Long-term Outcomes Following Active Surveillance of Low-grade Prostate Cancer: A Population-based Study Using a Landmark Approach.

PURPOSE: Active surveillance is widely used to manage low-risk prostate cancer, but population-level long-term outcomes are limited. Our objective was to determine long-term population-level oncological outcomes in active surveillance patients. A secondary objective examined the active surveillance discontinuation rate. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this retrospective, population-based study using linked administrative databases from Ontario, Canada, we identified low-grade prostate cancer patients managed with active surveillance or initial treatment between 2002-2014. The 10- and 15-year metastasis-free survival, overall survival, and cancer-specific survival were compared between active surveillance and initial treatment. A landmark of 24 months was selected for the primary analysis. Long-term outcomes were examined using multivariable proportional hazards models and a propensity-based approach. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 21,282 low-grade prostate cancer patients with a median follow-up of 9.8 years. At 10-year follow-up the survival rate of remaining on active surveillance was 39%, metastasis-free survival was 94.2%, overall survival 88.7%, and cancer-specific survival 98.1%. In adjusted models active surveillance was associated with higher risk of metastasis (HR 1.34, 95%CI 1.15-1.57), overall mortality (HR 1.12, 95%CI 1.01-1.24), and prostate cancer-specific mortality (HR 1.66, 95%CI 1.15-2.39) compared to initial treatment. Survival analysis using 7,525 propensity-matched pairs was consistent with the primary analysis for metastasis-free survival, overall survival and cancer-specific survival. CONCLUSIONS: In this large population-based study of long-term outcomes in men with low-grade prostate cancer, active surveillance is associated with excellent long-term metastasis-free survival and overall survival. However, long-term cancer-specific survival was slightly inferior (1% worse at 10 years with active surveillance), and this must be balanced against known harms of overtreatment.

Maternal glycaemic control and risk of neonatal hypoglycaemia in Type 1 diabetes pregnancy: a secondary analysis of the CONCEPTT trial.

AIMS: To examine the relationship between maternal glycaemic control and risk of neonatal hypoglycaemia using conventional and continuous glucose monitoring metrics in the Continuous Glucose Monitoring in Type 1 Diabetes Pregnancy Trial (CONCEPTT) participants. METHODS: A secondary analysis of CONCEPTT involving 225 pregnant women and their liveborn infants. Antenatal glycaemia was assessed at 12, 24 and 34 weeks gestation. Intrapartum glycaemia was assessed by continuous glucose monitoring measures 24 hours prior to delivery. The primary outcome was neonatal hypoglycaemia defined as glucose concentration < 2.6 mmol/l and requiring intravenous dextrose. RESULTS: Neonatal hypoglycaemia occurred in 57/225 (25.3%) infants, 21 (15%) term and 36 (40%) preterm neonates. During the second and third trimesters, mothers of infants with neonatal hypoglycaemia had higher HbA1c [48 ± 7 (6.6 ± 0.6) vs. 45 ± 7 (6.2 ± 0.6); P = 0.0009 and 50 ± 7 (6.7 ± 0.6) vs. 46 ± 7 (6.3 ± 0.6); P = 0.0001] and lower continuous glucose monitoring time-in-range (46% vs. 53%; P = 0.004 and 60% vs. 66%; P = 0.03). Neonates with hypoglycaemia had higher cord blood C-peptide concentrations [1416 (834, 2757) vs. 662 (417, 1086) pmol/l; P < 0.00001], birthweight > 97.7th centile (63% vs. 34%; P < 0.0001) and skinfold thickness (P ≤ 0.02). Intrapartum continuous glucose monitoring was available for 33 participants, with no differences between mothers of neonates with and without hypoglycaemia. CONCLUSIONS: Modest increments in continuous glucose monitoring time-in-target (5-7% increase) during the second and third trimesters are associated with reduced risk for neonatal hypoglycaemia. While more intrapartum continuous glucose monitoring data are needed, the higher birthweight and skinfold measures associated with neonatal hypoglycaemia suggest that risk is related to fetal hyperinsulinemia preceding the immediate intrapartum period.

Uterotonics in elective caesarean delivery: a randomised non-inferiority study comparing carbetocin 20 µg and 100 µg.

Postpartum haemorrhage is the leading cause of maternal mortality worldwide and prophylactic uterotonic drug administration after the delivery of the infant is advised. Carbetocin is recommended as an uterotonic, but the minimum effective dose has not been verified. We compared the efficacy of two doses of intravenous carbetocin (20 µg and 100 µg) in women undergoing elective caesarean delivery. This was a randomised, double-blind, non-inferiority study in women at low risk of postpartum haemorrhage. Carbetocin was administered on delivery of the anterior shoulder of the neonate. Uterine tone was assessed by the obstetrician 2 min and 5 min after carbetocin administration according to an 11-point numerical rating scale (0 = atonic uterus and 10 = firm uterus). The primary outcome was uterine tone 2 min after carbetocin administration. The pre-specified non-inferiority margin was 1 point on the 11-point scale. Secondary outcomes included: uterine tone at 5 min; use of additional uterotonics within 24 h; blood loss; and adverse effects. Data were available for 53 women in the carbetocin-20 group and for 55 women in the carbetocin-100 group. The mean (SD) uterine tone at 2 min was 7.5 (1.9) in the carbetocin-20 group and 8.0 (1.5) in the carbetocin-100 group. The lower limit of the one-sided 95%CI for the mean difference was outside the non-inferiority margin (at -1.1; p = 0.11) meaning non-inferiority of carbetocin 20 µg compared with carbetocin 100 µg could not be confirmed. However, the secondary outcome measures of uterine tone at 5 min, blood loss and use of additional uterotonics were similar in both groups.

Interventions for preventing cardiomyopathy due to anthracyclines: a Bayesian network meta-analysis.

Background: The relative efficacy of interventions for primary prevention of anthracycline-associated cardiotoxicity is unknown. Methods: We conducted a systematic review of randomized controlled trials for primary prevention of anthracycline-associated cardiotoxicity in adult cancer patients. We used hierarchal outcome definitions in the following order of priority: (1) composite of heart failure or decline in left ventricular ejection fraction, (2) decline in ejection fraction, or (3) heart failure. Data were analyzed using a Bayesian network meta-analysis with random effects. Results: A total of 16 trials reported cardiotoxicity as a dichotomous outcome among 1918 patients, evaluating dexrazoxane, angiotensin antagonists, beta-blockers, combination angiotensin antagonists and beta-blockers, statins, Co-enzyme Q-10, prenylamine, and N-acetylcysteine. Compared with control, dexrazoxane reduced cardiotoxicity with a pooled odds ratio (OR) of 0.26 (95% credible interval [CrI] 0.11-0.74) and had the highest probability (33%) of being most effective. No other agent was demonstrably better than placebo. Angiotensin antagonists had an 84% probability of being most effective in a sensitivity analysis excluding one outlying study (OR 0.06 [95% CrI 0.01- 0.24]). When the outcome was restricted to heart failure, dexrazoxane was associated with an OR of 0.12 (95% CrI 0.06-0.23) relative to control and had 58% probability of being most effective, while angiotensin antagonists had an OR of 0.18 (95% CrI 0.05-0.55). Available data suggested that dexrazoxane and angiotensin antagonists did not affect malignancy response rate or risk of death. Conclusion: Moderate quality data suggest that dexrazoxane, and low quality data suggest angiotensin antagonists, are likely to be effective for cardiotoxicity prevention.

Effects of the community-based Wellspring Cancer Exercise Program on functional and psychosocial outcomes in cancer survivors.

PURPOSE: In this study, we examined the effects of a 30-week community-based exercise program on cancer-related fatigue, quality of life, and other health-related outcomes in a sample of adults with mixed cancer diagnoses. METHODS: This prospective cohort study looked at outcomes for participants involved in the Wellspring Cancer Exercise Program in southern Ontario. The program consisted of an initial phase of two supervised sessions weekly for 10 weeks and a transition phase of one supervised session weekly for the subsequent 20 weeks. Outcomes were measured at baseline and every 10 weeks throughout the intervention, as well as at 16 weeks after program completion. RESULTS: During a period of 13 months, 229 of the 355 cancer survivors who enrolled in the exercise program consented to participate in the study. Participants attended 71% of the supervised exercise sessions in the initial phase and 49% in the transition phase. From baseline to the end of the initial phase, significant improvements in cancer-related fatigue, 6-minute walk test, social well-being, systolic blood pressure, balance, and physical activity volume were observed. During the transition phase, health-related quality of life and emotional well-being improved significantly. CONCLUSIONS: The Wellspring Cancer Exercise Program is associated with clinically meaningful improvements in cancer-related fatigue and functional aerobic capacity. Several other aspects of well-being in cancer survivors also improved for participants in the program. Community-based cancer exercise programs such as the Wellspring Cancer Exercise Program can improve well-being for cancer survivors and can provide an effective option that enhances sustainability and accessibility to exercise services for this population.

Insulin pump use compared with intravenous insulin during labour and delivery: the INSPIRED observational cohort study.

AIMS: To assess the safety and efficacy of pump therapy (continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion; CSII) during labour and delivery in women with Type 1 diabetes. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of 161 consecutive Type 1 diabetic pregnancies delivered during 2000-2010 at Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Canada. Capillary blood glucose levels during labour and delivery and time in/out of target (target: 4-6 mmol/l) were compared along with neonatal outcomes for three groups: (1) women on pumps who stayed on pumps during labour (pump/pump n = 31), (2) women on pumps who switched to intravenous (IV) insulin infusion during labour (pump/IVn = 25), and (3) women on multiple daily injections who switched to IV insulin infusion during labour (MDIn = 105). RESULTS: There were no significant differences between the mean or median glucose values during labour and delivery across all three groups, and no significant difference in time spent hypoglycaemic. However, women in the pump/pump group had significantly better glycaemic control as defined by mean glucose (5.5 vs. 6.4 mmol/l; P = 0.01), median glucose (5.4 vs. 6.3 mmol/l; P = 0.02), and more time spent in target (60.9% vs. 39.2%; P = 0.06) compared with women in the pump/IV group (after removing one outlier). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that the continuation of CSII therapy during labour and delivery appears safe and efficacious. Moreover, women who choose to continue CSII have better glucose control during delivery than those who switch to IV insulin, suggesting that it should be standard practice to allow women the option of continuing CSII during labour and delivery.

Clinical prediction rules in Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia demonstrate the usefulness of reporting likelihood ratios in infectious diseases.

Infectious diseases specialists often use diagnostic tests to assess the probability of a disease based on knowledge of the diagnostic properties. It has become standard for published studies on diagnostic tests to report sensitivity, specificity and predictive values. Likelihood ratios are often omitted. We compared published clinical prediction rules in Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia to illustrate the importance of likelihood ratios. We performed a narrative review comparing published clinical prediction rules used for excluding endocarditis in S. aureus bacteremia. Of nine published clinical prediction rules, only three studies reported likelihood ratios. Many studies concluded that the clinical prediction rule could safely exclude endocarditis based on high sensitivity and high negative predictive value. Of the studies with similar high sensitivity and high negative predictive value, calculated negative likelihood ratios were able to differentiate and identify the best clinical prediction rule for excluding endocarditis. Compared to sensitivity, specificity and predictive values, likelihood ratios can be more directly used to interpret diagnostic test results to assist in ruling in or ruling out a disease. Therefore, a new standard should be set to include likelihood ratios in reporting of diagnostic tests in infectious diseases research.

Long-term health care costs for prostate cancer patients on androgen deprivation therapy.

BACKGROUND: Comparing relative costs for androgen deprivation therapy (adt) protocols in prostate cancer (pca) requires an examination of all health care resources, not only those specific to pca. The objective of the present study was to use administrative data to estimate total health care costs in a population-based cohort of pca patients. METHODS: Patients in Ontario with pca who started 90 days or more of adt at age 66 years or older during 1995-2005 were selected from cancer registry and health care administrative databases. We classified patients (n = 21,818) by regimen (medical castration, orchiectomy, anti-androgen monotherapy, medical castration with anti-androgen, orchiectomy with anti-androgen) and indication (neoadjuvant, adjuvant, metastatic disease, biochemical recurrence, primary nonmetastatic). Using nonparametric regression methods, with inverse probability weighting to adjust for censoring, and bootstrapping, we computed mean 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year longitudinal total direct medical costs (2009 Canadian dollars). RESULTS: Mean first-year costs were highest for metastatic disease, ranging from $24,400 for orchiectomy to $32,120 for anti-androgen monotherapy. Mean first-year costs for all other indications were less than $20,000. Mean 5-year and 10-year costs were lowest for neoadjuvant treatment: approximately $43,000 and $81,000 respectively, with differences of less than $4,000 between regimens. Annual costs were highest in the first year of adt. Orchiectomy was the least costly regimen for most time periods, but was limited to primary and metastatic indications. Outpatient drugs, including pharmacologic adt, accounted for 17%-65% of total first-year costs. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with combined therapies, the adt monotherapies, particularly orchiectomy when clinically feasible, are more economical. Our methods exemplified the use of algorithms to elucidate clinical information from administrative data. Our approach can be adapted for other cancers to expand the range of studies using Canadian administrative data.

Fetal skeletal dysplasias in a tertiary care center: radiology, pathology, and molecular analysis of 112 cases.

Fetal skeletal dysplasias are a heterogeneous group of rare genetic disorders, affecting approximately 2.4-4.5 of 10,000 births. We performed a retrospective review of the perinatal autopsies conducted between the years 2002-2011 at our center. The study population consisted of fetuses diagnosed with skeletal dysplasia with subsequent termination, stillbirth and live-born who died shortly after birth. Of the 2002 autopsies performed, 112 (5.6%) were diagnosed with skeletal dysplasia. These 112 cases encompassed 17 of 40 groups of Nosology 2010. The two most common Nosology groups were osteogenesis imperfecta [OI, 27/112 (24%)] and the fibroblast growth factor receptor type 3 (FGFR3) chondrodysplasias [27/112 (24%)]. The most common specific diagnoses were thanatophoric dysplasia (TD) type 1 [20 (17.9%)], and OI type 2 [20 (17.9%)]. The combined radiology, pathology, and genetic investigations and grouping the cases using Nosology 2010 resulted in a specific diagnosis in 96 of 112 cases.

Refinement of the symptom screening in pediatrics tool (SSPedi).

BACKGROUND: Objective was to evaluate and refine a new instrument for paediatric cancer symptom screening named the Symptom Screening in Pediatrics Tool (SSPedi). METHODS: Respondents were children 8-18 years of age undergoing active cancer treatment and parents of eligible children. Respondents completed SSPedi once and then responded to semi-structured questions. They rated how easy or difficult SSPedi was to complete. For items containing two concepts, we asked respondents whether concepts should remain together or be separated into two questions. We also asked about each item's importance and whether items were missing. Cognitive probing was conducted in children to evaluate their understanding of items and the response scale. After each group of 10 children and 10 parents, responses were reviewed to determine whether modifications were required. Recruitment ceased with the first group of 10 children in which modifications were not required. RESULTS: Thirty children and 20 parents were required to achieve a final version of SSPedi. Fifteen items remain in the final version; the score ranges from 0 to 60. CONCLUSIONS: Using opinions of children with cancer and parents of paediatric cancer patients, we successfully developed a symptom screening tool that is easy to complete, is understandable and demonstrates content validity.

Do quality of life or physical function at diagnosis predict short-term outcomes during intensive chemotherapy in AML?

BACKGROUND: Intensive chemotherapy (IC) used to treat acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is associated with toxicity, particularly in older adults. Emerging data suggest that baseline quality of life (QOL) and physical function may predict outcomes in oncology, although data in AML are limited. We investigated the association between baseline QOL and physical function with short-term treatment outcomes in adults and elderly AML patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a prospective, longitudinal study of adults (age 18+) AML patients undergoing IC. Before starting IC, patients completed the European Organisation for the Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) 30-item questionnaire (QLQ-C30) and Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy Fatigue subscale (FACT-Fatigue) in addition to physical function tests (grip strength, timed chair stands, 2-min walk test). Outcomes included 60-day mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission and achievement of complete remission (CR). Logistic regression was carried out to evaluate each outcome. RESULTS: Of the 239 patients (median age 57.5 years), 56.7% were male and median Charlson comorbidity score was 0. Sixty-day mortality, ICU admission and CR occurred in 9 (3.7%), 15 (6.3%) and 167 (69.9%) patients, respectively. Using univariate regression, neither QOL nor physical function at presentation was predictive of 60-day mortality (all P > 0.05), whereas ICU admission (P < 0.001) and remission status at 30 days (P = 0.007) were. Fatigue (P = 0.004) and role functioning (P = 0.003) were predictors of ICU admission; QOL and physical function were not. A higher Charlson score predicted ICU admission (P = 0.01) and remission status (P = 0.002). The cytogenetic risk group was associated with achievement of CR (P = 0.02); QOL and physical function were not (all P > 0.05). Findings were similar when patients age 60+ were examined. Relationships between fatigue and role functioning with ICU admission deserve further exploration. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline QOL and physical function tests in this prospective study were not associated with short-term mortality, ICU admission or achievement of CR after the first cycle of chemotherapy.

The mobility of nitrogen across tree-rings of Norway spruce (Picea abies L.) and the effect of extraction method on tree-ring δ¹5N and δ¹³C values.

RATIONALE: The use of stable nitrogen (N) isotope ratios (δ(15)N values) in dendroecological studies is often preceded by an extraction procedure using organic solvents to remove mobile N compounds from tree-rings. Although these mobile N compounds may be capable of distorting potential environmental signals in the tree-ring δ(15)N values, recent investigations question the necessity of such an extraction. METHODS: We used an on-going experiment with simulated elevated N deposition previously labelled with (15)N, in conjunction with control trees, to investigate the necessity of extracting mobile N compounds (using a rapid extraction procedure) for tree-ring δ(15)N and δ(13)C studies, as well as N and C concentration analyses. In addition, we examined the magnitude of radial redistribution of N across tree-rings of Norway spruce (Picea abies). RESULTS: The (15)N label, applied in 1995/96, was found in tree-rings as far back as 1951, although the increased N availability did not cause any significant relative increase in tree growth. The rapid extraction procedure had no significant effect on tree-ring δ(15)N or δ(13)C values in either labelled or control trees, or on N concentration. The C concentrations, however, were significantly higher after extraction in control samples, with the opposite effect observed in labelled samples. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that the extraction of mobile N compounds through the rapid extraction procedure is not necessary prior to the determination of Norway spruce δ(15)N or δ(13)C values in dendrochemical studies. δ(15)N values, however, must be interpreted with great care, particularly when used as a proxy for the N status of trees, due to the very high mobility of N within the tree stem sapwood of Norway spruce over several decades.

Temporal lobe dysplasia: a characteristic sonographic finding in thanatophoric dysplasia.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the incidence of temporal lobe dysplasia (TLD) detected on prenatal ultrasound in thanatophoric dysplasia (TD) over an 11-year period in a tertiary referral center. METHODS: An 11-year retrospective review of perinatal autopsies from 2002 to 2013 was performed to identify cases of TD. The ultrasound images and corresponding reports of all TD cases were examined for the presence of TLD. The same set of images subsequently underwent a retrospective review by a perinatal radiologist with knowledge of the features of TLD to determine whether they could be identified. RESULTS: Thirty-one cases of TD underwent perinatal autopsy, and prenatal ultrasound imaging was available for review in 24 (77%). Mean gestational age at diagnosis of TD was 21.3 (range, 18-36) weeks. TLD was identified and reported in 6/24 (25%) cases; all six cases occurred after 2007. Retrospective interpretation of the ultrasound images identified features of TLD in 10 additional cases. In total, 16/24 (67%) cases displayed sonographic evidence of TLD. Temporal trends showed that TLD features were present in 50% (5/10) of all TD cases between 2002 and 2006 and in 79% (11/14) of those detected between 2007 and 2013. CONCLUSIONS: At present, the detection rate of TLD by ultrasound is low but may be increased by modified brain images that enhance visualization of the temporal lobes. Prenatal identification of TLD may help in the prenatal diagnosis of TD and thus provide more accurate prenatal counseling and guide molecular investigations to confirm the specific diagnosis of TD.

Changes in bone mineral density in men starting androgen deprivation therapy and the protective role of vitamin D.

SUMMARY: Androgen deprivation therapy in 80 men was associated with declines in bone mineral density (BMD), which were greatest in the first year, and in the lumbar spine compared to controls. Vitamin D use was associated with improved BMD in the lumbar spine and in the first year. INTRODUCTION: Decreased BMD is a common side effect of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), leading to increased risk of fractures. Although loss of BMD appears to be greatest within the first year of starting ADT, there are few long-term studies of change in BMD, and risk factors for bone loss are not well-characterized. METHODS: Men aged 50+ with nonmetastatic prostate cancer starting continuous ADT were enrolled in a prospective longitudinal study. BMD was determined by dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry at baseline and yearly for 3 years. Matched controls were men with prostate cancer not receiving ADT. Multivariable regression analysis examined predictors of BMD loss. RESULTS: Eighty ADT users and 80 controls were enrolled (mean age 69 years); 52.5 % had osteopenia and 8.1 % had osteoporosis at baseline. After 1 year, in adjusted models, ADT was associated with significant losses in lumbar spine BMD compared to controls (-2.57 %, p = 0.006), with a trend towards greater declines at the total hip (p = 0.09). BMD changes in years 2 and 3 were much smaller and not statistically different from controls. Use of vitamin D but not calcium was associated with improved BMD in the lumbar spine in year 1 (+6.19 %, p < 0.001) with smaller nonsignificant increases at other sites (+0.86 % femoral neck, +0.86 % total hip, p > 0.10) primarily in the first year. CONCLUSIONS: Loss of BMD associated with ADT is greatest at the lumbar spine and in the first year. Vitamin D but not calcium may be protective particularly in the first year of ADT use.

Genetic mosaicism in normal tissues of Wilms' tumour patients.

We describe the partial loss of heterozygosity (LOH) at chromosome 11p loci in normal tissues (normal kidney and/or blood) from four of 67 Wilms' tumour patients. Autologous tumour DNA showed complete loss of the same, maternally derived, alleles. These observations indicate that the normal tissues were mosaic for cells heterozygous and homozygous for 11p markers and that tumours subsequently developed from the homozygous cells that had undergone an 11p somatic recombination event. We suggest that LOH for 11p alleles is compatible with normal growth and differentiation and is significant pathologically only when accompanied by other genetic alterations.

Immigrant patients with chronic hepatitis C and advanced fibrosis have a higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma.

To explore the impact of the differences in baseline characteristics between immigrants with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and native-born patients on the prognosis of advanced fibrosis. A retrospective cohort study was conducted in 318 patients (including 128 immigrants) with CHC and advanced fibrosis attending a tertiary referral clinic. Patients' medical records were reviewed to collect data describing immigrant status, baseline characteristics, and liver-related clinical outcomes. Kaplan-Meier (KM) analyses and Cox proportional-hazards regression analyses were performed to explore the differences between the two groups with respect to clinical outcomes. Relative to native-born patients, immigrant patients were older, more likely to be female, and more likely to be Asian. Immigrants were less likely to be heavy drinkers, heavy smokers, injection drug users, and more likely to have type 2 diabetes. KM analyses indicated that immigrant patients had a significantly higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) than Canadian-born patients (P = 0.005). Univariate Cox proportional-hazards analyses indicated that immigrant status (hazard ratio (HR) 2.22; P = 0.006), age (HR 1.07; P < 0.001), heavy drinking (HR 2.69; P = 0.001), heavy smoking (HR 2.03; P = 0.019), and type 2 diabetes (HR 2.06; P = 0.011) were significantly associated with the risk of HCC. Multivariable Cox proportional-hazards analyses showed that immigrant status was not an independent risk factor for HCC (HR 1.37; P = 0.318) after adjusting for age and type 2 diabetes. Older age and higher prevalence of type 2 diabetes accounted for the increased risk of HCC among immigrant patients with CHC and advanced fibrosis.

Vitamin K supplementation for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fractures: is it cost-effective and is future research warranted?

UNLABELLED: Lifetime supplementation with vitamin K, vitamin D(3), and calcium is likely to reduce fractures and increase survival in postmenopausal women. It would be a cost-effective intervention at commonly used thresholds, but high uncertainty around the cost-effectiveness estimates persists. Further research on the effect of vitamin K on fractures is warranted. INTRODUCTION: Vitamin K might have a role in the primary prevention of fractures, but uncertainties about its effectiveness and cost-effectiveness persist. METHODS: We developed a state-transition probabilistic microsimulation model to quantify the cost-effectiveness of various interventions to prevent fractures in 50-year-old postmenopausal women without osteoporosis. We compared no supplementation, vitamin D(3) (800 IU/day) with calcium (1,200 mg/day), and vitamin K(2) (45 mg/day) with vitamin D(3) and calcium (at the same doses). An additional analysis explored replacing vitamin K(2) with vitamin K(1) (5 mg/day). RESULTS: Adding vitamin K(2) to vitamin D(3) with calcium reduced the lifetime probability of at least one fracture by 25%, increased discounted survival by 0.7 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) (95% credible interval (CrI) 0.2; 1.3) and discounted costs by $8,956, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $12,268/QALY. At a $50,000/QALY threshold, the probability of cost-effectiveness was 95% and the population expected value of perfect information (EVPI) was $28.9 billion. Adding vitamin K(1) to vitamin D and calcium reduced the lifetime probability of at least one fracture by 20%, increased discounted survival by 0.4 QALYs (95% CrI -1.9; 1.4) and discounted costs by $4,014, yielding an ICER of $9,557/QALY. At a $50,000/QALY threshold, the probability of cost-effectiveness was 80% while the EVPI was $414.9 billion. The efficacy of vitamin K was the most important parameter in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Lifetime supplementation with vitamin K, vitamin D(3), and calcium is likely to reduce fractures and increase survival in postmenopausal women. Given high uncertainty around the cost-effectiveness estimates, further research on the efficacy of vitamin K on fractures is warranted.

The prevalence of autoimmune disease in patients with esophageal achalasia.

Achalasia is a rare disease of the esophagus that has an unknown etiology. Genetic, infectious, and autoimmune mechanisms have each been proposed. Autoimmune diseases often occur in association with one another, either within a single individual or in a family. There have been separate case reports of patients with both achalasia and one or more autoimmune diseases, but no study has yet determined the prevalence of autoimmune diseases in the achalasia population. This paper aims to compare the prevalence of autoimmune disease in patients with esophageal achalasia to the general population. We retrospectively reviewed the charts of 193 achalasia patients who received treatment at Toronto's University Health Network between January 2000 and May 2010 to identify other autoimmune diseases and a number of control conditions. We determined the general population prevalence of autoimmune diseases from published epidemiological studies. The achalasia sample was, on average, 10-15 years older and had slightly more men than the control populations. Compared to the general population, patients with achalasia were 5.4 times more likely to have type I diabetes mellitus (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.5-19), 8.5 times as likely to have hypothyroidism (95% CI 5.0-14), 37 times as likely to have Sjögren's syndrome (95% CI 1.9-205), 43 times as likely to have systemic lupus erythematosus (95% CI 12-154), and 259 times as likely to have uveitis (95% CI 13-1438). Overall, patients with achalasia were 3.6 times more likely to suffer from any autoimmune condition (95% CI 2.5-5.3). Our findings are consistent with the impression that achalasia's etiology has an autoimmune component. Further research is needed to more conclusively define achalasia as an autoimmune disease.

Treatment of hepatitis C infection for current or former substance abusers in a community setting.

Substance abusers account for the largest number of hepatitis C infected cases in developed countries. We describe a care model for treating current or former substance abusers with antiviral therapy for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. The care model involved hepatitis nurses, a psychologist, infectious disease specialist and primary care physicians. Clients met selection criteria including regular attendance at clinic appointments and social stability. Use of alcohol and illicit substances was monitored with urine toxicology screens. The association between substance use, rates of completion of therapy and rates of response were assessed using multivariable regression analyses. A total of 109 clients (75 with genotype 1/4 and 34 with genotype 2/3) received at least one injection with pegylated interferon between November 2002 and January 2006. Treatment completion rates of 61 and 74% were achieved for genotypes 1/4 and 2/3, respectively. Treatment response rates in an intention to treat analysis were 51% for genotypes 1/4 and 68% for genotypes 2/3. A positive urine toxicology screen indicating use of illicit substances 6 months prior to initiating therapy was significantly associated with lower rates of treatment completion but not lower rates of sustained virological response. A positive urine screen indicating use of alcohol prior to therapy was significantly associated with lower rates of completion and lower rates of response. Rates of completion and response are comparable to non-substance abusing populations. Antiviral therapy for HCV infection can be successful within the context of ongoing care for substance abuse for carefully selected patients.