[Chronic hepatitis C : Standard treatment and remaining challenges]. / Chronische Hepatitis C : Standardtherapie und verbliebene Herausforderungen.

BACKGROUND: Among patients with chronic hepatitis C, 20-30% develop cirrhosis and its complications within 30 years. The antiviral treatment of hepatitis C has become interferon-free, with resulting improvements in sustained virological response rates, safety and tolerability and a shorter duration of treatment. OBJECTIVE: The mechanism of action of available drugs and current treatment recommendations. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This review is based on relevant publications retrieved by a selective literature search and particularly on studies and reviews concerning the course and treatment of hepatitis C. RESULTS: The available drugs for interferon-free antiviral treatment of hepatitis C include inhibitors of the RNA-dependent RNA polymerase, NS3/4A protease, and NS5A protein of the hepatitis C virus (HCV), and ribavirin. Typically, two specific inhibitors are given in combination and the usual duration of treatment is 8-12 weeks. The antiviral drugs differ in their genotypic effectiveness and resistance barriers. The appropriate drug(s) should be chosen in consideration of the patient's hepatic and renal function and potential drug-drug interactions. All approved anti-HCV drugs are safe and well-tolerated and result in sustained virological response rates above 95%. CONCLUSION: All patients with hepatitis C, whatever their disease stage, can achieve a sustained eradication of HCV using a combination of drugs with direct antiviral activity. Viral eradication is associated with a better quality of life and with lower morbidity and mortality.

[Choosing wisely recommendations in gastroenterology]. / Klug-entscheiden-Empfehlungen in der Gastroenterologie.

The Choosing wisely initiative of the German Society of Internal Medicine addresses procedures which are inadequately implemented (deficits in patient care) as well as those which are performed too often but without proven benefits for patients (misuse or overuse of health services). Based on their guidelines, The German Society of Gastroenterology, Digestive and Metabolic Diseases has identified such aspects and incorporated them into the respective recommendations.

The macrophage activation marker CD163 is associated with IL28B genotype and hepatic inflammation in chronic hepatitis C virus infected patients.

Recent data highlighted the association of the macrophage activation marker CD163 with histological inflammation and fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. The aim of this study was to investigate the influence of successful antiviral treatment and IL28B genotypes on macrophage activation reflected by CD163 levels in HCV infected patients. In a retrospective cohort study, serum sCD163 levels were correlated with results of liver histopathology, IL28B genotyping and clinical parameters in 329 patients with HCV infection, 15 healthy controls and in 161 patients who achieved a sustained virologic response after antiviral treatment. sCD163 levels were significantly higher in patients with chronic HCV infection in comparison to healthy controls (5202 vs 896 ng/mL, P < 0.001). In the multivariate logistic regression analyses, sCD163 was independently associated with histologically determined inflammation (P = 0.043) but not with fibrosis (P = 0.091). sCD163 dropped significantly after successful antiviral treatment in comparison to baseline values (5202 vs 3093 ng/mL, P < 0.001). In the univariate analyses, sCD163 was significantly associated with IL28B genotype (C/C vs C/T+T/T) with higher values in the C/C group (6098 vs 4812 ng/mL, P = 0.003). In the multivariate logistic regression model, sCD163 levels were significantly associated with IL28B genotype (P = 0.003) and sustained virologic response (SVR) (P < 0.001). Our data support the association of activated liver macrophages with hepatic necroinflammation in chronic HCV infection as sCD163 levels drop rapidly after SVR. The irresponsiveness of IL28B minor genotypes to interferon might be related to a lower level of macrophage activation in these patients.

The anti-lymphoma activity of antiviral therapy in HCV-associated B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphomas: a meta-analysis.

Many epidemiological studies provide solid evidence for an association of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection with B-cell non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (B-NHL). However, the most convincing evidence for a causal relationship between HCV infection and lymphoma development is the observation of B-NHL regression after HCV eradication by antiviral therapy (AVT). We conducted a literature search to identify studies that included patients with HCV-associated B-NHL (HCV-NHL) who received AVT, with the intention to treat lymphoma and viral disease at the same time. The primary end point was the correlation of sustained virological response (SVR) under AVT with lymphoma response. Secondary end points were overall lymphoma response rates and HCV-NHL response in correlation with lymphoma subtypes. We included 20 studies that evaluated the efficacy of AVT in HCV-NHL (n = 254 patients). Overall lymphoma response rate through AVT was 73% [95%>confidence interval, (CI) 67-78%]. Throughout studies there was a strong association between SVR and lymphoma response (83% response rate, 95%>CI, 76-88%) compared to a failure in achieving SVR (53% response rate, 95%>CI, 39-67%, P = 0.0002). There was a trend towards favourable response for AVT in HCV-associated marginal zone lymphomas (response rate 81%, 95%>CI, 74-87%) compared to nonmarginal zone origin (response rate 71%, 95%>CI, 61-79%, P = 0.07). In conclusion, in the current meta-analysis, the overall response rate of HCV-NHL under AVT justifies the recommendation for AVT as first-line treatment in patients who do not need immediate conventional treatment. The strong correlation of SVR and lymphoma regression supports the hypothesis of a causal relationship of HCV and lymphomagenesis.

Regression of fibrosis and portal hypertension in HCV-associated cirrhosis and sustained virologic response after interferon-free antiviral therapy.

It is still controversial, whether and to what amount cirrhosis and portal hypertension are reversible in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated cirrhosis and sustained virologic response (SVR) after interferon-free antiviral therapy. In this study, we prospectively evaluated dynamics of liver and spleen stiffness in HCV-infected patients with advanced liver disease and SVR after interferon-free treatment. A total of 54 patients with HCV-associated cirrhosis and SVR were included. Liver and spleen stiffness was measured at therapy baseline (BL), end of treatment (EOT) and 24 weeks after EOT (FU24) by transient liver elastography (L-TE) as well as by acoustic radiation force impulse of the liver (L-ARFI) and spleen (S-ARFI), as well as biochemical, virologic and clinical data. Improvement of liver and spleen stiffness was found in 44 of 50 (88%), 31 of 54 (57%) and 25 of 54 (46%) of patients assessed by L-TE, L-ARFI and S-ARFI between baseline and FU24. Liver stiffness assessed by L-TE improved between BL [median (range), 32.5 (9.1-75) kPa] and EOT [median (range), 21.3 (6.7-73.5) kPa; (P<.0001)], and between BL and FU24 [median (range), 21.2 (5.4-70) kPa; (P<.0001)]. Liver stiffness assessed by L-ARFI improved between BL [median (range), 2.7 (1.2-4.1) m/s] and FU24 [median (range), 2.4 (1.2-3.9) m/s; P=.002), while spleen stiffness remained unchanged. Our data suggest that improvement of liver stiffness may be rather due to reduced necroinflammation and may be due to a less extent to regression of cirrhosis, as dynamics of liver stiffness improvement was more pronounced between BL and EOT than BL and FU24.

Peginterferon add-on results in more HBsAg decline compared to monotherapy in HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B patients.

It is unknown whether peginterferon (PEG-IFN) add-on to entecavir (ETV) leads to more HBsAg decline compared to PEG-IFN monotherapy or combination therapy, and whether ETV therapy may prevent HBsAg increase after PEG-IFN cessation. We performed a post hoc analysis of 396 HBeAg-positive patients treated for 72 weeks with ETV + 24 weeks PEG-IFN add-on from week 24 to 48 (add-on, n = 85), 72 weeks with ETV monotherapy (n = 90), 52 weeks with PEG-IFN monotherapy (n = 111) and 52 weeks PEG-IFN + lamivudine (combination, n = 110) within 2 randomized trials. HBsAg decline was assessed at the end of PEG-IFN (EOP) and 6 months after PEG-IFN (EOF) discontinuation. Differences in baseline characteristics were accounted for using inversed probability of treatment weights. At EOP, a HBsAg reduction of ≥1log10 IU/mL was more frequently achieved for patients in the add-on or combination therapy arms (both 36%), compared to PEG-IFN mono (20%) or ETV (8%) (add-on vs PEG-IFN mono P = 0.050). At EOF, the HBsAg reduction ≥1log10 IU/mL was only sustained in patients treated with ETV consolidation (add-on vs combination and PEG-IFN mono: 40% vs 23% and 18%, P = 0.029 and P = 0.003, respectively). For add-on, combination, PEG-IFN mono and ETV, the mean HBsAg-level change at EOF was -0.84, -0.81, -0.68 and -0.33 log10 IU/mL, respectively (P > 0.05 for PEG-IFN arms). HBeAg loss at EOF was 36%, 31%, 33% and 20%, respectively (P > 0.05). PEG-IFN add-on for 24 weeks results in more on-treatment HBsAg decline than does 52 weeks of PEG-IFN monotherapy. ETV therapy may maintain the HBsAg reduction achieved with PEG-IFN.

[Expert recommendations: Hepatitis C and transplantation]. / Empfehlungen zur antiviralen Therapie der chronischen Hepatitis C bei Patienten auf der Warteliste und nach Transplantation.

With the approval of new direct acting antiviral agents (DAA), therapeutic options for patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are now generally available before and after liver transplantation (LT). Interferon-free DAA regimens are highly effective therapies and provide a good safety profile. However, the body of clinical evidence in this patient population is limited and the best treatment strategies for patients on the waiting list with (de)compensated cirrhosis and after LT are not well defined. The following recommendations for antiviral therapy in the context of LT are based on the currently available literature and clinical experience of experts in the field, and have been discussed in an expert meeting. The aim of this article is to guide clinicians in the decision making when treating patients before and after LT with DAAs.

Soluble CD163 is an indicator of liver inflammation and fibrosis in patients chronically infected with the hepatitis B virus.

Soluble CD163 (sCD163), a marker for macrophage activation, was found to be associated with the severity of liver cirrhosis. The aim of the current study was to investigate whether serum sCD163 levels correlate with liver inflammation and fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. In a retrospective cohort study, serum sCD163 levels were assessed by ELISA together with clinical and laboratory data in 186 patients with chronic HBV infection and 15 healthy controls. The relation between parameters for liver fibrosis and necroinflammation and sCD163 levels was analysed. Additionally, sCD163 was quantified in a subset of follow-up serum samples after initiation of antiviral treatment. sCD163 levels differed among phases of chronic HBV infection (P < 0.0001), and sCD163 concentrations were associated with inflammatory activity and fibrosis in the liver. sCD163 levels ≥ 1961 ng/l had a high specificity in the identification of subjects with substantial fibrosis (F ≥ 2). sCD163 concentrations decreased significantly after initiation of antiviral treatment. The correlation of sCD163 levels with necroinflammation and fibrosis and the sCD163 decline under treatment indicates that macrophage activation plays a role in HBV-related liver pathogenesis.

Simeprevir with peginterferon/ribavirin for treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus genotype 1 infection: pooled safety analysis from Phase IIb and III studies.

This pooled analysis of five Phase IIb and III studies evaluated the safety and tolerability of simeprevir, a once daily, oral hepatitis C virus (HCV) NS3/4A protease inhibitor. Data were summarised for patients who received simeprevir 150 mg once daily (n = 924) or placebo (n = 540) plus pegylated interferon-α/ribavirin for 12 weeks. During the first 12 weeks of treatment, few patients discontinued simeprevir or placebo due to adverse events (AEs) (both 2.2%). Pruritus (23.8% vs 17.4%), rash (any; 22.9% vs 16.7%) and photosensitivity (3.2% vs 0.6%) [Correction added on 16 January 2015, after first online publication: In the above sentence, the values in 'Photosensitivity' were previously incorrect and have now been changed to 3.2% vs 0.6%.] were more prevalent in the simeprevir vs the placebo groups. Most AEs were grade 1/2 (72.4% for simeprevir vs 71.3% for placebo). All grade 3/4 AEs occurred in <5.0% of patients, except neutropenia (9.8% vs 7.6%). Overall incidence of neutropenia was similar (17.3% vs 15.7%). Incidence of anaemia was 13.2% for simeprevir vs 10.9% for placebo, and incidence of increased bilirubin was 8.4% vs 2.8%. Bilirubin increases were mild-to-moderate and transient without concurrent transaminase increases or association with hepatic injury. Safety and tolerability did not vary with METAVIR score, although increased bilirubin and anaemia were more frequent in simeprevir-treated patients with METAVIR F4 (increased bilirubin, 13.0% vs 3.3%; anaemia, 19.0% vs 14.8%). Serious AEs were infrequent (2.1% for simeprevir vs 3.0% for placebo). No deaths were reported during the first 12 weeks of treatment. Patient-reported fatigue and other outcomes were comparable for both groups, but were of shorter duration for simeprevir due to the use of response-guided therapy. Simeprevir is well tolerated in HCV genotype 1-infected patients.

Endoscopic findings in patients with eosinophilic esophagitis.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopy has a key role in establishing the diagnosis of eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE), but endoscopic features of EoE might not be well known. METHODS: All patients aged 18 or older who were diagnosed with EoE from 2008 to 2013 were systematically identified retrospectively and findings at esophago-gastro-duodenoscopy (EGD) were reviewed by two experienced endoscopists through a query of the university hospital database. Patients in whom biopsies from the esophagus were lacking or inadequate for histopathological examination were excluded. RESULTS: 23 patients (17 male, 6 female) were included into the study (median age: 38 years, range: 19 to 71 years). Patients presented with the following symptoms: 12 (52 %) had bolus obstruction and 18 (78 %) dysphagia and/or chest pain. At EGD, 22 of 23 (96 %) patients were observed with at least one endoscopic feature of EoE, i. e., mucosal edema (52 %), longitudinal furrows (57 %), vertical furrows (48 %), or crêpe paper esophagus (52 %). CONCLUSIONS: Typical endoscopic features were present in most patients in whom EoE was diagnosed. Recognizing typical characteristics of EoE is substantial for establishing the diagnosis and for taking biopsies.

Point Shear Wave Elastography by Acoustic Radiation Force Impulse Quantification in Comparison to Transient Elastography for the Noninvasive Assessment of Liver Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis C: A Prospective International Multicenter Study.

PURPOSE: The aim of the present prospective European multicenter study was to demonstrate the non-inferiority of point shear wave elastography (pSWE) compared to transient elastography (TE) for the assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 241 patients with chronic hepatitis C were prospectively enrolled at 7 European study sites and received pSWE, TE and blood tests. Liver biopsy was performed with histological staging by a central pathologist. In addition, for inclusion of cirrhotic patients, a maximum of 10 % of patients with overt liver cirrhosis confirmed by imaging methods were allowed by protocol (n = 24). RESULTS: Owing to slower than expected recruitment due to a reduction of liver biopsies, the study was closed after 4 years before the target enrollment of 433 patients with 235 patients in the 'intention to diagnose' analysis and 182 patients in the 'per protocol' analysis. Therefore, the non-inferiority margin was enhanced to 0.075 but non-inferiority of pSWE could not be proven. However, Paired comparison of the diagnostic accuracy of pSWE and TE revealed no significant difference between the two methods in the 'intention to diagnose' and 'per protocol' analysis (0.81 vs. 0.85 for F ≥ 2, p = 0.15; 0.88 vs. 0.92 for F ≥ 3, p = 0.11; 0.89 vs. 0.94 for F = 4, p = 0.19). Measurement failure was significantly higher for TE than for pSWE (p = 0.030). CONCLUSION: Non-inferiority of pSWE compared to TE could not be shown. However, the diagnostic accuracy of pSWE and TE was comparable for the noninvasive staging of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

[Treatment of hepatitis C]. / Therapie der Hepatitis C.

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is the major cause of liver cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma and liver transplantation in the western world. The development and approval of nine directly acting antiviral drugs in recent years has led to a dramatic improvement in therapeutic efficacy accompanied by fewer side effects. With current treatment options sustained virologic response in more than 90 % of patients can be achieved depending on HCV genotype, liver cirrhosis and prior therapies. Modern HCV treatment regimens are interferon-free and should be administered for 12-24 weeks. Shorter courses are possible in selected patients. For the treatment of HCV genotype 1 infection combinations of either the nucleotide polymerase inhibitor sofosbuvir with the protease inhibitor simeprevir or with one of the two NS5A inhibitors daclatasvir or ledipasvir on the one hand or triple DAA therapy of paritaprevir, ombitasvir and dasabuvir on the other hand are applicable. Ribavirin has still a role as an add-on in difficult to treat patients.

Is there sufficient evidence to recommend antiviral therapy in hepatitis C?

While patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are treated in order to prevent liver-related morbidity and mortality, we rely on sustained virological response (SVR) as a virological biomarker to evaluate treatment efficacy in both clinical practice as well as in drug development. However, conclusive evidence for the clinical benefit of antiviral therapy or validity of SVR as surrogate marker, as derived from trials randomizing patients to a treatment or control arm, is lacking. In fact, the Hepatitis C Antiviral Long-term Treatment Against Cirrhosis (HALT-C) trial recently showed an increased mortality rate among interferon-treated patients compared to untreated controls. Consequently, the recommendation to treat patients with chronic HCV infection was challenged. Here, we argue that the possible harmful effect of long-term low-dose pegylated interferon mono therapy, as was observed in the HALT-C trial cohort, cannot be extrapolated to potentially curative short-term treatment regimens. Furthermore, we discuss SVR as a surrogate biomarker, based on numerous studies which indicated an association between SVR and improvements in health-related quality of life, hepatic inflammation and fibrosis, and portal pressure as well as a reduced risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver failure and mortality.

The impact of antihyperlipidemic drugs on the viral load of patients with chronic hepatitis C infection: a meta-analysis.

Several studies investigating the role of statins and fibrates in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection offered so far conflicting evidence regarding the antiviral potency of these medications, whereas combination of these drugs with pegylated interferon and ribavirin improved in some trials therapeutic outcome. We conducted a literature search to identify trials that included monoinfected HCV patients, treated with statins or fibrates as monotherapy with the primary end point of our meta-analysis being the quantitative change of HCV-RNA induced by these medications. Logarithmic changes of the viral load (ΔlogVL) and confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated according to the DerSimonian-Laird estimate. Statistical heterogeneity was assessed with the I² statistic. We identified eight observational studies that evaluated the potency of bezafibrate and different statins as monotherapy to induce a significant reduction of HCV-RNA in HCV-monoinfected patients (n = 281). Overall, a significant reduction of viral load with mean 0.19 [log10 IU/mL] (95%-confidence interval, (CI) 0.11-0.28) could be observed when antihyperlipidemic medications were administered. Bezafibrate featured the highest antiviral efficacy (0.45 log10 reduction, 95%-CI, 0.17-0.72) among all medications and fluvastatin (0.20 log10 reduction, 95%-CI, 0.09-0.31) among all statins tested. Based on meta-analysis, fibrates and statins induce a reduction of HCV viral load. We suggest that the addition of statins and fibrates to antiviral regimes, especially in HCV patients with concomitant dyslipidemia, could beside the established reduction of cardiovascular risk increase the potency of antiviral therapy.

Impact of ribavirin priming on viral kinetics and treatment response in chronic hepatitis C genotype 1 infection.

Ribavirin amplifies the interferon-alpha (IFN) signalling cascade. As ribavirin needs 4 weeks to reach steady state, ribavirin priming may optimize hepatic IFN sensitivity before starting a pegylated (PEG)-IFN/ribavirin combination therapy. This study investigated potential benefits of ribavirin priming prior to PEG-IFN2a/ribavirin combination therapy on viral kinetics, on-treatment and sustained virological response (SVR) in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1 infection. Sixty-eight treatment naive patients were randomized 2:2:1 to ribavirin (ribavirin arm) or placebo (placebo arm) or PEG-IFN2a (PEG-IFN2a arm) for 6 weeks prior to 12 weeks of PEG-IFN2a/ribavirin combination therapy within a double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Then, standard PEG-IFN2a/ribavirin combination therapy according to the German guidelines was continued under the responsibility of the investigators. Ribavirin was given according to body weight and PEG-IFN2a at a dose of 180 µg subcutaneously once/week. During ribavirin priming, HCV RNA showed a decline of -0.58 log10  IU/mL (P < 0.001) that was unrelated to the IL28B rs12979860 genotype (CC vs CT/TT, P = 0.244). Ribavirin priming did neither increase the PEG-IFN2a-induced first- or second-phase viral decline (P values >0.100) nor on-treatment response or SVR (HCV RNA undetectable at week 12 of combination therapy: ribavirin arm 56%, placebo arm 38%, PEG-IFN2a arm 50%; SVR: ribavirin arm 41%, placebo arm 54%, PEG-IFN2a arm 50%; P values >0.300). In conclusion, ribavirin monotherapy showed a significant antiviral activity that was not influenced by the IL28B genotype. Ribavirin priming prior to PEG-IFN2a/ribavirin combination therapy did neither increase the first- or second-phase viral decline nor on-treatment response or SVR.

Predictors associated with treatment initiation and switch in a real-world chronic hepatitis B population from five European countries.

In Europe, healthcare systems differ between countries and different factors may influence Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) treatment choices in different counties. This analysis from a prospective, longitudinal, non-interventional study in five EU countries aimed to explore determinants associated with treatment initiation or switch in patients with CHB. A total of 1267 adult patients with compensated CHB in Germany, France, Poland, Romania and Turkey were prospectively followed for up to 2 years (March 2008-December 2010). Determinants of treatment initiation or switch were analysed using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression. Median time since CHB diagnosis was 2.6 (0-37.7) years. Among 646 treatment-naïve patients, the probability of treatment initiation during follow-up was higher: in Germany (P = 0.0006), Poland (P < 0.0001) and Romania (P = 0.0004) compared with Turkey; in patients with alanine transaminase (ALT) 1-2 × upper limit of normal (ULN) (P = 0.0580) or >2 × ULN (P = 0.0523) compared with ALT ≤ 1 × ULN; and in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA ≥ 2000 IU/mL (P < 0.0001) compared with HBV DNA <2000 IU/mL or undetectable. Among 567 treated patients, 87 switched treatment during follow-up. The probability of treatment switch was higher: in France (P = 0.0029), Germany (P = 0.0078) and Poland (P = 0.0329) compared with Turkey; and in patients with HBV DNA <2000 (P < 0.0001) or ≥ 2000 IU/mL (P < 0.0001), compared with undetectable. Viral load and ALT level were identified as the major drivers of treatment initiation. HBV DNA level was also a significant determinant of treatment switch. Results were statistically different across EU countries.

Treatment of severe, nonfulminant acute hepatitis B with lamivudine vs placebo: a prospective randomized double-blinded multicentre trial.

Acute hepatitis B virus (aHBV) infection can lead to fulminant liver failure, which likely is prevented by early lamivudine therapy. Even nonfulminant but severe acute hepatitis B can lead to significant morbidity and impaired quality of life. Therefore, lamivudine was evaluated in patients with severe aHBV in a placebo-controlled trial. Patients with severe aHBV infection (ALT >10× ULN, bilirubin >85 µm, prothrombin time >50%) were prospectively treated with lamivudine 100 mg/day or with placebo within 8 days after the diagnosis. The primary end point was time to bilirubin <34.2 µm. Secondary end points were time to clear HBsAg and HBV-DNA, development of anti-HBs and normalization of ALT. Eighteen cases were randomized to lamivudine, 17 to placebo. 94% of patients were hospitalized. No individual progressed to hepatic failure; all but one patient achieved the primary end point. Due to smaller than expected patient numbers, all study end points did not become statistically significant between treatment arms. Median time end points [in days] were bilirubin <34.2 µm (26.5 vs 32), ALT normalization (35 vs 48) and HBsAg clearance (48 vs 67) referring to earlier recovery under lamivudine, in contrast to loss of HBV-DNA (62 vs 54) and development of anti-HBs (119 vs 109). In all but two patients (one in every group), HBsAg clearance was reached in the study. Adverse events occurred more frequently during lamivudine therapy, but did not reach statistical significance. Lamivudine may ameliorate severe aHBV infection, but limited patient numbers prevented definite conclusions.

The number needed to treat to prevent mortality and cirrhosis-related complications among patients with cirrhosis and HCV genotype 1 infection.

Cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection remain at risk for complications following sustained virological response (SVR). Therefore, we aimed to evaluate treatment efficacy with the number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent clinical endpoints. Mortality and cirrhosis-related morbidity were assessed in an international multicentre cohort of consecutively treated patients with HCV genotype 1 infection and cirrhosis. The NNT to prevent death or clinical disease progression (any cirrhosis-related event or death) in one patient was determined with the adjusted (event-free) survival among patients without SVR and adjusted hazard ratio of SVR. Overall, 248 patients were followed for a median of 8.3 (IQR 6.2-11.1) years. Fifty-nine (24%) patients attained SVR. Among patients without SVR, the adjusted 5-year survival and event-free survival were 94.4% and 80.0%, respectively. SVR was associated with reduced all-cause mortality (HR 0.15, 95% CI 0.05-0.48, P = 0.002) and clinical disease progression (HR 0.16, 95% CI 0.07-0.36, P < 0.001). The NNT to prevent one death in 5 years declined from 1052 (95% CI 937-1755) at 2% SVR (interferon monotherapy) to 61 (95% CI 54-101) at 35% SVR (peginterferon and ribavirin). At 50% SVR, which might be expected with triple therapy, the estimated NNT was 43 (95% CI 38-71). The NNT to prevent clinical disease progression in one patient in 5 years was 302 (95% CI 271-407), 18 (95% CI 16-24) and 13 (95% CI 11-17) at 2%, 35% and 50% SVR, respectively. In conclusion, the NNT to prevent clinical endpoints among cirrhotic patients with HCV genotype 1 has declined enormously with the improvement of antiviral therapy.