Invasive Aspergillosis in Liver Transplant Recipients in The Current Era.

Invasive aspergillosis (IA) is a rare but fatal disease among liver transplant recipients (LiTRs). We performed a multi-center 1:2 case-control study comparing LiTRs diagnosed with proven/probable IA and controls with no invasive fungal infection. We included 62 IA cases and 124 matched controls. Disseminated infection occurred only in eight cases (13%). 12-week all-cause mortality of IA was 37%. In multivariate analyses, systemic antibiotics usage (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 4.74; p=0.03) and history of pneumonia (aOR, 48.7; p=0.01) were identified as independent risk factors associated with the occurrence of IA. Moreover, reoperation (aOR, 5.99; p=0.01), systemic antibiotics usage (aOR, 5.03; p=0.04), and anti-mold prophylaxis (aOR, 11.9; p=0.02) were identified as independent risk factors associated with the occurrence of early IA. Among IA cases, Aspergillus colonization (adjusted hazard ration [aHR], 86.9; p<0.001), ICU stay (aHR, 3.67; p=0.02), disseminated IA (aHR, 8.98; p<0.001), and dialysis (aHR, 2.93; p=0.001) were identified as independent risk factors associated with 12-week all-cause mortality; while recent receipt of tacrolimus (aHR, 0.11; p=0.001) was protective. Mortality among LiTRs with IA remains high in the current era. The identified risk factors and protective factors may be useful for establishing robust targeted anti-mold prophylactic and appropriate treatment strategies against IA.

Redox-activity and in vitro effects of regional atmospheric aerosol pollution: Seasonal differences and correlation between oxidative potential and in vitro toxicity of PM1.

Particulate Matter (PM) is a complex and heterogeneous mixture of atmospheric particles recognized as a threat to human health. Oxidative Potential (OP) measurement is a promising and integrative method for estimating PM-induced health impacts since it is recognized as more closely associated with adverse health effects than ordinarily used PM mass concentrations. OP measurements could be introduced in the air quality monitoring, along with the parameters currently evaluated. PM deposition in the lungs induces oxidative stress, inflammation, and DNA damage. The study aimed to compare the OP measurements with toxicological effects on BEAS-2B and THP-1 cells of winter and summer PM1 collected in the Po Valley (Italy) during 2021. PM1 was extracted in deionized water by mechanical agitation and tested for OP and, in parallel, used to treat cells. Cytotoxicity, genotoxicity, oxidative stress, and inflammatory responses were assessed by MTT test, DCFH-DA assay, micronucleus, γ-H2AX, comet assay modified with endonucleases, ELISA, and Real-Time PCR. The evaluation of OP was performed by applying three different assays: dithiothreitol (OPDTT), ascorbic acid (OPAA), and 2',7'-dichlorofluorescein (OPDCFH), in addition, the reducing potential was also analysed (RPDPPH). Seasonal differences were detected in all the parameters investigated. The amount of DNA damage detected with the Comet assay and ROS formation highlights the presence of oxidative damage both in winter and in summer samples, while DNA damage (micronucleus) and genes regulation were mainly detected in winter samples. A positive correlation with OPDCFH (Spearman's analysis, p < 0.05) was detected for IL-8 secretion and γ-H2AX. These results provide a biological support to the implementation in air quality monitoring of OP measurements as a useful proxy to estimate PM-induced cellular toxicological responses. In addition, these results provide new insights for the assessment of the ability of secondary aerosol in the background atmosphere to induce oxidative stress and health effects.

Survey on the approach to antibiotic prophylaxis in liver and kidney transplant recipients colonized with "difficult to treat" Gram-negative bacteria.

BACKGROUND: Performance of active screening for multidrug-resistant Gram-negative bacteria (MDR-GNB) and administration of targeted antibiotic prophylaxis (TAP) in colonized patients undergoing liver (LT) and/or kidney transplantation (KT) are controversial issues. METHODS: Self-administered electronic cross-sectional survey disseminated from January to February 2022. Questionnaire consisted of four parts: hospital/transplant program characteristics, standard screening and antibiotic prophylaxis, clinical vignettes asking for TAP in patients undergoing LT and KT with prior infection/colonization with four different MDR-GNB (extended-spectrum cephalosporin-resistant Enterobacterales [ESCR-E], carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales [CRE], multidrug-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa [MDR-Pa], and carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii [CRAb]). RESULTS: Fifty-five respondents participated from 14 countries, mostly infectious disease specialists (69%) with active transplant programs (>100 procedures/year for 34.5% KT and 23.6% LT), and heterogeneous local MDR-GNB prevalence from <15% (30.9%), 15%-30% (43.6%) to >30% (16.4%). The frequency of screening for ESCR-E, CRE, MDR-Pa, and CRAb was 22%, 54%, 17%, and 24% for LT, respectively, and 18%, 36%, 16%, and 11% for KT. Screening time-points were mainly at transplantation 100%, only one-third following transplantation. Screening was always based on rectal swab cultures (100%); multi-site sampling was reported in 40% of KT and 35% of LT. In LT clinical cases, 84%, 58%, 84%, and 40% of respondents reported TAP for prior infection/colonization with ESCR-E, CRE, MDR-Pa, and CRAb, respectively. In KT clinical cases, 55%, 39%, 87%, and 42% of respondents reported TAP use for prior infection/colonization with ESCR-E, CRE, MDR-Pa, and CRAb, respectively. CONCLUSION: There is a large heterogeneity in screening and management of MDR-GNB carriage in LT and KT.

Relationship Between Immune Response to Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Vaccines and Development of Breakthrough Infection in Solid Organ Transplant Recipients: The CONTRAST Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccination in solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients is associated with poorer antibody response (AbR) compared with non-SOT recipients. However, its impact on the risk of breakthrough infection (BI) has yet to be assessed. METHODS: Single-center prospective longitudinal cohort study enrolling adult SOT recipients who received SARS-CoV-2 vaccination during a 1-year period (February 2021 - January 2022), end of follow-up April 2022. Patients were tested for AbR at multiple time points. The primary end-point was BI (laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection ≥14 days after the second dose). Immunization (positive AbR) was considered an intermediate state between vaccination and BI. Probabilities of being in vaccination, immunization, and BI states were obtained for each type of graft and vaccination sequence using multistate survival analysis. Then, multivariable logistic regression was performed to analyze the risk of BI related to AbR levels. RESULTS: 614 SOT (275 kidney, 163 liver, 137 heart, 39 lung) recipients were included. Most patients (84.7%) received 3 vaccine doses. The first 2 consisted of BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 in 73.5% and 26.5% of cases, respectively. For the third dose, mRNA-1273 was administered in 59.8% of patients. Overall, 75.4% of patients reached immunization and 18.4% developed BI. Heart transplant recipients showed the lowest probability of immunization (0.418) and the highest of BI (0.323); all mRNA-1273 vaccine sequences showed the highest probability of immunization (0.732) and the lowest of BI (0.098). Risk of BI was higher for non-high-level AbR, younger age, and shorter time from transplant. CONCLUSIONS: SOT patients with non-high-level AbR and shorter time from transplantation and heart recipients are at highest risk of BI.

Population pharmacokinetics of dalbavancin and dosing consideration for optimal treatment of adult patients with staphylococcal osteoarticular infections.

Background: Dalbavancin is gaining interest in the treatment of complex osteoarticular (OA) infections.Objective: To conduct a population pharmacokinetic analysis of dalbavancin in a prospective cohort of adult patients with Gram-positive OA infections and to identify optimal dosing regimens for long term-treatment.Methods: Non-linear mixed-effects modelling was performed with Monolix. Monte Carlo simulations were performed with six dalbavancin regimens (1500mg at day 1; 1000mg at day 1 plus 500mg at day 8; 1500mg at day1 and 8; 1500mg at day1 and 8 plus 500, 1000 or 1500mg at day 36) to assess the PTA of three pharmacodynamic target of fAUC24h/MIC against S. aureus (>27.1, 53.3 and 111.1). Cumulative fraction of response (CFR) was calculated against MIC distribution of both MRSA and MSSA as well. Desirable PTAs and CFRs were ≥90%.Results: Fifteen patients provided 120 plasma concentrations. Most (73.3%) had prosthetic joint infections. Clinical cure rate was 87%. A two-compartment model with linear elimination well described the data. No covariate was retained in the final model. Pharmacokinetic dalbavancin estimates were 0.106L/h for CL and 36.4L for Vss The tested dosing regimens granted desirable CFRs against S. aureus at the most effective PK/PD target for a period ranging 3-to-9 weeks. Conclusion: Giving a two 1500mg dosing regimen of dalbavancin one week apart may ensure efficacy against both MSSA and MRSA up to 5 weeks in patients with OA infections. Clinical assessment at that time may allow for considering whether or not an additional dose should be administered for prolonging effective treatment.

Could an optimized joint pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic target attainment of continuous infusion ceftazidime-avibactam be a way to avoid the need for combo therapy in the targeted treatment of deep-seated DTR Gram-negative infections?

The objective of this study was to assess the relationship between joint pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) target attainment of continuous infusion (CI) ceftazidime-avibactam and the microbiological outcome of documented difficult-to-treat resistant (DTR) Gram-negative infections. A 2-year retrospective cohort study was performed in patients receiving CI ceftazidime-avibactam mono- or combo therapy for documented DTR Gram-negative infections and undergoing therapeutic drug monitoring of both ceftazidime and avibactam. The free fractions of steady-state concentrations (fCss) of ceftazidime and avibactam were calculated. The joint PK/PD target was considered optimal when both the fCss/MIC ratio for ceftazidime ≥4 (equivalent to 100% fT>4xMIC) and the fCss/CT ratio for avibactam >1 (equivalent to 100% fT >CT of 4.0 mg/L) were simultaneously achieved (quasi-optimal if only one of the two and suboptimal if neither of the two was achieved). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was applied for testing potential variables associated with microbiological failure. Fifty-eight patients were treated with CI ceftazidime-avibactam mono- (36) or combo therapy (22) for documented DTR Gram-negative infections [74.2% for primary or secondary bloodstream infections (BSIs)]. Combo therapy was administered more frequently to intensive care unit (ICU) patients (P = 0.023) or for pneumonia (P = 0.001) and less frequently for intra-abdominal infections and BSIs (P = 0.04). Microbiological failure occurred in five cases (8.6%, three in mono- and two in combo therapy). In the multivariate analysis, the suboptimal/quasi-optimal joint PK/PD target emerged as the only independent predictor of microbiological failure (odds ratio [OR] 11.11; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.31-93.98; P = 0.023), whereas monotherapy was not (P = 0.99). Optimized joint PK/PD target attainment of CI ceftazidime-avibactam monotherapy could represent a way forward for allowing microbiological eradication of DTR Gram-negative infections and could render unnecessary combo therapy.

Population pharmacokinetics and Monte Carlo simulation for dosage optimization of fosfomycin in the treatment of osteoarticular infections in patients without renal dysfunction.

Background: Fosfomycin is gaining interest in the treatment of complex osteoarticular infections (OI) due to MDR pathogens.Objective: The aims were to conduct population pharmacokinetics of fosfomycin in a cohort of OI patients receiving 16g/daily by intermittent (II) or continuous infusion (CI), and to carry out Monte Carlo simulations for dosage optimization in the treatment of these infections.Methods: Patients underwent blood sampling on day 5 of therapy (2-3 serial samples). Population pharmacokinetics and Monte Carlo simulations were performed to define the probability of target attainment (PTA) of 70% T>MIC, and the cumulative fraction of response (CFR) against common OI pathogens with dosages of 8, 12, 16, and 20g/day administered by II, extended-infusion (EI) or CI.Results: Forty-eight patients were recruited. A two-compartment open model with infusion input and first-order elimination was developed. Estimated creatinine clearance (CLCR) was included as covariate in the final model. Monte Carlo simulations showed that optimal PTAs and CFRs (≥90%) may be achieved in three different classes of renal function by administering a daily dosage of: 2g q6h by II against S. aureus, E. coli, ESBL-producing E. Coli and MRSA; 8g by CI against CoNS, K. pneumoniae and ESBL-producing K. pneumoniae; 12g by CI against P. aeruginosa, and 16g by CI against KPC-producing K. pneumoniae Conclusion: Our study provides a strong rationale for considering fosfomycin dosages of 8-16 g daily by CI in several clinical scenarios for OI patients. Feasibility of administration by CI in an elastomeric pump makes fosfomycin a candidate for OPAT programs.

Successful and Safe Real-Time TDM-Guided Treatment of Invasive Pulmonary and Cerebral Aspergillosis Using Low-Dose Isavuconazole in a Patient with Primary Biliary Cirrhosis: Grand Round/A Case Study.

BACKGROUND: The authors present a case of a 67-year-old woman with primary biliary cirrhosis (Child-Pugh class B) who was treated with isavuconazole for invasive pulmonary and cerebral aspergillosis. Isavuconazole treatment was initiated with the standard maintenance dose of 200 mg daily. Therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) was performed to target trough concentrations within the desired range of 1.0-5.13 mg/L. METHODS: Real-time TDM and pharmacokinetic analyses were used to determine the dose adjustments. Liver transaminases (alanine aminotransferase and gamma-glutamyl transferase) were assessed to monitor hepatotoxicity. RESULTS: The trough plasma levels gradually increased over time up to 17.8 mg/L. TDM-guided clinical pharmacological advice was helpful to initially reduce the dose, then to temporarily suspend drug administration, and finally to calculate the correct dose that allowed for long-term treatment up to day 258. No major signs and/or symptoms of drug-related toxicity occurred, apart from a transient increase in gamma-glutamyl transferases that normalized after the drop in isavuconazole trough levels within the desired range. CONCLUSIONS: TDM-guided clinical pharmacological advice was essential for the successful and safe management of isavuconazole treatment in this patient with moderate liver dysfunction.

Risk factors associated with bacteremia in COVID-19 patients admitted to intensive care unit: a retrospective multicenter cohort study.

PURPOSE: This multicenter observational study was done to evaluate risk factors related to the development of BSI in patients admitted to ICU for COVID-19. METHODS: All patients with COVID-19 admitted in two COVID-19 dedicated ICUs in two different hospital between 02-2020 and 02-2021 were recruited. RESULT: 537 patients were included of whom 265 (49.3%) experienced at least one BSI. Patients who developed bacteremia had a higher SOFA score [10 (8-12) vs 9 (7-10), p < 0.001], had been intubated more frequently [95.8% vs 75%, p < 0.001] and for a median longer time [16 days (9-25) vs 8 days (5-14), p < 0.001]. Patients with BSI had a median longer ICU stay [18 days (12-31.5) vs 9 days (5-15), p < 0.001] and higher mortality [54% vs 42.3%, p < 0.001] than those who did not develop it. Development of BSI resulted in a higher SOFA score [aHR 1.08 (95% CI 1.03-1.12)] and a higher Charlson score [csAHR 1.15 (95% CI 1.05-1.25)]. CONCLUSION: A high SOFA score and a high Charlson score resulted associated with BSI's development. Conversely, immunosuppressive therapy like steroids and tocilizumab, has no role in increasing the risk of bacteremia.

Comparison between available early antiviral treatments in outpatients with SARS-CoV-2 infection: a real-life study.

PURPOSE: To investigate the clinical impact of three available antivirals for early COVID-19 treatment in a large real-life cohort. METHODS: Between January and October 2022 all outpatients tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 referring to IRCCS S. Orsola hospital treated with an early antiviral therapy were enrolled. A comparison between patients treated with nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (NTV/r), molnupiravir (MPV) and remdesivir (RDV) was conducted in term of indications and outcome. To account for differences between treatment groups a propensity score analysis was performed. After estimating the weights, we fitted a survey-weighted Cox regression model with inverse-probability weighting with hospital admission/death versus clinical recovery as the primary outcome. RESULTS: Overall 1342 patients were enrolled, 775 (57.8%), 360 (26.8%) and 207 (15.4%) in MPV, NTV/r and RDV group, respectively. Median age was 73 (59-82) years, male sex was 53.4%. Primary indication was immunosuppression (438, 32.6%), the median time from symptom onset to drug administration was 3 [2-4] days. Overall, clinical recovery was reached in 96.9% of patients, with hospital admission rate of 2.6%. No significant differences were found in clinical recovery nor hospitalization. Cox regression showed a decreased probability of hospital admission/ death among prior vaccinated patients compared with unvaccinated (HR 0.31 [95%CI 0.14-0.70], p = 0.005]). No difference in hospitalization rates in early treatment compared to late treatment were found. CONCLUSIONS: No differences among MPV, NTV/r and RDV in terms of clinical recovery or hospitalization were found. Patients not vaccinated had a significant increased risk of hospitalization.

Does therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) of trough concentrations suffice for optimizing preemptive therapy with ganciclovir of cytomegalovirus infections in non-renal solid organ transplant recipients?

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study is to explore the relationship between ganciclovir exposure and clinical efficacy and/or safety in non-renal solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients receiving preemptive therapy with ganciclovir/valganciclovir and undergoing therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM)-guided dosing optimization. METHODS: Non-renal SOT recipients admitted to IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria of Bologna receiving preemptive therapy with ganciclovir or valganciclovir for active cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection and who underwent at least one TDM were included. Desired ganciclovir Cmin range was set at 1-3 mg/L, and average ganciclovir trough concentrations (Cmin ) were calculated for each patient. Reduced CMV viral load below the lower limit of quantification (LLQ) at 30 days and occurrence of myelotoxicity were selected as the primary outcome. Univariate analysis was performed by comparing patients with average Cmin below or above 1 or 3 mg/L. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to identify the average ganciclovir Cmin cut-off predictive for clinical efficacy or toxicity. RESULTS: Twenty-nine out of 89 retrieved patients met the inclusion criteria, with a median (interquartile [IQR]) baseline CMV viral load of 27,163 copies/mL (IQR 13 159.75-151 340.25 copies/mL). Reduced CMV viral load below the LLQ at 30 days was found in 17 patients (58.6%). No difference was found in the primary outcome between patients showing average Cmin below or above 1 mg/L (100.0% vs. 53.8%; p = .25) and/or 3 mg/L (65.2% vs. 33.3%; p = .20). ROC analysis did not allow to identify an average Cmin cut-off predictive of clinical efficacy or toxicity. CONCLUSIONS: No clear relationship between ganciclovir Cmin and neither CMV eradication nor safety issues was identified.

Validation of the INCREMENT-SOT-CPE score in a large cohort of liver transplant recipients with carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales infection.

BACKGROUND: Management of infections due to carbapenemase-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) in solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients remains a difficult challenge. The INCREMENT-SOT-CPE score has been specifically developed from SOT recipients to stratify mortality risk, but an external validation is lacking. METHODS: Multicenter retrospective cohort study of liver transplant (LT) recipients colonized with CRE infection who developed infection after transplant over 7-year period. Primary endpoint was all-cause 30-day mortality from infection onset. A comparison between INCREMENT-SOT-CPE and other selected scores was performed. A two-level mixed effects logistic regression model with random effects for the center was fitted. Performance characteristics at optimal cut-point were calculated. Multivariable Cox regression analysis of risk factors for all-cause 30-day mortality was carried out. RESULTS: Overall, 250 CRE carriers developed infection after LT and were analyzed. The median age was 55 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 46-62) and 157 were males (62.8%). All-cause 30-day mortality was 35.6%. A sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score ≥ 11 showed a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy of 69.7%, 76.4%, 62.0%, 82.0%, and 74.0%, respectively. An INCREMENT-SOT-CPE ≥ 11 reported a sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy of 73.0%, 62.1%, 51.6%, 80.6% and 66.0%, respectively. At multivariable analysis acute renal failure, prolonged mechanical ventilation, INCREMENT-SOT-CPE score ≥ 11 and SOFA score ≥ 11 were independently associated with all-cause 30-day mortality, while a tigecycline-based targeted regimen was found to be protective. CONCLUSIONS: Both INCREMENT-SOT-CPE ≥ 11 and SOFA ≥ 11 were identified as strong predictors of all-cause 30-day mortality in a large cohort of CRE carriers developing infection after LT.

Surface tension prevails over solute effect in organic-influenced cloud droplet activation.

The spontaneous growth of cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) into cloud droplets under supersaturated water vapour conditions is described by classic Köhler theory. This spontaneous activation of CCN depends on the interplay between the Raoult effect, whereby activation potential increases with decreasing water activity or increasing solute concentration, and the Kelvin effect, whereby activation potential decreases with decreasing droplet size or increases with decreasing surface tension, which is sensitive to surfactants. Surface tension lowering caused by organic surfactants, which diminishes the Kelvin effect, is expected to be negated by a concomitant reduction in the Raoult effect, driven by the displacement of surfactant molecules from the droplet bulk to the droplet-vapour interface. Here we present observational and theoretical evidence illustrating that, in ambient air, surface tension lowering can prevail over the reduction in the Raoult effect, leading to substantial increases in cloud droplet concentrations. We suggest that consideration of liquid-liquid phase separation, leading to complete or partial engulfing of a hygroscopic particle core by a hydrophobic organic-rich phase, can explain the lack of concomitant reduction of the Raoult effect, while maintaining substantial lowering of surface tension, even for partial surface coverage. Apart from the importance of particle size and composition in droplet activation, we show by observation and modelling that incorporation of phase-separation effects into activation thermodynamics can lead to a CCN number concentration that is up to ten times what is predicted by climate models, changing the properties of clouds. An adequate representation of the CCN activation process is essential to the prediction of clouds in climate models, and given the effect of clouds on the Earth's energy balance, improved prediction of aerosol-cloud-climate interactions is likely to result in improved assessments of future climate change.

Coherent J/ψ Electroproduction on

While the phenomenon of gluon nuclear shadowing at small x has been getting confirmation in QCD analyses of various LHC measurements involving heavy nuclei, it has not been possible so far to establish experimentally the number of target nucleons responsible for nuclear shadowing in a given process. To address this issue, we study coherent J/ψ electroproduction on ^{4}He and ^{3}He in the kinematics of a future electron-ion collider and show that this process has the power to disentangle the contributions of the interaction with a specific number of nucleons k, in particular, with two nucleons at the momentum transfer t≠0. We predict a dramatic shift of the t dependence of the differential cross section toward smaller values of |t| due to a nontrivial correlation between x and k. This calculation, which makes use for the first time of realistic wave functions, provides a stringent test of models of nuclear shadowing and a novel probe of the 3D imaging of gluons in light nuclei. In addition, thanks to this analysis, unique information on the real part of the corresponding scattering amplitude could be accessed.

Predictive model for bacterial co-infection in patients hospitalized for COVID-19: a multicenter observational cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of our study was to build a predictive model able to stratify the risk of bacterial co-infection at hospitalization in patients with COVID-19. METHODS: Multicenter observational study of adult patients hospitalized from February to December 2020 with confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis. Endpoint was microbiologically documented bacterial co-infection diagnosed within 72 h from hospitalization. The cohort was randomly split into derivation and validation cohort. To investigate risk factors for co-infection univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed. Predictive risk score was obtained assigning a point value corresponding to ß-coefficients to the variables in the multivariable model. ROC analysis in the validation cohort was used to estimate prediction accuracy. RESULTS: Overall, 1733 patients were analyzed: 61.4% males, median age 69 years (IQR 57-80), median Charlson 3 (IQR 2-6). Co-infection was diagnosed in 110 (6.3%) patients. Empirical antibiotics were started in 64.2 and 59.5% of patients with and without co-infection (p = 0.35). At multivariable analysis in the derivation cohort: WBC ≥ 7.7/mm3, PCT ≥ 0.2 ng/mL, and Charlson index ≥ 5 were risk factors for bacterial co-infection. A point was assigned to each variable obtaining a predictive score ranging from 0 to 5. In the validation cohort, ROC analysis showed AUC of 0.83 (95%CI 0.75-0.90). The optimal cut-point was ≥2 with sensitivity 70.0%, specificity 75.9%, positive predictive value 16.0% and negative predictive value 97.5%. According to individual risk score, patients were classified at low (point 0), intermediate (point 1), and high risk (point ≥ 2). CURB-65 ≥ 2 was further proposed to identify patients at intermediate risk who would benefit from early antibiotic coverage. CONCLUSIONS: Our score may be useful in stratifying bacterial co-infection risk in COVID-19 hospitalized patients, optimizing diagnostic testing and antibiotic use.

The impact of preservation fluid culture on graft site arteritis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The role of culturing the graft preservation fluid (PF) is controversial and its impact on graft arteritis development remains unclear. METHODS: Systematic literature search retrieving observational studies comparing solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients with culture-positive PF versus culture-negative PF. The quality of included studies was independently assessed according to the ROBINS-I tool for observational studies. Meta-analysis was performed using Mantel-Haenszel random-effect models. Graft site arteritis within 180 days from transplant was selected as the primary outcome. RESULTS: Twenty-one observational studies (N = 2208 positive PF vs. 4458 negative) were included. Among positive PF, 857 (38.8%) were classified as high-risk group pathogens and 1351 (61.2%) as low-risk pathogens. Low-risk and negative PF showed similar odds ratios. A significant higher risk of graft arteritis was found in SOT recipients with a PF yielding a high-risk pathogen (odds ratio [OR] 18.43, 95% confidence interval [CI] 7.83-43.40) compared to low-risk and negative PF, with low heterogeneity (I2 = 2.24%). Similar results were found considering separately high-risk bacteria (OR 12.02, 95%CI 4.88-29.60) and fungi (OR 71.00, 95%CI 28.07-179.56), with no heterogeneity (I2 = 0%), and in the subgroup analyses of the liver (OR 16.78, 95%CI 2.95-95.47) and kidney (OR 19.90, 95%CI 4.78-82.79) recipients. However, data about diagnostic features of graft arteritis were very limited, indeed for only 11 of the 93 events histological or microbiological results were reported. CONCLUSIONS: Our results may support the performance of PF culturing and a preemptive diagnostic or therapeutic management upon isolation of high-risk pathogens. Further studies based on a reliable diagnosis of graft arteritis are needed.

Prediction models for carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales carriage at liver transplantation: A multicenter retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) colonisation at liver transplantation (LT) increases the risk of CRE infection after LT, which impacts on recipients' survival. Colonization status usually becomes evident only near LT. Thus, predictive models can be useful to guide antibiotic prophylaxis in endemic centres. AIMS: This study aimed to identify risk factors for CRE colonisation at LT in order to build a predictive model. METHODS: Retrospective multicentre study including consecutive adult patients who underwent LT, from 2010 to 2019, at two large teaching hospitals. We excluded patients who had CRE infections within 90 days before LT. CRE screening was performed in all patients on the day of LT. Exposure variables were considered within 90 days before LT and included cirrhosis complications, underlying disease, time on the waiting list, MELD and CLIF-SOFA scores, antibiotic use, intensive care unit and hospital stay, and infections. A machine learning model was trained to detect the probability of a patient being colonized with CRE at LT. RESULTS: A total of 1544 patients were analyzed, 116 (7.5%) patients were colonized by CRE at LT. The median time from CRE isolation to LT was 5 days. Use of antibiotics, hepato-renal syndrome, worst CLIF sofa score, and use of beta-lactam/beta-lactamase inhibitor increased the probability of a patient having pre-LT CRE. The proposed algorithm had a sensitivity of 66% and a specificity of 83% with a negative predictive value of 97%. CONCLUSIONS: We created a model able to predict CRE colonization at LT based on easy-to-obtain features that could guide antibiotic prophylaxis.

Is acidemia at birth a risk factor for functional gastrointestinal disorders?

Functional gastrointestinal disorders (FGIDs) are common in early childhood. It has been demonstrated that neonatal acidemia at delivery can lead to significant neonatal morbidity. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate the relationship between acidemia at birth and the development of FGIDs, as regurgitation, colic, and constipation, in term infants. Term newborns born at the Foggia University Hospital, Italy during the year 2020 were included in the study. As per routine clinical practice, a cord blood gas analysis on a blood sample drawn from the umbilical artery (UA) of each infant immediately after birth was performed, and Apgar score was recorded. One year after birth, each infant's parents were interviewed through a phone call to investigate development of FGIDs, feeding practices, and morbidities. During the study period, 1574 term newborns met the inclusion criteria. The prevalence of infantile colic, regurgitation, and constipation was higher in infants with low UA pH (colic 51.5% vs. 25.4%, p < 0.001; regurgitation 30.6% vs. 15.2%, p < 0.001; constipation 24.6% vs. 16.0%, p = 0.015), with infants having moderate-severe acidemia facing the highest risk for all the examined FGIDs. In binary logistic regression analyses, UA pH and perinatal antibiotic exposure proved to be independently associated with the later diagnosis of each FGID. CONCLUSION: Newborns with acidemia at birth appear to face a higher risk of FGIDs in infancy. Avoiding low cord blood pH should continue to be the goal for obstetricians, while enhanced long-term surveillance for infants who experienced birth acidemia should be required. WHAT IS KNOWN: • Cord blood gas analysis is recommended in all high-risk deliveries, and in some centers, it is performed after all deliveries. • Neonatal acidemia at birth has been linked to adverse outcomes, mainly neurological. Recently, perinatal asphyxia has been reported to increase the risk of developing necrotizing enterocolitis in term infants. WHAT IS NEW: • An association between acidemia at birth and risk of developing FGIDs such as regurgitation and colic during the first year of life had never been described so far. • An increased surveillance of infants with low UA pH at birth may be beneficial and could allow for early detection of any of the reported FGIDs.

COVID-19 pandemic in the neonatal intensive care unit: any effect on late-onset sepsis and necrotizing enterocolitis?

The study was aimed at describing potential indirect effects of pandemic-related measures on very-low-birthweight infants in four Italian NICUs. No overall change in late-onset sepsis (LOS) and necrotizing enterocolitis was documented. However, in the NICU where baseline LOS rate was high, a significant reduction in LOS incidence was recorded. Conclusion: COVID-19-related implementation of NICU hygiene policies is likely to reduce the occurrence of LOS in high-risk settings. What is Known: • COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted routine care in Neonatal Intensive Care Units (NICUs), mostly by tightening infection control measures and restricting parental presence in the NICU. • Beyond the described psychological impact of COVID-19 related measures on healthcare workers and NICU families, their consequences in terms of preterm infants' clinical outcomes have not been described in detail yet. What is New: • Strengthened infection-control measures do not seem to have an overall influence on the incidence of necrotising enterocolitis and late-onset sepsis in very-low-birth-weight infants. • However, the implementation of these measures appears to reduce the occurrence of late-onset sepsis in settings where the baseline incidence of the disease is high.

Epidemiology of Invasive Pulmonary Aspergillosis Among Intubated Patients With COVID-19: A Prospective Study.

BACKGROUND: We evaluated the incidence of invasive pulmonary aspergillosis among intubated patients with critical COVID-19 and evaluated different case definitions of invasive aspergillosis. METHODS: Prospective, multicenter study in adult patients with microbiologically confirmed COVID-19 receiving mechanical ventilation. All included participants underwent a screening protocol for invasive pulmonary aspergillosis with bronchoalveolar lavage galactomannan and cultures performed on admission at 7 days and in case of clinical deterioration. Cases were classified as coronavirus-associated pulmonary aspergillosis (CAPA) according to previous consensus definitions. The new definition was compared with putative invasive pulmonary aspergillosis (PIPA). RESULTS: 108 patients were enrolled. Probable CAPA was diagnosed in 30 (27.7%) patients after a median of 4 (2-8) days from intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Kaplan-Meier curves showed a significantly higher 30-day mortality rate from ICU admission among patients with either CAPA (44% vs 19%, P = .002) or PIPA (74% vs 26%, P < .001) when compared with patients not fulfilling criteria for aspergillosis. The association between CAPA (OR, 3.53; 95% CI, 1.29-9.67; P = .014) or PIPA (OR, 11.60; 95% CI, 3.24-41.29; P < .001) with 30-day mortality from ICU admission was confirmed, even after adjustment for confounders with a logistic regression model. Among patients with CAPA receiving voriconazole treatment (13 patients; 43%) a trend toward lower mortality (46% vs 59%; P = .30) and reduction in galactomannan index in consecutive samples were observed. CONCLUSIONS: We found a high incidence of CAPA among critically ill COVID-19 patients and its occurrence seems to change the natural course of disease.