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1.
J Med Virol ; 94(5): 2201-2211, 2022 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35067944

RESUMO

The public health interventions to mitigate coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) could also potentially reduce the global activity of influenza. However, this strategy's impact on other common infectious diseases is unknown. We collected data of 10 respiratory infectious (RI) diseases, influenza-like illnesses (ILIs), and seven gastrointestinal infectious (GI) diseases during 2015-2020 in China and applied two proportional tests to check the differences in the yearly incidence and mortality, and case-fatality rates (CFRs) over the years 2015-2020. The results showed that the overall RI activity decreased by 7.47%, from 181.64 in 2015-2019 to 168.08 per 100 000 in 2020 (p < 0.001); however, the incidence of influenza was seen to have a 16.08% escalation (p < 0.001). In contrast, the average weekly ILI percentage and positive influenza virus rate decreased by 6.25% and 61.94%, respectively, in 2020 compared to the previous 5 years (all p < 0.001). The overall incidence of GI decreased by 45.28%, from 253.73 in 2015-2019 to 138.84 in 2020 per 100 000 (p < 0.001), and with the greatest decline seen in hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) (64.66%; p < 0.001). The mortality and CFRs from RI increased by 128.49% and 146.95%, respectively, in 2020, compared to 2015-2019 (p < 0.001). However, the mortality rates and CFRs of seven GI decreased by 70.56% and 46.12%, respectively (p < 0.001). In conclusion, China's COVID-19 elimination/containment strategy is very effective in reducing the incidence rates of RI and GI, and ILI activity, as well as the mortality and CFRs of GI diseases.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Doenças Transmissíveis , Influenza Humana , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , China/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Humanos , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Saúde Pública , SARS-CoV-2
2.
Arch Virol ; 167(2): 577-581, 2022 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35039974

RESUMO

Outbreaks of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis (AHC) are associated with a high disease burden. In this study, we investigated the association between enhanced public health intervention and the incidence of AHC during the COVID-19 pandemic in China. A total of 212,526 AHC cases were reported in China during 2015-2020. The overall yearly incidence rate and number of AHC cases decreased by 23.08% and 22.15%, respectively, during the COVID-19 epidemic, compared with the previous 5 years (all p < 0.001). Significant reductions in AHC incidence were found both during the emergency period and after the relaxation of emergency measures in 2020 compared to the previous 5 years (22.22% and 28.00% reduction, respectively; p < 0.001). Enhanced public health initiatives during the COVID-19 pandemic in China were therefore associated with lower transmission of pathogens causing AHC.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Conjuntivite Hemorrágica Aguda , China/epidemiologia , Conjuntivite Hemorrágica Aguda/epidemiologia , Conjuntivite Hemorrágica Aguda/prevenção & controle , Surtos de Doenças , Humanos , Incidência , Pandemias , Saúde Pública , SARS-CoV-2
3.
BMC Infect Dis ; 22(1): 638, 2022 Jul 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35869450

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Recurrence continues to place significant burden on patients and tuberculosis programmes worldwide, and previous studies have rarely provided analysis in negative recurrence cases. We characterized the epidemiological features of recurrent pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) patients, estimated its probability associated with different bacteriology results and risk factors. METHODS: Using 2005-2018 provincial surveillance data from Henan, China, where the permanent population approximately were 100 million, we described the epidemiological and bacteriological features of recurrent PTB. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard models, respectively, were used to estimate probability of recurrent PTB and risk factors. RESULTS: A total of 7143 (1.5%) PTB patients had recurrence, and of 21.1% were bacteriological positive on both laboratory tests (positive-positive), and of 34.9% were negative-negative. Compared with bacteriological negative recurrent PTB at first episodes, the bacteriological positive cases were more male (81.70% vs 72.79%; P < 0.001), higher mortality risk (1.78% vs 0.92%; P = 0.003), lower proportion of cured or completed treatment (82.81% vs 84.97%; P = 0.022), and longer time from onset to end-of-treatment. The probability of recurrence was higher in bacteriological positive cases than those in bacteriological negative cases (0.5% vs 0.4% at 20 months; P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Based on patient's epidemiological characteristics and bacteriological type, it was necessary to actively enact measures to control their recurrent.


Assuntos
Tuberculose Pulmonar , Tuberculose , China/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco , Tuberculose Pulmonar/microbiologia
4.
BMC Infect Dis ; 21(1): 626, 2021 Jul 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34210269

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To quantitatively evaluate the effectiveness of Fangcang shelter hospitals, designated hospitals, and the time interval from illness onset to diagnosis toward the prevention and control of the COVID-19 epidemic. METHODS: We used SEIAR and SEIA-CQFH warehouse models to simulate the two-period epidemic in Wuhan and calculate the time dependent basic reproduction numbers (BRNs) of symptomatic infected individuals, asymptomatic infected individuals, exposed individuals, and community-isolated infected individuals. Scenarios that varied in terms of the maximum numbers of open beds in Fangcang shelter hospitals and designated hospitals, and the time intervals from illness onset to hospitals visit and diagnosis were considered to quantitatively assess the optimal measures. RESULTS: The BRN decreased from 4.50 on Jan 22, 2020 to 0.18 on March 18, 2020. Without Fangcang shelter hospitals, the cumulative numbers of cases and deaths would increase by 18.58 and 51.73%, respectively. If the number of beds in the designated hospitals decreased by 1/2 and 1/4, the number of cumulative cases would increase by 178.04 and 92.1%, respectively. If the time interval from illness onset to hospital visit was 4 days, the number of cumulative cases and deaths would increase by 2.79 and 6.19%, respectively. If Fangcang shelter hospitals were not established, the number of beds in designated hospitals reduced 1/4, and the time interval from visiting hospitals to diagnosis became 4 days, the cumulative number of cases would increase by 268.97%. CONCLUSION: The declining BRNs indicate the high effectiveness of the joint measures. The joint measures led by Fangcang shelter hospitals are crucial and need to be rolled out globally, especially when medical resources are limited.


Assuntos
COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/terapia , Simulação por Computador , Unidades Móveis de Saúde , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/mortalidade , China/epidemiologia , Hospitais Especializados , Humanos , Modelos Biológicos , Saúde Pública
5.
Environ Res ; 201: 111616, 2021 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34233156

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Global climate change could have potential impact on enterovirus (EV)-induced infectious diseases. However, the environmental factors promoting acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis (AHC) circulation remain inconclusive. This study aimed to quantify the relationship between the environment and AHC. METHODS: We retrieved the monthly counts and incidence of AHC, meteorological variables and air quality in mainland China between 2013 and 2018. Exposure risks were evaluated by multivariate distributed lag nonlinear models. RESULTS: A total of 219,599 AHC cases were reported in 31 provinces of China, predominantly in southern and central China, seasonally increased in summer. AHC incidence increased by 7% between 2013 and 2018, from 2.6873 to 2.7570 per 100,000 people. A moderate positive correlation was seen between AHC and monthly mean temperature, relative humidity (RH) and precipitation. Each unit increment was associated with a relative risk for AHC of 1.058 at 17°-32 °C at lag 0 months, 1.017 at 65-71% RH at lag 1.4 months, and 1.039 at 400-569 mm at lag 2.4 months. By contrast, a negative correlation was seen between monthly ambient NO2 and AHC. CONCLUSION: Long-term exposure to higher mean temperature, RH and precipitation were associated with an increased risk of AHC. The general public, especially susceptible populations, should pay close attention to weather changes and take protective measures in advance to any AHC outbreak as the above situations occur.


Assuntos
Poluição do Ar , Conjuntivite Hemorrágica Aguda , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , China/epidemiologia , Conjuntivite Hemorrágica Aguda/epidemiologia , Humanos , Meteorologia , Tempo (Meteorologia)
6.
BMC Public Health ; 18(1): 105, 2018 01 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29304856

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Suboptimal health status (SHS) is the third state between good health and disease. SHS is the clinical or pre-disease status of psychosomatic disease and a major global public health challenge. Although its underlying causes remain unclear, lifestyle is one of the most important factors affecting health status. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was conducted at Renmin University of China in September of 2015. Data were collected from college freshmen using a questionnaire covering characteristics, lifestyle, nutrition status, and health status. A total of 6025 questionnaires were distributed during the study period, and 5344 completed responses were received. RESULTS: The prevalence rates for the "healthy," "SHS," and "disease" groups of college freshmen were 46.7% (2433), 51.2% (2667), and 2.1% (111), respectively. It is notable that health status was significantly positively correlated with lifestyle (Spearman's r = 0.4435, p < 0.001). The multivariate Logistic regression results showed that students who were relatively younger and students from rural areas had a higher percentage of SHS. Good sleep quality (aOR = 0.650, 95%CI = 0.612-0.690), abundant physical exercise (aOR = 0.889, 95%CI = 0.845-0.933), and adequate nutrition intake (aOR = 0.868, 95%CI = 0.864-0.908) are negatively associated with SHS. Overuse of electronic devices (aOR = 1.066, 95%CI = 1.013-1.121), smoking (aOR = 1.824, 95%CI = 1.195-2.755), and weight loss (aOR = 1.255, 95%CI = 1.043-1.509) are positively associated with SHS. CONCLUSIONS: Poor lifestyle behaviors are associated with SHS. In particular, the overuse of electronic devices is one of underlying causes of SHS. By altering lifestyle behaviors for the better, the health statuses of these college freshmen can be effectively improved.


Assuntos
Nível de Saúde , Estilo de Vida , Estudantes/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , China , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários , Universidades , Adulto Jovem
7.
Biostatistics ; 13(4): 650-64, 2012 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22723503

RESUMO

Two-stage design is a well-known cost-effective way for conducting biomedical studies when the exposure variable is expensive or difficult to measure. Recent research development further allowed one or both stages of the two-stage design to be outcome dependent on a continuous outcome variable. This outcome-dependent sampling feature enables further efficiency gain in parameter estimation and overall cost reduction of the study (e.g. Wang, X. and Zhou, H., 2010. Design and inference for cancer biomarker study with an outcome and auxiliary-dependent subsampling. Biometrics 66, 502-511; Zhou, H., Song, R., Wu, Y. and Qin, J., 2011. Statistical inference for a two-stage outcome-dependent sampling design with a continuous outcome. Biometrics 67, 194-202). In this paper, we develop a semiparametric mixed effect regression model for data from a two-stage design where the second-stage data are sampled with an outcome-auxiliary-dependent sample (OADS) scheme. Our method allows the cluster- or center-effects of the study subjects to be accounted for. We propose an estimated likelihood function to estimate the regression parameters. Simulation study indicates that greater study efficiency gains can be achieved under the proposed two-stage OADS design with center-effects when compared with other alternative sampling schemes. We illustrate the proposed method by analyzing a dataset from the Collaborative Perinatal Project.


Assuntos
Análise por Conglomerados , Modelos Estatísticos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Criança , Simulação por Computador , Poluentes Ambientais/intoxicação , Feminino , Humanos , Inteligência , Funções Verossimilhança , Masculino , Exposição Materna/efeitos adversos , Mães , Bifenilos Policlorados/intoxicação , Gravidez
8.
Neural Netw ; 166: 437-445, 2023 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37566954

RESUMO

The classical theory of reinforcement learning focused on the tabular setting when states and actions are finite, or for linear representation of the value function in a finite-dimensional approximation. Establishing theory on general continuous state and action space requires a careful treatment of complexity theory of appropriately chosen function spaces and the iterative update of the value function when stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is used. For the classical prediction problem in reinforcement learning based on i.i.d. streaming data in the framework of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, we establish polynomial sample complexity taking into account the smoothness of the value function. In particular, we prove that the gradient descent algorithm efficiently computes the value function with appropriately chosen step sizes, with a convergence rate that can be close to 1/N, which is the best possible rate for parametric SGD. The advantages of using the gradient descent algorithm include its computational convenience and it can naturally deal with streaming data.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Reforço Psicológico , Aprendizagem
9.
IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell ; 45(8): 10596-10602, 2023 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37022423

RESUMO

Kernel Fisher discriminant (KFD) is a popular tool as a nonlinear extension of Fisher's linear discriminant, based on the use of the kernel trick. However, its asymptotic properties are still rarely studied. We first present an operator-theoretical formulation of KFD which elucidates the population target of the estimation problem. Convergence of the KFD solution to its population target is then established. However, the complexity of finding the solution poses significant challenges when n is large and we further propose a sketched estimation approach based on a m×n sketching matrix which possesses the same asymptotic properties (in terms of convergence rate) even when m is much smaller than n. Some numerical results are presented to illustrate the performances of the sketched estimator.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Análise Discriminante
10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36269928

RESUMO

Discrimination problems are of significant interest in the machine learning literature. There has been growing interest in extending traditional vector-based machine learning techniques to their matrix forms. In this article, we investigate the statistical properties of the nuclear-norm-based regularized linear support vector machines (SVMs), in particular establishing the convergence rate of the estimator in the high-dimensional setting. Furthermore, within the distributed estimation paradigm, we propose a communication-efficient estimator that can achieve the same convergence rate. We illustrate the performances of the estimators via some simulation examples and an empirical data analysis.

11.
Parasit Vectors ; 15(1): 78, 2022 Mar 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35248146

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: This study explored the effect of a continuous mitigation and containment strategy for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on five vector-borne diseases (VBDs) in China from 2020 to 2021. METHODS: Data on VBDs from 2015 to 2021 were obtained from the National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, and the actual trend in disease activity in 2020-2021 was compared with that in 2015-2019 using a two-ratio Z-test and two proportional tests. Similarly, the estimated trend in disease activity was compared with the actual trend in disease activity in 2020. RESULTS: There were 13,456 and 3684 average yearly cases of VBDs in 2015-2019 and 2020, respectively. This represents a decrease in the average yearly incidence of total VBDs of 72.95% in 2020, from 0.9753 per 100,000 population in 2015-2019 to 0.2638 per 100,000 population in 2020 (t = 75.17, P < 0.001). The observed morbidity rates of the overall VBDs were significantly lower than the predicted rates (47.04% reduction; t = 31.72, P < 0.001). The greatest decline was found in dengue, with a 77.13% reduction (observed rate vs predicted rate: 0.0574 vs. 0.2510 per 100,000; t = 41.42, P < 0.001). Similarly, the average yearly mortality rate of total VBDs decreased by 77.60%, from 0.0064 per 100,000 population in 2015-2019 to 0.0014 per 100,000 population in 2020 (t = 6.58, P < 0.001). A decreasing trend was also seen in the monthly incidence of total VBDs in 2021 compared to 2020 by 43.14% (t = 5.48, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study verify that the mobility and mortality rates of VBDs significantly decreased from 2015-2019 to 2020-2021, and that they are possibly associated to the continuous COVID-19 mitigation and contamination strategy implemented in China in 2020-2021.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Epidemias , Doenças Transmitidas por Vetores , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , China/epidemiologia , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Doenças Transmitidas por Vetores/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Vetores/prevenção & controle
12.
BMJ Glob Health ; 7(1)2022 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34996765

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: It has been reported that strict non-pharmaceutical measures can significantly reduce the incidence and mortality of respiratory and intestinal infectious diseases during the COVID-19 pandemic, but there are limited reports on the impact in terms of the rates of zoonotic diseases. METHODS: We extracted the incidence and mortality data of eight notifiable infectious zoonotic diseases from the website of the National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China for the period of January 2015 to April 2021. RESULTS: First, the overall incidence of zoonotic diseases decreased from 0.3714 per 100 000 in 2015-2019 to 0.2756 in 2020 (25.79% reduction, p<0.001); however, a dramatic increase in activity was seen in 2021 compared with 2020 (0.4478 per 100 000 in 2021, 62.47% increase, p<0.001). Anthrax, brucellosis, leptospirosis and hydatid disease exhibited significant upward trends in 2021. Second, analysed further by stages, the monthly incidence in the routine stage (from May to December 2020) was much higher than that in the emergency stage of the COVID-19 (from January to April 2020) (55.33% increase, p<0.001). We also found that the monthly observed incidence was significantly lower than the predicted incidence of a 10.29% reduction in the emergency stage. Third, no differences were seen in mortality between 2021 and 2020, while a significant decline was found in 2020 compared with the previous 5 years (72.70%, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Strict containment and feasible suppression strategies during the 2020 period of the COVID-19 pandemic had positive impacts on the overall incidence of zoonotic diseases in China. However, anthrax, brucellosis, leptospirosis and hydatid diseases might increase with the relaxation of non-pharmacological interventions in 2021.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Animais , China/epidemiologia , Humanos , Incidência , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Zoonoses/epidemiologia
13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35162304

RESUMO

The Yangtze River Delta is one of the top five Chinese regions affected by COVID-19, as it is adjacent to Hubei Province, where COVID-19 first emerged. We investigated the impact of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on changes in respiratory infectious diseases (RIDs) incidence and air quality in the Yangtze River Delta by constructing two proportional tests and fitting ARIMA and linear regression models. Compared with the pre-COVID-19 period, the average monthly incidence of seven RIDs decreased by 37.80% (p < 0.001) and 37.11% (p < 0.001) during the COVID-19 period and the post-vaccination period, respectively, in Shanghai, and decreased by 20.39% (p < 0.001) and 22.86% (p < 0.001), respectively, in Zhejiang. Similarly, compared with the pre-COVID-19 period, the monthly overall concentrations of six air pollutants decreased by 12.7% (p = 0.003) and 18.79% (p < 0.001) during the COVID-19 period and the post-vaccination period, respectively, in Shanghai, and decreased by 12.85% (p = 0.008) and 15.26% (p = 0.001), respectively, in Zhejiang. Interestingly, no significant difference in overall incidence of RIDs and concentrations of air quality was shown between the COVID-19 period and the post-vaccination period in either Shanghai or Zhejiang. This study provides additional evidence that the NPIs measures taken to control COVID-19 were effective in improving air quality and reducing the spread of RIDs. However, a direct causal relationship has not been established.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , COVID-19 , Doenças Transmissíveis , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluição do Ar/análise , Poluição do Ar/prevenção & controle , China/epidemiologia , Monitoramento Ambiental , Humanos , Incidência , Material Particulado/análise , SARS-CoV-2
14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36011545

RESUMO

The incidence of scarlet fever and pertussis has increased significantly in China in recent years. During the COVID-19 pandemic, stringent non-pharmaceutical intervention measures were widely adopted to contain the spread of the virus, which may also have essential collateral impacts on other infectious diseases, such as scarlet fever and pertussis. We compared the incidence data of scarlet fever and pertussis in Mainland China and Hong Kong from 2004 to 2021 before and after the COVID-19 pandemic. The results show that the incidence of both diseases decreased significantly in 2020-2021 compared to the after-re-emergence stage in these two locations. Specifically, in 2020, scarlet fever decreased by 73.13% and pertussis by 76.63% in Mainland China, and 83.70% and 76.10%, respectively, in Hong Kong. In the absence of COVID-19, the predicted incidence of both diseases was much higher than the actual incidence in Mainland China and Hong Kong in 2020-2021. This study demonstrates that non-pharmaceutical measures implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic can partially reduce scarlet fever and pertussis re-emergence in Mainland China and Hong Kong.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Escarlatina , Coqueluche , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , China/epidemiologia , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Escarlatina/epidemiologia , Escarlatina/prevenção & controle , Coqueluche/epidemiologia , Coqueluche/prevenção & controle
15.
Front Public Health ; 10: 1047362, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36504959

RESUMO

Objective: The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 is reminiscent of the H7N9 outbreak in 2013, which poses a huge threat to human health. We aim to compare clinical features and survival factors in fatal cases of COVID-19 and H7N9. Methods: Data on confirmed COVID-19 and H7N9 fatal cases identified in mainland China were analyzed to compare demographic characteristics and clinical severity. Survival curves were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using log-rank tests and a restricted mean survival time model. A Cox regression model was used to identify survival factors in fatal cases of COVID-19 and H7N9. Results: Similar demographic characteristics were observed in fatal cases of COVID-19 and H7N9. The proportion of fatal cases of H7N9 receiving antibiotics, antiviral drugs, and oxygen treatment was higher than that of COVID-19. The potential protective factors for fatal COVID-19 cases were receiving antibiotics (HR: 0.37, 95% CI: 0.22-0.61), oxygen treatment (HR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.44-0.99), and corticosteroids (HR: 0.46, 95% CI: 0.35-0.62). In contrast, antiviral drugs (HR: 0.21, 95% CI: 0.08-0.56) and corticosteroids (HR: 0.45, 95% CI: 0.29-0.69) were the protective factors for H7N9 fatal cases. Conclusion: The proportion of males, those having one or more underlying medical condition, and older age was high in COVID-19 and H7N9 fatal cases. Offering antibiotics, oxygen treatment, and corticosteroids to COVID-19 cases extended the survival time. Continued global surveillance remains an essential component of pandemic preparedness.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Subtipo H7N9 do Vírus da Influenza A , Humanos , Masculino , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Pandemias , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Oxigênio
16.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 7(1): e24830, 2021 01 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33480857

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In 2005, China established an internet-based Tuberculosis Information Management System (TBIMS) to monitor changes in tuberculosis (TB). Many scholars have conducted epidemiological research using TBIMS; however, few studies assessing control strategies have been performed based on this platform data. Henan province is a high TB incidence area in China where, in addition to following the nationwide TB strategies, a series of local intervention combinations have been implemented. OBJECTIVE: Our study aims to evaluate the impact of nationwide TB intervention combinations on epidemiological changes and determine whether Henan province can achieve the World Health Organization's (WHO) goal of reducing TB incidence by 50% and TB mortality by 75% by the year 2025. METHODS: We used descriptive statistical methods to show the spatial and temporal distribution of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) reported to the TBIMS database from 2005 to 2018, and logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the risk factors of bacteriological-positive TB. The dynamic compartmental model and Bayesian melding approach was adopted to estimate the burden of TB under the impact of different TB control policies. RESULTS: In total, 976,526 PTB cases were notified to the TBIMS in Henan in a period of 14 years. Although the overall incidence of PTB declined from 91.4/105 to 58.5/105, and the overall incidence of bacteriological-positive PTB declined from 44.5/105 to 14.7/105, the WHO's 2025 goal could not be met. The distribution of high incidence and poverty-stricken counties were basically overlapped. Men, farmers and herdsmen (in rural areas), and subjects aged ≥60 years were more likely to develop bacteriological-positive PTB. The increasing treatment success for drug-susceptible tuberculosis and multidrug-resistant tuberculosis has not provided the desired reduction in incidence and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: To achieve the targeted goal, while improving the cure rate of TB, new active (rather than passive) detection and intervention strategies should be formulated based on epidemiological characteristics in Henan province.


Assuntos
Pesquisa Biomédica/métodos , Gestão da Informação/organização & administração , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Teorema de Bayes , Criança , Pré-Escolar , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Tuberculose Pulmonar/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
17.
Front Cardiovasc Med ; 8: 771346, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35004886

RESUMO

Objective: We sought to evaluate the outcomes of integrated aortic-valve and ascending-aortic replacement (IR) vs. partial replacement (PR) in patients with bicuspid aortic valve (BAV)-related aortopathy. Methods: We compared long-term mortality, reoperation incidence, and the cumulative incidence of stroke, bleeding, significant native valve or prosthetic valve dysfunction, and the New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional classes II-IV between inverse probability-weighted cohorts of patients who underwent IR or PR for BAV-related aortopathy in a single center from 2002 to 2019. Patients were stratified into different aortic diameter groups ("valve type" vs. "aorta type"). Results: Among patients with "valve type," aortic valve replacement in patients with an aortic diameter > 40 mm was associated with significantly higher 10-year mortality than IR compared with diameter 35-40 mm [17.49 vs. 5.28% at 10 years; hazard ratio (HR), 3.22; 95% CI, 1.52 to 6.85; p = 0.002]. Among patients with "aorta type," ascending aortic replacement in patients with an aortic diameter 52-60 mm was associated with significantly higher 10-year mortality than IR compared with diameter 45-52 mm (14.49 vs. 1.85% at 10 years; HR, 0.04; 95% CI, 1.06 to 85.24; p = 0.03). Conclusion: The long-term mortality and reoperation benefit that were associated with IR, as compared with PR, minimizing to 40 mm of the aortic diameter among patients with "valve type" and minimizing to 52 mm of the aortic diameter among patients with "aorta type." Trial Registration: Treatment to Bicuspid Aortic Valve Related Aortopathy (BAVAo Registry): ChiCTR.org.cn no: ChiCTR2000039867.

18.
Zhongguo Gu Shang ; 34(5): 406-16, 2021 May 25.
Artigo em Zh | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34032041

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To compare clinical effects of different postoperative rehabilitation modes on lumbar degenerative diseases, and explore influence of rehabilitation mode and other factors on postoperative effect. METHODS: From June 2013 to July 2016, totally 900 patients were admitted from nine tertiary hospitals in Beijing to perform single segment bone grafting and internal fixation due to lumbar degenerative diseases were prospectively analyzed. There were 428 males and 472 females, the age of patient over 18 years old, with an average of (51.42±12.41) years old;according to patients' subjective wishes and actual residence conditions, all patients were divided into three groups, named as observation group 1 (performed integrated rehabilitation approach and orthopedic treatment model intervention), observation group 2 (performed integrated rehabilitation approach and orthopedic treatment, classified rehabilitation model intervention), and control group(performed routine rehabilitation model intervention). Visual analogue scale(VAS), Oswestry Disability Index(ODI) and Japanese Orthopaedic Association (JOA) were used to evaluate postoperative efficacy among three groups at 24 weeks. Possible factors affecting the postoperative efficacy including age, age grouping, gender, body mass index (BMI), BMI grouping, education level, visiting hospital, payment method of medical expenses, preoperative complications, preoperative JOA score, clinical diagnosis, surgery section, operative method, intraoperative bleeding volume, postoperative complications and rehabilitation mode were listed as independent variables, and postoperative ODI score at 24 weeks as dependent variables. Univariate analysis was used to analyze relationship between influencing factors and postoperative efficacy. Multiple linear regression was used to analyze relationship between influencing factors, rehabilitation mode and postoperative ODI score at 24 weeks, in further to find out the main reasons which affect postoperative efficacy, and to analyze impact of rehabilitation mode on postoperative efficacy. RESULTS: All patients were followed up for 24 weeks after operation. All incisions healed at stage I with stable internal fixation. (1)Evaluation of postoperative efficacy:① There were no statistical differences in preoperative VAS and ODI among three groups(P>0.05), the degree of pain and dysfunction decreased among three groups after operation, and had differences in postoperative VAS and ODI among three groups (P<0.05). There were no significant differences between observation group 1 and observation group 2(P>0.05); while compared with observation group 1 and control group, observation group 2 and control group, there were significant differences (P<0.05). ②The function among three groups were improved in varying degrees after operation. There was difference in JOA score among three groups before operation and 24 weeks after operation (P<0.05). There were no difference in JOA score among three groups between observation group 1 and observation group 2 (P>0.05);while compared with observation group 1 and control group, observation group 2 and control group, there were significant differences (P<0.05). (2)Influencing factors at 24 weeks after operation:①Univariate analysis showed gender, age, age grouping, education level, preoperative complications, clinical diagnosis, operative section, operative method, preoperative JOA score and rehabilitation mode had statistical significance with postoperative ODI score at 24 weeks (P<0.05). BMI, BMI grouping, payment method of medical expenses, visiting hospital, intraoperative bleeding volume, postoperative complications had no statistical significance with postoperative ODI score at 24 weeks (P<0.05).②Multivariate analysis results showed gender, rehabilitation mode, age, preoperative JOA score entered the equation eventually, stepwise multiple linear equation obtained had statistical significance (F=12.294, P= 0.000). Among rehabilitation mode, standardized regression coefficient of the integrated rehabilitation approach and orthopedic treatment with classified rehabilitation model was absolute value of the largest (0.176), which had the greatest influence on postoperative curative effect. The degree of dysfunction in control group was higher than that in observation group 1 and observation group 2. Postoperative dysfunction was more severe in males than that of in females. Older age has higher degree of dysfunction after operation. Lower preoperative JOA score has higher degree of dysfunction after operation. CONCLUSION: Preoperative JOA score, gender, age could predict postoperative clinical effects of lumbar degenerative diseases in varying degrees treated with single level bone graft fusion and internal fixation. Different rehabilitation modes could improve clinical effects. Intergrated rehabilitation orthopedic treatment model and integrated rehabilitation approach and orthopedic treatment with classifiedrehabilitation model are superior to conventional rehabilitation model in improving patients' postoperative function and relieving pain, which is worthy of promoting in clinical.


Assuntos
Fusão Vertebral , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Vértebras Lombares/cirurgia , Região Lombossacral , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento
19.
PLoS One ; 15(9): e0239429, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32946516

RESUMO

This study aimed to investigate the associations of physical activity (PA) and screen time (ST) with physiological, psychological, and social health-particularly regarding effects on sleep quality-among Chinese college freshmen. A cross-sectional survey was conducted at Renmin University of China, in Beijing. A total of 5,233 students were surveyed in September 2015. Participants completed a self-report questionnaire on their demographic characteristics, tobacco and alcohol use, PA, ST, sleep quality, and health status. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to examine the independent and interactive associations between PA and ST with sleep quality and suboptimal health status. In total, 10.43%, 13.18%, and 13.26% of the 5,233 students had physiological, psychological, and social suboptimal health status, respectively. The prevalence of poor sleep quality was 37.94%. High ST and high PA were significantly associated with physiological suboptimal health status (aOR = 1.39, 95% CI: 1.16-1.68, and aOR = 0.55, 95% CI: 0.45-0.71), psychological suboptimal health status (aOR = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.21-1.69, and aOR = 0.57, 95% CI: 0.47-0.69), social suboptimal health status (aOR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.08-1.50, and aOR = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.52-0.77), and poor sleep quality (aOR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.03-1.39, and aOR = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.55-0.76). Additionally, low ST and high PA were interactively negatively associated with poor sleep quality (aOR = 0.56, 95% CI: 0.45-0.70), physiological suboptimal health status (aOR = 0.49, 95% CI: 0.40-0.59), psychological suboptimal health status (aOR = 0.48, 95% CI: 0.39-0.58), and social suboptimal health status (aOR = 0.49, 95% CI: 0.40-0.59). These findings suggested there are independent and interactive associations of low ST and high PA with poor sleep quality and suboptimal health status among Chinese college freshmen.


Assuntos
Exercício Físico , Nível de Saúde , Universidades/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , China , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Autorrelato , Adulto Jovem
20.
J R Stat Soc Series B Stat Methodol ; 76(1): 197-215, 2014 Jan 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24737947

RESUMO

Multi-phased designs and biased sampling designs are two of the well recognized approaches to enhance study efficiency. In this paper, we propose a new and cost-effective sampling design, the two-phase probability dependent sampling design (PDS), for studies with a continuous outcome. This design will enable investigators to make efficient use of resources by targeting more informative subjects for sampling. We develop a new semiparametric empirical likelihood inference method to take advantage of data obtained through a PDS design. Simulation study results indicate that the proposed sampling scheme, coupled with the proposed estimator, is more efficient and more powerful than the existing outcome dependent sampling design and the simple random sampling design with the same sample size. We illustrate the proposed method with a real data set from an environmental epidemiologic study.

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