Determining Predictive Outcome Factors for a Multimodal Treatment Program in Low Back Pain Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine the factors predictive of outcomes in a multifaceted rehabilitation program for acute and chronic low back pain (LBP) patients. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed on 565 LBP patients (153 acute and 412 chronic) who participated in a multimodal treatment program at an outpatient clinic in Belgium between 2007 and 2010. The predictive value of several factors, including age, sex, body mass index, fat percentage, Oswestry Disability Index score, Beck Depression Index score, Numeric Pain Rating Scale score for back and leg pain intensity, and Tampa Scale for Kinesiophobia score on favorable treatment outcomes was examined using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The results from the multivariate regression indicated that a higher score on the Tampa Scale for Kinesiophobia (odds ratio [OR] = 0.92) decreases the odds of a favorable outcome following a multimodal treatment program in acute LBP. Older age (OR = 0.97), low LBP intensity (OR = 1.191), and higher scores on the Beck Depression Index (OR = 0.96) and the Oswestry LBP Disability Index (OR = 0.93) decreased the odds of a favorable treatment outcome in chronic LBP. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study indicate that factors predictive of a (un)favorable treatment outcome differ between acute and chronic LBP. Specifically, kinesiophobia is predictive of poor treatment outcome in acute LBP. In chronic LBP, older age, low LBP intensity, and higher degrees of depression and LBP-related disability are predictive of poor treatment outcome. Therapists should consider assessing these predictive factors at intake to tailor the content of the multimodal treatment program to individual patient needs.

Predicting treatment adherence and outcome to outpatient multimodal rehabilitation in chronic low back pain.

BACKGROUND: There is a growing need to identify patient pre-treatment characteristics that could predict adherence and outcome following specific interventions. OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of adherence and outcome to outpatient multimodal rehabilitation in chronic low back pain (CLBP). METHODS: A total of 273 CLBP patients participated in an exercise-based rehabilitation program. Patients who completed ⩾ 70% of the treatment course were classified as adherent. Patients showing a post-treatment reduction of ⩾ 30% in Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) and Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) back pain intensity scores were assigned to the favorable outcome group. RESULTS: Multivariate logistic regression revealed that higher age, higher ability to perform low-load activities, and higher degrees of kinesiophobia increased the odds to complete the rehabilitation program. By contrast, lower levels of education and back pain unrelated to poor posture increased the odds for non-adherence. Furthermore, a favorable outcome was predicted in case the cause for LBP was known, shorter symptom duration, no pain in the lower legs, no difficulties falling asleep, and short-term work absenteeism. CONCLUSIONS: Assessment and consideration of patient pre-treatment characteristics is of great importance as they may enable therapists to identify patients with a good prognosis or at risk for non-responding to outpatient multimodal rehabilitation.