Decision-making under uncertainty for species introductions into ecological networks.

Ecological communities are increasingly subject to natural and human-induced additions of species, as species shift their ranges under climate change, are introduced for conservation and are unintentionally moved by humans. As such, decisions about how to manage ecosystems subject to species introductions and considering multiple management objectives need to be made. However, the impacts of gaining new species on ecological communities are difficult to predict due to uncertainty in introduced species characteristics, the novel interactions that will be produced by that species, and the recipient ecosystem structure. Drawing on ecological and conservation decision theory, we synthesise literature into a conceptual framework for species introduction decision-making based on ecological networks in high-uncertainty contexts. We demonstrate the application of this framework to a theoretical decision surrounding assisted migration considering both biodiversity and ecosystem service objectives. We show that this framework can be used to evaluate trade-offs between outcomes, predict worst-case scenarios, suggest when one should collect additional data, and allow for improving knowledge of the system over time.

The spatial structure of the tumor immune microenvironment can explain and predict patient response in high-grade serous carcinoma.

Despite ovarian cancer being the deadliest gynecological malignancy, there has been little change to therapeutic options and mortality rates over the last three decades. Recent studies indicate that the composition of the tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) influences patient outcomes but are limited by a lack of spatial understanding. We performed multiplexed ion beam imaging (MIBI) on 83 human high-grade serous carcinoma tumors - one of the largest protein-based, spatially-intact, single-cell resolution tumor datasets assembled - and used statistical and machine learning approaches to connect features of the TIME spatial organization to patient outcomes. Along with traditional clinical/immunohistochemical attributes and indicators of TIME composition, we found that several features of TIME spatial organization had significant univariate correlations and/or high relative importance in high-dimensional predictive models. The top performing predictive model for patient progression-free survival (PFS) used a combination of TIME composition and spatial features. Results demonstrate the importance of spatial structure in understanding how the TIME contributes to treatment outcomes. Furthermore, the present study provides a generalizable roadmap for spatial analyses of the TIME in ovarian cancer research.

The spatial structure of the tumor immune microenvironment can explain and predict patient response in high-grade serous carcinoma.

Ovarian cancer is the deadliest gynecological malignancy, and therapeutic options and mortality rates over the last three decades have largely not changed. Recent studies indicate that the composition of the tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) influences patient outcomes. To improve spatial understanding of the TIME, we performed multiplexed ion beam imaging on 83 human high-grade serous carcinoma tumor samples, identifying about 160,000 cells across 23 cell types. For 77 of these samples meeting inclusion criteria, we generated composition features based on cell type proportions, spatial features based on the distances between cell types, and spatial network features representing cell interactions and cell clustering patterns, which we linked to traditional clinical and immunohistochemical variables and patient overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) outcomes. Among these features, we found several significant univariate correlations, including B-cell contact with M1 macrophages (OS hazard ratio HR=0.696, p=0.011, PFS HR=0.734, p=0.039). We then used high-dimensional random forest models to evaluate out-of-sample predictive performance for OS and PFS outcomes and to derive relative feature importance scores for each feature. The top model for predicting low or high PFS used TIME composition and spatial features and achieved an average AUC (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve) score of 0.71. The results demonstrate the importance of spatial structure in understanding how the TIME contributes to treatment outcomes. Furthermore, the present study provides a generalizable roadmap for spatial analyses of the TIME in ovarian cancer research.

Being (In)Visible: Privacy, Transparency, and Disclosure in the Self-Management of Bipolar Disorder.

Research in personal informatics (PI) calls for systems to support social forms of tracking, raising questions about how privacy can and should support intentionally sharing sensitive health information. We focus on the case of personal data related to the self-tracking of bipolar disorder (BD) in order to explore the ways in which disclosure activities intersect with other privacy experiences. While research in HCI often discusses privacy as a disclosure activity, this does not reflect the ways in which privacy can be passively experienced. In this paper we broaden conceptions of privacy by defining transparency experiences and contributing factors in contrast to disclosure activities and preferences. Next, we ground this theoretical move in empirical analysis of personal narratives shared by people managing BD. We discuss the resulting emergent model of transparency in terms of implications for the design of socially-enabled PI systems. CAUTION: This paper contains references to experiences of mental illness, including self-harm, depression, suicidal ideation, etc.