Multicenter experience with andexanet alfa for refractory pericardial bleeding during catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation.

INTRODUCTION: Pericardial bleeding is a rare but life-threatening complication of atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation. Patients taking uninterrupted oral anticoagulation (AC) may be at increased risk for refractory bleeding despite pericardiocentesis and administration of protamine. In such cases, andexanet alfa can be given to reverse rivaroxaban or apixaban. In this study, we aim to describe the rate of acute hemostasis and thromboembolic complications with andexanet for refractory pericardial bleeding during AF ablation. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this multicenter, case series, participating centers identified patients who received a dose of apixaban or rivaroxaban within 24 h of AF ablation, developed refractory pericardial bleeding during the procedure despite pericardiocentesis and administration of protamine and received andexanet. Eleven patients met inclusion criteria, with mean age of 73.5 ± 5.3 years and median CHA2 DS2 -VASc score 4 [3-5]. All patients received protamine and pericardiocentesis, and 9 (82%) received blood products. All patients received a bolus of andexanet followed, in all but one, by a 2-h infusion. Acute hemostasis was achieved in eight patients (73%) while three required emergent surgery. One patient (9%) experienced acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction after receiving andexanet. Therapeutic AC was restarted after a mean of 2.2 ± 1.9 days and oral AC was restarted after a mean of 2.9 ± 1.6 days, with no recurrent bleeding. CONCLUSION: In patients on uninterrupted apixaban or rivaroxaban, who develop refractory pericardial bleeding during AF ablation, andexanet can achieve hemostasis thereby avoiding the need for emergent surgery. However, there is a risk of thromboembolism following administration.

Esophageal luminal temperature rise during atrial fibrillation ablation is associated with lower radiofrequency electrode distance and baseline impedance.

INTRODUCTION: Esophageal injury during atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation is a life-threatening complication. We sought to measure the association of esophageal temperature attenuation with radiofrequency (RF) electrode impedance, contact force, and distance from the esophagus. METHODS: The retrospective study cohort included 35 patients with mean age 64 ± 10 years, of whom 74.3% were male, and 40% had persistent AF. All patients had undergone preprocedural cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) followed by AF ablation with luminal esophageal temperature monitoring. Lesion locations were co-registered with CMR image segmentations of left atrial and esophageal anatomy. Luminal esophageal temperature, time matched RF lesion data, and ablation distance from the nearest esophageal location were collected as panel data. RESULTS: Luminal esophageal temperature changes corresponding to 3667 distinct lesions, delivered with mean power 27.9 ± 5.5 W over a mean duration of 22.2 ± 10.5 s were analyzed. In multivariable analyses, clustered per patient, examining posterior wall lesions only, and adjusted for lesion power and duration as set by the operator, lesion distance from the esophagus (-0.003°C/mm, p < .001), and baseline impedance (-0.015°C/Ω, p < .001) were associated with changes in luminal esophageal temperature. CONCLUSION: Esophageal luminal temperature rises are associated with shorter lesion distance from esophagus and lower baseline impedance during RF lesion delivery. When procedural strategy requires RF delivery near the esophagus, selection of sites with higher baseline impedance may improve safety.

Left ventricular fibro-fatty replacement in arrhythmogenic right ventricular dysplasia/cardiomyopathy: prevalence, patterns, and association with arrhythmias.

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular (LV) fibrofatty infiltration in arrhythmogenic right ventricular (RV) dysplasia/cardiomyopathy (ARVD/C) has been reported, however, detailed cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) characteristics and association with outcomes are uncertain. We aim to describe LV findings on CMR in ARVD/C patients and their relationship with arrhythmic outcomes. METHODS: CMR of 73 subjects with ARVD/C according to the 2010 Task Force Criteria (TFC) were analyzed for LV involvement, defined as ≥ 1 of the following features: LV wall motion abnormality, LV late gadolinium enhancement (LGE), LV fat infiltration, or LV ejection fraction (LVEF) < 50%. Ventricular volumes and function, regional wall motion abnormalities, and the presence of ventricular fat or fibrosis were recorded. Findings on CMR were correlated with arrhythmic outcomes. RESULTS: Of the 73 subjects, 50.7% had CMR evidence for LV involvement. Proband status and advanced RV dysfunction were independently associated with LV abnormalities. The most common pattern of LV involvement was focal fatty infiltration in the sub-epicardium of the apicolateral LV with a "bite-like" pattern. LGE in the LV was found in the same distribution and most often had a linear appearance. LV involvement was more common with non-PKP2 genetic mutation variants, regardless of proband status. Only RV structural disease on CMR (HR 3.47, 95% CI 1.13-10.70) and prior arrhythmia (HR 2.85, 95% CI 1.33-6.10) were independently associated with arrhythmic events. CONCLUSION: Among patients with 2010 TFC for ARVD/C, CMR evidence for LV abnormalities are seen in half of patients and typically manifest as fibrofatty infiltration in the subepicardium of the apicolateral wall and are not associated with arrhythmic outcomes.

Association of scar distribution with epicardial electrograms and surface ventricular tachycardia QRS duration in nonischemic cardiomyopathy.

INTRODUCTION: The association of late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) on cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) with epicardial and surface ventricular tachycardia (VT) electrogram features, in nonischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM), is unknown. We sought to define the association of LGE and viable wall thickness with epicardial electrogram features and exit site paced QRS duration in patients with NICM. METHODS: A total of 19 patients (age 53.5 ± 11.5 years) with NICM (ejection fraction 40.2 ± 13.2%) underwent CMR before VT ablation. LGE transmurality was quantified on CMR and coregistered with 2294 endocardial and 2724 epicardial map points. RESULTS: Both bipolar and unipolar voltage were associated with transmural signal intensity on CMR. Longer electrogram duration and fractionated potentials were associated with increased LGE transmurality, but late potentials or local abnormal ventricular activity were more prevalent in nontransmural versus transmural LGE regions (p < .05). Of all critical VT sites, 19% were located adjacent to regions with LGE but normal bipolar and unipolar voltage. Exit site QRS duration was affected by LGE transmurality and intramural scar location, but not by wall thickness, at the impulse origin. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with NICM and VT, LGE is associated with epicardial electrogram features and may predict critical VT sites. Additionally, exit site QRS duration is affected by LGE transmurality and intramural location at the impulse origin or exit.

Association between interatrial block, left atrial fibrosis, and mechanical dyssynchrony: Electrocardiography-magnetic resonance imaging correlation.

INTRODUCTION: Advanced interatrial block (IAB) on a 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is a predictor of stroke, incident atrial fibrillation (AF), and AF recurrence after catheter ablation. The objective of this study was to determine which features of IAB structural remodeling is associated with left atrium (LA) magnetic resonance imaging structure and function. METHODS/RESULTS: We included 152 consecutive patients (23% nonparoxysmal AF) who underwent preprocedural ECG and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) in sinus rhythm before catheter ablation of AF. IAB was defined as P-wave duration ≥120 ms, and was considered partial if P-wave was positive and advanced if P-wave had a biphasic morphology in inferior leads. From cine CMR and late gadolinium enhancement, we derived LA maximum and minimum volume indices, strain, LA fibrosis, and LA dyssynchrony. A total of 77 patients (50.7% paroxysmal) had normal P-wave, 52 (34.2%) partial IAB, and 23 (15.1%) advanced IAB. Patients with advanced IAB had significantly higher LA minimum volume index (25.7 vs 19.9 mL/m2 , P = .010), more LA fibrosis (21.9% vs 13.1%, P = .020), and lower LA maximum strain rate (0.99 vs 1.18, P = .007) than those without. Advanced IAB was independently associated with LA (minimum [P = .032] and fibrosis [P = .009]). P-wave duration was also independently associated with LA fibrosis (ß = .33; P = .049) and LA mechanical dyssynchrony (ß = 2.01; P = .007). CONCLUSION: Advanced IAB is associated with larger LA volumes, lower emptying fraction, and more fibrosis. Longer P-wave duration is also associated with more LA fibrosis and higher LA mechanical dyssynchrony.

Increased rates of atrial fibrillation recurrence following pulmonary vein isolation in overweight and obese patients.

INTRODUCTION: Catheter ablation is common for patients with symptomatic, drug-refractory atrial fibrillation (AF). Obesity is a known risk factor for incident AF. The impact of obesity on AF ablation outcomes is incompletely understood. We sought to determine the impact of elevated body mass index (BMI) on pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) procedural outcomes and associated complications. METHODS AND RESULTS: We evaluated patients undergoing PVI from 2001 to 2015, dividing them into four groups: normal weight (BMI ≥ 18.5 to < 25), overweight (BMI ≥ 25 to < 30), obese (BMI > 30 to < 40), and morbidly obese (BMI ≥ 40). Demographic and procedural characteristics, complications, and ablation outcomes were compared among groups. A total of 701 patients (146 time-matched controls, 227 overweight, 244 obese, and 84 morbidly obese) with complete demographic, procedural, and follow-up data were included. Increasing BMI correlated positively with HTN, OSA, CHA2 DS2 -VASC score, and persistent AF (P ≤ 0.001 for all associations). Radiofrequency application time and intraprocedural heparin dose increased with BMI (P ≤ 0.001). Arrhythmia recurrence at 1 year was 39.9% in controls, while higher in all high-BMI groups (overweight, 51.3%; obese, 57%; morbidly obese, 58.1 %; P  =  0.007 for all versus controls). Impact of BMI on AF recurrence was not seen in persistent AF patients. Complication rates across groups were similar. CONCLUSIONS: AF recurrence after catheter ablation is higher in overweight, obese, and morbidly obese patients comparing to normal-weight controls, driven primarily by outcomes differences in paroxysmal AF patients. Complications were not associated with increased BMI.

Correlation of right ventricular multielectrode endocardial unipolar mapping and epicardial scar.

AIMS: Prior studies identified a relationship between epicardial bipolar and endocardial unipolar voltage. Whether the relationship is valid with smaller multielectrode mapping catheters has not been reported. We explored the association of right ventricular (RV) endocardial unipolar voltage mapping with epicardial bipolar voltage mapping using a multielectrode mapping catheter. METHODS: Electrograms from patients who underwent multielectrode endocardial and epicardial RV electroanatomical mapping during ablation procedures were analyzed. Each endocardial mapping point was matched to the corresponding nearest epicardial point. The correlation between unipolar endocardial voltage and epicardial bipolar voltage was determined. The optimal unipolar threshold to detect epicardial low voltage (< 1.0 mV) and dense scar (0.5 mV) was calculated. RESULTS: A total of 4,895 points were analyzed. There was a significant correlation between endocardial unipolar and epicardial bipolar voltage (Spearman rho  =  0.499, P  =  < 0.001). The extent of the correlation was inversely associated with wall thickness. The receiver operator characteristic analysis of endocardial unipolar voltage predicting epicardial bipolar voltage of < 1.0 mV and < 0.5 showed an area under the curve of 0.769 and 0.812, respectively. The endocardial unipolar voltage that had the highest sensitivity and specificity in detecting epicardial bipolar voltage of < 1.0 mV and < 0.5 mV was 3.3 mV (70.3% sensitivity, 70.3% specificity), and 2.8 mV (sensitivity 73.8%, specificity 73.3%), respectively. CONCLUSION: Epicardial low voltage of the RV can be assessed by unipolar endocardial voltage using small multielectrode catheters. The strength of the association was inversely correlated with the wall thickness.

Noninvasive Visualization of the Atrioventricular Conduction System Using Cardiac Computed Tomography.

Importance: Noninvasive localization of the compact atrioventricular node and the proximal specialized conduction system (AVCS) would enhance planning for transcatheter aortic valve and complex or congenital heart disease surgical procedures. Objective: To test the hypothesis that preprocedure contrast-enhanced cardiac computed tomography (CECT) can accurately localize the AVCS by identification of the fat that insulates the conductive myocardium. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a prospective cohort study that took place at an academic tertiary care center. Included in the study were patients with CECT acquired less than 1 month before atrial fibrillation ablation and electroanatomic localization of the His electrogram signal on electroanatomic mapping (EAM) between January 2022 and January 2023. Exposures: Preprocedure CECT. Main Outcomes and Measures: The distance from the His electrogram signal to the fat segmentation encompassing the AVCS on CECT, after registration of the images to EAM. Results: Among 20 patients (mean [SD] age, 66 [10] years; 15 male [75%]) in the cohort, the mean (SD) attenuation of the AVCS fat segmentation was 2.9 (21.5) Hounsfield units. The mean (SD) distance from the His electrogram to the closest AVCS fat voxel was 3.3 (1.6) mm. Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this cohort study suggest that CECT could accurately localize the fatty tissue that insulates the AVCS from surrounding atrial and ventricular myocardium and may enhance the efficacy and safety of procedures targeting the conduction system and structures in its proximity.

Association between Left Atrial Late Gadolinium Enhancement and Atrial Fibrillation: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).

Purpose: To determine the prevalence and correlates of left atrial (LA) late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) at cardiac MRI and its association with atrial fibrillation (AF) in a population-based sample from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Materials and Methods: In this secondary post hoc analysis of the MESA cohort (ClinicalTrials.gov no. NCT00005487), participants without AF underwent LGE cardiac MRI at the fifth examination (2010-2012). LA LGE burden was quantified using the image intensity ratio technique on biplane long-axis two-dimensional (2D) LGE images without fat saturation. Survival analysis was performed with log-rank testing and Cox regression. Results: Of 1697 participants (mean age, 67 years ± 9 [SD]; 872 men), 1035 (61%) had LA LGE, and 75 (4.4%) developed AF during follow-up (median, 3.95 years). At univariable analysis, LA LGE was associated with age (ß = .010 [95% CI: .005, .015], P < .001), diastolic blood pressure (ß = .005 [95% CI: .001, .009], P = .02), HbA1c level (ß = .06 [95% CI: .02, .11], P = .009), heart failure (ß = .60 [95% CI: .11, 1.08], P = .02), LA volume (ß = .008 [95% CI: .004, .012], P < .001), and LA function (emptying fraction, LA global longitudinal strain, LA early diastolic peak longitudinal strain rate, and LA late diastolic peak strain rate; all P < .05). After adjusting for the variables in the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) AF score, LA LGE independently helped predict incident AF (hazard ratio = 1.46 [95% CI: 1.13, 1.88], P = .003). The highest tertile (LGE > 2%) was twice as likely to develop AF. Conclusion: Although limited by the 2D LGE technique employed, LA LGE was associated with adverse atrial remodeling and helped predict AF in a multiethnic population-based sample.Clinical trial registration no. NCT00005487Keywords: MR Imaging, Cardiac, Epidemiology Supplemental material is available for this article. © RSNA, 2023.

Esophageal image segmentation for guidance of posterior wall lesions during atrial fibrillation ablation.

BACKGROUND: Despite luminal esophageal temperature (LET) monitoring, esophageal injury remains a risk which impacts decision making during atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation. We sought to compare procedural characteristics including radiofrequency (RF) power, duration, and LET, among ablation procedures with and without image segmentation for esophageal visualization (EV). METHODS: The retrospective cohort included 73 patients (mean age 65.2 ± 8.6 years, 36% female, 55% paroxysmal AF) who underwent pre-procedural cardiac magnetic resonance or computed tomography and LET monitoring. Of all patients, 35 were historical patients that underwent standard AF ablation without EV, and 38 were contemporary patients, 28 of whom underwent AF ablation with EV and 10 that underwent AF ablation without EV. RESULTS: Total RF time was similar between the groups. The distribution of ablation power delivery was skewed toward higher power in the contemporary patients. However, among patients in the contemporary group, the proportion of > 35 Watts lesions was lower with EV (P < 0.001). There was no difference between the max or mean LET. The standard deviation of LET change within patient during posterior wall ablation was lower in those with esophageal visualization compared to historical controls, but no change was seen compared to a smaller group of contemporary controls. No long-term clinical esophageal injury was observed. CONCLUSIONS: In a retrospective analysis, EV was successfully performed in 28 patients. EV impacted RF power delivery decisions but was unassociated with RF time, changes in LET, or long-term safety.

Right ventricular longitudinal strain on CMR predicts ventricular arrhythmias and mortality in cardiac sarcoidosis.

Background: Right ventricular (RV) dysfunction and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) are associated with ventricular arrhythmias (VA) and mortality in cardiac sarcoidosis (CS). However, image resolution limits the detection of RV LGE. Global longitudinal RV strain (RVS) correlates to RV scar on electroanatomical mapping and RV function. Objective: We evaluated the association between RVS on CMR and VA/death (combined-primary-endpoint (CPE)) in patients with CS. Methods: RVS and RV LGE on MRI were retrospectively compared to variables known to predict outcomes in 66 patients with CS. Outcomes were obtained from electronic medical records and implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) interrogations over median [IQR] 3.7[1.7, 6.3] years. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate survival. Harrell's C-statistic was used to compare variables in risk prediction models. Results: 62.1 % of patients were male, with a mean age [SD] of 52.3 [9.6] years and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of 51.1[17.5]%. 9 patients with the primary endpoint were more likely to be Caucasian (p = 0.01) with prior VAs (p = 0.002), be on anti-arrhythmic drugs (p = 0.001) with an ICD (p = 0.002). In multivariable analyses adjusted for age, race, and history of VA, RVS (1.18 [1.05-1.31], p = 0.004), RV EDVI (1.08[1.01, 1.14], p = 0.02), and LV LGE (1.07[1.00, 1.13], p = 0.04) predicted the CPE. Risk prediction models including RVS (Cstatistic 0.94), outperformed those including RV and LV LGE (0.89-0.92). Conclusion: RVS on CMR was the best predictor of VA and mortality in CS.

Effect of Transcutaneous Magnetic Stimulation in Patients With Ventricular Tachycardia Storm: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

IMPORTANCE: Autonomic neuromodulation provides therapeutic benefit in ventricular tachycardia (VT) storm. Transcutaneous magnetic stimulation (TcMS) can noninvasively and nondestructively modulate a patient's nervous system activity and may reduce VT burden in patients with VT storm. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the safety and efficacy of TcMS of the left stellate ganglion for patients with VT storm. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This double-blind, sham-controlled randomized clinical trial took place at a single tertiary referral center between August 2019 and July 2021. The study included 26 adult patients with 3 or more episodes of VT in 24 hours. INTERVENTIONS: Patients were randomly assigned to receive a single session of either TcMS that targeted the left stellate ganglion (n = 14) or sham stimulation (n = 12). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was freedom from VT in the 24-hour period following randomization. Key secondary outcomes included safety of TcMS on cardiac implantable electronic devices, as well as burden of VT in the 72-hour period following randomization. RESULTS: Among 26 patients (mean [SD] age, 64 [13] years; 20 [77%] male), a mean (SD) of 12.7 (10.3) episodes of VT occurred within the 24 hours preceding randomization. Patients had recurrent VT despite taking a mean (SD) of 2.0 (0.6) antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs), and 11 patients (42%) required mechanical hemodynamic support at the time of randomization. In the 24-hour period after randomization, VT recurred in 4 of 14 patients (29% [SD 47%]) in the TcMS group vs 7 of 12 patients (58% [SD 51%]) in the sham group (P = .20). In the 72-hour period after randomization, patients in the TcMS group had a mean (SD) of 4.5 (7.2) episodes of VT vs 10.7 (13.8) in the sham group (incidence rate ratio, 0.42; P < .001). Patients in the TcMS group were taking fewer AADs 24 hours after randomization compared with baseline (mean [SD], 0.9 [0.8] vs 1.8 [0.4]; P = .001), whereas there was no difference in the number of AADs taken for the sham group (mean [SD], 2.3 [0.8] vs 1.9 [0.5]; P = .20). None of the 7 patients in the TcMS group with a cardiac implantable electronic device had clinically significant effects on device function. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this randomized clinical trial, findings support the potential for TcMS to safely reduce the burden of VT in the setting of VT storm in patients with and without cardiac implantable electronic devices and inform the design of future trials to further investigate this novel treatment approach. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04043312.

Cardiac magnetic resonance-derived right atrial functional analysis in patients with atrial fibrillation and typical atrial flutter.

BACKGROUND: Typical atrial flutter (AFL) often occurs in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Decision-making tools for application of prophylactic cavo-tricuspid isthmus (CTI) ablation at the time of AF ablation may improve outcomes. In this study, we sought to define the right atrial (RA) functional characteristics of AF patients with documented typical AFL. METHODS: Consecutive patients that underwent cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) prior to initial AF ablation in the Johns Hopkins Hospital were enrolled. The AF database was reviewed to identify prevalent and incident documented typical AFL. Feature tracking CMR analysis during sinus rhythm was utilized to quantify RA longitudinal strain and strain rate, as well as RA passive and active emptying fractions derived from phasic RA volumes. RESULTS: A total of 115 patients were analyzed (mean age 59.1 ± 11.4 years, 78.3% male, 74.8% paroxysmal AF). Of all patients, 30 (26.1%) had typical AFL. Clinical characteristics and AF type did not differ among groups defined by the absence or presence of typical AFL. In contrast, RA longitudinal strain (41.6 ± 16.8% vs. 55.8 ± 17.1%, p ≤ 0.001), systolic strain rate (1.71 ± 0.85 s-1 vs. 2.33 ± 0.93 s-1, p = 0.002), and late diastolic strain rate (1.78 ± 1.02 s-1 vs. 2.50 ± 0.91 s-1 p ≤ 0.001) were significantly lower in patients with typical AFL. Although RA passive emptying fraction was similar among groups (18.9 ± 8.1 vs. 19.5 ± 8.0, p = 0.75), RA active emptying fraction was lower in patients with typical AFL (34.8 ± 12.3 vs. 40.8 ± 12.1, p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: The reservoir and pump function of the RA is significantly reduced in patients with typical AFL. Prophylactic CTI ablation warrants further study as adjunctive therapy to AF catheter ablation in selected patients with RA dysfunction.

Intra-Atrial Dyssynchrony During Sinus Rhythm Predicts Recurrence After the First Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the usefulness of intra-atrial dyssynchrony as a marker of underlying left atrial (LA) remodeling to predict recurrence after the first atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation. BACKGROUND: Catheter ablation for AF remains far from curative with relatively high recurrence rates. One of the causes of recurrence is poor patient selection out of a diverse patient population with different degrees of LA remodeling. METHODS: We included 208 patients with a history of AF (59.4 ± 10.0 years of age; 26.0% nonparoxysmal AF) referred for catheter ablation of AF who underwent pre-ablation cardiac magnetic resonance in sinus rhythm. Clinical follow-up was 20 ± 6 months. Using tissue tracking cardiac magnetic resonance, we measured the LA longitudinal strain in each of 12 equal-length segments in 2- and 4-chamber views. We defined intra-atrial dyssynchrony as the standard deviation of the time to the peak longitudinal strain corrected by the cycle length (SD-time to peak strain [TPS], %). RESULTS: Patients with AF recurrence after ablation (n = 101) had significantly higher SD-TPS than those without (n = 107; 3.9% vs. 2.2%; p < 0.001). Multivariable cox analysis showed that SD-TPS was associated with recurrence after adjusting for clinical risk factors, AF type, LA structure and function, and fibrosis (p < 0.001). Furthermore, receiver-operating characteristics analysis showed SD-TPS improved prediction of recurrence better than clinical risk factors, LA structure and function, and fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: Intra-atrial dyssynchrony during sinus rhythm is an independent predictor of recurrence after the first catheter ablation of paroxysmal or persistent AF. Assessment of intra-atrial dyssynchrony may improve ablation outcomes by refining patient selection.

Change in left atrial function predicts incident atrial fibrillation: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

AIMS: Longitudinal change in left atrial (LA) structure and function could be helpful in predicting risk for incident atrial fibrillation (AF). We used cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging to explore the relationship between change in LA structure and function and incident AF in a multi-ethnic population free of clinical cardiovascular disease at baseline. METHODS AND RESULTS: In the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), 2338 participants, free at baseline of clinically recognized AF and cardiovascular disease, had LA volume and function assessed with CMR imaging, at baseline (2000-02), and at Exam 4 (2005-07) or 5 (2010-12). Free of AF, 124 participants developed AF over 3.8 ± 0.9 years (2015) following the second imaging. In adjusted Cox regression models, an average annualized change in all LA parameters were significantly associated with an increased risk of AF. An annual decrease of 1-SD unit in total LA emptying fractions (LAEF) was most strongly associated with risk of AF after adjusting for clinical risk factors for AF, baseline LA parameters, and left ventricular mass-to-volume ratio (hazard ratio per SD = 1.91, 95% confidence interval = 1.53-2.38, P < 0.001). The addition of change in total LAEF to an AF risk score improved model discrimination and reclassification (net reclassification improvement = 0.107, P = 0.017; integrative discrimination index = 0.049, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: In this multi-ethnic study population free of clinical cardiovascular disease at baseline, a greater increase in LA volumes and decrease in LA function were associated with incident AF. The addition of change in total LAEF to risk prediction models for AF improved model discrimination and reclassification of AF risk.