Risk factors for incident cardiovascular events and their population attributable fractions in rural India: The Rishi Valley Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: We prospectively determined incident cardiovascular events and their association with risk factors in rural India. METHODS: We followed up with 7935 adults from the Rishi Valley Prospective Cohort Study to identify incident cardiovascular events. Using Cox proportional hazards regression, we estimated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for associations between potential risk factors and cardiovascular events. Population attributable fractions (PAFs) for risk factors were estimated using R ('averisk' package). RESULTS: Of the 4809 participants without prior cardiovascular disease, 57.7% were women and baseline mean age was 45.3 years. At follow-up (median of 4.9 years, 23,180 person-years [PYs]), 202 participants developed cardiovascular events, equating to an incidence of 8.7 cardiovascular events/1000 PYs. Incidence was greater in those with hypertension (hazard ratio [HR] [95% CI] 1.73 [1.21-2.49], adjusted PAF 18%), diabetes (1.96 [1.15-3.36], 4%) or central obesity (1.77 [1.23, 2.54], 9%) which together accounted for 31% of the PAF. Non-traditional risk factors such as night sleeping hours and number of children accounted for 16% of the PAF. CONCLUSIONS: Both traditional and non-traditional cardiovascular risk factors are important contributors to incident cardiovascular events in rural India. Interventions targeted to these factors could assist in reducing the incidence of cardiovascular events.

Cost-Effectiveness of an Individualised Management Program after Stroke: A Trial-Based Economic Evaluation.

INTRODUCTION: Evidence on the cost-effectiveness of comprehensive post-stroke programs is limited. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of an individualised management program (IMP) for stroke or transient ischaemic attack (TIA). METHODS: A cost-utility analysis alongside a randomised controlled trial with a 24-month follow-up, from both societal and health system perspectives, was conducted. Adults with stroke/TIA discharged from hospitals were randomised by primary care practice to receive either usual care (UC) or an IMP in addition to UC (intervention). An IMP included stroke-specific nurse-led education and a specialist review of care plans at baseline, 3 months, and 12 months, and telephone reviews by nurses at 6 months and 18 months. Costs were expressed in 2021 Australian dollars (AUD). Costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) beyond 12 months were discounted by 5%. The probability of cost-effectiveness of the intervention was determined by quantifying 10,000 bootstrapped iterations of incremental costs and QALYs below the threshold of AUD 50,000/QALY. RESULTS: Among the 502 participants (65% male, median age 69 years), 251 (50%) were in the intervention group. From a health system perspective, the incremental cost per QALY gained was AUD 53,175 in the intervention compared to the UC group, and the intervention was cost-effective in 46.7% of iterations. From a societal perspective, the intervention was dominant in 52.7% of iterations, with mean per-person costs of AUD 49,045 and 1.352 QALYs compared to mean per-person costs of AUD 51,394 and 1.324 QALYs in the UC group. The probability of the cost-effectiveness of the intervention, from a societal perspective, was 60.5%. CONCLUSIONS: Care for people with stroke/TIA using an IMP was cost-effective from a societal perspective over 24 months. Economic evaluations of prevention programs need sufficient time horizons and consideration of costs beyond direct healthcare utilisation to demonstrate their value to society.

Cost-Effectiveness of a Government Policy to Incentivise Chronic Disease Management following Stroke: A Modelling Study.

INTRODUCTION: Little is known about the cost-effectiveness of government policies that support primary care physicians to provide comprehensive chronic disease management (CDM). This paper aimed to estimate the potential cost-effectiveness of CDM policies over a lifetime for long-time survivors of stroke. METHODS: A Markov model, using three health states (stable, hospitalised, dead), was developed to simulate the costs and benefits of CDM policies over 30 years (with 1-year cycles). Transition probabilities and costs from a health system perspective were obtained from the linkage of data between the Australian Stroke Clinical Registry (cohort n = 12,368, 42% female, median age 70 years, 45% had CDM claims) and government-held hospital, Medicare, and pharmaceutical claims datasets. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were obtained from a comparable cohort (n = 512, 34% female, median age 69.6 years, 52% had CDM claims) linked with Medicare claims and death data. A 3% discount rate was applied to costs in Australian dollars (AUD, 2016) and QALYs beyond 12 months. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to understand uncertainty. RESULTS: Per-person average total lifetime costs were AUD 142,939 and 8.97 QALYs for those with a claim, and AUD 103,889 and 8.98 QALYs for those without a claim. This indicates that these CDM policies were costlier without improving QALYs. The probability of cost-effectiveness of CDM policies was 26.1%, at a willingness-to-pay threshold of AUD 50,000/QALY. CONCLUSION: CDM policies, designed to encourage comprehensive care, are unlikely to be cost-effective for stroke compared to care without CDM. Further research to understand how to deliver such care cost-effectively is needed.

Risk Factors Associated with Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events after Ischemic Stroke: A Linked Registry Study.

INTRODUCTION: Survivors of stroke are at risk of experiencing subsequent major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). We aimed to determine the incidence of, and risk factors for, MACE after first-ever ischemic stroke, by age group (18-64 years vs. ≥65 years). METHODS: Observational cohort study using patient-level data from the Australian Stroke Clinical Registry (2009-2013), linked with hospital administrative data. We included adults with first-ever ischemic stroke who had no previous acute cardiovascular admissions and followed these patients for 2 years post-discharge, or until the first post-stroke MACE event. A Fine-Gray sub-distribution hazard model, accounting for the competing risk of non-cardiovascular death, was used to determine factors for incident post-stroke MACE. RESULTS: Among 5,994 patients with a first-ever ischemic stroke (median age 73 years, 45% female), 17% were admitted for MACE within 2 years (129 events per 1,000 person-years). The median time to first post-stroke MACE was 117 days (89 days if aged <65 years vs. 126 days if aged ≥65 years; p = 0.025). Among patients aged 18-64 years, receiving intravenous thrombolysis (sub-distribution hazard ratio [SHR] 0.51 [95% CI, 0.28-0.92]) or being discharged to inpatient rehabilitation (SHR 0.65 [95% CI, 0.46-0.92]) were associated with a reduced incidence of post-stroke MACE. In those aged ≥65 years, being unable to walk on admission (SHR 1.33 [95% CI 1.15-1.54]), and history of smoking (SHR 1.40 [95% CI 1.14-1.71]) or atrial fibrillation (SHR 1.31 [95% CI 1.14-1.51]) were associated with an increased incidence of post-stroke MACE. Acute management in a large hospital (>300 beds) for the initial stroke event was associated with reduced incidence of post-stroke MACE, irrespective of age group. CONCLUSIONS: MACE is common within 2 years of stroke, with most events occurring within the first year. We have identified important factors to consider when designing interventions to prevent MACE after stroke, particularly among those aged <65 years.

Age and sex disparities in cardiovascular risk factor management prior to stroke: Linked registry and general practice data.

INTRODUCTION: There is limited evidence about the management of cardiovascular risk factors within 12 months before stroke/transient ischaemic attack (TIA) in Australian general practices. We evaluated whether age and sex disparities in cardiovascular risk factor management for primary prevention exist in general practice. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study using data from the Australian Stroke Clinical Registry (2014-2018) linked with general practice data from three primary health networks in Victoria, Australia. We included adults who had ≥2 encounters with a general practitioner within 12 months immediately before the first stroke/TIA. Cardiovascular risk factor management within 12 months before stroke/TIA was evaluated in terms of: assessment of risk factors (blood pressure [BP], serum lipids, blood glucose, body weight); prescription of prevention medications (BP, lipid-, glucose-lowering, antithrombotic agents); and attainment of risk factor targets. RESULTS: Of 2,880 patients included (median age 76.5 years, 48.4% women), 80.9% were assessed for BP, 49.9% serum lipids, 46.8% blood glucose, and 39.3% body weight. Compared to patients aged 65-84 years, those aged <65 or ≥85 years were less often assessed for risk factors, with women aged ≥85 years assessed for significantly fewer risk factors than their male counterparts. The most prescribed prevention medications were BP-lowering (64.9%) and lipid-lowering agents (42.0%). There were significant sex differences among those aged <65 years (34.7% women vs. 40.2% men) and ≥85 years (34.0% women vs. 44.3% men) for lipid-lowering agents. Risk factor target attainment was generally poorer in men than women, especially among those aged <65 years. CONCLUSION: Age-sex disparity exists in risk factor management for primary prevention in general practice, and this was more pronounced among younger patients and older women.

In Search of a Gold Standard Tool for Assessing Knowledge of Stroke: A Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: Knowledge of stroke is essential to empower people to reduce their risk of these events. However, valid tools are required for accurate and reliable measurement of stroke knowledge. We aimed to systematically review contemporary stroke knowledge assessment tools and appraise their content validity, feasibility, and measurement properties. METHODS: The protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023403566). Electronic databases (MEDLINE, PsycInfo, CINAHL, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science) were searched to identify published articles (1 January 2015-1 March 2023), in which stroke knowledge was assessed using a validated tool. Two reviewers independently screened titles and abstracts prior to undertaking full-text review. COnsensus-based Standards for the selection of health Measurement INstruments (COSMIN) methods guided the appraisal of content validity (relevance, comprehensiveness, comprehensibility), feasibility, and measurement properties. RESULTS: After removing duplicates, the titles and abstracts of 718 articles were screened; 323 reviewed in full; with 42 included (N = 23 unique stroke knowledge tools). For content validity, all tools were relevant, two were comprehensive, and seven were comprehensible. Validation metrics were reported for internal consistency (n = 20 tools), construct validity (n = 17 tools), cross-cultural validity (n = 15 tools), responsiveness (n = 9 tools), reliability (n = 7 tools), structural validity (n = 3 tools), and measurement error (n = 1 tool). The Stroke Knowledge Test met all content validity criteria, with validation data for six measurement properties (n = 3 rated "Sufficient"). CONCLUSION: Assessment of stroke knowledge is not standardised and many tools lacked validated content or measurement properties. The Stroke Knowledge Test was the most comprehensive but requires updating and further validation for endorsement as a gold standard.

First stroke incidence, causes, treatments, and outcomes for Aboriginal Peoples in South Australia and the Northern Territory: a pilot prospective study.

OBJECTIVE: We performed a pilot stroke incidence study, focused on feasibility and inclusion of the CONSIDER reporting guidelines, to model the design of a future population-based study aiming to definitively determine stroke incidence, antecedents, treatment, and outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective stroke incidence study (pilot study). SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: All people aged 15 years or older who lived in postcode-defined areas of South Australia and Northern Territory (885 472 people, including 45 127 Aboriginal people [5.1%]) diagnosed with stroke for the first time during 1 October - 31 December 2015 and admitted to public hospitals or stroke and transient ischaemic attack clinics. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Feasibility of a prospective population-based stroke incidence study. RESULTS: Of the 123 participants with first strokes, ten were Aboriginal (8%); the median age of Aboriginal people was 45 years (interquartile range [IQR], 33-55 years), of non-Indigenous people 73 years (IQR, 62-84 years). For Aboriginal people, the age-standardised incidence of stroke was 104 (95% confidence interval [CI], 84-124) per 100 000 person-years, for non-Indigenous people 33 (95% CI, 22-44) per 100 000 person-years. We found that a prospective population-based stroke incidence study in Aboriginal people was feasible, including with respect to establishing an adequate sample size, diagnostic confirmation, identification of incident stroke, confirming stroke subtypes, establishing a stable statistical population, standardising data reporting for comparison with other stroke incidence studies, and ethical research reporting that conforms to CONSIDER guidelines. CONCLUSIONS: A larger, population-based study of the incidence of stroke in Aboriginal people is both feasible and needed to provide robust estimates of stroke incidence, antecedents, treatments and outcomes to help guide strategies for reducing the risk of and outcomes of stroke in Aboriginal people.

Determining the Optimal Methodology for Identifying Incident Stroke Deaths Using Administrative Datasets Within Australia.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Quantifying stroke incidence and mortality is crucial for disease surveillance and health system planning. Administrative data offer a cost-effective alternative to "gold standard" population-based studies. However, the optimal methodology for establishing stroke deaths from administrative data remains unclear. We aimed to determine the optimal method for identifying stroke-related deaths in administrative datasets as the fatal component of stroke incidence, comparing counts derived using underlying and all causes of death (CoD). METHOD: Using whole-population multijurisdictional person-level linked data from hospital and death datasets from South Australia, the Northern Territory, and Western Australia, we identified first-ever stroke events between 2012 and 2015, using underlying CoD and all CoD to identify fatal stroke counts. We determined the 28-day case fatality for both counts and compared results with gold standard Australian population-based stroke incidence studies. RESULTS: The total number of incident stroke events was 16,150 using underlying CoD and 18,074 using all CoD. Case fatality was 24.7% and 32.7% using underlying and all CoD, respectively. Case fatality using underlying CoD was similar to that observed in four Australian "gold standard" population-based studies (20%-24%). CONCLUSIONS: Underlying CoD generates fatal incident stroke estimates more consistent with population-based studies than estimates based on stroke deaths identified from all-cause fields in death registers.

Incidence of Stroke in the Aboriginal and Non-Aboriginal Populations of Australia: A Data Linkage Study.

BACKGROUND: Most estimates of stroke incidence among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander (hereinafter Aboriginal) Australians are confined to single regions and include small sample sizes. We aimed to measure and compare stroke incidence in Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal residents across central and western Australia. METHODS: Whole-population multijurisdictional person-linked data from hospital and death datasets were used to identify stroke admissions and stroke-related deaths (2001-2015) in Western Australia, South Australia, and the Northern Territory. Fatal (including out-of-hospital deaths) and nonfatal incident (first-ever) strokes in patients aged 20-84 years were identified during the 4-year study period (2012-2015), using a 10-year lookback period to exclude people with prior stroke. Incidence rates per 100 000 population/year were estimated for Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal populations, age-standardized to the World Health Organization World Standard population. RESULTS: In a population of 3 223 711 people (3.7% Aboriginal), 11 740 incident (first-ever) strokes (20.6% regional/remote location of residence; 15.6% fatal) were identified from 2012 to 2015, 675 (5.7%) in Aboriginal people (73.6% regional/remote; 17.0% fatal). Median age of Aboriginal cases (54.5 years; 50.1% female) was 16 years younger than non-Aboriginal cases (70.3 years; 44.1% female; P<0.001), with significantly greater prevalence of comorbidities. Age-standardized stroke incidence in Aboriginal people (192/100 000 [95% CI, 177-208]) was 2.9-fold greater than in non-Aboriginal people (66/100 000 [95% CI, 65-68]) aged 20-84 years; fatal incidence was 4.2-fold greater (38/100 000 [95% CI, 31-46] versus 9/100 000 [95% CI, 9-10]). Disparities were particularly apparent at younger ages (20-54 years), where age-standardized stroke incidence was 4.3-fold greater in Aboriginal people (90/100 000 [95% CI, 81-100]) than non-Aboriginal people (21/100 000 [95% CI, 20-22]). CONCLUSIONS: Stroke occurred more commonly, and at younger ages, in Aboriginal than non-Aboriginal populations. Greater prevalence of baseline comorbidities was present in the younger Aboriginal population. Improved primary prevention is required. To optimize stroke prevention, interventions should include culturally appropriate community-based health promotion and integrated support for nonmetropolitan health services.

Strategies to Reduce Racial and Ethnic Inequities in Stroke Preparedness, Care, Recovery, and Risk Factor Control: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association.

Stroke is a disease of disparities, with tremendous racial and ethnic inequities in incidence, prevalence, treatment, and outcomes. The accumulating literature on the relationship between stroke and social determinants of health (ie, the structural conditions of the places where people live, learn, work, and play) contributes to our understanding of stroke inequities. Several interventions have been tested concurrently to reduce racial and ethnic inequities in stroke preparedness, care, recovery, and risk factor control. It is regrettable that no common theoretical framework has been used to facilitate comparison of interventions. In this scientific statement, we summarize, across the stroke continuum of care, trials of interventions addressing racial and ethnic inequities in stroke care and outcomes. We reviewed the literature on interventions to address racial and ethnic inequities to identify gaps and areas for future research. Although numerous trials tested interventions aimed at reducing inequities in prehospital, acute care, transitions in care, and poststroke risk factor control, few addressed inequities in rehabilitation, recovery, and social reintegration. Most studies addressed proximate determinants (eg, medication adherence, health literacy, and health behaviors), but upstream determinants (eg, structural racism, housing, income, food security, access to care) were not addressed. A common theoretical model of social determinants can help researchers understand the heterogeneity of social determinants, inform future directions in stroke inequities research, support research in understudied areas within the continuum of care, catalyze implementation of successful interventions in additional settings, allow for comparison across studies, and provide insight into whether addressing upstream or downstream social determinants has the strongest effect on reducing inequities in stroke care and outcomes.

Differing Definitions of First-Ever Stroke Influence Incidence Estimates More than Trends: A Study Using Linked Administrative Data.

INTRODUCTION: Researchers apply varying definitions when measuring stroke incidence using administrative data. We aimed to investigate the sensitivity of incidence estimates to varying definitions of stroke and lookback periods and to provide updated incidence rates and trends for Western Australia (WA). METHODS: We used linked state-wide hospital and death data from 1985 to 2017 to identify incident strokes from 2005 to 2017. A standard definition was applied which included strokes coded as the principal hospital diagnosis or the underlying cause of death, with a 10-year lookback used to clear prevalent cases. Alternative definitions were compared against the standard definition by percentage difference in case numbers. Age-standardised incidence rates were calculated, and age- and sex-adjusted Poisson regression models were used to estimate incidence trends. RESULTS: The standard definition with a 10-year lookback period captured 31,274 incident strokes. Capture increased by 19.3% when including secondary diagnoses, 4.1% when including nontraumatic subdural and extradural haemorrhage, and 8.1% when including associated causes of death. Excluding death records reduced capture by 11.1%. A 20-year lookback reduced over-ascertainment by 2.0%, and a 1-year lookback increased capture by 13.3%. Incidence declined 0.6% annually (95% confidence interval -0.9, -0.3). Annual reductions were similar for most definitions except when death records were excluded (-0.1%, CI: -0.4, 0.2) and with the shortest lookback periods (greatest annual reduction). CONCLUSION: Stroke incidence has declined in WA. Differing methods of identifying stroke influence estimates of incidence to a greater extent than estimates of trends. Reductions in stroke incidence over time are primarily driven by declines in fatal strokes.

Socioeconomic status and health-related quality of life after stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Socioeconomic status (SES) is associated with stroke occurrence and survival following stroke but its association with health-related quality of life (HRQoL) following stroke remains uncertain. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to examine the association between SES and HRQoL after stroke. METHODS: PubMed, SCOPUS, EMBASE, and Web of Science were searched to identify relevant cohort and case-control studies between January 2000 and May 2022. Two authors screened titles, abstracts and full text articles. One author extracted data from all included studies. Meta-analyses were performed for studies with comparable measurements of SES and HRQoL. Random effects models were used to estimate pooled summary standardised mean differences in HRQoL by SES. RESULTS: Out of 1,876 citations, 39 studies incorporated measurement of overall HRQoL following stroke and were included in the systematic review, with 17 studies included in the meta-analyses. Overall, reports including education, income, occupation and work status effects on HRQoL after stroke were inconsistent among all included 39 studies. In the global meta-analysis of 17 studies, HRQoL among survivors of stroke was lower in the low SES group than in the high SES group (standardised mean difference (SMD) -0.36, 95% CI -0.52, -0.20, p < 0.0001). When using education and income indicators separately, summary effects were similar to those of the global analysis (low versus high education SMD -0.38, 95% CI -0.57, -0.18, p < 0.0001; low versus high income SMD -0.39, 95% CI -0.59, -0.19, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Across all SES indicators, people with stroke who have lower SES have poorer overall HRQoL than those with higher SES. Accessibility and affordability of poststroke support services should be taken into consideration when planning and delivering services to people with low SES.

Intraoperative hemodynamics and risk of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury: An observation study and a feasibility clinical trial.

Targeting greater pump flow and mean arterial pressure (MAP) during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) could potentially alleviate renal hypoxia and reduce the risk of postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI). Therefore, in an observational study of 93 patients undergoing on-pump cardiac surgery, we tested whether intraoperative hemodynamic management differed between patients who did and did not develop AKI. Then, in 20 patients, we assessed the feasibility of a larger-scale trial in which patients would be randomized to greater than normal target pump flow and MAP, or usual care, during CPB. In the observational cohort, MAP during hypothermic CPB averaged 68.8 ± 8.0 mmHg (mean ± SD) in the 36 patients who developed AKI and 68.9 ± 6.3 mmHg in the 57 patients who did not (p = 0.98). Pump flow averaged 2.4 ± 0.2 L/min/m2 in both groups. In the feasibility clinical trial, compared with usual care, those randomized to increased target pump flow and MAP had greater mean pump flow (2.70 ± 0.23 vs. 2.42 ± 0.09 L/min/m2 during the period before rewarming) and systemic oxygen delivery (363 ± 60 vs. 281 ± 45 mL/min/m2 ). Target MAP ≥80 mmHg was achieved in 66.6% of patients in the intervention group but in only 27.3% of patients in the usual care group. Nevertheless, MAP during CPB did not differ significantly between the two groups. We conclude that little insight was gained from our observational study regarding the impact of variations in pump flow and MAP on the risk of AKI. However, a clinical trial to assess the effects of greater target pump flow and MAP on the risk of AKI appears feasible.

Association Between Changes in Norepinephrine Infusion Rate and Urinary Oxygen Tension After Cardiac Surgery.

OBJECTIVES: To determine if the administration of norepinephrine to patients recovering from on-pump cardiac surgery is associated with changes in urinary oxygen tension (PO2), an indirect index of renal medullary oxygenation. DESIGN: Single center, prospective observational study. SETTING: Surgical intensive care unit (ICU). PARTICIPANTS: A nonconsecutive sample of 93 patients recovering from on-pump cardiac surgery. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: In the ICU, norepinephrine was the most commonly used vasopressor agent (90% of patients, 84/93), with fewer patients receiving epinephrine (48%, 45/93) or vasopressin (4%, 4/93). During the 30-to-60-minute period after increasing the infused dose of norepinephrine (n = 89 instances), urinary PO2 decreased by (least squares mean ± SEM) 1.8 ± 0.5 mmHg from its baseline level of 25.1 ± 1.1 mmHg. Conversely, during the 30-to-60-minute period after the dose of norepinephrine was decreased (n = 134 instances), urinary PO2 increased by 2.6 ± 0.5 mmHg from its baseline level of 22.7 ± 1.2 mmHg. No significant change in urinary PO2 was detected when the dose of epinephrine was decreased (n = 21). There were insufficient observations to assess the effects of increasing the dose of epinephrine (n = 11) or of changing the dose of vasopressin (n <4). CONCLUSIONS: In patients recovering from on-pump cardiac surgery, changes in norepinephrine dose are associated with reciprocal changes in urinary PO2, potentially reflecting an effect of norepinephrine on renal medullary oxygenation.

Area-level and individual-level socio-economic differences in health-related quality of life trajectories: Results from a 10-year longitudinal stroke study.

BACKGROUND: We examined area-level (aSES) and individual-level (iSES) socio-economic status on trajectories of HRQoL to 10 years following stroke. METHODS: Participants with strokes between 1/5/1996 and 30/4/1999 completed the Assessment of Quality of Life instrument (AQoL, range: -0.04 [worse than death] to 0 [death] to 1 [full health]) at ≥one of 3month, 6-month, 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, 4-year, 5-year, 7-year and 10-year interviews after stroke. Sociodemographic and health information were collected at baseline. We derived aSES from postcode using the Australian Socio-Economic Indexes For Area (2006) (categories: high, medium, low), and iSES from lifetime occupation (categories: non-manual, manual). Multivariable linear mixed effects modelling was used to estimate trajectories of HRQoL over 10 years, by aSES and iSES, adjusting for age, sex, cardiovascular disease, smoking, diabetes, stroke severity, stroke type, and the time influence on age and health conditions. RESULTS: Of 1,686 participants enrolled, we excluded 239 with 'possible' stroke and 284 with missing iSES. Among the remaining 1,163 participants, 1,123 (96.6%) had AQoL assessed at ≥3 timepoints. In multivariable analysis, over time, people in the medium aSES group had mean 0.02 (95% CI -0.06, 0.02) greater reduction in AQoL score, and people in the low aSES group had mean 0.04 (95% CI, -0.07, -0.001) greater reduction, than those in the high aSES group. Manual workers had an average 0.04 (95% CI, -0.07, -0.01) greater reduction in AQoL score over time than non-manual workers. CONCLUSIONS: Over time, HRQoL declines in all people with stroke, declining most rapidly in lower SES groups.

Does a History of Cancer Influence the Effectiveness of Statins on Outcomes After Stroke?

BACKGROUND: Evidence is growing on anticancer effects of statins. We investigated whether the effectiveness of treatment with statins after ischemic stroke on mortality is influenced by a history of cancer. METHODS: Analyses of 90-day survivors of ischemic stroke (2012-2016; 45 hospitals) using linked registry and administrative data. Dispense of statins within 90 days postdischarge was determined from pharmaceutical records. Participants were followed from 91 days postdischarge until death or June 30, 2018. History of cancer was determined from hospital data. Propensity score-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to determine the association between being dispensed statins and survival. The influence of history of cancer on this association was assessed based on the concepts of (1) statistical interaction and (2) biological interaction using 3 indices: relative excess risk due to interaction>0, attributable proportion due to interaction >0, or synergy index >1. RESULTS: Among 9948 eligible participants (median age=72 years, 42% female), there were 1463 deaths. In adjusted analyses, there was no statistical interaction between being dispensed statins and history of cancer on mortality (P=0.156). However, being dispensed statins had a significant positive biological interaction with having a history of cancer on mortality: relative excess risk due to interaction, 2.80 (95% CI, 1.56-5.05), attributable proportion due to interaction, 0.45 (95% CI, 0.23-0.66), and synergy index, 2.14 (95% CI, 1.32-3.49). CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with statins after ischemic stroke may confer additional survival benefits for people who also have had cancer.

Optimal Measures for Primary Care Physician Encounters after Stroke and Association with Survival: A Data Linkage Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Primary care physicians (PCPs) provide ongoing management after stroke. However, little is known about how best to measure physician encounters with reference to longer term outcomes. We aimed to compare methods for measuring regularity and continuity of PCP encounters, based on survival following stroke using linked healthcare data. METHODS: Data from the Australian Stroke Clinical Registry (2010-2014) were linked with Australian Medicare claims from 2009 to 2016. Physician encounters were ascertained within 18 months of discharge for stroke. We calculated three separate measures of continuity of encounters (consistency of visits with primary physician) and three for regularity of encounters (distribution of service utilization over time). Indices were compared based on 1-year survival using multivariable Cox regression models. The best performing measures of regularity and continuity, based on model fit, were combined into a composite "optimal care" variable. RESULTS: Among 10,728 registrants (43% female, 69% aged ≥65 years), the median number of encounters was 17. The measures most associated with survival (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval], Akaike information criterion [AIC], and Bayesian information criterion [BIC]) were the Continuity of Care Index (COCI, as a measure of continuity; 0.88 [0.76-1.02], p = 0.099, AIC = 13,746, BIC = 13,855) and our persistence measure of regularity (encounter at least every 6 months; 0.80 [0.67-0.95], p = 0.011, AIC = 13,742, BIC = 13,852). Our composite measure, persistent plus COCI ≥80% (24% of registrants; 0.80 [0.68-0.94], p = 0.008, AIC = 13,742, BIC = 13,851), performed marginally better than our persistence measure alone. CONCLUSIONS: Our persistence measure of regularity or composite measure may be useful when measuring physician encounters following stroke.

Treatment with Multiple Therapeutic Classes of Medication Is Associated with Survival after Stroke.

INTRODUCTION: Treatment with several therapeutic classes of medication is recommended for secondary prevention of stroke. We analyzed the associations between the number of classes of prevention medications supplied within 90 days after discharge for ischemic stroke (IS)/transient ischemic attack (TIA) and survival. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of adults with first-ever IS/TIA (2010-2014) from the Australian Stroke Clinical Registry individually linked with data from national pharmaceutical and Medicare claims. Exposure was the number of classes of recommended medications, i.e., blood pressure-lowering, antithrombotic, or lipid-lowering agents, supplied to patients within 90 days after discharge for IS/TIA. The longitudinal association between the number of classes of medications and survival was evaluated with Cox proportional hazards regression models using the landmark approach. A landmark date of 90 days after hospital discharge was used to separate exposure and outcome periods, and only patients who survived until this date were included. RESULTS: Of 8,429 patients (43% female, median age 74 years, 80% IS), 607 (7%) died in the year following 90 days after discharge. Overall, 56% of patients were supplied all 3 classes of medications, 28% 2 classes of medications, 11% 1 class of medications, and 5% no class of medications. Compared to patients supplied all 3 medication classes, adjusted hazard ratios for all-cause mortality ranged from 1.43 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.18-1.72) in those supplied 2 medication classes to 2.04 (95% CI: 1.44-2.88) in those supplied with no medication class. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: Treatment with all 3 classes of guideline-recommended medications within 90 days after discharge was associated with better survival. Ongoing efforts are required to ensure optimal pharmacological intervention for secondary prevention of stroke.

Risk factors for incident cardiovascular events among adults in low- and middle-income countries: A systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies.

The relative contributions of risk factors for cardiovascular events at a population level has received little attention in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We estimated the population attributable fraction (PAF) of risk factors associated with incident cardiovascular events in LMICs. We searched six databases for relevant articles, supplemented with a manual search of reference lists. Articles included in the meta-analyses were those based on prospective community-based cohorts and incorporating adjusted hazard ratios (HR) or relative risks with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for associations between risk factors and a composite cardiovascular and/or stroke endpoint. Pooled HRs and 95% CI were calculated using the random effects model. We assessed heterogeneity using the I2 test and study quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. We calculated the PAF of each associated risk factor. The protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42019122741). We identified 18 cohorts from LMICs with 1,125,846 participants, 77,045 composite cardiovascular events and 42,216 strokes. Substantial proportions of incident cardiovascular events were attributable to hypertension (HR [95% CI], 2.23 [2.01-2.48], PAF = 28%); current smoking (1.44 [1.31-1.58], PAF = 10%); and diabetes mellitus (1.93 [1.67-2.23], PAF = 8%). Other risk factors identified included number of children, depression, bone mineral density, and air pollution. A substantial proportion of incident cardiovascular events were linked to traditional metabolic and behavioural modifiable risk factors. However, other novel risk factors also appear to contribute. Targeting of these established and novel risk factors has the potential to reduce the burden of CVD in LMICs.

The Allure of Big Data to Improve Stroke Outcomes: Review of Current Literature.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To critically appraise literature on recent advances and methods using "big data" to evaluate stroke outcomes and associated factors. RECENT FINDINGS: Recent big data studies provided new evidence on the incidence of stroke outcomes, and important emerging predictors of these outcomes. Main highlights included the identification of COVID-19 infection and exposure to a low-dose particulate matter as emerging predictors of mortality post-stroke. Demographic (age, sex) and geographical (rural vs. urban) disparities in outcomes were also identified. There was a surge in methodological (e.g., machine learning and validation) studies aimed at maximizing the efficiency of big data for improving the prediction of stroke outcomes. However, considerable delays remain between data generation and publication. Big data are driving rapid innovations in research of stroke outcomes, generating novel evidence for bridging practice gaps. Opportunity exists to harness big data to drive real-time improvements in stroke outcomes.