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INTRODUCTION: Despite the serious risks of diabetes with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, this preventable comorbidity is rarely a priority for HCV elimination. We aim to examine how a shared care model could eliminate HCV in patients with diabetes (PwD) in primary care. METHODS: There were 27 community-based Diabetes Health Promotion Institutes in each township/city of Changhua, Taiwan. PwD from these institutes from January 2018 to December 2020 were enrolled. HCV screening and treatment were integrated into diabetes structured care through collaboration between diabetes care and HCV care teams. Outcome measures included HCV care continuum indicators. Township/city variation in HCV infection prevalence and care cascades were also examined. RESULTS: Of the 10,684 eligible PwD, 9,984 (93.4%) underwent HCV screening, revealing a 6.18% (n = 617) anti-HCV seroprevalence. Among the 597 eligible seropositive individuals, 507 (84.9%) completed the RNA test, obtaining 71.8% positives. Treatment was initiated by 327 (89.8%) of 364 viremic patients, and 315 (86.5%) completed it, resulting in a final cure rate of 79.4% (n = 289). Overall, with the introduction of antivirals in this cohort, the prevalence of viremic HCV infection dropped from 4.44% to 1.34%, yielding a 69.70% (95% credible interval 63.64%-77.03%) absolute reduction. DISCUSSION: Although HCV prevalence varied, the care cascades achieved consistent results across townships/cities. We have further successfully implemented the model in county-wide hospital-based diabetes clinics, eventually treating 89.6% of the total PwD. A collaborative effort between diabetes care and HCV elimination enhanced the testing and treatment in PwD through an innovative shared care model.
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BACKGROUND: Exhaled nitric oxide concentration (FENO) is a marker of airway inflammation. This study aimed to evaluate the association of air pollution exposure with FENO levels and asthma prevalence with respiratory symptoms in school children. METHODS: We analyzed 4736 school children who reside in six townships near industrial areas in central Taiwan. We evaluated asthmatic symptoms, FENO, and conducted the environmental questionnaire. The personal exposure of PM2.5, NO, and SO2 was estimated using land-use regression models data on children's school and home addresses. RESULTS: Annual exposure to PM2.5 was associated with increased odds of physician-diagnosed asthma (OR = 1.595), exercise-induced wheezing (OR = 1.726), itchy eyes (OR = 1.417), and current nasal problems (OR = 1.334) (P < 0.05). FENO levels in the absence of infection were positively correlated with age, previous wheezing, allergic rhinitis, atopic eczema, near the road, and for children with high exposure to PM2.5 (P < 0.05). An increase of 1 µg/m3 PM2.5 exposure was significantly associated with a 1.0% increase in FENO levels for children after adjusting for potential confounding variables, including exposures to NO and SO2. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term exposures to PM2.5 posed a significant risk of asthma prevalence and airway inflammation in a community-based population of children. IMPACT: Annual exposure to PM2.5 was associated with increased odds of physician-diagnosed asthma and nasal problems and itchy eyes. Long-term exposures to PM2.5 were significantly associated with FENO levels after adjusting for potential confounding variables. This is first study to assess the association between FENO levels and long-term air pollution exposures in children near coal-based power plants. An increase of 1 µg/m3 annual PM2.5 exposure was significantly associated with a 1.0% increase in FENO levels. Long-term exposures to PM2.5 posed a significant risk of asthma prevalence and airway inflammation in a community-based population of children.
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OBJECTIVE: Exercise improves health, but illnesses can cause changes in exercise behavior, including starting or stopping. This study investigated the effects of chronic disease screening on inactive individuals' exercise behavior and analyzed the impact of age and chronic disease history on this relationship using stratified analysis. METHODS: Using a community-based prospective observational cohort design and data from the Changhua Community-Based Integrated Screening (CHCIS) dataset from 2005 to 2020, we examined 12,038 people who were screened at least twice and self-reported having never exercised at their first screening. Changes in exercise behavior were classified as "initiating exercise" and "remaining inactive." We obtained chronic disease screening results from CHCIS records, which included measurements of waist circumference, blood glucose, blood pressure, triglycerides, and high-density lipoproteins. SAS version 9.4 was used for COX proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: The findings indicated that abnormal waist circumference and blood pressure increased the likelihood of initiating exercise compared to normal results. Age stratification showed that those aged 40-49 with abnormal results were more likely to start exercising than normal participants, but not those under 40 or over 65. When stratified by chronic disease history, abnormal screening results correlated with exercise initiation only in groups without chronic disease history, except for those with a history of hyperlipidemia. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to demonstrate that abnormal screening results may influence exercise initiation in individuals who have never exercised, and this association varies by screening item, age, and disease history.
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Comportamento Sedentário , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Taiwan , Pressão Sanguínea/fisiologia , Doença CrônicaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: We tried to identify the risk factor associate with early chronic kidney disease (CKD) in recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus patients by utilizing real-world data from Taiwan Diabetes Registry. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus recently diagnosed within 1 year. We divided the study participants into control group and early CKD group. Early CKD was defined as either CKD stage G1 with albuminuria, CKD stage G2 with albuminuria, or CKD stage G3a regardless of albuminuria (Urine-albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR) ≥ 3 mg/mmol). Control group was defined as CKD G1 or CKD G2 without albuminuria. Logistic regression analyses were used to compare differences in clinical characteristics between the subgroups. Linear regression models were employed to examine the factors predicting estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and UACR. RESULTS: Total 2217 patients with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus were included. 1545 patients were assigned to control group and 618 patients were assigned to the early CKD group. Age (odds ratio (OR) 1.215, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.122-1.316), systolic blood pressure (OR 1.203, 95% CI 1.117-1.296), glycated hemoglobin (OR 1.074, 95% CI 1.023-1.129) and triglyceride (OR 2.18, 95% CI 1.485-3.199) were found to be significant risk factors. Further, presence of bidirectional association between UACR and eGFR was found. CONCLUSIONS: We reported factors associated with early CKD in recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus patients. Variables that associated with eGFR and UACR were identified respectively, included a mutual influence between UACR and eGFR.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Estudos Retrospectivos , Albuminúria/diagnóstico , Taiwan/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/complicações , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Sistema de RegistrosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Social frailty is associated with Fear of Falling (FoF) and health-related quality of life (HrQoL). However, how social frailty simultaneously influences FoF and HrQoL remains unclear. The study aims to understand the links between social frailty, FoF, and HrQoL in older adults and the mediating role of FoF in the relations between social frailty and HrQoL. METHODS: In this cross-sectional survey, 1,933 community-dwelling older adults from Changhua County, Taiwan, were interviewed using a self-administrated questionnaire. In total, 1,251 participants with complete data were included for analysis. Data were analyzed using the SPSS PROCESS macro. A simple mediation was employed using social frailty as the independent variable, FoF as the mediator variable, and HrQoL as the outcome variable. RESULTS: Social frailty was associated with HrQoL and indirectly with HrQoL through FoF, and FoF was directly associated with HrQoL. Of the 5-item social frailty index, "going out less frequently" was correlated with HrQoL and indirectly with HrQoL through FoF. Individuals who felt unhelpful toward family or friends had the worst physical HrQoL and did not talk to someone daily had the most negative influence on mental HrQoL. CONCLUSIONS: Social frailty can directly and indirectly, through FoF decrease HrQoL. It also emphasizes the importance of social connectivity in reducing the risk of falls. This study points to the need for social connectivity and fall prevention programs as essential components of strategies to enhance the health and well-being of community-dwelling older adults.
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Acidentes por Quedas , Medo , Fragilidade , Idoso , Humanos , Acidentes por Quedas/prevenção & controle , Estudos Transversais , Fragilidade/diagnóstico , Fragilidade/epidemiologia , Vida Independente , Qualidade de VidaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Contact tracing for containing emerging infectious diseases such as COVID-19 is resource intensive and requires digital transformation to enable timely decision-making. OBJECTIVE: This study demonstrates the design and implementation of digital contact tracing using multimodal health informatics to efficiently collect personal information and contain community outbreaks. The implementation of digital contact tracing was further illustrated by 3 empirical SARS-CoV-2 infection clusters. METHODS: The implementation in Changhua, Taiwan, served as a demonstration of the multisectoral informatics and connectivity between electronic health systems needed for digital contact tracing. The framework incorporates traditional travel, occupation, contact, and cluster approaches and a dynamic contact process enabled by digital technology. A centralized registry system, accessible only to authorized health personnel, ensures privacy and data security. The efficiency of the digital contact tracing system was evaluated through a field study in Changhua. RESULTS: The digital contact tracing system integrates the immigration registry, communicable disease report system, and national health records to provide real-time information about travel, occupation, contact, and clusters for potential contacts and to facilitate a timely assessment of the risk of COVID-19 transmission. The digitalized system allows for informed decision-making regarding quarantine, isolation, and treatment, with a focus on personal privacy. In the first cluster infection, the system monitored 665 contacts and isolated 4 (0.6%) cases; none of the contacts (0/665, 0%) were infected during quarantine. The estimated reproduction number of 0.92 suggests an effective containment strategy for preventing community-acquired outbreak. The system was also used in a cluster investigation involving foreign workers, where none of the 462 contacts (0/462, 0%) tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. CONCLUSIONS: By integrating the multisectoral database, the contact tracing process can be digitalized to provide the information required for risk assessment and decision-making in a timely manner to contain a community-acquired outbreak when facing the outbreak of emerging infectious disease.
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COVID-19 , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Busca de Comunicante , SARS-CoV-2 , QuarentenaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To explore the factors influencing Taiwanese adolescents' consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB) and sugary snacks from a socio-ecological perspective. DESIGN: This study adopted a qualitative design by using face-to-face, in-depth interviews guided by a semistructured questionnaire. SETTING: Eight junior high schools in New Taipei City and Changhua County, Taiwan, September to November 2018. PARTICIPANTS: Fifty-nine participants aged 12-14 years participated in this study. RESULTS: Reflexive thematic analysis was used to analyse the data. This study identified four themes to address the multifaceted factors that influence adolescents' consumption of SSB and sugary snacks. At the intrapersonal level, physiological factors, psychological factors, individual economic factors and taste preferences were mentioned in connection with people's consumption of SSB and sugary snacks. Positive or negative influences of parents, siblings, peers and teachers on SSB and sugary snack intake were identified at the interpersonal level. The availability of SSB and sugary snacks at home, their availability in vending machines or in school stores in the school environment and participants' access to convenience stores and hand-shaken drink shops in the broader community influenced SSB and sugary snack consumption. Additionally, food culture and food advertising were identified as influencing societal factors. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, this qualitative study determined not only that the consumption of SSB and sugary snacks is influenced by intrapersonal factors but also that interpersonal, environmental and societal factors affect adolescents' increased sugar intake. The findings are helpful to broaden the options for designing and developing interventions to decrease SSB and sugary snack consumption by adolescents.
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Lanches , Bebidas Adoçadas com Açúcar , Adolescente , Bebidas , Humanos , Instituições Acadêmicas , AçúcaresRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) are linked to increased metabolic risk. However, the sex differences in the relationship between SSB intake and adverse health effects remain unclear. Therefore, the present study examined the association between SSB consumption and metabolic risks among working-age males and females from Taiwanese communities. DESIGN: A community-based study utilized data from a comprehensive health screening project conducted by the Public Health Bureau in Changhua County, Taiwan. Metabolic risks included waist circumference, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, triglycerides, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL), and fasting glucose level using serum tests. SETTING: Participants were recruited in Changhua County, Taiwan. PARTICIPANTS: Between 2005 and 2014, 92,724 citizens participated in the health screening; our data analysis included 75,278 respondents between 30 and 64. RESULTS: The results showed that the frequency of SSB consumption was associated with abnormal waist circumference and elevated total cholesterol, triglycerides, LDL, and glucose in both men and women. Increased SSB consumption frequency was associated with elevated glucose and hypertension in women. Even a slight increase in SSB intake frequency was related to raising the metabolic risks. Similar patterns were evident when models included body mass index (BMI); however, the associations were attenuated. In the BMI-stratified subgroup analysis, the relationship between SSB consumption and metabolic risks was more pronounced in participants without obesity. CONCLUSION: The present study suggests that SSB consumption carries metabolic risk among working-age Taiwanese, particularly women and those without obesity. Health promotion programs should raise awareness of the health hazards associated with SSBs.
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INTRODUCTION: Medical-related long-term care (LTC) service use among community-dwelling older adults in Taiwan is resource-intensive, and planning is essential to promote aging-in-place. METHODS: Administrative data from 4/1/2017 to 11/26/2019 among more than 14,000 residents were analyzed with generalized estimating equations (GEEs) to identify determinants of medical-related LTC service use. RESULTS: Older adults using medical-related LTC services tended to be younger (79.9 vs. 80.7; p<.0001), male (42.7% vs. 38.5%; p<.0001), multi-morbid (3.1 vs. 2.5; p<.0001), and higher mean activities of daily living (ADL) disability (8.2 vs. 4.2; p<.0001), instrumental ADL (IADL) disability (11.0 vs. 9.1; p<.0001), and hospitalizations (1.1 vs. 0.4; p<.0001). Significant determinants of medical-related LTC services include age, education, stroke, coronary heart disease, diabetes, vision impairment, ADL disability, and prior hospitalization. DISCUSSION: The success of LTC 2.0 will depend on ADL support and care coordination to manage chronic conditions such as diabetes, vision impairment, coronary heart disease, and stroke.
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Pessoas com Deficiência , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Masculino , Humanos , Idoso , Vida Independente , Atividades Cotidianas , Assistência de Longa DuraçãoRESUMO
RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Hemodialysis facilities are high-risk environments for the spread of hepatitis C virus (HCV). Eliminating HCV from all dialysis facilities in a community may be achieved more effectively under a collaborative care model. STUDY DESIGN: Quality improvement study of multidisciplinary collaborative care teams including nephrologists, gastroenterologists, and public health practitioners. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: All dialysis patients in Changhua County, Taiwan were treated using an interdisciplinary collaborative care model implemented within a broader Changhua-Integrated Program to Stop HCV Infection (CHIPS-C). QUALITY IMPROVEMENT ACTIVITIES: Provision of an HCV care cascade to fill 3 gaps, including screening and testing, diagnosis, and universal direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment implemented by collaborating teams of dialysis practitioners and gastroenterologists working under auspices of Changhua Public Health Bureau. OUTCOME: Outcome measures included quality indicators pertaining to 6 steps in HCV care ranging from HCV screening to treatment completion to cure. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: A descriptive analysis. RESULTS: A total of 3,657 patients from 31 dialysis facilities were enrolled. All patients completed HCV screening. The DAA treatment initiation rate and completion rate were 88.9% and 94.0%, respectively. The collaborative care model achieved a cure rate of 166 (96.0%) of 173 patients. No virologic failure occurred. The cumulative treatment ratios for patients with chronic HCV infection increased from 5.3% before interferon-based therapy (2017) to 25.6% after restricted provision of DAA (2017-2018), and then to 89.1% after universal access to DAA (2019). LIMITATIONS: Unclear impact of this collaborative care program on incident dialysis patients entering dialysis facilities each year and on patients with earlier stages of chronic kidney disease. CONCLUSIONS: A collaborative care model in Taiwan increased the rates of diagnosis and treatment for HCV in dialysis facilities to levels near those established by the World Health Organization.
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Hepatite C/epidemiologia , Hepatite C/terapia , Colaboração Intersetorial , Diálise Renal/métodos , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/terapia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Melhoria de Qualidade/normas , Diálise Renal/normas , Taiwan/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: We investigated the uses and frequency of self-monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG) with glycemic control and hypoglycemia in two groups of type 2 diabetes (T2D) (recently diagnosed and long-term follow-up) using real-world data in Taiwan (the Taiwan Diabetes Registry). METHODS: Patients with T2D recently diagnosed within 6 months (n = 3297, mean age 54.4 ± 13.9 years) and T2D patients with long-term follow-up (n = 1201, mean age 65.5 ± 12.1 years, mean diabetes duration 14.3 ± 7.8 years) from the Taiwan Diabetes Registry were analysed. All patients were interviewed by certified diabetes educators. Information about SMBG and hypoglycemia was recorded. Demography, personal history, and laboratory data were obtained from electronic medical records. Logistic regression analyses were used to examine the associations of SMBG with glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) <7% and hypoglycemia. RESULTS: Mean HbA1c values were 8.4 ± 2.5 and 7.6 ± 1.4%, respectively, in the recently diagnosed and long-term follow-up T2D groups. The self-reported rates of hypoglycemic events within 3 months were 10.5% and 19.0%, respectively. SMBG was associated with higher odds of HbA1c <7% (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.01-1.44) in patients with recently diagnosed T2D, but with lower odds of HbA1c <7% in T2D patients with long-term follow-up (OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.44-0.82). In both study populations, SMBG was independently associated with hypoglycemia (OR 3.90 [95% CI 2.99-5.08] and OR 3.93 [95% CI 2.73-5.66], respectively). The aforementioned findings were consistent across the strata of SMBG frequency. CONCLUSION: We reported different associations between SMBG and glycemic control in patients recently diagnosed with T2D and in T2D patients with long-term follow-up. SMBG was associated with higher detection of hypoglycemic episodes in both study populations.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Hipoglicemia , Adulto , Idoso , Glicemia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Seguimentos , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/análise , Controle Glicêmico , Humanos , Hipoglicemia/epidemiologia , Hipoglicemia/etiologia , Hipoglicemiantes , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sistema de Registros , Taiwan/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Household transmission is responsible for the subsequent outbreak of community-acquired COVID-19. The aim of this study was to elucidate the household transmission mode and to further estimate effective and basic reproductive number with and without non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). METHODS: A total of 26 households with 39 family clusters between January, 2020 and February, 2021 in Taiwan were enrolled for analysis. The Becker's chain binomial model was used to analyze the probabilities of being infected and escaping from SARS-COV-2 before and after January 1st, 2021, which were further converted to estimating basic reproductive numbers in the absence of NPIs. The likelihood of leading to the subsequent community-acquired outbreak given NPIs was further assessed. RESULTS: The secondary attack rate was 46.2%. Given the saturated Greenwood model selected as the best fitted model, the probability of being infected and escaping from COVID-19 within household was estimated as 44.4% (95% CI: 5.0%-53.7%) and 55.7% (95% CI: 46.3%-65.0%), respectively. In the second period of early 2021, the infected probability was increased to 58.3% (95% CI: 12.7%-90.0%) and the escape probability was lowered to 41.7% (95% CI: 0.0%-86.9%). The corresponding basic reproductive numbers (R0) increased from 4.29 in the first period to 6.73 in the second period without NPIs. However, none of subsequent community-acquired outbreak was noted in Taiwan given very effective NPIs in both periods. CONCLUSION: The proposed method and results are useful for designing household-specific containment measures and NPIs to stamp out a large-scale community-acquired outbreak as demonstrated in Taiwan.
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COVID-19 , Número Básico de Reprodução , COVID-19/transmissão , Surtos de Doenças , Características da Família , Humanos , Taiwan/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: Heavy metals impair renal function, causing chronic kidney disease (CKD), and the petrochemical industry is one of the major environmental metal emission sources. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between renal function and metal exposure among the Taiwanese residents living near a petrochemical industry site. METHODS: We recruited residents near the No. 6 Naphtha Cracking Complex, and they were categorized into a high-exposure (HE) group (N = 190) in Taisi Village and a low-exposure (LE) group (N = 1184) in other villages of Dacheng Township in Changhua County of Taiwan. The urinary nickel, chromium, and vanadium levels of the study subjects were measured and the levels were standardized by urine creatinine, and the estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) were calculated to estimate renal function by one-time health data. Linear regression models were applied to illustrate the correlations between the distance to the complex and urinary metal levels and renal function; linear and logistic regression models were applied to evaluate the associations between urinary metal levels and renal function indicators. RESULTS: The study subjects living closer to the petrochemical complex had significantly higher urinary nickel, chromium, and vanadium levels and worse renal function than study subjects living farther away. The urinary nickel and chromium levels of the study subjects were associated with their renal function indicators. When the subject's urinary nickel level increased 1-fold, the eGFR level significantly decreased by 0.820 ml/min/1.73 m2. CONCLUSION: Residents living closer to the petrochemical industry were exposed to higher metal levels and had worse renal function, and the nickel exposure of residents was potentially related to their decline in renal function.
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Alcanos , Exposição Ambiental , Estudos Transversais , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Humanos , Rim/fisiologiaRESUMO
The spread of the emerging pathogen, named as SARS-CoV-2, has led to an unprecedented COVID-19 pandemic since 1918 influenza pandemic. This review first sheds light on the similarity on global transmission, surges of pandemics, and the disparity of prevention between two pandemics. Such a brief comparison also provides an insight into the potential sequelae of COVID-19 based on the inference drawn from the fact that a cascade of successive influenza pandemic occurred after 1918 and also the previous experience on the epidemic of SARS and MERS occurring in 2003 and 2015, respectively. We then propose a systematic framework for elucidating emerging infectious disease (EID) such as COVID-19 with a panorama viewpoint from natural infection and disease process, public health interventions (non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and vaccine), clinical treatments and therapies (antivirals), until global aspects of health and economic loss, and economic evaluation of interventions with emphasis on mass vaccination. This review not only concisely delves for evidence-based scientific literatures from the origin of outbreak, the spread of SARS-CoV-2 to three surges of pandemic, and NPIs and vaccine uptakes but also provides a new insight into how to apply big data analytics to identify unprecedented discoveries through COVID-19 pandemic scenario embracing from biomedical to economic viewpoints.
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COVID-19 , COVID-19/economia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
BACKGROUND: As Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic led to the unprecedent large-scale repeated surges of epidemics worldwide since the end of 2019, data-driven analysis to look into the duration and case load of each episode of outbreak worldwide has been motivated. METHODS: Using open data repository with daily infected, recovered and death cases in the period between March 2020 and April 2021, a descriptive analysis was performed. The susceptible-exposed-infected-recovery model was used to estimate the effective productive number (Rt). The duration taken from Rt > 1 to Rt < 1 and case load were first modelled by using the compound Poisson method. Machine learning analysis using the K-means clustering method was further adopted to classify patterns of community-acquired outbreaks worldwide. RESULTS: The global estimated Rt declined after the first surge of COVID-19 pandemic but there were still two major surges of epidemics occurring in September 2020 and March 2021, respectively, and numerous episodes due to various extents of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs). Unsupervised machine learning identified five patterns as "controlled epidemic", "mutant propagated epidemic", "propagated epidemic", "persistent epidemic" and "long persistent epidemic" with the corresponding duration and the logarithm of case load from the lowest (18.6 ± 11.7; 3.4 ± 1.8)) to the highest (258.2 ± 31.9; 11.9 ± 2.4). Countries like Taiwan outside five clusters were classified as no community-acquired outbreak. CONCLUSION: Data-driven models for the new classification of community-acquired outbreaks are useful for global surveillance of uninterrupted COVID-19 pandemic and provide a timely decision support for the distribution of vaccine and the optimal NPIs from global to local community.
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COVID-19 , Pandemias , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Infecções Comunitárias Adquiridas/classificação , Surtos de Doenças , Humanos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Modelos Estatísticos , SARS-CoV-2 , TaiwanRESUMO
BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: Cancer risks of residents living north to the No. 6 Naphtha Cracking Complex has not been studied before. METHODS: Our study subjects were recruited in 2014-16 from three zones north to the No. 6 Naphtha Cracking Complex, which included 229 participants from the Taisi Village (average 5.5 km from the complex), 1333 participants from the other 14 villages in Dacheng Township (9.2 km), and 372 participants from the Zhutang Township (19.9 km). Their occurrence of cancer in years-post-complex-operation (YPO) was defined by having a new cancer recorded (ICD-9: 140-208) in National Health Insurance Research Database since 1999. Poisson regression was conducted to compare incidence rate ratio among three zones in 10-16 YPO. RESULTS: We found that all-cause cancer incidence of 10-16 YPO (per 1,000 person-years) in Taisi Village (8.44) was higher than that in Dacheng (3.42) and Zhutang (2.72). Taisi residents had significantly higher concentrations of V, Cr, Mn, Ni, Cu, As, Cd, and Tl than Dacheng and Zhutang residents. The all-cause cancer incidence rate ratio between 10-16 and 0-9 YPO was 8.44 for Taisi residents. All-cause cancer incidence rate of Taisi residents was 2.55 times higher than Dacheng residents (95% CI: 1.89-3.45) and 2.43 times higher than Zhutang residents (95% CI: 1.54-3.84) in 10-16 YPO. CONCLUSION: We conclude that all-cause cancer risk was significantly increased for Taisi residents living near the No. 6 Naphtha Cracking Complex for 10-16 years after the complex began operating.
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Exposição Ambiental , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Indústria de Petróleo e Gás , Poluição por Petróleo/efeitos adversos , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias/induzido quimicamente , Distribuição de Poisson , Características de Residência , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , TaiwanAssuntos
Antígenos de Bactérias/análise , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Infecções por Helicobacter/diagnóstico , Helicobacter pylori/imunologia , Neoplasias Gástricas/diagnóstico por imagem , Adenoma/diagnóstico por imagem , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Colonoscopia , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária , Fezes/química , Infecções por Helicobacter/tratamento farmacológico , Humanos , Imunoquímica , Participação do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Dados Preliminares , Encaminhamento e Consulta/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Gástricas/prevenção & controle , Taiwan/epidemiologiaRESUMO
UNLABELLED: Mass screening with abdominal ultrasonography (AUS) has been suggested as a tool to control adult hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in individuals, but its efficacy in reducing HCC mortality has never been demonstrated. This study aimed to assess the effectiveness of reducing HCC mortality by mass AUS screening for HCC based on a program designed and implemented in the Changhua Community-based Integrated Screening (CHCIS) program with an efficient invitation scheme guided by the risk score. We invited 11,114 (27.0%) of 41,219 eligible Taiwanese subjects between 45 and 69 years of age who resided in an HCC high-incidence area to attend a risk score-guided mass AUS screening between 2008 and 2010. The efficacy of reducing HCC mortality was estimated. Of the 8,962 AUS screening attendees (with an 80.6% attendance rate), a total of 16 confirmed HCC cases were identified through community-based ultrasonography screening. Among the 16 screen-detected HCC cases, only two died from HCC, indicating a favorable survival. The cumulative mortality due to HCC (per 100,000) was considerably lower in the invited AUS group (17.26) compared with the uninvited AUS group (42.87) and the historical control group (47.51), yielding age- and gender-adjusted relative mortality rates of 0.69 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.56-0.84) and 0.63 (95% CI: 0.52-0.77), respectively. CONCLUSION: The residents invited to community-based AUS screening for HCC, compared with those who were not invited, showed a reduction in HCC mortality by â¼ 31% among subjects aged 45-69 years who had not been included in the nationwide vaccination program against hepatitis B virus infection.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Hepáticas/diagnóstico por imagem , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Idoso , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/mortalidade , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Risco , Taiwan/epidemiologia , UltrassonografiaRESUMO
We sought to assess how much of the variation in incidence of colorectal neoplasia is explained by baseline fecal hemoglobin concentration (FHbC) and also to assess the additional predictive value of conventional risk factors. We enrolled subjects aged 40 years and over who attended screening for colorectal cancer with the fecal immunochemical test (FIT) in Keelung community-based integrated screening program. The accelerated failure time model was used to train the clinical weights of covariates in the prediction model. Datasets from two external communities were used for external validation. The area under curve (AUC) for the model containing only FHbC was 83.0% (95% CI: 81.5-84.4%), which was considerably greater than the one containing only conventional risk factors (65.8%, 95% CI: 64.2-67.4%). Adding conventional risk factors did not make significant additional contribution (p = 0.62, AUC = 83.5%, 95% CI: 82.1-84.9%) to the predictive model with FHbC only. Males showed a stronger linear dose-response relationship than females, yielding gender-specific FHbC predictive models. External validation confirms these results. The high predictive ability supported by a dose-dependent relationship between baseline FHbC and the risk of developing colorectal neoplasia suggests that FHbC may be useful for identifying cases requiring closer postdiagnosis clinical surveillance as well as being an early indicator of colorectal neoplasia risk in the general population. Our findings may also make contribution to the development of the FHbC-guided screening policy but its pros and cons in connection with cost and effectiveness of screening should be evaluated before it can be applied to population-based screening for colorectal cancer.
Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Hemoglobinas/análise , Sangue Oculto , Idoso , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Programas de Rastreamento , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effectiveness of shared care combined with telecare in type 2 diabetic patients in an underserved community in Asia. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: In total, 95 patients with type 2 diabetes who had a glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) level of >7% were recruited from six community health centers in remote areas in Changhua County, Taiwan. All patients were randomly divided into intervention (shared care combined with telecare) and usual-care groups and followed up for 6 months. RESULTS: The decrease in HbA1c level was significantly greater in the intervention group than in the usual-care group (0.7 ± 1.3% versus 0.1 ± 1.0%, p=0.03). There were no significant differences in lipid profiles and blood pressure changes between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Shared care combined with telecare could significantly reduce HbA1c levels in type 2 diabetic patients with poor glycemic control in underserved rural communities. Further studies should be conducted to clarify the target users and to develop cost-effective interventions.