Trajectories of hepatic steatosis and incidence of cardiovascular disease over a 29-year follow-up.

AIM: To examine the dynamic change in hepatic steatosis status during repeated assessments over time, and its potential impact on the risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS: We assessed trajectories of hepatic steatosis and other metabolic disorders in 3134 middle-aged adults undergoing longitudinal assessment of ultrasonography during a pre-baseline period (1993-2009) in a population-based cohort study of liver health. Subsequently, we determined the association of hepatic steatosis trajectories with the incidence of CVD among 2185 CVD-free individuals, followed until 2021. Metabolic risk factors and cardiovascular events (including coronary heart disease and stroke) were determined through medical examination and linkage with nationwide health databases. RESULTS: We identified three discrete trajectories of hepatic steatosis according to changing pattern over time through group-based trajectory modeling: "stable, non-steatosis" (n = 1298), "intermittent" (n = 921), and "persistent steatosis" (n = 915). During the pre-baseline period, hepatic steatosis trajectories were associated with trajectories of developing diabetes and hypertension, and persistent steatosis (vs. other trajectories) was associated with higher risks and rapidly progressive disease patterns. At a median 13.6 years of follow-up, 629 CVD events occurred. A persistent (vs. non-steatosis: HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.17-1.76), but not intermittent, steatosis pattern predicted the future risk of CVD, after adjustment for age, sex, smoking, and obesity. This association was independent of genetic background, and remained after accounting for pre-baseline body-mass index, other cardiometabolic risk factors, Framingham risk score, medications, and hepatic fibrosis score. CONCLUSIONS: The persistence of hepatic steatosis is associated with trajectories of metabolic disorder development and increased risk of CVD. These data have important implications for practice and further research.

Lifetime risk of liver-related outcomes and determinants in male inactive carriers of chronic hepatitis B.

The full spectrum of risks for the life course of inactive hepatitis B virus (HBV) carriers remains unclear. In this study, 995 untreated HBV carriers (median age: 42.8 years; median follow-up: 30.2 years) were included. Their data were sourced from a population-based cohort study of male civil servants recruited in 1989-1992. Outcomes were identified by active follow-up examinations and linkage with national health insurance research database. At baseline, 483 subjects were inactive carriers, 385 with indeterminate phase, and 127 with other phases. The joint lifetime risk for incident cirrhosis, decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver-related deaths was lower for inactive carriers compared to subjects in other phases (p < 0.0001). There was a trend of increase in incidence among inactive carriers; the 5-, 10-, and 20-year cumulative incidences were 1.86%, 6.03%, and 10.07%, respectively. Of the inactive carriers, 37.7% cleared HBsAg and 36.6% had biochemical relapse during the study. Biochemical relapse, obesity, and advanced age were predictors for disease progression in inactive carriers. Virological relapse was the predominant cause of biochemical relapse. Higher HBV-DNA levels (≥1000 copies/mL or 200 IU/mL) and HBV genotype B (vs. C) were associated with higher virological relapse rate. After 30 years, we found that one-time measure of inactive carrier state continued to have the lowest risk compared with other infection phases. Despite a more favorable prognosis, inactive carriers had a non-negligible risk. Our findings of lifetime risk may provide important clues for the management of such patients and consideration of therapeutic strategies aiming to achieve functional cure.

Hepatic steatosis and development of type 2 diabetes: Impact of chronic hepatitis B and viral specific factors.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) was associated with a lower prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The impact of CHB on the link between NAFLD and type 2 diabetes (T2D) and related virological implications remain unclear. METHODS: We recruited 2255 middle-to older-aged individuals who were examined serially for hepatic steatosis by ultrasonography and blood biochemistry as part of a population-based hepatocellular-carcinoma cohort study. In CHB patients, hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance and variation in viral load trajectory were also evaluated. RESULTS: During the average follow-up of 6 years, 168 participants developed T2D. CHB, as compared with uninfected subjects, was associated with lower risks for both new development and persistence of hepatic steatosis. Furthermore, the risk of steatosis decreased with higher levels of past viral load trajectories (p for trend = 0.0002). However, concomitant steatosis at baseline in CHB patients was still significantly associated with a 1.98-fold increased risk for T2D after multivariate adjustment including age, impaired fasting glucose, cirrhosis, and time-varying body mass index, although CHB reduced the propensity of hepatic steatosis to develop diabetes, especially for patients with high levels of past viral-load trajectory. In CHB, the functional cure of HBV infection, as indicated by HBsAg seroclearance, was associated with a 1.41-fold (95% CI 1.12-1.79) increased risk of steatosis. In addition, the increased risk for progressive impairment of glucose metabolism due to steatosis was especially prominent after HBsAg seroclearance. CONCLUSION: The data showed that HBV interferes with fatty liver disease and modulates its related T2D risk, offering additional insight into the interplay between NAFLD and CHB.

Longitudinal change of metabolite profile and its relation to multiple risk factors for the risk of developing hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

Despite considerable knowledge of viral pathogenesis, the pathophysiological changes related to the multifactorial, multistep process of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development remains unclear. Longitudinal metabolomics study can reveal biological process for disease progression. We performed metabolite profiling with longitudinal prediagnostic plasma samples from two nested case-control studies of hepatitis B surface antigen carriers participating in ultrasound screening for HCC, one within a government employee cohort (870 samples from 109 HCC cases and 107 controls) and the other within a hospital-based cohort (266 samples from 63 HCC cases and 114 controls). Of the 34 measured metabolites, tyrosine, isoleucine, and glutamine were consistently associated with HCC. In analyses combining longitudinal data, a high metabolic risk score based on the three amino acids was robustly associated with increased risk of HCC (OR = 3.71, 95% confidence interval: 2.53-5.42), even after adjustment for clinical factors, or when assessed for different times up to ≥8 years before diagnosis. Similar association was observed in an independent, prospective analysis comprising 633 randomly selected individuals of the government employee cohort. More importantly, this metabolite signature was longitudinally influenced by HBV-infection phase and involved in gradual progression to liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. Furthermore, mediation analysis showed that the score mediated substantial proportions of the associations of key viral factors, insulin resistance, and diabetes status with HCC risk. Our results suggest that an amino-acid dysregulation metabotype may play a role in HBV-related HCC development, and may also be linked to common pathways that mediate increased HCC risks.

Smoking and Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk: The Mediating Roles of Viral Load and Alanine Aminotransferase.

Smoking interacts with hepatitis B virus (HBV) to increase the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which might be explained by its role in antiviral immunity. We evaluated the potential mediating role of viral load and/or alanine aminotransferase (ALT) in the relation of smoking with HBV-associated HCC risk. Using multiple mediation analyses to analyze data from 209 HCC cases and 1,256 controls nested within a cohort of 4,841 male HBV carriers, we found that the effect of smoking on the risk of subsequent HCC was substantially mediated through viral load (percent mediated, 31.7%; P = 0.0054), and a significant mediation effect by both viral load and ALT was also evidenced. Among the 1,143 subjects with repeated measures of viral load and ALT over periods of up to 16 years, we further observed that a higher number of pack-years of smoking was associated with higher viral load, maintenance of a high viral load (>4.39 log copies/mL), more severe hepatotoxicity grade, and increased likelihood of ALT ≥80 U/L (odds ratio, 3.14; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-9.64; odds ratio, 6.06; 95% confidence interval, 1.10-33.25, respectively, for 10-19 and ≥20 pack-years versus nonsmokers) during follow-up. Furthermore, plasma interferon-γ levels were reduced in smokers compared with nonsmokers (interferon-γ-positive rate, 14.9% versus 28.7%; P < 0.0001) at baseline. Smoking was also associated with a reduced natural killer (NK) cell frequency in peripheral blood, characterized by reduced NK function through a systems immunology approach, after long-term follow-up in a subsample (n = 171). The combination of smoking and reduced NK cell frequency further increased viral load and the likelihood of ALT ≥80 U/L. Conclusion: The data highlight a role of smoking in HBV viral load, underlining the importance of smoking prevention and cessation in hepatitis B management.

Influence of Metabolic Risk Factors on Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Liver-Related Death in Men With Chronic Hepatitis B: A Large Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Little is known about the absolute risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver-disease related death, in association with metabolic risk factors, for patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. METHODS: We collected data from 5373 male Taiwanese civil servants who visited Taiwan's Government Employees' Central Clinics and received routine free physical examinations from 1989 through 1992. We obtained information on liver-related morbidity and mortality in HBV carriers, 40-65 years of age (n=1690), with different metabolic risk factors. We compared their medical histories with those of study participants without HBV or HCV infection in the same age range (n=1289). We used patients' baseline data on obesity, diabetes, hypertriglyceridemia, and high blood pressure to assign them to metabolic risk categories. We then performed a case-cohort analysis of the effects of hepatitis B viral factors on risk for HCC, based on metabolic factors and insulin resistance. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up period of 19 years, 158 of the 1690 HBV carriers developed HCC and 126 died from liver-related diseases. Among participants without HBV or HCV infection, only 6 developed HCC or died from liver-related disease. HBV carriers with different metabolic risk factors had significant differences in cumulative incidence of HCC and liver-related death. Patients with 3 or more metabolic risk factors had a substantially higher risk for HCC (10-year cumulative incidence, 13.60%) than patients with a low metabolic risk profile (10-year cumulative incidence, 4.83%; adjusted-hazard ratio, 2.32; 95% CI, 1.18-4.54). Smoking had a significant effect on this association (Pinteraction = .0044). Having 3 or more metabolic risk factors, compared with no factors, significantly increased the risk of HCC (adjusted-hazard ratio, 5.06; 95% CI, 2.23-11.47) and 10-year cumulative incidence of HCC (25.0% in smokers with 3 or more metabolic risk factors vs 3.87% in smokers with none; P < .0001) in smokers, but did not increase risk of HCC in nonsmokers. Metabolic risk factors and insulin resistance had the largest effect on HCC risk in patients with levels of HBV-DNA <10,000 copies/mL. CONCLUSIONS: In a study of men with chronic HBV infection ages 40-65 years in Taiwan, we associated a high burden of metabolic risk factors with increased risk of HCC; smoking has a significant effect on this association.

Genome-wide association analysis identifies a GLUL haplotype for familial hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: A family history of liver cancer increases the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by 2-fold to 10-fold among patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV). Previous genome-wide association studies have identified many possible susceptible loci associated with sporadic HBV-related HCC. However, despite family history being a well-known risk factor for HBV-related HCC, to the authors' knowledge its genetic mechanisms and associating loci remain largely unknown or unexplored, most likely due to the relative rarity of familial HCC and the difficulty of sample collection. METHODS: The authors conducted a genome-wide association study with 139 male cases with familial HBV-related HCC and 139 non-HCC male controls with chronic HBV. The results were corroborated further with an independent cohort of 101 patients with familial HBV-related HCC and comparison with both the 1000 Genomes Project and the Taiwan Biobank. RESULTS: A total of 51 risk single-nucleotide polymorphisms (P≤1E-04) were identified in the association analyses, which included 2 clusters of associated single-nucleotide polymorphisms and haplotypes at 1q25.3 (glutamate-ammonia ligase [GLUL]/transmembrane epididymal protein 1 [TEDDM1]/long intergenic non-protein-coding RNA 272 [LINC00272]/regulator of G-protein signaling-like 1 [RGSL1]) and 17q11.2 (solute carrier family 13 member 2 [SLC13A2]/forkhead box N1 [FOXN1]). Both the GLUL and SLC13A2/FOXN1 haplotypes have large effect sizes and were found to be different from those found from genome-wide association studies of sporadic HCCs. CONCLUSIONS: To the authors' knowledge, the current study is the first genome-wide association study to identify genetic factors for familial HBV-related HCC. The results identified 2 large effect susceptible haplotypes located at GLUL and SLC13A2/FOXN1. The current study findings also suggest different genetic susceptibility between familial and sporadic HBV-related HCC. Cancer 2017;123:3966-76. © 2017 American Cancer Society.

Genome-wide identification of blood DNA methylation patterns associated with early-onset hepatocellular carcinoma development in hepatitis B carriers.

The etiology of early-onset hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among hepatitis B virus (HBV) carriers remains unclear. DNA methylation levels in peripheral leukocytes have been associated with different environmental exposures and immune or inflammatory response. We aimed to identify methylation signatures of peripheral leukocytes that could track hepatitis B progression to HCC, especially for early-onset HCC. We first performed an epigenome-wide association analysis on 48 matched case-control pairs in a nested case-control study within a 22-yr follow-up cohort of HBV carriers. Through this analysis we found that progression to early-onset HCC involved methylation variable positions across the genome, in which a substantial proportion displayed significant variation due to HBV viral load, chronic hepatitis status, and/or leukocyte subtype composition, and these associations were significantly enriched among genes in immune pathways. Methylation at probes cg00300879, cg06872964, and cg07080864, that are located within the proximal promoter of CNKSR1, IFI44L, and PENK, respectively, was validated by bisulfite pyrosequencing and findings were replicated in a case-sibling study of early-onset HCC (134 cases vs. 174 sibling controls). Furthermore, a high methylation score, constructed using the three probes, was predictive for the risk of early-onset HCC in two datasets (adjusted-odds ratios = 0.21-0.32, P ≤ 0.0206). This association was also observed for late-onset HCC (adjusted-odds ratio = 0.42-0.47, P ≤ 0.0194) in a nested case-control study (120 cases vs. 178 controls). In prospective analysis, change in the score was detected 5-9 yr before HCC onset. Blood-based methylation profiling provides new insights into the complexity of virus-host interaction underlying HBV-related HCC, holding promise for the disease risk management. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Progressive accumulation of mutations in the hepatitis B virus genome and its impact on time to diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma.

UNLABELLED: To evaluate how hepatitis B virus (HBV) genetic variation affected progression from chronic carrier state to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), we analyzed HBV full-length sequences in blood obtained <1-20 years before diagnosis from 117 HCC cases and 118 controls nested in a cohort of 4,841 HBV carriers, for whom HBV genotypes B and C are predominant. The relationship between each viral single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) and HCC development was assessed using ordinal logistic models according to five periods of time to diagnosis (TTD). Thirty-one HBV-SNPs showed significant association with TTD after adjustment for HBV genotype, 24 of which could also be analyzed with an extended analysis on the full-length data in conjunction with 512 partial sequences (nucleotides 2,436-1,623) from the cohort. The obtained 10 robust candidate HBV-SNPs (P ≤ 0.0304), which showed odds ratios ranging from 1.89 to 8.68, were further confirmed in 163 GenBank HBV-HCC sequences from nine Asia regions, assayed after HCC diagnosis, representing the end stage of progressive hepatic diseases. The prevalence of these HBV-SNPs and their cumulative number, presented in terms of mutation score, increased with time approaching HCC diagnosis, with an odds ratio of 2.17, 4.21, 8.15, and 19.15, respectively, for the mutation score of 1, 2, 3, and ≥4 versus 0. The mutation score for predicting short-term HCC risk outperformed other factors, including HBV-DNA levels, viral genotype, and various combinations of risk factors, and revealed increasing accuracy with shorter TTD (<4.5 years before diagnosis: area under the curve = 0.83-0.89; sensitivity = 72.7%-94.1%; specificity = 58.3%-70.5%; conditioned on optimized cutoff for genotype B and C, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Identifying and tracking viral mutations is important for monitoring hepatitis B progression and early detection of HCC. (Hepatology 2016;64:720-731).

Development of risk scoring system for stratifying population for hepatocellular carcinoma screening.

UNLABELLED: The age and risk level that warrants hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening remains to be defined. To develop risk scores for stratifying average-risk population for mass HCC screening, we conducted a pooled analysis using data from three cohorts involving 12,377 Taiwanese adults 20-80 years of age. During 191,240.3 person-years of follow-up, 387 HCCs occurred. We derived risk scores from Cox's model in two thirds of participants and used another one third for model validation. Besides assessing discrimination and calibration, we performed decision curve analysis to translate findings into public health policy. A risk score according to age, sex, alanine aminotransferase, previous chronic liver disease, family history of HCC, and cumulative smoking had good discriminatory accuracy in both model derivation and validation sets (c-statistics for 3-, 5-, and 10-year risk prediction: 0.76-0.83). It also performed well across cohorts and diverse subgroups. Decision curve analyses revealed that use of the score in selecting persons for screening improved benefit at threshold probabilities of >2% 10-year risk, compared with current guidelines and a strategy of screening all hepatitis B carriers. Using 10-year risk 2% as a threshold for initiating screening, the screening age ranged from 20 to ≥60 years, depending on the tertile of risk scores and status of hepatitis B/C virus infection. Combining risk-score tertile levels and hepatitis virus status to stratify participants was more sensitive than current guidelines for HCC detection within 10 years (89.4% vs. 76.8%), especially for young-onset HCCs <50 years (79.4% vs. 40.6%), under slightly lower specificity (67.8% vs. 71.8%). CONCLUSION: A simple HCC prediction algorithm was developed using accessible variables combined with hepatitis virus status, which allows selection of asymptomatic persons for priority of HCC screening.

Identification of a liver cirrhosis signature in plasma for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma risk in a population-based cohort of hepatitis B carriers.

Liver cirrhosis is a critical state in the natural course of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We sought to investigate the potential of in-depth proteomics to reveal plasma protein signatures that reflect common networks/pathways of liver cirrhosis, and to determine whether the cirrhosis-related signature in plasma is linked to the development of HCC among hepatitis B virus (HBV) carriers. We first compared plasma protein profiles using a 174-antibody microarray system between three groups of HBV carriers with different Child's grades of cirrhosis, which revealed a panel of 45 differentially expressed proteins with a high accuracy for discriminating Child's B/C. Ingenuity Pathway Analysis identified two main up-regulated networks connecting the 45 proteins that were most enriched for genes in the pathway of hepatic stellate cell activation. A parsimonious subset of 11 pathway-based proteins was then selected for quantification to correlate with HCC risk among 49 HCC cases and 50 controls in a nested case-control study within a 16-yr follow-up cohort of HBV carriers. A high risk score derived from a principal component analysis, which was used to extract the cluster structure of the 11 proteins, was associated with HCC (odds ratio = 4.83, 95% confidence interval: 1.26-18.56) even after adjustment for viral and clinical variables, implying the involvement of a pattern of coordinated proteins. Stepwise logistic regression on the 11 proteins revealed ICAM-2 as an independent predictor for HCC. These findings may give further insight into the pathobiology of hepatocarcinogenesis, allow testing of the cirrhosis-related plasma protein signature as a potential predictive biomarker for HCC.

Genome-wide DNA methylation profiles in hepatocellular carcinoma.

UNLABELLED: Alterations in DNA methylation frequently occur in hepatocellular cancer (HCC). We have previously demonstrated that hypermethylation in candidate genes can be detected in plasma DNA before HCC diagnosis. To identify, with a genome-wide approach, additional genes hypermethylated in HCC that could be used for more accurate analysis of plasma DNA for early diagnosis, we analyzed tumor and adjacent nontumor tissues from 62 Taiwanese HCC cases using Illumina methylation arrays (Illumina, Inc., San Diego, CA) that screen 26,486 autosomal CpG sites. After Bonferroni adjustment, a total of 2,324 CpG sites significantly differed in methylation level, with 684 CpG sites significantly hypermethylated and 1,640 hypomethylated in tumor, compared to nontumor tissues. Array data were validated with pyrosequencing in a subset of five of these genes; correlation coefficients ranged from 0.92 to 0.97. Analysis of plasma DNA from 38 cases demonstrated that 37%-63% of cases had detectable hypermethylated DNA (≥ 5% methylation) for these five genes individually. At least one of these genes was hypermethylated in 87% of the cases, suggesting that measurement of DNA methylation in plasma samples is feasible. CONCLUSION: The panel of methylated genes indentified in the current study will be further tested in a large cohort of prospectively collected samples to determine their utility as early biomarkers of HCC.

Impact of fatty liver on long-term outcomes in chronic hepatitis B: a systematic review and matched analysis of individual patient data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and fatty liver (FL) often co-exist, but natural history data of this dual condition (CHB-FL) are sparse. Via a systematic review, conventional meta-analysis (MA) and individual patient-level data MA (IPDMA), we compared liver-related outcomes and mortality between CHB-FL and CHB-no FL patients. METHODS: We searched 4 databases from inception to December 2021 and pooled study-level estimates using a random- effects model for conventional MA. For IPDMA, we evaluated outcomes after balancing the two study groups with inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW) on age, sex, cirrhosis, diabetes, ALT, HBeAg, HBV DNA, and antiviral treatment. RESULTS: We screened 2,157 articles and included 19 eligible studies (17,955 patients: 11,908 CHB-no FL; 6,047 CHB-FL) in conventional MA, which found severe heterogeneity (I2=88-95%) and no significant differences in HCC, cirrhosis, mortality, or HBsAg seroclearance incidence (P=0.27-0.93). IPDMA included 13,262 patients: 8,625 CHB-no FL and 4,637 CHB-FL patients who differed in several characteristics. The IPTW cohort included 6,955 CHB-no FL and 3,346 CHB-FL well-matched patients. CHB-FL patients (vs. CHB-no FL) had significantly lower HCC, cirrhosis, mortality and higher HBsAg seroclearance incidence (all p≤0.002), with consistent results in subgroups. CHB-FL diagnosed by liver biopsy had a higher 10-year cumulative HCC incidence than CHB-FL diagnosed with non-invasive methods (63.6% vs. 4.3%, p<0.0001). CONCLUSION: IPDMA data with well-matched CHB patient groups showed that FL (vs. no FL) was associated with significantly lower HCC, cirrhosis, and mortality risk and higher HBsAg seroclearance probability.

Influences of tobacco and alcohol use on hepatocellular carcinoma survival.

Prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is generally poor. The role of modifiable lifestyle factors on HCC survival has been less studied. To examine whether prediagnosis smoking and alcohol affected HCC survival stratified by viral etiology, we conducted a prospective cohort study of 2,273 (1990 with viral hepatitis and 283 without) incident HCC cases aged 20-75 years who were enrolled between 1997 and 2004 from a Taiwanese multicenter study, and followed up through 2007. Information on habitual smoking and alcohol consumption was obtained at baseline through personal interview. After follow-up to a maximum of 10 years, 1,757 participants died and 1,488 (84.7%) were attributed to HCC. Prediagnosis smoking and alcohol worsened prognosis independent of each other and clinical predictors. The effects of both risky behaviors were limited to viral hepatitis-related HCC and more profound among those with early-stage HCC. Risk for HCC-specific mortality increased with increasing pack-years smoked and ethanol intake (all p < 0.001 for trend), with an additive effect shown for the two habits [hazard ratio (HR) for alcohol ≥ 46.2 g/day and ≥ 10 pack-years = 1.72, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.45-2.05]. For either habit, cessation reduced HCC-specific mortality, but a significant mortality benefit occurred 10 years after abstinence (quitting smoking ≥ 10 years vs. continuing smokers: HR = 0.77, 95% CI = 0.61-0.97; quitting drinking ≥ 10 years vs. continuing drinkers: HR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.56-0.98). In conclusion, among patients with viral hepatitis-related HCC, prediagnosis smoking and alcohol have a deleterious effect on HCC survival. Quitting smoking or drinking alcohol could reduce the excess risk, but only after a long interval of cessation.

Hepatitis B viraemia: its heritability and association with common genetic variation in the interferon gamma signalling pathway.

OBJECTIVE: High viraemia of hepatitis B virus (HBV) influences all phases in the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study was designed to estimate the overall contribution of host genetics to HBV viraemia, and investigate the influence of common single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the interferon γ (IFNγ) signalling pathway, which is pivotal in the non-cytolytic clearance of HBV. METHODS: We first determined familial correlations and heritability (ie, proportion of phenotypic variation that is attributable to additive genetic factors) for HBV viraemia using 280 HCC families, including 766 adult HBV carriers. Then family-based association analysis was conducted for viraemia with a panel of 40 SNPs across ten IFNγ-related genes. For replication, seven tagging SNPs in identified candidate regions were also tested in a further 1011 unrelated individuals with longitudinal data on HBV viraemia over 16 years. RESULTS: After adjustment for HBV genotype and sex, significant correlations for viraemia were detected among both siblings and mother-child pairs. Heritability accounted for approximately 30% (p<0.0002) of the variance of viral load, whereas HBV genotype and sex together explained less than 3%. Heritability estimates increased up to 74.0% after further exclusion of subjects with episodes of liver biochemical abnormalities. Our initial family-based association analysis identified two SNPs (rs2284553 (intronic SNP) and rs9808753 (Q64R)) on the IFNγ receptor 2 (IFNGR2) gene that were robustly associated with viraemia after multitest correction (all p<0.02). The SNPs were also associated with the longitudinal levels of viraemia and the persistence of a high viraemia of ≥4.39 log copies/ml (all p<0.0001) in unrelated individuals. CONCLUSIONS: HBV viraemia appears to have substantial heritability. Polymorphisms in the IFNGR2 gene appear to be associated with the variability of viraemia.

Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease, Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Seroclearance, and Long-Term Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chronic Hepatitis B.

The value of metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and its ability to assess hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk remains uncertain for chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We evaluated the impacts of MAFLD and its coincidental metabolic abnormalities and related genetic predisposition on HCC incidence and mortality outcomes in CHB. We analyzed data from 1453 HBsAg-positive men (median age = 49.2 years at baseline) from a cohort of civil servants recruited from 1989−1992. MAFLD was defined as hepatic steatosis on ultrasound with obesity, diabetes, or metabolic dysfunction at baseline. During follow-up (median = 19.3 years), 105 HCC events occurred. MAFLD was not associated with HCC (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.02) but was associated with a higher HBsAg seroclearance rate (aHR = 1.43). In mediation analysis, HBsAg seroclearance driven by hepatic steatosis explained 31.6% of the association between MAFLD and HCC. Antiviral treatment or fatty liver disease-associated genetic variants did not influence the MAFLD−HCC association. In contrast, even after adjustment for MAFLD and the other metabolic abnormalities, diabetes (aHR = 2.28), obesity (aHR = 1.72), and metabolic dysfunction (aHR = 3.30) increased the risk of HCC (all p < 0.030). The risk of HCC increased with the number of metabolic abnormalities (vs 0: aHR = 2.05 and 5.72 for 2 and ≥ 3 metabolic abnormalities, respectively), and the cumulative effect of metabolic abnormalities was found across subgroups categorized by hepatic steatosis as well as in participants both with and without HBsAg seroclearance. In conclusion, MAFLD was not associated with increased HCC incidence in CHB. A more informative assessment of HCC risk can be obtained by taking into account the number of metabolic abnormalities.

Impact of PNPLA3 p.I148M and Hepatic Steatosis on Long-Term Outcomes for Hepatocellular Carcinoma and HBsAg Seroclearance in Chronic Hepatitis B.

Background: Coexistence of hepatitis B and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is common; however, little is known about the impact of hepatic steatosis and its major genetic determinants on the natural history of HBV infection. We aimed to study the effects of hepatic steatosis and PNPLA3 variant p.I148M on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the lifetime probability of HBsAg seroclearance, which is associated with functional remission and improved long-term outcome of HBV infection. Methods: We conducted a cohort study of 2385 male, HBsAg-positive Taiwanese civil servants recruited in 1989-1992, and followed up until 2019. Cox regression with competing-risk models was used to estimate sub-distribution hazard ratios (sHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: Of 2385 participants, 628 experienced HBsAg seroclearance and 217 developed HCC. Hepatic steatosis, excess body-mass index, and the PNPLA3-148M variant were significantly associated with higher HBsAg seroclearance rate. However, multivariate analyses accounting for HBsAg seroclearance and various HCC risk factors showed that, while steatosis was associated with decreased HCC risk (sHR [95% CI]: 0.49 [0.36-0.66]), carriage of the PNPLA3-148M variant allele (vs II homozygotes: 1.64 [1.20-2.25] for MI heterozygotes; 1.83 [1.20-2.78] for MM homozygotes) and obesity (1.51 [1.07-2.13]) were associated with increased risk. The inverse hepatic steatosis-HCC association persisted after additional adjustment for other viral factors or using different follow-up time cut-offs to account for reverse causality. Moreover, the PNPLA3 MM genotype was positively associated with elevations of ALT and AST and liver cirrhosis, while hepatic steatosis was positively associated with ALT but inversely associated with AST and liver cirrhosis. Conclusion: Hepatic steatosis and PNPLA3-148M variant appeared to have distinct impacts on the development of HBV-related progressive liver disease and HCC. PNPLA3 p.I148M, but not a diagnosis of hepatic steatosis, can help to identify HBV carriers with high-risk fatty liver disease in the progression to HCC.

Insulin, glucose and hepatocellular carcinoma risk in male hepatitis B carriers: results from 17-year follow-up of a population-based cohort.

This study aimed to investigate the association of fasting insulin and glucose levels with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in a case-cohort study within a cohort (1989-2006) of 2903 male government employees chronically infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV) in Taiwan. Insulin, glucose and HBV-related factors were assayed in baseline plasma among 124 HCC cases and a random subcohort of 1084 of the total cohort. After adjustment for demographics and HBV-related factors, including viral load and genotype, the HCC risk was higher for the highest [>6.10 µU/ml, hazard ratio (HR) = 2.36, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.43-3.90] and lowest (<2.75 µU/ml, HR = 1.57, 95% CI: 0.96-2.58) categories of insulin, compared with insulin of 2.75-4.10 µU/ml. The dose-response relationship between insulin and HCC varied by follow-up time, with stronger association for the HCC cases that occurred ≥8 years after baseline (P for trend <0.0001). The effect of higher insulin on HCC risk remained after adjustment for other metabolic factors, and was fairly consistent across strata of age, body mass index, and HBV genotypic variants. However, it was more profound among those with viral load <4.39 log(10) copies/ml at recruitment (>6.10 µU/ml, HR = 6.15, 95% CI: 2.48-15.22). Higher insulin was also associated with an increased risk for cirrhosis diagnosed by ultrasonography and elevated alanine aminotransferase. No association with either cirrhosis or HCC was noted for glucose or diabetes after adjusting for insulin. In conclusion, elevated insulin levels are an independent risk factor for HCC among HBV carriers, especially for those with lower viral load.

Hepatitis B virus core variants modify natural course of viral infection and hepatocellular carcinoma progression.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We assessed the influence of genetic variants in the hepatitis B virus (HBV) core, which is a principal immunologic target, on the progression to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in a cohort of 4841 male HBV carriers followed up for 16 years. METHODS: First, baseline sera from 116 HCC cases and 154 controls nested within the cohort were used for sequencing of the HBV core gene to screen for variants with effects on HCC progression. By applying a high-throughput assay for detecting viral single nucleotide substitutions, we then used a longitudinal study (n = 1143) to examine whether 2 identified variants that lie in the region within or flanking epitopes affected the natural course of hepatitis B through investigating their relationships with time trends for viral load and clinical features. RESULTS: In the nested case-control study, there were 6 core variants associated with decreased risk of HCC after accounting for viral genotype; 5 lie in the region within or flanking epitopes (P < .04). Each variant correlated with a 0.7- to 1-log decrease in viral load and hepatitis B virus e antigen negativity at baseline. The longitudinal study further showed that the appearance of 2 such variants (T1938C and T2045A) was preceded by long-term diminished viral load and decreased rate of liver abnormalities and was significantly less frequent in individuals with a prolonged immune clearance phase that associated with spectrum of liver disease than those in inactive carrier or reactivation phase. CONCLUSIONS: HBV core variants affecting the kinetics of host-virus interplay may influence longitudinal viral load and HCC progression.

Long-term tracking of hepatitis B viral load and the relationship with risk for hepatocellular carcinoma in men.

Little is known about the longitudinal course of hepatitis B virus (HBV) load and its relationship with the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We conducted a case-cohort study nested within a cohort of 2874 HBV surface antigen-positive male Taiwanese government employees aged 30 years or older. HBV genotype and DNA levels (i.e. viral load) were tested using polymerase chain reaction-based assays on plasma samples from 112 cases and 1031 non-cases. Prediagnostic plasma levels of HBV DNA were measured in multiple samples collected from each man (total 7706 samples), taken over periods of up to 16 years before diagnosis. Baseline viral load influenced HBV genotype-specific HCC risks and predicted the persistence of high viral load (>/=4.39 log copies/ml) that can cause HCC. Moderate to high tracking of viral load was observed within 9 years. Hepatitis B e antigen (P < 0.0001), genotype C HBV infection (P = 0.0369) and longitudinal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) elevation (defined as ALT abnormality in >/=50% of the visits) (P = 0.0005) were positively related to longer duration of persistence for high viral load. After multivariate adjustment, HBV genotype C [odds ratio (OR) = 5.97, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 3.44-10.34], high viral load detected at >/=50% of the visits (compared with sustained low viral load: OR = 5.04, 95% CI = 2.31-11.00) and longitudinal ALT elevation (compared with sustained normal ALT levels: OR = 2.84, 95% CI = 1.46-5.51) accounted for 43.5, 57.2 and 24.9% of HCCs, respectively. The results suggest that maintenance of viral load <4.39 log copies/ml was associated with sustained normalization of ALT levels and decreased risk of HCC.