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1.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 29(10): 2102-2104, 2023 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37735769

RESUMO

We estimated direct costs of a 4-month or 6-month regimen for drug-susceptible pulmonary tuberculosis treatment in the United States. Costs were $23,000 per person treated. Actual treatment costs will vary depending on examination and medication charges, as well as expenses associated with directly observed therapy.


Assuntos
Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Tuberculose Pulmonar , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Humanos , Terapia Diretamente Observada , Tuberculose Pulmonar/tratamento farmacológico
2.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 72(12): 313-316, 2023 Mar 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36952279

RESUMO

U.S. clinical practice guidelines recommend directly observed therapy (DOT) as the standard of care for tuberculosis (TB) treatment (1). DOT, during which a health care worker observes a patient ingesting the TB medications, has typically been conducted in person. Video DOT (vDOT) uses video-enabled devices to facilitate remote interactions between patients and health care workers to promote medication adherence and clinical monitoring. Published systematic reviews, a published meta-analysis, and a literature search through 2022 demonstrate that vDOT is associated with a higher proportion of medication doses being observed and similar proportions of cases with treatment completion and microbiologic resolution when compared with in-person DOT (2-5). Based on this evidence, CDC has updated the recommendation for DOT during TB treatment to include vDOT as an equivalent alternative to in-person DOT. vDOT can assist health department TB programs meet the U.S. standard of care for patients undergoing TB treatment, while using resources efficiently.


Assuntos
Telemedicina , Tuberculose , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Terapia Diretamente Observada , Tuberculose/tratamento farmacológico , Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Adesão à Medicação
3.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 71(8): 285-289, 2022 Feb 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35202353

RESUMO

On May 5, 2021, CDC's Tuberculosis Trials Consortium and the National Institutes of Health (NIH)-sponsored AIDS Clinical Trials Group (ACTG) published results from a randomized controlled trial indicating that a 4-month regimen containing rifapentine (RPT), moxifloxacin (MOX), isoniazid (INH), and pyrazinamide (PZA) was as effective as the standard 6-month regimen for tuberculosis (TB) treatment (1). On the basis of these findings, CDC recommends the 4-month regimen as a treatment option for U.S. patients aged ≥12 years with drug-susceptible pulmonary TB and provides implementation considerations for this treatment regimen.


Assuntos
Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Isoniazida/uso terapêutico , Moxifloxacina/uso terapêutico , Pirazinamida/uso terapêutico , Rifampina/análogos & derivados , Tuberculose Pulmonar/tratamento farmacológico , Antituberculosos/administração & dosagem , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Esquema de Medicação , Quimioterapia Combinada , Humanos , Isoniazida/administração & dosagem , Moxifloxacina/administração & dosagem , Pirazinamida/administração & dosagem , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Rifampina/administração & dosagem , Rifampina/uso terapêutico , Estados Unidos
4.
MMWR Recomm Rep ; 69(1): 1-11, 2020 02 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32053584

RESUMO

Comprehensive guidelines for treatment of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) among persons living in the United States were last published in 2000 (American Thoracic Society. CDC targeted tuberculin testing and treatment of latent tuberculosis infection. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2000;161:S221-47). Since then, several new regimens have been evaluated in clinical trials. To update previous guidelines, the National Tuberculosis Controllers Association (NTCA) and CDC convened a committee to conduct a systematic literature review and make new recommendations for the most effective and least toxic regimens for treatment of LTBI among persons who live in the United States.The systematic literature review included clinical trials of regimens to treat LTBI. Quality of evidence (high, moderate, low, or very low) from clinical trial comparisons was appraised using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) criteria. In addition, a network meta-analysis evaluated regimens that had not been compared directly in clinical trials. The effectiveness outcome was tuberculosis disease; the toxicity outcome was hepatotoxicity. Strong GRADE recommendations required at least moderate evidence of effectiveness and that the desirable consequences outweighed the undesirable consequences in the majority of patients. Conditional GRADE recommendations were made when determination of whether desirable consequences outweighed undesirable consequences was uncertain (e.g., with low-quality evidence).These updated 2020 LTBI treatment guidelines include the NTCA- and CDC-recommended treatment regimens that comprise three preferred rifamycin-based regimens and two alternative monotherapy regimens with daily isoniazid. All recommended treatment regimens are intended for persons infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis that is presumed to be susceptible to isoniazid or rifampin. These updated guidelines do not apply when evidence is available that the infecting M. tuberculosis strain is resistant to both isoniazid and rifampin; recommendations for treating contacts exposed to multidrug-resistant tuberculosis were published in 2019 (Nahid P, Mase SR Migliori GB, et al. Treatment of drug-resistant tuberculosis. An official ATS/CDC/ERS/IDSA clinical practice guideline. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2019;200:e93-e142). The three rifamycin-based preferred regimens are 3 months of once-weekly isoniazid plus rifapentine, 4 months of daily rifampin, or 3 months of daily isoniazid plus rifampin. Prescribing providers or pharmacists who are unfamiliar with rifampin and rifapentine might confuse the two drugs. They are not interchangeable, and caution should be taken to ensure that patients receive the correct medication for the intended regimen. Preference for these rifamycin-based regimens was made on the basis of effectiveness, safety, and high treatment completion rates. The two alternative treatment regimens are daily isoniazid for 6 or 9 months; isoniazid monotherapy is efficacious but has higher toxicity risk and lower treatment completion rates than shorter rifamycin-based regimens.In summary, short-course (3- to 4-month) rifamycin-based treatment regimens are preferred over longer-course (6-9 month) isoniazid monotherapy for treatment of LTBI. These updated guidelines can be used by clinicians, public health officials, policymakers, health care organizations, and other state and local stakeholders who might need to adapt them to fit individual clinical circumstances.


Assuntos
Tuberculose Latente/tratamento farmacológico , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Humanos , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Estados Unidos
5.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 201(3): 356-365, 2020 02 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31626560

RESUMO

Rationale: Mathematical modeling is used to understand disease dynamics, forecast trends, and inform public health prioritization. We conducted a comparative analysis of tuberculosis (TB) epidemiology and potential intervention effects in California, using three previously developed epidemiologic models of TB.Objectives: To compare the influence of various modeling methods and assumptions on epidemiologic projections of domestic latent TB infection (LTBI) control interventions in California.Methods: We compared model results between 2005 and 2050 under a base-case scenario representing current TB services and alternative scenarios including: 1) sustained interruption of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) transmission, 2) sustained resolution of LTBI and TB prior to entry of new residents, and 3) one-time targeted testing and treatment of LTBI among 25% of non-U.S.-born individuals residing in California.Measurements and Main Results: Model estimates of TB cases and deaths in California were in close agreement over the historical period but diverged for LTBI prevalence and new Mtb infections-outcomes for which definitive data are unavailable. Between 2018 and 2050, models projected average annual declines of 0.58-1.42% in TB cases, without additional interventions. A one-time LTBI testing and treatment intervention among non-U.S.-born residents was projected to produce sustained reductions in TB incidence. Models found prevalent Mtb infection and migration to be more significant drivers of future TB incidence than local transmission.Conclusions: All models projected a stagnation in the decline of TB incidence, highlighting the need for additional interventions including greater access to LTBI diagnosis and treatment for non-U.S.-born individuals. Differences in model results reflect gaps in historical data and uncertainty in the trends of key parameters, demonstrating the need for high-quality, up-to-date data on TB determinants and outcomes.


Assuntos
Modelos Teóricos , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Tuberculose/prevenção & controle , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , California/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Política de Saúde , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Tuberculose Latente/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Latente/prevenção & controle , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Adulto Jovem
6.
Epidemiology ; 31(2): 248-258, 2020 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31764278

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: A single 2-year National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) cycle is designed to provide accurate and stable estimates of conditions with prevalence of at least 10%. Recent NHANES-based estimates of a tuberculin skin test (TST) ≥10 mm in the noninstitutionalized US civilian population are at most 6.3%. METHODS: NHANES included a TST in 1971-1972, 1999-2000, and 2011-2012. We examined the robustness of NHANES-based estimates of the US population prevalence of a skin test ≥10 mm with a bias analysis that considered the influence of non-US birth distributions and within-household skin test results, reclassified borderline-positive results, and adjusted for TST item nonresponse. RESULTS: The weighted non-US birth distribution among NHANES participants was similar to that in the overall US population; further adjustment was unnecessary. We found no evidence of bias due to sampling multiple participants per household. Prevalence estimates changed 0.3% with reclassification of borderline-positive TST results and 0.2%-0.3% with adjustment for item nonresponse. CONCLUSIONS: For estimating the national prevalence of a TST ≥10 mm during these three survey cycles, a conventional NHANES analysis using the standard participant weights and masked design parameters that are provided in the public-use datasets appears robust. See video abstract at, http://links.lww.com/EDE/B636.


Assuntos
Inquéritos Nutricionais , Teste Tuberculínico , Tuberculose , Humanos , Prevalência , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Teste Tuberculínico/estatística & dados numéricos , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
7.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 24(10): 1930-1933, 2018 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30226174

RESUMO

We used tuberculosis genotyping results to derive estimates of prevalence of latent tuberculosis infection in the United States. We estimated <1% prevalence in 1,981 US counties, 1%-<3% in 785 counties, and >3% in 377 counties. This method for estimating prevalence could be applied in any jurisdiction with an established tuberculosis surveillance system.


Assuntos
Tuberculose Latente/epidemiologia , Genótipo , Geografia Médica , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Incidência , Tuberculose Latente/história , Tuberculose Latente/microbiologia , Mycobacterium/classificação , Mycobacterium/genética , Vigilância da População , Prevalência , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
8.
Am J Public Health ; 108(S4): S315-S320, 2018 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30383432

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To assess changes in US tuberculosis (TB) incidence rates by age, period, and cohort effects, stratified according to race/ethnicity and nativity. METHODS: We used US National Tuberculosis Surveillance System data for 1996 to 2016 to estimate trends through age-period-cohort models. RESULTS: Controlling for cohort and period effects indicated that the highest rates of TB incidence occurred among those 0 to 5 and 20 to 30 years of age. The incidence decreased by age for successive birth cohorts. There were greater estimated annual percentage decreases among US-born individuals (-7.3%; 95% confidence interval [CI] = -7.5, -7.1) than among non-US-born individuals (-4.3%; 95% CI = -4.5, -4.1). US-born individuals older than 25 years exhibited the largest decreases, a pattern that was not reflected among non-US-born adults. In the case of race/ethnicity, the greatest decreases by nativity were among US-born Blacks (-9.3%; 95% CI = -9.6, -9.1) and non-US-born Hispanics (-5.7%; 95% CI = -6.0, -5.5). CONCLUSIONS: TB has been decreasing among all ages, races and ethnicities, and consecutive cohorts, although these decreases are less pronounced among non-US-born individuals.


Assuntos
Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Negro ou Afro-Americano/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Emigrantes e Imigrantes/estatística & dados numéricos , Hispânico ou Latino/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
9.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 67(25): 723-726, 2018 Jun 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29953429

RESUMO

Treatment of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) is critical to the control and elimination of tuberculosis disease (TB) in the United States. In 2011, CDC recommended a short-course combination regimen of once-weekly isoniazid and rifapentine for 12 weeks (3HP) by directly observed therapy (DOT) for treatment of LTBI, with limitations for use in children aged <12 years and persons with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection (1). CDC identified the use of 3HP in those populations, as well as self-administration of the 3HP regimen, as areas to address in updated recommendations. In 2017, a CDC Work Group conducted a systematic review and meta-analyses of the 3HP regimen using methods adapted from the Guide to Community Preventive Services. In total, 19 articles representing 15 unique studies were included in the meta-analysis, which determined that 3HP is as safe and effective as other recommended LTBI regimens and achieves substantially higher treatment completion rates. In July 2017, the Work Group presented the meta-analysis findings to a group of TB experts, and in December 2017, CDC solicited input from the Advisory Council for the Elimination of Tuberculosis (ACET) and members of the public for incorporation into the final recommendations. CDC continues to recommend 3HP for treatment of LTBI in adults and now recommends use of 3HP 1) in persons with LTBI aged 2-17 years; 2) in persons with LTBI who have HIV infection, including acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), and are taking antiretroviral medications with acceptable drug-drug interactions with rifapentine; and 3) by DOT or self-administered therapy (SAT) in persons aged ≥2 years.


Assuntos
Antibióticos Antituberculose/uso terapêutico , Isoniazida/uso terapêutico , Tuberculose Latente/tratamento farmacológico , Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Rifampina/análogos & derivados , Adolescente , Antibióticos Antituberculose/administração & dosagem , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Esquema de Medicação , Quimioterapia Combinada , Humanos , Isoniazida/administração & dosagem , Rifampina/administração & dosagem , Rifampina/uso terapêutico , Estados Unidos
10.
J Biomed Inform ; 57: 446-55, 2015 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26334478

RESUMO

National syndromic surveillance systems require optimal anomaly detection methods. For method performance comparison, we injected multi-day signals stochastically drawn from lognormal distributions into time series of aggregated daily visit counts from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's BioSense syndromic surveillance system. The time series corresponded to three different syndrome groups: rash, upper respiratory infection, and gastrointestinal illness. We included a sample of facilities with data reported every day and with median daily syndromic counts ⩾1 over the entire study period. We compared anomaly detection methods of five control chart adaptations, a linear regression model and a Poisson regression model. We assessed sensitivity and timeliness of these methods for detection of multi-day signals. At a daily background alert rate of 1% and 2%, the sensitivities and timeliness ranged from 24 to 77% and 3.3 to 6.1days, respectively. The overall sensitivity and timeliness increased substantially after stratification by weekday versus weekend and holiday. Adjusting the baseline syndromic count by the total number of facility visits gave consistently improved sensitivity and timeliness without stratification, but it provided better performance when combined with stratification. The daily syndrome/total-visit proportion method did not improve the performance. In general, alerting based on linear regression outperformed control chart based methods. A Poisson regression model obtained the best sensitivity in the series with high-count data.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Biovigilância , Surtos de Doenças , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Modelos Lineares , Vigilância da População , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Estados Unidos
11.
BMC Cardiovasc Disord ; 15: 109, 2015 Sep 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26423142

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cardiac injury is a known potential complication of influenza infection. Because U.S. veterans cared for at the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs are older and have more cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors than the general U.S. population, veterans are at risk for cardiac complications of influenza infection. We investigated biomarkers of cardiac injury characteristics and associated cardiac events among veterans who received cardiac biomarker testing ≤30 days after laboratory-confirmed influenza virus infection. METHODS: Laboratory-confirmed influenza cases among veterans cared for at U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs' facilities for October 2010-December 2012 were identified using electronic medical records (EMRs). Influenza confirmation was based on respiratory specimen viral culture or antigen or nucleic acid detection. Acute cardiac injury (ACI) was defined as an elevated cardiac biomarker (troponin I or creatinine kinase isoenzyme MB) >99 % of the upper reference limit occurring ≤30 days after influenza specimen collection. EMRs were reviewed for demographics, CVD history and risk factors, and ACI-associated cardiac events. RESULTS: Among 38,197 patients with influenza testing results, 4,469 (12 %) had a positive result; 600 of those patients had cardiac biomarker testing performed ≤30 days after influenza testing, and 143 (24 %) had one or more elevated cardiac biomarkers. Among these 143, median age was 73 years (range 44-98 years), and 98 (69 %) were non-Hispanic white. All patients had one or more CVD risk factors, and 98 (69 %) had a history of CVD. Eighty-six percent of ACI-associated events occurred within 3 days of influenza specimen collection date. Seventy patients (49 %) had documented or probable acute myocardial infarction, 8 (6 %) acute congestive heart failure, 6 (4 %) myocarditis, and 4 (3 %) atrial fibrillation. Eleven (8 %) had non-cardiac explanations for elevated cardiac biomarkers, and 44 (31 %) had no documented explanation. Sixty-eight (48 %) patients had received influenza vaccination during the related influenza season. CONCLUSION: Among veterans with laboratory-confirmed influenza infection and cardiac biomarker testing ≤30 days after influenza testing, approximately 25 % had evidence of ACI, the majority within 3 days. Approximately half were myocardial infarctions. Our findings emphasize the importance of considering ACI associated with influenza infection among patients at high risk, including this older population with prevalent CVD risk factors.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Influenza Humana/complicações , Veteranos , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Biomarcadores/sangue , Feminino , Humanos , Vacinas contra Influenza , Influenza Humana/tratamento farmacológico , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Tempo , Estados Unidos , Vacinação , Adulto Jovem
12.
Am J Epidemiol ; 179(2): 216-25, 2014 Jan 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24142915

RESUMO

We estimated the rate of reactivation tuberculosis (TB) in the United States, overall and by population subgroup, using data on TB cases and Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolate genotyping reported to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention during 2006-2008. The rate of reactivation TB was defined as the number of non-genotypically clustered TB cases divided by the number of person-years at risk for reactivation due to prevalent latent TB infection (LTBI). LTBI was ascertained from tuberculin skin tests given during the 1999-2000 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Clustering of TB cases was determined using TB genotyping data collected by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and analyzed via spatial scan statistic. Of the 39,920 TB cases reported during 2006-2008, 79.7% were attributed to reactivation. The overall rate of reactivation TB among persons with LTBI was estimated as 0.084 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.083, 0.085) cases per 100 person-years. Rates among persons with and without human immunodeficiency virus coinfection were 1.82 (95% CI: 1.74, 1.89) and 0.073 (95% CI: 0.070, 0.075) cases per 100 person-years, respectively. The rate of reactivation TB among persons with LTBI was higher among foreign-born persons (0.098 cases/100 person-years; 95% CI: 0.096, 0.10) than among persons born in the United States (0.082 cases/100 person-years; 95% CI: 0.080, 0.083). Differences in rates of TB reactivation across subgroups support current recommendations for targeted testing and treatment of LTBI.


Assuntos
Tuberculose Latente/epidemiologia , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/fisiologia , Ativação Viral , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Humanos , Tuberculose Latente/complicações , Masculino , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
13.
PLoS One ; 18(10): e0292106, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37797071

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Studying treatment duration for rifampicin-resistant and multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR/RR-TB) using observational data is methodologically challenging. We aim to present a hypothesis generating approach to identify factors associated with shorter duration of treatment. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We conducted an individual patient data meta-analysis among MDR/RR-TB patients restricted to only those with successful treatment outcomes. Using multivariable linear regression, we estimated associations and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) between the outcome of individual deviation in treatment duration (in months) from the mean duration of their treatment site and patient characteristics, drug resistance, and treatments used. RESULTS: Overall, 6702 patients with successful treatment outcomes from 84 treatment sites were included. We found that factors commonly associated with poor treatment outcomes were also associated with longer treatment durations, relative to the site mean duration. Use of bedaquiline was associated with a 0.51 (95% CI: 0.15, 0.87) month decrease in duration of treatment, which was consistent across subgroups, while MDR/RR-TB with fluoroquinolone resistance was associated with 0.78 (95% CI: 0.36, 1.21) months increase. CONCLUSION: We describe a method to assess associations between clinical factors and treatment duration in observational studies of MDR/RR-TB patients, that may help identify patients who can benefit from shorter treatment.


Assuntos
Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos , Humanos , Antituberculosos/farmacologia , Duração da Terapia , Fluoroquinolonas/farmacologia , Rifampina/farmacologia , Resultado do Tratamento , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico
14.
Clin Infect Dis ; 54(2): 211-9, 2012 Jan 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22198989

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Genotyping of Mycobacterium tuberculosis has revealed 4 major phylogenetic lineages with differential distribution worldwide. It is not clear whether different lineages are associated with different sites of infection (eg, pulmonary tuberculosis versus extrapulmonary tuberculosis). We sought to determine whether M. tuberculosis lineage is associated with the site of tuberculosis disease. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of all culture-confirmed cases of tuberculosis with routinely determined M. tuberculosis spoligotype-defined lineage reported to the US National Tuberculosis Surveillance System from 2004 through 2008. Odds ratios (ORs) were used to assess the relation between disease site and M. tuberculosis lineage, after adjustment for age, sex, human immunodeficiency virus infection status, region of birth, and race/ethnicity. RESULTS: Of 53972 reported culture-positive tuberculosis cases, 32000 (59.3%) were cases of M. tuberculosis that included complete spoligotype-based data on lineage. Of these, 23844 (74.5%) were exclusively pulmonary, 5085 (15.9%) were exclusively extrapulmonary, and 3071 (9.6%) were combined pulmonary and extrapulmonary. The percentages of tuberculosis cases that were exclusively extrapulmonary differed by lineage: East Asian, 13.0%; Euro-American, 13.8%; Indo-Oceanic, 22.6%; and East-African Indian, 34.3%. Compared with East Asian lineage, the odds of exclusively extrapulmonary tuberculosis relative to exclusively pulmonary tuberculosis were greater for Euro-American (adjusted OR, 1.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-1.4), Indo-Oceanic (adjusted OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.5-1.9), and East-African Indian (adjusted OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.4-1.9) lineages. CONCLUSIONS: Phylogenetic lineage of M. tuberculosis is associated with the site of tuberculosis disease.


Assuntos
Mycobacterium tuberculosis/classificação , Tuberculose/microbiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genética , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/isolamento & purificação , Razão de Chances , Grupos Raciais , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
15.
Clin Infect Dis ; 54(11): 1553-60, 2012 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22474225

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Although seasonal variation in tuberculosis incidence has been described in several recent studies, the mechanism underlying this seasonality remains unknown. Seasonality of tuberculosis disease may indicate the presence of season-specific risk factors that could potentially be controlled if they were better understood. We conducted this study to determine whether tuberculosis is seasonal in the United States and to describe patterns of seasonality in specific populations. METHODS: We performed a time series decomposition analysis of tuberculosis cases reported to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention from 1993 through 2008. Seasonal amplitude of tuberculosis disease (the difference between the months with the highest and lowest mean case counts), was calculated for the population as a whole and for populations with select demographic, clinical, and epidemiologic characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 243 432 laboratory-confirmed tuberculosis cases were reported over a period of 16 years. A mean of 21.4% more cases were diagnosed in March, the peak month, compared with November, the trough month. The magnitude of seasonality did not vary with latitude. The greatest seasonal amplitude was found among children aged <5 years and in cases associated with disease clusters. CONCLUSIONS: Tuberculosis is a seasonal disease in the United States, with a peak in spring and trough in late fall. The latitude independence of seasonality suggests that reduced winter sunlight exposure may not be a strong contributor to tuberculosis risk. Increased seasonality among young children and clustered cases suggests that disease that is the result of recent transmission is more influenced by season than disease resulting from activation of latent infection.


Assuntos
Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estações do Ano , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
16.
Stat Med ; 31(27): 3278-84, 2012 Nov 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22415632

RESUMO

Although annual data are commonly used to model linear trends and changes in trends of disease incidence, monthly data could provide additional resolution for statistical inferences. Because monthly data may exhibit seasonal patterns, we need to consider seasonally adjusted models, which can be theoretically complex and computationally intensive. We propose a combination of methods to reduce the complexity of modeling seasonal data and to provide estimates for a change in trend when the timing and magnitude of the change are unknown. To assess potential changes in trend, we first used autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to analyze the residuals and forecast errors, followed by multiple ARIMA intervention models to estimate the timing and magnitude of the change. Because the variable corresponding to time of change is not a statistical parameter, its confidence bounds cannot be estimated by intervention models. To model timing of change and its credible interval, we developed a Bayesian technique. We avoided the need for computationally intensive simulations by deriving a closed form for the posterior distribution of the time of change. Using a combination of ARIMA and Bayesian methods, we estimated the timing and magnitude of change in trend for tuberculosis cases in the United States. Published 2012. This article is a US Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.


Assuntos
Teorema de Bayes , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Modelos Estatísticos , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Humanos , Incidência , Morbidade , Estações do Ano , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
17.
Stat Med ; 31(27): 3295-8, 2012 Nov 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22437451

RESUMO

In public health and medical research, ratio measures of percent change relative to baseline are often used to express a change in disease incidence. Estimating variance becomes more complex when the comparison is to an expectation based on previous data (E), rather than to an observed value (O). In 2009, the decline in reported tuberculosis (TB) cases was the largest single-year decrease since national TB surveillance began in 1953. To investigate the 2009 TB decline compared with expected counts, we analyzed TB cases reported to the Center for Disease Control and Prevention's National Tuberculosis Surveillance System. We log-transformed case counts for 2000-2008, and performed linear regression stratified by patient and clinical characteristics. We calculated relative declines from expectation as (O - E) ∕ E for patient subgroups, and constructed 95% confidence intervals for TB declines. We then formulated a Z-score test statistic comparing declines across patient subgroups under the null hypothesis that the difference of the two ratio measures was zero. We illustrate our methods by comparing 2009 declines from expectation for US-born versus foreign-born patients. Predicted values and confidence intervals assessed the magnitude of unexpected TB declines within patient groups, while statistical tests comparing ratio measures evaluated relative TB declines across groups. Published 2012. This article is a US Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.


Assuntos
Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Modelos Estatísticos , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/isolamento & purificação , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Intervalos de Confiança , Humanos , Incidência , Vigilância da População , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
18.
BMC Public Health ; 12: 365, 2012 May 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22607324

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) in developed countries has historically been associated with poverty and low socioeconomic status (SES). In the past quarter century, TB in the United States has changed from primarily a disease of native-born to primarily a disease of foreign-born persons, who accounted for more than 60% of newly-diagnosed TB cases in 2010. The purpose of this study was to assess the association of SES with rates of TB in U.S.-born and foreign-born persons in the United States, overall and for the five most common foreign countries of origin. METHODS: National TB surveillance data for 1996-2005 was linked with ZIP Code-level measures of SES (crowding, unemployment, education, and income) from U.S. Census 2000. ZIP Codes were grouped into quartiles from low SES to high SES and TB rates were calculated for foreign-born and U.S.-born populations in each quartile. RESULTS: TB rates were highest in the quartiles with low SES for both U.S.-born and foreign-born populations. However, while TB rates increased five-fold or more from the two highest to the two lowest SES quartiles among the U.S.-born, they increased only by a factor of 1.3 among the foreign-born. CONCLUSIONS: Low SES is only weakly associated with TB among foreign-born persons in the United States. The traditional associations of TB with poverty are not sufficient to explain the epidemiology of TB among foreign-born persons in this country and perhaps in other developed countries. TB outreach and research efforts that focus only on low SES will miss an important segment of the foreign-born population.


Assuntos
Emigrantes e Imigrantes/estatística & dados numéricos , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Classe Social , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Adulto , China/etnologia , Feminino , Humanos , Índia/etnologia , Masculino , México/etnologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Filipinas/etnologia , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Vietnã/etnologia
19.
J Public Health Manag Pract ; 18(4): 375-8, 2012.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22635193

RESUMO

CONTEXT: Review of routinely collected tuberculosis genotyping results following a known outbreak is a potential mechanism to examine the effectiveness of outbreak control measures. OBJECTIVE: To assess differences in characteristics between outbreak and postoutbreak tuberculosis cases. DESIGN: Retrospective. SETTING: United States. PARTICIPANTS: All tuberculosis cases identified as a result of >5-person outbreaks investigated by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention during 2003 to 2007 (original outbreak cases), and subsequent culture-positive tuberculosis cases with matching Mycobacterium tuberculosis genotypes reported in the same county during 2004 to 2008 (postoutbreak cases). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Proportion of demographic, social, and clinical characteristics of tuberculosis outbreak cases compared to postoutbreak cases. SECONDARY: Proportion of demographic, social, and clinical characteristics of epidemiologically linked versus nonlinked cases. RESULTS: Six outbreaks with 111 outbreak cases and 110 postoutbreak cases were identified. Differences between outbreak and postoutbreak cases were gender (69% vs 85% male; P < .01), birth origin (3% vs 11% foreign-born; P = .02), disease severity (48% vs 62% sputum smear-positive; P = .04), homelessness (38% vs 51%; P = .05), and injection drug use (4% vs 11%; P = .04). For 5 of the 6 outbreaks, the status of epidemiologic relationships among postoutbreak cases was available (n = 89). The postoutbreak cases with a known epidemiologic link to the original outbreak were in younger persons (aged 39 vs 47 years; P < .01), and a larger proportion reported injection drug use (18% vs 4%; P = .04) or noninjection drug use (44% vs 18%; P < .01) than those without a reported link. CONCLUSIONS: Health jurisdictions can utilize genotyping data to monitor and define the characteristics of postoutbreak cases related to the original outbreak.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Técnicas de Genotipagem , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genética , Tuberculose Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Técnicas de Cultura , Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Emigração e Imigração/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Pessoas Mal Alojadas/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Controle de Infecções/normas , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Epidemiologia Molecular/métodos , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/isolamento & purificação , Polimorfismo de Fragmento de Restrição , Vigilância da População , Prevalência , Prisioneiros/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Distribuição por Sexo , Escarro/microbiologia , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Pulmonar/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Pulmonar/microbiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
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