Serum CEA as a Prognostic Marker for Overall Survival in Patients with Localized Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma and Non-Elevated CA19-9 Levels Treated with FOLFIRINOX as Initial Treatment: A TAPS Consortium Study.

INTRODUCTION: About 25% of patients with localized pancreatic adenocarcinoma have non-elevated serum carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 levels at baseline, hampering evaluation of response to preoperative treatment. Serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a potential alternative. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study from five referral centers included consecutive patients with localized pancreatic adenocarcinoma (2012-2019), treated with one or more cycles of (m)FOLFIRINOX, and non-elevated CA19-9 levels (i.e., < 37 U/mL) at baseline. Cox regression analyses were performed to assess prognostic factors for overall survival (OS), including CEA level at baseline, restaging, and dynamics. RESULTS: Overall, 277 patients were included in this study. CEA at baseline was elevated (≥5 ng/mL) in 53 patients (33%) and normalized following preoperative therapy in 14 patients (26%). In patients with elevated CEA at baseline, median OS in patients with CEA normalization following preoperative therapy was 33 months versus 19 months in patients without CEA normalization (p = 0.088). At time of baseline, only elevated CEA was independently associated with (worse) OS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.44, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.98). At time of restaging, elevated CEA at baseline was still the only independent predictor for (worse) OS (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.04-1.98), whereas elevated CEA at restaging (HR 1.16, 95% CI 0.77-1.77) was not. CONCLUSIONS: Serum CEA was elevated in one-third of patients with localized pancreatic adenocarcinoma having non-elevated CA19-9 at baseline. At both time of baseline and time of restaging, elevated serum CEA measured at baseline was the only predictor for (worse) OS. Therefore, serum CEA may be a useful tool for decision making at both initial staging and time of restaging in patients with non-elevated CA19-9.

CT Surveillance for Local Recurrence After Pancreatic Cancer Resection: Evaluation of Imaging Findings From the SAR Disease-Focused Panel Consensus Statement.

Background: A Society of Abdominal Radiology (SAR) Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma (PDAC) Disease-Focused Panel (DFP) consensus statement described findings suspicious for local recurrence (LR) on surveillance imaging after PDAC resection. Objective: To evaluate the interreader agreement and predictive utility of potential imaging findings of LR on serial surveillance CT examinations after Whipple procedure for PDAC, using the SAR PDAC DFP consensus statement. Methods: This retrospective study included 126 patients (mean age, 68.5±10.3 years; 72 men, 54 women) who underwent Whipple surgery for PDAC between January 2009 and December 2014. Three radiologists independently reviewed baseline and subsequent postoperative contrast-enhanced abdominopelvic CT examinations performed within 2 years postoperatively, evaluating features in the SAR PDAC DFP consensus statement relating to surgical bed stranding, surgical bed soft tissue, vessel encasement, main pancreatic duct dilatation, and ascites. Interreader agreement was calculated. The reference standard for LR development within 2 years postoperatively incorporated all available information. Imaging features' frequencies were calculated for recurrence examinations (i.e., first surveillance examinations indicating LR). For baseline postoperative examinations, features associations' with eventual LR development were assessed by multivariable logistic regression analysis. Results: LR developed within 2 years postoperatively in 81/126 patients. For both baseline and subsequent examinations, agreement for stranding and soft tissue morphology were poor, for vessel encasement was fair, for soft tissue and ascites were moderate, and for main pancreatic duct dilatation was substantial. On recurrence examinations, across readers, new or increased stranding was present in 27-77%; new or increased soft tissue, 80-86%; soft tissue with vessel encasement and luminal narrowing, 36-59%; new or increased main pancreatic duct dilatation, 25-26%; and new or increased ascites, 20-23%. On baseline postoperative examinations, independent predictors of eventual LR were soft tissue for all three readers (OR=2.78-6.85) and stranding for reader 1 (OR=3.59); main pancreatic duct dilatation and ascites were not independent predictors of LR for any reader. Conclusion: This study highlights the role of soft tissue, particularly when associated with vessel encasement and luminal narrowing, in raising suspicion for LR after PDAC resection. Clinical Impact: This study supports the SAR PDAC DFP consensus statement, while highlighting opportunities for continued optimization.

Rates and Patterns of Recurrence After Microwave Ablation of Colorectal Liver Metastases: A Per Lesion Analysis of 416 Tumors in the Era of 2.45 GHz Generators.

BACKGROUND: For some patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs), surgical resection of all visible disease can lead to long-term survival and even cure. When complete resection is not feasible, microwave ablation (MWA) can help achieve hepatic disease control. As modern 2.45-GHz MWA generators gain popularity, the characteristics of tumors most likely to benefit from this method remain unclear. This study aimed to evaluate local recurrence (LR) rates, patterns of recurrence, and factors contributing to treatment failure after 2.45-GHz MWA of CRLM. METHODS: Patients with CRLM who underwent operative 2.45-GHz MWA between 2011 and 2019 were identified in a prospectively maintained single-institution database. Recurrence outcomes were ascertained for each lesion by imaging review. Factors associated with LR were analyzed. RESULTS: The study enrolled 184 patients bearing 416 ablated tumors. Most of the patients (65.8%) had high clinical risk scores (3-5), and 165 (90%) underwent concurrent liver resection. The median tumor size was 10 mm. After a median follow-up period of 28.8 months, LR was observed in 45 tumors, and the cumulative incidence of LR at 24 months was 10.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.0-14.3%]. In 7%, LR was the first recurrence site, often combined with recurrence elsewhere. The cumulative incidence of LR at 24 months was 6.8% (95% CI 3.8-11.0%) for tumors 10 mm in size or smaller, 12.4% (95% CI 7.8-18.1%) for tumors 11 to 20 mm in size, and 30.2% (95% CI 14.2-48.0%) for tumors larger than 20 mm. In the multivariable analysis, tumors larger than 20 mm with a subcapsular location were significantly associated with increased LR risk. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment of CRLM with 2.45-GHz MWA offers excellent local control at 2 years and is most successful for small tumors deep within the parenchyma.

Improved Clinical Staging System for Localized Pancreatic Cancer Using the ABC Factors: A TAPS Consortium Study.

PURPOSE: Previous studies suggest that besides anatomy (A: resectable, borderline resectable [BR], or locally advanced [LA]) also biologic (B: carbohydrate antigen 19-9 [CA 19-9]) and conditional (C: performance status) factors should be considered when staging patients with localized pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The prognostic value of the combined ABC factors has not been quantitatively validated. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we evaluated patients with localized PDAC treated with initial (modified) fluorouracil with leucovorin, irinotecan, and oxaliplatin ([m]FOLFIRINOX) at five high-volume pancreatic cancer centers in the United States and the Netherlands (2012-2019). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to investigate the impact of the ABC factors for overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Overall, 1,835 patients with localized PDAC were included. Tumor stage at diagnosis was potentially resectable in 346 (18.9%), BR in 531 (28.9%), and LA in 958 (52.2%) patients. The baseline CA 19-9 was >500 U/mL in 559 patients (32.5%). Performance status was ≥1 in 1,110 patients (60.7%). Independent poor prognostic factors for OS were BR disease (hazard ratio [HR], 1.26 [95% CI, 1.06 to 1.50]), LA disease (HR, 1.71 [95% CI, 1.45 to 2.02]), CA 19-9 >500 U/mL (HR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.21 to 1.52]), and WHO performance status ≥1 (HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.16 to 1.47]). Patients were assigned 1 point for each poor ABC factor and 2 points for LA disease. The median OS for patients with score 0-4 was 49.7, 29.9, 22.0, 19.1, and 14.9 months with corresponding 5-year OS rates of 47.0%, 28.9%, 19.2%, 9.3%, and 4.8%, respectively. CONCLUSION: The ABC factors of tumor anatomy, CA 19-9, and performance status at diagnosis were independent prognostic factors for OS in patients with localized PDAC treated with initial (m)FOLFIRINOX. Staging of patients with localized PDAC at diagnosis should be based on anatomy, CA 19-9, and performance status.

Multi-parametric atlas of the pre-metastatic liver for prediction of metastatic outcome in early-stage pancreatic cancer.

Metastasis occurs frequently after resection of pancreatic cancer (PaC). In this study, we hypothesized that multi-parametric analysis of pre-metastatic liver biopsies would classify patients according to their metastatic risk, timing and organ site. Liver biopsies obtained during pancreatectomy from 49 patients with localized PaC and 19 control patients with non-cancerous pancreatic lesions were analyzed, combining metabolomic, tissue and single-cell transcriptomics and multiplex imaging approaches. Patients were followed prospectively (median 3 years) and classified into four recurrence groups; early (<6 months after resection) or late (>6 months after resection) liver metastasis (LiM); extrahepatic metastasis (EHM); and disease-free survivors (no evidence of disease (NED)). Overall, PaC livers exhibited signs of augmented inflammation compared to controls. Enrichment of neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs), Ki-67 upregulation and decreased liver creatine significantly distinguished those with future metastasis from NED. Patients with future LiM were characterized by scant T cell lobular infiltration, less steatosis and higher levels of citrullinated H3 compared to patients who developed EHM, who had overexpression of interferon target genes (MX1 and NR1D1) and an increase of CD11B+ natural killer (NK) cells. Upregulation of sortilin-1 and prominent NETs, together with the lack of T cells and a reduction in CD11B+ NK cells, differentiated patients with early-onset LiM from those with late-onset LiM. Liver profiles of NED closely resembled those of controls. Using the above parameters, a machine-learning-based model was developed that successfully predicted the metastatic outcome at the time of surgery with 78% accuracy. Therefore, multi-parametric profiling of liver biopsies at the time of PaC diagnosis may determine metastatic risk and organotropism and guide clinical stratification for optimal treatment selection.

Hepatic disease control in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma correlates with overall survival.

PURPOSE: The role of locoregional therapy compared to systemic chemotherapy (SYS) for unresectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (IHC) remains controversial. The importance of hepatic disease control, either as initial or salvage therapy, is also unclear. We compared overall survival (OS) in patients treated with resection, hepatic arterial infusion pump (HAIP) chemotherapy, or SYS as it relates to hepatic recurrence or progression. We also evaluated recurrence after resection to determine the efficacy of locoregional salvage therapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this single-institution retrospective analysis, patients with biopsy-proven IHC treated with either curative-intent resection, HAIP (with or without SYS), or SYS alone were analyzed. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to compare patients with liver-limited, advanced disease treated with HAIP versus SYS. The impact of locoregional salvage therapies in patients with liver-limited recurrence was analyzed in the resection cohort. RESULTS: From 2000 to 2017, 714 patients with IHC were treated, 219 (30.7%) with resectable disease, 316 (44.3%) with locally advanced disease, and 179 (25.1%) with metastatic disease. Resected patients were less likely to recur or progress in the liver (hazard ratio [HR] 0.41, 95% CI 0.34-0.45) versus those that received HAIP or SYS (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.50-0.65 vs. HR 0.63, 95% CI 0.57-0.69, respectively). In resected patients, 161 (64.4%) recurred, with 65 liver-only recurrences. Thirty of these patients received subsequent locoregional therapy. On multivariable analysis, locoregional therapy was associated with improved OS after isolated liver recurrence (HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.29-0.75; p = 0.002). In patients with locally advanced unresectable or multifocal liver disease (with or without distant organ metastases), PSM demonstrated improved hepatic progression-free survival in patients treated with HAIP versus SYS (HR 0.65; 95% CI 0.46-0.91; p = 0.01), which correlated with improved OS (HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.43-0.80; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: In patients with liver-limited IHC, hepatic disease control is associated with improved OS, emphasizing the potential importance of liver-directed therapy.