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1.
Sensors (Basel) ; 24(6)2024 Mar 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38544111

RESUMO

A cyber-physical system (CPS) integrates communication and automation technologies into the operational processes of physical systems. Nowadays, as a complex CPS, an intelligent connected vehicle (ICV) may be exposed to accidental functional failures and malicious attacks. Therefore, ensuring the ICV's safety and security is crucial. Traditional safety/security analysis methods, such as failure mode and effect analysis and attack tree analysis, cannot provide a comprehensive analysis for the interactions between the system components of the ICV. In this work, we merge system-theoretic process analysis (STPA) with the concept phase of ISO 26262 and ISO/SAE 21434. We focus on the interactions between components while analyzing the safety and security of ICVs to reduce redundant efforts and inconsistencies in determining safety and security requirements. To conquer STPA's abstraction in describing causal scenarios, we improved the physical component diagram of STPA-SafeSec by adding interface elements. In addition, we proposed the loss scenario tree to describe specific scenarios that lead to unsafe/unsecure control actions. After hazard/threat analysis, a unified risk assessment process is proposed to ensure consistency in assessment criteria and to streamline the process. A case study is implemented on the autonomous emergency braking system to demonstrate the validation of the proposed method.

2.
Sensors (Basel) ; 23(17)2023 Aug 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37688028

RESUMO

A suitable control architecture for connected vehicle platoons may be seen as a promising solution for today's traffic problems, by improving road safety and traffic flow, reducing emissions and fuel consumption, and increasing driver comfort. This paper provides a comprehensive overview concerning the defining levels of a general control architecture for connected vehicle platoons, intending to illustrate the options available in terms of sensor technologies, in-vehicle networks, vehicular communication, and control solutions. Moreover, starting from the proposed control architecture, a solution that implements a Cooperative Adaptive Cruise Control (CACC) functionality for a vehicle platoon is designed. Also, two control algorithms based on the distributed model-based predictive control (DMPC) strategy and the feedback gain matrix method for the control level of the CACC functionality are proposed. The designed architecture was tested in a simulation scenario, and the obtained results show the control performances achieved using the proposed solutions suitable for the longitudinal dynamics of vehicle platoons.

3.
Sensors (Basel) ; 23(4)2023 Feb 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36850486

RESUMO

Research on the cooperative adaptive cruise control (CACC) algorithm is primarily concerned with the longitudinal control of straight scenes. In contrast, the lateral control involved in certain traffic scenes such as lane changing or turning has rarely been studied. In this paper, we propose an adaptive cooperative cruise control (CACC) algorithm that is based on the Frenet frame. The algorithm decouples vehicle motion from complex motion in two dimensions to simple motion in one dimension, which can simplify the controller design and improve solution efficiency. First, the vehicle dynamics model is established based on the Frenet frame. Through a projection transformation of the vehicles in the platoon, the movement state of the vehicles is decomposed into the longitudinal direction along the reference trajectory and the lateral direction away from the reference trajectory. The second is the design of the longitudinal control law and the lateral control law. In the longitudinal control, vehicles are guaranteed to track the front vehicle and leader by satisfying the exponential convergence condition, and the tracking weight is balanced by a sigmoid function. Laterally, the nonlinear group dynamics equation is converted to a standard chain equation, and the Lyapunov method is used in the design of the control algorithm to ensure that the vehicles in the platoon follow the reference trajectory. The proposed control algorithm is finally verified through simulation, and validation results prove the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

4.
Sensors (Basel) ; 23(17)2023 Aug 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37687816

RESUMO

Ensuring that intelligent vehicles do not cause fatal collisions remains a persistent challenge due to pedestrians' unpredictable movements and behavior. The potential for risky situations or collisions arising from even minor misunderstandings in vehicle-pedestrian interactions is a cause for great concern. Considerable research has been dedicated to the advancement of predictive models for pedestrian behavior through trajectory prediction, as well as the exploration of the intricate dynamics of vehicle-pedestrian interactions. However, it is important to note that these studies have certain limitations. In this paper, we propose a novel graph-based trajectory prediction model for vehicle-pedestrian interactions called Holistic Spatio-Temporal Graph Attention (HSTGA) to address these limitations. HSTGA first extracts vehicle-pedestrian interaction spatial features using a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) sub-network and max pooling. Then, the vehicle-pedestrian interaction features are aggregated with the spatial features of pedestrians and vehicles to be fed into the LSTM. The LSTM is modified to learn the vehicle-pedestrian interactions adaptively. Moreover, HSTGA models temporal interactions using an additional LSTM. Then, it models the spatial interactions among pedestrians and between pedestrians and vehicles using graph attention networks (GATs) to combine the hidden states of the LSTMs. We evaluate the performance of HSTGA on three different scenario datasets, including complex unsignalized roundabouts with no crosswalks and unsignalized intersections. The results show that HSTGA outperforms several state-of-the-art methods in predicting linear, curvilinear, and piece-wise linear trajectories of vehicles and pedestrians. Our approach provides a more comprehensive understanding of social interactions, enabling more accurate trajectory prediction for safe vehicle navigation.

5.
Sensors (Basel) ; 23(9)2023 Apr 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37177538

RESUMO

Direct communication between vehicles and surrounding objects, called vehicle-to-everything (V2X), is ready for the market and promises to raise the level of safety and comfort while driving. To this aim, specific bands have been reserved in some countries worldwide and different wireless technologies have been developed; however, these are not interoperable. Recently, the issue of co-channel coexistence has been raised, leading the European Telecommunications Standards Institute (ETSI) to propose a number of solutions, called mitigation methods, for the coexistence of the IEEE 802.11p based ITS-G5 and the 3GPP fourth generation (4G) long term evolution (LTE)-V2X sidelink. In this work, several of the envisioned alternatives are investigated when adapted to the coexistence of the IEEE 802.11p with its enhancement IEEE 802.11bd and the latest 3GPP standards, i.e., the fifth generation (5G) new radio (NR)-V2X. The results, obtained through an open-source simulator that is shared with the research community for the evaluation of additional proposals, show that the methods called A and C, which require modifications to the standards, improve the transmission range of one or both systems without affecting the other, at least in low-density scenarios.

6.
Sensors (Basel) ; 23(2)2023 Jan 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36679565

RESUMO

An intelligent transportation system (ITS) aims to improve traffic efficiency by integrating innovative sensing, control, and communications technologies. The industrial Internet of things (IIoT) and Industrial Revolution 4.0 recently merged to design the industrial Internet of things-intelligent transportation system (IIoT-ITS). IIoT sensing technologies play a significant role in acquiring raw data. The application continuously performs the complex task of managing traffic flows effectively based on several parameters, including the number of vehicles in the system, their location, and time. Traffic density estimation (TDE) is another important derived parameter desirable to keep track of the dynamic state of traffic volume. The expanding number of vehicles based on wireless connectivity provides new potential to predict traffic density more accurately and in real time as previously used methodologies. We explore the topic of assessing traffic density by using only a few simple metrics, such as the number of surrounding vehicles and disseminating beacons to roadside units and vice versa. This research paper investigates TDE techniques and presents a novel Markov model-based TDE technique for ITS. Finally, an OMNET++-based approach with an implementation of a significant modification of a traffic model combined with mathematical modeling of the Markov model is presented. It is intended for the study of real-world traffic traces, the identification of model parameters, and the development of simulated traffic.


Assuntos
Benchmarking , Internet das Coisas , Indústrias , Tecnologia da Informação , Inteligência
7.
Hum Factors ; : 187208231219184, 2023 Dec 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38052019

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: This study examined the impact of monitoring instructions when using an automated driving system (ADS) and road obstructions on post take-over performance in near-miss scenarios. BACKGROUND: Past research indicates partial ADS reduces the driver's situation awareness and degrades post take-over performance. Connected vehicle technology may alert drivers to impending hazards in time to safely avoid near-miss events. METHOD: Forty-eight licensed drivers using ADS were randomly assigned to either the active driving or passive driving condition. Participants navigated eight scenarios with or without a visual obstruction in a distributed driving simulator. The experimenter drove the other simulated vehicle to manually cause near-miss events. Participants' mean longitudinal velocity, standard deviation of longitudinal velocity, and mean longitudinal acceleration were measured. RESULTS: Participants in passive ADS group showed greater, and more variable, deceleration rates than those in the active ADS group. Despite a reliable audiovisual warning, participants failed to slow down in the red-light running scenario when the conflict vehicle was occluded. Participant's trust in the automated driving system did not vary between the beginning and end of the experiment. CONCLUSION: Drivers interacting with ADS in a passive manner may continue to show increased and more variable deceleration rates in near-miss scenarios even with reliable connected vehicle technology. Future research may focus on interactive effects of automated and connected driving technologies on drivers' ability to anticipate and safely navigate near-miss scenarios. APPLICATION: Designers of automated and connected vehicle technologies may consider different timing and types of cues to inform the drivers of imminent hazard in high-risk scenarios for near-miss events.

8.
Sensors (Basel) ; 22(8)2022 Apr 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35458870

RESUMO

Work zone safety is a high priority for transportation agencies across the United States. Enforcing speed compliance in work zones is an important factor for reducing the frequency and severity of crashes. This paper uses connected vehicle trajectory data to evaluate the impact of automated work zone speed enforcement on three work zones in Pennsylvania and two work zones in Indiana. Analysis was conducted on more than 300 million datapoints from over 71 billion records between April and August 2021. Speed distribution and speed compliance studies with and without automated enforcement were conducted along every tenth of a mile, and the results found that overall speed compliance inside the work zones increased with the presence of enforcement. In the three Pennsylvania work zones analyzed, the proportions of vehicles travelling within the allowable 11 mph tolerance were 63%, 75% and 84%. In contrast, in Indiana, a state with no automated enforcement, the proportions of vehicles travelling within the same 11 mph tolerance were found to be 25% and 50%. Shorter work zones (less than 3 miles) were associated with better compliance than longer work zones. Spatial analysis also found that speeds rebounded within 1-2 miles after leaving the enforcement location.


Assuntos
Condução de Veículo , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Tempo , Estados Unidos
9.
Sensors (Basel) ; 22(3)2022 Feb 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35161934

RESUMO

V2X is used for communication between the surrounding pedestrians, vehicles, and roadside units. In the Forward Collision Warning (FCW) of Phase One scenarios in V2X, multimodal modalities and multiple warning stages are the two main warning strategies of FCW. In this study, three warning modalities were introduced, namely auditory warning, visual warning, and haptic warning. Moreover, a multimodal warning and a novel multi-staged HUD warning were established. Then, the above warning strategies were evaluated in objective utility, driving performance, visual workload, and subjective evaluation. As for the driving simulator of the experiment, SCANeR was adopted to develop the driving scenario and an open-cab simulator was built based on Fanatec hardware. Kinematic parameters, location-related data and eye-tracking data were then collected. The results of the Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) indicate that the multimodal warning is significantly better than that of every single modality in utility and longitudinal car-following performance, and there is no significant difference in visual workload between multimodal warning and the baseline. The utility and longitudinal driving performance of multi-staged warning are also better than those of single-stage warning. Finally, the results provide a reference for the warning strategy design of the FCW in Intelligent Connected Vehicles.


Assuntos
Condução de Veículo , Pedestres , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Simulação por Computador , Humanos , Equipamentos de Proteção , Tempo de Reação , Carga de Trabalho
10.
Sensors (Basel) ; 21(11)2021 May 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34073726

RESUMO

In this paper, some collision avoidance systems based on MEC in a VANET environment are proposed and investigated. Micro services at edge are considered to support service continuity in vehicle communication and advertising. This considered system makes use of cloud and edge computing, allowing to switch communication from edge to cloud server and vice versa when possible, trying to guarantee the required constraints and balancing the communication among the servers. Simulation results were used to evaluate the performance of three considered mechanisms: the first one considering only edge with load balancing, the second one using edge/cloud switching and the third one using edge with load balancing and collision avoidance advertising.

11.
Sensors (Basel) ; 21(24)2021 Dec 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34960416

RESUMO

Connected vehicle (CV) technologies are changing the form of traditional traffic models. In the CV driving environment, abundant and accurate information is available to vehicles, promoting the development of control strategies and models. Under these circumstances, this paper proposes a bidirectional vehicles information structure (BDVIS) by making use of the acceleration information of one preceding vehicle and one following vehicle to improve the car-following models. Then, we deduced the derived multiple vehicles information structure (DMVIS), including historical movement information of multiple vehicles, without the acceleration information. Next, the paper embeds the four kinds of basic car-following models into the framework to investigate the stability condition of two structures under the small perturbation of traffic flow and explored traffic response properties with different proportions of forward-looking or backward-looking terms. Under the open boundary condition, simulations on a single lane are conducted to validate the theoretical analysis. The results indicated that BDVIS and the DMVIS perform better than the original car-following model in improving the traffic flow stability, but that they have their own advantages for differently positioned vehicles in the platoon. Moreover, increasing the proportions of the preceding and following vehicles presents a benefit to stability, but if traffic is stable, an increase in any of the parameters would extend the influence time, which reveals that neither ß1 or ß2 is the biggest the best for the traffic.

12.
Sensors (Basel) ; 20(6)2020 Mar 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32235728

RESUMO

Freeway traffic management and control often rely on input from fixed-point sensors. A sufficiently high sensor density is required to ensure data reliability and accuracy, which results in high installation and maintenance costs. Moreover, fixed-point sensors encounter difficulties to provide spatiotemporally and wide-ranging information due to the limited observable area. This research exploits the utilization of connected automated vehicles (CAVs) as an alternative data source for freeway traffic management. To handle inherent uncertainty associated with CAV data, we develop an interval type 2 fuzzy logic-based variable speed limit (VSL) system for mixed traffic. The simulation results demonstrate that when more 10% CAVs are deployed, the performance of the proposed CAV-based system can approach that of the detector-based system. It is demonstrated in addition that the introduction of CAVs may make VSL obsolete at very high CAV-equipment rates.

13.
J Environ Manage ; 256: 109975, 2020 Feb 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31989968

RESUMO

With the development of information communication and artificial intelligence, the ICV (intelligent connected vehicle) will inevitably play an important part in future urban transport system. In this paper, we study the car following behaviour under the heterogeneous ICV environment. The time to receive information varies from vehicle to vehicle, since the manual vehicles and autonomous vehicles co-exist on the road. By introducing time-varying lags function, a new car following model is proposed, and the cooperative control strategy of this model is studied. Based on Lyapunov function theory and linear matrix inequality (LMI) approach, the sufficient condition that the existence of the feedback controller is given, which makes the closed-loop system asymptotically stable under mixed traffic flow environment. That is to say, traffic congestion phenomenon under heterogeneous traffic flow can be effectively suppressed, and the feedback controller gain matrix can be obtained via solving linear matrix inequality. Finally, by simulation the method is verified effective in alleviating traffic congestions and reducing fuel consumption and exhaust emissions. It could be a useful reference to Cooperative Vehicle Infrastructure System and Smart City.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Emissões de Veículos , Cidades
14.
Sensors (Basel) ; 19(19)2019 Sep 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31547565

RESUMO

Real-time capturing of vehicle motion is the foundation of connected vehicles (CV) and safe driving. This study develops a novel vehicle motion detection system (VMDS) that detects lane-change, turning, acceleration, and deceleration using mobile sensors, that is, global positioning system (GPS) and inertial ones in real-time. To capture a large amount of real-time vehicle state data from multiple sensors, we develop a dynamic time warping based algorithm combined with principal component analysis (PCA). Further, the designed algorithm is trained and evaluated on both urban roads and highway using an Android platform. The aim of the algorithm is to alert adjacent drivers, especially distracted drivers, of potential crash risks. Our evaluation results based on driving traces, covering over 4000 miles, conclude that VMDS is able to detect lane-change and turning with an average precision over 76% and speed, acceleration, and brake with an average precision over 91% under the given testing data dataset 1 and 4. Finally, the alerting tests are conducted with a simulator vehicle, estimating the effect of alerting back or front vehicle the surrounding vehicles' motion. Nearly two seconds are gained for drivers to make a safe operation. As is expected, with the help of VMDS, distracted driving decreases and driving safety improves.

15.
Sensors (Basel) ; 19(9)2019 May 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31052585

RESUMO

With the development of intelligent transportation system (ITS) and vehicle to X (V2X), the connected vehicle is capable of sensing a great deal of useful traffic information, such as queue length at intersections. Aiming to solve the problem of existing models' complexity and information redundancy, this paper proposes a queue length sensing model based on V2X technology, which consists of two sub-models based on shockwave sensing and back propagation (BP) neural network sensing. First, the model obtains state information of the connected vehicles and analyzes the formation process of the queue, and then it calculates the velocity of the shockwave to predict the queue length of the subsequent unconnected vehicles. Then, the neural network is trained with historical connected vehicle data, and a sub-model based on the BP neural network is established to predict the real-time queue length. Finally, the final queue length at the intersection is determined by combining the sub-models by variable weight. Simulation results show that the sensing accuracy of the combined model is proportional to the penetration rate of connected vehicles, and sensing of queue length can be achieved even in low penetration rate environments. In mixed traffic environments of connected vehicles and unconnected vehicles, the queuing length sensing model proposed in this paper has higher performance than the probability distribution (PD) model when the penetration rate is low, and it has an almost equivalent performance with higher penetration rate while the penetration rate is not needed. The proposed sensing model is more applicable for mixed traffic scenarios with much looser conditions.

16.
Sensors (Basel) ; 20(1)2019 Dec 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31905744

RESUMO

Most existing signal timing plans are optimized given vehicles' arrival time (i.e., the time for the upcoming vehicles to arrive at the stop line) as exogenous input. In this paper, based on the connected vehicle (CV) technique, vehicles can be regarded as moving sensors, and their arrival time can be dynamically adjusted by speed guidance according to the current signal status and traffic conditions. Therefore, an integrated traffic control model is proposed in this study to optimize vehicle arrival time (or travel speed) and signal timing simultaneously. "Speed guidance model at a red light" and "speed guidance model at a green light" are presented to model the influences between travel speed and signal timing. Then, the methods to model the vehicle arrival time, vehicle delay, and number of stops are proposed. The total delay, which includes the control delay, queuing delay, and signal delay, is used as the objective of the proposed model. The decision variables consist of vehicle arrival time, starting time of green, and duration of green for each phase. The sliding time window is adopted to dynamically tackle the problems. Compared with the results optimized by the classical actuated signal control method and the fixed-time-based speed guidance model, the proposed model can significantly decrease travel delays as well as improve the flexibility and mobility of traffic control. The sensitivity analysis with the communication distance, the market penetration of connected vehicles, and the compliance rate of speed guidance further demonstrates the potential of the proposed model to be applied in various traffic conditions.

17.
Sensors (Basel) ; 19(12)2019 Jun 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31248189

RESUMO

Smart cities are ecosystems where novel ideas and emerging technologies meet to improve economy, environment, governance, living, and mobility. One of the pillars of smart cities is transport, with the improvement of mobility and the reduction of traffic accidents being some of the current key challenges. With this purpose, this manuscript reviews the state-of-the-art of communications and applications in which different actors of the road are involved. Thus, the objectives of this survey are intended to determine who, when, and about what is being researched around smart cities. Particularly, the goal is to situate the focus of scientific and industrial progress on V2X, I2X, and P2X communication to establish a taxonomy that reduces ambiguous acronyms around the communication between vehicles, infrastructure, and pedestrians, as well as to determine what the trends and future technologies are that will lead to more powerful applications. To this end, this literature review article presents a comprehensive study including a representative collection of the 100 most cited papers and patents published in the literature together with a statistical bibliometric analysis of 14,364 keywords over 3422 contributions between 1997 and 2018. As a result, this work provides a technological profile considering different dimensions along the paper, such as the type of communication, use case, country, organization, terminology, and year.

18.
Sensors (Basel) ; 17(6)2017 Jun 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28587246

RESUMO

The way in which we interact with our cars is changing, driven by the increased use of mobile devices, cloud-based services, and advanced automotive technology. In particular, the requirements and market demand for the Internet of Things (IoT) device-connected vehicles will continuously increase. In addition, the advances in cloud computing and IoT have provided a promising opportunity for developing vehicular software and services in the automotive domain. In this paper, we introduce the concept of a home IoT connected vehicle with a voice-based virtual personal assistant comprised of a vehicle agent and a home agent. The proposed concept is evaluated by implementing a smartphone linked with home IoT devices that are connected to an infotainment system for the vehicle, a smartphone-based natural language interface input device, and cloud-based home IoT devices for the home. The home-to-vehicle connected service scenarios that aim to reduce the inconvenience due to simple and repetitive tasks by improving the urban mobility efficiency in IoT environments are substantiated by analyzing real vehicle testing and lifestyle research. Remarkable benefits are derived by making repetitive routine tasks one task that is executed by a command and by executing essential tasks automatically, without any request. However, it should be used with authorized permission, applied without any error at the right time, and applied under limited conditions to sense the habitants' intention correctly and to gain the required trust regarding the remote execution of tasks.

19.
Accid Anal Prev ; 198: 107448, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38340472

RESUMO

Intelligent Connected Vehicle (ICV) is considered one of the most promising active safety technologies to address current transportation challenges. Human-Machine Interface (HMI) plays a vital role in enhancing user driving experience with ICV technology. However, in an ICV environment, drivers may exhibit excessive reliance on HMI, resulting in diminished proactive observation and analysis of the road environment, and subsequently leading to a potential decrease in drivers' situational awareness. This reduced situational awareness may consequently lead to a decline in their overall engagement in driving tasks. Therefore, to comprehensively investigate the impact of HMI on driver performance in various ICV environments, this study incorporates three distinct HMI systems: Control group, Warning group, and Guidance group. The Control group provides basic information, the Warning group adds front vehicle icon and real-time headway information, while the Guidance group further includes speed and voice guidance features. Additionally, the study considers three types of mainline vehicle gaps, namely, 30 m, 20 m, and 15 m. Through our self-developed ICV testing platform, we conducted driving simulation experiments on 43 participants in a freeway interchange merging area. The findings reveal that, drivers in the Guidance group exhibited explicit acceleration while driving on the ramp. Drivers in the Guidance and Warning groups demonstrated smoother speed change trends and lower mean longitudinal acceleration upon entering the acceleration lane compared to the Control group, indicating a preference for more cautious driving strategies. During the pre-merging section, drivers in the Warning group demonstrated a more cautious and smooth longitudinal acceleration. The Guidance group's HMI system assisted drivers in better speed control during the post-merging section. Differences in mainline vehicle gaps did not significantly impact the merging positions of participants across the three HMI groups. Drivers in the Guidance group merged closest to the left side of the taper section, while the Control group merged farthest. The research findings offer valuable insights for developing dynamic human-machine interfaces tailored to specific driving scenarios in the environment of ICVs. Future research should investigate the effects of various HMIs on driver safety, workload, energy efficiency, and overall driving experience. Conducting real-world tests will further validate the findings obtained from driving simulators.


Assuntos
Condução de Veículo , Humanos , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Conscientização , Meios de Transporte , Simulação por Computador
20.
Accid Anal Prev ; 179: 106880, 2023 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36345113

RESUMO

Accurate crash frequency prediction is critical for proactive safety management. The emerging connected vehicles technology provides us with a wealth of vehicular motion data, which enables a better connection between crash frequency and driving behaviors. However, appropriately dealing with the spatial dependence of crash frequency and multitudinous driving features has been a difficult but critical challenge in the prediction process. To this end, this study aims to investigate a new Artificial Intelligence technique called Geographical Random Forest (GRF) that can address spatial heterogeneity and retain all potential predictors. By harnessing more than 2.2 billion high-resolution connected vehicle Basic Safety Message (BSM) observations from the Safety Pilot Model Deployment in Ann Arbor, MI, 30 indicators of driving volatility are extracted, including speed, longitudinal and lateral acceleration, and yaw rate. The developed GRF was implemented to predict rear-end crash frequency at intersections. The results show that: 1) rear-end crashes are more likely to happen at intersections connecting minor roads compared to major roads; 2) a higher number of hard acceleration and deceleration events beyond two standard deviations in the longitudinal direction is a leading indicator of rear-end crashes; 3) the optimal GRF significantly outperforms Global Random Forest, with a 9% lower test error and a substantially better fit; and 4) geographical visualization of variable importance highlights the presence of spatial non-stationarity. The proposed framework can proactively identify at-risk intersections and alert drivers when leading indicators of driving volatility tend to worsen.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Condução de Veículo , Humanos , Algoritmo Florestas Aleatórias , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Geografia
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