RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Li-Fraumeni syndrome (LFS) is a penetrant cancer predisposition syndrome (CPS) associated with the development of many tumor types in young people including osteosarcoma and breast cancer (BC). The McGill Interactive Pediatric OncoGenetic Guidelines (MIPOGG) decision-support tool provides a standardized approach to identify patients at risk of CPSs. METHODS: We conducted a cost-utility analysis, from the healthcare payer perspective, to compare MIPOGG-guided, physician-guided, and universal genetic testing strategies to detect LFS in female patients diagnosed at an age of less than 18 years with osteosarcoma. We developed a decision tree and discrete-event simulation model to simulate the clinical and cost outcomes of the three genetic referral strategies on a cohort of female children diagnosed with osteosarcoma, especially focused on BC as subsequent cancer. Outcomes included BC incidence, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), healthcare costs, and incremental cost-utility ratios (ICURs). We conducted probabilistic and scenario analyses to assess the uncertainty surrounding model parameters. RESULTS: Compared to the physician-guided testing, the MIPOGG-guided strategy was marginally more expensive by $105 (-$516; $743), but slightly more effective by 0.003 (-0.04; 0.045) QALYs. Compared to MIPOGG, the universal testing strategy was $1333 ($732; $1953) more costly and associated with 0.011 (-0.043; 0.064) additional QALYs. The ICUR for the MIPOGG strategy was $33,947/QALY when compared to the physician strategy; the ICUR for universal testing strategy was $118,631/QALY when compared to the MIPOGG strategy. DISCUSSION: This study provides evidence for clinical and policy decision-making on the cost-effectiveness of genetic referral strategies to identify LFS in the setting of osteosarcoma. MIPOGG-guided strategy was most likely to be cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold value of $50,000/QALY.
Assuntos
Análise Custo-Benefício , Síndrome de Li-Fraumeni , Osteossarcoma , Humanos , Feminino , Osteossarcoma/economia , Osteossarcoma/genética , Osteossarcoma/diagnóstico , Síndrome de Li-Fraumeni/genética , Síndrome de Li-Fraumeni/diagnóstico , Síndrome de Li-Fraumeni/economia , Criança , Adolescente , Neoplasias Ósseas/genética , Neoplasias Ósseas/economia , Testes Genéticos/economia , Testes Genéticos/métodos , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Neoplasias da Mama/genética , Neoplasias da Mama/economiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Germline data have become widely available in paediatric oncology since the introduction of paired tumour-germline sequencing. To guide best practice in cancer predisposition syndrome (CPS) diagnostics, we aimed to assess the diagnostic yield of extensive germline analysis compared with clinical selection-based genetic testing among all children with cancer. METHODS: In this prospective diagnostic study, all children (aged 0-19 years) with newly diagnosed neoplasms treated in the Netherlands national centre, the Princess Máxima Center for Pediatric Oncology (Utrecht, Netherlands), between June 1, 2020, and July 31, 2022, were offered two approaches to identify CPSs. In a phenotype-driven approach, paediatric oncologists used the McGill Interactive Pediatric OncoGenetic Guidelines tool to select children for referral to a clinical geneticist, and for genetic testing. In a phenotype-agnostic approach, CPS gene panel sequencing (143 genes) was offered to all children. In children declining the research CPS gene panel, 49 CPS genes were still analysed as part of routine diagnostics by the pathologist. Children with a causative CPS identified before neoplasm diagnosis were excluded. The primary objective was to compare the number and type of patients diagnosed with a CPS between the two approaches. FINDINGS: 1052 children were eligible for this study, of whom 733 (70%) completed both the phenotype-driven approach and received phenotype-agnostic CPS gene panel sequencing (143 genes n=600; 49 genes n=133). In 53 children, a CPS was identified: 14 (26%) were diagnosed by the phenotype-driven approach only, 22 (42%) by CPS gene sequencing only, and 17 (32%) by both approaches. In 27 (51%) of the 53 children, the identified CPS was considered causative for the child's neoplasm. Only one (4%) of the 27 causative CPSs was missed by the phenotype-driven approach and was identified solely by phenotype-agnostic CPS gene sequencing. In 26 (49%) children, a CPS with uncertain causality was identified, including 14 adult-onset CPSs. The CPSs with uncertain causality were mainly detected by the phenotype-agnostic approach (21 [81%] of 26). INTERPRETATION: Phenotype-driven genetic testing and phenotype-agnostic CPS gene panel sequencing were complementary. The phenotype-driven approach identified the most causative CPSs. CPS gene panel sequencing identified additional CPSs, many of those with uncertain causality, but some with clinical utility. We advise clinical evaluation for CPSs in all children with neoplasms. Phenotype-agnostic testing of all CPS genes is preferably conducted only in research settings and should be paired with counseling. FUNDING: Stichting Kinderen Kankervrij.
RESUMO
IMPORTANCE: Prompt recognition of a child with a cancer predisposition syndrome (CPS) has implications for cancer management, surveillance, genetic counseling, and cascade testing of relatives. Diagnosis of CPS requires practitioner expertise, access to genetic testing, and test result interpretation. This diagnostic process is not accessible in all institutions worldwide, leading to missed CPS diagnoses. Advances in electronic health technology can facilitate CPS risk assessment. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of a CPS prediction tool (McGill Interactive Pediatric OncoGenetic Guidelines [MIPOGG]) in identifying children with cancer who have a low or high likelihood of having a CPS. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this international, multicenter diagnostic accuracy study, 1071 pediatric (<19 years of age) oncology patients who had a confirmed CPS (12 oncology referral centers) or who underwent germline DNA sequencing through precision medicine programs (6 centers) from January 1, 2000, to July 31, 2020, were studied. EXPOSURES: Exposures were MIPOGG application in patients with cancer and a confirmed CPS (diagnosed through routine clinical care; n = 413) in phase 1 and MIPOGG application in patients with cancer who underwent germline DNA sequencing (n = 658) in phase 2. Study phases did not overlap. Data analysts were blinded to genetic test results. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The performance of MIPOGG in CPS recognition was compared with that of routine clinical care, including identifying a CPS earlier than practitioners. The tool's test characteristics were calculated using next-generation germline DNA sequencing as the comparator. RESULTS: In phase 1, a total of 413 patients with cancer (median age, 3.0 years; range, 0-18 years) and a confirmed CPS were identified. MIPOGG correctly recognized 410 of 412 patients (99.5%) as requiring referral for CPS evaluation at the time of primary cancer diagnosis. Nine patients diagnosed with a CPS by a practitioner after their second malignant tumor were detected by MIPOGG using information available at the time of the first cancer. In phase 2, of 658 children with cancer (median age, 6.6 years; range, 0-18.8 years) who underwent comprehensive germline DNA sequencing, 636 had sufficient information for MIPOGG application. When compared with germline DNA sequencing for CPS detection, the MIPOGG test characteristics for pediatric-onset CPSs were as follows: sensitivity, 90.7%; specificity, 60.5%; positive predictive value, 17.6%; and negative predictive value, 98.6%. Tumor DNA sequencing data confirmed the MIPOGG recommendation for CPS evaluation in 20 of 22 patients with established cancer-CPS associations. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this diagnostic study, MIPOGG exhibited a favorable accuracy profile for CPS screening and reduced time to CPS recognition. These findings suggest that MIPOGG implementation could standardize and rationalize recommendations for CPS evaluation in children with cancer.