Comparison of autologous and allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation strategies in patients with primary plasma cell leukemia, with dynamic prediction modeling.

Primary plasma cell leukemia (pPCL) is a rare and challenging malignancy. There are limited data regarding optimum transplant approaches. We therefore undertook a retrospective analysis from 1998-2014 of 751 patients with pPCL undergoing one of four transplant strategies; single autologous transplant (single auto), single allogeneic transplant (allo-first) or a combined tandem approach with an allogeneic transplant following an autologous transplant (auto-allo) or a tandem autologous transplant (auto-auto). To avoid time bias, multiple analytic approaches were employed including Cox models with time-dependent covariates and dynamic prediction by landmarking. Initial comparisons were made between patients undergoing allo-first (n=70) versus auto-first (n=681), regardless of a subsequent second transplant. The allo-first group had a lower relapse rate (45.9%, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 33.2-58.6 vs. 68.4%, 64.4-72.4) but higher non-relapse mortality (27%, 95% CI: 15.9-38.1 vs. 7.3%, 5.2-9.4) at 36 months. Patients who underwent allo-first had a remarkably higher risk in the first 100 days for both overall survival and progression-free survival. Patients undergoing auto-allo (n=122) had no increased risk in the short term and a significant benefit in progression-free survival after 100 days compared to those undergoing single auto (hazard ratio [HR]=0.69, 95% CI: 0.52- 0.92; P=0.012). Auto-auto (n=117) was an effective option for patients achieving complete remission prior to their first transplant, whereas in patients who did not achieve complete remission prior to transplantation our modeling predicted that auto-allo was superior. This is the largest retrospective study reporting on transplantation in pPCL to date. We confirm a significant mortality risk within the first 100 days for allo-first and suggest that tandem transplant strategies are superior. Disease status at time of transplant influences outcome. This knowledge may help to guide clinical decisions on transplant strategy.

Incidence of Second Primary Malignancies after Autologous Transplantation for Multiple Myeloma in the Era of Novel Agents.

The advent of novel agents for multiple myeloma (MM) is cause for a re-examination of the incidence of second primary malignancies (SPMs). We examined the SPM rate in MM patients who were enrolled in the prospective observational CALM (Collaboration to Collect Autologous Transplant outcome in Lymphoma and Myeloma) study. Between 2008 and 2012, 3204 patients with MM underwent a first autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. Plerixafor was used as a mobilizing agent for patients with poor (or potentially poor) stem cell mobilization as defined by the respective centers. A total of 135 patients developed SPMs, with a cumulative incidence of 5.3% (95% confidence interval, 4.4 to 6.3) at 72 months. Ninety-four patients developed solid tumors, 30 developed hematologic malignancies, and 11 developed an SPM of an unknown type. The cumulative incidence of known hematologic and solid malignancies were 1.4% and 3.6%, respectively, at 72 months. In a univariate analysis, use of radiotherapy, type of induction regimen, hematopoietic stem cell dose, poor mobilizer status, plerixafor use, and sex did not influence the cumulative incidence of SPMs. Only age over 65 years was statistically associated with an increased incidence. Overall, the incidence of SPMs was comparable to earlier estimations of SPMs in MM.

UK consensus statement on the use of plerixafor to facilitate autologous peripheral blood stem cell collection to support high-dose chemoradiotherapy for patients with malignancy.

Plerixafor is a CXC chemokine receptor (CXCR4) antagonist that mobilizes stem cells in the peripheral blood. It is indicated (in combination with granulocyte-colony stimulating factor [G-CSF]) to enhance the harvest of adequate quantities of cluster differentiation (CD) 34+ cells for autologous transplantation in patients with lymphoma or multiple myeloma whose cells mobilize poorly. Strategies for use include delayed re-mobilization after a failed mobilization attempt with G-CSF, and rescue or pre-emptive mobilization in patients in whom mobilization with G-CSF is likely to fail. Pre-emptive use has the advantage that it avoids the need to re-schedule the transplant procedure, with its attendant inconvenience, quality-of-life issues for the patient and cost of additional admissions to the transplant unit. UK experience from 2 major centers suggests that pre-emptive plerixafor is associated with an incremental drug cost of less than £2000 when averaged over all patients undergoing peripheral blood stem cell (PBSC) transplant. A CD34+ cell count of <15 µl-1 at the time of recovery after chemomobilization or after four days of G-CSF treatment, or an apheresis yield of <1 × 106 CD34+ cells/kg on the first day of apheresis, could be used to predict the need for pre-emptive plerixafor.

Head-and-neck squamous cell carcinoma risk in smokers: no association detected between phenotype and AHR, CYP1A1, CYP1A2, or CYP1B1 genotype.

BACKGROUND: Head-and-neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) differs between smokers and nonsmokers in etiology and clinical presentation. Because of demonstrated unequivocal involvement in smoking-induced cancer in laboratory animals, four candidate genes--AHR, CYP1A1, CYP1A2, and CYP1B1--were selected for a clinical genotype-phenotype association study of HNSCC risk in smokers. Thirty-six single-nucleotide variants (mostly tag-SNPs) within and near these four genes [16 (AHR), 4 (CYP1A1), 4 (CYP1A2), and 12 (CYP1B1)] were chosen. METHODS: Extreme discordant phenotype (EDP) method of analysis was used to increase statistical power. HNSCC patients--having smoked 1-40 cigarette pack-years--represented the "highly-sensitive" (HS) population; heavy smokers having smoked ≥80 cigarette-pack-years without any type of cancer comprised the "highly-resistant" (HR) group. The vast majority of smokers were intermediate and discarded from consideration. Statistical tests were performed on N = 112 HS and N = 99 HR DNA samples from whole blood. CONCLUSIONS: Among the four genes and flanking regions--one haploblock, ACTTGATC in the 5' portion of CYP1B1, retained statistical significance after 100,000 permutations (P = 0.0042); among our study population, this haploblock was found in 36.4% of African-American, but only 1.49% of Caucasian, HNSCC chromosomes. Interestingly, in the 1000 Genomes Project database, frequency of this haplotype (in 1322 African and 1006 Caucasian chromosomes) is 0.356 and 0.003, respectively. This study represents an excellent example of "spurious association by population stratification". Considering the cohort size, we therefore conclude that the variant alleles chosen for these four genes, alone or in combinations, are not statistically significantly associated with risk of cigarette-smoking-induced HNSCC.

Ag colloids and arrays for plasmonic non-radiative energy transfer from quantum dots to a quantum well.

Non-radiative energy transfer (NRET) can be an efficient process of benefit to many applications including photovoltaics, sensors, light emitting diodes and photodetectors. Combining the remarkable optical properties of quantum dots (QDs) with the electrical properties of quantum wells (QWs) allows for the formation of hybrid devices which can utilize NRET as a means of transferring absorbed optical energy from the QDs to the QW. Here we report on plasmon-enhanced NRET from semiconductor nanocrystal QDs to a QW. Ag nanoparticles in the form of colloids and ordered arrays are used to demonstrate plasmon-mediated NRET from QDs to QWs with varying top barrier thicknesses. Plasmon-mediated energy transfer (ET) efficiencies of up to ∼25% are observed with the Ag colloids. The distance dependence of the plasmon-mediated ET is found to follow the same d -4 dependence as the direct QD to QW ET. There is also evidence for an increase in the characteristic distance of the interaction, thus indicating that it follows a Förster-like model with the Ag nanoparticle-QD acting as an enhanced donor dipole. Ordered Ag nanoparticle arrays display plasmon-mediated ET efficiencies up to ∼21%. To explore the tunability of the array system, two arrays with different geometries are presented. It is demonstrated that changing the geometry of the array allows a transition from overall quenching of the acceptor QW emission to enhancement, as well as control of the competition between the QD donor quenching and ET rates.

Comparison of fludarabine/melphalan (FluMel) with fludarabine/melphalan/BCNU or thiotepa (FBM/FTM) in patients with AML in first complete remission undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation - a registry study on behalf of the EBMT Acute Leukemia Working Party.

Conditioning protocols for patients undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) are being developed continuously to improve their anti-leukemic efficacy and reduce their toxicity. In this study, we compared the conditioning protocol of fludarabine with melphalan 140 mg/m2 (FluMel) with conditioning protocols based on this same backbone but with an additional alkylating agent i.e., either fludarabine/BCNU (also known as carmustine)/melphalan (FBM), or fludarabine/thiotepa/melphalan (FTM) 110 mg/m2. We included 1272 adult patients (FluMel, n = 1002; FBM/FTM, n = 270) with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with intermediate/poor cytogenetic risk in first complete remission (CR) from the registry of the EBMT Acute Leukemia Working Party. Despite patients in the FBM/FTM group were older (64.1 years vs. 59.8 years, p < 0.001) and had a worse Karnofsky performance score (KPS < 90, 33% vs. 24%, p = 0.003), they showed a better overall survival (OS) (2 y OS: 68.3% vs. 58.1%, p = 0.02) and less non-relapse mortality (NRM) (2 y NRM: 15.8% vs. 22.2%, p = 0.009) compared to patients treated with FluMel. No significant differences were observed in relapse incidence (RI) (2 y RI: 24.9% vs. 23.7%, p = 0.62). In conclusion, the addition of a second alkylating agent (BCNU/carmustine or thiotepa) to FluMel as FBM/FTM conditioning, improves OS in AML patients in first CR with intermediate/poor risk cytogenetics after allo-HCT.

Treosulfan compared to busulfan in allogeneic haematopoietic stem cell transplantation for myelofibrosis: a registry-based study from the Chronic Malignancies Working Party of the EBMT.

We aimed to compare outcomes following treosulfan (TREO) or busulfan (BU) conditioning in a large cohort of myelofibrosis (MF) patients from the EBMT registry. A total of 530 patients were included; 73 received TREO and 457 BU (BU ≤ 6.4 mg/kg in 134, considered RIC, BU > 6.4 mg/kg in 323 considered higher dose (HD)). Groups were compared using adjusted Cox models. Cumulative incidences of engraftment and acute GVHD were similar across the 3 groups. The TREO group had significantly better OS than BU-HD (HR:0.61, 95% CI: 0.39-0.93) and a trend towards better OS over BU-RIC (HR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.41-1.05). Moreover, the TREO cohort had a significantly better Progression-Free-Survival (PFS) than both the BU-HD (HR: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.38-0.84) and BU-RIC (HR: 0.60, 95% CI: 0.39-0.91) cohorts, which had similar PFS estimates. Non-relapse mortality (NRM) was reduced in the TREO and BU-RIC cohorts (HR: 0.44, 95% CI: 0.24-0.80 TREO vs BU-HD; HR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.28-1.04 TREO vs BU-RIC). Of note, relapse risk did not significantly differ across the three groups. In summary, within the limits of a registry-based study, TREO conditioning may improve PFS in MF HSCT and have lower NRM than BU-HD with a similar relapse risk to BU-RIC. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation for therapy-related myeloid neoplasms arising following treatment for lymphoma: a retrospective study on behalf of the Chronic Malignancies Working Party of the EBMT.

Therapy-related myeloid neoplasms (t-MN), either myelodysplastic neoplasms (t-MDS) or acute myeloid leukemias (t-AML), have a poor prognosis and allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) represents the only curative option. In this multicenter, registry-based study, we analyzed outcomes of 378 patients undergoing first allo-HCT between 2006-2017 for t-MN arising secondary to lymphoma treatment. Median age was 58 years at allo-HCT; 222 (59%) had a diagnosis of t-MDS and 156 (41%) of t-AML, respectively. At the time of allo-HCT, 46% of t-MN cases were reported as in complete remission (CR) and 15% of lymphomas were recorded as not in remission. A reduced intensity conditioning regimen was used in 70% of cases. For the entire cohort, 5-year OS, and t-MN PFS, relapse incidence and NRM were 32%, 28%, 35% and 37%, respectively. In multivariable analysis, undergoing allo-HCT with t-MN not in CR and older age were associated with significantly worse OS, PFS and NRM. At 5 years post allo-HCT, the relapse incidence of lymphoma was low at 3%, while the rate of secondary malignancies was 8%. This analysis shows the curative potential of allo-HCT for patients with t-MN arising secondary to lymphoma treatment in approximately a third of patients.

Validation of the transplant conditioning intensity (TCI) index for allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation.

The intensity of the conditioning regimen given before allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) can vary substantially. To confirm the ability of the recently developed transplant conditioning intensity (TCI) score to stratify the preparative regimens of allo-HCT, we used an independent and contemporary patient cohort of 4060 transplant recipients with acute myeloid leukemia meeting inclusion criteria from the discovery study (allo-HCT in first complete remission, matched donor), but who were allografted in a more recent period (2018-2021) and were one decade older (55-75 years, median 63.4 years), we assigned them to a TCI category (low n = 1934, 48%; intermediate n = 1948, 48%, high n = 178, 4%) according to the calculated TCI score ([1-2], [2.5-3.5], [4-6], respectively), and examined the validity of the TCI category in predicting early non-relapse mortality (NRM), 2-year NRM and relapse (REL). In the unadjusted comparison, the TCI index provided a significant risk stratification for d100 and d180 NRM, NRM and REL risk. In the multivariate analysis adjusted for significant variables, there was an independent association of TCI with early NRM, NRM and REL. In summary, we confirm in contemporary treated patients that TCI reflects the conditioning regimen related morbidity and anti-leukemic efficacy satisfactorily and across other established prognostic factors.

Carfilzomib, lenalidomide and dexamethasone followed by a second ASCT is an effective strategy in first relapse multiple myeloma: a study on behalf of the Chronic malignancies working party of the EBMT.

In the setting of a first relapse of multiple myeloma (MM), a second autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT) following carfilzomib-lenalidomide-dexamethasone (KRd) is an option, although there is scarce data concerning this approach. We performed a retrospective study involving 22 EBMT-affiliated centers. Eligible MM patients had received a second-line treatment with KRd induction followed by a second ASCT between 2016 and 2018. Primary objective was to estimate progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Secondary objectives were to assess the response rate and identify significant variables affecting PFS and OS. Fifty-one patients were identified, with a median age of 62 years. Median PFS after ASCT was 29.5 months while 24- and 36-months OS rates were 92.1% and 84.5%, respectively. Variables affecting PFS were an interval over four years between transplants and the achievement of a very good partial response (VGPR) or better before the relapse ASCT. Our study suggests that a relapse treatment with ASCT after KRd induction is an effective strategy for patients with a lenalidomide-sensitive first relapse. Patients with at least four years of remission after a frontline ASCT and who achieved at least a VGPR after KRd induction appear to benefit the most from this approach.

Measurable residual disease (MRD) status before allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation impact on secondary acute myeloid leukemia outcome. A Study from the Acute Leukemia Working Party (ALWP) of the European society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation (EBMT).

Measurable residual disease (MRD) assessment before allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) may help physicians to identify a subgroup of patients at high risk of relapse for de novo acute myeloid leukemia (AML) but its relevance among patients affected by secondary AML (sAML) is still unknown. We assessed the impact of MRD among 318 adult patients with sAML who received an allogeneic HCT in first complete remission. At the time of HCT, a total of 208 (65%) patients achieved MRD negativity, while 110 (35%) had positive MRD. 2-year overall survival (OS) was 58.8 % (95% CI 52.2-64.9) with leukemia-free survival (LFS) of 50.0 % (95% CI 43.7-56.1), relapse incidence of 34.2% (95% CI 28.4-40.1) and non-relapse mortality (NRM) of 23.3 % (95% CI 19-27.7) for the entire cohort. In multivariate analysis, HCT recipients with KPS ≥ 90 experienced less disease recurrence (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.4-0.94) with better LFS (HR 0.63, 95% CI 0.44-0.89) and OS (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.39-0.86). There were no differences in major clinical endpoints between patients with MRD-positive and MRD-negative status at the time of HCT. Pre-transplantation assessment of MRD was not informative on post-HCT outcomes in this retrospective registry-based analysis among patients affected by sAML.

Autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation for relapsed multiple myeloma performed with cells procured after previous transplantation-study on behalf of CMWP of the EBMT.

Autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation (auto-HCT) may be performed in multiple myeloma (MM) patients relapsing after a previous auto-HCT. For those without an adequate dose of stored stem cells, remobilization is necessary. This retrospective study included patients who, following disease relapse after the first auto-HCT(s), underwent stem cell remobilization and auto-HCT performed using these cells. There were 305 patients, 68% male, median age at salvage auto-HCT was 59 years. The median time to relapse after the first-line penultimate auto-HCT(s) was 30.6 months, the median follow-up after salvage auto-HCT 31 months. The 2- and 4-year non-relapse mortality (NRM) after the salvage auto-HCT was 5 and 9%, the relapse incidence 56 and 76%, respectively. Overall survival (OS) after 2 and 4 years was 76 and 52%, progression-free survival (PFS) 39 and 15%. In multivariable analysis an increasing interval between the penultimate auto-HCT and relapse was associated with better OS and PFS, later calendar year of salvage auto-HCT with better OS. In conclusion, salvage auto-HCT performed with cells remobilized after a previous auto-HCT was associated with acceptable NRM. The leading cause of failure was disease progression of MM, which correlated with a shorter interval from the penultimate auto-HCT to the first relapse.

IgD Subtype But Not IgM or Non-Secretory Is a Prognostic Marker for Poor Survival Following Autologous Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation in Multiple Myeloma. Results From the EBMT CALM (Collaboration to Collect Autologous Transplant Outcomes in Lymphomas and Myeloma) Study.

BACKGROUND: The Collaboration to Collect Autologous Transplant Outcomes in Lymphoma and Myeloma (CALM) study has provided an opportunity to evaluate the real-world outcomes of patients with myeloma. The aim of this study was to compare the outcome according to the different subtypes of myeloma using CALM data. PATIENTS: This study compared overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and complete remission (CR) and the impact of novel versus non-novel drug containing induction regimens prior to autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) of 2802 patients with "usual" and "rare" myelomas. RESULTS: Our data suggest that IgM and non-secretory myeloma have superior PFS and OS compared with IgD myeloma and outcomes comparable to those for usual myeloma. Patients who received novel agent induction had higher rates of CR prior to transplant. Non-novel induction regimens were associated with inferior PFS but no difference in OS. Although not the primary focus of this study, we show that poor mobilization status is associated with reduced PFS and OS, but these differences disappear in multivariate analysis suggesting that poor mobilization status is a surrogate for other indicators of poor prognosis. CONCLUSION: We confirm that IgD myeloma is associated with the worst prognosis and inferior outcomes compared with the other isotypes.

Amelioration of sexual fantasies to sexual abuse cues in an adult survivor of childhood sexual abuse: a case study.

Although sexual dysfunction of childhood sexual abuse survivors has received considerable attention, other sexual difficulties experienced by survivors of CSA, such as sexual fantasies to cues of sexual abuse, have received less attention. In this A-B design case study, a young adult female survivor of childhood sexual abuse presented for treatment at a Midwest rape crisis center. After successful treatment of post-traumatic stress disorder, she complained of unwanted sexual fantasies to sexual abuse cues and concomitant guilt and shame. Following baseline data collection, treatment consisted of self-applied aversion therapy to unwanted sexual arousal to sexual abuse cues. Decrease in sexual arousal to these cues was concurrent with the introduction of treatment. A concomitant decrease in guilt and shame occurred while self-ratings of control increased.

Can Predictive Modeling Identify Head and Neck Oncology Patients at Risk for Readmission?

Objective Unplanned readmission within 30 days is a contributor to health care costs in the United States. The use of predictive modeling during hospitalization to identify patients at risk for readmission offers a novel approach to quality improvement and cost reduction. Study Design Two-phase study including retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data followed by prospective longitudinal study. Setting Tertiary academic medical center. Subjects and Methods Prospectively collected data for patients undergoing surgical treatment for head and neck cancer from January 2013 to January 2015 were used to build predictive models for readmission within 30 days of discharge using logistic regression, classification and regression tree (CART) analysis, and random forests. One model (logistic regression) was then placed prospectively into the discharge workflow from March 2016 to May 2016 to determine the model's ability to predict which patients would be readmitted within 30 days. Results In total, 174 admissions had descriptive data. Thirty-two were excluded due to incomplete data. Logistic regression, CART, and random forest predictive models were constructed using the remaining 142 admissions. When applied to 106 consecutive prospective head and neck oncology patients at the time of discharge, the logistic regression model predicted readmissions with a specificity of 94%, a sensitivity of 47%, a negative predictive value of 90%, and a positive predictive value of 62% (odds ratio, 14.9; 95% confidence interval, 4.02-55.45). Conclusion Prospectively collected head and neck cancer databases can be used to develop predictive models that can accurately predict which patients will be readmitted. This offers valuable support for quality improvement initiatives and readmission-related cost reduction in head and neck cancer care.

IRAK1 is a novel DEK transcriptional target and is essential for head and neck cancer cell survival.

The chromatin-binding DEK protein was recently reported to promote the growth of HPV+ and HPV- head and neck squamous cell carcinomas (HNSCCs). Relevant cellular and molecular mechanism(s) controlled by DEK in HNSCC remain poorly understood. While DEK is known to regulate specific transcriptional targets, global DEK-dependent gene networks in HNSCC are unknown. To identify DEK transcriptional signatures we performed RNA-Sequencing (RNA-Seq) in HNSCC cell lines that were either proficient or deficient for DEK. Bioinformatic analyses and subsequent validation revealed that IRAK1, a regulator of inflammatory signaling, and IRAK1-dependent regulatory networks were significantly repressed upon DEK knockdown in HNSCC. According to TCGA data, 14% of HNSCC specimens overexpressed IRAK1, thus supporting possible oncogenic functions. Furthermore, genetic or pharmacologic inhibition of IRAK1 in HNSCC cell lines was sufficient to attenuate downstream signaling such as ERK1/2 and to induce HNSCC cell death by apoptosis. Finally, targeting DEK and IRAK1 simultaneously enhanced cell death as compared to targeting either alone. Our findings reveal that IRAK1 promotes cell survival and is an attractive therapeutic target in HNSCC cells. Thus, we propose a model wherein IRAK1 stimulates tumor signaling and phenotypes both independently and in conjunction with DEK.

Recurrent advanced (T3 or T4) head and neck squamous cell carcinoma: is salvage possible?

BACKGROUND: Salvage surgery is often the only curative option for recurrent cancer. In patients whose initial tumor is stage T3 or T4, the primary therapy often makes salvage even more difficult. We therefore analyzed the outcome in patients who were originally treated for T3 or T4 squamous cell carcinoma of the oral cavity, larynx, oropharynx, or hypopharynx and who then had a recurrence and chose to undergo further therapy for cure. PATIENTS AND METHODS: From 1980 to 2000, a total of 940 patients were treated for stage T3 or T4 cancer. Forty-eight patients underwent salvage therapy for recurrence: 24 for primary site recurrence, 20 for regional recurrence, and 4 for locoregional recurrence. RESULTS: The mean time to recurrence was 14.0 months, and the mean survival time was 26.2 months. Among the 28 patients treated for primary site recurrence, the mean time to rerecurrence was 12.6 months, and the mean survival time was 27.3 months. Only 5 of the 28 patients had prolonged survival. The stage of the recurrent disease did not influence outcome. Among the 20 patients treated for neck recurrence, the mean time to recurrence was 14.0 months, and the mean survival time was 25.0 months. Six of the 20 patients had prolonged survival, but none had a recurrence in a previously dissected and irradiated neck. CONCLUSIONS: These results show the limited potential for survival in patients who have a recurrence after treatment for advanced primary site head and neck cancer. Patients who have not undergone all modalities of therapy have the potential for salvage, but even then the chances are limited. Given the morbidity of salvage therapy, and the limited chance for cure, physicians must cautiously counsel patients who are contemplating treatment of recurrent cancer after therapy for advanced disease.

Therapeutic decision making in stages III and IV head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The best treatment for advanced head and neck cancer remains unclear. Proponents of various therapeutic regimens continue to debate this issue with inconclusive and frequently biased data and with carefully selected patients in controlled trials to support their approach. To assess the outcome of patients in a real-world situation, we reviewed a prospectively maintained database of patients with head and neck cancer. METHODS: We reviewed data from 591 consecutive patients with stage III or IV squamous cell carcinoma treated at a university medical center from January 1, 1992, through December 31, 2000, and analyzed survival using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: Overall survival was 48%, 40%, and 33% at 2, 3, and 5 years, respectively. We found a significant death rate due to comorbid conditions. The primary tumor was treated surgically (with or without postoperative radiation) in 363 patients, with survival of 55%, 46%, and 38% at 2, 3, and 5 years, respectively. The tumor was treated primarily with radiation therapy (with or without neck dissection) in 193 patients, with survival of 40%, 33%, and 27% at 2, 3, and 5 years, respectively. Overall survival in the surgical group was better than in the radiation group (P =.005, log-rank chi 2 test). The radiation group was subcategorized into those who underwent radiation because the tumor was so advanced as to be unresectable (n = 86), because they were too unhealthy to undergo radical surgery (n = 23), and because they elected radiation therapy (n = 84). Survival in each of the radiation subgroups at 2, 3, and 5 years was 28%, 20%, and 14%, respectively, in the unresectable group; 34%, 22%, and 11%, respectively, in the unhealthy group; and 57%, 53%, and 46%, respectively, in the elective group. Thus, survival in the elective radiation subgroup exceeded that of the surgical group, although not statistically. We analyzed data regarding T and N stages, age, race, surgical margin status, postoperative radiation therapy, chemotherapy, radiation dose, and tumor site. Multivariate analysis of the surgical group and elective radiation subgroup showed that N stage and age were the strongest predictors of survival and that the method of therapy was not significant. For oropharyngeal cancer, the patients in the elective radiation subgroup did as well as the surgical group. Many patients were noncompliant with portions of therapy, with a resulting reduction in survival. CONCLUSIONS: The data demonstrate the value of analyzing a consecutive series of patients with advanced head and neck cancer. By including patients with comorbidities and those who are noncompliant, we determined a realistic expectation of patient outcomes. By including all patients, the data dramatically show the impact of age, comorbidity, and advanced stage on survival. The survival of patients who underwent elective radiation therapy in combination with neck dissection was similar to that of patients treated with primary tumor surgery. This was particularly true for oropharyngeal tumors. The site and stage-specific data are useful in counseling patients with advanced head and neck cancer regarding treatment choices.