RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Undifferentiated acute febrile illness (AFI) is a common presentation among adults in primary care settings in Singapore but large gaps exist in the understanding of the characteristics of these patients. We studied clinical and epidemiological characteristics of AFI patients and factors associated with delayed recovery from AFI. METHODS: We performed a secondary data analysis using data from the Early DENgue infection and outcome (EDEN) study on 2046 adult patients presenting at 5 Singapore polyclinics between December 2007 and February 2013 with a history of fever (≥38 °C) for less than 72 h. We used an accelerated failure time model to investigate factors associated with delayed recovery from AFI. RESULTS: The mean age of patients was 36.6 years, 65 % were male, 51 % were of Chinese ethnicity, and 75 % lived in public housing. Median illness duration was 5 days (interquartile range, 3-7). In multivariable analysis, the unemployed and white collar workers had longer illness duration compared with blue collar workers (time ratio (TR), 1.10; 95 % confidence interval (CI), 1.03-1.17 and TR, 1.08; 95 % CI, 1.02-1.15, respectively). Patients with more symptoms at initial consultation had slower recovery (TR, 1.03 per additional symptom; 95 % CI, 1.02-1.03). Other clinical factors were also associated with longer duration of illness, including use of analgesics (TR, 1.21; 95 % CI, 1.15-1.28); use of cough medicines (TR, 1.14; 95 % CI, 1.08-1.20); use of antibiotics (TR, 1.14; 95 % CI, 1.07-1.21); and hospitalization (TR, 1.59; 95 % CI, 1.39-1.82). Compared to patients with normal WBC count at first consultation, those with low WBC count had slower recovery (TR, 1.14; 95 % CI, 1.07-1.21), while the reverse was observed among patients with high WBC count (TR, 0.94; 95 % CI, 0.88-1.00). CONCLUSIONS: Differences in illness duration among different types of employment may reflect differences in their underlying general health status. Early identification of factors delaying recovery could help triage management in a primary care setting. In-depth characterization of fever etiology in Singapore will improve surveillance and control activities.
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Febre de Causa Desconhecida/epidemiologia , Febre de Causa Desconhecida/etiologia , Adulto , Analgésicos/uso terapêutico , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Dengue/tratamento farmacológico , Dengue/epidemiologia , Feminino , Febre/tratamento farmacológico , Febre/epidemiologia , Febre/etiologia , Febre de Causa Desconhecida/tratamento farmacológico , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Contagem de Leucócitos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Singapura/epidemiologia , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Tetanus toxoid vaccination is a life-saving maternal and child health intervention. Understanding gaps in maternal vaccination coverage is key to informing progress towards universal health coverage. We assessed the vaccination coverage in Myanmar and investigated factors associated with being unvaccinated. METHOD: In this cross-sectional analysis of 2015-16 Demographic and Health Survey data including women aged 15-49 years with at least one childbirth in the last five years. The outcome maternal tetanus vaccination during her last pregnancy, defined as protected against neonatal tetanus based on the Myanmar National Guidelines for Antenatal Care. We also examined mothers who missed a second dose of tetanus toxoid containing vaccine (TTCV) by states and regions. We used logistic regression models to assess factors associated with being unvaccinated. RESULTS: Overall maternal tetanus vaccination coverage was 72%. At subnational level, the percent unvaccinated was highest in Shan State (42%), followed by Magway Region (33%), Kayin State (33%), and Sagaing Region (32%). The percentage of mothers who missed a second dose of TTCV was high predominantly in regions, rather than states. We found that the percentage of unvaccinated mothers was higher among younger mothers, and mothers with lower educational attainment. No antenatal care (ANC) or receiving ANC in non-public healthcare facilities were strongly associated with being unvaccinated. Differences in percent unvaccinated by maternal age were largely mediated through their healthcare access, particularly ANC services. INTERPRETATION: We identified regional, structural, and individual differences in maternal tetanus vaccination coverage. Factors influencing mothers who missed a second dose of TTCV warrant further investigation. Achieving universal coverage of maternal tetanus vaccination will largely depend on the ability to provide accessible antenatal care to most women who do not currently receive it.
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Tétano , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Estudos Transversais , Demografia , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mianmar , Gravidez , Cuidado Pré-Natal , Tétano/prevenção & controle , Toxoide Tetânico , Vacinação , Adulto JovemRESUMO
IMPORTANCE: Since January 2020, Singapore has implemented comprehensive measures to suppress SARS-CoV-2. Despite this, the country has experienced contrasting epidemics, with limited transmission in the community and explosive outbreaks in migrant worker dormitories. OBJECTIVE: To estimate SARS-CoV-2 infection incidence among migrant workers and the general population in Singapore. DESIGN: Prospective serological cohort studies. SETTING: Two cohort studies - in a migrant worker dormitory and in the general population in Singapore. PARTICIPANTS: 478 residents of a SARS-CoV-2-affected migrant worker dormitory were followed up between May and July 2020, with blood samples collected on recruitment and after 2 and 6 weeks. In addition, 937 community-dwelling adult Singapore residents, for whom pre-pandemic sera were available, were recruited. These individuals also provided a serum sample on recruitment in November/December 2020. EXPOSURE: Exposure to SARS-CoV-2 in a densely populated migrant worker dormitory and in the general population. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The main outcome measures were the incidences of SARS-CoV-2 infection in migrant workers and in the general population, as determined by the detection of neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2, and adjusting for assay sensitivity and specificity using a Bayesian modeling framework. RESULTS: No evidence of community SARS-CoV-2 exposure was found in Singapore prior to September 2019. It was estimated that < 2 per 1000 adult residents in the community were infected with SARS-CoV-2 in 2020 (cumulative seroprevalence: 0.16%; 95% CrI: 0.008-0.72%). Comparison with comprehensive national case notification data suggested that around 1 in 4 infections in the general population were associated with symptoms. In contrast, in the migrant worker cohort, almost two-thirds had been infected by July 2020 (cumulative seroprevalence: 63.8%; 95% CrI: 57.9-70.3%); no symptoms were reported in almost all of these infections. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Our findings demonstrate that SARS-CoV-2 suppression is possible with strict and rapid implementation of border restrictions, case isolation, contact tracing, quarantining, and social-distancing measures. However, the risk of large-scale epidemics in densely populated environments requires specific consideration in preparedness planning. Prioritization of these settings in vaccination strategies should minimize the risk of future resurgences and potential spillover of transmission to the wider community.
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COVID-19 , Migrantes , Adulto , Teorema de Bayes , Humanos , Pandemias , Estudos Prospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Singapura/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Several countries have implemented control measures to limit SARS-CoV-2 spread, including digital contact tracing, digital monitoring of quarantined individuals, and testing of travelers. These raise ethical issues around privacy, personal freedoms, and equity. However, little is known regarding public acceptability of these measures. METHODS: In December 2020, we conducted a survey among 3635 respondents in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Malaysia to understand public perceptions on the acceptability of COVID-19 control measures. FINDINGS: Hong Kong respondents were much less supportive of digital contact tracing and monitoring devices than those in Malaysia and Singapore. Around three-quarters of Hong Kong respondents perceived digital contact tracing as an unreasonable restriction of individual freedom; <20% trusted that there were adequate local provisions preventing these data being used for other purposes. This was the opposite in Singapore, where nearly 3/4 of respondents agreed that there were adequate data protection rules locally. In contrast, only a minority of Hong Kong respondents viewed mandatory testing and vaccination for travelers as unreasonable infringements of privacy or freedom. Less than 2/3 of respondents in all territories were willing to be vaccinated against COVID-19, with a quarter of respondents undecided. However, support for differential travel restrictions for vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals was high in all settings. INTERPRETATION: Our findings highlight the importance of sociopolitical context in public perception of public health measures and emphasize the need to continually monitor public attitudes toward such measures to inform implementation and communication strategies.
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COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Estudos Transversais , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Malásia/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Singapura/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) is endemic in hospitals worldwide. Intrahospital transfers may impact MRSA acquisition risk experienced by patients. In this study, we investigated ward characteristics and connectivity that are associated with MRSA acquisition. METHODS: We analysed electronic medical records on patient transfers and MRSA screening of in-patients at an acute-care tertiary hospital in Singapore to investigate whether ward characteristics and connectivity within a network of in-patient wards were associated with MRSA acquisition rates over a period of four years. RESULTS: Most patient transfers concentrated in a stable core network of wards. Factors associated with increased rate of MRSA acquisition were MRSA prevalence among patients transferred from other wards (rate ratio (RR): 7.74 [95% confidence interval (CI): 3.88, 15.44], additional 5 percentage point), critical care ward (RR: 1.72 [95% CI: 1.09, 2.70]) and presence of MRSA cohorting beds (RR: 1.39 [95% CI: 1.03, 1.90]. Oncology ward (RR: 0.66 [95% CI: 0.46, 0.94]) (compared to medical ward), and median length of stay (RR: 0.70 [95% CI: 0.55, 0.90], additional 1.5 days) were associated with lower acquisition rates. In addition, we found evidence of interaction between MRSA prevalence among patients transferred from other wards and weighted in-degree although the latter was not associated with MRSA acquisition after controlling for confounders. CONCLUSION: Wards with higher MRSA prevalence among patients transferred from other wards were more likely to have higher MRSA acquisition rate. Its effect further increased in wards receiving greater number of patients. In addition, critical care ward, presence of MRSA cohorting beds, ward specialty, and median length of stay were associated with MRSA acquisition.
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Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente à Meticilina , Infecções Estafilocócicas/epidemiologia , Centros de Atenção Terciária , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Doença Iatrogênica/epidemiologia , Masculino , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente à Meticilina/isolamento & purificação , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente à Meticilina/patogenicidade , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Singapura/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: On 31 December 2019, an epidemic of pneumonia of unknown aetiology was first reported in the city of Wuhan, Hubei Province, People's Republic of China. A rapidly progressing epidemic of COVID-19 ensued within China, with multiple exportations to other countries. We aimed to measure perceptions and responses towards COVID-19 in three countries to understand how population-level anxiety can be mitigated in the early phases of a pandemic. METHODS: Between February and March 2020, we conducted online surveys in Singapore, China and Italy with a total of 4505 respondents to measure respondents' knowledge, perceptions, anxiety and behaviours towards the COVID-19 epidemic, and identified factors associated with lower anxiety and more positive behavioural responses. RESULTS: Respondents reported high awareness of COVID-19 and its accompanying symptoms, comparable information-seeking habits and similarly high levels of information sufficiency, adherence to and acceptance of public health control measures. Higher self-efficacy was associated with lower anxiety levels in all three countries, while willingness to comply with restrictive measures and greater information sufficiency were associated with more positive behavioural changes to reduce spread of infection. CONCLUSION: Population-level anxiety and behavioural responses to an outbreak can be influenced by information provided. This should be used to inform future outbreak preparedness plans, taking into account the importance of increasing population-level self-efficacy and information sufficiency to reduce anxiety and promote positive behavioural changes.
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Ansiedade/epidemiologia , COVID-19/psicologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto , Atitude , Estudos Transversais , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , AutoeficáciaRESUMO
The efficacy of virus-specific T cells in clearing pathogens involves a fine balance between antiviral and inflammatory features. SARS-CoV-2-specific T cells in individuals who clear SARS-CoV-2 without symptoms could reveal nonpathological yet protective characteristics. We longitudinally studied SARS-CoV-2-specific T cells in a cohort of asymptomatic (n = 85) and symptomatic (n = 75) COVID-19 patients after seroconversion. We quantified T cells reactive to structural proteins (M, NP, and Spike) using ELISpot and cytokine secretion in whole blood. Frequencies of SARS-CoV-2-specific T cells were similar between asymptomatic and symptomatic individuals, but the former showed an increased IFN-γ and IL-2 production. This was associated with a proportional secretion of IL-10 and proinflammatory cytokines (IL-6, TNF-α, and IL-1ß) only in asymptomatic infection, while a disproportionate secretion of inflammatory cytokines was triggered by SARS-CoV-2-specific T cell activation in symptomatic individuals. Thus, asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2-infected individuals are not characterized by weak antiviral immunity; on the contrary, they mount a highly functional virus-specific cellular immune response.
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Infecções Assintomáticas , COVID-19/imunologia , Citocinas/imunologia , Ativação Linfocitária , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Linfócitos T/imunologia , Adulto , COVID-19/sangue , Citocinas/sangue , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , SARS-CoV-2/metabolismo , Linfócitos T/metabolismoRESUMO
Road traffic accidents (RTAs) are a major cause of death and injury globally. There was little information on the burden and causes of RTAs in Bhutan. The study estimates the burden and characteristics of RTAs and describes the victims of RTAs in Bhutan. A descriptive cross-sectional study conducted analysing police case records. In 2013-2014, 1866 accidents resulted in 1143 injuries and 157 deaths. We identified 39% more deaths from RTAs than that submitted to WHO in 2013 as the 30-day mortality. The main causes were careless driving and drunk-driving. Drivers and passengers constituted 86% of the deaths with few pedestrian deaths. Data for in-hospital deaths or after discharge were not available. Productivity loss due to RTA is around 1% of national GDP. There is significant mortality and morbidity from RTAs in Bhutan. There is no coordinated system for data collection and surveillance to monitor SDG goal 3.6.
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Acidentes de Trânsito/estatística & dados numéricos , Polícia/estatística & dados numéricos , Ferimentos e Lesões/epidemiologia , Acidentes de Trânsito/economia , Acidentes de Trânsito/mortalidade , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Butão/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Dirigir sob a Influência/estatística & dados numéricos , Eficiência , Feminino , Produto Interno Bruto , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pedestres/estatística & dados numéricos , Ferimentos e Lesões/mortalidade , Adulto JovemRESUMO
There are numerous challenges in planning and implementing effective disease control programmes in Myanmar, which is undergoing internal political and economic transformations whilst experiencing massive inflows of external funding. The objective of our study-involving key informant discussions, participant observations and linked literature reviews-was to analyse how tuberculosis (TB) control strategies in Myanmar are influenced by the broader political, economic, epidemiological and health systems context using the Systemic Rapid Assessment conceptual and analytical framework. Our findings indicate that the substantial influx of donor funding, in the order of one billion dollars over a 5-year period, may be too rapid for the country's infrastructure to effectively utilize. TB control strategies thus far have tended to favour medical or technological approaches rather than infrastructure development, and appear to be driven more by perceived urgency to 'do something' rather informed by evidence of cost-effectiveness and sustainable long-term impact. Progress has been made towards ambitious targets for scaling up treatment of drug-resistant TB, although there are concerns about ensuring quality of care. We also find substantial disparities in health and funding allocation between regions and ethnic groups, which are related to the political context and health system infrastructure. Our situational assessment of emerging TB control strategies in this transitioning health system indicates that large investments by international donors may be pushing Myanmar to scale up TB and drug-resistant TB services too quickly, without due consideration given to the health system (service delivery infrastructure, human resource capacity, quality of care, equity) and epidemiological (evidence of effectiveness of interventions, prevention of new cases) context.
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Atenção à Saúde/economia , Tuberculose Pulmonar/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Pulmonar/economia , Análise Custo-Benefício/organização & administração , Atenção à Saúde/organização & administração , Etnicidade , Organização do Financiamento , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/economia , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/organização & administração , Humanos , Mianmar/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/economia , Tuberculose Pulmonar/prevenção & controleRESUMO
Background: National drug policies are formulated to encourage rational use of drugs and to reduce drug resistance. This study assessed physicians' compliance with the National Drug Policy on Malaria at a tertiary care hospital in north India. Methods: This mixed method study extracted data from adult malaria inpatient records of the hospital from 2010-2015, and assessed drug supply at pharmacies. Physicians' practices and perspectives were explored by in-depth interviews. Compliance was assessed by severity, type of species and pregnancy status. Thematic analysis was done for the qualitative data. Results: A total of 247 case files were reviewed. Vivax malaria (41.0%) was more common than falciparum malaria (37.2%). The majority (90.8%) of cases were severe malaria. Overall compliance for use of schizonticidal drug was 73.0% in severe malaria and was only 9.5% in uncomplicated malaria. Compliance for use of gametocidal drug (primaquine) was 15.3%. Schizonticidal drugs were available in all pharmacies except the public one. Primaquine was available in only one. The main themes emerging in the thematic network analysis were physicians' misconceptions, physician-related factors, and hospital-related and drug access factors. Conclusions: The degree of compliance for severe malaria treatment was reasonably good but low for radical cure. Raising knowledge and awareness among health care providers, by using written treatment protocols and continuing medical education would improve compliance.
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Antimaláricos/uso terapêutico , Fidelidade a Diretrizes/estatística & dados numéricos , Malária/tratamento farmacológico , Adulto , Antimaláricos/provisão & distribuição , Atitude do Pessoal de Saúde , Feminino , Hospitais de Ensino/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Índia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Farmácias/estatística & dados numéricos , Padrões de Prática Médica , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial resistance is a public health problem of global importance. In Singapore, much focus has been given to antibiotic usage patterns in hospital settings. Data on antibiotic use in primary care is lacking. We describe antibiotic usage patterns and assess factors contributing to antibiotic usage among adults presenting with acute febrile illness (AFI) in primary care settings in Singapore. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Early Dengue infection and outcome study. Adults with AFI presenting at 5 Singapore polyclinics were included. We used multivariable logistic regression to assess demographic, clinical and laboratory factors associated with antibiotic usage among adults with AFI. RESULTS: Between December 2007 and February 2013, 1884 adult AFI patients were enrolled. Overall, 16% of adult AFI patients reported antibiotic use. We observed a rise in the use of over-the-counter medications in late 2009 and a decrease in antibiotic use during 2010, possibly related to the outbreak of pandemic influenza A H1N1 virus. After adjusting for age, gender, polyclinic and year of enrolment, the following factors were associated with higher odds of antibiotic use: living in landed property (compared to public housing) (OR = 1.73; 95% CI: 1.06-2.80); body mass index (BMI) <18.5 (OR = 1.87; 95% CI: 1.19-2.93); elevated white blood cell (WBC) count (OR = 1.98; 95% CI: 1.42-2.78); and persistence of initial symptoms at 2-3 days follow-up with OR (95% CI) for categories of 1, 2, 3, and ≥4 persisting symptoms being 2.00 (1.38-2.92), 2.67 (1.80-3.97), 4.26 (2.73-6.64), and 2.79 (1.84-4.24) respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides insights on antibiotic usage among adult patients presenting to primary care clinics with febrile illness, and suggests that high socio-economic status, and risk factors of a severe illness, that is, low BMI and persistence of initial symptoms, are associated with higher antibiotic use. Further work to understand trends of antibiotic usage in both private and public primary care clinics, and factors that influence patient expectation and physician prescribing of antibiotics is important.