The case for prevention - Primary HIV prevention in the era of universal test and treat: A mathematical modeling study.

Background: As antiretroviral therapy (ART) has scaled up and HIV incidence has declined, some have questioned the continued utility of HIV prevention. This study examines the role and cost-effectiveness of HIV prevention in the context of "universal test and treat" (UTT) in three sub-Saharan countries with generalized HIV epidemics. Methods: Scenarios were created in Spectrum/Goals models for Lesotho, Mozambique, and Uganda with various combinations of voluntary medical male circumcision (VMMC); pre-exposure prophylaxis; and a highly effective, durable, hypothetical vaccine layered onto three different ART scenarios. One ART scenario held coverage constant at 2008 levels to replicate prevention modeling studies that were conducted prior to UTT. One scenario assumed scale-up to the UNAIDS treatment goals of 90-90-90 by 2025 and 95-95-95 by 2030. An intermediate scenario held ART constant at 2019 coverage. HIV incidence was visualized over time, and cost per HIV infection averted was assessed over 5-, 15-, and 30-year time frames, with 3% annual discounting. Findings: Each prevention intervention reduced HIV incidence beyond what was achieved by ART scale-up alone to the 90-90-90/95-95-95 goals, with near-zero incidence achievable by combinations of interventions covering all segments of the population. Cost-effectiveness of HIV prevention may decrease as HIV incidence decreases, but one-time interventions like VMMC and a durable vaccine may remain cost-effective and even cost-saving as ART is scaled up. Interpretation: Primary HIV prevention is still needed in the era of UTT. Combination prevention is more impactful than a single, highly effective intervention. Broad population coverage of primary prevention, regardless of cost-effectiveness, will be required in generalized epidemic countries to eradicate HIV.

Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) uptake and service delivery adaptations during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in 21 PEPFAR-funded countries.

BACKGROUND: Mitigation measures for the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic and burden on health systems created challenges for pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) service delivery. We examined PrEP uptake in PEPFAR programs before and after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We studied two PEPFAR program monitoring indicators, using routine Monitoring, Evaluation, Reporting (MER) indicators capturing uptake of PrEP (PrEP_NEW) and overall use of PrEP (PrEP_CURR). We also analyzed descriptive program narratives to understand successes and challenges field teams encountered after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. To assess changes in coverage of PrEP across 21 countries, we calculated the "PrEP to need ratio" (PnR) using a published methodology. We defined the pre-COVID time period as April 1, 2019 -March 31, 2020 and the COVID time period as April 1, 2020 -March 31, 2021. FINDINGS: The total number of persons who initiated PrEP increased by 157% from 233,250 in the pre-COVID-19 period compared with 599,935 in the COVID-19 period. All countries, except five, noted significant increases in PrEP uptake. PrEP uptake among adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) increased by 159% from 80,452 AGYW in the pre-COVID-19 period to 208,607 AGYW in the COVID-19 period. There were 77,430 key populations (KP) initiated on PrEP in the pre-COVID-19 period and 209,114 KP initiated in the COVID-19 period (a 170% increase). The PnR increased 214% in the COVID-19 period across all PEPFAR-supported countries. Adaptations, such as multi-month dispensing (MMD) of PrEP; virtual demand creation activities; decentralized, community-based and virtual service delivery, were implemented to maintain PrEP services. CONCLUSIONS: PEPFAR programs continued to maintain and initiate new clients on PrEP despite the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic. Adaptations such as MMD of PrEP and use of technology were vital in expanding service delivery and increasing PrEP coverage. FUNDING: This project has been supported by the U.S. President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief.

Preexposure Prophylaxis Among Pregnant and Lactating People in 18 PEPFAR-Supported Countries: A Review of HIV Strategies and Guidelines.

INTRODUCTION: Pregnant and lactating people (PLP) experience heightened risk of acquiring HIV, which adversely impacts their health and increases the risk for vertical HIV transmission. Preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP), as part of a combination prevention package, including condoms, sexually transmitted infection prevention, and regular HIV testing, is a safe, efficacious method to prevent HIV infections among PLP and their infants. This article examines the evolution of strategies and guidance on PrEP services for PLP from 18 countries supported by the U.S. President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR). METHODS: The 18 countries implement PEPFAR-supported prevention of vertical transmission of HIV and PrEP programs. We reviewed a total of 18 national HIV strategic plans, 28 national HIV guidelines, and 54 PEPFAR country operational plans (COPs) published in 2013-2020. We compared documents from 2013 to 2017 to those from 2017 to 2020 to assess for differences after the release of the 2017 World Health Organization recommendations supporting the use of PrEP by PLP at substantial risk of acquiring HIV. RESULTS: National HIV guidelines and PEPFAR COPs that endorsed PrEP for PLP through any categorization increased from 41% to 73% and 11% to 83%, respectively, in the pre-2017 and post-2017 periods. While many documents approved PrEP but not specifically for PLP (10 national strategic plans, 6 national guidelines, and 28 COPs), none of the documents explicitly prohibited PrEP for PLP. CONCLUSION: National HIV guidelines and PEPFAR COPs expanded inclusion of PLP in PrEP eligibility when comparing the pre-2017 and the post-2017 groups. However, policy gaps remain as only 36% (4/11) of the post-2017 national HIV guidelines included PLP as a specific priority population for PrEP. Inclusive national HIV strategic plans and guidelines on PrEP for PLP, together with effective program implementation, remain critical for reducing new infections in PLP and eliminating vertical transmission of HIV.

Enhanced surveillance of syphilis cases among men who have sex with men in London, October 2016-January 2017.

Syphilis rates have been increasing in men who have sex with men (MSM) in London. To describe risk behaviour and refine public health interventions, we conducted prospective enhanced surveillance of new syphilis cases in MSM attending selected London sexual health clinics (SHCs) between October 2016 and January 2017. Sexual health advisors (SHAs) completed 107 questionnaires. Eighteen per cent of respondents reported always using condoms, with lower use in HIV-positive (8%, 4/53) than HIV-negative men (33%, 14/52). Almost half of respondents reported condomless sero-discordant sex (46%, 33/72). The most frequent means of meeting new partners reported were venues (80%, 76/95), particularly bars or clubs (34%, 32/95), and apps or websites (79%, 75/95). Nearly a third of respondents reported engaging in group sex (32%, 30/95). Almost half reported drug use during sex (47%, 46/98), with HIV-positive men more likely to report use of the three main 'chemsex' drugs. The majority of respondents preferred health promotion information from SHAs (63%, 58/92) compared to other sources such as Google/Wikipedia and apps. Prevention activity should continue to focus on condomless sex, serosorting, multiple and overlapping partners, and chemsex. SHCs, particularly those serving HIV-positive men, are important sources for sexual health promotion advice.

Comparative health system performance in six middle-income countries: cross-sectional analysis using World Health Organization study of global ageing and health.

Objective To assess and compare health system performance across six middle-income countries that are strengthening their health systems in pursuit of universal health coverage. Design Cross-sectional analysis from the World Health Organization Study on global AGEing and adult health, collected between 2007 and 2010. Setting Six middle-income countries: China, Ghana, India, Mexico, Russia and South Africa. Participants Nationally representative sample of adults aged 50 years and older. Main outcome measures We present achievement against key indicators of health system performance across effectiveness, cost, access, patient-centredness and equity domains. Results We found areas of poor performance in prevention and management of chronic conditions, such as hypertension control and cancer screening coverage. We also found that cost remains a barrier to healthcare access in spite of insurance schemes. Finally, we found evidence of disparities across many indicators, particularly in the effectiveness and patient centredness domains. Conclusions These findings identify important focus areas for action and shared learning as these countries move towards achieving universal health coverage.

Ethics and equity in research priority-setting: stakeholder engagement and the needs of disadvantaged groups.

A transparent and evidence-based priority-setting process promotes the optimal use of resources to improve health outcomes. Decision-makers and funders have begun to increasingly engage representatives of patients and healthcare consumers to ensure that research becomes more relevant. However, disadvantaged groups and their needs may not be integrated into the priority-setting process since they do not have a "political voice" or are unable to organise into interest groups. Equitable priority-setting methods need to balance patient needs, values, experiences with population-level issues and issues related to the health system.

The Burden and Determinants of Non Communicable Diseases Risk Factors in Nepal: Findings from a Nationwide STEPS Survey.

BACKGROUND: World Health Organization (WHO) estimates for deaths attributed to Non Communicable Diseases (NCDs) in Nepal have risen from 51% in 2010 to 60% in 2014. This study assessed the distribution and determinants of NCD risk factors among the Nepalese adult population. METHODS AND FINDINGS: A nationally representative cross-sectional survey was conducted from Jan to June 2013 on the prevalence of NCD risk factors using the WHO NCD STEPS instrument. A multistage cluster sampling method was used to randomly select the 4,200 respondents. The adjusted prevalence ratio (APR) was used to assess the determinants of NCD risk factors using a Poisson regression model. The prevalence of current smoking (last 30 days) was 19% (95%CI:16.6-20.6), and harmful alcohol consumption (≥60 g of pure alcohol for men and ≥40 g of pure alcohol for women on an average day) was 2% (95%CI:1.4-2.9). Almost all (99%, 95%CI:98.3-99.3) of the respondents consumed less than five servings of fruits and vegetables combined on an average day and 3% (95%CI:2.7-4.3) had low physical activity. Around 21% (95%CI:19.3-23.7) were overweight or obese (BMI≥25). The prevalence of raised blood pressure (SBP≥140 mm of Hg or DBP≥90 mm of Hg) and raised blood glucose (fasting blood glucose ≥126 mg/dl), including those on medication were 26% (95%CI:23.6-28.0) and 4% (95%CI:2.9-4.5) respectively. Almost one quarter of respondents, 23% (95%CI:20.5-24.9), had raised total cholesterol (total cholesterol ≥190 mg/dl or under current medication for raised cholesterol). he study revealed a lower prevalence of smoking among women than men (APR:0.30; 95%CI:0.25-0.36), and in those who had higher education levels compared to those with no formal education (APR:0.39; 95%CI:0.26-0.58). Harmful alcohol use was also lower in women than men (APR:0.26; 95%CI:0.14-0.48), and in Terai residents compared to hill residents (APR:0.16; 95%CI:0.07-0.36). Physical inactivity was lower among women than men (APR:0.55; 95%CI:0.38-0.80), however women were significantly more overweight and obese (APR:1.19; 95%CI:1.02-1.39). Being overweight or obese was significantly less prevalent in mountain residents than in hill residents (APR:0.41; 95%CI:0.21-0.80), and in rural compared to urban residents (APR:1.39; 95%CI:1.15-1.67). Lower prevalence of raised blood pressure was observed among women than men (APR:0.69; 95%CI: 0.60-0.80). Higher prevalence of raised blood glucose was observed among urban residents compared to rural residents (APR:2.05; 95%CI:1.29-3.25). A higher prevalence of raised total cholesterol was observed among the respondents having higher education levels compared to those respondents having no formal education (APR:1.76; 95%CI:1.35-2.28). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of low fruit and vegetable consumption, overweight and obesity, raised blood pressure and raised total cholesterol is markedly high among the Nepalese population, with variation by demographic and ecological factors and urbanization. Prevention, treatment and control of NCDs and their risk factors in Nepal is an emerging public health problem in the country, and targeted interventions with a multi-sectoral approach need to be urgently implemented.