Stroke and bleeding risk in atrial fibrillation with CHA2DS2-VASC risk score of one: the Norwegian AFNOR study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The benefit of oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy in atrial fibrillation (AF) and intermediate stroke risk is debated. In a nationwide Norwegian cohort with a non-sex CHA2DS2-VASc risk score of one, this study aimed to investigate (i) stroke and bleeding risk in AF patients with and without OAC treatment, and (ii) the risk of stroke in non-anticoagulated individuals with and without AF. METHODS: A total of 1 118 762 individuals including 34 460 AF patients were followed during 2011-18 until ischaemic stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, increased CHA2DS2-VASc score, or study end. One-year incidence rates (IRs) were calculated as events per 100 person-years (%/py). Cox regression models provided adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs [95% confidence intervals]). RESULTS: Among AF patients, the ischaemic stroke IR was 0.51%/py in OAC users and 1.05%/py in non-users (aHR 0.47 [0.37-0.59]). Intracranial haemorrhage IR was 0.28%/py in OAC users and 0.19%/py in non-users (aHR 1.23 [0.88-1.72]). Oral anticoagulant use was associated with an increased risk of major bleeding (aHR 1.37 [1.16-1.63]) but lower risk of the combined outcome of ischaemic stroke, major bleeding, and mortality (aHR 0.57 [0.51-0.63]). Non-anticoagulated individuals with AF had higher risk of ischaemic stroke compared to non-AF individuals with the same risk profile (aHR 2.47 [2.17-2.81]). CONCLUSIONS: In AF patients at intermediate risk of stroke, OAC use was associated with overall favourable clinical outcomes. Non-anticoagulated AF patients had higher risk of ischaemic stroke compared to the general population without AF with the same risk profile.

Atrial fibrillation burden: a new outcome predictor and therapeutic target.

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia, is not a dichotomous disease trait. Technological innovations enable long-term rhythm monitoring in many patients and can estimate AF burden. These technologies are already used to detect and monitor AF. This review describes the relation between AF burden and outcomes and potential effects of AF burden reduction. A lower AF burden is associated with a lower risk of stroke and heart failure in patients with AF: stroke risk without anticoagulation is lower in patients with device-detected AF and a low AF burden (stroke rate 1%/year) than in patients with persistent and permanent AF (stroke rate 3%/year). Paroxysmal AF shows intermediate stroke rates (2%/year). Atrial fibrillation burden-reducing interventions can reduce cardiovascular outcomes in patients with AF: early rhythm control reduces cardiovascular events including stroke and heart failure in patients with recently diagnosed AF and cardiovascular conditions. In patients with heart failure and AF, early rhythm control and AF ablation, interventions that reduce AF burden, reduce mortality and heart failure events. Recent technological innovations allow to estimate AF burden in clinical care, creating opportunities and challenges. While evidence remains limited, the existing data already suggest that AF burden reduction could be a therapeutic goal. In addition to anticoagulation and treatment of cardiovascular conditions, AF burden reduction emerges as a therapeutic goal. Future research will define the AF burden that constitutes a relevant risk of stroke and heart failure. Technologies quantifying AF burden need careful validation to advance the field.

Oral anticoagulation after atrial fibrillation catheter ablation: benefits and risks.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Few recent large-scale studies have evaluated the risks and benefits of continuing oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy after catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF). This study evaluated the status of continuation of OAC therapy and the association between continuation of OAC therapy and thromboembolic and bleeding events according to the CHADS2 score. METHODS: This retrospective study included data from the Japanese nationwide administrative claims database of patients who underwent CA for AF between April 2014 and March 2021. Patients without AF recurrence assessed by administrative data of the treatment modalities were divided into two groups according to continuation of OAC therapy 6 months after the index CA. The primary outcomes were thromboembolism and major bleeding after a landmark period of 6 months. After inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis, the association between OAC continuation and outcomes was determined according to the CHADS2 score. RESULTS: Among 231 374 patients included, 69.7%, 21.6%, and 8.7% had CHADS2 scores of ≤1, 2, and ≥3, respectively. Of these, 71% continued OAC therapy at 6 months. The OAC continuation rate was higher in the high CHADS2 score group than that in the low CHADS2 score group. Among all patients, 2451 patients (0.55 per 100 person-years) had thromboembolism and 2367 (0.53 per 100 person-years) had major bleeding. In the CHADS2 score ≤1 group, the hazard ratio of the continued OAC group was 0.86 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.74-1.01, P = .06] for thromboembolism and was 1.51 (95% CI: 1.27-1.80, P < .001) for major bleeding. In the CHADS2 score ≥3 group, the hazard ratio of the continued OAC group was 0.61 (95% CI: 0.46-0.82, P = .001) for thromboembolism and was 1.05 (95% CI: 0.71-1.56, P = 0.81) for major bleeding. CONCLUSIONS: This observational study suggests that the benefits and risks of continuing OAC therapy after CA for AF differ based on the patient's CHADS2 score. The risk of major bleeding due to OAC continuation seems to outweigh the risk reduction of thromboembolism in patients with lower thromboembolic risk.

Anticoagulation in device-detected atrial fibrillation with or without vascular disease: a combined analysis of the NOAH-AFNET 6 and ARTESiA trials.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The optimal antithrombotic therapy in patients with device-detected atrial fibrillation (DDAF) is unknown. Concomitant vascular disease can modify the benefits and risks of anticoagulation. METHODS: These pre-specified analyses of the NOAH-AFNET 6 (n=2534 patients) and ARTESiA (n=4012 patients) trials compared anticoagulation to no anticoagulation in patients with DDAF with or without vascular disease, defined as prior stroke/transient ischemic attack, coronary or peripheral artery disease. Efficacy outcomes were the primary outcomes of both trials, a composite of stroke, systemic arterial embolism (SE), myocardial infarction, pulmonary embolism or cardiovascular death, and stroke or SE. Safety outcomes were major bleeding or major bleeding and death. RESULTS: In patients with vascular disease (NOAH-AFNET 6 56%, ARTESiA 46.0%), stroke, myocardial infarction, systemic or pulmonary embolism, or cardiovascular death occurred at 3.9%/patient-year with and 5.0%/patient-year without anticoagulation (NOAH-AFNET 6), and 3.2%/patient-year with and 4.4%/patient-year without anticoagulation (ARTESiA). Without vascular disease, outcomes were equal with and without anticoagulation (NOAH-AFNET 6 2.7%/patient-year, ARTESiA 2.3%/patient-year in both randomised groups). Meta-analysis found consistent results across both trials (I2heterogeneity=6%) with a trend for interaction with randomised therapy (pinteraction=0.08). Stroke/SE behaved similarly. Anticoagulation increased major bleeding in vascular disease patients (edoxaban 2.1%/patient-year, no anticoagulation 1.3%/patient-year; apixaban 1.7%/patient-year; no anticoagulation 1.1%/patient-year; incidence rate ratio 1.55 [1.10-2.20]) and without vascular disease (edoxaban 2.2%/patient-year; no anticoagulation 0.6%/patient-year; apixaban 1.4%/patient-year; no anticoagulation 1.1%/patient-year, incidence rate ratio 1.93 [0.72-5.20]). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with DDAF and vascular disease are at higher risk of stroke and cardiovascular events and may derive a greater benefit from anticoagulation than patients with DDAF without vascular disease.

Left atrial appendage closure for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation: current status and perspectives.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of stroke and systemic embolism, and the left atrial appendage (LAA) has been identified as a principal source of thromboembolism in these patients. While oral anticoagulation is the current standard of care, LAA closure (LAAC) emerges as an alternative or complementary treatment approach to reduce the risk of stroke or systemic embolism in patients with AF. Moderate-sized randomized clinical studies have provided data for the efficacy and safety of catheter-based LAAC, largely compared with vitamin K antagonists. LAA device iterations, advances in pre- and peri-procedural imaging, and implantation techniques continue to increase the efficacy and safety of LAAC. More data about efficacy and safety of LAAC have been collected, and several randomized clinical trials are currently underway to compare LAAC with best medical care (including non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants) in different clinical settings. Surgical LAAC in patients with AF undergoing cardiac surgery reduced the risk of stroke on background of anticoagulation therapy in the LAAOS III study. In this review, we describe the rapidly evolving field of LAAC and discuss recent clinical data, ongoing studies, open questions, and current limitations of LAAC.

Apixaban, edoxaban and rivaroxaban but not dabigatran are associated with higher mortality compared to vitamin-K antagonists: A retrospective German claims data analysis.

BACKGROUND: Vitamin-K antagonists (VKAs) have widely been replaced by non-VKA oral anticoagulants (NOACs). This includes Austria, Germany and Switzerland, where as VKA, instead of warfarin, the much longer-acting phenprocoumon is used, which was not compared to NOACs in clinical trials. METHODS: Using administrative data from a large German health insurance, we included all anticoagulation-naïve patients with a first prescription of a NOAC or VKA between 2012 and 2020. We analysed overall survival, major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events, major thromboembolic events and major bleeding. RESULTS: Overall, 570,137 patients were included (apixaban: 26.9%, dabigatran: 4.6%, edoxaban: 8.8%, rivaroxaban: 39.1% and VKA: 20.7% of these 99.4% phenprocoumon). In the primary analysis using a 1:1 propensity score matching-cohort (PSM-cohort), a significantly higher overall mortality was found for apixaban, edoxaban and rivaroxaban (all p < 0.001) but not for dabigatran (p = 0.13) compared to VKA. In this PSM-cohort, 5-year mortality was 22.7% for apixaban versus 12.7% for VKA, 19.5% for edoxaban versus 11.4% for VKA, 16.0% for rivaroxaban versus 12.3% for VKA (all p < 0.001) and 13.0% for dabigatran versus 12.8% for VKA (p = 0.06). The observed effect was confirmed in sensitivity analyses using un-weighted and three different weighted Fine-Gray regression models on the basis of the entire cohort. CONCLUSIONS: In this large real-world analysis, apixaban, edoxaban and rivaroxaban, but not dabigatran, were associated with worse survival compared to VKA. These findings, consistent with a few other studies including phenprocoumon, cast profound doubts on the unreflected, general use of NOACs. Randomized trials should assess whether phenprocoumon might actually be superior to NOACs.

Impact of Oral Anticoagulation on Clinical Outcomes in Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation.

INTRODUCTION: The impact of postoperative oral anticoagulation (OAC) with warfarin on postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) was the focus of this examination of patients from the randomized endo-vein graft prospective (REGROUP) Trial. MATERIAL AND METHODS: REGROUP was a prospective randomized Veterans Affairs cooperative study comparing endoscopic versus open vein harvest in elective CABG patients (March 2014-April 2017) at 16 Veterans Affairs facilities. This study compared new-onset POAF patients who were treated with warfarin versus no-warfarin. Outcomes included stroke during active follow-up and a major adverse cardiac event composite of mortality, acute myocardial infarction, and repeat revascularization during active and passive follow-up. RESULTS: Of the 316/1103 (28.6%) of REGROUP patients who developed new-onset POAF, 45 patients were excluded - mainly for preoperative warfarin use. Of the remaining 269 patients, 85 received OAC with warfarin (OAC group); 184 did not (no-OAC group). Stroke rates during active follow-up (32 [IQR 24-38] mo) were 3.5% OAC group versus 5.4% no-OAC group (P = 0.76); major adverse cardiac eventrates were 20% OAC versus 11.4% no-OAC (P = 0.06). On longer follow-up of (median 4.61 [IQR 3.9-5.1] y), discharge OAC use was associated with all-cause mortality after adjusting for Society of Thoracic Surgeons mortality risk (20.0% versus 11.4% no-OAC use; HR = 2.00, 95% CI: 1.05-3.81, P = 0.035). CONCLUSIONS: REGROUP patients with POAF treated with OAC had similar stroke and higher mortality rates versus no-OAC patients. Further investigation of the risk-benefit ratio of OAC in post-CABG patients and which POAF patient subgroups might derive the most benefit with anticoagulation appears warranted.

Thromboembolic and bleeding complications after elective cardioversion of atrial fibrillation: a nationwide cohort study.

AIMS: Elective cardioversion (ECV) is routinely used in atrial fibrillation (AF) to restore sinus rhythm. However, it includes a risk of thromboembolism even during adequate oral anticoagulation treatment. The aim of this study was to evaluate the risk of thromboembolic and bleeding complications after ECV in a real-life setting utilizing data from a large AF population. METHODS AND RESULTS: This nationwide register-based study included all (n = 9625) Finnish AF patients undergoing their first-ever ECV between 2012 and 2018. The thromboembolic and bleeding complications within 30 days after ECV were analysed. The mean age of the patients was 67.7 ± 9.9 years, 61.2% were men, and the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 2.6 ± 1.6. Warfarin was used in 6245 (64.9%) and non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in 3380 (35.1%) cardioversions. Fifty-two (0.5%) thromboembolic complications occurred, of which 62% were ischaemic strokes, 25% transient ischaemic attacks, and 13% other systemic embolisms. Thromboembolic events occurred in 14 (0.4%) NOAC-treated patients and in 38 (0.6%) warfarin-treated patients (odds ratio 0.77; confidence interval: 0.42-1.39). The median time from ECV to the thromboembolic event was 2 days, and 78% of the events occurred within 10 days. Age and alcohol abuse were significant predictors of thromboembolic events. Among warfarin users, thromboembolic complications were more common with international normalized ratio (INR) <2.5 than INR ≥2.5 (0.9% vs. 0.4%, P = 0.026). Overall, 27 (0.3%) bleeding events occurred. CONCLUSION: The rate of thromboembolic and bleeding complications related to ECV was low without significant difference between NOAC- and warfarin-treated patients. With warfarin, INR ≥2.5 at the time of cardioversion reduced the risk of thromboembolic complications.

Association between antithrombotic therapy after stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation and the risk of net clinical outcome: an observational cohort study.

AIMS: Data on the optimal use of antithrombotic drugs and associated clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and acute ischaemic stroke (IS) are limited. We investigated the prescription patterns of antithrombotics in community practice and long-term clinical prognosis according to early post-stroke antithrombotic therapy in patients with AF and acute IS. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with AF who were admitted for acute IS at a single tertiary hospital in 2010-2020 were retrospectively reviewed. Clinical profiles including the aetiology of stroke and prescription patterns of antithrombotics were identified. The net clinical outcome (NCO)-the composite of recurrent stroke, any bleeding, hospitalization or emergency department visits for cardiovascular (CV) events, and death-was compared according to the antithrombotic therapy at the first outpatient clinic visit [oral anticoagulation (OAC) alone vs. antiplatelet (APT) alone vs. OAC/APT(s)] following discharge. A total of 918 patients with AF and acute IS (mean age, 72.6 years; male, 59.3%; mean CHA2DS2-VASc score 3.3) were analysed. One-third (33.9%, n = 310) of patients were simultaneously diagnosed with AF and IS. The most common aetiology of IS was cardioembolism (71.2%), followed by undetermined aetiology (19.8%) and large artery atherosclerosis (6.0%). OAC, APT(s), and concomitant OAC and APT(s) were prescribed in 33.4%, 11.1%, and 53.4% of patients during admission that changed to 67.0%, 9.1%, and 21.7% at the first outpatient clinic, and were mostly continued up to one year after IS. Non-prescription of OAC was observed in 11.3% of post-stroke patients with AF. During a median follow-up of 2.1 years, the overall incidence rate of NCO per 100 patient-year (PY) was 20.14. APT(s) monotherapy presented the highest cumulative risk of NCO (adjusted hazard ratio 1.47, 95% confidence interval 1.08-2.00, P = 0.015; with reference to OAC monotherapy) mainly driven by the highest rates of recurrent stroke and any bleeding. OAC/APT(s) combination therapy was associated with a 1.62-fold significantly higher risk of recurrent stroke (P = 0.040) and marginally higher risk of any bleeding than OAC monotherapy. CONCLUSION: Approximately one-third of acute IS in AF have a distinctive mechanism from cardioembolism. Although APT was frequently prescribed in post-stroke patients with AF, no additive clinical benefit was observed. Adherence to OAC treatment is essential to prevent further CV adverse events in patients with AF and IS.

Incidence and patterns of atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation of typical atrial flutter-the FLUTFIB study.

AIMS: In patients with atrial flutter (AFL), ablation of the cavotricuspid isthmus (CTI) is a highly effective procedure to prevent AFL recurrence, but atrial fibrillation (AF) may occur during follow-up. The presented FLUTFIB study was designed to identify the exact incidence, duration, timely occurrence, and associated symptoms of AF after CTI ablation using continuous cardiac monitoring via implantable loop recorders. METHODS AND RESULTS: One hundred patients with AFL without prior AF diagnosis were included after CTI ablation (mean age 69.7 ± 9.7 years, 18% female) and received an implantable loop recorder for AF detection. After a median follow-up of 24 months 77 patients (77%) were diagnosed with AF episodes. Median time to first AF occurrence was 180 (43-298) days. Episodes lasted longer than 1 h in most patients (45/77, 58%). Forty patients (52%) had AF-associated symptoms.Patients with and without AF development showed similar baseline characteristics and neither HATCH- nor CHA2DS2-VASc scores were predictive of future AF episodes. Oral anticoagulation (OAC) was stopped during FU in 32 patients (32%) and was re-initiated after AF detection in 15 patients (15%). No strokes or transient ischaemic attack episodes were observed during follow-up. CONCLUSION: This study represents the largest investigation using implantable loop recorders (ILRs) to detect AF after AFL ablation and shows a high incidence of AF episodes, most of them being asymptomatic and lasting longer than 1 h. In anticipation of trials determining the duration of AF episodes that should trigger OAC initiation, these results will help to guide anticoagulation management after CTI ablation.