be considerably reduced when high levels of public hospital inefficiency are detectable. Finally, the negative consequences caused by the presence of asymmetric information are highlighted in the different scenarios of ownership/objectives and costs. The setting adopted in the model aims at describing the up-coming European market for secondary health care, focusing on hospital behavior and it is intended to help the policy-maker in understanding real world dynamics.

The illness trap: The impact of disability benefits on willingness to receive HCV treatment.

Health care is assumed to be a primary good, implying that patients should always demand or accept treatments that may enhance their life expectancy and quality of life, especially if the risks associated with the treatment are low. We argue that, especially in countries with a well-developed welfare state, treating an invalidating condition may lead to opportunity costs in terms of reduced disability allowances that may represent a barrier to treatment for low-income individuals. We test this hypothesis by applying a recursive bivariate probit approach to population data from an ad hoc administrative database for Liguria (an Italian administrative region). The dataset includes data for more than 8 thousand people affected by hepatitis C Virus (HCV) infection between 2013 and 2020. After the discovery of new direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) in 2014, HCV eradication may now be possible. However, despite the national and international efforts, several patients diagnosed with HCV choose not to undergo drug therapy despite the adverse consequences for their personal health and relevant costs to the national health system. We show that five years after the implementation of the new drugs, approximately 41 % of the diagnosed population in Liguria remains untreated. This percentage increases to 64 % within the subgroup entitled to disability benefits and characterized by lower income levels. The "illness trap" effect is more substantial for older people but also low-income patients. Moreover, we find that this effect is higher in patients with an intermediate range of comorbidities; indeed, these patients are at a higher risk of losing economic benefits if they recover from HCV. These results suggest the need for healthcare policies addressing this distorting effect when designing benefit programs and granting financial benefits to patients.

Definition of a prospective payment system to reimburse emergency departments.

BACKGROUND: Payers are increasingly turning to Prospective Payment Systems (PPSs) because they incentivize efficiency, but their application to emergency departments (EDs) is difficult because of the high level of uncertainty and variability in the cost of treating each patient.To the best of our knowledge, our work represents the first attempt at defining a PPS for this part of hospital activity. METHODS: Data were specifically collected for this study and relate to 1011 patients who were triaged at an ED of a major Italian hospital, during 1 week in December 2010.The cost for each patient was analytically estimated by adding up several components: 1) physician and other staff costs that were imputed on the basis of the time each physician claimed to have spent treating the patient; 2) the cost for each test/treatment each patient actually underwent; 3) overhead costs, shared among patients using the time elapsed between first examination and discharge from the ED. RESULTS: The distribution of costs by triage code shows that, although the average cost increases across the four triage groups, the variance within each code is quite high. The maximum cost for a yellow code is €1074.7, compared with €680 for red, the most serious code. Using cluster analysis, the red code cluster is enveloped by yellow, and their costs are therefore indistinguishable, while green codes span all cost groups. This suggests that triage code alone is not a good proxy for the patient cost, and that other cost drivers need to be included. CONCLUSIONS: Crude triage codes cannot be used to define PPSs because they are not sufficiently correlated with costs and are characterized by large variances. However, if combined with other information, such as the number of laboratory and non-laboratory tests/examinations, it is possible to define cost groups that are sufficiently homogeneous to be reimbursed prospectively. This should discourage strategic behavior and allow the ED to break even or create profits, which can be reinvested to improve services. The study provides health policy administrators with a new and feasible tool to implement prospective payment for EDs, and improve planning and cost control.

Frequency, characteristics and prognostic impact of hospital readmissions in elderly patients with heart failure: A population study from 2013 to 2017 in Liguria, Northern Italy.

BACKGROUND: Hospital readmissions are a key determinant of prognosis in elderly patients with heart failure (HF). We investigated their frequency, predictors and prognostic impact using a large administrative database from Liguria, the oldest region of Italy. METHODS: Patients aged ≥18 years with at least one hospitalization with HF and being prescribed a diuretic medication between January 2013 and December 2017 were included in the analysis. Their demographics and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) were collected. Patients were grouped by number of readmissions, and negative binomial and Cox proportional hazard models were used to explore independent predictors of readmissions and mortality, respectively. RESULTS: There were 207,130 hospital admissions from 35,316 patients (mean age 81.6 years, 43.7% ≥85 years of age, 47.2% male, mean CCI 1.7, overall mortality 52.8%). About a quarter of patients (8.878, 25.1%) had more than eight readmissions during follow-up, for a total of 108.146 admissions (52.2% of admissions). Male gender, lower educational level and higher CCI were independently associated with increased number of readmissions and increased mortality. There was an independent inverse relationship between number of admissions and survival, with patients hospitalized 8 or more times displaying a 3-fold increase in mortality, and a significant interaction between older age and readmissions on mortality. CONCLUSION: A quarter of older comorbid HF patients contributed to more than half of HF hospital readmissions recorded over a 5-year period in Liguria, with a dismal impact on prognosis. Aging societies should pay greater attention to this matter and personalized disease-management programs should be implemented.

Beyond price: the effects of non-financial barriers on access to drugs and health outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: We study the impact of the pharmacy dispensing channel (as a proxy for access to drugs) on the drug purchases, health outcomes, and health care utilization (emergency room visits or hospitalizations) of chronically ill patients in Liguria, Italy, in 2017. METHODS: We use the coarsened exact matching algorithm to compare the health outcomes for a treated group of patients living in a local health authority (LHA) where drug distribution through community pharmacies was restricted. These patients were matched to a control group of patients living in other LHAs, where drugs were also dispensed through a broad network of community pharmacies. We exploit a unique administrative dataset with information on the socio-demographic characteristics and health care services utilization of Ligurian patients with chronic cardiovascular and respiratory ailments. We restrict our analysis to patients 65 years of age or older who were admitted to hospitals from 2013 to 2016 with either a principal or secondary diagnosis connected to chronic cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. RESULTS: Reduced access to drugs leads to lowered drug consumption, a higher probability of adverse health outcomes including mortality, and a higher consumption of medical services in terms of hospitalizations and emergency room visits. These effects increase with patients' age. CONCLUSION: The pharmacy dispensing channel significantly affects drug consumption and acts as a proxy for adherence among chronically ill patients. Thus, health outcomes and health care utilization should be carefully evaluated when comparing the costs of alternative dispensing channels.

The role of education in psychological response to adverse health shocks.

The prevalence of common mental disorders is on the rise: in the last decade mental disorders have become one of the major contributors to the global burden of disease and the leading cause of disability worldwide. While the association between depressive symptoms and physical health has been the subject of many studies, little is known about the potential pathways through which physical health affects mental health and how this relationship varies across different socioeconomic groups. This study aims at investigating on the role that a higher educational level may have not only in protecting people from depressive and anxiety symptoms but also on its role in mediating the relationship between mental and physical health shocks. For the scope of our analysis, we relied on hospital administrative records collected from Liguria, a north-western Italian region. We evaluate the impact of education in protecting individuals from mental disorders when they experienced an adverse health event, such as severe hospitalization or an onset of a chronic condition. Our results suggest that among those who suffer from severe physical health issues, highly educated individuals are less likely to experience depressive and anxiety symptoms compared to those with a lower level of education, even though, in presence of an adverse health shock, the protecting role of education slightly decreases.

The effectiveness of the neonatal diagnosis-related group scheme.

The goal of this study is to investigate the effectiveness of the neonatal diagnosis-related group scheme in patients affected by respiratory distress syndrome. The variable costs of individual patients in the same group are examined. This study uses the data of infants (N = 243) hospitalized in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit of the Gaslini Children's Hospital in Italy in 2016. The care unit's operating and management costs are employed to estimate the average cost per patient. Operating costs include those related to personnel, drugs, medical supplies, treatment tools, examinations, radiology, and laboratory services. Management costs relate to administration, maintenance, and depreciation cost of medical equipment. Cluster analysis and Tobit regression are employed, allowing for the assessment of the total cost per patient per day taking into account the main cost determinants: birth weight, gestational age, and discharge status. The findings highlight great variability in the costs for patients in the same diagnosis-related group, ranging from a minimum of €267 to a maximum of €265,669. This suggests the inefficiency of the diagnosis-related group system. Patients with very low birth weight incurred costs approximately twice the reimbursement set by the policy; a loss of €36,420 is estimated for every surviving baby with a birth weight lower than 1,170 grams. On the contrary, at term, newborns cost about €20,000 less than the diagnosis-related group reimbursement. The actual system benefits hospitals that mainly treat term infants with respiratory distress syndrome and penalizes hospitals taking care of very low birth weight patients. As a result, strategic behavior and "up-coding" might occur. We conduct a cluster analysis that suggests a birth weight adjustment to determine new fees that would be fairer than the current costs.

Speeding up the clinical pathways by accessing emergency departments.

Inappropriate emergency admissions create overcrowding and may reduce the quality of emergency care. In Italy, overcrowding is further exacerbated by patients who use emergency admissions as a shortcut to avoid the general practitioner (GP) gateway. In this paper, we investigate access to emergency departments (EDs) by patients with non-severe medical conditions and their willingness to wait. Population data for ED accesses in Liguria (an Italian administrative region) in 2016 were used to estimate the number of strategic accesses and waiting time elasticities of low-severity patients. Our results show that the practice of using EDs to skip gatekeeping is a serious problem. The percentage of patients who engage in such practice vary from 8.7 to 9.9% of non-urgent patients; they generally prefer to access more specialized hospitals, especially during weekdays, when GPs are available, but hospitals run at full capacity. Strategic patients are usually much younger than average. From a policy point of view, our results show that long waits may discourage "genuine" patients rather than strategic ones. It is necessary to develop a system to improve access to patients mainly requiring specialist care, along with enhancing the management of diagnostic examinations through primary care.

Robustness and Effectiveness of the Triage System in the Pediatric Context.

BACKGROUND: The increasing use of emergency departments (EDs) potentially compromises their effectiveness and quality. The evaluation of the performance of the triage code system in a pediatric context is important because waiting time affects the quality of care for acutely ill patients. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we aimed to assess the effectiveness and robustness of the triage code system in a pediatric context and identify the determinants of waiting times for urgent and non-urgent patients. METHODS: Data regarding 37,767 pediatric patients who accessed the ED of a major Italian pediatric hospital in 2015 were investigated in order to study patient numbers and waiting times. The determinants of waiting times for urgent and non-urgent patients, as well as variables referring to the "supply side," such as periods of staff shortage, were analyzed using a survival analysis framework. RESULTS: For urgent patients, the waiting time between triage and the first physician assessment is generally below the standard threshold of 15 min and this is not affected by the number of non-urgent patients waiting for care. Conversely, the waiting time for non-urgent patients is affected by ED flow, periods of staff shortage, and non-clinical variables (age and nationality). CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that the triage level assignation system is effective in terms of safety for urgent patients. The current ED organization adequately fulfills its primary goal of providing healthcare for acutely ill patients.

Popular initiatives in 2014-2016 call for the introduction of mandatory dental care insurance in Switzerland: The contrasting positions at stake.

Switzerland's mandatory health insurance system provides coverage for a standard benefits package for all residents. However, adult dental care is covered only in case of accidents and inevitable dental illnesses, while routine dental care is almost completely financed out-of-pocket. In general, unmet health needs in Switzerland are low, but unmet dental needs are significant, when compared with other countries in Europe. Recent popular initiatives in Switzerland have aimed to introduce a mandatory insurance model for dental care through a mandatory contribution of 1% of gross salaries toward dental care insurance. In three cantons, the proposals have collected the required number of signatures and a public referendum is expected to be held in 2017/2018. If implemented, the insurance system is expected to have a significant impact on the dental profession, dental care demand, and the provision of dental services. The contrasting positions of stakeholders for and against the reform reflect a rare situation in which dental care policy issues are being widely discussed at all levels. However, such a discussion is of crucial relevance not only for Switzerland, but also for the whole of Europe, which has significant levels of unmet needs for dental care, especially among vulnerable and deprived individuals, and new solutions to expand dental care coverage are required.

Targeting frequent users of emergency departments: Prominent risk factors and policy implications.

This study investigates the characteristics of frequent users of accident and emergency departments (AEDs) and recommends alternative medical services for such patients. Prominent demographic and clinical risk factors for individuals accessing seven AEDs located in the metropolitan area of Genoa, Italy are identified and analysed. A truncated count data model is implemented to establish the determinants of access, while a multinomial logistic regression is used to highlight potential differences among different user categories. According to previous studies, empirical findings suggest that despite the relevance of demographic drivers, vulnerability conditions (e.g. abuse of alcohol and drugs, chronic conditions, and psychological distress) are the main reasons behind frequent AED use; the analysis seems to confirm an association between AED frequent use and lower level of urgency. Since frequent and highly frequent users are found responsible for disproportionate resource absorption with respect to total amount of AED costs (they represent roughly 10% of the total number of patients, but contribute to more than 19% of the total annual AED cost), policies aiming to reduce frequent use of AEDs could bring significant savings in economic resources. Thus, efficient actions could be oriented toward extending primary care services outside AED and toward instituting local aid services specifically addressed to people under the influence of substances or in conditions of mental distress.

Spatial competition for quality in the market for hospital care.

This study analyses the market for secondary health care services when patient choice depends on the quality/distance mix that achieves utility maximization. First, the hospital's equilibrium in a Hotelling spatial competition model under simultaneous quality choices is analyzed to define hospitals' strategic behavior. A first equilibrium outcome is provided, the understanding of which is extremely useful for the policy maker wishing to improve social welfare. Second, patients are assumed to be unable, because of asymmetry of information, to observe the true quality provided. Their decisions reflect the perceived quality, which is affected by bias. Using the mean-variance method, the equilibrium previously found is investigated in a stochastic framework.

The Robustness and Effectiveness of the Triage System at Times of Overcrowding and the Extra Costs due to Inappropriate Use of Emergency Departments.

BACKGROUND: Overcrowding is one of the most harmful problems for Emergency Department (ED) management and the correct estimation of time resource absorption by each type of patient plays a strategic role in dealing with overcrowding and correctly programming ED activity. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to investigate how overcrowding may affect urgent patients' waiting times (i.e., the robustness of the triage patient priority system) and to evaluate the extra costs due to inappropriate use of EDs. METHODS: Data referring to 54,254 patients who accessed the ED of a major Italian hospital in 2011 were analyzed to study patient flows and overcrowding. To define an average per-patient cost, according to the severity of his or her health condition, the 2010 profit and loss account of the aforementioned hospital was studied and the time devoted by physicians to each type of patient was estimated by means of a self-reported survey. RESULTS: Empirical findings confirm a positive correlation between overcrowding and the time a patient has to wait before receiving treatment. This effect is relevant only for non-urgent patients who are responsible for the overcrowding itself. However, urgent patients' waiting times do not increase in the presence of overcrowding, confirming that the triage priority system is robust against the overcrowding situation. The analysis estimates, using 2010 data, that the actual per patient cost incurred by the hospital when treating white-coded patients is, on average, 36.54 euros; a green code costs 93.17, yellow 170.62, and red 227.62. It emerges that 4% of all the personnel costs are attributable to white color-code assistance, 67% to green codes, 23% to yellow codes, and the remaining 6% to red codes. CONCLUSION: The implementation of effective policies intended to improve both efficiency and quality in providing emergency health services has to deal with the systemic problem of inappropriate use of EDs. Policy-makers should be aware of the fact that there is a considerable portion of ED demand for assistance that is inappropriate and that oversizing EDs with respect to the true, appropriate, urgent patients' demands, could bring about a further and undesirable rise in inappropriate assistance demands and, therefore, an increase in ED costs that are not consistent with their objectives.